Rassy poll, CT McMahon leading now

[Vosem]

I'd love to meet the kind've person who wants Linda McMahon representing them.

Me, for instance. 43% of Connecticut residents would rather have her than Richard Blumenthal.

Because she lost by 12% in 2010, it's fair to say she ain't winning now.

Murphy is a weaker candidate than Blumenthal, though...

That said, the 'reality' is this race is probably a very narrow Murphy lead, like Quinnipiac's last poll. That McMahon will do better this time around than in 2010 is almost a certainty, even PPP is showing that.

[Vosem]

I'd love to meet the kind've person who wants Linda McMahon representing them.

Me, for instance. 43% of Connecticut residents would rather have her than Richard Blumenthal.

But to want her, in any positive sense...?

You could argue that about any politician. But there's no evidence McMahon is viewed as so especially bad by anybody. Leftist netizens just don't like her campaign spending.

[Vosem]

I also want to note Connecticut is one of the few states where it's reasonable to argue Republicans will do better in 2012 than 2010. In 2010, Democrats took total control of the state government, both the legislature and the Governor's Mansion, and the figures associated with that control, such as Chris Donovan and Dan Malloy, are very unpopular. In a warning signal to Dems, both Democrats and Republicans held competitive primaries in the 5th congressional district but more votes were cast in the Republican primary.

All that being said, I think right now Murphy is ahead, but only by 1-3 points or so.