Recent Posts

Show posts from buddies only

Not nervous, but somewhat worried. The thought of Trump returning to office terrifies me, tbh.

As I said, I'm not making any predictions yet, but initially thought the current election cycle would be similar to 2012, where the incumbent appeared vulnerable at first but improved as the election year approached. However, if we're being honest, this has not been the case so far. In 2012, Obama was able to define his challenger as an out-of-touch elitist, but in 2020, Trump seemed headed for defeat by June after the first Covid bump. Despite a decent economy and a large cash advantage, Biden is still struggling in key battlegrounds, although he is in a better position than his predecessor was at this stage four years ago.

I think dems are exaggerating the harm Trump might do in a second term. He will kill woke policies of Biden but other than that, it'll be business as usual. And dems will actually have a nice midterm in 2026 if Trump wins.

if its a free and fair election.  I would not put it past Republicans to nominate him for an illegal third term.

Can you guys stop fear mongering every single moment that if trump win it the end of democracy?.

That is literally the goal of Project 2025. Kill the Constitution. Kill term limits. Kill any barriers to dictatorship.

Trump himself said he wants to be a dictator.

Are you just wilfully ignoring all of this? No, of course not. You're actively cheering for it.

Project 2025 has no jurisdiction outside the executive branch so a lot of things Trump won’t be able to get done without outside help.

Trump will not be able to pass the legislation to implement certain parts of his because his congressional majorities will be very narrow at best, or at worst outright have Dems in the house. He’ll get slapped down by the courts like he was after 2020. State governments outside of Safe R states will not allow him on the ballot if he were to try to run in 2028.

Bump. Obama wouldn't get too much flack at first for a recession originating in Europe, but the issue then would be getting a response through the 112th Congress. The House's post-National Federation of Independent Business v. Sebelius vote to repeal Obamacare would get way more fanfare and fire up Republicans, while Obama would get attacked from within the party (the PUMAs from 2008 and OTL's 2016 Sanders supporters) for choosing his ACA over jobs up to that point.

My hot take is that Colorado would be the closest state, even staying with Obama. His key to victory was the Denver suburbs, and Metro Denver's economic diversification had cushioned it from the worst of Great Recession before. The Rust Belt, on the other hand, would be the region to swing wildly as voters give up on Obama (although not as wildly as it could- Romney was no Trump).


President Barack Obama (D-IL) / Vice President Joe Biden (D-DE)
Fmr. Governor Mitt Romney (R-MA) / Congressman Paul Ryan (R-WI) ✓

What's confusing me is turnout. It was widely predicted to be "high" but almost all the figures I've seen show it going down significantly.  Is there something I'm missing here, or is that a major letdown in terms of civic engagement across the board? And if the latter, which parties did it hurt more?

Major League Baseball is recognizing the stats of 7 different Negro Leagues between 1920 and 1948 into the record book. This comes almost four years after the league announced that the leagues would be classified as Major Leagues.



The seven leagues are as follows:

• Negro National League (I) (1920–1931)
• Eastern Colored League (1923–1928)
• American Negro League (1929)
• East-West League (1932)
• Negro Southern League (1932)
• Negro National League (II) (1933–1948)
• Negro American League (1937–1948)



Anthony Castrovince at MLB.com:

Major League Baseball's embrace of the Negro Leagues is now recognized in the record book, resulting in new-look leaderboards fronted in several prominent places by Hall of Famer Josh Gibson and an overdue appreciation of many other Black stars.

Following the 2020 announcement that seven different Negro Leagues from 1920-1948 would be recognized as Major Leagues, MLB announced Wednesday that it has followed the recommendations of the independent Negro League Statistical Review Committee in absorbing the available Negro Leagues numbers into the official historical record.

Genuinely overwhelmed by the kind words here, including from people I've traded quite a few jabs with in the recent past. I honestly was expecting a lot more controversy (although I guess I might just not be seeing the critical posters because I have them on ignore... oh well).

Anyway thank you so much everyone!

Put together a sound legal strategy and strong legal team to handle legal challenges over canceling elections and invalidating results. Secondly, get security for candidates because any candidate who is an electoral threat to a Republican candidate will be at risk of being harmed.

None of that is going to happen. Trump isn’t going to fight tooth and nail to overturn an election that he isn’t a candidate in.

Some said he would not refuse to leave office in if he lost in 2020 but we see how that turned out. With that said he's not going to want a Democratic Congress because he wants the ability to do whatever he wants. Plus there are plenty of other Republicans who would want to tamper with elections so they don't really need his support to do attempt cancellations of and overturning of elections.

Republicans don’t have the power to cancel and overturn elections because they are run by the states, not the federal government. The only places they would be able to get away with it are in safe R states where they don’t need to rig elections in order to win.

And what happens if they still hold control in states like Georgia?

Make no mistake, Trump will try to centralise control around him and will likely succeed because of a court system stacked with sycophants.

Georgia is mostly controlled by the likes of Kemp and Raffensperger who are establishment GOPers who aren’t going to bend to Trump’s will.

Trump’s own judges consistently ruled against him in his many 2020 lawsuits. People like Cannon are the exception rather than the rule. I think we’ll se a lot of his own judges rule against him a lot more frequently than you think.

Western Cape Projection:

DA 55% (-1)
ANC 20% (-9)
PA 9% (new)
EFF 4% (-)
FF+ 2% (-)
MK 1% (new)

DA holds firm but PA emerges as a dangerous new challenger.

Yes, did Iceman miss the fact Trafalgar missed NV and Emerson and had Laxalt winning by 5 and Johnson winning by 5 and Johnson won by 1. NV has an R bias

These comments hit the nail on the head. They will probably overperform him by anywhere between 2-6 points (likely more for Tester/Brown), and for the most part, that will be enough for Democrats to win those swing states. Trump is a unique brand from the Republican Party. The Republican Party's brand among anyone under the age of 40 is dogcrap.

So you really think Trump is more popular than the average Republican. Like DeSantis or Haley would definitely be better general election candidates as they unlike Trump would have relatively clean slates which would pretty much doom any chances Biden has of winning reelection.

Haley and DeSantis were polling 1/3 pts behind in Rassy to Biden like Biden is polling 2/3 pts ahead of Trump in QU poll

Parents need to regulate what their child does on the internet instead of having the state pass an unenforceable law that's only going to make the problem worse. Remember Prohibition gang?

VPNs come in so many stripes and forms now that this law won't change anything other than VPN companies getting a lot more in profits. I'm willing to be that in a decade or so these Prono ID laws will get repealed because of how much of a failure they are