Marist: Clinton +14 (user search)
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  Marist: Clinton +14 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Marist: Clinton +14  (Read 2732 times)
President Johnson
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Posts: 29,223
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -3.23, S: -4.70
« on: August 07, 2016, 04:26:55 AM »
Quote from: IDS Ex-Speaker Ben Kenobi on August 07, 2016, 04:25:34 AM
Wow. My prediction is not far off then.

With H+14, Trump keeps MS, LA, TX, MT and AK.

H+19 will match my prediction.

In the general??
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President Johnson
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,223
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -3.23, S: -4.70
« Reply #1 on: August 07, 2016, 04:30:26 AM »
Quote from: IDS Ex-Speaker Ben Kenobi on August 07, 2016, 04:27:43 AM
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Yep, I'm predicting a Hillaryslide.

She'll win, but not by double digits. Probably 50-44% or so.

If she wins by 19 points, that would look like Hillary 51%, Trump 32%, Johnson 15% and Stein 1%?
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President Johnson
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,223
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -3.23, S: -4.70
« Reply #2 on: August 07, 2016, 04:40:11 AM »
Quote from: IDS Ex-Speaker Ben Kenobi on August 07, 2016, 04:37:42 AM
Trump/Pence without MI and WI - he's capped at 278.

Trump must win Florida, Ohio, North Carolina, Virginia Georgia, and Arizona, and one of Iowa/Nevada. 

His only path is Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania while keeping Mitt's states.
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President Johnson
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,223
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -3.23, S: -4.70
« Reply #3 on: August 07, 2016, 05:41:11 AM »
Quote from: IDS Ex-Speaker Ben Kenobi on August 07, 2016, 04:47:44 AM
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PA is gone. Virginia is his only path now. Michigan and Wisconsin are gone too.

He's down 5+ in Virginia and that's his last hope.

Hillary is at 273 outside of the MOE.

I doubt Virginia is in play, especially with Kaine as VP.
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