VA-GOV 2025: Spanberger running

[brucejoel99]

Very early polling finds Spanberger at 52%, Stoney at 8%. So, yeah.....

Some have suggested that Stoney is just gathering the resources before he drops down to the less noteworthy Lt. Gov race, something that he will could win the primary for if he does. But that's all speculation.

https://twitter.com/LevarStoney/status/1782726455056568581

Called it. He's not going to be uncontested though:

https://twitter.com/Jaaavis/status/1782732894198227451

Also an endorsement-switch from Stoney to Rouse:

https://twitter.com/AaronRouseVA/status/1782744639298027923https://twitter.com/AaronRouseVA/status/1782744643437781150

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

I’m surprised Rouse isn’t running for VA-02

[LabourJersey]

I’m surprised Rouse isn’t running for VA-02

Being in the House sounds miserable these days. Being a Lieutenant Governor seems like a good gig - light on responsibilities, sometimes in the limelight, and you're set up in a great position for Governor in 4 years.

[henster]

I’m surprised Rouse isn’t running for VA-02

Being in the House sounds miserable these days. Being a Lieutenant Governor seems like a good gig - light on responsibilities, sometimes in the limelight, and you're set up in a great position for Governor in 4 years.

Plus VA-02 has a lot of turnover in the past decade they've had four different incumbents. Not fun dealing with the misery of the House and then having to work your butt off every cycle to hold the seat. Rouse is rising super fast though but he's taking the smart path unlike some others.

[JMT]

Very early polling finds Spanberger at 52%, Stoney at 8%. So, yeah.....


Some have suggested that Stoney is just gathering the resources before he drops down to the less noteworthy Lt. Gov race, something that he will could win the primary for if he does. But that's all speculation.

Honestly LT Gov is probably a big downgrade for him at least salary wise he makes $125K a year as Mayor and would make $36K as LT Gov. I don't think Stoney is independently wealthy so for him he mind as well go for the top spot or take his chances in the private sector.

I'd have to imagine that the advantage of his presence on the ticket, even if not on the top, is so large that Democratic donors would, erm. resolve any salary-related issues quite easily.

Also, Stoney is term limited and can’t run for reelection as Mayor. So switching to Lieutenant Governor is smart, given that he can’t run for Mayor again and was the clear underdog against Spanberger for Governor. Lt. Gov seems like his best chance to stay in office.

[Steve from Lambeth]

What did our resident pro-life moderator do to deserve being accused of wanting to cut corporation tax?

[Skill and Chance]

What would be the most likely split decision?  I'm guessing Spanberger and Dem LG, but Miyares gets reelected as AG given incumbency and the salience of the crime issue in lean D suburbs?  Alternative would be R's end up nominating someone nutty for LG and lose it in an otherwise R leaning year while Sears and Miyares win?

[SnowLabrador]

Spanberger is just like McAuliffe. She alienates a lot of progressive young voters, possibly just enough to cost her this general election. We would be foolish to nominate her.

[JMT]

What would be the most likely split decision?  I'm guessing Spanberger and Dem LG, but Miyares gets reelected as AG given incumbency and the salience of the crime issue in lean D suburbs?  Alternative would be R's end up nominating someone nutty for LG and lose it in an otherwise R leaning year while Sears and Miyares win?

Yeah I feel like Spanberger for Gov, Dem for Lt Gov, and Miyares reelected as AG is probably the most likely split decision at this point. That result wouldn’t really surprise me.

If Sears loses to Spanberger this cycle and Miyares is reelected, that potentially sets Miyares up nicely for a 2029 run for Governor.

[Duke of York]

Spanberger is just like McAuliffe. She alienates a lot of progressive young voters, possibly just enough to cost her this general election. We would be foolish to nominate her.

who would you like to see run?

[SnowLabrador]

Spanberger is just like McAuliffe. She alienates a lot of progressive young voters, possibly just enough to cost her this general election. We would be foolish to nominate her.

who would you like to see run?

Jennifer Carroll Foy? Danica Roem? Anyone more progressive on Gaza.

[Left Wing]

Spanberger is just like McAuliffe. She alienates a lot of progressive young voters, possibly just enough to cost her this general election. We would be foolish to nominate her.

who would you like to see run?

Jennifer Carroll Foy? Danica Roem? Anyone more progressive on Gaza.

Well, the governor of Virginia can’t bloody well do anything about that, now can they?

[President Johnson]

Spanberger is just like McAuliffe. She alienates a lot of progressive young voters, possibly just enough to cost her this general election. We would be foolish to nominate her.

who would you like to see run?

Jennifer Carroll Foy? Danica Roem? Anyone more progressive on Gaza.

Well, the governor of Virginia can’t bloody well do anything about that, now can they?

Imagine believing foreign policy affects a gubernatorial election. Even the last presidential election in which it played a major role is 20 years back.

[Duke of York]

Spanberger is just like McAuliffe. She alienates a lot of progressive young voters, possibly just enough to cost her this general election. We would be foolish to nominate her.

who would you like to see run?

Jennifer Carroll Foy? Danica Roem? Anyone more progressive on Gaza.

What can the Governor of Virginia do about Gaza? The answer nothing.