2018 Congressional Generic Ballot and House Polls Megathread - the original
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 11, 2024, 12:56:34 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  2018 Congressional Generic Ballot and House Polls Megathread - the original		 « previous next »
Thread note


Pages: 1 ... 81 82 83 84 85 [86] 87 88 89 90 91 ... 96
Author Topic: 2018 Congressional Generic Ballot and House Polls Megathread - the original  (Read 207091 times)
Arkansas Yankee
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,175
United States
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2125 on: June 10, 2018, 09:08:01 PM »
 Why do you say that.


If not would Comy have still done what he did.  If he did I believe any Republican would have beaten Hillary.  The more I think about it AND know and how obnoxious Trumps tweets are, There was no way Hillary could win the election once knowledge of her personal sever came to light and Comey gave an exoneration.  The Democrat leaders and Comey elected Trump. LOL MANY TIMES.
Logged
Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,407
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2126 on: June 12, 2018, 12:30:59 PM »
Quote from: ModerateVoter_2018 on June 11, 2018, 06:43:16 PM
The Generic ballot is getting much wider again and polls are now regularly have Dems up 9-10%.


it is gonna crash
Logged
BudgieForce
superbudgie1582
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,298


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2127 on: June 12, 2018, 01:05:11 PM »
Quote from: Representative-Elect politicalmasta73 on June 12, 2018, 12:30:59 PM
Quote from: ModerateVoter_2018 on June 11, 2018, 06:43:16 PM
The Generic ballot is getting much wider again and polls are now regularly have Dems up 9-10%.


it is gonna crash

I'm not ready for all the hot takes.
Logged
Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,407
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2128 on: June 12, 2018, 01:17:06 PM »
Quote from: superbudgie1582 on June 12, 2018, 01:05:11 PM
Quote from: Representative-Elect politicalmasta73 on June 12, 2018, 12:30:59 PM
Quote from: ModerateVoter_2018 on June 11, 2018, 06:43:16 PM
The Generic ballot is getting much wider again and polls are now regularly have Dems up 9-10%.


it is gonna crash
y lol?
I'm not ready for all the hot takes.
Logged
GeorgiaModerate
Moderator
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,820


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2129 on: June 12, 2018, 01:24:31 PM »

Here's a pretty lukewarm take:

Looking at the graph, overall both lines are essentially straight and flat with only short-term noise over the last year, except for brief periods with a larger gap in Aug-Sep and mid-late Dec.  Conclusion: not much has changed.  Extrapolation: not much is likely to change between now and November.
Logged
Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,018
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2130 on: June 12, 2018, 02:32:38 PM »
Quote from: Representative-Elect politicalmasta73 on June 12, 2018, 12:30:59 PM
Quote from: ModerateVoter_2018 on June 11, 2018, 06:43:16 PM
The Generic ballot is getting much wider again and polls are now regularly have Dems up 9-10%.


it is gonna crash

Why would that be?
Logged
Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️
The Impartial Spectator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,886


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2131 on: June 12, 2018, 02:54:27 PM »

BREAKING!!! The crash begins!

Reuters poll shows impending Democratic collapse.

Democrats have lost their momentum in the fabulously accurate and reliable Reuters poll (June 7-11).

Dem 43.3% (-.3%)
Rep 34.3%(+0%)

#TheDeclineAndFallOfTheBlueWave #RedWaveIsComing cc: LimoLiberal, Sean Trende

What Reuters giveth, Reuters taketh away.
Logged
Person Man
Angry_Weasel
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 36,667
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2132 on: June 12, 2018, 05:10:31 PM »
Quote from: The Impartial Spectator on June 12, 2018, 02:54:27 PM

BREAKING!!! The crash begins!

Reuters poll shows impending Democratic collapse.

Democrats have lost their momentum in the fabulously accurate and reliable Reuters poll (June 7-11).

Dem 43.3% (-.3%)
Rep 34.3%(+0%)

#TheDeclineAndFallOfTheBlueWave #RedWaveIsComing cc: LimoLiberal, Sean Trende

What Reuters giveth, Reuters taketh away.



Will we poop our pants?
Logged
KingSweden
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,227
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2133 on: June 12, 2018, 05:12:16 PM »
Quote from: Heinous on June 12, 2018, 05:10:31 PM
Quote from: The Impartial Spectator on June 12, 2018, 02:54:27 PM

BREAKING!!! The crash begins!

Reuters poll shows impending Democratic collapse.

Democrats have lost their momentum in the fabulously accurate and reliable Reuters poll (June 7-11).

Dem 43.3% (-.3%)
Rep 34.3%(+0%)

#TheDeclineAndFallOfTheBlueWave #RedWaveIsComing cc: LimoLiberal, Sean Trende

What Reuters giveth, Reuters taketh away.



