bilaps
Jr. Member
Posts: 1,789
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« on: March 07, 2016, 06:21:00 PM » |
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Hello everyone
I didn't see that there is some introduction thread, so first of all just want to say that I am not American, but hope you will maybe want some perspective from someone not from US but watching this election and US politics closely. And sorry if I don't spell something correctly.
Wanted to post here because I think it is not so unimaginable that Trump could beat Hillary in November. I don't see him winning Nevada, NM or Colorado so he would have to sweep big states Ohio, Florida and Virginia plus one of NH or Iowa, and I think he would win in NH almost certainly. I think Virginia would actually be the biggest problem there because of demographics. He could make play in Michigan, not to win it but to be close enough so democrats would have to spend some time and money there. So he could win in this scenario 270 to 268. Not likely but not impossible.
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