Fair redistricting: Texas
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  Fair redistricting: Texas
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Author Topic: Fair redistricting: Texas  (Read 15302 times)
Holy Unifying Centrist
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« Reply #150 on: March 16, 2018, 10:40:34 AM »

1. R+8 (-2432)
2. R+8 (-624)
3. R+17 (2032)
4. D+16 (473) 33% W, 34% B, 21% H
5. D+16 (-876) 34% W, 49% B, 12% H
6. D+30 (1199) 34% W, 55% B
7. R+14 (253)
8. R+10 (-1100)
9. R+30 (2349)
10. R+9 (55)
11. R+21 (-278)
12. R+10 (-1222)
13. D+15 (-1152) 34% W, 52% B
14. R+23 (1326)


4 D seats and 10 R seats in a state that has gone less than 10% republican in 2008, 2012, and 2016? And no competitive seats? And it's not particularly clean either.

Hard pass
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Strudelcutie4427
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« Reply #151 on: March 16, 2018, 07:23:56 PM »


1. R+14 (-2731)
2. R+14 (2270)
3. R+19 (-1608)
4. R+17 (294)
5. R+33 (-1426)
6. R+15 (500)
7. D+10 (2704) 49% B 44% W

Alabama with a different take on the VRA black district
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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
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« Reply #152 on: March 18, 2018, 03:02:35 PM »

So Muon2 was talking about school districts as boundaries that could be used as guidelines for how to split a large County in some cases. I disagree heavily.

https://www.bcps.org/schools/boundaries-hs.pdf

Look at the ugly border between Kenwood HS and Chesapeake HS in the Eastern section of the County.
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cvparty
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« Reply #153 on: March 18, 2018, 08:43:30 PM »

So Muon2 was talking about school districts as boundaries that could be used as guidelines for how to split a large County in some cases. I disagree heavily.

https://www.bcps.org/schools/boundaries-hs.pdf

Look at the ugly border between Kenwood HS and Chesapeake HS in the Eastern section of the County.
do you know what guideline means
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True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)
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« Reply #154 on: March 18, 2018, 09:58:00 PM »

So Muon2 was talking about school districts as boundaries that could be used as guidelines for how to split a large County in some cases. I disagree heavily.

https://www.bcps.org/schools/boundaries-hs.pdf

Look at the ugly border between Kenwood HS and Chesapeake HS in the Eastern section of the County.
do you know what guideline means

More to the point, do you know what school district means?  That map is a map of attendance areas for the high schools that are part of the Baltimore County Public Schools school district.  In this case, the county boundaries and the school district boundaries are the same.
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Dr. MB
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« Reply #155 on: March 18, 2018, 10:05:11 PM »

1. R+8 (-2432)
2. R+8 (-624)
3. R+17 (2032)
4. D+16 (473) 33% W, 34% B, 21% H
5. D+16 (-876) 34% W, 49% B, 12% H
6. D+30 (1199) 34% W, 55% B
7. R+14 (253)
8. R+10 (-1100)
9. R+30 (2349)
10. R+9 (55)
11. R+21 (-278)
12. R+10 (-1222)
13. D+15 (-1152) 34% W, 52% B
14. R+23 (1326)


4 D seats and 10 R seats in a state that has gone less than 10% republican in 2008, 2012, and 2016? And no competitive seats? And it's not particularly clean either.

Hard pass

You should’ve seen his attempt at a “fair” Pennsylvania map lol.

Also, since I didn’t want to start my own thread, does anyone have a fair Mississippi map (2R-1D-1swing)? If not I guess I’ll make one later
I created one which is two safe R, two D+2, it's only slightly gerrymandered and I'll submit it as one of my two MS maps.
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cvparty
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« Reply #156 on: March 18, 2018, 10:17:36 PM »

Also, since I didn’t want to start my own thread, does anyone have a fair Mississippi map (2R-1D-1swing)? If not I guess I’ll make one later
ooh I got one, we're not on MS yet tho, but it comes soon we can do it next instead of TN if you want
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Dr. MB
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« Reply #157 on: March 18, 2018, 11:20:49 PM »

Also, since I didn’t want to start my own thread, does anyone have a fair Mississippi map (2R-1D-1swing)? If not I guess I’ll make one later
ooh I got one, we're not on MS yet tho, but it comes soon we can do it next instead of TN if you want

Yes! That’d be fantastic.

