Home-stretch polling (user search)
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Author Topic: Home-stretch polling  (Read 47629 times)
Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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Posts: 17,750
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Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52

« on: November 02, 2016, 05:28:13 PM »

I am not using the map for percentages.  The lighter shades are my tossups, showing a guess of how each will go. 



I am assuming a slight trend to Trump, and looked as past elections.  I have it at:

Clinton:  269
Trump:  269

I was not trying to come out with a tie.

A stronger trend to Trump and he wins; the tide shifts slightly to Clinton, she wins.  A tidal wave and well ....  If there is a 1980 style shift, it will go for Trump.

I would also be watching to see what the CD's in Maine and Nebraska do.  It may come down to one of those.



NC at solid R?!
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