NH-UNH: Sununu +16 vs Kelly, +15 vs Marchand

[ON Progressive]

Sununu 48
Kelly 32

Sununu 48
Marchand 33

Sununu 61-21 favorables, 59-21 job approval

https://cola.unh.edu/sites/cola.unh.edu/files/research_publications/gsp2018_summer_govapp82018.pdf

[Virginiá]

safe D as you can see

[Politician]

But angry women and IceSpear says every rce in New Hampshire is a tossup

[Zaybay]

Interesting results, almost the same as a generic D. This race should narrow as time goes on, and Sununu doesnt have the magic 50% needed.

But knowing Atlas, everyone is just going to gawk at the margin and declare the race Safe R, even though races such as these historically have trended hard in favor of the opponent every time. But whatever.

[MT Treasurer]

Yeah, 48% is exactly what I expect Sununu to get on election day. NH-SEN 2014 redux, Kelly will win the female vote by more than Sununu will win NH males.

[Zaybay]

Yeah, 48% is exactly what I expect Sununu to get on election day. NH-SEN 2014 redux, Kelly will win the female vote by more than Sununu will win NH males.

Though I dont agree that he will lose, I completely agree that this will be a 2014 redux, with hearly polling showing a crazy lead, then, a drop near the end, making a close race.

[IceSpear]

Disappointed that MT Treasurer didn't mention this amazing trend line from their last poll:

Sununu 48 (-3)
Kelly 32 (+8)

B-b-b-b-b-ut I thought Sununu was guaranteed to win by 25+ points because of muh April polls!

[MT Treasurer]

Disappointed that MT Treasurer didn't mention this amazing trend line from their last poll:

Sununu 48 (-3)
Kelly 32 (+8)

B-b-b-b-b-ut I thought Sununu was guaranteed to win by 25+ points because of muh April polls!

Shhh, let them believe that this is Safe R and less likely to flip than OK. Sununu is beloved in elastic, Republican-trending, totally not Democratic-leaning swing state NH.

[IceSpear]

But angry women and IceSpear says every rce in New Hampshire is a tossup

Actually, I think it's lean R and that Sununu will probably win. I just don't think you should take April NH polls (or any April polls for that matter) as gospel for what the ultimate margin in a race will be. You know, as this poll has already basically shown by Kelly closing the gap by over 10 points even before the primary.

[libertpaulian]

Likely R.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Safe GOP

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

Happy NH men are delivering a landslide for Sununu

[Xing]

I wouldn't be surprised if this tightened, but how many incumbent governors with a 59-21 approval rating lose re-election? Likely R, Sununu's approval ratings will need to fall considerably for him to lose.

[Skye]

Yeah, 48% is exactly what I expect Sununu to get on election day. NH-SEN 2014 redux, Kelly will win the female vote by more than Sununu will win NH males.

Though I dont agree that he will lose, I completely agree that this will be a 2014 redux, with hearly polling showing a crazy lead, then, a drop near the end, making a close race.

IndyRep is always trolling when it comes to NH.

Likely R.

[Strudelcutie4427]

Likely R. Sununu crushes it in the SE, Lakes region. Kelly would only have a base in Uber liberal Keene/Conn Valley, Marchand would only be strong in liberal Great Bay towns

[MT Treasurer]

Yeah, 48% is exactly what I expect Sununu to get on election day. NH-SEN 2014 redux, Kelly will win the female vote by more than Sununu will win NH males.

Though I dont agree that he will lose, I completely agree that this will be a 2014 redux, with hearly polling showing a crazy lead, then, a drop near the end, making a close race.

IndyRep is always trolling when it comes to NH.

Likely R.

Says the poster who called me a troll when I said that Ayotte wouldn’t outperform Trump by a considerable margin or win by 6 or do better than Johnson or Toomey.

[Senator Incitatus]

Yeah, 48% is exactly what I expect Sununu to get on election day. NH-SEN 2014 redux, Kelly will win the female vote by more than Sununu will win NH males.

Though I dont agree that he will lose, I completely agree that this will be a 2014 redux, with hearly polling showing a crazy lead, then, a drop near the end, making a close race.

IndyRep is always trolling when it comes to NH.

Likely R.

Says the poster who called me a troll when I said that Ayotte wouldn’t outperform Trump by a considerable margin or win by 6 or do better than Johnson or Toomey.

She's not coming back.

[Kingpoleon]

“It’s impossible for Sununu to win.” I haven’t heard that - from the same exact people, nonetheless - in two years!

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

He's gonna win get over it.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Hogan, Sununu and Reynolds will win.

[Skye]

Yeah, 48% is exactly what I expect Sununu to get on election day. NH-SEN 2014 redux, Kelly will win the female vote by more than Sununu will win NH males.

Though I dont agree that he will lose, I completely agree that this will be a 2014 redux, with hearly polling showing a crazy lead, then, a drop near the end, making a close race.

IndyRep is always trolling when it comes to NH.

Likely R.

Says the poster who called me a troll when I said that Ayotte wouldn’t outperform Trump by a considerable margin or win by 6 or do better than Johnson or Toomey.

Dude you still claim that NH is Solid D territory despite that fact that Trump lost it by less than half of a percentage point and the state trended right. And let's not talk about how Sununu won.

[Zaybay]

Just like to point out that this poll shows a 10 point trend in favour of the Democrats since the last poll, done in April. And it should also be noted that this poll found that:

"Meanwhile, 73 percent of the adults surveyed said they have not yet made up their minds on their choice for governor in the Nov. 6 general election" and most who were set were the Democratic voters for the Democratic candidate.

[RINO Tom]

OMG, New England Republican governors

Why does TN Vol hate them so much?  They're so fabulously classy and good at staying in power.

[Perlen vor den Schweinen]

OMG, New England Republican governors

Why does TN Vol hate them so much?  They're so fabulously classy and good at staying in power.

The bourgeoisie must go to fulfill the desire of a certain demographic that has a great deal of power in the state. The only reason why that demographic would vote for Sununu is his chiseled chin, which is not yet known to contain the power to sway enough votes for a win.

And, after all, Sununu is still under 50%.

[Dr. Arch]

OMG, New England Republican governors

Why does TN Vol hate them so much?  They're so fabulously classy and good at staying in power.

If only the rest of your party didn't have its head up its ass.