Will we poop our pants?

Why would you NOT poop your pants
Logged
Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,488
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2134 on: June 12, 2018, 06:51:23 PM »
Quote from: ModerateVoter_2018 on June 11, 2018, 06:43:16 PM
The Generic ballot is getting much wider again and polls are now regularly have Dems up 9-10%.



But Korea!
Logged
Brittain33
brittain33
Moderator
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,009


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2135 on: June 12, 2018, 07:13:49 PM »
The Resistance has ticked up .1 to 47.6%.
Logged
Mike Thick
tedbessell
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,084


Political Matrix
E: -6.65, S: -8.26

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2136 on: June 12, 2018, 10:11:51 PM »

No more or less than usual
Logged
Gass3268
Moderator
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,540
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2137 on: June 13, 2018, 09:29:11 AM »
PPP (Last poll was in late March):

Democrats 46% (-4)
Republicans 40% (+1)

Source
Logged
BudgieForce
superbudgie1582
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,298


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2138 on: June 13, 2018, 10:46:40 AM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on June 13, 2018, 09:29:11 AM
PPP (Last poll was in late March):

Democrats 46% (-4)
Republicans 40% (+1)

Source

Yeah, I think their last poll was a bit of an outlier. This is back to the average.
Logged
Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,407
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2139 on: June 13, 2018, 10:53:32 AM »
told you lol
Logged
Gass3268
Moderator
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,540
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2140 on: June 13, 2018, 10:57:15 AM »

Huh?
Logged
KingSweden
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,227
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2141 on: June 13, 2018, 10:58:05 AM »
Quote from: superbudgie1582 on June 13, 2018, 10:46:40 AM
Quote from: Gass3268 on June 13, 2018, 09:29:11 AM
PPP (Last poll was in late March):

Democrats 46% (-4)
Republicans 40% (+1)

Source

Yeah, I think their last poll was a bit of an outlier. This is back to the average.

Agreed.
Logged
GeorgiaModerate
Moderator
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,820


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2142 on: June 13, 2018, 11:27:31 AM »

The average has gone from D+8.2 to D+8.3 since your crash prediction.  How exactly does this constitute a crash?
Logged
Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,407
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2143 on: June 13, 2018, 11:29:14 AM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on June 13, 2018, 11:27:31 AM

The average has gone from D+8.2 to D+8.3 since your crash prediction.  How exactly does this constitute a crash?
ppp poll! It is baised towards democrats and crashed!
Logged
Gass3268
Moderator
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,540
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2144 on: June 13, 2018, 11:32:06 AM »
Quote from: Representative-Elect politicalmasta73 on June 13, 2018, 11:29:14 AM
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on June 13, 2018, 11:27:31 AM

The average has gone from D+8.2 to D+8.3 since your crash prediction.  How exactly does this constitute a crash?
ppp poll! It is baised towards democrats and crashed!

- PPP has leaned right for most of this cycle, as have all robopolls
- It's a comparison to the end of March and a D+6 is a reasonably expected number if the GCB is D+8
Logged
Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,407
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2145 on: June 13, 2018, 11:33:27 AM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on June 13, 2018, 11:32:06 AM
Quote from: Representative-Elect politicalmasta73 on June 13, 2018, 11:29:14 AM
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on June 13, 2018, 11:27:31 AM

The average has gone from D+8.2 to D+8.3 since your crash prediction.  How exactly does this constitute a crash?
ppp poll! It is baised towards democrats and crashed!

- PPP has leaned right for most of this cycle, as have all robopolls
- It's a comparison to the end of March and a D+6 is a reasonably expected number if the GCB is D+8
typical msnbc talking points lol
Logged
GeorgiaModerate
Moderator
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,820


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2146 on: June 13, 2018, 11:41:15 AM »
Time to post this again:
Logged
Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,407
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2147 on: June 13, 2018, 11:43:50 AM »
classic radical lib. rejecting the cold hard facts when they cant handle it
Logged
Gass3268
Moderator
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,540
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2148 on: June 13, 2018, 11:45:38 AM »
I'm sensing some /s
Logged
GeorgiaModerate
Moderator
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,820


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2149 on: June 13, 2018, 11:46:38 AM »
Quote from: Representative-Elect politicalmasta73 on June 13, 2018, 11:43:50 AM
classic radical lib. rejecting the cold hard facts when they cant handle it


Know thyself.

I doubt that there are too many people around here who would call me a "radical lib". Smiley
Logged
Pages: 1 ... 81 82 83 84 85 [86] 87 88 89 90 91 ... 96  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.066 seconds with 11 queries.