Recent Posts

Show posts from buddies only

BTW, I disagree that the grassroots are with Rashida Tlaib and the tent cities on this but I can read the cards on generational change.

I’m pretty old but am still younger than the median voter who is in their 50s.

40 yrs young is not old at all

Reminds me of when the pro-Zionist group demolished the encampment at UCLA. Whatever petty pleasure one might derive from this kind of counteraction doesn’t cancel out that it is wrong and unproductive at its core.

I think black voters living in rural areas might be the most likely to swing right since they are affected the most by high gas prices and inflation. And tying Biden to high gas prices is very easy to do since it is true his policies inhibit oil and gas production in the United States.

A special assistant to the chief of staff of the Interior Department? Devastating. She’s got a high-quality name for the purpose, though.

He says being a mom is more important than having a career or education, but being a father isn't? These guys never seem to value fatherhood much.

If someone said being a father was more important than your job or education there wouldn't be one single person complaining about it.

He's a man whose job is to play games. He should not be lecturing anyone about doing important things with their lives. Plus he's talking to an audience of people who went to college presumably to do more than be stay-at-home parents.

As Steve Colbert pointed out earlier this week, all you have to do is replace the main character of this show with "Rudy Giuliani" since it's the same number of syllables:
https://youtu.be/Cq_Y4XzmUik?t=87

(oh, look who cameos in the middle of the show)

People say the rust belt will be a great place to live later in the century if climate change and resource constraints really hit home, lots of water, arable land, no major natural disaster phenomena, so I think. Detroit will rise again, cities have long lives

He says being a mom is more important than having a career or education, but being a father isn't? These guys never seem to value fatherhood much.

If someone said being a father was more important than your job or education there wouldn't be one single person complaining about it.

It's kind of interesting how fast Georgia went from the swing state Democrats felt most optimistic about to arguably the state they're most pessimistic about.

After 2020 and 2021, Democrats sort of had a honeymoon phase in Georgia where it was assumed Atlanta's growth and increasing black population would pull the state left for the long run. Then in 2022 Democrats had a pretty underwhelming midterm in GA outside the Senate race failing to come close at the state level. Now in 2024, polling and pundits both suggests Trump winning Georgia with relative ease.

Regardless of if Trump ends up winning GA or not, this shows how fast a narrative about a state can turn around.

Georgia could possibly follow the direction of North Carolina where it lent it’s electoral votes to democrats in 2008 then stubbornly vote GOP cycles after albeit by small margins.

I personally have my doubts but we shall see. NC always seemed to have a lot more places where Democrats could collapse further than Georgia. When Obama won NC in 2008 he was winning or at least coming close in many rural white Appalachian precincts - in Georgia however rural whites are already pretty close to as red as they can get. I think the main thing that could change my view is if we actually see black voters shift right in large magnitudes for cycle after cycle.

Also Georgia growth is just far more lopsided in Dems favor than NC. In GA most fo the growth is coming out of metro Atlanta and making it bluer, whereas in NC you had some counteracting growth in certain exurban areas and along the NC coast.

Yes, we it can’t be denied that the trends in Atlanta area is expediting the supposed leftward trend of Georgia, we shall see in November if the black vote is really trending right which counterbalances the suburban/urban shifts in Atlanta metro.

Georgia is the one swing state I am truly concerned will vote for Trump. Arizona and Nevada are highly urban states with abortion on the ballot. The midwestern swing states have large college educated white populations and a small non-urban non-white vote. Georgia has Atlanta, of course, but a large chunk of the population lives in exurban or small city/town/rural areas. And a large chunk of that population is non-white. This is the sort of place you would think is ground zero for backlash against Biden. Think about what happened in the RGV in Texas but this time happening in the black belt.