Title: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on January 01, 2010, 01:21:44 AM Here´s an overview of 2010 elections in Austria:
* 14 March: Lower Austria Town Council Elections (excl. St. Pölten, Krems & Waidhofen/Ybbs) * 14 March: Tyrol Town Council Elections (excl. Innsbruck) * 14 March: Vorarlberg Town Council Elections * 21 March: Styria Town Council Elections (excl. Graz) * 21 March: Referendum in Southern Burgenland on the construction of a new asylum facility * 25 April: Presidential Elections * 30 May: Burgenland State Elections * 26 September: Styria State Elections * 10 October: Vienna State, County & Town Council Elections Here´s a map (green = state elections, light green = town council elections): () And the results of the previous Presidential and State Elections: 2004 Presidential Election: Dr. Heinz Fischer (SPÖ): 52.39% - 2.166.690 votes Dr. Benita Ferrero-Waldner (ÖVP): 47.61% - 1.969.326 votes 2005 Vienna State Elections: SPÖ: 49.1% (55 seats) ÖVP: 18.8% (18 seats) FPÖ: 14.8% (13 seats) Greens: 14.6% (14 seats) KPÖ: 1.5% BZÖ: 1.2% 2005 Styria State Elections: SPÖ: 41.7% (25 seats) ÖVP: 38.7% (24 seats) KPÖ: 6.3% (4 seats) Greens: 4.7% (3 seats) FPÖ: 4.6% LH: 2.1% BZÖ: 1.7% 2005 Burgenland State Elections: SPÖ: 52.2% (19 seats) ÖVP: 36.4% (13 seats) FPÖ: 5.8% (2 seats) Greens: 5.2% (2 seats) ÖBWP: 0.4% Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on January 01, 2010, 01:45:01 AM Radical Muslims threaten women's minister
By David Rogers A banned radical Islamic organisation has sent a threatening letter to Social Democratic (SPÖ) Women’s Minister Gabriele Heinisch-Hosek after she called for a ban on burkas, according to the Österreich newspaper. The newspaper reported today (Weds) that the Hizb ut-Tahrir organisation based in Lebanon had sent it a three-page email after Christmas in which it condemned the minister’s remarks last week and threatened her using the sentence from the Koran: "And know that Allah is strong in punishment." The organisation’s Vienna spokesman Shaker Assem also called "on Austrian Muslims to cease supporting the SPÖ". Österreich said it had handed the document to the Federal Crime Office (BK), adding that to date there had been no serious investigation of Islamic fundamentalists in Austria. Hizb ut-Tahrir – which experts say is the first transnational organisation dominated by Palestinians calling for a caliphate or world-wide Islamic state - is considered dangerous and was banned in 2003 in Germany for its support of violence. A spokesperson for Heinisch-Hosek said her ministry had been in contact with the Office for Protection of the Constitution and the Fight against Terrorism and was taking the matter very seriously. Some Austrian media have reported that the Office for Protection of the Constitution and the Fight against Terrorism has had Hizb ut-Tahrir under observation. In her comments in several interviews on 23 December, Heinisch-Hosek had said: "I consider the burka a sign of the submission of women. It greatly hinders women from finding jobs in the labour market. If more women wearing burkas appear in Austria, I will test a ban on them and enact administrative fines for women wearing them in public buildings." She added that Islam was a danger to women’s rights when it led to "politically fundamentalist-oriented policies" such as the mandatory wearing of burkas. http://www.austriantimes.at/news/General_News/2009-12-30/19256/Radical_Muslims_threaten_women%27s_minister Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Хahar 🤔 on January 01, 2010, 02:58:14 AM In her comments in several interviews on 23 December, Heinisch-Hosek had said: "I consider the burka a sign of the submission of women. It greatly hinders women from finding jobs in the labour market. If more women wearing burkas appear in Austria, I will test a ban on them and enact administrative fines for women wearing them in public buildings." She added that Islam was a danger to womens rights when it led to "politically fundamentalist-oriented policies" such as the mandatory wearing of burkas. ::) Good God, Austria's a bad place. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on January 03, 2010, 01:35:34 AM In a newspaper interview today, H.C. Strache (FPÖ-leader) said that he has not ruled out running for President on his own (he wants to abolish the Presidency), but also said that Barbara Rosenkranz would be a good candidate. She also said that she'll make an announcement on the matter soon. Strache also said that the FPÖ is certain to run a candidate against President Fischer to avoid his re-election. That Strache is now thinking to run for President has probably to do with the fact that he has looked at internal Vienna polls and realized that he has no chance to become Mayor of Vienna on Oct. 10 ...
http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/Strache-steigt-in-Hofburg-Wahl-ein-0608737.ece Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on January 03, 2010, 02:04:36 AM Asylum seekers’ centre controversy
By Thomas Hochwarter ÖVP Interior Minister Maria Fekter has said she is considering legal action after plans to build a centre for asylum seekers at a remote Burgenland town were rejected by local authorities. Fekter revealed last weekend a care centre for asylum seekers just arrived in Austria would be built in Eberau in Burgenland’s Güssing district. But many of the 1,000 Eberau residents were outraged by the news, and local authorities rejected the project following calls from SPÖ Burgenland governor Hans Niessl. Constitutional law experts now expect a referendum over the project. Güssing authorities claimed the project had been rejected as it did not match the area zoning plan of the site where the ministry wanted the centre to be built. Niessl hit out at Fekter in a TV interview. "You must not deal with people like that,” the governor said, criticising the fact that Eberau residents had not been informed about the plan for construction of the centre at any stage ahead of last weekend’s announcement. Fekter meanwhile said her plans for building the centre in Eberau were still valid, adding judges were now set to check the construction assignment. The Eberau centre was regarded as a support centre for existing asylum seekers’ centres in Traiskirchen, Upper Austria, and Thalham, Lower Austria. "I will not be afraid of facing this debate,” the minister said. Fekter claimed the area would benefit from the project as 130 jobs would be created. SPÖ governor Hans Niessl said residents not just of Eberau but of the whole district as well as people living in the neighbouring districts of Oberwart and Jennersdorf would be able to vote on the project in a referendum before any work starts. He has been backed by federal ÖVP Environment Minister Nikolaus Berlakovich who comes from Burgenland. ÖVP Eberau Mayor Walter Strobl meanwhile apologised to residents for not informing them at all about his negotiations with the interior ministry. http://www.wienerzeitung.at/DesktopDefault.aspx?TabID=4975&Alias=wzo&cob=458057&Page16617=1 I´m already looking forward to the results of this referendum. 2008 Election Results in the town of Eberau: ÖVP: 53.6% SPÖ: 24.6% FPÖ: 12.6% Greens: 3.4% BZÖ: 3.2% 2008 Election Results in the 3 districts where the referendum will be held: Güssing SPÖ: 37.2% ÖVP: 35.6% FPÖ: 14.4% BZÖ: 5.7% Greens: 4.4% Jennersdorf SPÖ: 34.0% ÖVP: 30.6% FPÖ: 17.6% BZÖ: 8.2% Greens: 6.7% Oberwart SPÖ: 41.2% ÖVP: 28.1% FPÖ: 17.6% BZÖ: 5.5% Greens: 4.9% Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on January 04, 2010, 01:41:26 AM New Market/TT poll for Tyrol on the construction of minarets in the state:
64% - ban the construction of minarets (38% strongly, 26% somewhat in favor) 31% - allow the construction of minarets (16% strongly, 15% somewhat in favor) The 15% who say they somewhat favor the construction, break down in 3 groups: 32% want minarets only with a certain height 32% want minarets only in bigger cities like Innsbruck 29% want only a handful minarets and the number limited by law Younger voters (15-29) and older voters (50+) are most likely to back a ban. 70% of young voters back a ban and among older voters 46% are strongly against minarets. http://tt.com/tt/tirol/story.csp?cid=18281110&sid=56&fid=21 73% of Tyrolians also want the Christian cross to remain in classrooms. The European Supreme Court recently ruled that crosses in Italian classrooms must be removed. 9% want symbols of other religions in Tyrolian classrooms. 9% want to remove all religious symbols from the classroom. 9% have no opinion. http://tt.com/tt/tirol/story.csp?cid=18281426&sid=56&fid=21 Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on January 06, 2010, 02:00:43 AM New OGM/KZ poll for the Styria state elections:
SPÖ: 36% (-6) ÖVP: 36% (-3) FPÖ: 13% (+8) Greens: 7% (+2) KPÖ: 4% (-2) BZÖ: 3% (+1) Others: 1% (nc) Gov. Voves (SPÖ) beats challenger Schützenhöfer (ÖVP) in the direct vote for Gov.: () Gov. Voves has a 61-32 favorable rating, Schützenhöfer is at 58-31. http://www.kleinezeitung.at/system/galleries/upload/5/2/7/2257751/OGMUmfrage1.PDF Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on January 08, 2010, 01:13:05 AM New Tyrol poll for the Presidential Elections by Market:
Pres. Heinz Fischer Approval Rating: 80% Strongly/Somewhat Approve 6% Strongly/Somewhat Disapprove Will you vote for Fischer's re-election ? 73% Yes Do you want an opponent for Fischer ? 59% No http://tt.com/tt/home/story.csp?cid=18416678&sid=57&fid=21 In the 2004 election, Fischer got only 43% of the votes in Tyrol - his worst result in Austria. He won the election with 52% of the vote. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: KuntaKinte on January 08, 2010, 01:22:47 AM Will the ÖVP run a candidate? Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on January 08, 2010, 01:31:56 AM Will the ÖVP run a candidate? This is debated right now within the party and there are deep divisions within the party. Fischer is hugely popular and internal ÖVP polls show that a conservative candidate would be completely destroyed in the general election, currently getting only 25% support vs. 70% for Fischer. Tyrol Governor Günther Platter (ÖVP) for example doesn't want a ÖVP-candidate, because Fischer has done a good job. On the other hand, Governor of Lower Austria Erwin Pröll (ÖVP) who turned down a candidacy last year and was considered the only ÖVP-candidate with chances against Fischer, wants a ÖVP-candidate to oppose Fischer. Also, Fritz Kaltenegger, general secretary of the ÖVP, wants one. I don`t know what the consensus is in the party right now, but I guess they will finally back Fischer's re-election and refuse to run a candidate. Instead they will focus their resources on the state elections this year, with Styria being very important. They could oust SPÖ-governor Voves there and enter a ÖVP-FPÖ coalition in the state. That the ÖVP is not running a Presidential candidate has also its risks, because the FPÖ could run a candidate on their own and dig deep into the center-right electorate that normally votes for the ÖVP. But I guess the ÖVP is risking this, because the FPÖ has never run a good Austrian-wide Presidential campaign and first they have to top the 18% they got in the 2008 parliamentary elections. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on January 10, 2010, 03:00:37 AM New Ö24/Gallup poll on the construction of a new asylum facility in Southern Burgenland:
(Only people from Southern Burgenland questioned by Gallup for the Referendum on March 21): 67% against construction 33% for construction (All Austrian voters questioned by Gallup: "Are you in favor of building a new asylum center in your own district ?") 58% against construction 33% for construction Austrian voters by 71-20 favor allocating asylum seekers to all states relative to their population share, instead of creating asylum centers. Austrian voters also back the SPÖ on the asylum issue (32-23), thinking that the party does a better job in opposing the construction of a new asylum center than the ÖVP, which favors the construction. http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/Mehrheit-gegen-drittes-Asyllager-0613018.ece .... New Vienna State Elections poll, also by Gallup/Ö24: SPÖ: 45-46% FPÖ: 20-21% ÖVP: 17-18% Greens: 14-15% Direct vote for Mayor: Häupl (SPÖ): 57% Strache (FPÖ): 18% http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/Haeupl-verliert-seine-Mehrheit-0613195.ece New Burgenland State Elections poll, also by Gallup/Ö24: SPÖ: 50-51% ÖVP: 31-32% FPÖ: 11-12% Greens: 5-6% Direct vote for Governor: Niessl (SPÖ): 61% Steindl (ÖVP): 31% Construction of Asylum Centre in Southern Burgenland (all state voters): 72% Oppose http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/Niessl-schafft-50-Prozent-0613297.ece Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on January 10, 2010, 01:06:59 PM New Carinthia poll by the Humaninstitut Klagenfurt (650 voters polled Jan. 4-8):
FPK (ex-BZÖ): 31% (-14) SPÖ: 28% (-1) ÖVP: 10% (-7) Greens: 7% (+2) FPÖ: 5% (+1) "Not sure": 19% (+19) The current government there (FPK/ÖVP) still has a slight majority (41-40), but voters are deeply frustrated about the state government because of the Hypo-bailout and the debt that resulted from the fiasco. Which party do you blame most for the Hypo-debacle ? FPK: 52% ÖVP: 32% SPÖ: 11% Do you think that new elections should be held in Carinthia ? 51% Yes 39% No http://www.humaninstitut.at/humaninstitut/download.php?file=KAERNTNER_POLIT_BAROMETER_JAN_2010.pdf Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Umengus on January 11, 2010, 02:36:12 PM New Carinthia poll by the Humaninstitut Klagenfurt (650 voters polled Jan. 4-8): FPK (ex-BZÖ): 31% (-14) SPÖ: 28% (-1) ÖVP: 10% (-7) Greens: 7% (+2) FPÖ: 5% (+1) "Not sure": 19% (+19) The current government there (FPK/ÖVP) still has a slight majority (41-40), but voters are deeply frustrated about the state government because of the Hypo-bailout and the debt that resulted from the fiasco. Which party do you blame most for the Hypo-debacle ? FPK: 52% ÖVP: 32% SPÖ: 11% Do you think that new elections should be held in Carinthia ? 51% Yes 39% No http://www.humaninstitut.at/humaninstitut/download.php?file=KAERNTNER_POLIT_BAROMETER_JAN_2010.pdf who is "not sure" ? what a joke poll... Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: KuntaKinte on January 11, 2010, 03:02:56 PM who is "not sure" ? what a joke poll... Those who are not sure for whom they would vote or if they would vote at all. It's not so uncommon to give that option in polls. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on January 12, 2010, 12:56:45 AM who is "not sure" ? what a joke poll... Those who are not sure for whom they would vote or if they would vote at all. It's not so uncommon to give that option in polls. They are not pushing leaners. Gallup/OGM/Market for example do not report undecideds, therefore everything is adding up to 100%. The situation in Carinthia is complex now and many voters don´t know who to back. They are right-wing voters, but think the FPK/BZÖ/ÖVP-leadership fukked the state. Nonetheless, they would never vote for the left parties. These people are now undecided and would either stay at home in new elections, or reluctantly back the Right - despite their failures. There`s also news on the asylum story, with Interior Minister Fekter now trying to put asylum seekers into internment camps as long as these people are thrown out of the country again: Austria's interior minister wants to detain asylum seekers Vienna - Austria's Interior Minister Maria Fekter said Sunday that asylum seekers arriving in the country should be detained until their applications are processed. The measure would be a response to the fears of the Austrian population, the Conservative People's Party (OVP) politician told broadcaster ORF. Fekter suggested 28 days of "compulsory attendance" at an initial intake centre for asylum seekers or their confinement there for the duration of the time it took to process their applications. OVP coalition partner, the Social Democratic Party (SPO), the Green Party and human rights groups reacted with outrage, while the far-right Freedom Party (FPO) criticized Fekter's asylum policy as too liberal. Fekter has come under fire in recent weeks in a dispute over plans for a new asylum centre in the town Eberau in the state of Burgenland. The SPO and local residents and authorities rejected the plan but Fekter said she would consider legal action. Link (http://www.earthtimes.org/articles/show/302981,austrias-interior-minister-wants-to-detain-asylum-seekers.html) Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on January 14, 2010, 02:18:41 AM New poll by OGM for News on Fekter's idea to put asylum seekers in internment:
49% support 39% oppose (Meanwhile, constitutional experts have said that Fekter's idea would probably violate the Austrian constitution of free movement and would have no chance at the Supreme court.) On the other hand, FPÖ-leader Strache wants electronic ankle bracelets for all asylum seekers that are moving out of the first-arrival-centers to monitor them, so they cannot commit crimes. Constitutional experts have said this method would be in line with the constitution, contrary to interning them. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on January 14, 2010, 02:34:14 AM Catholic Church exodus
By David Rogers The number of Catholics leaving the Church soared last year, according to Catholic press agency Kathpress. It reported today (Weds) that 53,216 people had left the Church last year - 30.9 per cent more than in 2008. The figure was 0.96 per cent of all Austrian Catholics, the agency said. The number of Catholics in Austria at the end of 2009 was 5.53 million, down by 0.8 per cent from the 5.58 Catholics at the end of 2008, Kathpress said. Erich Leitenberger, press spokesman for the Vienna archdiocese, said every departure from the Church was "painful", but added the number of Catholics had remained "relatively stable" in 2009. He also claimed the recession was one of the major factors behind the exodus as people who formally leave the Church no longer have to pay a church tax. The increase in Church departures last year was highest in Linz diocese - 43.5 per cent. Many observers said that had been largely down to Pope Benedict XVI’s nomination of conservative Windischgarst Pastor Gerhard Maria Wagner as auxiliary bishop. The ultra-conservative priest had labelled the Harry Potter books "the work of Satan," called homosexuality "curable" and said natural disasters like the 2004 tsunami in Southeast Asia and Hurricane Katrina in New Orleans had been God’s punishment of human sin. The Pope later withdrew the nomination after a subsequent public outcry. A Linz diocese spokesman said today that the number of Church departures there last year had been "painful" and "a cause of great concern." Diocese official Gabriele Eder-Cakl added that the Pope’s lifting of the excommunications of some bishops of the Pius Brotherhood last year had also caused some Catholics to leave the Church. The Pius Brotherhood rejects some of the teachings of the Second Vatican Council and includes a bishop who has denied the Holocaust. The second-largest increase, 40.3 per cent, occurred in Feldkirch diocese in Vorarlberg, where Bishop Elmar Fischer made controversial remarks about homosexuality. The lowest increase was in Carinthia, 15.1 per cent, and Vienna ranked in the middle of Austrian dioceses with an increase of 27.8 per cent. Austria has the eighth highest percentage of people claiming to follow a religious faith - 79 per cent - among European Union (EU) member states, according to EU statistics. http://www.austriantimes.at/news/General_News/2010-01-13/19590/Catholic_Church_exodus Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on January 14, 2010, 11:40:32 AM With the FPK/BZÖ convention coming up on Saturday, FPK-leader Uwe Scheuch (who initiated the coup d'etat of Carinthia-BZÖ switching to FPK and into the arms of HC Strache) is now under corruption watch. He apparently promised to give a Russian investor the Austrian citizenship if he invests in Carinthia and pays heavily to the FPK party. Now "News" has published audio-tapes of Scheuch. Asked about it, Scheuch said "he can't remember what he said". The state-ÖVP, which is in a coalition with the FPK/BZÖ has said their government is in danger. SPÖ and Greens have called for Scheuch to step down and new elections.
Should be a fun convention on Saturday: Will Josef Bucher of the federal BZÖ now win the Reconquista in Carinthia and triumph over Scheuch, who allegedly only invites Scheuch-loyal delegates to the convention to secure his election as leader ? Or will the FPK lemmings vote for Scheuch no matter how corrupt and unsympathetic this guy is ? I hope that Bucher wins the leadership vote. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on January 16, 2010, 12:49:58 PM Scheuch wins 90.2% of the delegates at the FPK-party convention and the FPK will now run on a CDU/CSU model with the FPÖ. Bucher will maybe create a new BZÖ in Carinthia and will announce his plans on Monday. The state-ÖVP will also decide on Monday whether or not to continue the FPK-ÖVP government because of Scheuch's corruption allegations.
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on January 16, 2010, 01:02:34 PM New OGM-Carinthia poll:
SPÖ: 32% (+3) FPK: 22% (-23) ÖVP: 15% (-2) FPÖ: 9% (+5) Greens: 8% (+3) "Not Sure": 14% http://www.kleinezeitung.at/nachrichten/politik/fpk/2269085/scheuch-halbiert-haiders-partei.story Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Hash on January 16, 2010, 01:11:58 PM Haha.
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on January 16, 2010, 01:31:56 PM Yeah. Nobody likes Scheuch, not even the Carinthians, as shown in 3 new polls out today. The first is the APA/OGM trust index of Austrian far-right politicians (500 Austrians questioned): Ursula Haubner, sister of Jörg Haider and still member of the BZÖ, gets the most trust among Austrians with 35% having trust and 38% having no trust. HC Strache, Austrian FPÖ-leader is second, with a 32-62 rating. Josef Bucher, BZÖ-leader is third with 28-38. Barbara Rosenkranz, who is the likely FPÖ-presidential candidate, is at 12-40 (still relatively unknown among the Austrian public). Uwe Scheuch, is the next to last, with a 11-57 rating. http://www.ogm.at/pdfs/Drittes_Lager_Jaenner10.pdf A second poll by Market (400 Austrians questioned) for "DerStandard" asked the following question: "Which of the following persons do you think is the rightful heir of Jörg Haider ?" 32% Strache 12% Haubner 12% Bucher 10% Petzner 9% Claudia Haider 8% Dörfler 3% Fekter 3% Scheuch 1% Dinkhauser http://derstandard.at/1262209664829/Umfrage-Haiders-Erbe-heisst-Strache The last poll is by OGM (500 Carinthians polled), which is already mentioned above: () It asks: Who do you trust more ? First among all voters, then among people who voted BZÖ in the 2009 state elections ... Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on January 16, 2010, 01:40:38 PM (Nonetheless, Scheuch has a pretty hot wife ...)
() ;) Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: KuntaKinte on January 16, 2010, 11:58:39 PM New OGM-Carinthia poll: SPÖ: 32% (+3) FPK: 22% (-23) ÖVP: 15% (-2) FPÖ: 9% (+5) Greens: 8% (+3) "Not Sure": 14% http://www.kleinezeitung.at/nachrichten/politik/fpk/2269085/scheuch-halbiert-haiders-partei.story Oh yeah, that's great news! Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on January 17, 2010, 02:02:05 AM New OGM-Carinthia poll: SPÖ: 32% (+3) FPK: 22% (-23) ÖVP: 15% (-2) FPÖ: 9% (+5) Greens: 8% (+3) "Not Sure": 14% http://www.kleinezeitung.at/nachrichten/politik/fpk/2269085/scheuch-halbiert-haiders-partei.story Oh yeah, that's great news! Yeah, mostly because Carinthia now (or soon) has 4 rightist parties (FPK, ÖVP, FPÖ, BZÖ). Sooner or later (maybe in the next 3 years) the FPÖ Carinthia will integrate into the FPK and Bucher has already said that he'll create a new Carinthia BZÖ. Just look at the 14% who currently say they are not sure who to vote for. There´s still some potential for a new BZÖ in Carinthia, because the 90% of pre-selected delegates who voted for Scheuch are not representative of the electorate. And the electorate doesn't like Scheuch. In a few years the polls might look like: SPÖ: 30-35% FPK (incl. FPÖ): 30-35% ÖVP: 15-20% BZÖ: 10-15% Greens: 5-10% We could also see a revival of Social Democracy in the state, with the SPÖ going to 40% if they find a good leader in the near future. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on January 18, 2010, 08:47:01 AM New poll by Market for Standard:
ÖVP: 30% SPÖ: 29% FPÖ: 23% Greens: 13% BZÖ: 4% Others: 1% Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on January 20, 2010, 02:24:50 PM OGM Carinthia federal elections poll:
() Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Хahar 🤔 on January 20, 2010, 06:48:13 PM Amazing!
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on January 21, 2010, 01:41:44 AM The date of the Burgenland state elections will probably be changed to May 30, instead of May 2.
The federal ÖVP helped out their state party yesterday in blocking the dissolvement of the Burgenland parliament. Therefore it is most likely on May 30 now. They fear that the March 21 SPÖ-proposed referendum in Southern Burgenland about the construction of an asylum centre and the Presidential election on April 25 with a big Fischer (SPÖ) victory might push the Burgenland SPÖ to over 50%. SPÖ-governor Niessl has said he`ll fight the decision and wants to check now if the ÖVP move was unconstitutional. But I think it doesn't matter when the vote takes place: The ÖVP will lose badly. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on January 24, 2010, 06:10:31 AM New Upper Austria poll by Spectra (700 voters questioned) for the OÖN and it shows the ÖVP dominating:
ÖVP: 49-51% (compared with 2009 state elections: +3) SPÖ: 21-23% (-3) FPÖ: 13-15% (-1) Greens: 10-12% (+2) Others: 2-4% (-1) And if federal elections were to be held in Upper Austria right now: ÖVP: 33-35% (compared with 2008 federal elections: +7) SPÖ: 30-32% (nc) FPÖ: 14-16% (-4) Greens: 10-12% (+1) BZÖ: 4-6% (-4) Others: 3-5% (nc) http://www.nachrichten.at/storage/pic/artikelbilder/politik/193455_3_oongrafik_barometer.jpg http://www.nachrichten.at/storage/pic/artikelbilder/politik/193453_1_oongrafik_Sonntagsfrage.jpg The current ÖVP-Green government in Upper Austria has a 55-35 approval rating. Gov. Josef Pühringer (ÖVP) has a 80-12 approval rating, and his Green Vice-Governor Rudi Anschober a 55-26 approval rating. Voters in Upper Austria also say that the ÖVP is the most favorable party: ÖVP: 61% have a favorable opinion, 28% unfavorable SPÖ: 42% have a favorable opinion, 47% unfavorable Greens: 39% have a favorable opinion, 46% unfavorable FPÖ: 23% have a favorable opinion, 65% unfavorable http://www.nachrichten.at/storage/scl/artikelbilder/politik/193454_m0t1w600h450q80v7824.jpg Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on January 24, 2010, 06:26:48 AM New federal Profil/Karmasin Motivforschung poll:
ÖVP: 32% SPÖ: 31% FPÖ/FPK: 22% Grüne: 12%% BZÖ: 1% Direct vote for Chancellor: Pröll (ÖVP): 29% Faymann (SPÖ): 21% Glawischnig (Greens): 7% Strache (FPÖ): 5% None of the above: 25% Undecided: 13% New Styria state elections poll by IMAS for the Kronen Zeitung: SPÖ: 40% (-2) ÖVP: 40% (+1) FPÖ: 7% (+2) KPÖ: 5% (-1) Greens: 5% (nc) BZÖ: 2% (nc) Others: 1% (nc) Direct vote for Governor: Voves (SPÖ): 35% Schützenhöfer (ÖVP): 21% Gov. Voves has the job approval of about 2/3 of the voters, according to the article. http://www.krone.at/krone/S153/object_id__181828/hxcms/ Good, there seems to be some political fallout for the FPÖ/BZÖ because of Carinthia ... ;) Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on January 27, 2010, 02:06:20 PM Latest GMK Burgenland state elections poll:
SPÖ: 48% (-4) ÖVP: 30% (-6) FPÖ: 15% (+9) Greens: 6% (+1) BZÖ: 1% (+1) Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: KuntaKinte on January 28, 2010, 05:07:15 AM lol Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on January 29, 2010, 01:48:18 AM Nothing really new on the Presidential elections, except that President Heinz Fischer (SPÖ) has spoken out yesterday in favor of full marriage rights for gay couples incl. adoptions.
Civil Unions were signed into Austrian law, effective by Jan. 1, 2010 Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on January 30, 2010, 01:45:41 AM Here are 2 maps showing the results of the 2005 Styria town council elections and state elections:
() () Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on January 30, 2010, 02:45:53 AM Unemployment rate in December 2009 by Austrian labor counties (self-made graphic):
() Light blue: below 50% of the national rate (< 4.3%) Middle blue: between 50-75% of the national rate (4.3%-6.4) Dark blue: between 75% and the national rate (6.4%-8.6%) Yellow: between national rate and 125% of it (8.6%-10.7%) Orange: between 125-150% of the national rate (10.7%-12.9%) Dark orange: more than 150% of the national rate (> 12.9%) Austrian national average: 8.6% Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on January 31, 2010, 03:09:12 AM First Carinthia poll by Gallup/Ö24 following yesterday's re-launch of the Carinthia-BZÖ, where Josef Bucher was elected chairman with 99.6% of the delegates:
SPÖ: 24-26% BZÖ (Bucher/Petzner): 22-24% FPK (Scheuch/Dörfler): 18-20% ÖVP: 14-16% FPÖ (Jannach): 7-9% Greens: 7-9% Gov. Dörfler (FPK) approval rating: 34% Approve 63% Disapprove http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/Sensation-BZOe-in-Kaernten-vor-FPK-0630381.ece http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/Bucher-mit-996-Prozent-Landesparteichef-0629985.ece I´ve already said that the BZÖ still has a big potential in Carinthia, but that they are already ahead of the FPK is astonishing ... The Far-Right now has 50% in this state, which is 1% more than in the 2009 state elections. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: KuntaKinte on February 01, 2010, 01:43:43 AM So Carinthia now has three far-right parties bitching at each other. Unique... Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on February 02, 2010, 05:33:04 AM New unemployment numbers are out for January:
323.651 unemployed persons (+22.122 compared with Jan. 2009, +7.3%) National unemployment rate (excl. self-employed): 8.9% This is the lowest increase of unemployed persons in about 2 years. January 2010 unemployment rates by Austrian state: Salzburg (yay !): 5.7% Tyrol: 6.4% Upper Austria: 6.9% Vorarlberg: 7.4% Vienna: 9.8% Lower Austria: 9.9% Styria: 10.1% Burgenland: 12.7% Carinthia (lol !): 13.0% http://www.bmsk.gv.at/cms/site/attachments/1/4/3/CH0735/CMS1262602258150/arbeitsmarkt_vorab_oesterreich_201001.pdf Eurostat/ILO unemployment rate (incl. self-employed, December 2009): 5.4% (2nd lowest in the EU) http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/cache/ITY_PUBLIC/3-29012010-AP/EN/3-29012010-AP-EN.PDF In January, unemployment actually decreased by 2% in my county (Zell am See). It had the second lowest unemployment rate in Austria in December after Reutte. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on February 03, 2010, 11:59:06 AM New Vienna State Elections poll by OGM for News (500 people questioned):
SPÖ: 42% (-7) FPÖ: 20% (+5) ÖVP: 17% (-2) Greens: 16% (+1) BZÖ: 3% (+2) Others: 2% (+1) Direct vote for Mayor: Michael Häupl (SPÖ): 45% H.C. Strache (FPÖ): 12% Preferred coalition: SPÖ-ÖVP: 41% SPÖ-Greens: 22% SPÖ-FPÖ: 16% http://www.news.at/articles/1005/8/261041/der-kampf-wien-spoe-news-umfrage-fpoe On Feb. 11-13, there will also be a referendum about 5 topics in the city, initiated by the city SPÖ: * On the employment of janitors * On the introduction of a city-toll * On the introduction of all-day-long schooling of children * On the subway being operated on a 24/7/365 basis * On the introduction of mandatory registration of "attack dogs" According to a recent Gallup poll, Vienna voters are likely to back all measures except the city-toll by a wide margin (70-80%). The city-toll is opposed by 70% of voters. http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/Haeupl-verliert-seine-Mehrheit-0613195.ece Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on February 07, 2010, 04:28:03 AM According to a Ö24 article today, FPÖ-leader Strache himself is "strongly considering" entering the Presidential race. He says in the interview that he could get more than 30% against President Fischer. But the FPÖ will wait until March to declare their candidate, because if they do earlier, Vienna Mayor Michael Häupl could reschedule the Vienna state elections to just after the Presidential elections in April and if Strache loses to Fischer, he cannot be FPÖ front-runner in Vienna anymore.
I`d like to see how much Strache could cut into the ÖVP electorate, if they don`t run a candidate. I guess 40% of ÖVP voters would stay at home, 30% would back Strache and 30% would back Fischer. http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/Strache-will-gegen-Fischer-antreten-0636057.ece New Ö24/Gallup poll: ÖVP: 32% SPÖ: 30% FPÖ: 21% Greens: 12% BZÖ: 3% Others: 2% New Upper Austria IMAS poll: ÖVP: 48% SPÖ: 23% FPÖ: 19% Greens: 8% Others: 2% Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on February 12, 2010, 02:06:33 AM It is more and more likely that Barbara Rosenkranz will be the FPÖ-candidate for president. On February 22 the FPÖ will most likely decide on their candidate, but Rosenkranz is already shooting pictures for campaign posters and they have already reserved the site www.barbararosenkranz.at for their campaign.
In other news, a FPÖ-candidate running for the Bludenz (Vorarlberg) city council has been thrown out of the FPÖ after talking about euthanizing Muslims, Islam being a degenerated, vile religion and saying that "being called a Nazi by these Muslims is a honor to him". The Greens are most likely to decide on a presidential candidate on February 19 (they lean against running a candidate) and the ÖVP even later (they also lean against a candidate and let the playing field to the FPÖ). http://austrianindependent.com/news/Politics/2010-02-02/725/Greens_to_decide_on_presidential_candidate_this_month Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: KuntaKinte on February 12, 2010, 12:20:50 PM If the FPÖ runs a candidate doesn't the ÖVP have to do the same just to make sure that they are the "leading force" on the right? Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on February 13, 2010, 01:28:09 AM If the FPÖ runs a candidate doesn't the ÖVP have to do the same just to make sure that they are the "leading force" on the right? Sure, normally they would have to run a candidate, but I think they are speculating that President Fischer will win in a landslide and that the FPÖ is damaged enough by the Carinthia adventure of integrating the FPK a few weeks earlier. For example there`s a new OGM trust index of Austrian politicians out and it shows FPÖ-leader Strache`s trust rating down to 23%, with 69% of Austrians having no trust in Strache. That`s a big drop compared with last years rating. Therefore they could argue that if Rosenkranz gets 20-30% in the Presidential Election, it would still be less than the Far-Right got in the 2008 parliamentary elections and therefore they are still the leading party on the right, because they are polling between 30-35% right now. The trust index also shows ÖVP Vice-Chancellor Pröll having the second highest trust rating (59-35) after President Fischer (73-21), while SPÖ Chancellor Faymann is now in negative territory for the first time (45-46). I think the opinions in the top ÖVP circles are more leaning toward winning back the governorship in Styria rather than waging a strong Presidential campaign. http://www.ogm.at/pdfs/BundespolitikerInnen_Februar10.pdf Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Хahar 🤔 on February 13, 2010, 02:56:15 AM In other news, a FPÖ-candidate running for the Bludenz (Vorarlberg) city council has been thrown out of the FPÖ after talking about euthanizing Muslims, Islam being a degenerated, vile religion and saying that "being called a Nazi by these Muslims is a honor to him". This sort of thing is commonplace, isn't it? Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on February 14, 2010, 01:58:22 AM In other news, a FPÖ-candidate running for the Bludenz (Vorarlberg) city council has been thrown out of the FPÖ after talking about euthanizing Muslims, Islam being a degenerated, vile religion and saying that "being called a Nazi by these Muslims is a honor to him". This sort of thing is commonplace, isn't it? No, this is more the exception than the rule, even within the FPÖ. Also, new federal Gallup/Ö24 poll: ÖVP: 32% SPÖ: 31% FPÖ: 21% Greens: 12% BZÖ: 3% Others: 1% Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on February 14, 2010, 02:09:47 AM On Feb. 11-13, there will also be a referendum about 5 topics in the city, initiated by the city SPÖ: * On the employment of janitors * On the introduction of a city-toll * On the introduction of all-day-long schooling of children * On the subway being operated on a 24/7/365 basis * On the introduction of mandatory registration of "attack dogs" According to a recent Gallup poll, Vienna voters are likely to back all measures except the city-toll by a wide margin (70-80%). The city-toll is opposed by 70% of voters. () Mostly in line with the polls, except the 24/7/365 subway traffic, which was opposed by 54% of the voters. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on February 17, 2010, 10:38:57 AM Mostly in line with the polls, except the 24/7/365 subway traffic, which was opposed by 54% of the voters. Correction: With almost all votes counted (except the postal votes), Vienna voters are now backing the 24/7/365 subway traffic with 54% of the vote. ..... A new poll by the Medical University of Graz finds that 78% of Austrians support passive euthanasia of terminally ill patients, 13% are opposed and 9% undecided. Active euthanasia is supported by 62% of Austrians, with 30% opposed and 8% undecided. 1000 Austrians aged 16+ were questioned by the Univ. of Graz Institute of Social Medicine and Epidemiology. ..... It seems like Stanley Greenberg is doing polls for the Vienna SPÖ (?!): The Vienna SPÖ commissioned a poll of young voters between 16 and 29 and the results are analysed by Stanley Greenberg. 16-19 year old Vienna voters support: 26% SPÖ, 21% Greens, FPÖ 12% 20-29 year old Vienna voters support: 32% SPÖ, 17% Greens, FPÖ 12% http://www.news.at/articles/1007/11/262213/jungwaehler-spoe-fpoe-16-19-jaehrige-rot Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on February 17, 2010, 11:01:00 AM If this internal SPÖ poll of young voters is true, which I doubt, it`s actually bad news for the SPÖ.
The SORA Exit Poll of the 2005 Vienna State elections showed 16-19 year olds voting for: 46% SPÖ 26% Greens 16% ÖVP 11% FPÖ I guess the FPÖ now has a far bigger share than in 2005, when the Black-Blue government was still in office. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on February 19, 2010, 02:07:27 PM It seems that the Greens are not only gaining in German polls. New Standard/Market poll:
ÖVP: 30% (+4) SPÖ: 28% (-1) FPÖ: 23% (+5) Greens: 14% (+4) BZÖ: 4% (-7) Others: 1% (-5) Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on February 21, 2010, 01:48:06 AM New Profil/Karmasin Motivforschung poll:
ÖVP: 33% SPÖ: 32% FPÖ: 22% Greens: 11% BZÖ: 1% Others: 1% Today is also a referendum in the town of Eberau (Burgenland) on the construction of an asylum center. It is expected that 90% of the people there will vote "No". Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on February 21, 2010, 01:39:25 PM Today is also a referendum in the town of Eberau (Burgenland) on the construction of an asylum center. It is expected that 90% of the people there will vote "No". 92% voted "No" on the asylum center (Austria really likes aslyum seekers ... :P). Turnout = 85% Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Hans-im-Glück on February 21, 2010, 01:47:01 PM Today is also a referendum in the town of Eberau (Burgenland) on the construction of an asylum center. It is expected that 90% of the people there will vote "No". 92% voted "No" on the asylum center (Austria really likes aslyum seekers ... :P). Turnout = 85% This isn't a surprise. In the most towns in Europe (and not only Europe) you will have the same result, in a election with this question. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on February 23, 2010, 01:37:58 AM At the federal FPÖ-meeting yesterday it was announced that the FPÖ will definitely run a candidate for President. The Lower Austria FPÖ has nominated Barbara Rosenkranz, but the Vienna FPÖ is more likely to back a Strache candidacy. The final meeting will be on March 5, when they declare the candidate. They are deciding very late to give President Fischer`s campaign team as little time as possible to adjust to their candidate. But it will be one of these two:
() Left: Heinz-Christian Strache, Right: Barbara Rosenkranz Details of the FPÖ-campaign are also clear: They will run a heavy nationalist-conservative campaign against the SPÖVP government, against the EU, for safe borders and security and probably also against asylum seekers and foreigners in general, spending about 5 Mio. € on the campaign. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on February 23, 2010, 02:34:54 PM In newspaper articles today it was said that the ÖVP will decide this Thursday if they run a candidate.
