TX Quinnipiac: Cruz +9 (user search)
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  TX Quinnipiac: Cruz +9 (search mode)
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Author Topic: TX Quinnipiac: Cruz +9  (Read 6340 times)
Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,295
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65

« on: October 12, 2018, 07:26:03 PM »

Neither Texas nor Tennessee are or were ever realistic wins. Taking back the Senate was never realistic. The only realistic thing that can work in the Democrats' favor is to flip Arizona and Nevada while mitigating any loses at all, or even losing just one seat at most. And even then, those scenarios would still be quite the feat.
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Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,295
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65

« Reply #1 on: October 13, 2018, 06:28:50 PM »

Taking back the Senate was never realistic. The only realistic thing that can work in the Democrats' favor is to flip Arizona and Nevada while mitigating any loses at all

Uh, that would be taking back the Senate. Of course, North Dakota seems like a stretch.

It would be a tied Senate which still basically means Republican control. And as I said, that's going to be really tough.
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Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,295
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65

« Reply #2 on: October 14, 2018, 06:27:27 PM »

Taking back the Senate was never realistic. The only realistic thing that can work in the Democrats' favor is to flip Arizona and Nevada while mitigating any loses at all

Uh, that would be taking back the Senate. Of course, North Dakota seems like a stretch.

It would be a tied Senate which still basically means Republican control. And as I said, that's going to be really tough.

No, the scenario you describe is 51D-49R. Do the math.

I was referring to a scenario without Heitkamp. I forgot to make that clear, sorry. And again, both are going to be extremely difficult, and as I see it, unlikely.
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