NC-SEN 2020: Tar Heel Tillis
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  NC-SEN 2020: Tar Heel Tillis		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: NC-SEN 2020: Tar Heel Tillis  (Read 74453 times)
I Can Now Die Happy
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« Reply #200 on: June 25, 2019, 07:57:34 PM »
@DANNT, DTC, gracile

Oops. Why did you have to spoil my fun? Anyway I still say Tillis wins because 2020 will be better than 2018.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #201 on: June 26, 2019, 08:43:08 AM »
Quote from: Atlas Underestimates TRUMP on June 25, 2019, 07:57:34 PM
@DANNT, DTC, gracile

Oops. Why did you have to spoil my fun? Anyway I still say Tillis wins because 2020 will be better than 2018.

Because you are an unexciting carbon copy troll that has absolutely zero objectivity in your predictions.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #202 on: June 26, 2019, 12:41:10 PM »
Quote from: Atlas Underestimates TRUMP on June 25, 2019, 07:57:34 PM
@DANNT, DTC, gracile

Oops. Why did you have to spoil my fun? Anyway I still say Tillis wins because 2020 will be better than 2018.

If the PVI is like it was in 2012 70M to 66M for the Dems, Tillis wont survive.
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QAnonKelly
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« Reply #203 on: June 30, 2019, 05:36:15 PM »
I think whoever the senate nom is will be helped by it falling on a statewide year. Cooper and Co should be able to lift a lot of boats imo.
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Gracile
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« Reply #204 on: August 14, 2019, 12:58:46 PM »
Jeff Jackson officially out:
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Woody
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« Reply #205 on: August 14, 2019, 01:17:26 PM »
Quote from: Gravel 2020 on August 14, 2019, 12:58:46 PM
Jeff Jackson officially out:


Lean R.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #206 on: August 14, 2019, 01:19:42 PM »
2022 probably is a better year for Senate Dems, in NC, he will run against Burr
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andjey
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« Reply #207 on: August 14, 2019, 02:24:30 PM »
Quote from: Gravel 2020 on August 14, 2019, 12:58:46 PM
Jeff Jackson officially out:


Bad news
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andjey
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« Reply #208 on: August 14, 2019, 02:25:42 PM »
Quote from: Cory Booker on August 14, 2019, 01:19:42 PM
2022 probably is a better year for Senate Dems, in NC, he will run against Burr
Burr already announces his retirement. I doubt that he will change his decision
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Young Conservative
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« Reply #209 on: August 14, 2019, 03:36:46 PM »
Quote from: АndriуValeriovich on August 14, 2019, 02:25:42 PM
Quote from: Cory Booker on August 14, 2019, 01:19:42 PM
2022 probably is a better year for Senate Dems, in NC, he will run against Burr
Burr already announces his retirement. I doubt that he will change his decision
2022 is only a better year if Trump wins, which isn’t likely.
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Politician
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« Reply #210 on: September 20, 2019, 03:19:00 PM »
Cook Political Report shifts race from Likely R to Lean R:

https://cookpolitical.com/analysis/senate/north-carolina-senate/tillis-moves-lean-republican
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #211 on: September 20, 2019, 03:23:05 PM »

They had it at Likely R!? They really are Dick Morris-tier.

It shouldn’t even be Lean R, lol. Tillis has the second or third worst approvals of any Senator in the country consistently
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Heebie Jeebie
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« Reply #212 on: September 20, 2019, 03:23:44 PM »
Quote from: АndriуValeriovich on August 14, 2019, 02:24:30 PM
Quote from: Gravel 2020 on August 14, 2019, 12:58:46 PM
Jeff Jackson officially out:


Bad news

Maybe, but I don't think it's that big of a deal. Cal Cunningham seems like a fine candidate, and with Jackson finally making his intentions clear Cunningham's fund raising should improve significantly as donors stop waiting for the field to settle.
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Skunk
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« Reply #213 on: September 20, 2019, 03:25:12 PM »
Wow, Tillis isn't as vulnerable as McConnell and whoever the Republicans nominate in Tennessee? Bold assumption for Cook to make!
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Gracile
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« Reply #214 on: September 20, 2019, 03:33:47 PM »

Likely R was way too generous to start with, but then I guess it was the power of Tillis' "incumbency" that put it in the Likely column.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #215 on: September 20, 2019, 08:10:55 PM »
Again, ratings at this stage, arent end all be all, AZ, CO, GA, KS and NC are Dems path to majority, without ME or AL
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #216 on: September 28, 2019, 09:25:21 AM »
« Edited: September 28, 2019, 09:40:11 AM by MT Treasurer »
High Point University poll:

Tillis approval: 27/38 (-11)
Trump approval: 42/50 (-8)
Cooper approval: 43/30 (+13)

https://wcti12.com/news/state-news/hpu-nc-poll-presidential-approval-at-42-governor-approval-at-43

Awful numbers for Tillis but par for the course. Not that it matters since Tillis is the INCUMBENT™ in this race.
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QAnonKelly
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« Reply #217 on: September 29, 2019, 05:30:40 PM »
Quote from: MT Treasurer on September 28, 2019, 09:25:21 AM
High Point University poll:

Tillis approval: 27/38 (-11)
Trump approval: 42/50 (-8)
Cooper approval: 43/30 (+13)

https://wcti12.com/news/state-news/hpu-nc-poll-presidential-approval-at-42-governor-approval-at-43

Awful numbers for Tillis but par for the course. Not that it matters since Tillis is the INCUMBENT™ in this race.