More news on the FPÖ-candidate: Rosenkranz has received the backing of all state FPÖ-leaders to run for President. So it is basically 100% sure that the FPÖ will run Rosenkranz for President and Strache as frontrunner in the October Vienna state elections. Then, on March 1, candidates for President must collect 6000 signatures to run - they have time until March 26. I hope this postponing of the announcements will end soon and we see polls between Fischer and Rosenkranz, because there has been none so far !!! Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on February 27, 2010, 01:08:05 AM First Gallup/Ö24 poll for the Presidential elections, now that ÖVP and Greens have announced that they will not run a candidate:
President Heinz Fischer (IND/SPÖ): 79% Barbara Rosenkranz (ANNP/FPÖ): 21% President Heinz Fischer (IND/SPÖ): 84% Heinz Christian Strache (ANNP/FPÖ): 16% The newspaper "Profil" has learned though that Strache will nominate Rosenkranz as Presidential candidate in the Sunday editorial of the "Krone" newspaper. Rosenkranz is largely unknown to the Austrians and I consider this the base for her. With xenophobic campaigning I could see her gaining up to 30-40% of the vote. She does best with lower-income workers, younger voters and voters from Lower Austria and Carinthia. Currently, she only get`s 48% of the FPÖ-vote against Fischer - this will certainly grow once the campaign starts. The turnout for the elections, according to Gallup, could hit a new low at 65%, with ÖVP and Green voters now staying at home. http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/Hofburg-Wahl-Rosenkranz-vor-Strache-0652591.ece Also, next Monday the BZÖ will decide if they run a candidate, most likely Josef Bucher. They said that Bucher could be a real alternative for ÖVP-voters, who do not want to vote for the "Socialist" Fischer and the "Nazi" Rosenkranz. They would spend some 800.000€ on the campaign, but if they get a low percentage then the BZÖ is financially doomed for the 2013 parliamentary elections. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Hash on February 27, 2010, 09:57:17 AM Why does Strache do worse in the early matchups against Rosenkranz, who's pretty much a Nazi (which Strache is not - not entirely at least)?
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: minionofmidas on February 27, 2010, 10:13:54 AM Strache is a neonazi prole. Rosenkranz is a middleclass paleonazi. Guess who has more appeal with Conservatives.
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on February 28, 2010, 01:45:22 AM Why does Strache do worse in the early matchups against Rosenkranz, who's pretty much a Nazi (which Strache is not - not entirely at least)? Strache is a neonazi prole. Rosenkranz is a middleclass paleonazi. Guess who has more appeal with Conservatives. Yes, that, and they appeal to different segments of the population. Strache is hugely popular with the younger voters, whereas Rosenkranz has more limited appeal within this group, but she scores with the rural older population - which always votes in the elections and what`s more important in the polls above - answer the mainline phones. Younger people have mobile phones, are at work or in school, therefore Rosenkranz does better in the polls than Strache I would guess. In the end, it`s a Rosenkranz-Strache ticket anyway, because Strache has said he will heavily campaign for Rosenkranz and be with her on campaign posters. I guess this will be to bring the young voters to the polls. Also, another fact is that Strache has already challenged Vienna Mayor Michael Häupl to become the new mayor of Vienna in October and Strache has always said he wants to be the next Austrian chancellor after the 2013 parliamentary elections. So, voters could think that he also wants to become President is too much, whereas Rosenkranz is a largely unknown political figure. BTW: It`s true and Strache really nominated Rosenkranz for President in today`s "Kronen Zeitung". http://www.krone.at/krone/S32/object_id__187536/hxcms/index.html In a first interview, Rosenkranz wants "security" and "immigration abuse" as her top campaign issues. She wants to temporarily suspend the Schengen agreement and impose more strict border controls against incoming people. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on March 01, 2010, 01:15:35 AM There´s also a new IMAS poll in today`s Presse about the image of Islam in Austria:
54% of Austrian view Islam as a threat to Western lifestyle. 71% say that Islam is not in line with Western values like Democracy and Freedom. 4% of Austrians wouldn´t mind if someone from the family marries a Muslim. 59% want to ban the construction of minarets. 51% want to ban the construction of mosques and the wearing of headscarves. 72% have concerns about the willingness of Muslims in the country to integrate into the society. 61% say "Austria is a Christian country and should remain so". 42% say "the less foreigners in Austria, the better". Another interesting fact is that Austrians do not think that they can openly discuss political and historical facts in the public without prejudice: 24% think so and another 20% say it depends on the issue. That`s why pollsters from IMAS say there could be a huge gap in what people say in polls and what the do in the polling stations -> See Swiss referendum on Minarets and the polls before that. http://diepresse.com/home/politik/innenpolitik/543159/index.do?_vl_backlink=/home/politik/innenpolitik/index.do Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on March 01, 2010, 01:26:12 AM 4% of Austrians wouldn´t mind if someone from the family marries a Muslim. This a pretty interesting fact, because about 3-4% of Austrian citizens are Muslims and I would guess that they don`t mind marrying a Muslim. So it basically means that only 1% of Non-Muslim Austrians wouldn`t have a problem with someone from their family marrying a Muslim. (it certainly depends on how high the number of "undecideds" is in this study, but IMAS hasn`t published it yet on their site) Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on March 01, 2010, 02:17:48 PM The BZÖ announced today that chairman Josef Bucher won´t run for President, nor will any other BZÖ candidate.
That leaves a Fischer (SPÖ) vs. Rosenkranz (FPÖ) race. BTW, Austria`s largest newspaper, the Kronen Zeitung, basically endorsed Rosenkranz today with an editorial urging voters to cast the ballot for her ... :P Maybe another candidate - most likely Rudolf Gehring of the Austrian Christian Party - might qualify for the ballot, but until March 26 he needs to collect 6.000 signatures from voters first. I need your advice: Should I sign a petition for Gehring to ensure that he`s on the ballot and to weaken the rightwinger Rosenkranz, even though I'm against the positions of the Christian Party ? Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Hash on March 01, 2010, 04:33:20 PM There´s also a new IMAS poll in today`s Presse about the image of Islam in Austria: [...] Wow, Austria's a crappy country. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Хahar 🤔 on March 01, 2010, 07:58:51 PM There´s also a new IMAS poll in today`s Presse about the image of Islam in Austria: 54% of Austrian view Islam as a threat to Western lifestyle. 71% say that Islam is not in line with Western values like Democracy and Freedom. 4% of Austrians wouldn´t mind if someone from the family marries a Muslim. 59% want to ban the construction of minarets. 51% want to ban the construction of mosques and the wearing of headscarves. 72% have concerns about the willingness of Muslims in the country to integrate into the society. 61% say "Austria is a Christian country and should remain so". 42% say "the less foreigners in Austria, the better". Another interesting fact is that Austrians do not think that they can openly discuss political and historical facts in the public without prejudice: 24% think so and another 20% say it depends on the issue. That`s why pollsters from IMAS say there could be a huge gap in what people say in polls and what the do in the polling stations -> See Swiss referendum on Minarets and the polls before that. http://diepresse.com/home/politik/innenpolitik/543159/index.do?_vl_backlink=/home/politik/innenpolitik/index.do <3 Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on March 02, 2010, 02:54:36 PM There´s also a new IMAS poll in today`s Presse about the image of Islam in Austria: [...] Wow, Austria's a crappy country. Sometimes it is. Take a look at the postings in the Kronen Zeitung Forum below the article today in which the IKG (Austrian Jewish Council) attacks Rosenkranz as a Cellar-Nazi and her candidacy for President a slap in the face of the Holocaust survivors or victims in general: () Translation of "njutwomen": "Even if I go to jail now: Only a dead jew is a good jew." Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on March 02, 2010, 03:15:51 PM Added a poll now so you can vote as well ... ;)
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on March 04, 2010, 01:31:55 AM New Presidential poll by OGM for News:
Fischer (SPÖ): 74% (-5) Rosenkranz (FPÖ): 26% (+5) Turnout should drop to as low as 58% according to the poll, because many ÖVP, Green and BZÖ voters are staying at home. Rosenkranz has given a few interviews so far and has now started a full fight for Freedom of Speech and she wants to abolish Austria`s law of Nazi prohibition. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Verbotsgesetz_1947 For example she said that Freedom of Speech should also apply for the most scurrile, absurdest and reprehensible opinions. In many interviews she has said that the denial of the existence of gas chambers in WW2 should be part of Freedom of Speech. Meanwhile, the Neo-Nazi Austrian NVP (Nationale Volkspartei) has endorsed Rosenkranz's candidacy, saying that she`s full in line with NVP issues. The NVP was banned to participate in the 2009 Upper Austria state elections because it violated the above mentioned Verbotsgesetz. The ÖVP, the Greens and the BZÖ leaders on the other hand refused to endorse Fischer over Rosenkranz, saying that their voters are politically mature enough to vote for a candidate. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on March 04, 2010, 02:14:09 PM http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Verbotsgesetz_1947 A Vienna lawyer has sued Rosenkranz today because of violation of the above mentioned Verbotsgesetz. The FPÖ is now suing the lawyer and Rosenkranz now says "she doesn`t want to abolish the Verbotsgesetz". President Fischer, until now very quiet about Rosenkranz, attacked her really hard today and said that he wants a firewall against Nazism in Austria and that her denial/positions on the Holocaust are completely wrong and cannot be tolerated. Also, members of the ÖVP and Greens are now starting to attack Rosenkranz. Let`s see how this impacts her poll numbers. Normally, attacks by the Left lead to an increase of Far-Right poll support here ... Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on March 05, 2010, 02:16:35 PM New Standard/Market poll:
Fischer: 65% Rosenkranz: 17% Undecided: 18% Interestingly (well not really), Green voters are most likely to back Fischer over Rosenkranz. 84% of Austrians believe that Fischer will win the Presidential election, 6% say Rosenkranz and 3% say another candidate will win (even if there's no other candidate yet). 48% of Austrians say they are satisfied with the current field of candidates (only 2), 46% are not satisfied and want more candidates (especially ÖVP and Green voters). http://derstandard.at/1267743364505/46-Prozent-wuenschen-sich-Alternative-zu-Fischer-und-Rosenkranz Rosenkranz is coming under more criticism from SPÖ, ÖVP and Green party officials - with some ÖVP members calling her "unacceptable" for ÖVP voters and yeah, Green officials are generally very anti-Nazi and Alexander Van der Bellen is backing Fischer`s re-election. Also, Cardinal Christoph Schönborn has attacked Rosenkranz and called her "unelectable". Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on March 05, 2010, 03:19:05 PM Disgusting:
Facebook group shut as users call for Nazi camp reopening A Facebook group calling for the "reopening" of Austrian concentration camp Mauthausen was taken offline after winning more than 13,000 members, officials have said. Political scientist Markus Rachbauer said members of the group called "Child abusers, we’ll reopen Mauthausen for you!" belittled Nazi era crimes. "People posting messages there called for torture and murder," he said. Facebook user Antonia F., for example, wrote she would "personally turn up the gas" for child abusers, while others suggested drug dealers, murderers and "social benefits parasites" should be gassed. Willy Mernyi, head of the Mauthausen Committee Austria (MKÖ), said: "We immediately appealed to Facebook to shut this group down when we heard of its existence." The Austrian Constitution Protection Authority (BVT) said today (Fri) it was investigating. http://austrianindependent.com/news/General_News/2010-03-05/1403/Facebook_group_shut_as_users_call_for_Nazi_camp_reopening VIENNA (Reuters) - A former concentration camp in Austria has been vandalized with anti-Semitic and anti-Turkish graffiti by suspected far-right activists, police and officials said on Friday. Abuse was scrawled on the outer wall of the Mauthausen camp near Linz overnight and no culprits had been found, Michael Tischlinger, head of the provincial anti-terrorism police, told the Austrian Press Agency. "Such a desecration is not a prank, the culprits had a select target," said Willi Mernyi, head of the Mauthausen Committee which helps oversee the site where around 100,000 people died during Nazi rule in Austria in 1938-45. "There is an active far-right scene in Upper Austria that does not even shrink away from vandalizing a former concentration camp," Mernyi said in a statement. The case shows authorities need to clamp down more on the extreme right, local Social Democrat politician Josef Ackerl said. Local police and Austria's interior ministry were not available for comment. Far-right parties together captured nearly a third of the vote in Austria's 2008 national elections and feed off xenophobia and anti-European sentiment in the insular Alpine Republic. http://ca.reuters.com/article/topNews/idCATRE6243PH20100305 Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Hash on March 05, 2010, 04:09:46 PM Austria should be treated as a joke, just like Oklahoma. They're the same.
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on March 06, 2010, 03:52:32 AM The Austrian Communist Party (KPÖ) wants the Interior Ministry to ban the presidential candidacy of Barbara Rosenkranz, because according to them she violates the Verbotsgesetz.
Rosenkranz is now also attacked by FPÖ-members: The Tyrol-FPÖ leader Gerald Hauser said that her positions about the Verbotsgesetz and about the existence of gas chambers in WW2 are not "in line with the mainstream of the FPÖ". Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on March 06, 2010, 11:22:13 AM After hiding behind extreme right-wing codes like "questioning the existence of gas chambers during WW2 is freedom of speech" and "I`ve grown up with the historical image of WW2 that was taught from 1946-1970" and big pressure from the media, party officials and intellectuals, Rosenkranz has said in a "Presse" interview today that "the existence of gas chambers and murdering of people there is undeniable." She`ll also give a speech/interview about it on Monday to distance herself more from the extreme views.
Don´t know though if her statement on Monday will lead to voters being more likely to vote for her, like Obama`s Philly speech saved his campaign. For me at least, a Nazi-Wolf who eats the chalk is still a Nazi-Wolf (http://www.english-test.net/forum/ftopic30240.html#112290). Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Mjh on March 06, 2010, 01:03:32 PM There´s also a new IMAS poll in today`s Presse about the image of Islam in Austria: [...] Wow, Austria's a crappy country. Still better than Greece though. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Hash on March 06, 2010, 01:07:46 PM There´s also a new IMAS poll in today`s Presse about the image of Islam in Austria: [...] Wow, Austria's a crappy country. Still better than Greece though. No. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on March 08, 2010, 02:10:08 AM New IMAS/Kronen Zeitung poll for next Sunday`s Styria town council elections:
ÖVP: 43% SPÖ: 40% FPÖ: 7% Greens: 3% Others: 7% And the same poll for the Styria state elections in the fall: ÖVP: 39% SPÖ: 39% Greens: 9% FPÖ: 7% KPÖ: 5% BZÖ: 2% Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on March 08, 2010, 08:35:55 AM At a press conference today and in presence of a notary, Rosenkranz repeated in a statutory declaration (which she then signed) that she condemned in firm conviction the crimes of National Socialism and that she decidedly dissociates herself from the Nazi ideology. She also said that she doesn't want to abolish the Austrian Verbotsgesetz and that she never called it into question.
Officials from the other parties though called her statement worthless and that she remains unelectable. Josef Bucher from the BZÖ called on the ÖVP to nominate an independent bourgeois/center-right candidate, because Fischer is a far-left Socialist and Rosenkranz a weirdo Right-winger. Let`s see what the next polls are saying: I guess Fischer will drop to about 60%, Rosenkranz will have about 20% and the rest undecided. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on March 09, 2010, 10:09:06 AM The FPÖ isn´t coming out of the negative headlines it seems:
Today, a FPÖ-MP sent a letter to the Catholic Vienna Archbishop Schönborn and heavily attacked him from calling Rosenkranz unelectable for President. He said that Schönborn shouldn`t meddle with politics because of the separation of church and state and should rather focus on the current problems within the Catholic church. Well, this letter by the FPÖ-MP certainly won`t drive the large masses of Catholic-ÖVP-voting people into the Rosenkranz camp ... ;) Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on March 10, 2010, 10:11:40 AM The pollster OGM has asked the following for "News":
"Do you think that the recent comments from Rosenkranz about distancing herself from the Nazi crimes and the keeping of the Verbotsgesetz are trustworthy ?" Not trustworthy: 66% Trustworthy: 19% FPÖ-voters: Not trustworthy: 41% Trustworthy: 38% ÖVP-voters: Not trustworthy: 75% Trustworthy: 12% http://www.news.at/articles/1010/13/264010/kein-vertrauen-barbara-rosenkranz-66-prozent-sie-nicht Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on March 12, 2010, 09:19:41 AM No new polls out, except a new trust index by OGM:
President Heinz Fischer: 76% trust, 18% no trust Barbara Rosenkranz: 13% trust, 61% no trust http://www.ogm.at/pdfs/BP-Kandidaten_Maerz10.pdf Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on March 12, 2010, 12:26:53 PM Amusing side fact that has nothing to do with the Presidency:
Hans-Peter Martin, Independent Austrian Member of the EU Parliament was invited to an ATV debate about the influence of the Kronen Zeitung in Austria`s politics. He said that he was appalled that the Kronen Zeitung backed Rosenkranz for President. When a "Standard" journalist just next to Martin was interviewed right after the show and said that Martin was pissed that the Kronen Zeitung was backing Rosenkranz for President and not Martin for President, he shouted into the camera: " F**k You !" ;) http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FiwhUpvoeIY Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Хahar 🤔 on March 12, 2010, 06:56:43 PM Doesn't the Kronen Zeitung own Martin?
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on March 13, 2010, 01:21:11 AM Doesn't the Kronen Zeitung own Martin? Yeah, during the 2006 parliamentary elections and the 2009 EU elections he frequently wrote editorials in the "Kronen Zeitung", but he has not appeared there now for several months. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on March 13, 2010, 02:10:49 AM Whoa, Le Pen might actually have a race with Rosenkranz !
New Gallup/Ö24 poll (800 Austrians aged 16+ questioned this week): Fischer: 84% (+5) Rosenkranz: 16% (-5) "Do you think that Rosenkranz shares Nazi-ideology ?" 63% Yes 20% No Under-30 year olds: 76% Seniors: 72% FPÖ-voters: 36% "For you personally, is Rosenkranz electable?" 20% Yes 72% No ÖVP-voters: 18% Yes FPÖ-voters: 64% Yes, 29% No ... That is pretty obvious now, my parents (also FPÖ-voters) will NOT vote for Rosenkranz (my dad even says Fischer has done a good job (Rosenkranz is too radical for them) and many young (Strache)-voters will also not back her. I guess my parents will just stay at home this time and sit this out and I will go and vote for Fischer. http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/Rosenkranz-faellt-unter-20--Marke-0663956.ece Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on March 13, 2010, 03:03:39 AM New Profil/Karmasin federal poll:
SPÖ: 33% ÖVP: 32% FPÖ: 20% Greens: 11% BZÖ: 2% Others: 2% This is the first time since about 1 year that the Social Democrats have overtaken the Conservatives. Probably has to do with the Chancellor Faymann proposed bank-tax and with the dilettantish behaviour of Interior Minister Maria Fekter of the ÖVP who wanted to plant an asylum centre into the state of Burgenland just prior to state elections where the SPÖ is now heavily favored (or always has been). Direct vote for Chancellor: Josef Pröll (ÖVP): 27% Werner Faymann (SPÖ): 25% Heinz-Christian Strache (FPÖ): 8% Eva Glawischnig (Greens): 7% "Do you think that the presidential candidacy of Barbara Rosenkranz (FPÖ) will hurt FPÖ-leader Strache in the October Vienna state elections ?" 37% Yes 14% No 25% Will have no impact 24% Undecided http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20100313_OTS0008/profil-umfrage-spoe-ueberholt-oevp-proell-weiterhin-vor-faymann/channel/medien http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20100313_OTS0011/profil-mehrheit-glaubt-rosenkranz-kandidatur-schade-fpoe-chef-strache Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on March 13, 2010, 03:34:04 AM It looks like Rosenkranz attended a 1991 Neo-Nazi meeting in France:
Someone has apparently found her in a Documentary ("Wahrheit macht Frei") about Neonazis, listening and laughing to Holocaust-denier David Irving's speeches about the existence of gas chambers. The article says that the clip is now forensicly examined to prove its really her. If true and pressured about it, hopefully this will be the end of her campaign. http://de.indymedia.org/2010/03/275586.shtml http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ypXBz61I6_4 Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on March 13, 2010, 04:06:07 AM The latest Gallup/Ö24 poll is similar to the Karmasin/Profil poll:
SPÖ: 32% (+2) ÖVP: 32% (-1) FPÖ: 20% (-2) Greens: 12% (+1) BZÖ: 2% (nc) Others: 2% (nc) Direct vote for Chancellor: Josef Pröll (ÖVP): 38% (-1) Werner Faymann (SPÖ): 36% (+1) http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20100313_OTS0018/oesterreich-spoe-und-oevp-in-umfrage-kopf-an-kopf Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on March 14, 2010, 01:45:04 AM Today, town-council and mayoral elections will be held in Lower Austria, Tyrol and Vorarlberg.
The 2004/2005 elections in these states were very favorable to the ÖVP, they got about 55% of all mandates in Lower Austria and 63% in Tyrol. Basically 70-90% of all mayors are from the ÖVP. Here`s a list of how many people are eligible to vote (all Austrian citizens aged 16+ are allowed to vote and also all EU-citizens with main residence in one of the states): Lower Austria: 1.458.779 Tyrol: 462.821 Vorarlberg: 275.905 Turnout should be around 75% in Lower Austria and Tyrol and 70% in Vorarlberg. Just a few days ago, the SPÖVP government announced that it would raise taxes to balance the 4% budget-deficit by 2013. It will be interesting to see if SPÖVP will take a hit or not for these proposals. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on March 14, 2010, 10:25:31 AM Vorarlberg is almost fully counted and the ÖVP is still dominating there with slight increases. Also, the FPÖ is gaining some ground compared with 2005. The mainly bad elections for the FPÖ were the mayor of Lustenau, a city which had only FPÖ mayors since 1960. This time it was won by the ÖVP guy. They also lost the mayor of Mittelberg to the ÖVP. The FPÖ-candidate there crashed from 56% to 31%.
In Tyrol, the FPÖ also gained some ground and won a mayoral election in East Tyrol. Another strange thing happened in the city of Sellrain, where the SPÖ candidate ran against his son, who ran on an independent list. Both of them lost and the winner was the incumbent ÖVP mayor ... :P On the other hand, Tyrol and Vorarlberg are not important. The really important state today is only Lower Austria, the home state of Barbara Rosenkranz who is FPÖ-leader there and top candidate for the FPÖ there. The polls there close in 15 minutes and then we can see how the FPÖ does compared with 2005. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on March 14, 2010, 11:26:30 AM First trends from Lower Austria:
ÖVP: Strong gains SPÖ: Strong losses FPÖ: moderate gains Greens: more or less like 2005 Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on March 14, 2010, 11:59:06 AM Harmannsdorf (hometown of Barbara Rosenkranz):
ÖVP: 55.4% (-5.1%) SPÖ: 31.2% (-1.6%) FPÖ: 13.4% (+6.7%) Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on March 14, 2010, 12:37:33 PM The newspapers are already up with headlines like "SPÖ losing stretch continues" and so on.
Well, they are correct. The SPÖ has lost strongly with the bigger cities (10.000 people+) now coming in. In Wr. Neustadt, where Fezzy is studying, they lost about 15% and the FPÖ is gaining strongly in cities like Bad Vöslau, where a mosque was recently opened. The ÖVP and FPÖ in general had a good day in all 3 states, the SPÖ has also terrible losses in Tyrol and Vorarlberg, where they now only have 1 (!!!) mayor in 98 cities. Don`t know how the media will spin this on President Fischer`s reelection chances, but not good news for him and for the SPÖ. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Filuwaúrdjan on March 14, 2010, 03:40:07 PM If the last time these seats were contested was 2005 (though I might be misreading), then SPÖ losses can't be viewed as at all surprising as they were in opposition then and lead the government now.
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on March 15, 2010, 01:06:53 AM If the last time these seats were contested was 2005 (though I might be misreading), then SPÖ losses can't be viewed as at all surprising as they were in opposition then and lead the government now. Well, on the other hand all 3 states are ÖVP strongholds and in all 3 of them the ÖVP had landslide victories at more than 50% in the last state elections. Municipial elections are more influenced by the state governments than the federal government, but even more so they are completely candidate based. And if the ÖVP had 70-90% of mayors in the previous elections and (historically) people are satisfied with their mayors, then it`s very uncommon that the SPÖ can improve their ground. The results of yesterday are just a continuation of the Lower Austrian state elections 2 years ago and are very similar to them. BTW, here`s the final result of Lower Austria: () Turnout was 72% (+0.5%) Also, strong losses for the SPÖ in Tyrol and Vorarlberg, where turnout was 74% and 63%. Here`s the final result of Vorarlberg: () Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on March 17, 2010, 03:18:31 PM Latest OGM/News poll:
Fischer: 81% (-3) Rosenkranz: 19% (+3) ÖVP Voters: Fischer 81%, Rosenkranz 19% Young voters (16-29): Fischer 87%, Rosenkranz 13% Projected turnout: 54% (would be the lowest ever, minus 18% compared with 2004) Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on March 17, 2010, 04:49:46 PM Seems like we are getting a 3rd candidate for President:
Rudolf Gehring, head of the Fundie CPÖ (Christian Party of Austria), has already more than 4000 of the 6000 signatures that are needed to be on the April 25 ballot. He might turn out to be a protest candidate, because if ÖVP voters really go to the polls and see the names Fischer (liberal Socialist) and Rosenkranz (hard-core rightwinger/Nazi) on the ballot and then a guy from the Christian Party, then they might vote for him instead of voting blank. I could see him getting 5-10%. Unsurprisingly, Fischer and Rosenkranz have already finished their collecting of signatures but mentioned no total number so far. In the 3 weeks, Fischer collected about 40.000 of them before the 2004 elections. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on March 19, 2010, 02:24:44 PM New general polls about Austria (& Germany) and the Church (scandals):
20% of Austrians consider leaving the Catholic Church right now, because of the recent sex scandals within the Catholic church throughout Europe. According to a new IMAS poll, 83% of Austrians consider themselves Christian (78% Catholics, 5% Protestants) and 17% have either another faith (6% Islam) or no faith. By 41-34, Austrians also say that the 10 Commandments are a strict guideline of everyday life. 83% of Austrians and 87% of Germans (Infratest dimap) also want to abolish the Celibate. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on March 20, 2010, 02:15:08 PM Interesting turn of events recently:
The Austrian public TV broadcaster ORF apparently paid 2 skinheads to attend a FPÖ-campaign event in Wiener Neustadt where FPÖ leader Strache was giving autographs and when they were next to Strache they should shout: "Sieg Heil !" on camera. Strache says he has a private video of the incident where they actually say it and says the ORF has manipulated their video material so that the skinheads said something else. He said the FPÖ will release their video soon, the ORF has already released their video. The police is now investigating the events. If the ORF was really trying to scandalize Strache, this would be huge news and a huge scandal for the ORF ... The last thing we need right now is a 1986 redux, in which people think the FPÖ is the victim of the leftist media and support Rosenkranz just because of these attacks (the "more-than-ever-campaign"). Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on March 21, 2010, 01:38:45 AM Today, there are town council and mayoral elections in the state of Styria, which will hold state elections later in the fall. 800.000 people are eligible to vote (in all cities, except the capital Graz). Here`s a map of the 2005 Styria town council elections:
() In 2005, the SPÖ gained strongly and was basically tied with the ÖVP, which served as an early indicator of the following ÖVP`s defeat in the 2005 state elections. This time it is expected that the SPÖ will lose and that the ÖVP and the FPÖ will gain. Today, there`s also a referendum in 3 counties in Southern Burgenland on the construction of an asylum center. I think that 60-80% of voters will vote AGAINST the construction. The town in which the ÖVP-proposed center should be built, has already voted a few weeks ago: 92% were against the construction. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on March 21, 2010, 08:51:36 AM Early reports indicate heavy losses for the SPÖ in many places (-5 to -15%), in others the SPÖ fell by almost 30% and the ÖVP is gaining strongly. The FPÖ remains relatively low in the early reports. Official numbers will be released in about 1 hour when the polls in all cities are closed.
Turnout should remain high due to good weather. Something like 80%. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on March 21, 2010, 09:08:45 AM The town Eberau in Southern Burgenland where the asylum center should be built has now released their results and even more people voted "NO" this time than 1 month ago: 96%.
Results from cities in all 3 counties voting on the center today will be released in about 1 hour. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on March 21, 2010, 09:31:05 AM With 453 of 540 cities in Styria counted:
ÖVP: 50.70% (+3.36%) SPÖ: 35.44% (-4.73%) FPÖ: 5.98% (+0.19%) Greens: 1.57% KPÖ: 0.85% BZÖ: 0.42% Independents: 5.04% Turnout: 79.27% (nc) Many bigger cities are left and the margin between ÖVP and SPÖ will narrow. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on March 21, 2010, 09:38:23 AM Results of the referendum in 3 counties in Southern Burgenland:
"Do you favor or oppose building a center for asylum seekers in Southern Burgenland ?" 94.41% NO 5.59% YES The highest YES vote was in Stinatz with 15.2%, the lowest in Wolfau with 2.1% Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on March 21, 2010, 11:54:24 AM Final results in Styria:
ÖVP: 46.72% (+3.36%) SPÖ: 37.73% (-5.60%) FPÖ: 6.52% (+0.68%) GRE: 2.08% (-0.24%) KPÖ: 1.13% (+0.46%) BZÖ: 0.57% (+0.57%) IND: 5.25% (+0.77%) Mandates: ÖVP: 4.081 (+263) SPÖ: 2.574 (-366) FPÖ: 354 (+51) GRE: 83 (-11) KPÖ: 28 (+15) BZÖ: 13 (+13) IND: 374 (+35) Turnout: 77.33% (-0.48%) https://egov.stmk.gv.at/wahlen/GR2010/GR2010_60000.html Well this certainly means that the SPÖ will have a very tough time in the fall to defend their 2005 results. Governor Franz Voves of the SPÖ could be gone in a few months if ÖVP/FPÖ form a coalition. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on March 23, 2010, 10:01:17 AM Currently I´m still undecided if I should sign a petition for Rudolf Gehring, the fundie from the CPÖ (Christian Party of Austria) to appear on the Presidential ballot.
The deadline for obtaining the 6000 signatures ends on Friday and Gehring currently has 4500. Even though I´m against the platform of the Christian Party, I play with the thought of signing the petition to see the CPÖ on the ballot, to see how many ÖVP voters actually back them and also to see the CPÖ act as a spoiler for Rosenkranz and the FPÖ. So, what do you think I should do in the next 3 days ? Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on March 23, 2010, 11:23:22 AM Right now, President Heinz Fischer (SPÖ) is starting his official campaign for re-election with a speech in Vienna.
Currently Austrian Chancellor Werner Faymann (SPÖ) is speaking. http://www.heinzfischer.at/livestream Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Хahar 🤔 on March 23, 2010, 03:23:20 PM Do it.
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on March 24, 2010, 01:23:55 AM That probably won`t be necessary. In the latest newspaper reports it says that Gehring now has more than 5000 signatures, which means he`s collecting about 500 signatures every day now and there are still 3 days to go. And if a candidate is close to the 6000 he can apply for an extension at the Interior ministry, to collect signatures for 3 additional days. Plus: Rosenkranz has submitted 11.000 signatures to the Interior ministry yesterday. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on March 25, 2010, 01:08:18 AM Latest Styria state elections poll by OGM for "News":
ÖVP: 39% (nc) SPÖ: 37% (-5) FPÖ: 10% (+5) GRE: 7% (+2) KPÖ: 3% (-3) BZÖ: 3% (+1) Others: 1% (nc) Right: 52% (+6) Left: 47% (-6) http://www.news.at/articles/1012/11/265060/news-ogm-umfrage-steiermark-wahl-die-spoe-oevp OGM also asked Austrians if they favor a complete smoking ban - proposed by the Greens - in all bars and pubs: 52% Oppose 45% Support http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20100324_OTS0134/news-repraesentativ-umfrage-knappe-mehrheit-gegen-rauchverbot Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on March 25, 2010, 01:18:25 AM Latest federal poll - ATV Austria Trend by Peter Hajek:
ÖVP: 35% (+9%) SPÖ: 28% (-1%) FPÖ: 20% (+2%) GRE: 11% (+1%) BZÖ: 3% (-8%) Others: 3% (-3%) Right: 58% (+3%) Left: 39% (nc) Direct vote for Chancellor: Josef Pröll (ÖVP): 29% Werner Faymann (SPÖ): 18% H.C. Strache (FPÖ): 10% Eva Glawischnig (GRE): 5% Josef Bucher (BZÖ): 2% http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20100324_OTS0218/atv-oesterreich-trend-faymann-weiter-im-tief-nur-18-bei-kanzlerfrage Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on March 26, 2010, 01:17:13 AM Rudolf Gehring of the Austrian Christian Party (CPÖ) has announced yesterday that he has more than the 6000 signatures that are needed to be on the Presidential ballot.
Therefore he`s the 3rd and final candidate for President. He doesn`t have a lot of money to run a campaign, nor does he have any media attention. I don`t really see him getting more than 5%, but he could get more if some ÖVP voters decide to support him. On the other hand, President Heinz Fischer is starting his re-election campaign with a bus-tour across Austria: () Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on March 26, 2010, 01:31:17 AM Also yesterday, about 6000 people turned out in Vienna to protest the presidential candidacy of Barbara Rosenkranz (FPÖ) in a "sea of lights", initiated by leftist groups, influential media people, actors, writers, students, the Austrian Jewish Council, and the creator of the biggest Anti-Rosenkranz Facebook group which already has 100.000 members:
() () () () Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Хahar 🤔 on March 26, 2010, 02:58:37 PM What does the sign in the first picture say?
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: freek on March 26, 2010, 09:03:08 PM What does the sign in the first picture say? In English, it would be something like 'Ms Rosenkranz, study (the) history'. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on March 27, 2010, 01:14:16 AM The number of signatures submitted to the Interior Ministry (the deadline for Presidential signatures was yesterday):
Fischer: 45.000 Rosenkranz: 10.500 Gehring: 8.000 The preliminary number of eligible voters in Austria for April 25: 6.354.551 (+323.569, +5.4% compared with 2004) => 85% of all Austrian citizens. 3.306.479 women 3.048.072 men http://www.bmi.gv.at/cms/BMI_wahlen/bundespraes/bpw_2010/Wahlberechtigte.aspx Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on March 28, 2010, 12:43:25 AM New Gallup/Ö24 poll:
Fischer: 86.4% Rosenkranz: 13.6% Plus: 44.6% of FPÖ-voters say they will vote for Fischer. http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20100327_OTS0064/oesterreich-nur-mehr-136-prozent-fuer-rosenkranz/channel/politik Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on March 28, 2010, 01:34:47 AM Has not really much to do with the election, but yesterday the new Swiss President - Doris Leuthard - visited Vienna and President Heinz Fischer. Still very good publicity for Fischer to show that he`s the experienced incumbent with good relations around the globe - contrary to Rosenkranz. Some pics:
() () () () Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Хahar 🤔 on March 28, 2010, 12:57:25 PM Swiss President?
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on March 30, 2010, 12:33:42 AM Swiss President? Yepp: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/President_of_Switzerland Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on March 30, 2010, 09:55:28 AM President Fischer has argued that Parliament should create a 8-year term for President, without the possibility of re-election, primarily to cut tax costs and avoid costly campaigns for the parties.
I guess this would make us the only country with Presidential 8-year terms, or do you know any other countries (except the dictator-countries like Venezuela, Cuba, North Korea, etc.) ? Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on April 01, 2010, 01:05:35 PM Well, 3 new polls:
ATV Austria Trend (1000 Austrians 16+ questioned) Fischer: 80% Rosenkranz: 13% Other candidate: 2% Invalid: 5% Turnout projection: 63% will definitely vote 17% will probably vote 13% will not vote 7% are undecided http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20100331_OTS0109/atv-oesterreich-trend-fischer-mit-80-favorit-vor-rosenkranz-mit-13 Market (1000 Austrians 16+ questioned) ÖVP: 31% (+5) SPÖ: 27% (-2) FPÖ: 21% (+3) GRE: 12% (+2) BZÖ: 4% (-7) OTH: 5% (-1) http://www.market.at/news/index.php/action.view/entity.news_detail/key.436/ Karmasin for Profil "Do you want the Pope to step down ?" Yes: 34% No: 57% http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20100401_OTS0006/profil-jeder-dritte-fuer-ruecktritt-des-papstes/channel/politik Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on April 01, 2010, 01:32:59 PM New Market/Standard poll:
Fischer: 71% Rosenkranz: 13% Gehring: 2% Undecided: 14% http://derstandard.at/1269448736365/71-Prozent-fuer-Fischer-13-Prozent-fuer-Rosenkranz Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on April 01, 2010, 01:55:20 PM Also:
Unemployment in the country is now dropping for the first time since the economic crisis began. At the end of March, 266.000 people were unemployed, which is down by 2% compared with March 2009. The national unemployment rate was 7.5% in March, the Eurostat calculated rate was 5.0% for February (second lowest in the EU). Unemployment rates by state: Salzburg (yeah): 4.6% Upper Austria: 5.4% Tyrol: 5.7% Vorarlberg: 6.9% Styria: 8.0% Lower Austria: 8.2% Vienna: 8.7% Burgenland: 9.1% Carinthia (lol): 10.6% () Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on April 04, 2010, 07:53:58 AM Here are 2 maps showing in which areas of Austria Rosenkranz and Gehring might have the biggest potential in the upcoming Presidential elections:
The first map shows the combined percentage of the Austrian Right in the 2008 elections. () Right: Light Blue = 50-60%, Medium Blue = 60-70%, Dark Blue = 70-80% Left: Red (50-60%) The second map shows which counties were won by the Far-Right (FPÖ+BZÖ+CPÖ). () Far-Right: Blue ÖVP: Black SPÖ: Red Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on April 10, 2010, 12:14:36 AM New Gallup/Ö24 poll:
Fischer: 82% Rosenkranz: 14% Gehring: 4% FPÖ-voters: Rosenkranz: 44% Fischer: 25% ÖVP-voters: Fischer: 64% Rosenkranz: 8% Rosenkranz support in some states: Vienna: 4% Tyrol: 10% Lower Austria: 10% (Don`t know how Gallup thinks Rosenkranz will get 14% if she only has 4-10% in Austria`s largest states. Probably based on the fact that they only questioned 400 people. I guess Rosenkranz slightly underpolls right now by about 3-5%, but we'll see on election day.) Overall, 78% of the people questioned by Gallup said they have already decided who to vote for, while 18% are still undecided how they will vote. Turnout is now projected to be around 66% (-6% compared with 2004). http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20100409_OTS0279/oesterreich-umfrage-fischer-mit-82-prozent-weiter-klar-vor-rosenkranz-mit-14-prozent-gehring-bei-4-prozent There`s also a new general election poll by Gallup for Ö24: ÖVP: 34% SPÖ: 29% FPÖ: 20% GRE: 12% BZÖ: 3% OTH: 2% http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20100410_OTS0001/oesterreich-umfrage-oevp-schon-5-prozentpunkte-vor-der-spoe Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on April 11, 2010, 12:33:23 AM New Profil/Karmasin Motivforschung poll:
Fischer: 82% Rosenkranz: 12% Gehring: 6% http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20100410_OTS0004/profil-acht-von-zehn-bei-bundespraesidentenwahl-fuer-heinz-fischer Vorarlberg presidential poll for the VN: Fischer: 72% Rosenkranz: 20% Gehring: 8% http://activepaper.tele.net/vntipps/Bundespraesident_Wahl_Umfrage_VN_Berndt.pdf New Vienna state elections poll by Gallup for Ö24: SPÖ: 44% (-5 compared with 2005) FPÖ: 22% (+7) ÖVP: 16% (-3) GRE: 15% (nc) OTH: 3% (+1) http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20100411_OTS0001/oesterreich-umfrage-fuer-wien-haeupl-baut-ab-behaelt-aber-mit-44-prozent-klar-die-mehrheit Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on April 11, 2010, 07:22:51 AM Vienna mayor says Turkish schools 'possible'
Social Democratic (SPÖ) Vienna Mayor Michael Häupl revealed he could imagine Turkish schools in Austria. Speaking at a joint press conference with Kadri Ecvet Tezcan, Turkey’s ambassador in Austria, Häupl said today (Fri) he thought it was "possible" that there would be Turkish schools in the Austrian capital one day. The mayor also stressed however how important it was that young Turks living in Vienna take mother language courses. Around 6,000 immigrant students from the country currently sit such classes. Tezcan said experts have pointed out that mastering one’s mother tongue was essential to being able to learn a foreign language. He stressed this was a key condition for functioning integration. There are around 15,900 children of Turkish roots born in Turkey or Austria attending primary and secondary schools in the city. They make a 13.7 per cent share of children at primary schools, and a 17.8 per cent share at Hauptschulen (secondary modern schools). But attempts at ensuring a peaceful coexistence in Austria have suffered some sort of setback with the results of an IMAS survey revealing earlier this week that 54 per cent of Austrians agreed with the statement "Islam poses a threat for the west and our familiar lifestyle". The agency said it had also found out 72 per cent believed Muslims would "not stick to the rules" when it comes to living in Austria. Around 500,000 Muslims live in Austria, most of them in the western province of Vorarlberg and in Vienna. While Freedom Party (FPÖ) boss Heinz-Christian Strache said the IMAS study’s results confirmed his party’s policies, Greens MP Alev Korun said there must be more encounters and communication between people to reduce lack of knowledge about religions and lifestyles. "Not being informed about other’s living customs and religions is a hotbed for prejudice and fear," she claimed. Vienna People’s Party’s (ÖVP) integration issues spokeswoman Sirvan Ekici meanwhile claimed the Vienna SPÖ’s "failed integration policies" created perfect conditions for the policies of the right-wing FPÖ. Polls have shown that the ruling SPÖ is under threat of losing its absolute majority in this autumn’s Vienna parliament elections, while the FPÖ will almost certainly increase its share. http://austrianindependent.com/news/Politics/2010-04-09/2057/Vienna_mayor_says_Turkish_schools_%27possible%27 ... Damn, Häupl's really trying hard to lose the election (or better said lose more than 10% of the votes compared with 2005) ... :P Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on April 14, 2010, 12:37:54 AM Salzburg presidential poll by IGF for the SF:
Fischer: 76% Rosenkranz: 11% Gehring: 6% Invalid: 7% Salzburg state elections poll, also by IGF: ÖVP: 40% (+3) SPÖ: 38% (-1) FPÖ: 12% (-1) GRE: 7% (nc) BZÖ: 1% (-3) OTH: 2% (+2) http://www.salzburger-fenster.at/rubrik/lokales/1310/sf-umfrage-fischer-76-rosenkranz_15725.html Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on April 15, 2010, 12:43:21 AM With slightly over a week until the Presidential elections, the Greens have now officially endorsed President Fischer`s reelection.
