CPRM, Pt 3: LA 11/6

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTIONS - WI:

U.S. House District 1 »

Democratic Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Randy Bryce
17,561   59.2%   
Cathy Myers
12,111   40.8   
29,672 votes, 60% reporting (211 of 352 precincts)

U.S. House District 4 »

Democratic Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Gwen Moore*
61,022   89.0%   
Gary George
7,559   11.0   
68,581 votes, 87% reporting (320 of 367 precincts)

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTION - MN:

Attorney General

Democratic Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Keith Ellison
144,499   53.5%   
Debra Hilstrom
44,322   16.4   
Matt Pelikan
30,014   11.1   
Tom Foley
27,764   10.3   
Mike Rothman
23,453   8.7   
270,052 votes, 30% reporting (1,252 of 4,112 precincts)

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Does Murphy still have a chance?

Depends on the turnout level in Ramsey.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTION - MN:

Governor

Democratic Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Tim Walz
138,258   41.6%   
Erin Murphy
115,681   34.8   
Lori Swanson
73,249   22.0   
Tim Holden
3,304   1.0   
Ole Savior
2,248   0.7   
332,740 votes, 41% reporting (1,703 of 4,112 precincts)

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTION - CT:

Treasurer

Democratic Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Shawn Wooden
72,510   56.8%   
Dita Bhargava
55,113   43.2   
127,623 votes, 67% reporting (473 of 701 precincts)

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Is the Vermont GOP seriously about to nominate the same person for literally every statewide office besides Governor? LOL. How is that even possible?

Apparently yes, though SEN R remains too close to call.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTION - WI:

District 4
Republican Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Tim Rogers
8,662   57.1%   
Cindy Werner
6,498   42.9   
15,160 votes, 97% reporting (357 of 367 precincts)

WULFRIC PROJECTION - MN:

Att. Gen.
Republican Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Doug Wardlow
72,468   47.9%   
Sharon Anderson
48,745   32.2   
Bob Lessard
30,118   19.9   
151,331 votes, 45% reporting (1,849 of 4,112 precincts)

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTION - MN:

U.S. House District 8 »

Democratic Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Joe Radinovich
6,254   48.7%   
Michelle Lee
2,673   20.8   
Kirsten Kennedy
1,966   15.3   
Jason Metsa
1,321   10.3   
Soren Sorensen
638   5.0   
12,852 votes, 32% reporting (261 of 806 precincts)

Still being cautious on Johnson-Pawlenty just because of the huge upset it would be.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

MN Gov Rating tilt D--->likely D

LMAO T Paw!!!!

omg how did this happen?!

I also think Walz carries his congressional district again in the gov race.

It happened because nobody had any appetite for Pawlenty's attempt at a political comeback.

(With the disclaimer that I have not officially called the race)

As I said on here and on discord several times, Pawlenty's Governorship was very meh to most Minnesotans - no one loves him, and no one hates him. He was the favorite heading into the primary because MUH INCUMBENCY, but ultimately the enthusiasm for him just wasn't there.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTIONS - FINISHING UP CT:

Governor
Republican Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Bob Stefanowski
36,653   29.6%   
Mark D. Boughton
26,318   21.2   
David Stemerman
22,488   18.1   
Tim Herbst
22,047   17.8   
Steve Obsitnik
16,486   13.3   
123,992 votes, 77% reporting (540 of 701 precincts)

Treasurer
Republican Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Thad Gray
60,648   55.7%   
Art Linares
48,283   44.3   
108,931 votes, 75% reporting (528 of 701 precincts)

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Does Walz carry his congressional district in the governor's race, what is yall's guess? Mine is yes.

Yes, though I'm still skeptical Dems will hold the district on the house level.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTION - WI:

Treasurer

Democratic Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Sarah Godlewski
145,405   44.0%   
Dawn Sass
104,537   31.7   
Cynthia Kaump
80,259   24.3   
330,201 votes, 63% reporting (2,284 of 3,641 precincts)

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Well, it happened. Six offices, one nominee. LOL @ VT GOP

Senate
Republican Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Brooke Paige
8,933   39.7%   
Lawrence Zupan
8,489   37.7   
Jasdeep Pannu
4,127   18.3   
Roque De La Fuente
946   4.2   
22,495 votes, 93% reporting (255 of 275 precincts)

That completes Vermont.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Well, I can barely believe it myself, but Pawlenty is done:

Governor
Republican Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Jeff Johnson
123,008   52.4%   
Tim Pawlenty
103,772   44.2   
Matt Kruse
7,792   3.3   
234,572 votes, 71% reporting (2,904 of 4,112 precincts)

That completes Minnesota.