To MB: I don’t know if a D+2 map would pass the VRA test though^^. I think a fair map would make about a D+7ish seat and an R+2ish seat (Obama—>Trump). I’m going to try it out later
I'd have to check, if I remember correctly though both had very narrow BVAP pluralities.
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AustralianSwingVoter
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« Reply #158 on: March 23, 2018, 05:40:24 AM »
« Edited: April 13, 2018, 08:10:36 PM by AustralianSwingVoter »

Alabama Non-partisan plan

My non-partisan redistricting plan for Alabama, only 2 counties are split and there remains a Black majority VRA district.

District 1 R+16.18 - 37.7 - 61.7
District 2 R+19.44 - 33.0 - 63.4
District 3 R+28.05 - 27.6 - 71.2
District 4 R+27.64 - 25.7 - 73.4
District 5 R+19.47 - 34.8 - 64.2
District 6 D+01.67 - 52.2 - 47.2
District 7 D+06.75 - 57.0 - 42.6 - 51.5 African American

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AustralianSwingVoter
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« Reply #159 on: March 23, 2018, 07:33:52 PM »
« Edited: April 13, 2018, 08:10:31 PM by AustralianSwingVoter »

I know I've missed the deadline but still,
Georgia Non-Partisan plan.

My non-partisan redistricting plan for Georgia. Only 5 counties are split, 4 majority Black VRA districts are maintained and and two new Majority-Minority Plurality White VRA districts are created.

District 1 R+18.72 - 35.1 - 64.3
District 2 D+05.49 - 57.1 - 42.4 - 50.5 African American
District 3 R+19.40 - 33.0 - 66.2
District 4 D+29.34 - 79.0 - 20.4 - 53.6 African American
District 5 D+23.88 - 73.6 - 25.8 - 53.4 African American
District 6 R+20.91 - 31.0 - 68.1
District 7 D+00.72 - 46.8 - 52.4 - 41.1 White
District 8 R+14.74 - 38.5 - 60.9
District 9 R+29.88 - 24.8 - 74.2
District 10 R+19.16 - 34.7 - 64.5
District 11 R+03.90 - 45.0 - 54.0
District 12 D+05.14 - 57.1 - 42.4 - 46.8 White - 45.7 African American
District 13 D+14.77 - 63.5 - 36.0 - 52.2 African American
District 14 R+16.56 - 28.4 - 70.5


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cvparty
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« Reply #160 on: March 26, 2018, 09:28:57 AM »

The two main ways of drawing Mississippi are with 1 safe D seat, or 1 lean D seat and 1 swingy seat. Careful not to gerrymander...
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cvparty
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« Reply #161 on: March 26, 2018, 11:01:04 PM »
« Edited: April 02, 2018, 01:25:50 PM by cvparty »


Jackson is kept whole.
1: R+16
2: D+4
3: R+5
4: R+21
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muon2
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« Reply #162 on: March 26, 2018, 11:56:26 PM »

If you are looking at urban areas as communities of interest, MS has three UCCs to try to keep together: Jackson (Hinds, Rankin, Madison); Gulfport (Harrison, Jackson); Hattiesburg (Forrest, Lamar). There's also the option of grouping counties with significant black population together. This map shows all the counties with over 40% BVAP in green and the UCCs overlaid with pink circles.