That was no surprise, because the Greens have almost a moral obligation to back Fischer in light of Rosenkranz's backwards Nazi ideology and was also clear before the endorsement, because in the polls Green voters backed Fischer even more than SPÖ voters. Plus, the OSCE will send a small team to monitor the elections here (a routine procedure in EU council countries, I guess they were also invited to monitor US elections previously). The interesting part is that a lot of the members from the OSCE team are coming from really "democratic" countries like Belarus, Georgia and Moldova. Salzburg's mayor even thought it was an April joke that these guys would monitor our elections ... :P Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on April 15, 2010, 02:29:14 PM Rosenkranz gets grilled by students from Vienna and Tyrol for 1 hour on ORF:
http://tvthek.orf.at/topics/Bundespr%C3%A4sidentschaftswahl/1347086-Wahl-10---Meine-Frage/segments/1348406-wahl-10---meine-frage There won`t be a TV debate between President Fischer and Rosenkranz though. Rosenkranz of course wants to debate Fischer, but he has declined - because he said that no incumbent President has ever debated a challenger. I´ve watched this thing and after the debate with the students it was really clear that Rosenkranz has virtually zero appeal to first time voters, despite the fact that almost 40% of first time voters voted for the FPÖ in the 2008 parliamentary elections. Contrary to 2008 where first time voters turned out like the rest of the electorate with 80%, many young voters might just stay at home, because Strache is not the candidate. Strache is popular with the young crowd, Rosenkranz - who`s living in a time span from 1200 to 1945 - is not. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on April 17, 2010, 12:28:16 AM New Market poll for the newspaper "Standard":
Fischer: 60% Rosenkranz: 15% Gehring: 4% Undecided/Invalid: 21% http://derstandard.at/1271374535289/Umfrage-Fischers-Ansehen-steigt-Rosenkranz-verliert New Gallup poll for the newspaper "Österreich": Fischer: 80% Rosenkranz: 16% Gehring: 4% Almost 1/5 of those questioned (17%) indicate that they will vote "invalid" on election day. That would be the highest share in a presidential election, in 1980 the record was 7% invalid votes. http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/Umfrage-17--waehlen-weiss-0690005.ece APA/OGM trust index: Fischer: 72% trust, 24% no trust http://www.ogm.at/pdfs/BundespolitikerInnen_April10_HP1.pdf Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on April 17, 2010, 01:33:03 AM Latest Profil/Karmasin Motivforschung poll:
Fischer: 82% Rosenkranz: 13% Gehring: 5% http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20100417_OTS0009/profil-mehr-als-acht-von-zehn-bei-bundespraesidentenwahl-fuer-heinz-fischer Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on April 17, 2010, 04:11:13 AM Another one of the billion reasons not to vote for Rosenkranz:
Der Auftakt zum Höhepunkt des Abends: die Feuerrede von Rosenkranz. Die freiheitliche Landesrätin widmet sich vor allem der mythischen Bedeutung des Feuers, vergangenen Geschlechtern und jenem Brauch, der den Wendepunkt ehrt, „an dem die Zeit des Keimens, des Blühens, des Wachsens zu Ende geht und in die Zeit der Ernte, des Fruchtens und der schlussendlichen Ruhe überführt“. Dazwischen etwas Friedrich Nietzsche, ehe sie in den Niederungen der Realität landet, ein Stilbruch fast, gemeine Worte. „Jede Hure (findet) großes öffentliches Interesse, jeder Transvestitenrummel eine wohlwollende Berichterstattung, die mütterliche Frau dagegen – wenn überhaupt wahrgenommen – wird als Beispiel eines veralteten Rollenbilds allenfalls belächelt“, sagt Rosenkranz. Dankbarer Applaus. Zum Abschluss stimmt die deutschnationale Gesellschaft noch gemeinsam das berüchtigte SS-Lied an, das im so genannten „Dritten Reich“ jeweils bei der Vereidigung eines Neuzugangs zur SS gesungen wurde: „Wenn alle untreu werden“. Ursprünglich handelte es sich dabei um ein Studentenlied, getextet von Max von Schenkendorf. In der NS-Zeit verlor es seine Unschuld. Die Nazis hatten es umgeschrieben. Zuweilen taucht das Lied auch in einer gemäßigten österreichischen Variante auf. Auf der Waldlichtung im Juni 2008 tönte es aus vollen Kehlen in der SS-Version. http://www.profil.at/articles/1015/560/266632/flamme-barbara-rosenkranz-lieder Hopefully Austrians are smart enough to keep her below 10% in the elections. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on April 17, 2010, 09:15:23 AM LOL:
() Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: freek on April 17, 2010, 01:58:19 PM LOL: http://www.salzi.at/svmanager/g439/images/IMG_4068.JPG (http://www.salzi.at/svmanager/g439/images/IMG_4068.JPG) A member of "Garden gnomes for Rosenkranz"? :). Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on April 20, 2010, 12:26:12 AM Some important numbers:
Despite the fact that there was no TV debate between President Fischer and Rosenkranz or Fischer and Gehring, the 2 challengers of Fischer debated each other 2 days ago on ORF. The debate between Rosenkranz and Gehring had about 550.000 watchers, despite the fact that they started at 10pm. This is a very good showing. On the other hand, President Fischer wanted to sway 30 declared non-voters to go to the polls on Sunday, by answering their question on the TV station ATV at 8pm. The show was watched by only 132.000 people. There was also a "Meet the Press" on the previous Sunday, where Fischer was asked questions by 2 journalists. It was seen by 169.000, the week before Rosenkranz had 251.000 watchers on this show. Don`t know what it means for the election, but I guess the polls are slightly overestimating Fischer right now and if he´s not able to motivate his SPÖ/Green voters good enough in the final days, he might even drop below 70% on election day. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Hans-im-Glück on April 21, 2010, 11:56:49 AM The ÖVP has no own candidate. So I can't understand that the ÖVP don't endorse Fischer. Rosenkranz and Gehring are both radical idiots and for a common ÖVP-voter unelectable.
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on April 21, 2010, 02:17:01 PM The ÖVP has no own candidate. So I can't understand that the ÖVP don't endorse Fischer. Rosenkranz and Gehring are both radical idiots and for a common ÖVP-voter unelectable. The high-ranking ÖVP and BZÖ officials argue that an endorsement of Fischer is unnecessary, because voters are politically mature enough to make a decision. Even though the high ranking ÖVP officials (Vice-Chancellor and ministers) have not spoken out in favor of any candidate, some lower level ÖVP officials have endorsed Fischer. I´m not aware that any prominent ÖVP person has endorsed either Rosenkranz or Gehring. I´m not entirely sure what the non-endorsements by ÖVP and BZÖ will mean on election day. Some ÖVP and BZÖ voters will surely cross over and vote for Rosenkranz or Gehring, but to what extent is unclear. There was an important mayoral election last year in the city of Wels (Upper Austria), where the incumbent SPÖ mayor ran for re-election against a right-wing FPÖ idiot. The first round results were: SPÖ: 43% FPÖ: 29% ÖVP: 20% GRE: 6% KPÖ: 2% The second round results were: SPÖ: 53% FPÖ: 47% Turnout was the same in both rounds. That means that roughly 90% of ÖVP voters from the 1st round backed the FPÖ dude in the second round. And now calculate what this would mean if 90% of ÖVP/BZÖ voters back Rosenkranz on Sunday ... Won´t happen, but still, if even 20% of these people back her, it would be an upset for her. On the other side, only the Greens have officially endorsed Fischer, but that doesn`t really matter because even before the endorsement, Green voters backed Fischer with over 90% of the vote - higher than Fischer`s share among SPÖ voters. Plus: Here`s the final number of people eligible to vote on Sunday () Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on April 21, 2010, 02:25:54 PM BTW:
There`s the ATV debate between Rosenkranz (FPÖ) and Gehring (CPÖ) right now. Here`s the live-stream: http://blog.atv.at/ampunkt Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on April 24, 2010, 01:33:38 PM Tomorrow, the Presidential Election will take place.
Polls are open from 7am to 5pm. I guess turnout can be anywhere between 50% and 75%, but I think it will be lower than the 72% in 2004, simply because of the fact that the ÖVP didn`t nominate a candidate and many other voters are not satisfied with the choice between a Socialist, a Nazi and a Christian Fundamentalist. Plus: Many voters will either not vote or vote invalid, because they think that the office of President is completely unnecessary and should be abolished. They think the Chancellor and government is enough. After all, I think the election will be similar to the 1980 Presidential Election, when incumbent President Rudolf Kirchschläger (SPÖ) was re-elected in a 80% landslide against a FPÖ-guy and a Neo-Nazi. The final polls indicate the following: Heinz Fischer (SPÖ-incumbent): ~ 80% Barbara Rosenkranz (FPÖ): ~ 15% Rudolf Gehring (CPÖ): ~ 5% Here are a few charts concerning Presidential elections in Austria: () (The Presidents of Austria by party, SPÖ = red, ÖVP = black, and their election results) () () (The number of people eligible to vote by state) (The turnout and the expected turnout for 2010) () (A short historical portrait of the candidates) Here`s the English version of the Rosenkranz challenge: () "The voice of Barbara Rosenkranz rises above the small crowd in the Ballhausplatz as she makes the case for the far Right in Austria’s presidential elections tomorrow. Her chin is square, her hair forms a tight grey helmet. Ms Rosenkranz, mother of ten children, is, for another 24 hours at least, the great white hope of the radical nationalists in Europe. She is destined to lose against the incumbent President, Heinz Fischer, but if she nets more than 20 per cent of the vote it will be seen as the most significant comeback in Austria since the death of the far-right idol Jörg Haider 18 months ago. “The family is at the heart of our society and it has been betrayed,” she says, raising her voice to drown out the hoots of left-wing demonstrators. The crowd, mainly Freedom Party supporters still mourning Haider, applaud. The word verrat — betrayal — always goes down well in Vienna. They are craggy men in green jackets, a woman shivering in a low-cut dirndl folk dress and a surprising number of young fans — there largely to see Heinz-Christian Strache, 40-year-old leader of the far Right. He and Ms Rosenkranz are the faces of the radical Right revival. He talks of a modern patriotism and the threat of Islam; she thinks that women should stay at home and breed, and that national socialists should not be muzzled." http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/europe/article7106865.ece Results can be found here tomorrow starting at 5pm local time: http://wahl10.bmi.gv.at I predict the following result: Fischer: 67% Rosenkranz: 24% Gehring: 9% Invalid votes as a share of total ballots cast: 15% Total turnout (incl. postal votes): 63% Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on April 25, 2010, 12:09:12 AM Polls have just openend and I`ll vote (for President Fischer, obviously) in about 1 hour.
My parents, normally right-wing voters, will stay home this time. As for the weather, the sky is blue with no clouds in all of Austria today and up to 24°C. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on April 25, 2010, 05:13:50 AM First results from Austria`s smallest town, Gramais in Tyrol:
Fischer: 21 votes (77.8%) Rosenkranz: 5 votes (18.5%) Gehring: 1 vote (3.7%) Turnout: 65.8% (-26.5%) 2004: Ferrero-Waldner: 31 votes (86.1%) Fischer: 5 votes (13.9%) 2008 Parliament: ÖVP: 64.9% BZÖ: 13.5% FPÖ: 5.4% SPÖ: 5.4% Grüne: 5.4% FRITZ: 5.4% Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on April 25, 2010, 09:17:48 AM Polls are closing in roughly 45 minutes and turnout is down by about 20% or more.
The state of Vorarlberg is already fully counted and according to some internal party sources the results there are: Fischer: 82% Gehring: 10% Rosenkranz: 8% (LOLOL) Turnout: 34% (-21%) Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on April 25, 2010, 09:41:38 AM The town of Sonntag (Vorarlberg):
Fischer: 58% Gehring: 40% Rosenkranz: 2% Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on April 25, 2010, 09:50:24 AM Polls in the country close in 10 minutes. First Exit-Polls will be released then.
Here`s a live-stream from ORF: http://tvthek.orf.at/live/1364044 Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on April 25, 2010, 10:02:10 AM 17:00 - First SORA/ORF Exit Poll (Based on 55% of precincts counted):
Heinz Fischer (Incumbent President - SPÖ/endorsed by the Greens): 78.7% Barbara Rosenkranz (FPÖ): 15.5% Rudolf Gehring (CPÖ): 5.8% ..... Turnout: 48.5% (-23%) Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on April 25, 2010, 10:09:02 AM Great result for Fischer and to some extent even for the Christian fundie Gehring, because the CPÖ normally receives only 1% in parliamentary elections.
15% for Rosenkranz is a desaster, because the FPÖ polls at 20%+ right now and not even did she fail to get her own election goal of 17%+ (the best result for a FPÖ presidential candidate, Gredler in 1980), but also did she fail to get the 35% that FPÖ-boss Strache predicted. Seems like Austria doesn`t like the Nazis after all. Too bad that only 50% went to the polls (incl. the remaining postal votes). Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: KuntaKinte on April 25, 2010, 10:24:02 AM Too bad that only 50% went to the polls (incl. the remaining postal votes). The ÖVP is to blame for this, to some extent. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on April 25, 2010, 10:28:12 AM Best result for Rosenkranz so far:
Sankt Georgen am Fillmannsbach (Upper Austria): Fischer: 53% Rosenkranz: 44% Gehring: 3% My county (Zell am See) is already fully counted: Fischer: 78.4% Rosenkranz: 16.3% Gehring: 5.3% Turnout: 47.3% Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on April 25, 2010, 10:32:36 AM Of the counties that are already fully counted, Rosenkranz at more than 20% only in the Carinthia counties ... :P
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on April 25, 2010, 10:36:14 AM The states of Vorarlberg and Burgenland now fully counted:
Vorarlberg Fischer: 81.1% Gehring: 10.8% Rosenkranz: 8.1% Turnout: 34.3% (out of that 4.0% invalid) Burgenland Fischer: 79.0% Rosenkranz: 15.5% Gehring: 5.5% Turnout: 64.1% (out of that 10.8% invalid) Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on April 25, 2010, 10:43:15 AM derStandard.at has a nice map thing with results from all towns, district and states:
http://derstandard.at/1271374985945/Alle-Wahlergebnisse-im-Detail Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on April 25, 2010, 10:46:57 AM The state of Carinthia now fully counted:
Fischer: 73.4% Rosenkranz: 20.8% Gehring: 5.8% Turnout: 46.4% (out of that 7.7% invalid) Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on April 25, 2010, 11:02:21 AM 3 more states now fully counted:
Salzburg Fischer: 77.8% Rosenkranz: 15.9% Gehring: 6.3% Turnout: 48.3% (out of that 6.9% invalid) Upper Austria Fischer: 78.9% Rosenkranz: 15.3% Gehring: 5.8% Turnout: 52.2% (out of that 7.2% invalid) Styria Fischer: 78.2% Rosenkranz: 16.0% Gehring: 5.8% Turnout: 44.2% (out of that 6.3% invalid) Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on April 25, 2010, 11:10:00 AM The state of Tyrol now fully counted:
Fischer: 80.8% Rosenkranz: 13.0% Gehring: 6.2% Turnout: 36.9% (out of that 3.9% invalid) Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on April 25, 2010, 11:26:26 AM After a few Vienna districts already reporting, it is clear that the capital is not much different from the rest of Austria when it comes to support for Rosenkranz.
I guess she`ll get 14-15% there. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on April 25, 2010, 11:38:43 AM If anyone creates a map from the results, it will be pretty red.
Fischer is above 50% in every of the roughly 2400 Austrian cities so far. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on April 25, 2010, 11:41:21 AM The state of Lower Austria is now fully counted:
Fischer: 77.8% Rosenkranz: 17.0% Gehring: 5.2% Turnout: 59.9% (out of that 9.5% invalid) And we are waiting only for Vienna anymore ... (should be counted in about half an hour) Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on April 25, 2010, 11:53:03 AM Vienna now fully counted:
Fischer: 82.5% Rosenkranz: 14.1% Gehring: 3.4% Turnout: 46.2% (out of that 5.7% invalid) ..... That means we have a preliminary final result for Austria (excl. about 200.000 postal votes that will be counted in the coming days): Total votes cast: 3.124.953 (49.2% of eligible voters) Invalid votes: 226.986 (7.3%) Valid votes: 2.897.967 (92.7%) Fischer: 2.287.640 votes (78.9%) Rosenkranz: 452.615 (15.6%) Gehring: 157.712 (5.4%) I`d say that the postal votes will push Fischer close to the 80% barrier and Rosenkranz will go down to about 15% and Gehring to 5%. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on April 25, 2010, 12:01:05 PM A pretty interesting result is the fact that Rosenkranz got only 7-8% in 3 of the 4 Vorarlberg districts, while she got 8.5% in Vienna-07.
Context: Vorarlberg is the most conservative state in Austria. The Right got about 80% there in last years state election. Vienna-07 is the most liberal district in Austria, with 70-80% voting for the Left and about 35-40% for the Greens (many students and hippies there). Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: KuntaKinte on April 25, 2010, 12:04:50 PM Amazing how geographically consistent the results are, especially the Fischer vote. I would have expected at least Carinthia to deviate significantly. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on April 25, 2010, 12:13:23 PM Amazing how geographically consistent the results are, especially the Fischer vote. I would have expected at least Carinthia to deviate significantly. I think this always happens in landslides like this. No wonder that Carinthia has the highest share for her, it also has the highest Far-Right pool. Lower Austria, Salzburg and Styria are the next best states for Rosenkranz. Probably has slightly to do with the home state effect, Rosenkranz is living and working in Lower Austria and was born in Salzburg. The 2004 Presidential candidate of the ÖVP, Ferrero-Waldner, was also from Salzburg and had also relatively good results there. The fact that Rosenkranz did so poorly in Vorarlberg, Tyrol and Vienna is probably due to the fact that the Kronen Zeitung`s exposure is very low in Vorarlberg and Tyrol and Vienna is more liberal and urban. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Hash on April 25, 2010, 12:16:03 PM Rosenkranz was also too bouregois of a candidate to do well with working-class voters who vote for Strache. IIRC, a lot of FPO voters in Vienna are in old working-class areas.
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on April 25, 2010, 12:40:07 PM The county map:
() Light: 0-10% Medium: 10-20% Dark: 20%+ Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on April 25, 2010, 12:56:47 PM New poll by Karmasin for Profil:
SPÖ: 33% ÖVP: 33% FPÖ: 19% GRE: 12% BZÖ: 2% OTH: 1% Let´s see how this will change in the coming weeks, maybe an SPÖ gain in the polls ? Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: minionofmidas on April 25, 2010, 01:17:19 PM Heh. :)
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Hash on April 25, 2010, 01:22:04 PM ()
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: minionofmidas on April 25, 2010, 01:28:34 PM I would guess the Gehring map to be marginally the most interesting. And turnout o/c.
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Hash on April 25, 2010, 01:34:56 PM I would guess the Gehring map to be marginally the most interesting. And turnout o/c. Der Standard has maps for Gehring its interactive mapping applet. His map clearly shows that like 90% of his voters are OVP voters. His best results are traditionally OVP. Like, for example, 6.9% in Vienna's Innere Stadt. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on April 26, 2010, 12:05:28 AM I guess the 2016 map will be slightly less boring ... :P Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on April 26, 2010, 12:34:19 AM First glimpse at the Exit poll by SORA (the full Exit poll will be released today):
Kronen Zeitung readers: 79% Fischer, 14% Rosenkranz, 6% Gehring Other newspaper readers: 78% Fischer, 18% Rosenkranz, 4% Gehring Men: 74% Fischer, 17% Rosenkranz, 8% Gehring Women: 83% Fischer, 13% Rosenkranz, 3% Gehring Voters below 30: 74% Fischer, 22% Rosenkranz, 5% Gehring Voters older than 60: 83% Fischer, 13% Rosenkranz, 4% Gehring 2008 SPÖ voters: 83% Fischer, 12% stayed home, 4% Rosenkranz, 1% Gehring 2008 ÖVP voters: 46% stayed home, 44% Fischer, 6% Gehring, 4% Rosenkranz 2008 FPÖ voters: 63% stayed home, 25% Rosenkranz, 11% Fischer, 2% Gehring 2008 BZÖ voters: 60% stayed home, 21% Rosenkranz, 17% Fischer, 2% Gehring 2008 GRE voters: 83% Fischer, 14% stayed home, 2% Rosenkranz, 2% Gehring Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on April 27, 2010, 12:44:55 AM More from the Exit Poll:
About 48% did not vote for President this time. This is how 2010 non voters break down by declared 2008 voters: 46% were already non-voters in 2008. 18% FPÖ 15% ÖVP 10% BZÖ 5% SPÖ 2% GRE 4% OTH So, it´s pretty clear that it was primarily the Right voters, who stayed at home. Those who voted invalid this time, broken down by declared 2008 voters: 55% ÖVP 15% are 2008 voters, who voted invalid 13% SPÖ 6% GRE 5% FPÖ 3% BZÖ Heinz Fischer voters, by 2008 voters: 47% SPÖ 22% ÖVP 17% GRE 4% FPÖ 3% BZÖ 6% OTH 1% Invalid 0% Non-Voters Barbara Rosenkranz voters, by 2008 voters: 44% FPÖ 23% BZÖ 12% SPÖ 11% ÖVP 2% GRE 3% OTH 2% Invalid 2% Non-Voters Rudolf Gehring voters, by 2008 voters: 45% ÖVP 10% SPÖ 8% FPÖ 7% BZÖ 5% GRE 20% OTH 2% Invalid 4% Non-Voters Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on April 28, 2010, 12:15:52 AM Our "Miss South Carolina" -> from the FPÖ:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3im7JkEKXmg http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/Blamage-fuer-FPOe-Funktionaerin-auf-Oe3-0691722.ece LOL :) Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on April 28, 2010, 12:34:36 AM Here`s another fact:
() Despite winning the 2010 election with 80% of the vote, President Fischer received only the same amount of votes like he did in the 2004 election when he won with only 52%, measured as a percentage of total eligible voters. He received just 36% of the eligible voters in both elections, because turnout was lower by 20%. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Hans-im-Glück on April 29, 2010, 12:44:44 PM Our "Miss South Carolina" -> from the FPÖ: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3im7JkEKXmg That's very funny ;D ;D Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on April 30, 2010, 12:30:15 AM The remaining postal votes of the Presidential Election will be counted today.
A total of about 376.000 postal votes were issued and I expect that about 150.000 of them will be added to the preliminary results from Sunday. That would increase final turnout to about 52%, up from 49%. I´ll post final results in the evening. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on May 01, 2010, 12:41:19 AM I´ll post final results in the evening. Here are the final results with all postal votes counted: Dr. Heinz Fischer: 2.508.373 votes (79.3%) Barbara Rosenkranz: 481.923 votes (15.2%) Dr. Rudolf Gehring: 171.668 votes (5.4%) Eligible voters: 6.355.568 Total votes cast: 3.404.646 Invalid votes: 242.682 Valid votes: 3.161.964 Total turnout: 53.6% (-18.0%) Postal votes alone: Dr. Heinz Fischer: 220.365 votes (83.6%) Barbara Rosenkranz: 29.047 votes (11.0%) Dr. Rudolf Gehring: 14.161 votes (5.4%) Total number of postal votes: 279.245 Invalid postal votes: 15.672 Valid postal votes: 263.573 Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on May 01, 2010, 12:51:54 AM New Gallup/Ö24 poll (800 people 16+ questioned, 28./29. April):
SPÖ: 31% (+3) ÖVP: 31% (-2) FPÖ: 19% (-2) GRE: 13% (nc) BZÖ: 3% (+1) OTH: 3% (nc) http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20100430_OTS0335/oesterreich-umfrage-fischer-effekt-fuer-faymann-spoe-zieht-mit-oevp-gleich Do you want to bail out the Greeks with 3 Bio. $ ? 29% Yes 58% No http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20100429_OTS0318/oesterreich-grosse-mehrheit-der-oesterreicher-gegen-griechen-hilfe Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on May 02, 2010, 11:32:49 AM Here is the Wahlkabine for Burgenland (state elections there on May 30):
http://politikkabine.at/wahlen/index.php?page=voter.Questionnaire My results: SPÖ: 75% ÖVP: 66% Greens: 55% Liste Burgenland: 53% FPÖ: 47% Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Hans-im-Glück on May 02, 2010, 01:15:39 PM My Result:
1. The Greens 83.6% 2. SPÖ 64.1% 3. Liste Burgenland 49.6% 4. FPÖ 46.7% 5. ÖVP 37.4% What is the "Liste Burgenland" and have they a chance to come into the Parliament? Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on May 03, 2010, 12:05:57 AM What is the "Liste Burgenland" and have they a chance to come into the Parliament? The "Liste Burgenland" is a new centrist independent group, similar to the "Freie Wähler" in Germany, running in this years state elections. I´d say they won`t get more than 2-3% of the votes. Plus: Here`s a new federal Market poll for the newspaper Standard, after the Presidential elections. ÖVP: 29% SPÖ: 28% FPÖ: 22% GRE: 12% BZÖ: 5% OTH: 4% Seems like the Rosenkranz defeat had no impact on the FPÖ numbers. The BZÖ wasn`t in the news until yesterday, when they adopted a new party program at their convention in Vienna. The program is now more centrist and even has a few Green and Social-Democratic aspects. Let`s see how this affects poll numbers in the future. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: minionofmidas on May 03, 2010, 12:25:57 PM Greens 75.7
SPÖ 62.4 Liste Burgenland 38.0 ÖVP 37.4 FPÖ 36.6 Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on May 11, 2010, 01:10:40 AM The final results of the 2010 Presidential Election were announced yesterday:
Dr. Heinz Fischer (SPÖ): 2.508.373 votes (79.33%) Barbara Rosenkranz (FPÖ): 481.923 votes (15.24%) Dr. Rudolf Gehring (CPÖ): 171.668 votes (5.43%) Eligible voters: 6.355.800 Total votes cast: 3.404.646 Invalid votes cast: 242.682 (7.13%) Valid votes cast: 3.161.964 Turnout: 53.57% http://wahl10.bmi.gv.at Here`s an Excel-sheet with results from all Austrian towns, districts, electoral districts and states. http://www.bmi.gv.at/cms/BMI_wahlen/bundespraes/bpw_2010/files/Ergebnis_E_BPW_2010.xls Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on May 15, 2010, 12:23:55 AM Burgenland state elections (May 30) poll by Market for "Standard":
SPÖ: 50% (-2%) ÖVP: 38% (+2%) FPÖ: 7% (+1%) GRE: 5% (nc) LBL: 0% (new) Direct vote for Governor: Hans Niessl (SPÖ): 43% Franz Steindl (ÖVP): 27% Manfred Kölly (LBL): 3% Johann Tschürtz (FPÖ): 2% Michael Reimon (GRE): 0% Undecided/None of them: 25% http://derstandard.at/1271376710811/Niessls-SPOe-koennte-Absolute-knapp-halten ..... Upper Austria federal elections poll by Market: SPÖ: 28% (-2%) ÖVP: 27% (nc) FPÖ: 22% (+3%) GRE: 12% (+2%) BZÖ: 5% (-4%) OTH: 6% (+1%) Upper Austria state elections poll by Market: ÖVP: 46% (-1%) SPÖ: 25% (nc) FPÖ: 17% (+2%) GRE: 11% (+2%) BZÖ: 1% (-2%) OTH: 0% (-1%) http://www.nachrichten.at/nachrichten/politik/landespolitik/art383,392279 Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on May 18, 2010, 06:28:35 PM New Burgenland poll by GMK:
() Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on May 19, 2010, 09:24:06 AM Final 2010 population statistics for Austria have been released today and the Germans are now the biggest group of foreigners in the country for the first time:
The population increased by about 20.000 people in 2009 and out of the 8.375.000 people, 895.000 are now foreigners (11%). From the 895.000 foreigners, 138.000 are now Germans and 112.000 are Turks. () The biggest population increases are in the suburbs of bigger cities like Vienna, Graz, Linz, Salzburg, Innsbruck and the Rheintal. Here are 3 maps showing the 2009 population dynamics in each town: First, total population change per 1000 people: () Second, the natural population change (birth minus deaths) per 1000 people: () Third, the migration change (immigration minus emigration) per 1000 people: () Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on May 20, 2010, 01:41:21 PM Finally, Austria`s becoming more "leftist" again.
New federal poll by Karmasin Motivforschung for the newspaper "Profil": SPÖ: 33% ÖVP: 32% FPÖ: 18% Greens: 13% BZÖ: 2% Others: 2% Right: 52% (-8/9% since last year) Left: 46% (+6/7% since last year) Direct vote for Chancellor: Faymann (SPÖ): 23% Pröll (ÖVP): 23% Glawischnig (Greens): 6% Strache (FPÖ): 5% Should Austria help bail out the Greeks and others ? 48% Yes 42% No http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20100520_OTS0018/profil-umfrage-spoe-vor-oevp-proell-und-faymann-gleichauf/channel/politik Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on May 20, 2010, 01:45:22 PM New Burgenland poll by GMK: () It´s absolutely clear that the Burgenland is a die-hard red state. Just look at these additional GMK numbers for direct vote of Governor I´ve just found: () :) Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Hash on May 20, 2010, 02:57:04 PM Why is Burgenland so leftist anyways? I don't think being formerly Hungarian and all that entails means much.
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on May 20, 2010, 03:10:20 PM Why is Burgenland so leftist anyways? I don't think being formerly Hungarian and all that entails means much. No, has nothing to do with Hungary, but with a variety of factors: A) Burgenland is small and in small states, people trust their governor and if he doesn´t f**k things up, he has something like 80% approval ratings. Therefore, the governor = the party. B) Burgenland has many commuters, and where do they commute to ? To red Vienna. Who is providing the generous commuter benefits, the housing benefits, the border patrols who secure the lowest crime rate in all of Austria ? Of course, its the SPÖ. C) Burgenland has almost no foreigners (4% or so). Therefore the FPÖ has no scapegoat, like it has in Vienna or Vorarlberg, where 15-25% of the people are foreigners and where the same amount votes for the FPÖ. Therefore many people stay with the SPÖ. D) The SPÖ in Burgenland, contrary to the Vienna-SPÖ, is right wing. The SPÖ initiated a referendum to oppose the construction of an asylum centre. 95% of the people voted in opposition, just like the SPÖ wanted it. E) Pork and federal money. Burgenland is poor compared with the west or rest of Austria. Therefore the state SPÖ lobbies for federal and EU money that is generously poured into the state. Would have to do some other research but I think that are the main points. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on May 21, 2010, 01:14:24 AM Here are the 2005 results and map for Burgenland (SPÖ = 52.2% btw):
() Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on May 22, 2010, 12:08:16 AM New federal Market/Standard poll:
ÖVP: 29% SPÖ: 27% FPÖ: 23% GRE: 12% BZÖ: 5% OTH: 4% Right: 57% Left: 39% Vote for Chancellor: Faymann (SPÖ): 38% Pröll (ÖVP): 33% Strache (FPÖ): 14% Glawischnig (Greens): 11% Bucher (BZÖ): 4% http://derstandard.at/1271377234738/Faymann-erstmals-vor-Proell Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on May 22, 2010, 12:14:04 AM New federal Gallup/Ö24 poll:
SPÖ: 31% ÖVP: 30% FPÖ: 20% GRE: 13% BZÖ: 2% OTH: 4% Right: 52% Left: 44% Vote for Chancellor: Faymann (SPÖ): 38% Pröll (ÖVP): 37% http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20100522_OTS0001/oesterreich-umfrage-spoe-erstmals-seit-juni-2009-wieder-vor-oevp-auch-faymann-ueberholt-proell/channel/politik Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on May 22, 2010, 12:19:38 AM New Burgenland state elections poll by Gallup for Ö24:
SPÖ: 49-51% ÖVP: 29-31% FPÖ: 9-11% Greens: 7-9% LBL: 1-3% Direct vote for Governor: () http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/Niessls-Haerte-zahlt-sich-aus---ueber-50-0712780.ece Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on May 22, 2010, 12:37:49 AM The Greens have started their campaign for the Vienna elections in October:
() The paper Ö24 even wrote that Green frontrunner Maria Vassilakou is too "overstyled" in their posters ... :P Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on May 26, 2010, 02:24:06 PM The FPÖ is gearing up for a populist fall campaign. Watch their new posters:
() Text says: "Better: Our money for our people !" The FPÖ and also the BZÖ want Greece to be thrown out of the Eurozone because of their incompetence and they have also started to sue the Austrian government in the high court to block the already approved 4 Bio. $ for Greece. If the high court rules in favor of the FPÖ, the European help for Greece is blocked because the high courts in any country have the right to block the help. Btw: The poster was created by the Swiss-German media expert Alexander Segert, who also created the infamous Swiss Anti-Minaret poster. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on May 30, 2010, 12:05:41 AM Today, the Burgenland state elections will take place.
The 2005 results were: SPÖ: 52.2% ÖVP: 36.4% FPÖ: 5.8% Greens: 5.2% ÖBWP: 0.4% I predict the following: SPÖ: 48% (18 seats) ÖVP: 34% (12 seats) FPÖ: 10% (4 seats) Greens: 6% (2 seats) LBL: 2% Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on May 30, 2010, 11:18:29 AM My prediction was almost correct. The real results are (with 165 of 171 towns counted):
SPÖ: 49.6% (19 seats) ÖVP: 33.9% (13 seats) FPÖ: 8.9% (3 seats) LBL: 3.9% Greens: 3.7% (1 seat) Turnout: 71% (-10%) There are many postal votes though that will be counted in the next week (about 10% of the total votes cast, so it will be interesting to see if the SPÖ can hold the narrow absolute majority of 19 out of 36 seats). Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on May 30, 2010, 11:31:58 AM The FPÖ didn`t do quite as well as predicted (again), and is far away from the Burgenland results of the Haider years (in 1996 they got 15%). The main reasons are likely the Rosenkranz defeat and the LBL, which is headed by former state FPÖ-members. The fact that the FPÖ still gained a couple points from 2005 is because in 2005 the FPÖ split and the BZÖ was created.
The Greens on the other hand ran a poor campaign, they changed their frontrunner late in the campaign and also supported the withdrawal of border troops, yet 90% of the population backs these border troops for increased safety such as stopping illegals from Eastern Europe and car jackers who transport stolen cars to Eastern Europe. The out-of-mainstream loss of the ÖVP (they gained in almost every other recent state election) can be explained with the population`s hate of Austrian Interior Minister Maria Fekter (ÖVP), who wanted to plant an asylum facility into Southern Burgenland, which was also rejected in a referendum in March by 95% of the voters. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on May 30, 2010, 11:39:20 AM The Greens are now without a seat according to the latest calculations.
SPÖ: 19 seats ÖVP: 13 seats FPÖ: 4 seats Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on May 30, 2010, 11:50:35 AM With only 2 cities left, the new seat projection is:
SPÖ: 19 seats (nc) - absolute majority ÖVP: 13 seats (nc) FPÖ: 3 seats (+1) LBL: 1 seat (+1) Greens: no seat (-2) Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on May 30, 2010, 12:15:59 PM Final results (excl. postal votes):
SPÖ: 83.955 votes - 48.55% (-3.63%, 18 seats, -1 seat) ÖVP: 59.082 votes - 34.17% (-2.21%, 13 seats, no change) FPÖ: 16.076 votes - 9.30% (+3.55%, 4 seats, +2 seats) LBL: 6.967 votes - 4.03% (+4.03%, 1 seat, +1 seat) Greens: 6.844 votes - 3.96% (-1.25%, no seats, -2 seats) Total eligible voters: 248.713 Total votes cast: 176.018 Valid votes cast: 172.924 Turnout: 70.77% (-10.61%) I guess postal votes will push turnout to about 75-78%. I also guess postal votes will push the Greens above 4% and therefore the seat from the LBL will switch to the Greens, as the ÖVP and Greens always do well in postal vote counts. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on May 30, 2010, 02:16:29 PM First data from the Burgenland Exit Poll by SORA:
Under 30-voters: ÖVP: 37% SPÖ: 29% FPÖ: 23% Greens: 10% Over 60-voters: SPÖ: 58% ÖVP: 35% Women: SPÖ: 56% ÖVP: 32% Men: SPÖ: 40% ÖVP: 38% FPÖ: 16% That is a continued trend, young male voters are strongest for the FPÖ, old women voters are strongest for the SPÖ. For example, about 30% of young male voters voted for Barbara Rosenkranz as President, but only 15% of the population did so. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on May 31, 2010, 11:40:38 PM About 70% of postal votes have been counted yesterday. The remaining will be counted until tomorrow.
The already counted postal votes led to an increase in ÖVP and Green support (as it always does) and therefore 1 seat switched from the FPÖ to the Greens. New result: SPÖ: 48.42% (18 seats) ÖVP: 34.48% (13 seats) FPÖ: 9.04% (3 seats) Greens: 4.06% (1 seat) LBL: 4.00% (1 seat) I guess the LBL will eventually fall below the 4% treshold and their seat will fall to the FPÖ. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on May 31, 2010, 11:50:17 PM 2 interesting charts:
() () http://www.sora.at/themen/wahlverhalten/wahlanalysen/ltw-bgld10.html Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on June 01, 2010, 12:11:29 AM When it comes to the October Vienna State Elections, the Young Liberals (JuLis) will run against the Liberal Forum (LIF). The main difference between them is the fact that the Young Liberals are FDP-near folks and oppose state intervention into economic relations, while the LIF is supporting it. The Young Liberals are almost all students and their frontrunner is Nikolaus Scherak (23). The LIF will be headed by Angelika Mlinar (40). Both of these parties are left-liberal. And then there`s also the BZÖ and the FBZ, which are right-liberal. Josef Bucher of the BZÖ has asked the LIF and the JuLis to form a joint Liberal list for the elections, but they declined. I guess that BZÖ/FBZ/LIF/JuLis won`t get more than 3-5% combined.
