2020 Trend Map? (user search)
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  2020 Trend Map? (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2020 Trend Map?  (Read 997 times)
Blackacre
Spenstar3D
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,172
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.35, S: -7.22

« on: October 15, 2017, 06:09:18 PM »

Pretty sure WV trends D, I think Trump's maxed out in that state. Meanwhile, CA, HI, and MA trend R
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Blackacre
Spenstar3D
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,172
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.35, S: -7.22

« Reply #1 on: October 15, 2017, 06:30:20 PM »



This seems like as good a guess as any.
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Blackacre
Spenstar3D
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,172
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.35, S: -7.22

« Reply #2 on: October 15, 2017, 10:58:20 PM »


I have a mac, so I use paintbucket, though MS Paint would likely work just as well. For the color key I used swing and trend maps from previous elections on the atlas, though I think the atlas master key exists somewhere.
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Blackacre
Spenstar3D
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,172
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.35, S: -7.22

« Reply #3 on: October 17, 2017, 10:14:36 PM »


Only criticism of your map is that there's too many states shaded in a dark color, that would (by the atlas key) indicate a 15 or 20 point swing relative to the NPV. I don't see that happening.

Also, trends tend to be lessened when it's an incumbent running for re-election rather than two completely new candidates.
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