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Strudelcutie4427
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« Reply #163 on: March 27, 2018, 07:32:15 AM »



1. R+15 (+2413)
2. D+12 (-102) (62% Black, 34% White)
3. R+12 (-224)
4. R+21 (-2086)
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muon2
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« Reply #164 on: March 28, 2018, 10:21:32 AM »

This plan is designed to maintain county integrity, metro UCC integrity, and respect the clusters of significant black population. There are no county chops. The Jackson UCC is kept entirely within CD 3 and creates a slightly competitive seat at PVI R+5.1. CD 2 has the entire cluster of black counties along and near the Mississippi river (except Hinds in the Jackson UCC) and is 49.7% BVAP with PVI of D+3.2 so it would likely elect the candidate of choice of the black population. CD 1 keeps intact the entire cluster of significantly black counties around Columbus.



CD 1: (+373); BVAP 26.5%; PVI R+14
CD 2: (-81); BVAP 49.6%; PVI D+3.2
CD 3: (+1795); BVAP 41.5%; PVI R+5.1
CD 4: (-2086); BVAP 20.8%; PVI R+21
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Dr. MB
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« Reply #165 on: March 31, 2018, 12:49:23 PM »


Dist 1 (Blue): BVAP 23.5%, R+17
Dist 2 (Green): BVAP 48.4%, D+2
Dist 3 (Yellow): BVAP 47.5%, D+2
Dist 4 (Red): BVAP 19.1%, R+24
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AustralianSwingVoter
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« Reply #166 on: April 01, 2018, 09:03:57 PM »
« Edited: April 13, 2018, 08:11:25 PM by AustralianSwingVoter »

Mississippi Non-partisan plan

My non-partisan redistricting plan for Mississippi. No counties, the Jackson metro is kept whole and there remains a Black majority VRA district.

District 1 R+11.72 - 40.9 - 58.1
District 2 D+03.95 - 54.6 - 44.8 - 53.5 African American
District 3 R+09.96 - 42.1 - 57.1
District 4 R+19.41 - 33.0 - 66.0

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cvparty
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« Reply #167 on: April 02, 2018, 01:27:42 PM »


Jackson is kept whole.
1: R+16
2: D+4
3: R+5
4: R+21


1. R+15 (+2413)
2. D+12 (-102) (62% Black, 34% White)
3. R+12 (-224)
4. R+21 (-2086)


CD 1: (+373); BVAP 26.5%; PVI R+14
CD 2: (-81); BVAP 49.6%; PVI D+3.2
CD 3: (+1795); BVAP 41.5%; PVI R+5.1
CD 4: (-2086); BVAP 20.8%; PVI R+21

Dist 1 (Blue): BVAP 23.5%, R+17
Dist 2 (Green): BVAP 48.4%, D+2
Dist 3 (Yellow): BVAP 47.5%, D+2
Dist 4 (Red): BVAP 19.1%, R+24
No counties, the Jackson metro is kept whole and there remains a Black majority VRA district.

District 1 R+11.72 - 40.9 - 58.1
District 2 D+03.95 - 54.6 - 44.8 - 53.5 African American
District 3 R+09.96 - 42.1 - 57.1
District 4 R+19.41 - 33.0 - 66.0


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cvparty
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« Reply #168 on: April 02, 2018, 03:31:22 PM »
« Edited: April 05, 2018, 01:33:51 PM by cvparty »


I was thinkin of making the 8th more competitive by going deeper into Memphis but idk
1: R+28
2: R+19
3: R+19
4: R+25
5: D+9
6: R+22
7: R+20
8: R+15
9: D+21
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Strudelcutie4427
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« Reply #169 on: April 04, 2018, 11:42:10 AM »



1. R+28
2. R+20
3. R+27
4. R+16
5. R+22
6. D+9
7. R+20
8. R+17
9. D+23
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AustralianSwingVoter
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« Reply #170 on: April 04, 2018, 08:46:05 PM »
« Edited: April 13, 2018, 08:15:00 PM by AustralianSwingVoter »

Tennessee Non-Partisan plan.

My non-partisan redistricting plan for Tennessee. The plan maintains the majority African American district, and only splits 3 counties.