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on June 03, 2010, 03:17:10 AM Final Burgenland state election results:
SPÖ: 91.185 votes - 48.26% (-3.92%, 18 seats, -1 seat) ÖVP: 65.411 votes - 34.62% (-1.76%, 13 seats, no change) FPÖ: 16.970 votes - 8.98% (+3.23%, 3 seats, +1 seat) Greens: 7.835 votes - 4.15% (-1.06%, 1 seat, -1 seat) LBL: 7.559 votes - 4.00% (+4.00%, 1 seat, +1 seat) Total eligible voters: 248.694 Total votes cast: 192.246 Valid votes cast: 188.960 Turnout: 77.30% (-4.08%) If you look through the results you will notice that the LBL secured its seat by a single (!!!) vote. 4% of 188.960 means exactly 7.558,4 votes and the LBL got 7.559 votes ... ;) Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on June 03, 2010, 03:44:24 AM Maps:
() () Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on June 03, 2010, 03:58:28 AM Meanwhile, unemployment was decreasing by a faster pace in May:
() A total of 227.089 were unemployed, which is down by 5.3% compared with May 2009. Every state except Vienna saw the number of unemployed falling. The national unemployment rate decreased from 6.9% in May 2009 to 6.3% in May 2010. The Eurostat unemployment rate was 4.9% in April 2010. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on June 03, 2010, 05:01:27 AM In a new study by IMAS, 1055 Austrians aged 16+ were asked how they identify with various words. They had to state if the words are congenial or uncongenial:
Security: 69-2 Justice: 65-2 Orderliness: 61-4 Work: 56-3 Patriotism: 52-4 Equality: 51-6 Stability: 48-2 Co-decision/influence: 48-3 Independence: 47-2 Saving: 44-9 Growth: 43-4 Modern: 40-5 Referendum: 37-8 Pursuit of Accomplishment: 24-16 Christian: 24-14 Competition: 20-10 Advertisement: 20-17 Reforms: 20-18 Unions: 18-16 Multicultural: 17-25 Church: 17-28 European Union: 15-29 Consumption renouncement: 11-26 Globalisation: 10-27 Genetical Science: 8-38 Strike measures: 6-34 Foreigners: 6-38 Officialdom: 5-30 Capitalism: 5-36 Nuclear Energy: 4-48 Islam: 3-50 http://www.imas.at/content/download/573/2722/version/1/file/13-2010.pdf Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on June 05, 2010, 11:48:13 AM New Vienna state elections poll by Gallup for Ö24:
SPÖ: 44% (-5%) FPÖ: 22% (+7%) ÖVP: 18% (-1%) Greens: 13% (-2%) Others (Various liberal parties such as LIF, JULIS, BZÖ, FBZ as well as KPÖ and SLP): 3% Direct vote for Mayor: Michael Häupl (SPÖ-Incumbent): 49% Heinz-Christian Strache (FPÖ): 19% Christine Marek (ÖVP): 16% Maria Vassilakou (Greens): 14% Others: 2% http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/Wienwahl-Landtagswahl-SPOe-verliert-absolute-Mehrheit-0720169.ece The SPÖ would lose its absolute majority and would have to enter either a SPÖ-Green coalition or a Grand Coalition of SPÖ and ÖVP. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on June 14, 2010, 12:23:13 AM 3 new Styria state election polls by
Gallup for Ö24: SPÖ: 39% ÖVP: 38% FPÖ: 9% KPÖ: 6% Greens: 6% BZÖ: 2% Direct vote for Governor: Franz Voves (SPÖ): 49% Hermann Schützenhöfer (ÖVP): 37% http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20100614_OTS0001/oesterreich-umfrage-sp-fuehrt-in-der-steiermark Fessel-GfK for the Styria ÖVP: ÖVP: 37-39% SPÖ: 37-39% FPÖ: 8-9% Greens: 7-8% KPÖ: 2-3% http://steiermark.orf.at/stories/449115/ mResearch for Frontal: ÖVP: 41% SPÖ: 35% http://diepresse.com/home/politik/innenpolitik/572887/index.do Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on June 15, 2010, 12:23:14 AM New Styria state elections poll by Market for "Standard":
ÖVP: 39% (nc) SPÖ: 38% (-4) FPÖ: 8% (+3) Greens: 7% (+2) KPÖ: 5% (-1) BZÖ: 3% (+1) Direct vote for Governor: Voves (SPÖ): 35% Schützenhöfer (ÖVP): 25% Federal elections in Styria: ÖVP: 28% (+2) SPÖ: 24% (-5) FPÖ: 21% (+4) Greens: 12% (+3) BZÖ: 9% (-4) Others: 6% (nc) http://derstandard.at/1276413054355/DER-STANDARD-Umfrage-Steirer-wuerden-Voves-waehlen---und-die-OeVP Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on June 15, 2010, 12:42:19 AM A victory for the hardliners (Fekter, FPÖ & BZÖ):
Kosovo family loses final appeal to stay in Austria A Kosovar family whose efforts to stay in Austria had become a cause celebre, with even the president supporting their case, lost yesterday their final appeal against a refusal to grant them asylum. Austria’s highest court, the constitutional court, ruled against the Zogaj family, which entered the country illegally in 2002 but had since integrated well into the country. “Those who don’t leave by themselves will be deported by the police,” Interior Minister Maria Fekter said after the ruling was handed down, although the deadline for Zogaj family to leave the country has yet to be set. The Zogaj’s plight attracted nationwide attention and sympathy when in 2007 one of the family’s teenage girls, Arigona, ran away for two weeks following the deportation of her father and four siblings. She threatened to commit suicide in a video pleading to stay in Austria. Arigona, now 18, was allowed to finish her schooling in Austria, and the family continued its legal battle to remain in the country permanently. Numerous personalities have taken up the family’s cause, including President Heinz Fischer and Vienna’s Archbishop Christoph Schoenborn, who urged the family be given a residence permit on humanitarian grounds. http://www.gulf-times.com/site/topics/article.asp?cu_no=2&item_no=368189&version=1&template_id=39&parent_id=21 Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on June 19, 2010, 07:37:07 AM Latest Karmasin Motivforschung poll for "Profil":
33% (+4%) SPÖ 33% (+7%) ÖVP 20% (+2%) FPÖ 11% (+1%) Greens 2% (-9%) BZÖ 1% (-5%) Others Direct vote for Chancellor: 25% Faymann (SPÖ) 24% Pröll (ÖVP) 8% Strache (FPÖ) 7% Glawischnig (Greens) http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20100619_OTS0014/profil-umfrage-spoe-und-oevp-gleichauf-faymann-ueberholt-proell 72% of Austrians also favor the introduction of a wealth tax, with 18% opposed. In 2009, there were about 40.000 millionaires in Austria, a rise of more than 10% compared with 2008. http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20100619_OTS0013/profil-72-der-oesterreicher-fuer-vermoegenssteuern Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on June 23, 2010, 02:33:16 AM Will Canori's KFPÖ be disaffiliated from the FPÖ? I doubt it. They are in a bad situation right now. Most of the KFPÖ hates the members of the now FPK and the proposed KBZÖ and don`t want to integrate into the larger FPK. Should be interesting what they decide to do. I think the most likely scenario will be a clear word of action from federal FPÖ-leader Strache, that if they don`t integrate into the FPK, the federal FPÖ will dry up the funds for the local party or whatever. Exactly that happened yesterday when Strache and Scheuch signed a contract to fuse. The KFPÖ-boss Jannach, who took over after Canori failed to get more than 5% and into parliament, was axed yesterday by Strache and stepped down. Therefore the KFPÖ re-united with the FPK and will run a same list in elections, as FPK in state elections and FPÖ in federal elections. There`s also a new federal Market/Standard poll: 28% ÖVP 27% SPÖ 24% FPÖ http://derstandard.at/1276413573686/Umfrage-Am-Land-ist-vor-allem-der-Hauptmann-wichtig Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on June 23, 2010, 08:11:11 AM New Carinthia state elections poll by Gallup for the newspaper "Woche":
FPK: 31% (+27%) SPÖ: 31% (+2%) ÖVP: 22% (+5%) Greens: 8% (+3%) BZÖ: 8% (-37%) Direct vote for Governor: Gerhard Dörfler (FPK-Inc.): 36% Josef Martinz (ÖVP): 30% Peter Kaiser (SPÖ): 27% Rolf Holub (Greens): 7% http://regionaut.woche.at/klagenfurt/politik/blaurot-gleichauf-vp-and-gruen-legen-zu-d8259.html Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on July 01, 2010, 01:57:11 AM Meanwhile, the Austrian SPÖVP government has achieved something, before they go on summer vacation: The introduction of a demand-oriented basic income, starting on Sept. 1 (which was backed by the SPÖ) and the introduction of a transparancy account for every Austrian citizen, so she/he can see online how much of the gross wage is transferred as taxes to the government and how much one gets back from the state or government in forms of benefits (child benefits, commuter benefits, state benefits such as as housing and construction benefits etc.) That was backed by the ÖVP.
The basic income will be about 1000$ each month for every single-citizen and about 1400$ a month for couples. For every child in the family you get another 200$ a month. This basic income will only be available to Austrian citizens, EU-citizens who work in Austria and foreigners, who have at least worked 5 years in Austria. Asylum seekers and other foreigners are not getting it. That also means that unemployed persons will get at least 1000$ each month from September on. Until now, it did depend on how much you earned in your latest job and then you would get about 60-80% of what you earned. That was bad for part-time workers or low-wage workers. Another good thing is that now 100% of Austrian citizens will have health insurance, up from about 99% before that. For the basic income to be granted, one has to accept job offers from the Labor Agency, otherwise the basic income will be cut by 50% or, if someone repeatedly refuses to take the work offered by the Labor Agencies, it will be cut completely. So, it won´t be a "social hammock" ... Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on July 01, 2010, 01:28:59 PM Unemployment is now going down sharply, according to the new June figures:
212.753 people were unemployed, which is down by 7.3% compared with June 2009. Styria and Salzburg had the biggest decline with 16.9% and 16.4%, while Vienna only saw a decrease of 0.8%. Unemployment rates by state (national method, not ILO/Eurostat): Salzburg: 3.8% (-0.7%) Upper Austria: 3.8% (-0.4%) Tyrol: 5.0% (-0.5%) Styria: 5.6% (-1.1%) Lower Austria: 6.0% (-0.3%) Burgenland: 6.0% (-0.8%) Vorarlberg: 6.3% (-0.6%) Carinthia: 6.4% (-0.8%) Vienna: 8.1% (nc) Austria: 5.9% (-0.4%) () Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on July 01, 2010, 01:37:32 PM The new quarterly federal debt numbers are also out and it seems Austria is in much better shape than many other Western European nations:
Q1 2010 debt: 66.6% of GDP Q1 2009 debt: 66.4% of GDP http://www.statistik.at/web_en/statistics/Public_finance_taxes/maastricht_edp_indicators/government_debt/029318.html Of course this is up from the record low of 59.5% in Q4 of 2007, but it is way lower than the record high so far in Q2 2005, with 71.8%. Many economists and research centers predicted 80% debt for Austria last year, but that´s not going to happen. And when compared with countries like Ireland, the UK or Spain where debt increased from 30% to 100% of GDP in the last year, it looks even better. Also, with the better unemployment and employment numbers, the Budget deficit should be lower than the 4.7%, more in the 4% range, which is also among the best in Europe. Remember when Paul Krugman argued that Austria`s going bankrupt ... ? :P Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on July 01, 2010, 02:09:27 PM Karl Schwab, one of the coolest/funniest FPÖ MP`s is stepping down ... :( :P
Take a look: http://www.youtube.com/watch?hl=en&v=mQHpkwuwZ3E Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on July 02, 2010, 01:16:34 PM New ATV Austria Trend poll by Peter Hajek`s Public Opinion Strategies (1000 Austrians aged 16+ between June 15-22, MoE = 3.1%):
ÖVP: 34% (+8%) SPÖ: 32% (+3%) FPÖ: 20% (+2%) Greens: 9% (-1%) BZÖ: 3% (-8%) Others: 2% (-4%) Direct vote for Chancellor: Werner Faymann (SPÖ): 24% Josef Pröll (ÖVP): 22% H.C. Strache (FPÖ): 9% Eva Glawischnig (Greens): 5% Josef Bucher (BZÖ): 3% None of them/Undecided: 37% http://atv.at/binaries/asset/download_assets/982813/file Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on July 08, 2010, 12:31:37 AM Latest Styria state elections poll by IMAS for the "Kronen Zeitung":
39% (-3) SPÖ 39% (nc) ÖVP 7% (+2) FPÖ 6% (nc) KPÖ 5% (nc) Greens 2% (nc) BZÖ 2% (nc) Others http://www.krone.at/Steiermark/Kopf-an-Kopf-Rennen_39_Prozent_Rot._39_Prozent_Schwarz-Heisser_Wahlkampf-Story-208792 Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on July 08, 2010, 12:48:10 AM Meanwhile, the Austrian SPÖVP government has achieved something, before they go on summer vacation: The introduction of a demand-oriented basic income, starting on Sept. 1 (which was backed by the SPÖ) and the introduction of a transparancy account for every Austrian citizen, so she/he can see online how much of the gross wage is transferred as taxes to the government and how much one gets back from the state or government in forms of benefits (child benefits, commuter benefits, state benefits such as as housing and construction benefits etc.) That was backed by the ÖVP. The basic income will be about 1000$ each month for every single-citizen and about 1400$ a month for couples. For every child in the family you get another 200$ a month. This basic income will only be available to Austrian citizens, EU-citizens who work in Austria and foreigners, who have at least worked 5 years in Austria. Asylum seekers and other foreigners are not getting it. That also means that unemployed persons will get at least 1000$ each month from September on. Until now, it did depend on how much you earned in your latest job and then you would get about 60-80% of what you earned. That was bad for part-time workers or low-wage workers. Another good thing is that now 100% of Austrian citizens will have health insurance, up from about 99% before that. For the basic income to be granted, one has to accept job offers from the Labor Agency, otherwise the basic income will be cut by 50% or, if someone repeatedly refuses to take the work offered by the Labor Agencies, it will be cut completely. So, it won´t be a "social hammock" ... My state - Salzburg - will be even more social than other states when it comes to granting the new basic income starting on September 1. The federal law states that the basic income of 750€ has to be payed at least 12 times a year, contrary to 14 wages (incl. holiday and christmas pay) that a regular employee gets. Most states will pay the basic income only 12 times, Upper Austria 13 times and Salzburg will pay it 14 times. Additionally, families with kids will get payed more by 3% for each kid than the federal law mandates and get an additional 100€ each month. Single parents will get 80€ more per kid than what other states will pay. "Hard cases", which means people who have been on basic income for a longer period will be helped out with a social worker which will help them integrate into the labor market again. Yes, my state can do this, because we are richer than the other states, have the lowest unemployment, higher tax revenues and a low deficit. :) Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on July 10, 2010, 02:52:13 AM Fischer backs army as second term starts
() Heinz Fischer has spoken out in support of keeping Austria’s compulsory military service, as he was sworn in as president on Thursday. The former Social Democratic (SPÖ) science minister highlighted Austria’s participation in various international peace-keeping missions, adding that the army and conscription were part of the country’s constitution. Fischer was sworn in as federal president at the parliament in Vienna after garnering almost 80 per cent in the election last April. This will be his second term as president after serving his first since 2004. Austrian law has it that the second term will be his last. SPÖ Defence Minister Norbert Darabos said he agreed with Fischer’s views. Darabos claimed the six-month military service has proved to be a "full success". The minister described the Austrian regulations as "excellent". These statements come weeks after Sweden decided to ditch its obligatory military service, while the German government is continuing to debate the issue and decide whether to follow European Union (EU) member state’s examples to cut costs. The Austrian army’s reputation has meanwhile suffered dramatically. The Federal Audit Office (RH) recently appealed for more investments as several barracks posed a danger to soldiers’ health due to the bad hygienic state they were in. The Austrian president is the army’s commander in chief, but the position’s overall role is a mostly representative one with little political power. Fischer also appealed to political leaders in Carinthia to "quickly" solve the ongoing conflict about bilingual place-name signs in towns with Slovenian residents. He claimed everyone would benefit from a solution, adding that prejudices and hostile feelings among people needed to be abandoned. Gerhard Dörfler, Carinthian Freedom Party (FPK) Governor said he was "surprised" about the president’s appeal. He said: "(SPÖ) Chancellor (Werner) Faymann is the political personality in charge of the issue. He only recently expressed the wish to find a solution by 2012. This is what I’m considering." The right-wing Freedom Party (FPÖ) enraged representatives of the Slovenian minority today by announcing it would like to "withdraw" the applause of its leaders given when Fischer expressed his wish for a quick solution to the conflict in the southern province in his speech yesterday. Most newspapers meanwhile expressed doubts over whether the president’s appeal will have any impact. Some columnists have criticised Fischer for being too reluctant and not outspoken enough throughout his political career, while others praise his ability to "build bridges" between opponents and find compromises. http://www.austriantimes.at/news/General_News/2010-07-09/24901/Fischer_backs_army_as_second_term_starts Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on July 10, 2010, 03:01:43 AM New poll by Gallup for Ö24:
"Do you want to abolish the compulsory military service in Austria ?" 52% Yes 42% No Under 30-year olds: 68% Yes http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20100710_OTS0024/oesterreich-umfrage-52-prozent-fuer-abschaffung-der-wehrpflicht And: "Do you favor or oppose a complete smoking ban in public places like the recently approved ban in Bavaria ?" 52% Yes 45% No http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20100710_OTS0010/profil-jeder-zweite-fuer-rauchverbot-in-lokalen There`s also the federal elections poll by Gallup for Ö24: 35% SPÖ 33% ÖVP 18% FPÖ 11% Greens 2% BZÖ 1% Others Direct vote for Chancellor: 35% Faymann (SPÖ) 32% Pröll (ÖVP) http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20100710_OTS0012/oesterreich-umfrage-spoe-baut-vorsprung-auf-oevp-aus-fpoe-verliert And a new federal Karmasin Motivforschung poll for the Profil newspaper: 34% SPÖ 33% ÖVP 19% FPÖ 11% Greens 2% BZÖ 1% Others Direct vote for Chancellor: 26% Faymann (SPÖ) 23% Pröll (ÖVP) 7% Strache (FPÖ) 6% Glawischnig (Greens) http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20100710_OTS0018/profil-umfrage-spoe-vor-oevp-faymann-vor-proell Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on July 10, 2010, 03:20:25 AM The "Profil" poll by Karmasin has more detailed numbers on abolishing the compulsory military service in Austria:
48% Abolish 42% Retain 10% Undecided "If the compulsory military service is abolished, would you favor or oppose creating a mandatory social service ?" 83% Favor (47% favor a mandatory "Social Year", 36% favor a mandatory 6-month civilian service) 13% Oppose 4% Undecided "If the compulsory military service is abolished and a mandatory social service is created, would you favor or oppose requiring women to serve in that social service ?" 64% Favor 29% Oppose 7% Undecided "What do you think is the main task of the Austrian military ?" 80% Natural disaster management 15% National Defence 2% Foreign Deployments 3% Undecided http://www.ots.at/pressemappe/179/profil-redaktion-gmbh Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on July 11, 2010, 02:20:40 AM New Vienna state elections poll by Gallup for Ö24:
() 47% is the treshold for an absolute seat majority for the SPÖ. If that`s not working for the SPÖ, they will enter a coalition with the Greens or the ÖVP. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on July 12, 2010, 03:07:02 AM Someone from the Social Democratic Party just visited the Atlas Forum ... ;)
() Seems that they have their own internet provider ... Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on July 16, 2010, 06:33:39 AM New Gallup/Ö24 poll for the September Styria state elections:
40% (-2%) SPÖ 37% (-2%) ÖVP 10% (+5%) FPÖ 6% (+1%) Greens 6% (nc) Communists 1% (-1%) BZÖ Gov. Voves (SPÖ) also has a 7-point lead against his ÖVP-challenger in the direct vote for Governor. http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/SPOe-ueberholt-OeVP-in-der-Steiermark-0743830.ece Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on July 16, 2010, 07:04:12 AM That would be a great result for the 3 parties of the Left in Styria, mostly because the 2005 result was already very favorable to them.
The ÖVP back then, after having been in power since WW2, suffered from a scandal, the FPÖ and BZÖ were weak because of the split just a year earlier. The SPÖ took the governorship for the first time since 1945, by gaining about 10% from the 2000 elections, the Communists (KPÖ) under veteran Graz KPÖ politician Ernest Kaltenegger also got their best result ever in the state and the Greens did just lose slightly. In the meantime, Kaltenegger has retired and the KPÖ is now headed by Claudia Klimt-Weithaler. But it looks like Kaltenegger`s legacy can be continued by her, because she - like him - also has a mainly populist focus, like spending half of her salary each month (5000€) to help out poor people in Styria (this is done by all Communist state MP´s), as well as trashing big companies for throwing out people during the crisis. The KPÖ also wants to introduce the 35-hour-week with full pay, the implementation of the 14-time basic income of 750€ (will only be paid 12 times in Styria), equal women pay and the fight against gambling. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on July 25, 2010, 12:53:04 AM A new federal poll by Gallup for Ö24:
33% (+4) SPÖ 30% (+4) ÖVP 20% (+2) FPÖ 12% (+2) Greens 2% (-9) BZÖ 3% (-3) Others 63% for the SPÖVP government (+8). I think we are one of the few countries where the government is doing better during the economic crisis. Direct vote for Chancellor: 36% Werner Faymann (SPÖ) 32% Josef Pröll (ÖVP) http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20100724_OTS0030/oesterreich-umfrage-spoe-liegt-bereits-3-prozent-vor-oevp Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: minionofmidas on July 25, 2010, 05:51:14 AM Lol, what's happened to the BZÖ? I can has Carinthia subsample?
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on July 25, 2010, 06:39:49 AM Lol, what's happened to the BZÖ? I can has Carinthia subsample? I think you know what happened ... :P I guess they won´t even get 10% anymore in Carinthia. But from the poll you can see where the 2008 BZÖ voters likely have gone ... Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: minionofmidas on July 25, 2010, 07:06:34 AM Lol, what's happened to the BZÖ? I can has Carinthia subsample? I think you know what happened ... :P I guess they won´t even get 10% anymore in Carinthia. Quote But from the poll you can see where the 2008 BZÖ voters likely have gone ... No, I can't. That was why I was wondering. They might have largely gone FPÖ and then dispersed to the majors at the same pace as the FPÖ voters... or they might be going back to Carinthia's SPÖ roots at a higher-than-average clip... or given how the state has grown and filled with right voting skibunny airheads of either gender since the times when its Socialism made perfect sense (which ended before the Socialist voting ended, really...) they might also be going to the ÖVP at a higher-than-average clip.So yeah. We really need a Carinthia poll. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on July 25, 2010, 07:30:14 AM Lol, what's happened to the BZÖ? I can has Carinthia subsample? I think you know what happened ... :P I guess they won´t even get 10% anymore in Carinthia. They won the 2009 state elections, because it was a sympathy vote for Haider and because the other parties are also weak and also involved in infights. The SPÖ there has now the what ? 3rd leader ? in a few years. The ÖVP is divided by folks who want to get out of the FPK-ÖVP coalition, because of the incompetence surrounding the Hypo bank desaster, and folks who want to continues the course. The FPK and the FPÖ have re-united, but have pissed off many former members who see Strache or Scheuch as the devil or vice-versa. The BZÖ has just reformed there and the Greens are unimportant, getting about 8% now, but only half that in the real elections. Read this: http://wahlen.wienerzeitung.at/DesktopDefault.aspx?TabID=3858&Alias=wzo&cob=469473 But from the poll you can see where the 2008 BZÖ voters likely have gone ... So yeah. We really need a Carinthia poll. New Carinthia state elections poll by Gallup for the newspaper "Woche": FPK: 31% (+27%) SPÖ: 31% (+2%) ÖVP: 22% (+5%) Greens: 8% (+3%) BZÖ: 8% (-37%) Direct vote for Governor: Gerhard Dörfler (FPK-Inc.): 36% Josef Martinz (ÖVP): 30% Peter Kaiser (SPÖ): 27% Rolf Holub (Greens): 7% http://regionaut.woche.at/klagenfurt/politik/blaurot-gleichauf-vp-and-gruen-legen-zu-d8259.html The moral of the story is that we won´t know whats the landscape there until the next elections or the ones after that, because so much stuff is going on there right now. Polls there changed rapidely over the past months. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on July 25, 2010, 12:13:23 PM A very contrasting poll to the one mentioned earlier today has just come out by Market for "Standard":
28% (+2) ÖVP 26% (-3) SPÖ 24% (+6) FPÖ 12% (+2) Greens 7% (-4) BZÖ 3% (-3) Others Direct vote for Chancellor: 23% Faymann (SPÖ) 18% Pröll (ÖVP) 13% Strache (FPÖ) 7% Glawischnig (Greens) 4% Bucher (BZÖ) http://derstandard.at/1277338892096/STANDARD-Umfrage-Proell-faellt-bei-Kanzlerfrage-weit-zurueck-OeVP-bleibt-vorn Strange, both Gallup and Market had good results ahead of the 2008 Election. Now they differ by a great margin. Market has the Far-Right 10% higher than Gallup and its the reverse situation with the government. Too bad there's no poll from OGM, which is the best pollster, but they only poll before a major election. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on July 25, 2010, 12:53:28 PM Just looked up the Austrian election calendar for the next years.
There will be no federal or statewide election here in 2011 and 2012 ... :( The next big elections will be in 2013 (Parliament, Lower Austria & Tyrol state elections). That means I can focus exclusively on the US and elsewhere starting after the September/October Styria and Vienna state elections. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on July 26, 2010, 12:11:54 AM New Styria state elections poll:
() Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on July 31, 2010, 12:33:16 PM Report: Late right-winger Haider stashed millions in Liechtenstein
Vienna - The finances of late Austrian populist Jörg Haider were under scrutiny Saturday when a magazine reported that investigators uncovered 5 million euros (6.5 million dollars) the right-wing politician had parked in Liechtenstein. Twelve shell companies set up by Haider were uncovered in the tax haven as part of an investigation into the 2007 sale of the Austrian Hypo Group Alpe Adria to the German Bayern-LB for possible cases of corruption. The bank is headquartered in Carinthia province, where Haider was governor until his fatal car accident in 2008. The politician's Liechtenstein funds originally amounted to 45 million euros, the weekly profil wrote, citing unnamed investigators. A probe is underway to find out were the money came from and how it was spent. In the Hypo case, one of the questions is whether Haider's Alliance for the Future of Austria pocketed bribes to green-light the deal. Throughout his career, Haider was known for his flashy lifestyle and expensive election campaigns. Besides the salary from his public offices, he also had income from a large forest area he owned. Financing of parties and politicians are difficult to monitor in Austria, owing to the country's relatively weak laws on political funding. http://www.earthtimes.org/articles/news/337398,haider-stashed-millions-liechtenstein.html Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Filuwaúrdjan on July 31, 2010, 01:46:34 PM How shocking.
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on August 01, 2010, 04:03:17 AM How shocking. Haha, yeah ... :P Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on August 01, 2010, 04:10:15 AM New July unemployment numbers have been released today:
211.659 (-20.728 compared with July 2009, or -8.9%) Persons in a training course by the Labor Agency (technically unemployed): 62.084 (+5.887 compared with July 2009, or +10.5%) Unemployment rate (national method, doesn´t include self-employed): 5.7% (-0.6%) Unemployment rate (inkl. persons in courses): 7.3% (-0.4%) Unemployment rate (inkl. self-employed in the labor force): 5.0% Unemployment rate (inkl. self-employed in the labor force & persons in courses): 6.4% Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on August 01, 2010, 04:24:44 AM I´m really interested now to find out how many people are stuffed by labor agencies into training courses in Germany. People who are in these labor agency courses basically write job application letters for a couple of hours each week and for that they get some money from the labor agencies. So they are nothing more than unemployed. Let´s see if I can find numbers for Germany, because I´m sure they are not showing up in the official unemployment numbers - just like here ...
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: minionofmidas on August 01, 2010, 04:43:39 AM I´m really interested now to find out how many people are stuffed by labor agencies into training courses in Germany. People who are in these labor agency courses basically write job application letters for a couple of hours each week and for that they get some money from the labor agencies. So they are nothing more than unemployed. Let´s see if I can find numbers for Germany, because I´m sure they are not showing up in the official unemployment numbers - just like here ... Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on August 05, 2010, 12:23:53 AM Speculations about an alleged 45 million Euros owned by late Freedom Party (FPÖ) chief Jörg Haider on Liechtenstein bank accounts continue with the diary of a former ally referring to money transfers.
Ex-FPÖ MP Walter Meischberger claimed notes of his which Austrian newspapers got hold of were "not from a diary but just a notepad" in which he kept a record of various matters mentioned in conversations as well as rumours. Magazines and dailies printed parts of the handwritten records mentioning things such as "45 million Euros!!!" Liechtenstein prosecutors however meanwhile dismissed reports claiming Haider had access to bank accounts which once held 45 million Euros. Austrian magazine profil broke the story over the weekend by reporting that financial investigators from the principality cooperated with colleagues from Austria and Germany to discover the accounts. The political weekly claimed the accounts now only contain around five million Euros since most of the money was lost in risky investment deals. Profil journalist Michael Nikbakhsh said today he was surprised by the statement of Liechtenstein officials since he had been in touch with them via e-mail over the issue several times. Haider’s sister Ursula Haubner, who once headed the Alliance for the Future of Austria (BZÖ) which was founded by Haider five years ago, said she was unaware of alleged secret bank accounts managed by her late brother. The current head of the BZÖ’s Upper Austrian branch stressed she doubted the claims. "Jörg Haider always worked hard for the people. I’m not aware of such bank accounts, but I doubt their existence," she said. Several former close aides of Haider refused to comment on the allegations, while others vehemently defended the right-wing politician who died in a car crash in October 2008. http://austrianindependent.com/news/Politics/2010-08-04/4010/Confusion_as_ex-Haider_ally%27s_diary_emerges Austria’s lax party donation laws are to be changed following the alleged discovery of bank accounts holding 45 million Euros by late right-wing spearhead Jörg Haider. Reports have it that financial investigators found accounts managed by the founder of the Alliance for the Future of Austria (BZÖ) in Liechtenstein, with some media speculating that the money came from the families of Libyan leader Muammar al-Gaddafi and late Iraqi dictator Saddam Hussein. A task group formed by representatives of all five parties in the federal parliament is set to meet after the summer break in a bid to change the Austrian party donation rules considered as negligent and careless by most political analysts. Parties must report donations higher than 7,260 Euros to the Federal Audit Office (RH) – but do not face consequences if they fail to do so. Green chiefs have called for a change in the law for years over concerns money was being laundered that way. They also said all donations should be made public so voters know how much money parties receive – and from whom. Government coalition partners, the Social Democrats (SPÖ) and the conservative People’s Party (ÖVP), reportedly rake in most donations. Freedom Party (FPÖ) general secretary Herbert Kickl suggested Monday that the new law must enforce parties to give out information about donations as soon as they receive them – and not months after a crucial election. ÖVP Justice Minister Claudia Bandion-Ortner signalised the will to make existing rules stricter today. The Austrian party donation law is considered the least tough ruling in Europe. http://austrianindependent.com/news/Politics/2010-08-03/3968/Tougher_party_donations_law_planned_over_%27%8045mn_Haider_accounts%27 Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on August 07, 2010, 12:34:51 PM Today`s Profil newspaper reports that Jörg Haider and Ewald Stadler (ex-FPÖ, now BZÖ) received 5 Mio. $ from Saddam Hussein in 2002.
http://www.profil.at/articles/1031/560/274862/joerg-haiders-geldgeschaefte-diktator-saddam-hussein Haider and Stadler went to Iraq in 2002 to discuss with top Iraqi government members the possibility to treat Iraqi children with cancer and other deseases in Austria. While Haider met with Saddam as evidenced in the picture below, Stadler didn´t meet with him. () The Profil report is based on *shady* Iraqi Interior Ministry reports and Stadler - the only one of the 3 who´s still living - has referred to the Profil reports today as "bullsh**t". According to the reports, Stadler received 3.75 Mio. $ and Haider 1.25 Mio. $ There´s also new development in the Haider Liechtenstein bank accounts affair, where he was allegedly stuffing 45 Mio. $, according to Profil newspaper. Even though the Profil journalists have emails with the Liechtenstein authorities, these authorities have now said that they are not aware that Haider had any accounts in Liechtenstein. And so the (conspiracy) story goes on ... Don´t know if the Haider-hunters (Profil, ORF, Greens) will have more ammo, but until now they are just fishing in the dark and nothing is proven yet. The latest poll by IMAS out today seems to have no impact on polling numbers, the FPÖ is at 22% and the BZÖ at 7% - which is even higher than in previous surveys when they had 2-5%. ... Austrian bishop: Love Parade sinful rebellion against creation SALZBURG, Austria - An Austrian bishop describes the techno festival that led to 21 deaths and 500 injuries as a sinful event and indirectly links the deaths to God's punishment. Salzburg's Roman Catholic bishop, Andreas Laun says that the Love Parade and participation in it is "a rebellion against creation and against God's order, are sins and an invitation to sin!" () Writing on the German-language website Kath.net, Laun warns against judging the dead and saying their death was God's punishment. At the same time, he indirectly links the deaths to God's right to punish apostates — those who turn their back on the true faith. The tragedy occurred July 24, when crowds of people streaming into the festival in the German city of Duisburg surged through an jammed entry tunnel. http://www.winnipegfreepress.com/world/breakingnews/austrian-bishop-love-parade-sinful-rebellion-against-creation-100182924.html ... Hmmm ... () Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on August 07, 2010, 12:54:13 PM Haider ally compares Austrian papers with Nazis
Former allies of late right-wing spearhead Jörg Haider have launched an unprecedented attack on Austrian media over their coverage of alleged secret bank accounts. News weekly profil claimed on the weekend that ex-Freedom Party (FPÖ) boss Haider stashed around 45 million Euros in more than 40 different accounts in the principality bordering Austria. The magazine wrote that Austrian, German and Liechtenstein investigators had discovered the accounts as they examined corruption and embezzlement claims concerning the sale of Carinthian Hypo Group Alpe Adria (HGAA) bank. Haider, who died in a boozy car crash around two years ago, was governor of Carinthia for many years. HGAA was snapped up by Germany’s BayernLB (Bayerische Landesbank) in 2007. The Austrian government saw itself pressed to nationalise HGAA last year to avoid its collapse over soaring debts. An increasing number of FPÖ officials and representatives of the Alliance for the Future of Austria (BZÖ), the party founded by Haider in 2005, expressed doubts over the existence of accounts in Liechtenstein after prosecutors in the principality denied such discoveries. BZÖ Styria chief Gerald Grosz now caused outrage among journalists by comparing Austrian media to infamous Third Reich newspaper "Der Stürmer". Grosz also said some newspapers, TV stations and magazines would "hunt Haider as the Nazis hunted Jewish people in the Third Reich". He said: "Journalists who spread dirty lies despite knowing they are wrong aren’t a jot better than Nazi era propaganda masterminds. Some newsrooms apparently are utterly mad." The Union of Austrian Newspapers (VÖZ) reacted by calling on the BZÖ MP to step down today (Thurs). Grosz claimed more and more accusations have turned out to be incorrect over the past few days, while former Haider spokesman Stefan Petzner said the whole issue was "nothing but a campaign by left-wing prosecutors and investigators and a bid to posthumously damage Haider’s excellent reputation." Uwe Scheuch, head of the Carinthian Freedom Party (FPK), demanded an apology from "scandal-producing journalists", while other former political partners of Haider said the whole story was nothing but an attempt to create strong headlines and fill the pages during the summer season. Meanwhile, former Constitutional Court (VfGH) head Karl Korinek warned people would lose their trust in officials and the law due to "too long" procedures over possible business scandals. Korinek claimed today Austria’s justice sector had too few and badly paid employees. Former Federal Audit Office (RH) boss Franz Fiedler criticised there has been too little progress with investigations if high-profile businessmen or political decision-makers were suspected of malpractices. People’s Party (ÖVP) Justice Minister Claudia Bandion-Ortner said in a first reaction: "I’ve had enough of the permanent attacks. That has to end." Bandion-Ortner has come under fire over the past few months as public prosecutors and judges warned they would soon be incapable to handling a soaring number of cases while staff figures dwindle. The minister – a former judge – agreed to meet for talks later this year after unionists threatened with strikes. Speculations over where the allegedly discovered money could come from meanwhile continue. Some reports suggest the sums could be donations from the families of Muammar al-Gaddafi and late Iraqi dictator Saddam Hussein. Haider – a close friend of the Libyan leader’s son Saif al-Gaddafi – met both politicians several times. He claimed that his visits to the countries helped Carinthian companies to several lucrative deals. http://austrianindependent.com/news/Politics/2010-08-05/4036/Haider_ally_compares_Austrian_papers_with_Nazis Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on August 07, 2010, 01:05:35 PM The BZÖ is firing heavy against the newspaper Profil today:
BZÖ glaubt an Fälschung Nach Überzeugung des BZÖ sind die Redakteure des Nachrichtenmagazins "Profil" "bei dem Haider-Stadler Dokument ganz offensichtlich auf eine plumpe Fälschung hereingefallen". Tatsache sei, dass - "wie in diesem Dokument falsch beinhaltet - weder Jörg Haider und Ewald Stadler im Zeitraum von 3.5.2002 bis 6.5.2002 Saddam Hussein getroffen" hätten, heißt es in einer BZÖ-Aussendung am Samstag. "Die Profil-Redakteure hätten nur im öffentlich erhältlichen Buch von Jörg Haider 'Zu Gast bei Saddam. Im Reich des Bösen' nachlesen müssen, um zu dieser Erkenntnis zu gelangen", so das BZÖ. Der damalige Kärntner Landeshauptmann war im Februar 2002 nach Bagdad gereist und von Staatschef Saddam Hussein empfangen worden. Bei seiner darauffolgenden Irak-Reise im Mai 2002 war Haider dagegen nach eigener Aussage mit Außenminister Naji Sabri, nicht aber mit Saddam Hussein zusammengetroffen Dem BZÖ sei auch mitgeteilt worden, heißt es in der Aussendung weiter, "dass dieses Dokument mit Behauptungen über angebliche Millionenflüsse von Saddam Hussein an Jörg Haider und Ewald Stadler bereits Ende 2008 einer Partei und einigen Medien angeboten wurde, welche dieses sofort als Fälschung enttarnt und deshalb nicht veröffentlicht haben. Nur das Profil ist Jahre später in der Panik nach dem Haider-Konten-Flop darauf reingefallen." http://derstandard.at/1280984204376/Bei-Besuch-Haiders-Besuch-im-Irak-2002-Fuenf-Millionen-Dollar-von-Saddam-fuer-Haider (Translation to English after I come back from playing pool.) Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: minionofmidas on August 07, 2010, 01:07:42 PM Writing on the German-language website Kath.net, Laun warns against judging the dead and saying their death was God's punishment. At the same time, he indirectly links the deaths to God's right to punish apostates — those who turn their back on the true faith. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on August 14, 2010, 12:06:09 AM Woah, the Styria-ÖVP is nuts ! ;D
The JVP, which is the Young ÖVP, made a spot in which a man is disguised as a green panther. This green panther, the heraldic animal of Styria, was abducted by a terrorist (probably SPÖ-Gov. Voves), and was followed by a Sherlock Holmes like detective to Gov. Voves house, where the young ÖVP filmed an abduction scene without speaking to the governor beforehand. When Gov. Voves' wife looked out of her window, she saw a man dressed as the green panther with a noose around his neck and the rope held by another man dressed as terrorist. She then called the criminal police that some crazy people are outside her house. In 1 month, state elections will be held in Styria and the SPÖ and ÖVP are neck and neck. The state SPÖ fumed and demanded an apology for breaking the privacy of the governor. Yesterday, the state ÖVP embarrassingly said they will investigate within their party about this bizarre spot, but everyone in Styria is laughing at their idiocy ... ;) () Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on August 14, 2010, 12:59:48 PM The "left-wing hunting society's attacks" on Haider have no impact on polling numbers.
