Fox - National: Clinton +3 (user search)
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  Fox - National: Clinton +3 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Fox - National: Clinton +3  (Read 2083 times)
PresidentSamTilden
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« on: September 30, 2016, 05:53:27 PM »


Not Trump, lol.
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PresidentSamTilden
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Posts: 507


« Reply #1 on: September 30, 2016, 05:57:57 PM »

urban: Clinton +37
suburban: Clinton +9
rural: Trump +29

That can't be right, unless they're using an odd definition of rural. So Clinton is leading in urban areas by 37 (alright), in suburban areas by 9 (i'm skeptical, but we can go with it), and leads by 3 nationally? In a mostly urban country?

Maybe the MoE on that stuff is super high or something?
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PresidentSamTilden
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Posts: 507


« Reply #2 on: September 30, 2016, 06:26:09 PM »

The urban sample is smaller than both the suburban and rural samples, judging by the subsample MoEs.  Though I guess it's not clear if it's still smaller than the other two after weighting, as that info isn't given.  But in terms of the raw number of people who responded to the poll, the "urban" sample is smaller than both suburban and rural.

Well, regardless of sample size though, wouldn't these stats imply a Clinton lead of 50 points nationally? (why aren't I up 50?!? jk)

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https://ask.census.gov/faq.php?id=5000&faqId=5971

It just doesn't seem to add up to me, but there has to be some explanation. Maybe Rural turnout is super high, Urban is low, and Suburban is in the middle? Idk...
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PresidentSamTilden
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Posts: 507


« Reply #3 on: September 30, 2016, 06:45:25 PM »

^ Yeah, something like that could make sense also. Either way, pretty interesting.
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