FL/OH/PA-Quinnipiac: Clinton beats McCain handily, while Obama struggles

[Tender Branson]

Florida:

Clinton - 48%
McCain - 41%

McCain - 45%
Obama - 41%

Ohio:

Clinton - 48%
McCain - 41%

McCain - 44%
Obama - 40%

Pennsylvania:

Clinton - 50%
McCain - 37%

Obama - 46%
McCain - 40%

In the McCain-Obama matchups, 26 to 36 percent of Clinton supporters in each state say that if Obama is the nominee they would switch to the Republican in November. Only 10 to 18 percent of Obama supporters say they would defect to McCain if Clinton is the nominee.

President Bush's approval ratings are:

* 28 - 68 percent in Florida
* 26 - 68 percent in Ohio
* 23 - 72 percent in Pennsylvania

From May 13 - 20, Quinnipiac University surveyed:

* 1,419 Florida voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.6 percent
* 1,244 Ohio voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.8 percent
* 1,667 Pennsylvania voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.4 percent

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x2882.xml?ReleaseID=1180

[agcatter]

Not a fan of this outfit.  Still, it affords me another opportunity to thank Dems for nominating Obama and giving the GOP a decent chance in a year Republicans should have no chance whatsoever,

[TheresNoMoney]

Obama may have to offer Clinton the VP slot.

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Obama may have to offer Clinton the VP slot.

With how close this campaign was, I'm almost at the point of thinking that she is somehow entitled to be on the ticket. 

But hey, Obama's most likely going to hang onto PA, the only necessary state of the three for him.  Ohio is also going to be very, very competitive in the end, the economy is absolutely in the sh*tter there.

I don't think Obama should even bother with Florida though.  I'd hate to write off 27 EVs, but it's Deep South in the North (minus a high black population), a ton of seniors, and a huge Hispanic vote that's not going to exactly be gung-ho about voting for a black man.... my god the state is a demographic disaster for him. 

[TheresNoMoney]

With how close this campaign was, I'm almost at the point of thinking that she is entitled to be on the ticket. 

Yeah, I'd prefer her to not be on the ticket but Obama really needs her hardcore female supporters to win the general.

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

With how close this campaign was, I'm almost at the point of thinking that she is entitled to be on the ticket. 

Yeah, I'd prefer her to not be on the ticket but Obama really needs her hardcore female supporters to win the general.

Yea, they really do love her and I do think they'd be fine with the consolation prize. 

[Josh/Devilman88]

He is doing better then what I was thinking he would be running.

[kevinatcausa]

I wonder to what extent these numbers would be reversed if Clinton was close to winning the nomination instead of Obama. 

Right now Obama's supporters consider party unity paramount, and are generously willing to claim that they'd vote for their vanquished opponent in a hypothetical election.  Conversely, Clinton's supporters see Obama as the reason that her candidate lost and are still angry about it. 

While demographics accounts for some of the difference (especially in Florida), this factor also counts for a pretty large part of the polling difference at this point.

[Lief 🗽]

Good numbers for Obama. Winning Pennsylvania is crucial, while winning OH or FL are just two of a number of ways he can get to 270 electoral votes.