Romney 41%
Santorum 36%
Paul 12%
Gingrich 8%
I don't want to start a fight here, as there is only 84% of the vote in as of this reply, but it looks like you nailed it 9iron. A few people may have been closer with just Romney and Santorum's percentages alone, but it looks like you got it right with Paul and Gingrich included, which is key. Gingrich's continued poor showing is important, which is why you got right more then anyone else overall. The only way for someone other then Romney to win at this point is for Gingrich to drop out. If Santorum drops out, I still think Gingrich doesn't have a chance whatsoever with his poor showings. So it's about a 95% chance Romney gets the nomination at this point unless Gingrich does something bold by dropping out after Super Tuesday. With the winner take all states, and and with NY and California surely going to Romney, Santorum would even have to win a major majority of all the conservative votes in the south to even have a prayer. But I don't think that is going to happen, Gingrich won't drop out, I have no idea why, so I have to start warming up to the idea that it's make or break with Romney.