District 1 R+28.01 - 29.2 - 69.3
District 2 R+20.18 - 34.2 - 64.3
District 3 R+18.85 - 36.2 - 62.5
District 4 R+24.20 - 34.9 - 63.3
District 5 D+05.71 - 56.2 - 42.6
District 6 R+20.52 - 34.4 - 64.3
District 7 R+19.55 - 38.3 - 60.2
District 8 R+14.80 - 38.9 - 60.1
District 9 D+20.72 - 71.3 - 28.1 - 58.9 African American

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muon2
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« Reply #171 on: April 05, 2018, 07:42:20 AM »
« Edited: April 05, 2018, 07:52:03 AM by muon2 »

TN has a deep history of dividing the state into a western, central, and eastern third. These are so important they are codified in state law by county as the Grand Divisions. They represent communities of interest, and presumably one shouldn't chop them up more than necessary. Here's a map.




TN has three UCCs to deal with. The Nashville UCC (Davidson, Rutherford, Williamson, Sumner, Wilson) is slightly less than 2 CDs. The Knoxville UCC (Knox, Blount, Anderson, Loudon) is just 26K smaller than one CD. The adjacent counties are mostly larger than that so chops aren't surprising here, but there should be a pretty good rationale to divide the metro between more than 2 CDs. The Johnson City UCC (Washington, Carter) is in the ne corner and is natural to keep in one CD.

Here's a map of what counties directly connect to others by state and federal highways.

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Torie
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« Reply #172 on: April 05, 2018, 07:57:15 AM »

Muon2, are you going to count chops for each CD that crosses the lines between the three regions? If not, is this your lobbying to the panel about which maps they should like or not like?  Smiley
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President Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #173 on: April 05, 2018, 10:45:11 AM »
« Edited: April 05, 2018, 11:27:07 AM by Punxsutawney Phil »

It's possible eradicating one of those chops.
Sevier (part), Jefferson, Cocke, Grainger, Hamblen, Greene, Hawkins, Sullivan, Washington, Unicoi, Carter, Johnson - TN-01
Loudon (part), Blount, Knox, Anderson, Sevier (part) - TN-02
Marion, Hamilton, Bradley, Cook, Rhea, McMinn, Monroe, Roane, Loudon (part) - TN-03
Claiborne, Union, Campbell, Scott, Morgan, Pickett, Fentress, Cumberland, Overton, Bledsoe, Putnam, White, Van Buren, Sequatchie, Clay, Jackson, Macon, Trousdale, Smith, DeKalb, Cannon, Warren, Grundy, Coffee, Franklin, Bedford, Moore, Lincoln - TN-04
Davidson, Sumner (part) - TN-05
Sumner (part), Wilson, Rutherford, Williamson (part), Cheatham, Robertson - TN-06 (completely envelopes TN-05)
Williamson (part), Marshall, Maury, Giles, Montgomery, Dickson, Hickman, Lewis, Lawrence, Stewart, Houston, Humphreys, Perry, Wayne, Henry, Benton, Decatur, Hardin, Henderson, Chester, McNairy - TN-07
Carroll, Weakley, Madison, Gibson, Hardeman, Obion, Crockett, Haywood, Lake, Dyer, Lauderdale, Tipton, Fayette, Shelby (part) - TN-08
Shelby (part) - TN-09
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muon2
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« Reply #174 on: April 06, 2018, 10:04:58 PM »

So here's my clean up of ASV's plan. I'll call it muon2 A.



The three chops in Anderson are reduced to two chops in Sevier and Roane. By moving the chop out of Anderson I reduce the Knoxville UCC chop from 3 to 1. In Shelby the chop was adjusted to only impact the Shelby/Memphis school district; all other school districts in the county are in CD 8. The chop for CD 5 was shifted to Williamson to improve the compactness of CD 6. Overall the erosity is kept low and the maximum deviation is reduce to 384.

CD 1: (-381) R+28
CD 2: (+171) R+19
CD 3: (+384) R+19
CD 4: (+314) R+25
CD 5: (+145) D+4.1
CD 6: (-201) R+20
CD 7: (-338) R+20
CD 8: (-310) R+18
CD 9: (+214) D+26; BVAP 59.6%
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