Candidates from different years vs. each other (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 27, 2024, 08:31:51 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderator: Dereich)
  Candidates from different years vs. each other (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Candidates from different years vs. each other  (Read 45090 times)
nclib
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,303
United States


« on: December 27, 2012, 07:15:10 PM »
« edited: December 27, 2012, 11:42:41 PM by nclib »

Dukakis demolishes Clinton '92 based on 1992 EC votes.



This may have more to do with the South having lower Perot support, than with being pro-Clinton. IIRC, Perot voters went 70-30 Bush in 1988, so Clinton's raw numbers were lower in states where Perot did well, even if the majority of Perot's voters would have voted GOP.

Here is Perot's 1992 map vs. his national average (Green = above; Red = below):




Snowstalker, such state maps are great, keep them coming.
Logged
nclib
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,303
United States


« Reply #1 on: January 05, 2013, 07:40:32 PM »
« Edited: January 05, 2013, 11:00:13 PM by nclib »

A quicky: Obama vs. Menendez.



Again, Obama is green. The results here suggest that while Obama performed better with affluent whites (other than Monmouth, his counties were mountainous NY exurbs), Menendez certainly did better with Latinos and probably did better with middle/working-class whites.

Good maps. Also noteworthy that Carper, Manchin, McCaskill, Donnelly, Tester, Heitkamp, Klobuchar, Gillibrand, Sanders, Brown (MA), McMahon, Lingle, and Barrasso ran ahead of their major party candidate everywhere. Whitehouse did too, though in 2 of the 5 RI counties (Kent and Washington), his opponent did too.
Logged
nclib
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,303
United States


« Reply #2 on: January 14, 2013, 06:48:37 PM »

Clinton - 1996 vs. Obama 2012:

Obama - Red
Clinton - Blue

Logged
nclib
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,303
United States


« Reply #3 on: February 08, 2013, 10:55:26 PM »

3-way tie in 1980:



Carter - 254
Reagan - 155
Anderson - 129
Logged
nclib
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,303
United States


« Reply #4 on: February 16, 2013, 08:17:27 PM »

I presume that's Anderson's actual vote versus the margin of the real victor.

That's the % vote, not margin, of the supposed victor in each case.
Logged
nclib
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,303
United States


« Reply #5 on: February 16, 2013, 08:48:06 PM »

I presume that's Anderson's actual vote versus the margin of the real victor.

That's the % vote, not margin, of the supposed victor in each case.

If you are using % vote for all three, then you need to take that map to the what-if boards.  This thread is about using the real results from actual candidates who happened to have run in different years and see who would have won if those results had been in the same year. Carter 1980 v. Reagan 1980 v. Anderson 1980 would just be the 1980 map.

OK, though some of the maps on this thread do involve same year.
Logged
nclib
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,303
United States


« Reply #6 on: January 18, 2015, 04:35:11 PM »

LBJ vs. HHH



Red = Johnson, above swing
Green = Johnson, below swing
Blue = Humphrey
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.023 seconds with 9 queries.