US House Redistricting: Nevada

[Dgov]

Another thing Dems need to keep in mind about aiming for a 3-1 delegation (probably moot since Governor would veto) is that it would give a very Republican (by NV standards) NV-2 that would likely elect Angle.

No . . . In fact, It's close to impossible to create a district based around Reno that even barely voted for McCain without at least 1 Reno-Vegas gerrymander.  NV-2 is basically hemmed in by the Population distribution of Nevada, and can't really go anywhere.  Its almost certainly going to get at least a point or two more Democratic than it currently is.

Also, Angle isn't going to get elected anywhere.  PPP did a poll of it, and found that she would lose a primary against Heller in NV-2 84-8.  She only even get 12% of Tea Partiers.  People there aren't exactly happy she blew what should have been an easy win, and aren't inclined to do it again.

[Dgov]

It's pretty stupid that Sandoval cited VRA violation against Hispanics as one if his reasons for the veto.  Was he not paying attention when the GOP brought out their map and several Hispanic groups angrily shot it down?  He could have just left it at a rejection of the Dems' overreaching for a 3-1 map and we wouldn't have thought any less of him.

I think he wanted to make his opposition sound more legitimate, but it's still clear he wants every Hispanic voter packed so the GOP can have a shot at 2-2 or even 3-1. That's obviously not going to have though.

Again, it will probably go to court, and, at this time, we don't know what will happen in court. The courts may very well choose to create a minority influence seat around Las Vegas.

That doesn't even really hurt the Democrats though.  Aside from North Vegas, most of the LV area is lean Dem.  Even Drawing a Hispanic plurality district would leave plenty of Democrats left to keep at least one other seat safe.