Hydera
Jr. Member
Posts: 1,545
|
 |
« on: July 01, 2015, 08:48:41 AM » |
|
|
« edited: July 01, 2015, 08:52:27 AM by Hydera »
|
My best guess: 50-60% of All Republican voters are christian evangelicals.
With gay marriage being resolved by the supreme court a lot of them will dropout of voting in 2016 since one of their top wedge issues are gone.
However instead of that huge margin i'd put a -4% for hillary and a +4% for republicans regarding those numbers due to the bradley effect(yeah i know bradley was black but centre-left candidates this year in the rest of the world have done worse than polls predicted).
|