If they had any impact, it was a positive one for FPÖ/BZÖ. New Gallup/Ö24 poll out today: 33% (-2) SPÖ 31% (-2) ÖVP 20% (+2) FPÖ 11% (nc) Greens 4% (+2) BZÖ 1% (nc) Others Direct vote for Austrian Chancellor: 38% (+2) Werner Faymann (SPÖ-incumbent) 33% (+1) Josef Pröll (ÖVP) Job Approval Ratings: Faymann: 38% Approve, 32% Disapprove Pröll: 36% Approve, 30% Disapprove http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20100814_OTS0063/oesterreich-fpoe-legt-bei-sonntagsfrage-zu-regierung-schwaechelt Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on August 15, 2010, 12:05:52 AM New Vienna state elections poll by Gallup for Ö24:
45% (-4) SPÖ 23% (+8) FPÖ 17% (-2) ÖVP 11% (-4) Greens 3% (+2) BZÖ 1% (nc) Others 45% means that the SPÖ would lose its absolute majority in the city and would have to form a government with the Greens or the ÖVP. Direct vote for Mayor of Vienna: 51% Michael Häupl (SPÖ-incumbent) 20% Heinz-Christian Strache (FPÖ) 18% Christine Marek (ÖVP) 11% Maria Vassilakou (Greens) http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20100815_OTS0002/oesterreich-spoe-verliert-absolute-mehrheit-in-wien New Styria state elections poll by Gallup for Ö24: 38% (-4) SPÖ 37% (-2) ÖVP 11% (+7) FPÖ 6% (+1) Greens 3% (-3) KPÖ 2% (nc) BZÖ 3% (+1) Others Direct vote for Governor of Styria: 47% Franz Voves (SPÖ-incumbent) 35% Hermann Schützenhöfer (ÖVP) http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20100815_OTS0003/oesterreich-bei-steiermark-wahl-liegt-spoe-knapp-vor-oevp Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on August 16, 2010, 08:41:08 AM Uh-oh ! New FPÖ campaign poster, seen in Vienna:
() Let the pure-blood campaign begin, ala 1938: () http://www.helge.at/2010/08/reines-wiener-blut/ Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on August 17, 2010, 11:48:10 PM New Vienna state elections poll by Market/Standard:
50% (+1) SPÖ 19% (+4) FPÖ 17% (-2) ÖVP 14% (-1) Greens Federal elections in Vienna: 38% (+3) SPÖ 28% (+8) FPÖ http://derstandard.at/1281829398565/Wien-Umfrage-SPOe-haelt-Absolute-Gruene-nur-auf-Platz-vier Wow, this poll is strange. Hopefully OGM comes out with a poll to see who´s right: Gallup or Market. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on August 20, 2010, 01:38:49 PM Today was the deadline for submitting signatures to be on the ballot for the Styria state elections.
Qualified statewide parties by ballot order: * SPÖ * ÖVP * KPÖ * Greens * FPÖ * BZÖ * CPÖ * Puma (a party by a guy who submitted 200 valid signatures, only in electoral district 4 - Leoben) Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on August 22, 2010, 07:01:29 AM Minor news:
Anas Schakfeh, the President of the Muslims in Austria (IGGiÖ), said today he wants a mosque that is clearly visible in every of the 9 states in Austria, including a minaret. He also opposes the planned requirement of Interior Minister Maria Fekter (ÖVP) that every immigrant is required to pass a German test before immigrating to Austria. This is more ammo to the FPÖ and BZÖ, which have strongly condemned his remarks. Harald Vilimsky, the General Secretary of the FPÖ, has referred to mosques as "breeding grounds of radical Islam" and wants a total ban on immigrants from Muslim countries. BZÖ-speaker and front runner in the Styria state elections Gerald Grosz said mosques are "nests of an inhuman and democracy hostile parallel-society" and called for a construction ban of mosques and minarets in every Austrian state. FPÖ-leader Strache has also called the Vienna SPÖ a "Islamist Party" (they have a couple of Muslim candidates with contacts to German people who are in radical terror cells), after the SPÖ condemned the new FPÖ "pure-blood-campaign" in Vienna. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: minionofmidas on August 22, 2010, 03:32:53 PM I dunno, "Viennese blood" sounds like just another word for "mixed race Balkanese" to me.
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on August 23, 2010, 09:22:46 AM There´s actually a 4th mosque in Austria - with a 8 meter high minaret - and it´s actually in my district, in the city of Saalfelden.
() But unlike the other 3 Austrian towns in which there was controversy about building the mosques with their minarets, the one in my district was already built in 2003 without any opposition. Even the Salzburg-FPÖ and its leader Karl Schnell is supporting the mosque, as well as the SPÖ mayor, the local Catholic priest and the Anti-Terror authorities in Salzburg. We also have many, many summer tourists in the Zell am See/Kaprun/Saalfelden area who are from Arab countries like the UAE, Kuwait, Bahrain and Qatar and they also are happy that they can visit a mosque in the district. Good to see for the rest of Austria that my county can serve as an example in this case. http://derstandard.at/1282273386518/Trotz-Minarett-Moschee-in-Saalfelden-stoert-nicht-einmal-die-FPOe Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on August 29, 2010, 11:49:30 AM 2 new polls out today.
First the more important Styria state election poll by Market for "Standard": 39% (nc) ÖVP 37% (-5) SPÖ 7% (+2) FPÖ 6% (+1) Greens 6% (nc) KPÖ 3% (+1) BZÖ 2% (+1) Others (CPÖ, Puma) http://derstandard.at/1282978437223/Umfrage-OeVP-und-SPOe--sind-nahezu-gleichauf There´s also a new federal "Profil" poll by Karmasin Motivforschung: 33% (+4) SPÖ 32% (+6) ÖVP 20% (+2) FPÖ 10% (nc) Greens 3% (-8) BZÖ 2% (-4) Others http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20100828_OTS0007/profil-umfrage-spoe-vor-oevp-faymann-vor-proell Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on August 30, 2010, 02:27:01 PM Here´s the "Wahlkabine" for Steiermark (Styria):
http://www.politikkabine.at/wahlen/index.php?page=voter.Questionnaire My results (consensus percentage with party positions): Communists: 86% Greens: 82% SPÖ: 79% CPÖ: 68% BZÖ: 68% FPÖ: 59% ÖVP: 45% Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: minionofmidas on August 30, 2010, 02:31:53 PM Greens 74
Commies 73 SPÖ 62 FPÖ 50 BZÖ 49 CPÖ 42 ÖVP 38 Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Хahar 🤔 on August 30, 2010, 09:16:22 PM There´s actually a 4th mosque in Austria - with a 8 meter high minaret - and it´s actually in my district, in the city of Saalfelden. () But unlike the other 3 Austrian towns in which there was controversy about building the mosques with their minarets, the one in my district was already built in 2003 without any opposition. Even the Salzburg-FPÖ and its leader Karl Schnell is supporting the mosque, as well as the SPÖ mayor, the local Catholic priest and the Anti-Terror authorities in Salzburg. We also have many, many summer tourists in the Zell am See/Kaprun/Saalfelden area who are from Arab countries like the UAE, Kuwait, Bahrain and Qatar and they also are happy that they can visit a mosque in the district. Good to see for the rest of Austria that my county can serve as an example in this case. http://derstandard.at/1282273386518/Trotz-Minarett-Moschee-in-Saalfelden-stoert-nicht-einmal-die-FPOe The minaret seems quite unnecessary. But how are there only four mosques in Austria? Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on August 31, 2010, 10:22:07 AM There´s actually a 4th mosque in Austria - with a 8 meter high minaret - and it´s actually in my district, in the city of Saalfelden. () But unlike the other 3 Austrian towns in which there was controversy about building the mosques with their minarets, the one in my district was already built in 2003 without any opposition. Even the Salzburg-FPÖ and its leader Karl Schnell is supporting the mosque, as well as the SPÖ mayor, the local Catholic priest and the Anti-Terror authorities in Salzburg. We also have many, many summer tourists in the Zell am See/Kaprun/Saalfelden area who are from Arab countries like the UAE, Kuwait, Bahrain and Qatar and they also are happy that they can visit a mosque in the district. Good to see for the rest of Austria that my county can serve as an example in this case. http://derstandard.at/1282273386518/Trotz-Minarett-Moschee-in-Saalfelden-stoert-nicht-einmal-die-FPOe The minaret seems quite unnecessary. But how are there only four mosques in Austria? Because the Muslims are by-and-large happy with the about 200 large praying rooms they have accross the country. I agree that you don´t really need to have a mosque with minarets, because A) it doesn´t fit the landscape, B) it agitates the Right as a symbol of Islamic Imperialism and C) in Indonesia, which is the biggest Muslim country, you`ll find many mosques, but almost none with a minaret. It simply isn´t necessary for them. Talking of mosques and minarets: The Styria FPÖ is out with a new online game called "mosque bye bye", in which you can shoot down muezzins from the minaret. When you have completed the game, it says "Styria is full of mosques with minarets ! If you don´t want that to happen: Vote FPÖ on September 26 !" The Swiss SVP has also used this game prior to their infamous Anti-Mosque referendum (the PR firm that worked for the SVP is the same that is now working for the Styria FPÖ). The Green frontrunner in Styria has sued the FPÖ because of incitement of the people and accused the FPÖ once again of "Susanne Winter methods". www.moschee-baba.at http://derstandard.at/1282978601717/Game-Moschee-Baba-FPOe-Werbung-laesst-Muezzins-abschiessen Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Хahar 🤔 on August 31, 2010, 12:59:16 PM Ah, so the definition of mosque is different in Austria. Here, the praying rooms are also called mosques.
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Boris on August 31, 2010, 02:38:25 PM Talking of mosques and minarets: The Styria FPÖ is out with a new online game called "mosque bye bye", in which you can shoot down muezzins from the minaret. When you have completed the game, it says "Styria is full of mosques with minarets ! If you don´t want that to happen: Vote FPÖ on September 26 !" lol wtf Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on September 02, 2010, 02:08:11 PM New Styria state elections poll by Market for the newspaper "Kleine Zeitung":
() Direct vote for Governor: () ... Plus: 966.901 people aged 16 and over will be eligible to vote on September 26. 500.276 women and 466.625 men are eligible. http://www.kleinezeitung.at/steiermark/landtagswahl/index.do Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on September 02, 2010, 02:39:28 PM More info for the Vienna State and District Elections:
Tomorrow at 1pm is the deadline for submitting signatures to be on the ballot in Vienna. A party needs 2950 signatures to be on the ballot city-wide. These parties have already qualified to run city-wide: * SPÖ (Social Democratic Party) * ÖVP (People's Party) * FPÖ (Freedom Party) * Greens * BZÖ (Alliance for the Future of Austria) * KPÖ (Communist Party) These parties have almost all signatures collected to be on the ballot city-wide: * LIF (Liberal Forum) These parties have no chance to be on the ballot city-wide, but will appear in some districts: * SLP (Socialist Left Party) * DEM (Platform for Direct Democracy) * JULIS (Young Liberals) * Pirate Party * MUT (Humans, Environment, Animal Rights) * Liste Wien * CPÖ (Christian Party) * KI (Communist Intiative) * Aktive Arbeitslose (Active Unemployed) * WIFF (Wir für Floridsdorf) Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on September 02, 2010, 03:02:52 PM BTW:
Don´t be too surprised if the Vienna Greens are not doing so well in the October elections. Yesterday, a prominent Green member of the Federal Council of Austria - Stefan Schennach - changed parties and went over to the SPÖ. Schennach, from the Vienna Greens, was one of the people closest to Vienna Green leader and frontrunner Maria Vassilakou and also one of the people who knew most about the Green campaign strategy for the upcoming elections. She called Schennach's party change at this time in the campaign a disaster and that she´s very angry about it. The Vienna Greens are also in deep trouble because they split in 2 of their best districts, Mariahilf and Josefstadt. Now 2 Green lists will run in each of these dictricts, because of internal problems about the ballot-placement of frontrunners in these districts. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Hans-im-Glück on September 03, 2010, 04:01:37 PM Here´s the "Wahlkabine" for Steiermark (Styria): http://www.politikkabine.at/wahlen/index.php?page=voter.Questionnaire My result: KPÖ 70,6 Greens 70,4 SPÖ 66,7 FPÖ 59,8 BZÖ 54,8 CPÖ 53,1 ÖVP 35,5 Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on September 04, 2010, 11:43:26 AM More info for the Vienna State and District Elections: Tomorrow at 1pm is the deadline for submitting signatures to be on the ballot in Vienna. A party needs 2950 signatures to be on the ballot city-wide. These parties have already qualified to run city-wide: * SPÖ (Social Democratic Party) * ÖVP (People's Party) * FPÖ (Freedom Party) * Greens * BZÖ (Alliance for the Future of Austria) * KPÖ (Communist Party) These parties have almost all signatures collected to be on the ballot city-wide: * LIF (Liberal Forum) These parties have no chance to be on the ballot city-wide, but will appear in some districts: * SLP (Socialist Left Party) * DEM (Platform for Direct Democracy) * JULIS (Young Liberals) * Pirate Party * MUT (Humans, Environment, Animal Rights) * Liste Wien * CPÖ (Christian Party) * KI (Communist Intiative) * Aktive Arbeitslose (Active Unemployed) * WIFF (Wir für Floridsdorf) Update: The LIF has failed to be on the ballot city-wide. They were able to collect signatures in only 15 of the 18 districts. There´s also a new Gallup/Ö24 poll out today: 46% ( -3) SPÖ 23% (+8) FPÖ 16% (-3) ÖVP 10% (-5) Greens 2% (+1) BZÖ 3% (+2) Others (KPÖ) http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20100904_OTS0043/oesterreich-umfrage-fuer-wien-wahl-spoe-mit-46-fpoe-bei-23-gruene-nur-10 There´s also a new Profil/Karmasin Motivforschung poll: "Do you favor or oppose the construction of new mosques with minarets in Austria ?" 35% Favor 52% Oppose 13% Undecided http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20100904_OTS0008/profil-jeder-zweite-gegen-weitere-minarette-in-oesterreich Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on September 04, 2010, 11:52:14 AM There´s still a rather right race in Styria (also Gallup for Ö24):
() The lead is bouncing back and forth from SPÖ to ÖVP. In one poll the ÖVP is ahead by 2%, then in the next poll, it´s the SPÖ by 2% and so on. I think if the race is tied until the end, I think I´d give the ÖVP the edge, because their voters are easier to mobilize. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on September 04, 2010, 12:13:56 PM Today, the Vienna SPÖ kicked off its election campaign with a convention in the City-Hall and 7000 delegates. Even Paris mayor Bertrand Delanoe (PS) came to help out mayor Michael Häupl and was one of the speakers at the event.
() In other news, the Young ÖVP has proposed that sermons in Austrian mosques should be mandatory in German. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: minionofmidas on September 04, 2010, 12:44:18 PM Ah, so the definition of mosque is different in Austria. Here, the praying rooms are also called mosques. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: minionofmidas on September 04, 2010, 02:38:57 PM Ah, Austria. The country where the leading tabloid does not run naked women on about a dozen Christian holidays per year.
() ... Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on September 05, 2010, 12:00:39 AM Ah, Austria. The country where the leading tabloid does not run naked women on about a dozen Christian holidays per year. () ... I´ve never payed attention to that. I think they also run naked women on holidays, but I have to check now that you have mentioned it ... :P Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: minionofmidas on September 05, 2010, 03:15:42 AM Did you "get" the image?
These are not siamese twin butterflies. These butterflies are fucking. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on September 05, 2010, 03:58:47 AM Did you "get" the image? These are not siamese twin butterflies. These butterflies are fucking. Ahh, now that you say it ... :P (I thought you were posting the picture because August 11 was a holiday, which it was not ...) Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on September 05, 2010, 04:14:52 AM From fucking siamese twin butterflies to a new Upper Austria poll by IMAS now:
() The ÖVP-Green state government gains, the SPÖ loses and FPÖ/BZÖ are stagnating. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on September 05, 2010, 04:24:14 AM Gallup confirms the Profil minaret poll from yesterday:
52% of Austrians oppose the construction of more mosques with minarets 39% are in favor The biggest opponents of minarets are men (58% opposition), retirees (57%) and people living in Western Austria (63%). In Vienna, a plurality is in favor (49-37). 53% of Austrians also favor the internment of Asylum seekers, as proposed by Interior Minister Maria Fekter of the ÖVP. 37% are opposed. Among SPÖ voters, 48% support it and 46% oppose it. http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/52-fordern-ein-Minarett-Verbot/1653468 Recently the SPÖ has indicated it will likely back the plans of Fekter to inter Aslyum seekers for a longer period of time until their cases are reviewed by the Asylum court and to prohibit these Asylum seekers to escape into illegality. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on September 05, 2010, 07:45:42 AM Federal Gallup/Ö24 poll:
34% (+5) SPÖ 32% (+6) ÖVP 19% (+1) FPÖ 12% (+2) Greens 3% (-14) Others (incl. BZÖ) http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/Claudia-Schmied-und-Kanzler-als-Gewinner/1653031 Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on September 11, 2010, 12:06:19 PM More polls out today.
Federal OGM (the best pollster) survey for the newspaper "Kurier": () OGM also says that among "Under-30-year-olds" the FPÖ is 1st. http://kurier.at/nachrichten/2031403.php Styria state elections poll by Gallup for Ö24: 37% SPÖ 37% ÖVP 10% FPÖ 6% Greens 4% KPÖ 6% Others (BZÖ, CPÖ, PUMA) () http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/Wahlkampf-Haeupl-bremst-Strache/1700211 Styria state elections poll by GMK for the Styria SPÖ: 39% SPÖ 38% ÖVP 10% FPÖ 5% Greens 5% KPÖ 2% BZÖ 1% Others (CPÖ, PUMA) http://www.kleinezeitung.at/nachrichten/politik/2476135/kopf-kopf-rennen-steiermark.story Vienna state elections poll by Gallup for Ö24: 48% SPÖ 21% FPÖ 18% ÖVP 10% Greens 3% Others (BZÖ, KPÖ) () http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/Wahlkampf-Haeupl-bremst-Strache/1700211 Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on September 11, 2010, 12:13:09 PM In other news, a new Profil poll by Karmasin Motivforschung says that 52% of Austrians say that Muslims are not as tolerant as members from other religions. 35% of Austrians say that Muslims are as tolerant as, for example, Christians. 4% say they are more tolerant than Christians and 9% are undecided.
http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20100911_OTS0006/profil-jeder-zweite-meint-moslems-seien-weniger-tolerant And, in the city of Graz (Styria) an asylum center was attacked today with explosives: Quote GRAZ, Austria - Police say that an explosive device was set off at a shelter for asylum seekers, causing some damage. They say the explosion, in front of the open entrance door of the shelter occurred after midnight Saturday, damaging the door, part of the stairs and a bicycle. No one was hurt by the blast in the Graz, Austria's second-largest city in the south of the country. Police were investigating. http://www.winnipegfreepress.com/world/breakingnews/blast-in-austria-damages-shelter-for-asylum-seekers-no-injuries-102686819.html Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on September 11, 2010, 11:59:30 PM The ÖVP is now out with 1000s of posters in Vienna showing this:
() (It shows a young and hip SPÖ-mayor of Vienna, Michael Häupl, and says: "A fresh breeze for Vienna") A classical own goal for the Vienna ÖVP in my opinion, because one of the main rules of campaigning is: Never portray your opponent in 1000s of posters as a cool looking guy. :) Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on September 12, 2010, 12:24:32 PM Federal poll by Market for the newspaper "Standard":
27% (-2) SPÖ 25% (-1) ÖVP 24% (+6) FPÖ 11% (+1) Greens 8% (-3) BZÖ 5% (-1) Others Far-Right => 1st with 32% A strange poll that contrasts with every other recent poll. http://derstandard.at/1282979509098/Standard-Umfrage-Bundes-FPOe-fast-gleichauf-mit-den-Koalitionsparteien Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on September 17, 2010, 02:29:17 PM 2 more polls.
Styria (IMAS for the Kronen Zeitung): () ... Vienna (Gallup for Ö24): 47% (-2) SPÖ 21% (+6) FPÖ 17% (-2) ÖVP 11% (-4) Greens 4% (+2) Others (BZÖ, KPÖ) Direct vote for Mayor: 58% Michael Häupl (SPÖ-Incumbent) 18% Heinz-Christian Strache (FPÖ) 17% Christine Marek (ÖVP) 8% Maria Vassilakou (Greens) Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on September 18, 2010, 01:28:20 AM 2 new polls today.
Styria/Gallup/Ö24: 38% (-4) SPÖ 37% (-2) ÖVP 9% (+4) FPÖ 7% (+2) Greens 4% (-2) KPÖ 5% (+2) Others (BZÖ, CPÖ, PUMA) http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20100918_OTS0003/steiermark-umfrage-in-oesterreich-spoe-knapp-vor-oevp Federal/Gallup/Ö24: 32% (+3) SPÖ 30% (+4) ÖVP 21% (+3) FPÖ 10% (nc) Greens 3% (-8) BZÖ 4% (-2) Others http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20100918_OTS0001/oesterreich-umfrage-spoe-und-oevp-verlieren-fpoe-legt-zu There´s also a OGM trust index for Vienna, which shows the saldo of trust and no trust in various city politicians: () You can clearly see that Vienna is a SPÖ city, their politicians are the most popular. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Хahar 🤔 on September 18, 2010, 01:57:51 AM Why is Vassilakou so mistrusted? I seem to recall a scandal involving her, though I can't remember the details.
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on September 18, 2010, 02:11:55 AM Why is Vassilakou so mistrusted? I seem to recall a scandal involving her, though I can't remember the details. The actual numbers for her, according to OGM, are: 30% Trust 50% No Trust The scandal you mean is probably this: BTW: Don´t be too surprised if the Vienna Greens are not doing so well in the October elections. Yesterday, a prominent Green member of the Federal Council of Austria - Stefan Schennach - changed parties and went over to the SPÖ. Schennach, from the Vienna Greens, was one of the people closest to Vienna Green leader and frontrunner Maria Vassilakou and also one of the people who knew most about the Green campaign strategy for the upcoming elections. She called Schennach's party change at this time in the campaign a disaster and that she´s very angry about it. The Vienna Greens are also in deep trouble because they split in 2 of their best districts, Mariahilf and Josefstadt. Now 2 Green lists will run in each of these dictricts, because of internal problems about the ballot-placement of frontrunners in these districts. I guess most of the FPÖ voters and ÖVP voters have an unfavorable view of her because of the Greens' pro immigration policies (They want foreigners to be able to vote in Vienna elections) and also some parts of the working-class SPÖ might have reservations about her. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on September 18, 2010, 09:34:40 AM 2 new polls.
Styria (Humaninstitut Klagenfurt): 39% (-3) SPÖ 36% (-3) ÖVP 8% (+3) Greens 7% (+2) FPÖ 5% (+3) BZÖ 3% (-3) KPÖ 2% (+1) Others (CPÖ, PUMA) Direct vote for Governor: 40% Franz Voves (SPÖ-Incumbent) 25% Hermann Schützenhöfer (ÖVP) 12% Gerald Grosz (BZÖ) 10% Werner Kogler (Greens) 4% Gerhard Kurzmann (FPÖ) 2% Claudia Klimt-Weithaler (KPÖ) 7% Undecided http://www.ots.at/anhang/OTS_20100915_OTS0091.pdf Seems like the BZÖ is stealing some votes from the FPÖ, but I´m still sceptical that the BZÖ will get more than the 5% needed. ... Federal poll by Karmasin Motivforschung for Profil: 33% (+4) SPÖ 32% (+6) ÖVP 20% (+2) FPÖ 11% (+1) Greens 2% (-9) BZÖ 2% (-4) Others http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20100918_OTS0016/profil-umfrage-spoe-vor-oevp-faymann-vor-proell Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on September 19, 2010, 01:54:36 AM 2 new polls today by OGM (the best pollster).
Styria state elections: () By 52-37 voters say they want political change. Vienna state elections: () By 59-31 voters say they want a coalition government, instead of an SPÖ absolute majority. ... These are far better number for the Far-Right than in previous polls. Also, the SPÖ losses are very likely to continue. They have never won percentage-wise since 2008 ... Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on September 22, 2010, 03:29:25 PM There´s a new OGM poll out about the demand-oriented basic income that was introduced in Austria on September 1. Quick overview:
The basic income will be about 1000$ each month for every single-citizen and about 1400$ a month for couples. For every child in the family you get another 200$ a month. This basic income will only be available to Austrian citizens, EU-citizens who work in Austria and foreigners, who have at least worked 5 years in Austria. Asylum seekers and other foreigners are not getting it. That also means that unemployed persons will get at least 1000$ each month from September on. Until now, it did depend on how much you earned in your latest job and then you would get about 60-80% of what you earned. That was bad for part-time workers or low-wage workers. Another good thing is that now 100% of Austrian citizens will have health insurance, up from about 99% before that. For the basic income to be granted, one has to accept job offers from the Labor Agency, otherwise the basic income will be cut by 50% or, if someone repeatedly refuses to take the work offered by the Labor Agencies, it will be cut completely. So, it won´t be a "social hammock" ... A couple days ago, the ÖVP proposed a policy that would require recipients of this basic income to do mandatory community work after these people are unable to find a real job after 6 months of state-granted basic income. The ÖVP argues that this forced community work prevents people from lethargy in unemployment and encourages unemployed to re-integrate into the labor force, and it would prevent abuse of the new system. So here are the poll results what Austrians think about the ÖVP idea: () () A huge majority of Austrians (76%) think that mandatory work for basic-income receivers is a good idea, just 17% say it´s a bad idea. Voters of all parties support it. 72% also say that this would lead to less abuse of the new system and 82% think it would help unemployed persons to re-integrate into the labor market. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on September 22, 2010, 04:02:59 PM In the Sunday state elections in Styria, octopussy Paul predicts that challenger Schützenhöfer of the ÖVP will defeat the SPÖ of Governor Voves !
Here´s the picture of Paul picking sides: () In a tight race like this, I´d also say that the ÖVP wins, because the SPÖ always underperforms on Election Day. In other news, FPÖ-leader H.C. Strache is in trouble again, as NEWS reports some of his (young) staffers at campaign rallies are Neo-Nazis: ()() ()() Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on September 23, 2010, 12:36:04 PM New state elections poll for the Lower Austria SPÖ:
51% ÖVP 28% SPÖ 12% FPÖ 6% Greens 3% Others New federal OGM poll on the introduction of tuition fees in Austrian universities: 68% Favor 29% Oppose http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20100923_OTS0121/format-ogm-umfrage-68-prozent-fuer-studiengebuehren Currently, the number of foreign students (especially German students) is exploding in our universities (from about 150K in 2000 to about 300K now), because of the so-called German "numerus clausus refugees". In Germany's universities you are only accepted to become a university student if you have a 2.0 average or so I guess in your final high school exams. Additionally, many German states have recently introduced tuition fees themselves and because of this, many German students now flee to the great Austria, where we don´t have to pay tuition fees and also don´t have the numerus clausus. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on September 25, 2010, 02:28:24 AM My prediction for the Styria state elections tomorrow:
37.3% (-1.4%) ÖVP 36.0% (-5.7%) SPÖ 10.5% (+5.9%) FPÖ 5.8% (+1.1%) Greens 5.1% (-1.2%) KPÖ 4.3% (+2.6%) BZÖ 0.7% (+0.7%) CPÖ 0.3% (+0.3%) PUMA Turnout: ~ 75% ... 966.900 people will be eligible to vote, an increase of 37.105 (+4%) compared with 2005. ... If I were living in Styria and able to vote, I´d probably vote for the KPÖ or the Greens, but I´m leaning strongly towards the KPÖ. ... Here are maps of 2005 election results by town and historical election results in Styria: () () Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on September 25, 2010, 09:14:44 AM Anyone else wanna make some predictions ?
The winner gets free cookies ... Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Insula Dei on September 25, 2010, 11:15:10 AM My completely unfounded guess:
ÖVP and SPÖ within 1 % of one another. The ÖVP-FPÖ swing will detemine the biggest party. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Hans-im-Glück on September 25, 2010, 11:34:34 AM Anyone else wanna make some predictions ? The winner gets free cookies ... I make everything for cookies ;D 36.4% ÖVP 34.4% SPÖ 11,6% FPÖ 6,0% Greens 5.9% KPÖ 4.9% BZÖ 0.6% CPÖ 0.2% PUMA Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Lotuslander on September 25, 2010, 05:55:58 PM What's the fixation in Styria with the KPO?
They received 6.3% of the vote in Styria in 2005, and entered the state parliament for the first time since 1970. And the KPO received 20.75% in the Graz local elections in 2005. In the rest of Austria the KPO is lucky to receive 1% of the vote. Again, why is the KPO stronger in the Styrian landtag than everywhere else in Austria? And why is the KPO so strong in Graz? It's not like Styria or Graz were formerly part of the DDR. Then these results would be understandable. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Hash on September 25, 2010, 07:14:40 PM Graz and Styria are quite industrial areas iirc and there's some old tradition of syndicalism or something.
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: MaxQue on September 25, 2010, 07:35:08 PM KPO is a "reformed" communist party or an old style one?
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on September 26, 2010, 01:02:22 AM What's the fixation in Styria with the KPO? They received 6.3% of the vote in Styria in 2005, and entered the state parliament for the first time since 1970. And the KPO received 20.75% in the Graz local elections in 2005. In the rest of Austria the KPO is lucky to receive 1% of the vote. Again, why is the KPO stronger in the Styrian landtag than everywhere else in Austria? And why is the KPO so strong in Graz? It's not like Styria or Graz were formerly part of the DDR. Then these results would be understandable. It has more to do with the person of Ernest Kaltenegger, who was seen as one of the most trusted politicians in Styria. Kaltenegger was not a typical politician, but a charismatic one who refused to accept more than 1500€ a month of pay and gave the rest of his monthly pay to people in Graz who needed it (for example to people who couldn´t afford to pay rents, homeless shelters etc.) Then, after he got 20% in Graz and more than 6% in the state elections, the Communists also got more money to run their campaigns, that´s why the KPÖ will always be better positioned in Styria than elsewhere in Austria. Claudia Klimt-Weithaler, who followed Kaltenegger as party chair and is also a likeable person, is continuing his legacy. Also, many blue-collar workers in Northern Styria's steel plants do not see the SPÖ as a real left force that´s working for the Arbeiter anymore, but they see the SPÖVP as just 2 sides of a coin, in bed with the corporates. These folks also don´t trust the Greens as a credible leftist alternative, because their focus isn´t on the workers side either, but more on how many more foreigners they can bring into the country. These folks also tend to support the FPÖ. So, if there´s any trend in either direction today, you should probably take a look at the towns in the steel areas of Leoben, Bruck an der Mur and Mürzzuschlag. If the SPÖ struggles in their strongholds, they will certainly lose the state to the ÖVP. KPO is a "reformed" communist party or an old style one? Old style. () Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on September 26, 2010, 06:41:42 AM Turnout is expected to be a bit lower than in 2005, when it was 76.5%, but it´s the first election in Styria with postal votes and 6% of eligible voters asked for such a postal vote. That would add about 5% additionally to the turnout figures that will be announced later today.
Turnout is lower today, mostly because of really cold weather (only 5-10°C) and it´s stormy and rainy. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on September 26, 2010, 08:53:14 AM Exit polls in about 5 minutes.
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on September 26, 2010, 09:01:58 AM 1st Exit Poll (16:00):
38.0% SPÖ 37.5% ÖVP 10.7% FPÖ 5.2% Greens 4.6% KPÖ 3.1% BZÖ 0.9% Others Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on September 26, 2010, 09:03:38 AM Another Exit Poll by SORA for the ORF:
38.3% SPÖ 37.6% ÖVP 10.9% FPÖ 5.1% Greens 4.0% KPÖ 3.2% BZÖ 0.9% Others Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on September 26, 2010, 09:05:25 AM The figures above are already based on 48% of the votes counted.
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on September 26, 2010, 09:12:08 AM If it remains this close, we won´t have an end result today - because of the postal votes.
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on September 26, 2010, 09:15:10 AM Seats:
23 SPÖ 22 ÖVP 6 FPÖ 3 Greens 2 KPÖ Majority for SPÖ-FPÖ. Otherwise majority for SPÖ-ÖVP. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: minionofmidas on September 26, 2010, 09:18:16 AM KPO is a "reformed" communist party or an old style one? Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on September 26, 2010, 09:22:08 AM 534 of 542 towns are already counted.
Graz and few others will take a bit longer. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on September 26, 2010, 09:24:56 AM New Exit Poll:
38.1% SPÖ 37.9% ÖVP 10.7% FPÖ 5.2% Greens 4.2% KPÖ 3.0% BZÖ 0.9% Others Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on September 26, 2010, 09:30:27 AM Only 4 towns remain to be counted ...
Graz Rottenmann Grafendorf Hirnsdorf Based on the swings from other districts, I would be surprised if the SPÖ actually remains ahead of the ÖVP when everything is said and done, especially because ÖVP and Greens always do well with the postal votes that are counted next week. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on September 26, 2010, 09:37:45 AM OGM remains the best pollster ...
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on September 26, 2010, 09:50:26 AM Graz should be interesting.
In southern Styria, the SPÖ and the ÖVP lost about equally compared with 2005, while in northern Styria, the SPÖ did much worse than the ÖVP. In Graz, the FPÖ should do really well too. I´m guessing this result for Graz: 31% (-2) SPÖ 30% (-1) ÖVP 14% (+9) FPÖ 11% (nc) Greens 9% (-5) KPÖ 3% (+1) BZÖ 1% (-2) Others Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on September 26, 2010, 09:55:11 AM The county of Liezen is now fully counted and the SPÖ beats the ÖVP by 5 votes or 40.28% to 40.27% !
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: minionofmidas on September 26, 2010, 09:59:00 AM Graz should be interesting. In southern Styria, the SPÖ and the ÖVP lost about equally compared with 2005, while in northern Styria, the SPÖ did much worse than the ÖVP. I know you're talking about swing here, not strength, but a north-south split still sounds odd. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on September 26, 2010, 10:02:31 AM Graz should be interesting. In southern Styria, the SPÖ and the ÖVP lost about equally compared with 2005, while in northern Styria, the SPÖ did much worse than the ÖVP. I know you're talking about swing here, not strength, but a north-south split still sounds odd. Take a look at the results map here: http://derstandard.at/1285042455257/Grafik-zur-Steiermark-Wahl-Alle-Ergebnisse-im-Detail SPÖ lost by 4-7% in the northern districts (where their strongholds are) and the ÖVP lost more than the SPÖ in their southern and eastern strongholds. That makes Graz very interesting, because I cannot say who will lose more there ... Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on September 26, 2010, 10:07:05 AM SORA now has a new projection:
38.6% SPÖ 37.2% ÖVP 10.9% FPÖ 5.0% Greens 4.3% KPÖ 3.0% BZÖ 1.0% Others Which probably means that SORA has already a few Graz precincts for their prediction and therefore the SPÖ will likely have quite a good result in the city. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: minionofmidas on September 26, 2010, 10:08:18 AM 'kay, that's what happens when you do this purely by memory. The hard-left areas are further east than I would have placed them.
But there really is an odd north-south divide to swings in the ÖVP east. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on September 26, 2010, 10:09:52 AM Why won´t that fu**in town of Hirnsdorf not come in ?
:P Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: minionofmidas on September 26, 2010, 10:10:38 AM Not enough Hirn?
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on September 26, 2010, 10:16:54 AM Graz with 227 of 271 Sprengel counted:
32.8% SPÖ 28.1% ÖVP 12.5% FPÖ 12.4% Greens 9.7% KPÖ 3.6% BZÖ 1.0% CPÖ Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on September 26, 2010, 10:30:45 AM Graz is counted:
32.2% SPÖ 28.4% ÖVP 12.8% Greens 12.3% FPÖ 9.7% KPÖ 3.6% BZÖ 1.0% CPÖ Only Hirnsdorf remains ... :P Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on September 26, 2010, 10:47:06 AM Hirnsdorf now also counted !
The final result of the 2010 Styria State Elections (excl. 63.000 postal votes) is: 38.43% (-3.31) 235.311 votes - SPÖ (23 seats, -2) 37.14% (-1.52) 227.388 votes - ÖVP (22 seats, -2) 10.83% (+6.27) 66.304 votes - FPÖ (6 seats, +6) 5.25% (+0.57) 32.159 votes - Greens (3 seats, nc) 4.41% (-1.91) 26.983 votes - KPÖ (2 seats, -2) 3.00% (+1.28) 18.338 votes - BZÖ 0.71% (+0.71) 4.372 votes - CPÖ 0.23% (+0.23) 1.424 votes - PUMA Total eligible voters: 966.900 Total votes cast: 620.538 Total invalid votes: 8.259 Total valid votes: 612.279 Turnout: 64.18% (-11.37) Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on September 26, 2010, 10:59:28 AM Quite a good result for the SPÖ and the FPÖ.
Of course the SPÖ still didn´t gain percentage-wise in any election since 2005 (the last one was the Vienna state election in 2005 where the SPÖ gained percentage-wise), but the loss of Styria would have meant trouble for Austrian chancellor Faymann too (-> leadership debate). The FPÖ on the other hand had problems (?!) with their Anti-Minaret game, but it seems to have mobilized supporters for them. Because the SPÖ won´t enter a coalition with the FPÖ (Faymann's head would roll if Voves forms a SPÖ-FPÖ government), the most likely option is now another Grand-Coalition of SPÖVP - either with current ÖVP boss Schützenhöfer, or Schützenhöfer will step down and another one takes over the ÖVP. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on October 02, 2010, 02:57:20 AM An update, with most of the postal votes counted (they have to come in until Sunday):
38.3% (-3.3) SPÖ 37.2% (-1.5) ÖVP 10.7% (+6.1) FPÖ 5.5% (+0.7) Greens 4.4% (-2.0) KPÖ 3.0% (+1.3) BZÖ 0.7% (+0.7) CPÖ 0.2% (+0.2) PUMA The SPÖ is now having talks with both ÖVP and FPÖ about a possible government. ... 2 new Vienna state election polls: Gallup/Ö24: 46% SPÖ 21% FPÖ 17% ÖVP 12% Greens 4% Others (BZÖ, KPÖ) IMAS/Kronen Zeitung: () Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on October 03, 2010, 01:26:03 AM New federal poll by Gallup for Ö24:
() There´s also a new OGM poll about a possible SPÖ-FPÖ coalition in Styria: () 41% of Austrian voters find a SPÖ-FPÖ coalition acceptable, 48% find it not acceptable. 52% of SPÖ voters find it not acceptable, 38% find it acceptable and so on. It also asks which coalition voters want in Styria: 37% SPÖ/ÖVP 30% SPÖ/FPÖ 10% SPÖ/ÖVP/FPÖ 23% Don´t know Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on October 03, 2010, 01:44:25 AM The county of Liezen is now fully counted and the SPÖ beats the ÖVP by 5 votes or 40.28% to 40.27% ! With most of the postal votes counted, the ÖVP has re-conquered the county of Liezen and is now 24 votes ahead (ÖVP 40.19%, SPÖ 40.14%) This is important for map-making, because Liezen is the biggest county of Austria ... ;) () Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on October 03, 2010, 02:01:32 AM New unemployment numbers out for September:
214.167 people unemployed (-8.7% compared with September 2009) National unemployment rate: 5.9% (-0.5% compared with September 2009) Unemployment rates by state: 3.7% Upper Austria 3.8% Salzburg 4.9% Tyrol 5.5% Styria 5.7% Burgenland 6.0% Vorarlberg 6.0% Lower Austria 6.9% Carinthia 8.3% Vienna Job Creation in September: +45.000 compared with September 2009 EUROSTAT unemployment rate: 4.3% (-0.9% compared with 2009, lowest in the EU) http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/cache/ITY_PUBLIC/3-01102010-AP/EN/3-01102010-AP-EN.PDF () If you want jobs, come to Salzburg ... ;) There are 3.200 jobs available and 9.500 unemployed (a rate of 1 to 3). In Vienna for example, there are only 7.000 jobs and 72.000 unemployed (a rate of 1 to 10). http://www.bmask.gv.at/cms/site/attachments/0/2/1/CH0735/CMS1283328367478/arbeitsmarkt_vorab_oesterreich_201009.pdf Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on October 03, 2010, 02:26:05 AM Finance Minister Josef Pröll (ÖVP) announced today, 1 week before the important Vienna state elections, that the Austrian tax revenues have turned out much better than anticipated.
