Is the economy mattering less and less as a key predictor of political success? (user search)
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  Is the economy mattering less and less as a key predictor of political success? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Is the economy mattering less and less as a key predictor of political success?  (Read 278 times)
Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 6,011


« on: June 13, 2017, 01:20:09 PM »

In 2012, based on the economy, history should tell us that Obama shouldn't have won as relatively easily as he did. In 2016, history tells us that an improving economy should keep the incumbent party in power. That didn't happen.

History also tells us that a president who is currently experiencing a relatively healthy economy (trump) shouldn't have a 60% disapproval rate.

Is this the new normal? It's also happening in other countries. In the UK, pure economic reasoning said brexit shouldn't have won. Pure economic reasoning also says PM May should have done better in the recent snap election, considering the UK economy is healthy at the moment.

Is the famous phrase "it's the economy, stupid" going the way of the whigs?
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