Regarding all these hopes of defeating CA GOP House representatives, is there much evidence much has changed since November? It seems many places already rejected Trump, and voted for the local GOP candidate anyway. Has disapproval in California noticeably grown since November when he received 31% of the state's vote, but most reps held on, or is the thinking that only Democrats will show up this midterm?
Without knowing much about the situation, it seems California outside of Issa's district might be a lot harder to turn than other parts of the country that have already elected Democrats in the last 12 or so years.
Michigan Republicans are likely to have a rough time in 2018. As it is, the state is heavily gerrymandered to the advantage of Republicans with mostly R+3 to R+7. In bad times such pols are vulnerable. Should Donald Trump be as unpopular as statewide polls of Michigan so indicate, then several such Republicans will likely go down to defeat in 2018. Note well that no Democratic Representative is in any district fully to the west of the US 23 freeway corridor.
I don't have any specifics on Pennsylvania, Ohio, Indiana, or Wisconsin.
Once again not basing this off of much, but from a first-take, I would imagine there has been more movement in states such as MI or PA than California. The idea of voting for the Republican rep to check Clinton is intriguing, especially if the person normally considers themselves Republican but couldn't stomach Trump. Such a person would not have wanted Clinton to pass her agenda. Enough of them may simply not show up in 2018 or vote for the Dem simply to vote against Trump.