In the first 8 months of the year, 41.34 Bio. € of taxes have been collected, which is 5% more than last year and that would be on track to be the best tax revenues ever - thx to the growing economy that is likely to grow 2% this and next year. That also means that there will be 3 Bio. € more tax revenue this year than what was thought at the beginning of the year. The SPÖVP coalition proposed to cut the Austrian budget deficit of about 4% this year with a combination of across-the-board spending cuts, as well as increasing some taxes (bank tax, financial transactions tax, wealth tax, eco-tax). Now, with the 3 Bio. tax surplus, they are likely to wait after the Vienna elections so that they will announce only spening cuts and probably will increase no taxes. But we´ll see. It also means that the budget deficit won´t be 4% this year, but more likely 3.5% and we could already see less than the 3% that is in the Maastricht agreement. http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/Steuer-Der-neue-Geldregen/3885328 Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on October 03, 2010, 05:40:49 AM 2 more Vienna polls:
Humaninstitut Klagenfurt 43% (-6) SPÖ 22% (+7) FPÖ 17% (-2) ÖVP 11% (-4) Greens 6% (+5) BZÖ 1% (nc) Others Direct vote for Mayor: 38% Häupl (SPÖ) 21% Marek (ÖVP) 18% Strache (FPÖ) 12% Sonnleitner (BZÖ) 7% Vassilakou (Greens) 4% Undecided http://www.ots.at/anhang/OTS_20101002_OTS0014.pdf ... GMK for the Wiener Bezirkszeitung: 44% (-5) SPÖ 22% (+7) FPÖ 17% (-2) ÖVP 13% (-2) Greens 2% (+1) BZÖ 2% (+1) KPÖ http://archiv.print-gruppe.com/ausgabe.php?id=8059 Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on October 03, 2010, 01:15:53 PM Vienna state elections debate hosted by ATV starting in 1 minute.
Live Stream here: http://meinewahl.atv.at/live Candidates: Michael Häupl (SPÖ) Heinz-Christian Strache (FPÖ) Christine Marek (ÖVP) Maria Vassilakou (Greens) Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on October 06, 2010, 01:12:57 PM Latest poll by Market for Standard:
47% SPÖ 22% FPÖ 17% ÖVP 12% Greens 1% BZÖ 1% KPÖ http://derstandard.at/1285200210460/Umfrage-SPOe-zeigt-Schwaeche-FPOe-holt-auf ... Looks like a repeat of the 1991 election: 48% SPÖ, 23% FPÖ, 18% ÖVP, 9% Greens, 2% Others ... I think the Greens will do worse on Sunday than what is projected in the polls. 9-10% seems to be correct. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on October 06, 2010, 01:41:10 PM Puls 4 debate for Vienna:
http://www.puls4.com/content/wien_wahl_2010/video/1161415 I like the intro ... ! ;) Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on October 07, 2010, 01:36:48 PM The final days of the Vienna campaign have begun and the FPÖ is gaining !
New Gallup poll for Ö24 (800 polled this week): 44-45% (-4/5%) SPÖ 23-24% (+8/9%) FPÖ 16-17% (-2/3%) ÖVP 12-13% (-2/3%) Greens http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/wien-wahl/Buergermeister-Haeupl-hat-nur-noch-45-der-Stimmen/4167138 Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on October 09, 2010, 02:30:53 PM Here are some facts about the Vienna state elections tomorrow (incl. results in the districts):
() () 1.144.510 Austrian citizens aged 16+ will be eligible to vote. There will be 162.039 postal/absentee votes (14% of all eligible voters). My prediction for Vienna tomorrow: 43.1% (-6.0) SPÖ 25.4% (+10.6) FPÖ 16.3% (-2.5) ÖVP 10.4% (-4.2) Greens 1.7% (+0.5) BZÖ 1.3% (+1.3) LIF 1.1% (-0.4) KPÖ 0.7% (+0.7) Others Turnout: ~60% Anyone else wanna try a prediction ? Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Hash on October 09, 2010, 02:34:49 PM Where does the FPÖ do well again in Vienna?
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: minionofmidas on October 09, 2010, 02:40:55 PM Where does the FPÖ do well again in Vienna? Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on October 09, 2010, 02:59:33 PM Where does the FPÖ do well again in Vienna? 2005 (2001) (1996) Vienna state elections FPÖ share by district: 01: 7.9% (18.9%) (22.4%) 02: 14.1% (20.3%) (29.7%) 03: 12.6% (19.4%) (26.0%) 04: 9.4% (17.5%) (22.8%) 05: 13.2% (20.2%) (28.1%) 06: 9.4% (16.7%) (22.5%) 07: 8.5% (15.9%) (22.2%) 08: 8.6% (16.6%) (21.7%) 09: 9.6% (17.0%) (23.3%) 10: 19.6% (22.8%) (31.1%) 11: 18.8% (21.7%) (31.6%) 12: 16.5% (21.4%) (29.4%) 13: 11.0% (18.3%) (21.7%) 14: 14.9% (20.1%) (27.8%) 15: 15.9% (21.5%) (31.9%) 16: 15.8% (20.9%) (30.3%) 17: 14.9% (21.2%) (29.0%) 18: 10.4% (17.8%) (23.1%) 19: 11.7% (18.6%) (23.2%) 20: 16.8% (22.6%) (31.5%) 21: 17.0% (20.5%) (29.5%) 22: 16.4% (20.2%) (29.8%) 23: 14.5% (19.5%) (26.9%) Vienna-wide: 14.8% (20.2%) (27.9%) 2008 Austrian Parliament FPÖ share by district: 01: 8.2% 02: 18.5% 03: 15.7% 04: 11.4% 05: 16.4% 06: 11.5% 07: 9.8% 08: 9.3% 09: 10.9% 10: 28.4% 11: 29.6% 12: 22.8% 13: 13.7% 14: 19.3% 15: 20.0% 16: 20.8% 17: 17.7% 18: 12.1% 19: 14.5% 20: 23.9% 21: 26.9% 22: 25.6% 23: 21.1% Vienna-wide: 20.4% Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on October 09, 2010, 03:14:37 PM Just a reminder:
In 2005, the Vienna FPÖ started their campaign in the spring with 4% support in the polls. They gained up to 9-11% in polls conducted just before the election and eventually got 15% on election day. Let´s see if they also underpolled this time (2 weeks ago in Styria they did). Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on October 09, 2010, 03:25:14 PM 3 other news important for the election tomorrow:
In the last weeks, the Kronen Zeitung put out quite a few editorials in favor of abolishing the draft in Austria. This is also popular with the public, a majority supports abolishing the draft and establishing a professional army. Because of this, Vienna mayor Michael Häupl of the SPÖ proposed 3 days ago that the SPÖ now supports a referendum on the issue, sometime in 2011. Previously, the SPÖ was strongly in favor of keeping the draft, including President Fischer and Defense Minister Darabos. Now they went populist, 3 days before the critical elections, probably because they know that the draft is unpopular among young males (strongest FPÖ voters). ... In a Burgenland town, a ÖVP mayor was found guilty yesterday of faking 13 absentee ballots in the spring state elections. He announced that he`ll step down as mayor, but what effect will this have on the Vienna ÖVP ? An election faker is never good news. ... Members within the Vienna SPÖ accused FPÖ leader Strache of being a cocaine user. Strache presented 2 drug tests from late September because of this and both were (surprise !) negative. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Filuwaúrdjan on October 09, 2010, 06:57:16 PM Where does the FPÖ do well again in Vienna? Indeed: () Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Хahar 🤔 on October 10, 2010, 03:24:06 AM Vienna is shaped a lot like Berlin.
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on October 10, 2010, 03:45:29 AM Vienna is shaped a lot like Berlin. Yeah, but twice the size: population- and size-technically. BTW: The Vienna "exit polls" today will be different than in other elections. Because the precincts all close at the same time at 5pm, there won´t be a projection based on precincts already counted like in other states, but a so called "Wahltagsbefragung" by SORA, that was actually done among 2000 Vienna voters by phone on Saturday and Sunday. A first projection (based on counted precincts) is expected at 6pm. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on October 10, 2010, 08:15:52 AM Turnout seems to be higher than in 2005, maybe 63-66% (with postal votes).
Until 2pm, 36.6% have already voted - which is lower than the 39.4% at the same time in 2005. But it is not really comparable, because postal votes were not allowed in 2005. 14% of all voters have requested postal votes and turnout is generally high among these voters, so you can add another 10% to the turnout figures. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on October 10, 2010, 09:52:11 AM Polls close in 10 minutes ...
Results can be found here starting @ about 6pm. http://www.wien.gv.at/english/NET-EN/GR101/index.htm Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on October 10, 2010, 10:02:53 AM SORA Weekend poll (2000 voters questioned on Saturday/Sunday):
42-46% SPÖ 23-26% FPÖ 14-16% ÖVP 11-13% Greens 1-3% BZÖ 1-2% KPÖ Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on October 10, 2010, 10:05:14 AM That could mean up to 27% for the FPÖ, because their voters tend to lie in these telephone polls.
Real results from precincts and the first projection are expected to come in in about 40 minutes. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on October 10, 2010, 10:13:12 AM Sry, deleted the live-stream somehow ... :P
mms://apasf.apa.at/ORFcmsLive5 Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on October 10, 2010, 10:22:09 AM Der Standard has some useful maps, as usual:
http://derstandard.at/1285199934028/Grafik-Alle-Wahlergebnisse-im-Detail Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on October 10, 2010, 10:36:35 AM In the next 15 minutes there should be a first projection based on counted precincts ...
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on October 10, 2010, 10:54:21 AM 1st projection by SORA:
44.5% SPÖ 27.2% FPÖ 13.0% ÖVP 12.1% Greens 1.4% BZÖ 1.1% KPÖ 0.7% Others WOW ! Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on October 10, 2010, 10:58:21 AM 44.5% (-4.6%) SPÖ
27.2% (+12.4%) FPÖ 13.0% (-5.8%) ÖVP 12.1% (-2.6%) Greens 1.4% (+0.2%) BZÖ 1.1% (-0.3%) KPÖ 0.7% (+0.6%) Others The absolute majority for the SPÖ is probably gone ... Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on October 10, 2010, 11:01:18 AM The ÖVP result is a desaster ...
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on October 10, 2010, 11:06:29 AM The most likely coalition now will be SPÖ-Green, a coalition of 2 moderate losers.
There will be no elections in Austria for the next 3 years, therefore the FPÖ and Strache will continue his strong opposition against the federal SPÖVP government and the BZÖ is done. If the federal government sucks in the next 3 years, Strache may be well positioned for a '99 style election result. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on October 10, 2010, 11:07:24 AM Now the seats:
49 SPÖ 28 FPÖ 12 ÖVP 11 Greens SPÖ has lost its majority ! Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Hash on October 10, 2010, 11:09:40 AM Canadians can rejoice. There's a country more stupid than Canada.
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on October 10, 2010, 11:13:03 AM The ÖVP result is a desaster ... Probably the result of Christine Marek, the ÖVP front-runner, with a charisma like a stone. And, probably a late swing against the ÖVP because of the story I mentioned above: A mayor in Burgenland faked 13 absentee ballots in the spring state elections and the voters don´t like election fakers ... Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Filuwaúrdjan on October 10, 2010, 11:15:37 AM Compared to the 2008 results in the city:
SPÖ +9.7 FPÖ +6.8 ÖVP -3.7 Greens -3.9 BZÖ -3.3 KPÖ 0.0 LiF polled 4.2. Did they link up with another party, or have they collapsed? Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on October 10, 2010, 11:17:13 AM New projection (with 64% of precincts counted):
44.2% SPÖ 27.0% FPÖ 13.2% ÖVP 12.3% Greens 1.4% BZÖ 1.2% KPÖ 0.7% Others Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on October 10, 2010, 11:19:50 AM Compared to the 2008 results in the city: SPÖ +9.7 FPÖ +6.8 ÖVP -3.7 Greens -3.9 BZÖ -3.3 KPÖ 0.0 LiF polled 4.2. Did they link up with another party, or have they collapsed? They collapsed. Heide Schmidt left politics, so left their donors and the LIF was mainly based on Schmidt. Their supporters went over mainly to the Greens and SPÖ I guess ... Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on October 10, 2010, 11:23:49 AM FPÖ @ 37% in Wien-Simmering !
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on October 10, 2010, 11:26:44 AM 85% of the precincts counted:
44.11% SPÖ 26.75% FPÖ 13.31% ÖVP 12.52% Greens 1.37% BZÖ 1.15% KPÖ 0.67% LIF 0.06% MUT 0.04% DEM 0.01% SLP Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on October 10, 2010, 11:28:37 AM With 1 precinct out, the ÖVP has lost the Inner City !
Double-LOL ! :P Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on October 10, 2010, 11:30:05 AM The Greens have lost the 7th district to the SPÖ, which actually gained 5% there !
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on October 10, 2010, 11:31:57 AM With a strong result in the postal votes, the Greens may actually be ahead of the ÖVP city-wide.
:) Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on October 10, 2010, 11:33:22 AM With 1 precinct out, the ÖVP has lost the Inner City ! Double-LOL ! :P This precinct is now counted, the ÖVP loses their stronghold to the SPÖ. ÖVP loses 11% there, the SPÖ gains 3.5%. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Filuwaúrdjan on October 10, 2010, 11:33:54 AM Yeah, the SPÖ are leading in every district. Seems that gains resulting from the Green problems you mentioned a while ago have partially cancelled out the losses to the FPÖ.
FPÖ @ 37% in Wien-Simmering ! Isn't that where Strache is from? Or near to it? I remember reading in 2008 that he was from the south of the city. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on October 10, 2010, 11:34:34 AM FPÖ now approaching 38% in Simmering.
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Filuwaúrdjan on October 10, 2010, 11:35:13 AM With 1 precinct out, the ÖVP has lost the Inner City ! Double-LOL ! :P This precinct is now counted, the ÖVP loses their stronghold to the SPÖ. ÖVP loses 11% there, the SPÖ gains 3.5%. FPÖ up to nearly 16% from 7% last time. Weird. You wouldn't have thought that would be the sort of place to see ÖVP bleeding to FPÖ. Greens down by nearly 3pts. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on October 10, 2010, 11:39:31 AM Yeah, the SPÖ are leading in every district. Seems that gains resulting from the Green problems you mentioned a while ago have partially cancelled out the losses to the FPÖ. FPÖ @ 37% in Wien-Simmering ! Isn't that where Strache is from? Or near to it? I remember reading in 2008 that he was from the south of the city. Yeah, he´s from Favoriten, which is the neighbouring district. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on October 10, 2010, 11:47:05 AM The FPÖ is also much stronger in the districts that are growing faster (population technically) than in the Haider-years (1996).
While in 1996 the FPÖ got 28% city-wide, they got 29% in Vienna-North, which are growing fast and have a lower foreigner amount. Now the FPÖ has 27% city-wide, but 32-33% in these districts. The mosque in Floridsdorf could also be a reason ... Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on October 10, 2010, 11:51:29 AM Turnout will certainly be higher than in 2005.
If postal voters vote with 80% as they usually do, overall turnout will be 65-67%, up from 61% in 2005. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on October 10, 2010, 11:53:24 AM The remaining precincts are mostly in strong FPÖ areas, so there´s still some room to grow for them.
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on October 10, 2010, 11:54:34 AM BTW, here´s the English results page:
http://www.wien.gv.at/english/NET-EN/GR101/index.htm Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on October 10, 2010, 12:06:47 PM I wonder what the result would have been if the FPÖ refused to run Barbara Rosenkranz as a Presidential candidate earlier this year ... :P
Probably 30%+ Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on October 10, 2010, 12:11:20 PM 2nd district of Vienna (Leopoldstadt):
112 of 111 precincts counted. WTF ? Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Hash on October 10, 2010, 12:29:05 PM what is Simmering like?
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on October 10, 2010, 12:40:07 PM what is Simmering like? Working class area with lots of industry (cars and weapons industry), demographically younger than the Vienna average, one of the fastest growing districts in the city (about 1% each year). Less foreigners than the Vienna average. Typical middle-class district. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on October 10, 2010, 12:47:48 PM We have a final result now (excl. about 160.000 postal votes):
44.13% (-4.96%) SPÖ 27.06% (+12.23%) FPÖ 13.23% (-5.54%) ÖVP 12.23% (-2.40%) Greens 1.40% (+0.25%) BZÖ 1.15% (-0.32%) KPÖ 0.68% (+0.68%) LIF 0.06% (+0.06%) MUT 0.05% (+0.05%) DEM 0.01% (-0.01%) SLP Turnout: 56.55% (is expected to increase to about 67-68% with postal votes, +6/7%) Seats: 48 (-7) SPÖ 29 (+16) FPÖ 13 (-5) ÖVP 10 (-4) Greens Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on October 10, 2010, 12:57:07 PM Side fact:
The FPÖ did a lot worse than in 1996 in the liberal and population-declining inner-city districts (especially in the 1st, the 3rd and in the 6th-9th). Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: minionofmidas on October 10, 2010, 01:26:25 PM We have a final result now (excl. about 160.000 postal votes): 44.13% (-4.96%) SPÖ 27.06% (+12.23%) FPÖ 13.23% (-5.54%) ÖVP 12.23% (-2.40%) Greens 1.40% (+0.25%) BZÖ 1.15% (-0.32%) KPÖ 0.68% (+0.68%) LIF 0.06% (+0.06%) MUT 0.05% (+0.05%) DEM 0.01% (-0.01%) SLP Turnout: 56.55% (is expected to increase to about 67-68% with postal votes, +6/7%) Seats: 48 (-7) SPÖ 29 (+16) FPÖ 13 (-5) ÖVP 10 (-4) Greens Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on October 10, 2010, 01:32:14 PM What's the system used here; that's not a strictly proportional distribution. Wie aus Stimmen Mandate werden 17. September 2010, 19:09 49 Prozent der Stimmen bedeuten für die Wiener SP derzeit 55 von 100 Gemeinderatsmandaten. Aber auch mit 46 oder 47 Prozent könnten die Roten ihre absolute Mehrheit bei den Wahlen am 10. Oktober halten. Nachdem das Ergebnis feststeht, wird in zwei Ermittlungsverfahren die Mandatsverteilung festgelegt. Im ersten Ermittlungsverfahren wird überprüft, wie viele Grundmandate die Parteien in den 18 Wahlkreisen geholt haben. Wer ein Grundmandat oder landesweit mehr als fünf Prozent der Stimmen hat, wird auch im zweiten Ermittlungsverfahren berücksichtigt. Dabei werden nach dem so genannten d'Hondtschen Verfahren, das auch bei Nationalratswahlen angewendet wird, die Restmandate vergeben; es kommen jene Kandidaten zum Zug, die auf den Landeslisten stehen. Je mehr Wiener Parteien wählen, die nicht in den Gemeinderat einziehen, desto mehrheitsfreundlicher wird das Wahlrecht. Denn für die Mandatsermittlung werden nur jene gültigen Stimmen herangezogen, die auf Parteien entfallen sind, die entweder ein Grundmandat erreicht oder die Fünf-Prozent-Hürde übersprungen haben. Entfallen viele Stimmen auf Parteien, die das nicht geschafft haben, wird ein Mandat "billiger", das heißt: Die Zahl der erforderlichen Stimmen pro Gemeinderatssitz sinkt. Das gilt auch, wenn die Wahlbeteiligung insgesamt gering ist. Eine Prozentgrenze für die absolute Mehrheit lässt sich im Vorfeld der Wahl nicht ziehen, das hängt von den Ergebnissen in den Bezirken ab. Die SP profitiert etwa von ihrer Stärke in den Flächenbezirken wie Floridsdorf oder Simmering, wo sie besonders viele Grundmandate einheimsen kann. Bei den Wahlen 2001 reichten den Roten jedenfalls schon 46,9 Prozent für die absolute Mandatsmehrheit. Wie Wien künftig regiert wird, könnte am Abend des 10. Oktober noch unklar sein: Erstmals gibt es bei Gemeinderatswahlen die Möglichkeit zur Briefwahl. Schätzungen zufolge könnte jeder zehnte Wiener davon Gebrauch machen; die Briefwahlstimmen werden erst am 18. Oktober endgültig ausgezählt. (hei, DER STANDARD, Printausgabe, 18./19.9.2010) http://derstandard.at/1284594595212/WISSEN-Wie-aus-Stimmen-Mandate-werden Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: minionofmidas on October 10, 2010, 01:51:21 PM That doesn't explain anything and is in fact flat-out contradicted by the result, unless almost all seats are Grundmandate. (A D'Hondt distribution would be 46-28-14-12... and it's quite close between the 14th ÖVP, 13th Green, and 47th SPÖ mandate. The 13th ÖVP seat has a considerably lower priority than an 11th Green seat, so we'd have to assume that the Greens are the only party to get seats in the second distribution.)
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: minionofmidas on October 10, 2010, 02:14:40 PM Thanks!
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on October 10, 2010, 02:14:49 PM That doesn't explain anything and is in fact flat-out contradicted by the result, unless almost all seats are Grundmandate. (A D'Hondt distribution would be 46-28-14-12... and it's quite close between the 14th ÖVP, 13th Green, and 47th SPÖ mandate. The 13th ÖVP seat has a considerably lower priority than an 11th Green seat, so we'd have to assume that the Greens are the only party to get seats in the second distribution.) I´m not an expert with this, but try that: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s4wC1YtzYiA It seems like Hagenbach-Bischoff is used first to determine the basic mandates, then D'Hondt to determine the mandates that were left over ... Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: minionofmidas on October 10, 2010, 02:20:27 PM Here is the constituency map
() Seems the two multi-borough constituencies are named "Zentrum" and "Innen-West", btw. This (http://www.wien.gv.at/wahl/NET/GR101/index.htm) results page has the seats numbers. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on October 10, 2010, 02:39:46 PM A couple of maps:
() () Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: minionofmidas on October 10, 2010, 02:44:59 PM the number of seats distributed in the first round was SPÖ 42, FPÖ 23, ÖVP 7, Greens 2, with 26 seats left over for the second distribution.
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on October 10, 2010, 02:50:05 PM the number of seats distributed in the first round was SPÖ 42, FPÖ 23, ÖVP 7, Greens 2, with 26 seats left over for the second distribution. I guess the Greens got their 2 basic mandates in the Central ED and Inner-West ED ? Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: minionofmidas on October 10, 2010, 02:57:17 PM Yes; missing out by ridiculous margins in Leopoldstadt, Landstraße, perhaps elsewhere (I sort of stopped bothering comparing seats with vote percentages eventually.)
Of course the cutest results come from Hernals and Währing, where only one out of three available seats was distributed in the first go. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on October 10, 2010, 02:58:58 PM Now a seat has moved from the FPÖ to the SPÖ ...
What is going on there, why are they still counting ballots ? I remember 2 hours ago, the FPÖ was over 170.000 votes, now they have less ? Weird. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Filuwaúrdjan on October 10, 2010, 03:07:50 PM ()
lol I would normally do a leading party map, but the essential hilarity of voting patterns in Vienna combined with the SPÖ leading everywhere to make such a map probably less than entirely useful. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: minionofmidas on October 10, 2010, 03:09:12 PM Now a seat has moved from the FPÖ to the SPÖ ... What is going on there, why are they still counting ballots ? I remember 2 hours ago, the FPÖ was over 170.000 votes, now they have less ? Weird. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on October 11, 2010, 01:21:51 AM Now a seat has moved from the FPÖ to the SPÖ ... What is going on there, why are they still counting ballots ? I remember 2 hours ago, the FPÖ was over 170.000 votes, now they have less ? Weird. Yeah, they were re-canvassing the results in the districts and now they have a preliminary final result. The majority of the postal votes will be counted tomorrow, the rest next Monday. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on October 11, 2010, 01:30:41 AM Here are the results of the Bezirksvertretungswahlen (district elections):
() 2005 -> () As you can see, the 4th district went from the ÖVP to the SPÖ and the 8th district went from the Greens to the ÖVP, because of internal divisions within the Greens. In the 8th, there were 2 Green lists: The main list got 24% and the split list got 12%, while the ÖVP got 26% and the SPÖ 24%. Meanwhile, in the 6th district, there were also 2 Green lists this time, but the split group got only 2% there, while the main list got 26% - still, the SPÖ got 37% there. Therefore, there will be 17 district "mayors" (Bezirksvorsteher) of the SPÖ, 5 from the ÖVP and 1 from the Greens. http://www.wien.gv.at/wahl/NET/BV101/BV101-109.htm Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on October 11, 2010, 01:50:59 AM Here´s an English recap article of the elections:
Election gains for Austria far-right () The far-right resurged in local elections in Vienna, the Austrian capital, securing the biggest gains in votes and mandates following a campaign laced with anti-Islamic rhetoric. With only absentee ballots left to be counted, the anti-immigration Freedom Party won 27% and 28 seats in the regional parliament – up from 13. That is a significant boost from the 14.8% they garnered during 2005 elections, and near their record high of 27.9%, achieved in 1996, when the late Jorg Haider was at the party’s helm. “With a hand on my heart, I am deeply grateful for the confidence the Viennese have given me and I know what that responsibility means,” Freedom Party chief Heinz-Christian Strache said. The Social Democrats took the lead with 44.2% of the vote – down from 49.1% in 2005. But with just 49 seats to call their own, down from 55, they lost their absolute majority and will now have to look for a coalition partner. That comes as a significant blow to longtime mayor Michael Haeupl, who hoped his party would not have to share power. “The voter is always right in a democracy and as a democrat I accept this result and now we have to keep working,” said a clearly crushed Mr Haeupl, who gave no indication he would resign over the outcome. He said the Freedom Party had done a better job mobilising its supporters. The centre-right People’s Party, meanwhile, also suffered big losses, dropping from 18.8% in 2005 to 13.2% or 13 seats. It had previously held 18. The Greens placed fourth with 12.2%, or 10 seats, down from 14.6 five years ago. It lost four mandates. Over the past few months, the Freedom Party tried to shore up support with campaign posters that mentioned Vienna blood – originally a waltz by Johann Strauss – which critics claimed had clear racist undertones in this political context. The party also circulated a controversial comic strip that features a character resembling Mr Strache who urges a young boy to use his sling shot to hit Mustafa, who led the historic Turkish siege of Vienna in 1683. In the end, the Freedom Party connected best with predominantly male and less educated voters aged 20 to 29 or above 60, according to the Vienna-based Institute for Social Research and Analysis. The Social Democrats, for their part, tried to position 61-year-old Mr Haeupl, who has been mayor since 1994, as a strong captain who had proven capable of steering the city through difficult times. http://www.examiner.ie/breakingnews/world/election-gains-for-austria-far-right-477162.html Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on October 13, 2010, 01:20:33 AM The first batch of absentee ballots (about 95.000) was counted yesterday. The results now:
44.55% SPÖ 26.18% FPÖ 13.84% ÖVP 12.19% Greens 1.33% BZÖ 1.11% KPÖ 0.67% LIF 0.12% Others Turnout: 64.32% (+3.51%) Seats: 49 SPÖ 27 FPÖ 13 ÖVP 11 Greens The final 50.000 absentee ballots will be counted next Monday. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on October 14, 2010, 06:04:55 AM Seems like more and more Austrians want a "blue adventure" again:
A new OGM/Format poll shows that 44% of Austrians want the FPÖ in some kind of state or federal government, with 48% opposed. http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20101014_OTS0158/format-ogm-umfrage-schon-44-prozent-koennen-sich-strache-fpoe-in-regierung-vorstellen Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on October 14, 2010, 06:18:16 AM The state of Burgenland will reform absentee voting, after it was known that a ÖVP mayor faked 13 absentee ballots.
Currently, under Austrian election law passed in 2007, it is allowed that absentee ballots can come in until the 8th day (!!!) after the election. Nobody can check if you have faked the absentee ballot by voting after the results come in. You only have to sign on the ballot that you have voted before the polls have closed. But who can check that ? Now, the state of Burgenland wants to pass a new law that requires that all absentee ballots have to arrive either on Sunday to be counted or have a postmark dated with the Friday before Sunday (election day). You also have to personally apply your absentee ballot at the town election office, not like now that a relative or someone else goes to the town office with your passport and takes the absentee ballot for you (for example a daughter, whose mother is old and in a nursing home). I think the whole Austrian election law should be changed according to these proposals to rule out any faking with absentee ballots. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on October 16, 2010, 01:06:58 AM Strange things going on in the country. The FPÖ got the momentum !
New federal Gallup/Ö24 poll out today: 27% SPÖ 25% FPÖ (!!!) 24% ÖVP 12% Greens 6% BZÖ 6% Others 36% of those polled want a Strache-led government, 57% are opposed. Strache`s party breaks heavily into all demographics, but it is strongest now with men and housewifes. In the age-group of 30-50, the FPÖ is also clearly first. This is the first time ever that the FPÖ has overtaken the ÖVP in a poll or in an election. () http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/wien/FPOe-Strache-schon-auf-Platz-2/4870082 Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on October 16, 2010, 01:17:21 AM Austria accused of violating child rights
() VIENNA — Austria should stop detaining children and halt the deportations of well-integrated foreign families that are denied asylum, Amnesty International and three other groups urged Thursday. The country also should better protect the rights of non-Austrian minors and become more lenient about allowing young asylum seekers and their parents to stay on humanitarian grounds, the organizations, which include Caritas, SOS Kinderdorf and Diakonie, said in a letter to lawmakers. The appeal comes just days after two 8-year-old twins were taken into custody with their father in an early morning raid and deported back to their native Kosovo. Their mother, who is in psychiatric care, stayed behind. The four had lived in Austria since 2004 but were expelled after being denied asylum and refusing to leave on their own. The family's plight has sparked widespread debate and protest, with critics calling the deportations heartless and inhumane. Interior Minister Maria Fekter defended it, saying she was following the rule of law and the children were with their father. She has since softened her stance slightly, acknowledging Wednesday that pictures of the detention — widely published by local media — "greatly moved her" and that she wanted such pickups to be done in a more "humane" manner in the future. "It can't be necessary for the security of the republic to separate two children from their mother and to forcefully get them out of the country," the groups wrote in their joint letter presented outside parliament in the Austrian capital, Vienna. They later met with Austrian President Heinz Fischer, who told reporters that "prison is no place for children" and other solutions had to be found. "It's tough to grasp why well-integrated families whose children have spent most of their lives in Austria and who speak German better than their mother tongue aren't granted the right to stay for humanitarian reasons," the letter said. Also Thursday, the whereabouts of a 14-year-old Armenian girl who disappeared Wednesday before police could pick her up from school to deport her remained unclear. Her mother is under suicide watch, Austrian broadcaster ORF reported. http://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/article/ALeqM5i8IYr5XzJBa3I1lOYm22aQy591PQD9IRJ8IG0?docId=D9IRJ8IG0 Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on October 16, 2010, 02:13:02 AM It seems like there will be another SPÖVP Grand Coalition in Styria announced on Tuesday.
And in Vienna, it seems like we won´t see a coalition until November, because both the Greens and the ÖVP are in the game to be a partner of the SPÖ. In the end we´ll see a coalition partner that is more convenient for the SPÖ and that will not have as many demands. That should be the ÖVP I guess. If we indeed have 2 new Grand Coalitions of SPÖVP in Styria and Vienna and the federal SPÖVP government, that should be good news for Strache and the FPÖ for the 2013 parliamentary elections. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on October 19, 2010, 01:46:50 AM The rest of the postal votes were counted yesterday in Vienna. The final result now is:
44.4% (-4.7%) SPÖ 25.8% (+10.9%) FPÖ 14.0% (-4.8%) ÖVP 12.6% (-2.0%) Greens 1.3% (+0.2%) BZÖ 1.1% (-0.4%) KPÖ 0.7% (+0.7%) LIF 0.1% (+0.1%) Others Turnout: 67.6% (+6.8%) Seats: 49 (-6) SPÖ 27 (+14) FPÖ 13 (-5) ÖVP 11 (-3) Greens The ÖVP has also won the 1st district (Inner City) back from the SPÖ with all the postal votes counted: () Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on October 19, 2010, 02:10:02 AM This is the first time ever that the FPÖ has overtaken the ÖVP in a poll or in an election. This is the first time ever that the FPÖ has overtaken the ÖVP in a poll or in an election. In this decade I mean ... :P In the 1999 parliamentary election, the FPÖ got of course 415 votes more than the ÖVP. It´s good that there´s the OTS archive. I found a couple of federal OGM polls from 1999 and 2000: 19.12.1999: 31% FPÖ, 30% SPÖ, 26% ÖVP, 10% Greens, 3% LIF 23.01.2000: 33% FPÖ, 33% SPÖ, 20% ÖVP, 12% Greens So, the FPÖ was ahead of the ÖVP this decade ... Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Kevinstat on October 20, 2010, 08:52:40 PM It seems like there will be another SPÖVP Grand Coalition in Styria announced on Tuesday. And in Vienna, it seems like we won´t see a coalition until November, because both the Greens and the ÖVP are in the game to be a partner of the SPÖ. In the end we´ll see a coalition partner that is more convenient for the SPÖ and that will not have as many demands. That should be the ÖVP I guess. If we indeed have 2 new Grand Coalitions of SPÖVP in Styria and Vienna and the federal SPÖVP government, that should be good news for Strache and the FPÖ for the 2013 parliamentary elections. So was the SPÖVP coalition in Stryia announced on Tuesday? And besides Vienna (unless an agreement has already been reached there), what parties are presently in government in each of the other states in Austria, and which party is the governor from in each of them? Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Kevinstat on October 20, 2010, 09:12:31 PM There will be no elections in Austria for the next 3 years, therefore the FPÖ and Strache will continue his strong opposition against the federal SPÖVP government and the BZÖ is done. If the federal government sucks in the next 3 years, Strache may be well positioned for a '99 style election result. Will there be any municipal elections in Austria before 2013? Any in significant cities? Not counting elections below the state (and Vienna) level, when is the next election presently scheduled to be, and what is that election? Might there be elections ealier somewhere if a coalition breaks down or a popular government desires an earlier election, or are term lengths set in Austria? Or does it vary depending on the level of government or the state for state/Vienna city governments. If you know, when will the next elections be in each state? And when will the next Parliamentary, Presidential and European Parliament elections be? You say the "the BZÖ is done," but they still have the governorship of Carinthia where the FPÖ didn't win any seats in the last election. Do you expect the BZÖ to merge with the FPÖ? The BZÖ developing a formal CSU-style relationship with the FPÖ? Or neither but the BZÖ becoming a nothing party (with no chance of winning any seats) at the state level (and gradually most if not all municipalities at the municipal level) outside of Carnithia, with or without the FPÖ becoming (remaining?) a nothing party in Carinthia? Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on October 21, 2010, 01:11:00 AM It seems like there will be another SPÖVP Grand Coalition in Styria announced on Tuesday. And in Vienna, it seems like we won´t see a coalition until November, because both the Greens and the ÖVP are in the game to be a partner of the SPÖ. In the end we´ll see a coalition partner that is more convenient for the SPÖ and that will not have as many demands. That should be the ÖVP I guess. If we indeed have 2 new Grand Coalitions of SPÖVP in Styria and Vienna and the federal SPÖVP government, that should be good news for Strache and the FPÖ for the 2013 parliamentary elections. So was the SPÖVP coalition in Stryia announced on Tuesday? And besides Vienna (unless an agreement has already been reached there), what parties are presently in government in each of the other states in Austria, and which party is the governor from in each of them? Hello Kevin: Yes, the new SPÖVP government in Styria was announced on Tuesday and Gov. Voves of the SPÖ will be re-elected today in the Styria parliament with the votes of SPÖVP and FPÖ. Greens and KPÖ are the opposition. In Vienna, it takes a while for the SPÖ to find a good coalition partner. Probably another week or 2, but I cannot say who´s the favorite right now. It could be either Greens or ÖVP, but internal sources say that Mayor Häupl of the SPÖ isn´t really a fan of the Greens and that he has good ties to the ÖVP-dominated city branch of the Chamber of Commerce. The governments of the states: Burgenland: SPÖ-ÖVP (Gov. Hans Niessl - SPÖ) Carinthia: FPK-ÖVP-SPÖ (Gov. Gerhard Dörfler - FPK) Lower Austria: ÖVP-SPÖ-FPÖ (Gov. Erwin Pröll - ÖVP) Upper Austria: ÖVP-Greens-SPÖ-FPÖ (Gov. Josef Pühringer - ÖVP) Salzburg: SPÖ-ÖVP (Gov. Gabriele Burgstaller - SPÖ) Styria: SPÖ-ÖVP-FPÖ (Gov. Franz Voves - SPÖ) Tyrol: ÖVP-SPÖ (Gov. Günther Platter - ÖVP) Vorarlberg: ÖVP (Gov. Herbert Sausgruber - ÖVP) Vienna (currently): SPÖ (Mayor and Governor Michael Häupl - SPÖ) ... Now you will ask yourself: Why was there a SPÖVP government announced in Styria, but the FPÖ is still in the government. That has to do with the Proporz-System. Read here: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Proporz Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on October 21, 2010, 01:37:55 AM There will be no elections in Austria for the next 3 years, therefore the FPÖ and Strache will continue his strong opposition against the federal SPÖVP government and the BZÖ is done. If the federal government sucks in the next 3 years, Strache may be well positioned for a '99 style election result. Will there be any municipal elections in Austria before 2013? Any in significant cities? Yes, there will be municipal elections in 2012 in the state of Burgenland, was well as in the bigger cities of Innsbruck (Tyrol) and Krems (Lower Austria). Not counting elections below the state (and Vienna) level, when is the next election presently scheduled to be, and what is that election? Might there be elections ealier somewhere if a coalition breaks down or a popular government desires an earlier election, or are term lengths set in Austria? Or does it vary depending on the level of government or the state for state/Vienna city governments. The next Austrian Parliament Election is scheduled to be in 2013, because the term was widened to 5 years with the new 2007 election law. Previuosly it was 4 years. It was widened by the SPÖVP government so "that they have more time for reforms". Of course a government can break up and a party can call for early elections, as was the case in 2008, after 2 years. But in the current coalition the athmosphere between SPÖ and ÖVP is much better than under Gusenbauer/Molterer between 2006 and 2008, so I expect that there won´t be early elections. If you know, when will the next elections be in each state? And when will the next Parliamentary, Presidential and European Parliament elections be? Parliament: 2013 Presidential: 2016 EP: 2014 States: http://www.sora.at/index.php?id=29&L=1 You say the "the BZÖ is done," but they still have the governorship of Carinthia where the FPÖ didn't win any seats in the last election. Do you expect the BZÖ to merge with the FPÖ? The BZÖ developing a formal CSU-style relationship with the FPÖ? Or neither but the BZÖ becoming a nothing party (with no chance of winning any seats) at the state level (and gradually most if not all municipalities at the municipal level) outside of Carnithia, with or without the FPÖ becoming (remaining?) a nothing party in Carinthia? The BZÖ does not have the Governorship in Carinthia - the FPK (Freedom Party of Carinthia) has. The FPK was created in December 2009, when the Scheuch brothers announced their split from the state BZÖ. Most of the BZÖ members followed and now there`s a stronger FPK in the state (with about 30% support in opinion polls) and a weaker rest-BZÖ (with about 15% support in opinion polls). The BZÖ outside of Carinthia is dead, they had only 3% maximum in each state election and they are in no state parliament. I think it´s more likely that the BZÖ will be dissolved in the rest of Austria, rather than being integrated into the FPÖ. Josef Bucher of the federal BZÖ is not a good friend of Heinz-Christian Strache from the FPÖ. I´m not so sure about Carinthia though. Maybe the BZÖ will get a respectable result in the 2014 state election, but I doubt it. I guess most former BZÖ voters will switch over to the FPK in 4 years. Therefore the BZÖ will more or less be history in 5 years. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on October 22, 2010, 03:28:17 AM BREAKING NEWS: There will be a Red-Green coalition in Vienna !
