Austrian Elections & Politics 5.0 (Burgenland state election - January 26)

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It would be a minority caretaker ÖVP gov't?

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What actually happens if the no confidence vote gets through, when Kurz has already announced new elections?

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- ÖVP obviously won't back the no-confidence vote.
- SPÖ, Neos, Jetzt and the two independents don't have enough votes.
- Still not enough if the SPÖ is replaced by the FPÖ.

-> If there are no defections, the majority for a non-confidence vote must include both SPÖ and FPÖ. And since these two parties have a majority, the votes of other parties are effectively irrelevant.

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Is there enough time for Strache to found a new party (or rename an existing one) and contest the election? I'm thinking of a scenario where he gets kicked out of FPO and then he founds a new party.

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* Lex Uber: Consolidation of the taxi laws in Austria, which means Uber and others will be forced to comply with the taxi umbrella organisations rules to avoid price dumping. Uber is not amused, ontrary to the taxi organisation, but will remain in Austria for the time being (the law will only take effect in September 2020).

The law is good only for the limited number of taxi drivers and companies who are protected by such laws. Everybody else loses.

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Wandel is one of the parties affiliated with Yanis Varoufakis's DiEM25.

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My results



BTW it's a shame that NEOS is the only Austrian party that supports the EU-Mercosur free trade agreement

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IFQM poll:

How would LGBTQ males in Austria vote ?

24% Greens
22% SPÖ
21% FPÖ
19% ÖVP
10% NEOS
  2% NOW
  2% Others

How would LGBTQ females in Austria vote ?

37% Greens
21% SPÖ
13% FPÖ
13% ÖVP
  7% NEOS
  5% NOW
  4% Others

https://www.wienerzeitung.at/nachrichten/politik/oesterreich/2024797-Schwule-Maenner-waehlen-anders.html

Pretty interesting - ÖVP support among the LGBT people is much lower than in the general population, while the FPÖ's support is much more balanced across the sexual orientations. Why is ÖVP so unpopular in the LGBT community - do they have a history of homophobia?

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why is JETZT gaining slightly? obviously it won't be enough to pass the threshold, but it is odd.

The gain is probably within the margin of error.

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Itt NEOS, I always got the impression it was a lot more socially liberal than the very stuffy and businessman run FDP.

Why are balanced budgets a social issue?

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Graz live count:

http://wahl19.graz.at/ergebnisse/nr60101.html

Greens: 25% (+19%)
Pilz: 3% (-4%)

SPÖ: -11% (!)

AFAIK Graz is a Communist (KPO) stronghold when it comes to the local and state elections - they fare badly in the national elections due to them being unlikely to cross the threshold?

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The more "rural" suburbs are for OVP, working class suburbs for SPO and FPO, middle class outer city for the Greens and the rich inner city for OVP?

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AFAIK the "Farmers and Greens alliances" in Latvia and Lithuania were having better results, if you consider them to be green parties.

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The „Kurier“ reports that Strache wants to create his own party, called F.P.Ö.

https://kuriermitschlag.at/schlag-zeilen/strache-gruendet-fpoe-die-frauen-partei-oesterreichs/400657718

Frauen Partei Österreichs (Women’s Party of Austria)

A man leading a "women's party" won't be the most absurd thing in Austrian politics.

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Not just FPO or AFD. The voters also go to the Greens and other parties.

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Why is the acronym DAÖ and not AFÖ?