Title: 2010 NKP US Senate Prediction Thread. Post by: nkpatel1279 on November 23, 2009, 09:56:21 AM Safe Democratic.
1)Hawaii-(Inouye-D) 2)Indiana-(Bayh-D) 3)Maryland-(Mikulski-D) 4)Massachusetts Special 1/2010- (OPEN-Kirk-D)- Coakley-D. 5)New York-A (Schumer-D) 6)New York-B (Gillibrand-D) if Rudy or Pataki does not run. 7)North Dakota- (Dorgan-D)-if Hoeven-R does not run. 8)Oregon-(Wyden-D) 9)Vermont-(Leahy-D) 10)Washington-(Murray-D) 11)Wisconsin-(Feingold-D) if Tommy Thompson does not run. Safe Republican. 1)Alabama-(Shelby-R) 2)Alaska-(Murkowski-R) 3)Arizona-(McCAin-R)-if McCain wins the GOP primary. 4)Georgia-(Isakson-R) 5)Idaho-(Crapo-R) 6)Iowa-(Grassley-R) 7)Kansas-(OPEN-Brownback-R)-Jerry Moran-R. 8)Oklahoma-(Coburn-R) 9)South Carolina-(DeMint-R) 10)South Dakota-(Thune-R) 11)Utah-(Bennett-R) Title: Re: 2010 NKP US Senate Prediction Thread. Post by: nkpatel1279 on November 23, 2009, 10:08:10 AM Likely Democratic.
1)California-(Boxer-D). Likely Republican. 1)Florida-(OPEN-LeMieux-R)-if Crist-R is the GOP nominee. 2)Louisiana-(Vitter-R) Leans Democratic. Arkansas-(Blanche Lincoln-D)-if she votes for cloture on HCR but votes against the actual bill itself. Delaware-(OPEN-Kaufman-D)- Beau Biden-D will get alot of help from Papa Biden and President Obama- Mike Castle will get destroyed by the wingnuts in his party. Illinios-(OPEN-Burris-D)- Alexi Giannoulias-D will get help from Obama,the Madigans,and the Daley's. Kirk-R is alienating Moderates by reaching out to Palin. Nevada-(Reid-D)-if HCR passes. New Hampshire-(OPEN-Gregg-R)- If GOP frontrunner- Kelly Ayotte gets Scaffozed. New York-B(Gillibrand-D)-if Rudy or Pataki runs. Pennsylvania-(Specter-D)-if Sestak is the DEM Nominee or if Specter-votes for Cloture and the HCR w/out Stupak language. Wisconsin-(Feingold-D)-if Tommy Thompson-R runs. Title: Re: 2010 NKP US Senate Prediction Thread. Post by: nkpatel1279 on November 23, 2009, 10:23:54 AM Leans Republican.
1)North Carolina-(Burr-R) Tossup. 1)Arizona- if McCain loses in the GOP primary. 2)Arkansas-if Lincoln votes against Cloture on HCR. 3)Colorado-Bennett-D. 4)Connecticut-Dodd-D. 5)Florida- if Crist loses the GOP primary. 6)Kentucky- OPEN-Bunning-R 7)Missouri-OPEN-Bond-R. 8)Nevada- if HCR does not pass. 9)New Hampshire- if Ayotte-R is the GOP nominee. 10)North Dakota- if Hoeven-R runs. 11)Ohio-OPEN-Voinovich-R. Democratic pickup will be MO,NH,and OH. MO is greater than 50-50 chance. NH is 50-50 if Ayotte is the GOP nominee but greater than 50-50 if Ayotte loses the GOP primary. OH is a 50-50 chance. Democratic loss in the US Senate will be Colorado and Connecticut. CO will be a greater than 50-50 loss if HCR does not pass. if HCR passes. then Bennett-D gets re-elected. Regarding CT. Dodd has lost his popularity due to Mortgage Scandal-Financial Crisis. Passing HCR will help Dodd narrowly win re-election. |