:) It will be the first Red-Green government in Austria on any level and Maria Vassilakou will become vice-mayor. It will be announced by SPÖ mayor Michael Häupl in the next hour. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Hans-im-Glück on October 23, 2010, 01:43:36 AM BREAKING NEWS: There will be a Red-Green coalition in Vienna ! :) It will be the first Red-Green government in Austria on any level and Maria Vassilakou will become vice-mayor. It will be announced by SPÖ mayor Michael Häupl in the next hour. I don't expect this, but this is the right way. It makes no sense to build every time a SPÖVP coalition. Häupl must have problems with this decision. Everything I heard from him shows that he isn't a big fan of Red-Green. But maybe I'm wrong. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on October 23, 2010, 03:29:06 AM BREAKING NEWS: There will be a Red-Green coalition in Vienna ! :) It will be the first Red-Green government in Austria on any level and Maria Vassilakou will become vice-mayor. It will be announced by SPÖ mayor Michael Häupl in the next hour. I don't expect this, but this is the right way. It makes no sense to build every time a SPÖVP coalition. Häupl must have problems with this decision. Everything I heard from him shows that he isn't a big fan of Red-Green. But maybe I'm wrong. Yeah, we´ll see what happens in Vienna. The good thing is that the ÖVP will get stronger again when they are in opposition now for 5 years and that probably means that the FPÖ will be weaker in 5 years. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on October 23, 2010, 03:45:41 AM 2 new federal polls out today:
Karmasin Motivforschung for the newspaper Profil 30% SPÖ (-3 compared with last poll) 28% ÖVP (-5) 24% FPÖ (+4) 12% Greens (+1) 4% BZÖ (+2) 2% Others (+1) Peter Hajek Public Opinion Strategies for ATV's Austria Trend () I guess this will only get worse now for SPÖVP when the government announces their 2011 budget next week. But they don´t have to worry, because there´s no election for the next 3 years. ... There´s also a new Spectra poll for Upper Austria: Federal election in Upper Austria () Who is the driving force in the federal government ? () Who do you like more ? Chancellor Faymann or Opposition leader Pröll ? () State election in Upper Austria () Approval ratings of Upper Austria politicians: () Good marks for the ÖVP-Green government: Gov. Pühringer (ÖVP) has a 78-12 approval rating, and Vice-Governor Anschober (Greens) has a 60-22 approval rating. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Insula Dei on October 23, 2010, 10:57:42 AM Is the ÖVP centrist, centre-right or rightwing?
The number of SPOVP coalitions seems to suggest a more moderate party. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on October 23, 2010, 11:43:53 AM Is the ÖVP centrist, centre-right or rightwing? The number of SPOVP coalitions seems to suggest a more moderate party. I´d say pro-business, centrist on social values and with Interior Minister Maria Fekter right-wing on ayslum and security policy. Therefore center-right. The real rightwing party if the FPÖ of course. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on October 23, 2010, 11:54:21 AM The new 2011 budget was announced by SPÖVP today:
() It shows about 1.1 Bio. € of new or higher taxes for next year and spending cuts of about 500 Mio. € Originally it was planned that there will be 1.7 Bio. € of higher taxes, but income tax revenue is so good this year (+10% or so compared with last year) that there will be fewer new taxes next year due to the good economy. The biggest chunk of new taxes will be a 500 Mio. € bank tax, followed by a 417 Mio. increase of the gas tax, 100 Mio. of higher tobacco taxes and 100 Mio. will bring a new anti-corruption package. Spending cuts will include about 363 Mio. of family benefits, 83 Mio. of pension changes for the 1st pension year and 44 Mio. for labor market assistance cuts. The budget deficit will be 3% next year, instead of the 4% that was originally thought. This will mean that we'll have one of the best budget deficits this year in the EU, together with Germany - which as far as I know will already have less than 3% deficit this or next year. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on October 23, 2010, 12:15:44 PM Alltogether I think it´s a solid budget, even if I think the cuts in family benefits were unnecessary. Instead they should have introduced a wealth tax for the rich, which could have brought in about 500 Mio. € next year and onwards. The bank tax is a good idea and the 4/5 Cent-per-liter increase of the gas tax isn´t too bad either. I mean if you fill up your car with 100 liter each month, you have to pay 5€ more now each month, but they also raised the commuter-benefit, so it won´t affect the "hardest hit".
The increase of the tobacco tax is fine with me too, because I don´t smoke and what can someone have against an anti-corruption package that will go after illegal workers and corporate fraud ? So, yeah, too bad the ÖVP blocked the introduction of the wealth tax, which could have been used to redistribute money into the more underfunded sectors like universities, schools and geriatric care. In my opinion, the rich should bleed for the middle class, not the other way round. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on October 31, 2010, 04:14:32 AM It won't be long until the FPÖ is first.
3 new polls out today: OGM/Kurier 28% (-1) SPÖ 26% (+8) FPÖ 26% (nc) ÖVP 12% (+2) Greens 6% (-5) BZÖ 2% (-4) Others http://kurier.at/nachrichten/2045676.php Gallup/Ö24 29% (nc) SPÖ 25% (-1) ÖVP 24% (+6) FPÖ 12% (+2) Greens 5% (-6) BZÖ 5% (-1) Others http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/Minus-fuer-Regierung-nach-Sparpaket/6006627 Market/Standard 26% (-3) SPÖ 25% (+7) FPÖ 25% (-1) ÖVP 13% (+3) Greens 6% (-5) BZÖ 5% (-1) Others http://derstandard.at/1288160281378/Umfrage-Mittelschicht-fuehlt-sich-von-Sparpaket-benachteiligt Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: minionofmidas on October 31, 2010, 04:19:49 AM ()
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on November 09, 2010, 02:21:27 PM The Austrian Society for European Policy (ÖGFE) recently asked 1004 Austrians if they favored or opposed the EU membership of the following countries:
Croatia: 68% favor, 18% oppose Iceland: 62% favor, 21% oppose Macedonia: 39% favor, 37% oppose Turkey: 17% favor, 69% oppose http://cms.euro-info.net/received/_6852_Hauptaussagen_Erweiterung_081110.pdf Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Franzl on November 10, 2010, 10:28:47 AM I'm happy Austria is holding the line against Turkish membership. Congratulations.
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on November 11, 2010, 01:17:46 AM I'm happy Austria is holding the line against Turkish membership. Congratulations. Yeah, the coalition contract between SPÖ and ÖVP even calls for a mandatory referendum in Austria should Turkey be granted membership by the EU. And you know how that would end up ... So, no Turkey membership until at least 2013. Also, the Turkish ambassador in Austria created some trouble yesterday: Quote Chase foreigners off if you don't want them, says Turkish ambassador The Turkish ambassador in Vienna has risked a serious thrift between Austria and Turkey with statements made in an exceptional interview. Speaking to Austrian newspaper Die Presse, Kadri Ecvet Tezcan claimed Turks in Vienna knew they were not welcome in Austria. He also revealed having been told that the Austrian foreign minister does not welcome ambassadors for meetings – and revealed he would relocate the United Nations (UN) from Vienna were he leader of the international organisation. Asked why immigrants from Croatia seem to do better at school than most people from Turkey, Tezcan said: "Croats are Christians and therefore welcome in the society, while Turks aren’t. They are constantly being pushed to the corners of the society." A survey by the Austrian Society for European Politics (ÖGfE) showed earlier this week that just 17 per cent of Austrians want Turkey to join the European Union (EU), while 68 per cent of Austrians speak out in favour of Croatia becoming a member . The ambassador however also stressed he registered many "stories of success". He said: "There are more than 3,500 Turkish businessmen and 110 Turkish doctors in Austria. (…) Why doesn’t the Austrian concentrate more on that?" Tezcan emphasised he has been advising Turks living in Austria to learn German and respect the country's rules. He explained: "The Turks (in Austria) don’t want anything from you. They aren’t happy. They don’t want to be treated like a virus. (Austrian) Society should help them integrate – and then it would benefit from them. "You don’t have to get more immigrants – you have got them here. But you have to believe in them, and they have to believe in you," the diplomat added. Referring to the Freedom Party’s (FPÖ) success in last month’s Vienna city parliament ballot, Tezcan said: "Almost 30 per cent support a far-right party in a city which regards itself as the cultural centre of Europe. I would not stay here as head of the UN, the OSCE (Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe) or the OPEC (Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries)." The Turkish ambassador said: "If you don’t want any foreigners, why don’t you chase them away? There are many countries in the world where immigrants are welcome. You have to learn how to live together with others. What kind of problem does Austria have?" Tezcan claimed: "The Turks in Vienna are helping each other. They don’t feel welcome here. (…) I have been here for a year now. (…) There’s a big difference between Vienna and the rest of Austria. People are more hospitable when I leave Vienna." The 61-year-old attacked Austrian People’s Party (ÖVP) Foreign Minister Michael Spindelegger by revealing the minister rejected to meet him. He said: "I was told that the foreign minister doesn’t welcome ambassadors when I asked for a meeting. Can you believe that? I’m the ambassador for 250,000 people in this country. What kind of dialogue are we talking about here?" Tezcan, who was the Turkish ambassador to Poland between 2005 and 2008, also criticised Viennese Archbishop Christoph Cardinal Schönborn by saying: "I met the cardinal, who is a wonderful person. He said to me he hasn’t got any problems with Turks. I told him: ‘That’s not enough, you have to do more, you have to write that in your newspaper column. You should say that the Islam is worth as much as Catholicism." Schönborn has been attacked by some NGOs and politicians for writing a weekly column for the Kronen Zeitung. The bestselling daily has campaigned against foreigners and linked soaring crime with "organised gangs from Eastern Europe" for years. Asked how to reduce the number of Turkish children in special needs schools due to poor language skills, Tezcan suggested there should be more support for them learning Turkish properly. The ambassador claimed such a measure would help them in learning German. The diplomat also said attending kindergarten should be mandatory for Turkish children aged three or four to improve the integration process. "Parents, teenagers, children – they all should be able to speak German," he told Die Presse. Tezcan revealed he met FPÖ boss Heinz-Christian Strache to discuss problems of the coexistence of Austrians and Turks. "We agreed to disagree about everything regarding integration," he said about the conversation with the right-winger. The Turkish ambassador accused Strache of "having no idea how the world develops." He also criticised the Austrian Social Democrats for failing to stand up against the FPÖ’s agitation. Tezcan rejected calls to ban headscarves. Politicians of all Austrian parties suggested Muslim women should not be allowed to wear them amid concerns they were enforced by their husbands to do so. "Does wearing headscarves break the law? No. You haven’t got the right to tell anybody what to do regarding this issue. If you are allowed to bath naked, you should be allowed to wear headscarves," he said. The interview comes shortly after the Vienna city parliament vote campaign which has been dominated by immigration issues. All parties but the FPÖ – which claimed many Muslims are unwilling to integrate – suffered bitter losses in the 10 October ballot. The ruling Social Democrats (SPÖ) admitted mistakes handling immigration policies, but expressed a desire to keep a dialogue going. The party lost its absolute majority in seats and is expected to form a coalition with the Greens. Analysts said the ÖVP did badly too for failing to attract new voter groups with its hardliner campaign which could have tempted many former ÖVP supporters to back the FPÖ – which has always spoken out against "criminal foreigners" – instead. Polls suggest that the FPÖ would have the chance to gain second place on federal level if the SPÖ-ÖVP coalition breaks up early. The next general election is due in three years, but the climate between the coalition partners has worsened dramatically over the past months. http://austrianindependent.com/news/Politics/2010-11-10/5275/Chase_foreigners_off_if_you_don%27t_want_them,_says_Turkish_ambassador Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Franzl on November 11, 2010, 07:01:07 AM The assholes should leave if they don't like it. Not our problem.
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on November 13, 2010, 01:51:34 PM New Kurier/OGM poll about the remarks of the Turkish ambassador:
Should Kadri Ecved Tezcan (the Turkish ambassador in Austria) stay in Austria or should he be replaced ? 32% Stay 54% Replace The remarks of Kadri Ecved Tezcan about Austrian integration issues are ... 12% Justified 48% Not justified 35% Somewhat justified Who should do more for Integration ? 51% The Turks in Austria 7% The Austrians 39% Both What are the biggest difficulties between Turkish immigrants and Austrians ? 81% Different lifestyles 78% Language 65% Headscarves and women issues 49% Religion Do you favor or oppose a Ministry of Integration ? 36% Favor 58% Oppose http://kurier.at/nachrichten/2049506.php I'm already looking forward to the next polls about federal elections ... :P (Probably playing into the hands of FPÖ+BZÖ, because of his remarks and because FPÖ+BZÖ now have the opposition monopoly in Austria, with the SPÖ/Green government being finalized yesterday in Vienna and the SPÖVP federal government.) Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on November 14, 2010, 01:21:30 AM New Gallup/Ö24 poll:
() Gallup also surveyed Austrians about the Turkish ambassador: 41% say he should be replaced, 59% say he should be allowed to stay. This is the opposite of what the (historically more accurate) OGM-survey said yesterday. http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/66-Prozent-sind-mit-Regierung-unzufrieden/7090630 http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/59-sagen-Botschafter-darf-bleiben/7029069 Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on November 15, 2010, 09:17:26 AM There's a Red-Green government in Vienna now !
:) The coalition agreement was signed an hour ago by Mayor Michael Häupl (SPÖ) and Vice-Mayor and Green Party leader Maria Vassilakou. () PS: The FPÖ is calling Red-Green in Vienna a "Horror-Experiment" ... LOL. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on November 15, 2010, 09:41:44 AM Speaking about Vienna:
Vienna will overtake Warsaw this year in terms of population, Budapest next year and Hamburg most likely by the years 2015-2020. The city will add about 22.000 people this year, which is 1.3% growth. If these trends hold, the city could even overtake Bucharest (currently 1.94 Mio. people) in the 2020s and become the 6th biggest city in the EU. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on November 15, 2010, 11:43:55 AM New Kurier/OGM federal elections poll:
() Because the FPÖ usually underpolls, it is probably already 1st. OGM also notes that among people younger than 30, the FPÖ is 1st now "by a wide margin". Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on November 21, 2010, 02:44:27 AM New Profil/Karmasin Motivforschung poll:
29% (nc) SPÖ (-4 from October survey) 26% (nc) ÖVP (-6) 24% (+6) FPÖ (+4) 13% (+3) Greens (+2) 5% (-6) BZÖ (+1) 3% (-3) Others (+3) http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20101120_OTS0003/profil-umfrage-starke-verluste-der-oevp-faymann-vor-proell Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on November 26, 2010, 02:02:04 PM After complaining about Austrian integration policy, the Turkish ambassador in Austria is involved in the next scandal:
The magazine "NEWS" reports that the ambassador and the Turkish embassy in Vienna is now interfering in employment policy of the Austrian Chamber of Commerce. To be more precise: The Turkish embassy is pushing for Austrians with Kurdish background and who work for the Austrian Chamber of Commerce to be fired from their jobs because they could be PKK (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/PKK) terrorists ! http://www.news.at/articles/1047/8/282992/neuer-skandal-tuerkische-botschaft-wirtschaftskammer-druck I already had a dubious opinion of this dude when the first reports broke, but this proves now that the guy needs to be removed from Austria. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on November 28, 2010, 03:11:08 AM The new Gallup poll for Ö24 shows the following:
27% (-2) SPÖ 24% (+6) FPÖ 24% (-2) ÖVP 13% (+3) Greens 12% (-5) Others (incl. BZÖ) Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on November 28, 2010, 12:11:42 PM New Market poll for the newspaper "Standard":
29% (nc) SPÖ 25% (-1) ÖVP 24% (+6) FPÖ 12% (+2) Greens 5% (-6) BZÖ 5% (-1) Others Direct vote for Austrian Chancellor: 21% Heinz-Christian Strache (FPÖ) !!! 20% Werner Faymann (SPÖ-Incumbent) 10% Josef Pröll (ÖVP) I guess this is the first time ever that Strache is 1st in the preferred chancellor vote. More than 7 out of 10 FPÖ voters now back Strache for Chancellor and Faymann is also backed by more than 7 in 10 SPÖ voters. Pröll has lost a lot of ground and is backed by just slightly more than 4 in 10 ÖVP voters. Strache als performs better than BZÖ-leader Josef Bucher with BZÖ voters, while Faymann beats Green-leader Eva Glawischnig among Green voters. http://derstandard.at/1289608955237/STANDARD-Umfrage-Strache-bei-Kanzlerfrage-erstmals-auf-erstem-Platz Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on November 28, 2010, 12:23:20 PM Here´s the historical chart of the "preferred chancellor vote":
() Notice the rise of Strache after the Vienna elections and the 2011 budget by the SPÖVP government and the fall of Faymann/Pröll at the same time. The fact that Josef Bucher of the BZÖ is preferred by 0% as chancellor also means something: The BZÖ is moving further ahead on the path to its destruction (or fusion with the FPÖ). The fact that they currently have 5-6% support in the polls is probably due to many ÖVP voters who are outraged by the ÖVP and the 2 Prölls and therefore switch over to the BZÖ. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Filuwaúrdjan on November 28, 2010, 12:30:32 PM Meh. The main thing to note there isn't that Strache is marginally less unpopular than the other party leaders.
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on November 28, 2010, 12:37:51 PM Meh. The main thing to note there isn't that Strache is marginally less unpopular than the other party leaders. Yeah, 46% in this survey want either "none of these people" to be chancellor, "another one" or they are simply "undecided". Not that it means anything right now, the next elections are in 3 years. Strache and the FPÖ don't even have to do much to get new voters, the SPÖVP government is sending them voters en masse with their policies. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on December 11, 2010, 04:24:21 AM A new Profil/Karmasin Motivforschung poll about EU-membership of Turkey:
4% Strongly Favor 16% "Sometime in the future" 61% Strongly Oppose 19% Undecided http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20101211_OTS0004/profil-umfrage-immer-weniger-zustimmung-fuer-tuerkei-beitritt Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on December 11, 2010, 04:33:58 AM IFAP Tyrol state elections poll for the ÖVP:
46-47% ÖVP 15-16% SPÖ 13-14% FPÖ 11-12% Greens 10-12% LFD http://portal.tt.com/csp/cms/sites/tt/%C3%9Cberblick/Politik/PolitikTirol/PolitikTirolContainer/1830712-8/%C3%B6vp-pr%C3%A4sentierte-stimmungsbarometer.csp Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on December 11, 2010, 09:56:48 AM New Gallup/Österreich poll:
27% (-2) SPÖ 25% (+7) FPÖ 24% (-2) ÖVP 14% (+4) Greens 5% (-6) BZÖ 5% (-1) Others 51-44 majority for the Grand-Coalition (SPÖVP) 52-43 majority for SPÖ-FPÖ 49-46 majority for FPÖ-ÖVP No majority for SPÖ-Greens. FPÖ/BZÖ would be biggest party. http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/FPOe-ueberholt-OeVP-in-der-Sonntagsfrage/12381148 Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Insula Dei on December 11, 2010, 10:32:30 AM Nasty stuff.
My condoleances Tender. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on December 11, 2010, 10:53:46 AM Nasty stuff. My condoleances Tender. Why ? The Greens are at 14% too (which is a record high for them) ! :P (Anyway, I think we might get a poll soon that has the FPÖ leading) Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Lotuslander on December 11, 2010, 02:37:20 PM IFAP Tyrol state elections poll for the ÖVP: 46-47% ÖVP 15-16% SPÖ 13-14% FPÖ 11-12% Greens 10-12% LFD What's the LFD? Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on December 12, 2010, 03:06:45 AM IFAP Tyrol state elections poll for the ÖVP: 46-47% ÖVP 15-16% SPÖ 13-14% FPÖ 11-12% Greens 10-12% LFD What's the LFD? "Liste Fritz Dinkhauser" - a centrist movement by a former popular state ÖVP-member, who broke with the party because of differences with the leadership. They got about 19% in the 2008 state elections and are mainly attractive for people not satisfied with the ÖVP and also the SPÖ and Greens to a lesser extent. It is comparable to the "Freie Wähler" list in Bavaria. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on December 14, 2010, 08:36:25 AM The "Strache for Chancellor"-campaign is getting more serious:
After going to Israel and meeting with Israeli Right-Wing politicians and settlers, Strache will now "learn" more about foreign policy in the coming months by accepting invitations by the Tea-Party (US) and by some Canadian party. Strache said he finds the Tea-Party movement "very interesting" because it's a movement consisting of "frustrated people". He will say who from the Tea Party invited him to the US before he goes there. http://derstandard.at/1291454894123/Auslandsreisen-Strache-reist-zu-Tea-Party-Vertretern-in-die-USA I swear, if Palin and Strache become leaders of the US and Austria, I will emigrate to Norway ... :P Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on December 16, 2010, 06:09:00 AM New poll for ATV:
Voting intentions for the next parliamentary election: () Hypothetical vote for Chancellor: () Approval Rating of the SPÖVP government: () 23% Approve 75% Disapprove Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on December 17, 2010, 02:15:57 PM Education is now front and center in Austrian politics, because the Austrian students sucked so badly at the most recent PISA tests. OGM has a new poll about it, done for the newspaper "Presse":
() () () () () The first question asks if Austrians are in favor of introducing tuition fees: 70% in favor 23% oppose Interesting fact is that voters from all parties, even the Greens, are in favor. The second question asks how high the fees should be: 51% say 360€ per semester 16% say 500€ per semester 5% say up to 5000€ per semester 25% say Universities should decide individually The third question asks if people are in favor of entry restrictions in universities: 34% in favor for all studies 40% in favor for selected "mass studies" 25% against The fourth question is about how students from high schools should be selected by the universities: 48% want entry tests before the first semester 34% want entry tests after the first semester 18% want a selection based on final high school exams (Maturanoten) The fifth question asks voters if they are in favor of a horse-trade between SPÖ and ÖVP (the SPÖ votes for the introduction of tuition fees, while the ÖVP votes for the introduction of a new comprehensive school for 10-14 year olds): 31% Favor 58% Oppose Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on December 19, 2010, 10:33:04 AM New IMAS poll for the "Kronen Zeitung":
() Rather interesting that they have the BZÖ with the same level of support like they had in the 2008 elections. All other pollsters had the BZÖ at around 3-6% in the last surveys. It could be ÖVP voters who are unhappy with their party switching over, but who knows ... Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on December 28, 2010, 04:31:22 AM New Tyrol state elections poll by Market for the TT:
46% (+5.5) ÖVP 17% (+1.5) SPÖ 15% (+4.3) Greens 13% (+0.6) FPÖ 5% (-13.4) CFT 2% (+2.0) CCT 0% (nc) BZÖ 2% (-0.5) Others (Christians, Communists) The most popular politician in Tyrol is now the new mayor of Innsbruck from the FI list, Christine Oppitz-Plörer, who has a job approval rating of 72-15. () Governor Günther Platter (ÖVP) has a 67-24 approval rating. Hannes Gschwendtner (SPÖ leader) has a 68-22 approval rating. Georg Willi (Green leader) has a 59-29 approval rating. Gerald Hauser (FPÖ leader) has a 46-40 approval rating. Fritz Dinkhauser (CFT leader) has a 53-36 approval rating. Fritz Gurgiser (CCT leader) has a 61-29 approval rating. Former governor Herwig van Staa (who is related to States Rights), has a 54-36 approval rating. http://www.tt.com/csp/cms/sites/tt/%C3%9Cberblick/Politik/PolitikTirol/1925209-6/b%C3%BCrgermeisterin-klettert-an-spitze.csp Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on January 03, 2011, 02:21:45 AM New Bezirksblätter/Grazer Gesellschaft für Marketing und Kommunikation poll for Salzburg:
() () () () () ... Also, the same company has polled Tyrol: () () ... And they also polled the Innsbruck city council elections, to be held in 2012: () Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Insula Dei on January 03, 2011, 03:17:17 PM I think you should start a new thread for those as it's no longer 2011.
And, the Salzburg personal ratings seem okay for the SPÖ. Am I correct? Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on January 04, 2011, 01:51:27 PM I think you should start a new thread for those as it's no longer 2011. Problem is that there won't be an election in Austria until Sept. 2013, so how should I name this thread ? "Austrian Political News 2011-2013" ? And, the Salzburg personal ratings seem okay for the SPÖ. Am I correct? Yeah, Gov. Burgstaller (SPÖ) is still the most popular politician here and the polls don't mean a lot right now. Even before the 2009 elections polls showed a close race between SPÖ and ÖVP, yet the SPÖ won on election day. The ÖVP changed a couple persons recently who retired and those are also quite popular. Maybe that's what caused the ÖVP to overtake the SPÖ. The Greens could have gained ground at the expense of the SPÖ, because they just entered a SPÖ-Green coalition in Vienna. But I wouldn't read too much into it, there's a 5% margin of error. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on January 14, 2011, 12:57:37 PM I have not seen a political poll for Austria in about 1 month now.
Here´s some other news instead: There have been 47 (completed) homicides in Austria last year, of which 44 have been solved. () There were another 85 (attempted) homicides. About 95% of these were solved. In Vienna 18 murders took place, all of which were solved. That means that Austria had a homicide rate of 0.6/100.000 people, or 1.6/100.000 people when attempted homicides are included as well. http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/chronik/Mordstatistik-2010-Wieder-weit-mehr-Morde/13295203 The newspaper "Österreich" says that there were "much more homicides" last year, but in reality this is not true, but it was only statistical noise because 2008 was the year with the lowest number of homicides in Austria on record. Normally the number of completed and attempted homicides is closer to 200 each year, so the 132 of last year isn't really "high". And we continue to have one of the lowest homicide rates on the planet, probably because of the strict gun laws. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on January 15, 2011, 12:37:06 PM The first poll of the new year 2011, by Gallup for ÖSTERREICH newspaper:
26% (-3.3) SPÖ 25% (+7.5) FPÖ 24% (-2.0) ÖVP 15% (+4.6) Greens 5% (-5.7) BZÖ 5% (-1.1) Others "Grand Coalition" only leads by 50-45 anymore ... LOL http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20110115_OTS0015/oesterreich-umfrage-fpoe-liegt-vor-oevp Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on January 16, 2011, 03:55:11 AM Hilde Zach, the great mayor of Innsbruck during the last decade has died of cancer.
She was 68. RIP. :( () Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on January 18, 2011, 02:18:21 PM If someone wants to watch, the ORF has a discussion about "Turks in Austria" right now live, with FPÖ-leader Strache:
http://tvthek.orf.at/live/1856201 That should be fun ! There´s also a racism debate at "Austria's Next Topmodel", in which a girl from Upper Austria called her model colleague (a girl with Nigerian parents, but born in Austria) as "n girl". http://derstandard.at/1293370823923/Rassismus-bei-Austrias-next-Topmodel-Kandidatin-Magalie-muss-gehen Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on January 18, 2011, 02:42:52 PM New OGM poll for the current ORF debate about Turkish membership to the EU:
74% Oppose 14% Support LOL. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on January 18, 2011, 02:49:27 PM In an oversample of the poll of Austrian Turks only, 2/3 of Austrian Turks think Austrians are racist/xenophobic.
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on January 18, 2011, 02:52:54 PM This discussion is awesome, there's a Turkish-Austrian company owner in the audience who employs an Austrian skinhead (!!!) and says the 2 are like close friends ... :)
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on January 18, 2011, 02:55:43 PM BTW: The Turkish-Austrian moderator from the ORF is hot !
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on January 18, 2011, 03:51:18 PM Interesting that Peter Westenthaler of the BZÖ out-right-winged FPÖ-leader Strache in this discussion. Strache seemed less like a radical, more Chancellor-like.
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Insula Dei on January 18, 2011, 04:00:07 PM I'm so glad I'm not Austrian, right now :P
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on January 21, 2011, 05:06:31 PM New IMAS poll:
26% SPÖ 25% FPÖ 25% ÖVP 13% Greens 8% BZÖ 3% Others Under-30 year olds only: 42% FPÖ 20% SPÖ 12% Greens 12% ÖVP 10% BZÖ 30-49 year olds only: 24% ÖVP 23% FPÖ 22% SPÖ 17% Greens 13% BZÖ 50 year olds and older only: 34% SPÖ 32% ÖVP 9% Greens 8% FPÖ 3% BZÖ Men: 30% FPÖ 27% SPÖ 25% ÖVP 11% Greens 7% BZÖ Women: 26% SPÖ 24% ÖVP 20% FPÖ 15% Greens 9% BZÖ http://www.imas.at/content/download/623/2957/version/1/file/2-2011.pdf Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Insula Dei on January 21, 2011, 05:36:37 PM How come younger voters are so
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Franzl on January 21, 2011, 08:28:06 PM How come younger voters are so I don't know why, but it's nut unusual in Austria. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Hash on January 21, 2011, 08:33:07 PM How come younger voters are so I don't know why, but it's nut unusual in Austria. Or in other countries. The young electorate is also one of the FN's best electorates in France. The main reason seems to be young white lower middle-class males who are unemployed or maybe young people in rural areas who have been told that teh browns and teh Moslems are taking over tehir jobsz. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on January 22, 2011, 01:21:06 AM How come younger voters are so I don't know why, but it's nut unusual in Austria. Mostly because of this: () () Strache has a lot of appeal with young voters, because he and the FPÖ is almost the only party that actively targets them. And because SPÖ and ÖVP are the parties of the old people, they provide the monthly retirement money for them and they want to keep it this way. Young people also perceive SPÖVP as outdated partys with no career possibilities for young people. You will almost find no young people in the party ranks of SPÖ and ÖVP, only people aged 40/50+, while the FPÖ is one of the "youngest" partys. As Strache uses to say: "Those who control the Austrian Youth now, will control the country in the future." Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on January 22, 2011, 01:40:36 AM Today, Austria's best Chancellor - Bruno Kreisky (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bruno_Kreisky) - would be 100 years old.
() Here´s a commentary from "The Guardian": The modern left has much to learn from Austria's golden age The great socialist leader Bruno Kreisky would be dismayed by the European left's meek acceptance of the rule of money power Neil Clark guardian.co.uk, Friday 21 January 2011 The 1970s, as I have argued before on this site, marked the high point of postwar socialism in western Europe. Across the continent in those pre-Thatcherite days, genuinely progressive statesmen set the agenda. In West Germany, there was Willy Brandt. In Sweden, Olof Palme. In Britain, Harold Wilson. But, for my money the greatest European socialist of them all was Austria's Bruno Kreisky, born exactly 100 years ago this weekend. Kreisky led his country for 13 years, from 1970-83, winning a clear majority for the Socialist party of Austria a remarkable three times. During his time in office as the first popularly elected "red" chancellor, he transformed Austria into one of the most egalitarian societies on earth. Kreisky promoted working-class education, extended public ownership (under his leadership Austria had one of the largest nationalised sectors outside of communist eastern Europe) and expanded the welfare state. A committed Keynesian, with a hatred of unemployment and poverty, in the 1979 election he declared that he'd rather the government run up a deficit than people lose their jobs: "Hundreds of thousands unemployed matter more than a few billion schillings of debt." Under Kreisky, Austria not only became a more equal society, it also became more prosperous. His leftwing economic policies showed that there certainly was an alternative to the monetarist economics that were soon to be imposed – at huge social and economic cost – in Britain. Socially there were major advances too: the position of Austrian women was greatly improved, with maternity leave introduced, and homosexuality was decriminalised. Kreisky not only made Austria a better place, he tried his best to make the world a better place too. A true internationalist, he supported a policy of "active neutrality" for his country in the cold war and worked for detente with the communist countries of eastern Europe. A Jewish anti-Zionist, Kreisky was a great champion of the rights of the Palestinian people and the strongest western European critic of Israel. He was the first European leader to meet with PLO leader Yasser Arafat and in 1979 gave an official state dinner in Arafat's honour in Vienna. He was also one of the first European politicians to take an interest in developing countries, calling in the early 1960s for a new Marshall plan for the south. But it wasn't just Kreisky's policies that make him such a hero. It was his style of politics. Kreisky was a true man of the people – he kept his telephone number listed in the Vienna phone book after becoming chancellor, so that ordinary members of the public could call him to discuss their problems. Modest, humorous and immensely likeable, he debated on television without notes and said exactly what he thought. The contrast between Kreisky and the controlled, PR-obsessed politicians of today could not be greater. In the 1970s, Kreisky was involved in a furious public row with Nazi-hunter Austrian Simon Wiesenthal. This developed over the Nazi past of some of Kreisky's ministers and the Freedom party leader Friedrich Peter, Kreisky's would-be coalition partner. Kreisky defended Peter and refused to sack ministers, leading Wiesenthal to call him a "renegade". Kreisky, who himself had lost close relatives in the Holocaust, in turn accused Wiesenthal, a supporter of the conservative opposition People's party, of "mafia" methods and of trying to bring him down. Then there was Kreisky's support for nuclear power, which put him on a collision course with environmental groups. Some also criticised Kreisky for the building of the huge UNO-City complex in Vienna. But these controversies should not cloud our judgment of the man Austrians affectionately nicknamed "Kaiser Bruno". Kreisky's sincerity shone through in everything that he did. While a strong opponent of nazism, and indeed all forms of racism, he did not believe that people should be permanently barred from public life over bad decisions they had made in their youth. "A member of the Nazi party or an SS-man should be able to hold any political office in Austria, unless it can be proven that he had committed a crime," he declared. His support for nuclear power was, as John Hodgshon has argued in the Vienna Review, "wedded to a philosophy in which anything that translated into more jobs and industry must be good". The UNO-City was a demonstration of Kreisky's belief in the UN and Austria's role as an actively neutral country, at the heart of solving international disputes. More than 20 years on from his death, he is still a cult figure in his country: a new poll showed that he is known to more Austrians than many members of the current governing coalition. And Austrians regard the Kreisky years as a true golden age – one where there was job security, prosperity and social harmony. When Kreisky died, his great friend Willy Brandt said that Kreisky "performed a great service to the community and wealth of the peoples". How Europe could do with someone like him today. If Kreisky were active in politics now, he'd be making the bankers and financial speculators pay for the mess they have caused and rejecting the new age of austerity. He'd be nationalising, not privatising, and putting the interests of the majority first. He'd be leading the opposition to Nato's war in Afghanistan and opposing any military action against Iran. Kreisky's career shows us what can be achieved if the main party of the left elects a leader who is committed, sincere and who refuses to apologise for his or her socialist beliefs. Instead, for the past 20 years, the main parties of the European left have gone in another direction. They have elected leaders – like Tony Blair – who have moved their parties away not just from socialism, but from social democracy too, and who have tamely accepted the international rule of money power. Bruno Kreisky, if he could see the Europe of 2011, would be greatly saddened at how the forces of capital have managed to destroy so many of the economic and social advances made in the postwar era, and how those advances which still remain are threatened by the new round of cutbacks. The best way we can commemorate the centenary of this remarkable and inspirational politician is to do all we can to put Kreisky-style socialism back on Europe's political agenda. http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2011/jan/21/modern-left-austria-bruno-kreisky Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on January 23, 2011, 09:49:03 AM HC Strache, FPÖ-leader, now has more Facebook friends than Angela Merkel, making him the politician with the most "friends" in the German-speaking Facebook world.
He also has more fans than Sarah Palin (per capita). But at least this page has more than twice the supporters: http://www.facebook.com/pages/Kann-dieser-seelenlose-Ziegelstein-mehr-Freunde-haben-als-HC-Strache/290967602506?ref=ts It is called "Can this soulless brick have more friends than HC Strache ?" "Soulless brick" currently leads Strache by 179.000 to 78.000 ... ;) PS: The annual FPÖ New Year's convention took place yesterday with more than 3000 delegates @ the Vösendorf Pyramide. Let's see how the polls change now and if the FPÖ pulls into first place now ... Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on January 27, 2011, 03:00:14 PM Austrian defence minister sacks top general over army reform
Vienna - Austrian Defence Minister Norbert Darabos relieved his top general Monday in a bid to reestablish his authority among officers who have been opposing plans for ending compulsory military duty. () General Edmund Entacher (left) and Defense Minister Norbert Darabos (right), both from the SPÖ Chief of the General Staff Edmund Entacher was ousted after publicly criticizing Darabos' plan for a professional army. The plans unveiled last week are popular with the public, but Entacher and the officers' association had called on the minister to resign. 'Because of these public comments and the resulting loss of confidence, I felt compelled to relieve the chief of the general staff today, Monday,' the Social Democratic minister said in a statement. Darabos has the backing of influential tabloid media pushing for an end of the conscript system. But Entacher said in an interview with the weekly Profil that he doubted there would be enough money or enough applicants to support such a model. Darabos also faced criticism from his party's junior coalition partner, the centre-right People's Party. The People's Party has yet to come up with its own reform concept, but its senior parliamentarian Peter Wittmann warned that 'we are arming the right-wing fringe and the desperate, who would be the first ones to sign up for such an army.' Since the fall of the Iron Curtain that bordered Austria in the east, the army's size has been shrunk by some three quarters to 55,000, while politicians have struggled to define its new role. Aware of the lack of public support for spending money on the military, Darabos plans to maintain the troop numbers and budget, by working with a mix of professional soldiers and paid volunteers from the ranks of current army reservists. Link (http://www.monstersandcritics.com/news/europe/news/article_1614201.php/Austrian-defence-minister-sacks-top-general-over-army-reform-Roundup) ... Problem is: The sacking of the General was probably unconstitutional and the popular General (a SPÖ member like Defense Minister Darabos) has already announced that he will appeal the sacking at the Austrian Supreme Court. The Supreme Court has already ruled once against a Defense Minister who wanted to sack a member of his ministry. This guy then got the job back. The Austrian Supreme Court will probably argue in favor of Entacher and re-instate him because of Freedom of Speech grounds. Minister Darabos is also accused by the other Generals (and the ÖVP) who worked out the models to replace the draft of manipulating the costs of the Darabos-preferred "Model 3" - which is a professional army model. Originally, as proposed by the Generals, "Model 3" would cost 2.7 Bio. € a year, but Darabos ordered a review of the costs and now the costs are 2.1 Bio. € per year. This is the same amount that the current draft system costs. The Generals and the ÖVP argue that Darabos manipulated the figures to make the costs lower, so as to not make the professional army model look more expensive than the current draft. Darabos argues that he ordered a review because the benefits for soldiers serving abroad proposed by the Generals is "way too high". ÖVP says their trust in Darabos is "shattered", but will still work with the SPÖ to define a new Security Strategy and Reform of the Military ... :P Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on January 30, 2011, 02:04:28 AM GAY CONTROVERSY IN AUSTRIA:
Niki Lauda accused of homophobia after attacking TV dancing show Motor racing legend objects to gay men competing together on prime time programme () Niki Lauda demanded a halt to 'a gay show on state television'. Austrian gay groups have demanded an apology from the former racing driver Niki Lauda after he made disparaging remarks about the pairing of a gay male celebrity with a male dancer on Austria's version of Strictly Come Dancing. Alfons Haider, a 53-year-old TV presenter from Vienna, is set to waltz with another man in the forthcoming series of Dancing Stars on the state-owned ORF channel. () Lauda, the three-times world Formula One champion, told the Austrian daily newspaper Österreich he didn't want to have to explain to his children why two men were dancing together on prime time TV. "There are some good traditions in our culture, one of which is that men dance with women," he said. "Soon we will reach the stage where we will all have to publicly apologise for being heterosexual." Lauda, 61, said he was upset "that I have to explain to my children why men no longer dance with women on TV, as is traditional". The German tabloid Bild asked Lauda if it was really so bad for two men to dance together. "No," said Lauda. "As long as they do it at home and not on TV, when children are watching." He insisted he was not homophobic and that he would not mind at all if his son was gay. He employed "loads" of gay people on his airline, Niki, "even as instructors", he added. Christian Högl, the chairman of the Vienna-based gay rights group Hosi, said: "We are really shocked and very surprised that Mr Lauda harbours such prejudice against homosexuals to make such an unjustified attack." The group has invited Lauda to the city's Rainbow Ball next month in a bid to educate him about homosexuality. Dancing Stars is not due to start until March, but Lauda wants ORF bosses to pull the plug on the gay pairing. "I demand that the general director Alex Wrabetz, who is in an upright marriage, stops this gay dance number – and that the PR-crazy Alfons Haider is not permitted to put on a gay show on state owned television," Lauda told Österreich. Wrabetz said : "I don't chose Mr Lauda's pilots and he doesn't choose our dancers." http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2011/jan/26/niki-lauda-homophobia-row-austria ... Meanwhile, Austrians have nothing against Haider dancing with a man, according to a new poll out today by Gallup/Ö24: () 54% say Haider should dance with his male partner. () 65% of women are in favor, while men are opposed by 44-56. () 76% of under-30-year-olds are in favor, 30-50 year-olds are split and old people are opposed. () Members of Greens, SPÖ and BZÖ are in favor, members of FPÖ and ÖVP are opposed. http://www.oe24.at/leute/oesterreich/Umfrage-Haider-soll-mit-Mann-tanzen/16402597 ... Interesting how closely the positions of Austrians mirror the voting patterns in the US on the issue of gays ... Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Chancellor of the Duchy of Little Lever and Darcy Lever on January 30, 2011, 05:31:58 AM Austrian gay groups have demanded an apology from the former racing driver Niki Lauda after he made disparaging remarks about the pairing of a gay male celebrity with a male dancer on Austria's version of Strictly Come Dancing. Alfons Haider, a 53-year-old TV presenter from Vienna, is set to waltz with another man in the forthcoming series of Dancing Stars on the state-owned ORF channel. This is probably a stupid question, but - Alfons Haider definitely isn't a relation of Jorg Haider? Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on January 30, 2011, 09:03:47 AM Austrian gay groups have demanded an apology from the former racing driver Niki Lauda after he made disparaging remarks about the pairing of a gay male celebrity with a male dancer on Austria's version of Strictly Come Dancing. Alfons Haider, a 53-year-old TV presenter from Vienna, is set to waltz with another man in the forthcoming series of Dancing Stars on the state-owned ORF channel. This is probably a stupid question, but - Alfons Haider definitely isn't a relation of Jorg Haider? No, they are not related. There are many people in Austria named Haider. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on February 04, 2011, 01:49:51 PM New Market poll for the newspaper "Standard":
29% SPÖ 27% ÖVP 24% FPÖ 12% Greens 6% BZÖ 2% Others http://derstandard.at/1296696403787/Kanzlerfrage-17-Prozent-fuer-Faymann-15-Prozent-fuer-Proell Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on February 07, 2011, 06:12:52 AM The capital of the most conservative Austrian district, Lienz, elected a female SPÖ-member for Mayor yesterday - for the first time ever.
