Breitbart/Gravis: Trump +4 in CO, +1 in OH (user search)
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  Breitbart/Gravis: Trump +4 in CO, +1 in OH (search mode)
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Author Topic: Breitbart/Gravis: Trump +4 in CO, +1 in OH  (Read 3233 times)
NOVA Green
Oregon Progressive
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Posts: 11,468
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« on: September 25, 2016, 07:30:35 PM »

Sounds, smells, and looks like a junk poll to me....]

I'll buy Trump being up in OH by 3-5, and I think CO is closer than many Dem avatars on the forum choose to believe, but yes.... these results don't male much sense at all, even assuming a Trump lean in OH and CO being closer than expected.
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NOVA Green
Oregon Progressive
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Posts: 11,468
United States


« Reply #1 on: September 26, 2016, 12:51:08 AM »

Gravis has been quite reasonable so far, despite polling for Breitbart.

But the CO poll looks like a big outlier ...

CO could well be Clinton's graveyard.....

Not seeing many polls showing her up these days in CO....
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NOVA Green
Oregon Progressive
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*****
Posts: 11,468
United States


« Reply #2 on: September 26, 2016, 01:51:49 AM »

I've never even heard of Breitbart polling people, but how far off do you think it is?  Is it more than 5 points off?  Then it means Clinton by 1 or more in CO?  How far off are you claiming?

Objectively, they are considered a B- polling outfit that has a 1.1% Republican house effect lean.

Realistically, there is a weird conflict of interest, considering that one of the top bosses is now embedded in the top of the Trump campaign.

Gravis historically has a pretty bad rep on the forum, because of their extremely poor polling history back in 2012 and before.

Now, unlike many others on the forum, I think that although they are generally a junk pollster, that they are not complete hacks, although the CW says that historically they are crappy pollsters...

So trying to present in a fair and balanced layman format.... Smiley

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