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Title: Larry Sabato's Senate Rankings Post by: nhmagic on November 18, 2009, 11:52:15 PM I don't ever see his rankings included and he is incredible at forecasting races and elections.
November 19, 2009 Safe Republican Alabama Alaska Arizona Georgia Idaho Kansas Oklahoma South Carolina South Dakota Utah Likely Republican Florida (either candidate) Iowa Leans Republican Louisiana North Carolina Tossup Arkansas Colorado Connecticut Delaware Illinois Kentucky Missouri Nevada New Hampshire North Dakota Ohio Pennsylvania ??? Texas (until primary he won't rate) Leans Dem None Likely Dem California New York 2 Solid Dem Hawaii Indiana Massachusetts Maryland New York 1 Oregon Vermont Washington Wisconsin Link for analysis: http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/article.php?id=LJS2009111901 Title: Re: Larry Sabato's Senate Rankings Post by: RIP Robert H Bork on November 19, 2009, 12:37:28 AM ??? Texas (until primary he won't rate) There is no 2010 senate election in Texas. Title: Re: Larry Sabato's Senate Rankings Post by: Deldem on November 19, 2009, 12:50:25 AM ??? Texas (until primary he won't rate) There is no 2010 senate election in Texas. If Kay Bailey Hutchison resigns her seat during her run for governor (which is looking less and less likely), than there will be. Title: Re: Larry Sabato's Senate Rankings Post by: Sam Spade on November 19, 2009, 12:47:04 PM North Dakota would be interesting if Hoeven ran, but until then, no.
If the election in Texas is in November, it's not in toss-up. Actually, if it's not in November, it's still not toss-up. Other than that, we agree (or at least are close enough) Title: Re: Larry Sabato's Senate Rankings Post by: Badger on November 20, 2009, 03:17:02 PM North Dakota would be interesting if Hoeven ran, but until then, no. If the election in Texas is in November, it's not in toss-up. Actually, if it's not in November, it's still not toss-up. Other than that, we agree (or at least are close enough) Sabato doesn't rate the seat as a tossup. He refuses to rate it at all until after the grubenatorial primary. |