Wonder how Tillis's primary internals are looking
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #218 on: September 29, 2019, 06:16:25 PM »
Quote from: MT Treasurer on September 28, 2019, 09:25:21 AM
High Point University poll:

Tillis approval: 27/38 (-11)
Trump approval: 42/50 (-8)
Cooper approval: 43/30 (+13)

https://wcti12.com/news/state-news/hpu-nc-poll-presidential-approval-at-42-governor-approval-at-43

Awful numbers for Tillis but par for the course. Not that it matters since Tillis is the INCUMBENT™ in this race.

RoJo, The Tumor, and Burr were in similar straits at this time in 2015.  That's why the recently returned Russ Feingold, and new Senators McGutless and Ross did an amazing job of blocking Kavanaugh!
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #219 on: September 29, 2019, 06:18:29 PM »
Quote from: MT Treasurer on September 28, 2019, 09:25:21 AM
High Point University poll:

Tillis approval: 27/38 (-11)
Trump approval: 42/50 (-8)
Cooper approval: 43/30 (+13)

https://wcti12.com/news/state-news/hpu-nc-poll-presidential-approval-at-42-governor-approval-at-43

Awful numbers for Tillis but par for the course. Not that it matters since Tillis is the INCUMBENT™ in this race.
Anthony Foxx and Jeff Jackson are sitting out this race...why again?!
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #220 on: September 29, 2019, 06:52:48 PM »
« Edited: September 29, 2019, 06:57:11 PM by TrendsareReal »
Quote from: L.D. Smith on September 29, 2019, 06:16:25 PM
Quote from: MT Treasurer on September 28, 2019, 09:25:21 AM
High Point University poll:

Tillis approval: 27/38 (-11)
Trump approval: 42/50 (-8)
Cooper approval: 43/30 (+13)

https://wcti12.com/news/state-news/hpu-nc-poll-presidential-approval-at-42-governor-approval-at-43

Awful numbers for Tillis but par for the course. Not that it matters since Tillis is the INCUMBENT™ in this race.

RoJo, The Tumor, and Burr were in similar straits at this time in 2015.  That's why the recently returned Russ Feingold, and new Senators McGutless and Ross did an amazing job of blocking Kavanaugh!

Toomey and Burr were never polling this badly.

In fact, Toomey and Burr were both up bigly in September 2015
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Chancellor Tanterterg
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« Reply #221 on: September 30, 2019, 07:19:24 AM »
Quote from: libertpaulian on September 29, 2019, 06:18:29 PM
Quote from: MT Treasurer on September 28, 2019, 09:25:21 AM
High Point University poll:

Tillis approval: 27/38 (-11)
Trump approval: 42/50 (-8)
Cooper approval: 43/30 (+13)

https://wcti12.com/news/state-news/hpu-nc-poll-presidential-approval-at-42-governor-approval-at-43

Awful numbers for Tillis but par for the course. Not that it matters since Tillis is the INCUMBENT™ in this race.
Anthony Foxx and Jeff Jackson are sitting out this race...why again?!


Foxx wouldn’t be that a great candidate at this point tbh.  Jeff Jackson should’ve run, but I do think Cunningham can win, especially if 2020 proves to be a bad cycle for Republicans.  Ultimately, this is probably gonna be a tight race that comes down to the national political environment.
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Frenchrepublican
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« Reply #222 on: September 30, 2019, 07:54:31 AM »
Quote from: TrendsareReal on September 29, 2019, 06:52:48 PM
Quote from: L.D. Smith on September 29, 2019, 06:16:25 PM
Quote from: MT Treasurer on September 28, 2019, 09:25:21 AM
High Point University poll:

Tillis approval: 27/38 (-11)
Trump approval: 42/50 (-8)
Cooper approval: 43/30 (+13)

https://wcti12.com/news/state-news/hpu-nc-poll-presidential-approval-at-42-governor-approval-at-43

Awful numbers for Tillis but par for the course. Not that it matters since Tillis is the INCUMBENT™ in this race.

RoJo, The Tumor, and Burr were in similar straits at this time in 2015.  That's why the recently returned Russ Feingold, and new Senators McGutless and Ross did an amazing job of blocking Kavanaugh!

Toomey and Burr were never polling this badly.

In fact, Toomey and Burr were both up bigly in September 2015

PPP did a poll in September 2015, they gave Burr a 29/40 approval rate. You should verify your facts before writing here
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #223 on: September 30, 2019, 08:53:58 AM »
I honestly think Burr would have lost had Ross not run a campaign like she was running in New Jersey.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #224 on: September 30, 2019, 10:06:12 AM »
Quote from: Frenchrepublican on September 30, 2019, 07:54:31 AM
Quote from: TrendsareReal on September 29, 2019, 06:52:48 PM
Quote from: L.D. Smith on September 29, 2019, 06:16:25 PM
Quote from: MT Treasurer on September 28, 2019, 09:25:21 AM
High Point University poll:

Tillis approval: 27/38 (-11)
Trump approval: 42/50 (-8)
Cooper approval: 43/30 (+13)

https://wcti12.com/news/state-news/hpu-nc-poll-presidential-approval-at-42-governor-approval-at-43

Awful numbers for Tillis but par for the course. Not that it matters since Tillis is the INCUMBENT™ in this race.

RoJo, The Tumor, and Burr were in similar straits at this time in 2015.  That's why the recently returned Russ Feingold, and new Senators McGutless and Ross did an amazing job of blocking Kavanaugh!

Toomey and Burr were never polling this badly.

In fact, Toomey and Burr were both up bigly in September 2015

PPP did a poll in September 2015, they gave Burr a 29/40 approval rate. You should verify your facts before writing here

No, he’s right. Polling at this point in 2015 never showed Burr consistently trailing any Democratic challenger, and the NC Senate race wasn’t even considered seriously competitive in September 2015. Any way you cut it, Tillis is in a worse position than Burr.
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