The night is basically over, only WI-7 D remains uncalled by me.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Dems have now overtaken GOP in MN-08.

Oh my...

I've had that seat at Likely D the entire cycle. I accept my accolades.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Dems were outvoted in Milwaukee?

No, Milwaukee isn't even on the map yet since it's still counting. The counties surrounding Milwaukee are always Republican.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTION - Finishing up WI:

U.S. House District 7 »

Democratic Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Margaret Engebretson
19,385   58.6%   
Brian Ewert
13,688   41.4   
33,073 votes, 69% reporting (490 of 713 precincts)

That concludes this set of primaries.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

It's time to update the Amazing Senate Primary Turnout Map! In Minnesota, Dems received 67% of the vote in the Regular Senate Primary and 66% of the vote in the Special Senate Primary! Dems should have no trouble retaining both seats. In Wisconsin, where we'll use the gubernatorial numbers since Baldwin did not appear on the ballot, Democrats received 55% of the vote, which should give them some comfort. In Connecticut, where again gubernatorial numbers will be used since Murphy did not appear on the ballot, Democrats received 58% of the vote, confirming that Murphy should have no trouble getting re-elected. Meanwhile, Democrats dominated in Vermont, with a very nice 73% of the primary vote!

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Quick Update on the still uncalled race for second place in WA-2:


Congressional District 2 - U.S. RepresentativeCounty Results & Map
Candidate   Vote   Vote %
Collin Richard Carlson(Prefers Democratic Party)
11,985   7.71%
Uncle Mover(Prefers Moderate GOP Party)
11,750   7.56%
Brian Luke(Prefers Libertarian Party)
12,238   7.87%
Stonewall Jackson Bird (Stoney)(Prefers Green Party)
6,479   4.17%
Rick Larsen(Prefers Democratic Party)
100,863   64.87% will finish first
Gary Franco(Prefers Independent Party)
12,172   7.83%
Total Votes (not including write-ins)   155,487   


At this point, I can officially project that Stonewall Jackson Bird, Uncle Mover, and Collin Richard Carlson will not advance to the next round. However, it remains too close to call between Gary Franco and Brian Luke. Approximately 906 votes remain in the counties in the district (though not all votes are in CD 2), and the bulk of those are in a county where Mr. Franco (who is in 3rd districtwide) leads Mr. Luke (who is in 2nd districtwide). With a difference of less than 100 votes districtwide, it remains much too close to call, and may remain such until the counting deadline on the 21st.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

With only 106 remaining votes in the counties in the district (props to Skagit County for counting 800 votes over the last 24 hours), we have a winner for 2nd place in WA-2:


Congressional District 2 - U.S. RepresentativeCounty Results & Map
Candidate   Vote   Vote %
Collin Richard Carlson(Prefers Democratic Party)
12,034   7.71%
Uncle Mover(Prefers Moderate GOP Party)
11,808   7.56%
Brian Luke(Prefers Libertarian Party)
12,301   7.88% will finish second
Stonewall Jackson Bird (Stoney)(Prefers Green Party)
6,505   4.17%
Rick Larsen(Prefers Democratic Party)
101,290   64.86% will finish first
Gary Franco(Prefers Independent Party)
12,235   7.83%
Total Votes (not including write-ins)   156,173   

This concludes the Washington primaries.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Results page - https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/08/21/us/elections/results-wyoming-primary-elections.html

First polls close at 9 ET tonight.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTION:

Governor

Democratic Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Mary Throne
734   78.5%   
Michael Green
122   13.0   
Rex Wilde
41   4.4   
Kenneth Casner
38   4.1   
935 votes, 4% reporting (18 of 482 precincts)

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTION:

Senate
Republican Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
John Barrasso*
5,406   67.7%   
Dave Dodson
2,047   25.7   
John Holtz
220   2.8   
Charlie Hardy
162   2.0   
Roque De La Fuente
84   1.1   
Anthony Van Risseghem
61   0.8   
7,980 votes, 7% reporting (34 of 482 precincts)

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTION:

District 1
Republican Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Liz Cheney*
6,014   69.3%   
Rod Miller
1,657   19.1   
Blake Stanley
1,010   11.6   
8,681 votes, 6% reporting (27 of 482 precincts)

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTION:

Auditor
Republican Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Kristi Racines
17,465   56.7%   
Nathan Winters
13,328   43.3   
30,793 votes, 32% reporting (153 of 482 precincts)