() The loss of the ÖVP candidate in Lienz can be compared with the ousting of Ben Ali in Tunesia or Mubarak in Egypt ... LOL :P Elisabeth Blanik, who was defeated in the previous mayoral election by about 15 votes, this time defeated the incumbent with more than 55% of the vote. Lienz usually casts about 70-80% of the vote for the Center-Right-Parties (ÖVP, FPÖ, BZÖ, DC): () Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on February 13, 2011, 01:49:59 AM New Gallup/Ö24 poll:
27% SPÖ 25% FPÖ 25% ÖVP 13% Greens 5% BZÖ 5% Others New IFES poll: 29% SPÖ 24% FPÖ 24% ÖVP 14% Greens 4% BZÖ 5% Others SPÖVP Government Approval Rating: 26% Approve 74% Disapprove 52% of Austrians are currently also in favor of new elections. http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/Schon-74-sind-mit-Koalition-unzufrieden/17589730 Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on February 14, 2011, 01:17:25 AM Braunau am Inn, Upper Austria, has elected its first ÖVP-mayor since WW2 yesterday.
Johannes Waidbacher (ÖVP) defeated Günter Pointner (SPÖ) by 51.04% to 48.96%. Previously, all mayors in Braunau were from the SPÖ. http://derstandard.at/1297216242896/Machtwechsel-in-Braunau-Erstmals-nach-55-Jahren-OeVP-Buergermeister The first round results were: Social Democrat (SPÖ) Günter Pointner, who got 39.62 per cent, and the People’s Party’s (ÖVP) Johannes Waidbacher, who garnered 37.33 per cent, will compete in the run-off election. Green party candidate Manfred Hackl got 12.49 per cent, and the Freedom Party’s (FPÖ) Brigitte Zeillinger received 10.57 per cent. http://austrianindependent.com/news/Politics/2011-01-31/6135/Run-off_election_for_Braunau_mayor_on_13_February Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on February 19, 2011, 02:15:56 AM New Profil/Karmasin Motivforschung poll:
28% (-1) SPÖ 26% (nc) ÖVP 25% (+7) FPÖ 13% (+3) Greens 5% (-6) BZÖ 3% (-3) Others Direct vote for Chancellor: 20% Werner Faymann (SPÖ) 15% Josef Pröll (ÖVP) 11% Heinz-Christian Strache (FPÖ) 6% Eva Glawischnig (Greens) http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20110219_OTS0009/profil-umfrage-fpoe-kann-nummer-eins-werden APA/OGM Trust Index: President Heinz Fischer (SPÖ): 70% trust, 23% no trust (+47) Vice-Chancellor Josef Pröll (ÖVP): 49% trust, 42% no trust (+7) Chancellor Werner Faymann (SPÖ): 48% trust, 44% no trust (+4) Eva Glawischnig (Green-leader): 37% trust, 43% no trust (-6) Josef Bucher (BZÖ-leader): 29% trust, 39% no trust (-10) Maria Fekter (Interior Minister, ÖVP): 36% trust, 52% no trust (-16) Heinz-Christian Strache (FPÖ-leader): 33% trust, 59% no trust (-26) Norbert Darabos (Defense Minister, SPÖ): 22% trust, 61% no trust (-39) http://www.ogm.at/pdfs/BundespolitikerInnen_Februar11.pdf Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on February 19, 2011, 02:31:43 AM The fact that the FPÖ is currently unable to get more than 25% is probably due to recent circumstances within the party:
In Vorarlberg, the criminal police found about 200 weapons, knives, Nazi-uniforms and other Nazi-stuff in the basement of a local FPÖ-member. And also the fact that the FPÖ is strongly for keeping the draft system, even though it was recently revealed that many top-level FPÖ functionarys have dodged the draft. That could alienate many young voters who normally back the FPÖ, but are against the draft system. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on February 23, 2011, 02:44:59 AM Immigration and Asylum now gets much harder in Austria:
Austrian Cabinet adopts new rules for foreigners By VERONIKA OLEKSYN The Associated Press Tuesday, February 22, 2011; 12:31 PM VIENNA -- Austria's Cabinet on Tuesday approved new immigration and asylum rules, amid criticism from the United Nations and others. Some of the new measures will see asylum seekers confined to special centers for up to seven days on arrival while their refugee status is analyzed, while others require some immigrants to have German proficiency before entering the country. In a statement, the U.N. High Commissioner for Refugees expressed concern about the confinement aspects of the new measures, saying this was equal to "detention with the doors open," since those who fail to comply face deportation. The UNHCR also warned of a "step back for the protection of refugees." According to the Interior Ministry, children under the age of 14 will not be taken into custody while awaiting deportation under the new measures. But the UNHCR said minors aged 16 to 18 will still face that fate. "All children must have the same protection," it said. Interior Minister Maria Fekter, a hard-liner on issues relating to asylum, said the requirement will prevent people from disappearing while they await word on whether they're allowed to stay in the country. "If someone asks us for protection, then they'll get it if they have (genuine) asylum reasons," Fekter said. Under the new rules, Cabinet members say a new "red-white-red" work permit will make it easier for more qualified foreigners from outside the European Union to fill gaps left by an aging labor force. Social Affairs Minister Rudolf Hundstorfer said it will allow non-EU citizens to apply for the jobs Austria is having a problem filling. It is currently very difficult for non-EU foreigners to work in Austria legally because employers need to justify taking a non-EU citizen over locals and other EU citizens. "Austria needs qualified immigrants," Hundstorfer said in a statement. http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2011/02/22/AR2011022203579.html Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on March 06, 2011, 03:34:27 AM New Gallup/Ö24 poll:
27% [-2.3] SPÖ 25% [-1.0] ÖVP 24% [+6.5] FPÖ 14% [+3.6] Greens 4% [-6.7] BZÖ 6% [-0.1] Others Majority for SPÖVP, ÖVP-FPÖ and SPÖ-FPÖ. Direct vote for Chancellor: () Approval Rating of the SPÖVP government: 24% Approve 76% Disapprove Approval Rating of Government politicians: () Faymann: 27% Approve, 39% Disapprove Pröll: 22% Approve, 40% Disapprove Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on March 08, 2011, 02:22:19 PM New Salzburg state election poll:
() Direct vote for Governor: 53% Gabi Burgstaller (SPÖ) 18% Wilfried Haslauer (ÖVP) 2% Karl Schnell (FPÖ) 1% Cyriak Schwaighofer (Greens) 25% Undecided Approval Ratings of SPÖ and ÖVP leaders: Gabi Burgstaller: 70% Excellent/Good, 22% Fair, 7% Poor, 1% Undecided Wilfried Haslauer: 77% Excellent/Good, 17% Fair, 5% Poor, 2% Undecided Should the draft in Austria be abolished ? 51% Yes 45% No http://www.salzburger-fenster.at/redaktionell/2194-sf-umfrage-so-steht-es-im-land-oevp-40-spoe-39-fpoe-13-gruene-7.html Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on March 08, 2011, 02:28:19 PM Seems like all the BZÖ voters from 2009 are now back in the ÖVP camp - where they belong.
Also: People here in Salzburg rate the work of the ÖVP boss higher than that of the incumbent Governor, yet she beats him by 3:1 in a direct vote. Maybe this has to do with the fact that Haslauer doesn't have the charisma of his father - who was the Governor of Salzburg in the 70s and 80s. Burgstaller on the other hand can really connect with the people. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Hash on March 08, 2011, 04:06:24 PM Random question - anybody have a exit poll or poll or something showing the vote motivations for FPO voters and/or the reasons for their votes?
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on March 09, 2011, 01:42:13 AM Random question - anybody have a exit poll or poll or something showing the vote motivations for FPO voters and/or the reasons for their votes? Is this is a serious question or are you being sarcastic ? ;) Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Hash on March 09, 2011, 08:40:01 AM Random question - anybody have a exit poll or poll or something showing the vote motivations for FPO voters and/or the reasons for their votes? Is this is a serious question or are you being sarcastic ? ;) It's obviously a serious question, because I need stuff like that for a paper I'm doing. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on March 09, 2011, 12:06:41 PM Random question - anybody have a exit poll or poll or something showing the vote motivations for FPO voters and/or the reasons for their votes? Is this is a serious question or are you being sarcastic ? ;) It's obviously a serious question, because I need stuff like that for a paper I'm doing. Oh, I thought you were sarcastic ... Why do you want an Exit Poll ? There is no election. This is a poll for the Salzburg state election that is likely to take place in the year 2014. There are no state or national elections here in Austria until the year 2013, except if the SPÖVP government breaks before this date. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Hash on March 09, 2011, 12:55:16 PM 2008 or prior exit poll, or Vienna 2010.
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on March 09, 2011, 01:18:34 PM 2008 or prior exit poll, or Vienna 2010. Ah, I understand. SORA does the Exit Polls here. 2010 Vienna: http://www.sora.at/fileadmin/downloads/wahlen/2010_wahltagsbefragung_grafiken_web.pdf 2010 President: http://www.sora.at/fileadmin/downloads/wahlen/2010_bp-wahl_grafiken.pdf 2008 Parliament: http://www.sora.at/fileadmin/downloads/wahlen/2008_nrw_wahlanalyse.pdf 2006 Parliament: http://www.sora.at/fileadmin/downloads/wahlen/2006_nrw_wahltagsbefragung_presseunterlage.pdf 2002 Parliament: http://www.sora.at/fileadmin/downloads/wahlen/2002_nrw_wahltagsbefragung_wahlanalyse.pdf You can view all exit polls from 1994 to 2010, also state elections and EU elections here: http://www.sora.at/themen/wahlverhalten/wahlanalysen.html Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on March 10, 2011, 01:59:16 PM New Kurier/OGM poll:
() So there's a 3-way race for 1st place: () Direct vote for Chancellor: () http://kurier.at/nachrichten/2080439.php Also interesting that the Center-Right parties (ÖVP/FPÖ/BZÖ) are now @ 60%, while Red-Green have just 38% support. The poll also says that Austrians are now opposed to ending the Military draft for the first time in an OGM poll. The fumble by the SPÖ might explain why some SPÖ-voters went over to the FPÖ and why the ÖVP is now in first place again. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on March 10, 2011, 02:45:11 PM Strache @ the Austrian Tea Party gathering (Aschermittwoch-Treffen) yesterday in Ried (Upper Austria):
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=INtEcVsku8Y Some quotes by Strache: "Ried will never become Riad. We'll make sure of that." "We are unstoppable. Our time will come, our time is closer than many here in Austria think." "We are the last hope for the hopeless in our society. We as the Social Homeland Party are the Future Party of our Homeland." This all in the first 4 minutes ... Need to watch more of it ... Looks like Hitler in some beer-cellar in Munich in the late 20s, early 30s ... :P Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Emperor on March 10, 2011, 04:30:21 PM Interesting guy this Strache. Not political correct and a patriot for Austia as I see. Is he also anti UE to this level like Nigel Farage?
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on March 11, 2011, 02:02:02 PM Interesting guy this Strache. Not political correct and a patriot for Austia as I see. Is he also anti UE to this level like Nigel Farage? Don't know how much Anti-EU Nigel Farage is, but Strache often said that he favors the Exit of Austria from the EU. He also recently attacked Finance Minister Pröll for wasting the taxpayer money of the Austrian middle-class by funding the rescue packages for Greece and Ireland. He also attacked the EU for proposing ridiculous things like mandatory energy-saving lamps (which even I acknowledge was a retarded thing). He also referred to Austria's entry into the EU as similar to the Anschluss to Germany in 1938. And so on ... Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on March 11, 2011, 02:07:05 PM Things like this also cement Strache's view of the EUdSSR:
Quote The European Union has published a student's reference calendar that has omitted the holidays of Christmas and Easter, but ensures certain Moslem, Hindu, Sikh, Jewish and Chinese holidays and festivals are cited. In fact, there are no Christian holidays referenced, despite the fact that Christianity is Europe's majority religion. The diary also makes a point of citing the EU-created holiday of "Europe Day" and other key EU anniversaries, Johanna Touzel, the spokeswoman for the Catholic Commission of the Bishops' Conferences of the European Community, said the absence of Christian festivals as "just astonishing". "Christmas and Easter are important feasts for hundreds of millions of Christians and Europeans. It is a strange omission. I hope it was not intentional," she said. "If the commission does not mark Christmas as a feast in its diaries then it should be working as normal on December 25." http://www.examiner.com/catholic-in-national/european-union-calendar-omits-christmas-cites-moslem-hindu-sikh-holidays Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Emperor on March 11, 2011, 02:27:00 PM Things like this also cement Strache's view of the EUdSSR: Quote The European Union has published a student's reference calendar that has omitted the holidays of Christmas and Easter, but ensures certain Moslem, Hindu, Sikh, Jewish and Chinese holidays and festivals are cited. In fact, there are no Christian holidays referenced, despite the fact that Christianity is Europe's majority religion. The diary also makes a point of citing the EU-created holiday of "Europe Day" and other key EU anniversaries, Johanna Touzel, the spokeswoman for the Catholic Commission of the Bishops' Conferences of the European Community, said the absence of Christian festivals as "just astonishing". "Christmas and Easter are important feasts for hundreds of millions of Christians and Europeans. It is a strange omission. I hope it was not intentional," she said. "If the commission does not mark Christmas as a feast in its diaries then it should be working as normal on December 25." http://www.examiner.com/catholic-in-national/european-union-calendar-omits-christmas-cites-moslem-hindu-sikh-holidays Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on March 14, 2011, 02:28:49 PM Norbert Kapeller, ÖVP-MP and the defense-expert of the ÖVP, stepped down today after it was revealed that he or his wife used the handicapped ID of her dead father to park in various places (train stations, etc.) in Upper Austria and Vienna.
() He said his wife was to blame for it, which she then also said was the case. Kapeller was one of the hardliners within the ÖVP, who strongly favored the draft. Kapeller also cited a "witch-hunt" concerning his person for his decision to step down. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: minionofmidas on March 14, 2011, 02:41:21 PM Lolwut.
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Boris on March 14, 2011, 03:22:12 PM LOL Austria
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Emperor on March 14, 2011, 06:30:09 PM LOL!- what a country..
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on March 19, 2011, 12:35:09 PM Norbert Kapeller, ÖVP-MP and the defense-expert of the ÖVP, stepped down today after it was revealed that he or his wife used the handicapped ID of her dead father to park in various places (train stations, etc.) in Upper Austria and Vienna. A replacement has been named for Kapeller as defense-expert. Oswald Klikovits from the Burgenland-ÖVP, who is already an MP (here shown with a cookie-box): () The seat held by Kapeller will be taken by Michael Hammer, who is a member of the Bundesrat. () Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on March 19, 2011, 12:36:58 PM There's also a new poll out today by Karmasin Motivforschung for "Profil" newspaper:
27% SPÖ 26% FPÖ 26% ÖVP 13% Greens 5% BZÖ 3% Others http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20110319_OTS0004/profil-umfrage-spoe-oevp-und-fpoe-fast-gleichauf-faymann-vor-proell Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria Post by: Tender Branson on March 20, 2011, 01:41:12 AM Today, a new Gallup poll for Ö24 was released:
28% SPÖ 25% FPÖ 25% ÖVP 14% Greens 4% BZÖ 4% Others The above figures are with "leaners" included. But Gallup today also provides "raw data" which says that the SPÖ currently only has 18% core voters, the FPÖ already 17% and the ÖVP only 16%. That means the FPÖ already has a base of die-hard-core voters similar to the 2008 end result, while SPÖ and ÖVP have a base that is 10% BELOW their 2008 end results. Gallup therefore argues that if the currently undecided voters break heavily for the FPÖ in a protest vote, the FPÖ would win the election. Gallup also notes that the FPÖ currently is very strong in the 30-50 age group, with women and city voters. http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/Atom-Plus-fuer-unsere-Regierung/20706371 Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on March 22, 2011, 02:10:28 PM New Standard/Market poll out today:
27% (-2.3) SPÖ 27% (+1.0) ÖVP 26% (+8.5) FPÖ 12% (+1.6) Greens 5% (-5.7) BZÖ 3% (-3.1) Others Market notes that the FPÖ is now first in the raw data, which means the base vote without leaners. Direct vote for Chancellor: () About 6 out of 10 Austrians do not favor ANY of the party-leaders for Chancellor. http://derstandard.at/1297821174500/Umfrage-Zustimmung-zu-Kanzler-und-Vize-gering-wie-noch-nie Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on March 22, 2011, 03:40:41 PM Austrian Nuclear Referendum 1978 by county (because it was boring today):
() Interestingly, my county voted FOR the Nuclear Power Plant. I always thought it would have voted against it ... In general it can be said that SPÖ areas voted for the Nuclear Power Plant and ÖVP areas against it. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Emperor on March 23, 2011, 08:51:00 PM Austrian Nuclear Referendum 1978 by county (because it was boring today): () Interestingly, my county voted FOR the Nuclear Power Plant. I always thought it would have voted against it ... In general it can be said that SPÖ areas voted for the Nuclear Power Plant and ÖVP areas against it. Cool map of 1978, as well as the three way race in parl. elections this year in Austria... Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on March 25, 2011, 02:38:17 AM ÖVP and BZÖ seem to be in self-destruct mode in the last couple weeks:
Petzner admits drink-driving A right-wing politician has vowed to "draw political conclusions" from being caught drink-driving. Alliance for the Future of Austria (BZÖ) MP Stefan Petzner confirmed newspaper reports that he lost his licence for getting behind the wheel under the influence of alcohol. Referring to the incident last December, the BZÖ Carinthia chief claimed he drove because of a "medical emergency". Petzner said today (Thurs) he drove to a clinic after drinking alcohol to have a tumour examined. The politician did not reveal any further information on the location of the potentially cancer-triggering swelling except that it turned out to be harmless. Petzner said: "What happened to many others also happened to me – I was caught by a radar trap." The BZÖ official argued he needed to commute from the southern province of Carinthia to Vienna – where the federal parliament is located – constantly "since I haven’t got a chauffeur funded by taxpayers, in contrast to government ministers". Petzner made clear he will "draw political conclusions" from the occurrences. The head of the BZÖ’s department in Carinthia refused to comment on rumours claiming he planned to resign as MP. Petzner said he will make his decision public tomorrow. Petzner made headlines all over the world with his tearful farewell from his "soulmate" Jörg Haider after the right-wing spearhead and BZÖ founder died in a drink-drive car crash in October 2008. Petzner succeeded Haider as chairman of the party, but was replaced by Herbert Scheibner after just a few weeks. The BZÖ, which garnered 10.7 per cent in the general election of September 2008, is currently headed by Josef Bucher. Petzner stepped down as general secretary of the party last April – just days after he labelled reports that he was considering to resign as "attempts to harm our Easter peace." Some political rivals claimed he made himself a laughing stock some months later by revealing his "vision" to become mayor of Vienna someday. The BZÖ has struggled to get a foothold in the capital ever since it was established by Haider in April 2005. It bagged just 1.33 per cent in last October’s city parliament ballot. http://austrianindependent.com/news/Politics/2011-03-24/6858/Petzner_admits_drink-driving Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on March 25, 2011, 06:06:05 AM In a new IMAS poll, Austrians support the crucifix in the classrooms and say that the country is a Christian country:
"Das Kreuz und andere christliche Symbole haben in den Schulen eigentlich nichts mehr zu suchen." ("The Crucifix and other Christian Symbols do not belong to classrooms anymore.") 19% Support 70% Oppose SPÖ voters: 18-72 ÖVP voters: 17-71 FPÖ/BZÖ voters: 13-81 Green voters: 34-47 Other voters: 20-68 "Österreich ist ein christliches Land und sollte es auch bleiben." ("Austria is a Christian country and should remain so.") 80% Support 13% Oppose SPÖ voters: 79-13 ÖVP voters: 87-9 FPÖ/BZÖ voters: 86-7 Green voters: 50-29 Other voters: 80-14 http://www.imas.at/content/download/642/3046/version/1/file/8-2011.pdf Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on March 29, 2011, 12:59:10 AM New Karmasin poll out that shows which party Austrians blame most for the recent lobbying/corruption scandals:
() Currently, 3 former ÖVP-politicians (Grasser, Strasser, Kapeller) are on trial because of that. And there has been no poll out since the Strasser-story, so I guess the ÖVP will not do so well in the next weeks ... Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on April 01, 2011, 04:42:22 AM It has finally happened !
(Isn't really surprising to me though due to the recent ÖVP f**k-up ...) New ATV Austria Trend released today: 29% [+11.5] FPÖ 26% [-3.3] SPÖ 25% [-1.0] ÖVP 14% [+3.6] Greens 4% [-6.7] BZÖ 2% [-4.1] Others Only a slight majority for the "Grand Coalition" (51-47) anymore (LOL). Big majorities for FPÖ-SPÖ (55-43) and FPÖ-ÖVP though (54-44). http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20110401_OTS0114/atv-oesterreich-trend-fpoe-erstmals-klar-auf-platz-1 "Die Umfrage wurde unter 1.000 Wahlberechtigten ab 16 Jahren im Zeitraum von 16. bis 28. März 2011 telefonisch durchgeführt." (poll was conducted from March 16-28 among 1000 eligible voters) That means the ÖVP scandals are not even fully visible there ... :P We just have to wait for the next polls, maybe the FPÖ is passing 30% then. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on April 01, 2011, 11:38:30 AM The new Gallup/Ö24 poll tells a slightly different story:
27% SPÖ 26% FPÖ 23% ÖVP 16% Greens 4% BZÖ 4% Others http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/OeVP-stuerzt-ab-Gruene-legen-zu/21779744 If we average the 2 new polls, it shows that the results of FPÖ and Greens are the best ever in Austrian electoral history, while SPÖ and ÖVP have their worst result ever. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on April 03, 2011, 12:51:54 AM New IMAS/Krone poll for Styria:
34% [-4.3] SPÖ 31% [-6.2] ÖVP 14% [+3.3] FPÖ 11% [+5.4] Greens 7% [+2.6] KPÖ 2% [-1.0] BZÖ 1% [+0.2] Others Recently, the SPÖVP government in Styria - reelected last year - proposed deep cuts of 1.5 Bio. € in the budget over the next 2 years - mostly in social areas like the abolition of the free kindergarden year, cuts in hospital funding and the abolition of the state commuter benefit. As you can see, SPÖVP is now losing massively to the leftist fringe parties because of this. Strangly, voters in this poll also say the budget cuts are necessary by a 55-32 margin. http://steiermark.orf.at/stories/507963 http://www.krone.at/Steiermark/Dickes_Umfrage-Minus_fuer_steirische_Grossparteien-Strafe_fuers_Sparen-Story-254387 Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on April 03, 2011, 01:01:48 AM The new Gallup/Ö24 poll tells a slightly different story: 27% SPÖ 26% FPÖ 23% ÖVP 16% Greens 4% BZÖ 4% Others http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/OeVP-stuerzt-ab-Gruene-legen-zu/21779744 If we average the 2 new polls, it shows that the results of FPÖ and Greens are the best ever in Austrian electoral history, while SPÖ and ÖVP have their worst result ever. A few bonus findings about this poll, released today: () Austrians now prefer a Red-Green government (even though Red-Green is far from having a majority). () In this poll, Faymann easily beats Pröll and Strache for Chancellor - other polls have seen it much closer. () 68% say that politicians in Austria are corrupt, 24% say not. 26% say the ÖVP is the most corrupt party, 13% say FPÖ, 6% BZÖ, 6% SPÖ, 1% Greens. 70% say that politicians are more corrupt than people who have other professions. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on April 07, 2011, 12:31:41 AM New Market poll for Upper Austria:
43% [-4] ÖVP 23% [-2] SPÖ 20% [+5] FPÖ 11% [+2] Greens 2% [-1] BZÖ 1% [nc] Others http://www.volksblatt.at/index.php?id=73001&MP=61-9395 Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on April 09, 2011, 11:37:22 AM "Big Sister" (Interior Minister) Maria Fekter goes Arizona-style when it comes to immigration:
“The police will have authorisation to enter private homes,” headlines Die Presse. As part of a new hard line on immigration put forward by Austria’s very active interior minister Maria Fekter (ÖVP), the police will no longer require a warrant to search private residences and vehicles if they suspect the presence of undocumented aliens. The measures, which are described in a specific article of the country’s new ‘Aliens Act’ developed both by the ÖVP and its coalition partner the SPÖ, will be subject to approval by a vote in parliament to take place in the month of April. “Fekter has established the basis for a generalised suspicion that foreigners are either illegal or criminals,” writes Die Presse, which notes that “civil rights are not the sole preserve of Austrian passport holders. If your daughter has a foreign friend, who happens to be African […], then your home can be searched for drugs. Who is to say that the authorisation to conduct searches without warrants will not be extended to target a wider range of unloved Austrians? A day will come when every Austrian who wants to remain above suspicion will have to have a policeman living in his house.” http://www.presseurop.eu/en/content/news-brief-cover/584621-police-closer-home Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on April 10, 2011, 12:09:12 AM New Graz poll by OGM:
36% [-2.4] ÖVP 17% [+2.4] Greens 17% [-2.7] SPÖ 16% [+5.1] FPÖ 10% [-1.2] KPÖ 4% [-1.2] BZÖ/Others Majority for the current ÖVP-Green government. Approval Ratings of leading city politicians: Mayor Siegfried Nagl (ÖVP): 54-35 Vice-Mayor Lisa Rücker (Greens): 45-39 http://www.kleinezeitung.at/system/galleries/upload/6/4/6/2718118/2011-04-10-Umfrage-Graz.pdf Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on April 10, 2011, 03:37:26 AM New Gallup poll out today (not much change compared with last weekend, only that the Greens are slightly losing and the BZÖ slightly gaining):
() Direct vote for Chancellor: () http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/FPOe-holt-SPOe-schon-fast-ein/22796729 Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on April 11, 2011, 03:06:26 PM Krone-girl provides the new IMAS poll for Upper Austria:
() 40% [-7] ÖVP 20% [+5] FPÖ 20% [-5] SPÖ 15% [+6] Greens 3% [nc] BZÖ 2% [+1] Others http://www.krone.at/Oberoesterreich/Waere_jetzt_Wahl_bliebe_kein_Stein_auf_dem_anderen-Krone-Umfrage-Story-255913 Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on April 13, 2011, 12:33:28 AM Austria arrests former neo-Nazi leader Gottfried Kuessel over website
Mr Kuessel, 52, former leader of the now-banned neo-Nazi group VAPO, was believed to be one of the main figures behind the alpen-donau.info website, a key forum for Austria's neo-Nazi movement that was shut down in March. Half a dozen house searches were conducted late on Monday in Vienna and southern Styria province, during which investigators seized documents, computers, hard-disks, weapons and Nazi paraphernalia, Vienna prosecution spokesman Thomas Vecsey said. Mr Kuessel and a second person were arrested overnight, he added. The prosecution said it had received help from US investigators to gain access to the website's servers, which were based in the United States and were long out of reach for the Austrian authorities. Mr Kuessel was the founder and leader of the Volkstreue Ausserparlamentarische Opposition group (extra-parliamentary opposition loyal to the people), before it was banned under Austria's anti-Nazi law in the 1990s. The 52-year-old, who has described himself as a "national socialist", has made repeated comments in the past denying the Holocaust and even denounced the diary of Anne Frank as a fabrication. Sentenced to 10 years in prison in 1993 for Nazi propaganda, he saw his term extended to 11 years over a procedural problem but was released in 1999 after six years for good conduct. http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/europe/austria/8447175/Austria-arrests-former-neo-Nazi-leader-Gottfried-Kuessel-over-website.html Good. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on April 14, 2011, 12:38:09 AM Austria’s vice-chancellor and finance minister quits politics
By Chris Bryant in Vienna Austria’s finance minister has dramatically announced his decision to quit politics because of ill health, sending a shockwave through the country’s governing coalition and depriving the eurozone of a fierce advocate of fiscal discipline. () Josef Pröll, 42, finance minister, vice-chancellor and leader of the conservative Austrian People’s party, stepped down from all these roles on Wednesday. “I withdraw completely from politics,” he told a news conference. “The decision is not one against politics, but for my health and my family”. The decision robs Austria’s uneasy coalition government of a key intermediary whose jovial nature cemented a good working relationship with Werner Faymann, Austria’s Social Democratic chancellor. It also brings to a sudden end a meteoric political career, which saw the former head of Austria’s farmer’s association rise to the second highest office in the land. Mr Pröll said party officials would meet on Thursday to discuss who would replace him as party leader; possible successors are thought to include Michael Spindelegger, foreign minister, Maria Fekter, interior minister, and Reinhold Mitterlehner, economics minister. Austria is not due to hold a general election until 2013 by which time both governing parties hope to reverse their waning popularity and head off a surge in support for the far-right Freedom Party. Mr Pröll suffered shortness of breath while skiing in the Tyrol last month and was later diagnosed with a pulmonary embolism, a potentially serious arterial blockage. Doctors urged a period of private convalescence, during which he communicated with only a handful of senior party figures. His public silence sparked rumours that his medical condition was more serious, but his spokesman had continued to insist Mr Pröll would return to work after Easter. His absence allowed a political storm within the People’s party to escalate still further, following a succession of corruption scandals. http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/dc6e1fbc-65a5-11e0-baee-00144feab49a.html#axzz1JTN02WAL ... :( Too bad. He was a good finance minister. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on April 14, 2011, 12:46:22 AM Probably the next ÖVP leader (who is also a good friend of SPÖ Chancellor Faymann):
() http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Michael_Spindelegger Would be a good choice in my opinion. Reinhold Mitterlehner would also be a great choice, but if they pick Maria Fekter, it would be really awful for Austria and awful for the party ... :P Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on April 14, 2011, 01:32:02 PM Yepp, they picked Michael Spindelegger today:
Austrian foreign minister becomes vice premier, conservative chief Vienna - Austria's centre-right People's Party (OeVP) chose Foreign Minister Michael Spindelegger on Thursday to succeed Josef Proell as vice chancellor and party chairman. Proell stepped down from all political posts a day earlier for health reasons. He was also finance minister. Spindelegger, 51, would retain his post as foreign minister, Austrian Press Agency APA reported. http://www.monstersandcritics.com/news/europe/news/article_1632940.php/Austrian-foreign-minister-becomes-vice-premier-conservative-chief It will be interesting to see now who becomes Foreign Minister and Finance Minister ... ;) Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on April 14, 2011, 01:38:53 PM New Standard/Market poll out today and it shows a new low for the ÖVP (taken before the Pröll resignation):
() http://derstandard.at/1302745253323/STANDARD-Umfrage-Historischer-Tiefstand-fuer-OeVP-Mit-22-Prozent-auf-drittem-Platz Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on April 15, 2011, 08:51:39 AM New IMAS poll for the Kronen Zeitung:
() http://www.krone.at/Oesterreich/OeVP_im_Umfragetief._Proell-Abgang_schockte_Waehler-Krone-Blitzumfrage-Story-257053 Neither IMAS nor the Market poll yesterday are really good polls, let's wait for the next OGM poll. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on April 15, 2011, 09:49:16 AM The new ÖVP leader Michael Spindelegger has announced today that the whole ÖVP cabinet will be re-shuffled in the next 3 weeks.
Maria Fekter, currently Interior Minister, will replace Josef Pröll as Finance Minister. Spindelegger also said today that the rather inept Justice Minister Claudia Bandion-Ortner will be fired. Spindelegger, who is also the current Foreign Minister, has not announced so far if he'll continue as Foreign Minister. If he does, he would have 4 jobs: Vice-Chancellor, ÖVP-leader, Foreign Minister and ÖAAB-leader (The ÖAAB is the workers & employee branch of the ÖVP). That means we'll see new ministers for Interior and Justice and probably a new Foreign Minister. Interior will probably be taken by Fritz Kaltenegger or Karl-Heinz Kopf. As new Justice Minister, Christoph Herbst is mentioned. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on April 15, 2011, 02:01:29 PM New Gallup/Ö24 poll out today (conducted yesterday and today):
27% SPÖ 26% FPÖ 21% ÖVP 16% Greens 6% BZÖ 4% Others Wow. For the first time ever the "Grand" SPÖVP coalition isn't "Grand" anymore. It is now at 48% and the opposition also has 48% ... MEGALOL !!! :P 87% also say that they supported Vice-Chancellor Pröll's decision to step down from all his political positions due to his poor health. http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/OeVP-stuerzt-auch-mit-Spindelegger-weiter-ab/24390346 OGM also polled for the Kurier newspaper, but not the general election: They only asked if Michael Spindelegger is a good or bad choice as new conservative leader. 40% say he's a good choice, only 18% say that they wanted someone else to lead the party. http://kurier.at/nachrichten/2090739.php Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on April 16, 2011, 11:14:58 AM New Chancellor poll by Gallup/Ö24:
() New Profil/Karmasin Motivforschung poll: 27% SPÖ 26% FPÖ 23% ÖVP 15% Greens 6% BZÖ 3% Others http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20110416_OTS0007/profil-erste-umfrage-zur-neuen-oevp-fuehrung It looks like the IMAS poll was an outlier which underestimated the FPÖ and overestimated the BZÖ, while the ATV poll was an outlier in favor of the FPÖ. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Filuwaúrdjan on April 16, 2011, 11:17:16 AM I love how Strache's ratings are significantly lower than those of his party; anyone would think the FPÖ was a protest party or something.
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on April 16, 2011, 11:25:51 AM I love how Strache's ratings are significantly lower than those of his party; anyone would think the FPÖ was a protest party or something. I think it's about 50-50. There's a certain base of about 10-15% that will always vote FPÖ and the rest are protest voters. That's also in line with the Rosenkranz vote and Strache's ratings in the chancellor matchups. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on April 16, 2011, 11:28:30 AM LOL. Just noticed the huge graphic-fail by Ö24. Erwin Pröll is the governor of Lower Austria, but Josef Pröll was the ÖVP leader who stepped down. :) Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on April 17, 2011, 12:53:27 AM Spindelegger starts out with strong personal ratings according to Gallup, he already was the most popular member of the cabinet as foreign ministers usually are, but he gained another 21 net points in the last weeks:
()() The above values are the saldo of "approve of the work/disapprove of the work" of each cabinet member. President Heinz Fischer remains the most popular, with a positive saldo of 45. Justice Minister Claudia Bandion-Ortner, who will be replaced, is the least popular. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on April 19, 2011, 01:30:53 PM The new ÖVP-leader Michael Spindelegger announced his new cabinet today:
VIENNA — Austria's hardline interior minister has been named as the country's new finance minister. Maria Fekter replaces Josef Proell, who surprisingly vacated the post last week for health reasons. He was swiftly succeeded as vice chancellor and People's Party chief by foreign minister Michael Spindelegger. Other appointments announced Tuesday include Johanna Mikl-Leitner as new interior minister. Beatrix Karl, the current science and research minister, will head the justice ministry. She will be replaced by Innsbruck University dean Karlheinz Töchterle. The conservative People's Party is in a coalition government with the centre-left Social Democrats. http://www.google.com/hostednews/canadianpress/article/ALeqM5hi5nuTKoAox70uJpYQW-ggSWKfIg?docId=6609556 What this article doesn't mention is the fact that there will be a new Secretary of State for Immigration and Integration, which will be merged with the Secretary of State for Families. The new Secretary of State for Immigration, Integration and Families will be the Young ÖVP-leader Sebastian Kurz, who is only 24 years old. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on April 19, 2011, 01:51:42 PM The new ÖVP team:
() Sebastian Kurz, Wolfgang Waldner, Beatrix Karl, Michael Spindelegger, Maria Fekter, Karlheinz Töchterle, Johanna Mikl-Leitner Niki Berlakovich will stay on as Minister for Agriculture. Reinhold Mitterlehner will stay on as Minister for Economy. Wolfgang Waldner is the new Secretary of State of Foreign Affairs - to assist Spindelegger as Foreign Minister. Johannes Rauch will replace Fritz Kaltenegger as General Secretary of the ÖVP. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on April 22, 2011, 02:46:53 PM The first polls are out after the new ÖVP cabinet was sworn in yesterday by President Fischer.
Gallup/Ö24 (800 people questioned yesterday and Wednesday): 27% SPÖ 26% FPÖ 22% ÖVP 15% Greens 6% BZÖ 4% Others Do you approve or disapprove of the new ÖVP cabinet ? 29% Approve 32% Disapprove Do you approve or disapprove of the decision to make 24-year old Sebastian Kurz Secretary of State for Immigration & Integration matters ? 29% Approve 50% Disapprove http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/Umfrage-32-sind-gegen-neues-OeVP-Team/25529091 OGM/Kurier Do you approve or disapprove of the new ÖVP cabinet ? 37% Approve 39% Disapprove Do you approve or disapprove of the decision to make 24-year old Sebastian Kurz Secretary of State for Immigration & Integration matters ? 28% Approve 49% Disapprove People below 30 years are slightly approving of the decision, while people older than 50 strongly oppose Kurz with more than 60%. http://kurier.at/nachrichten/2093856.php ... I don't know really what to think of Kurz, in the past he had some more or less positive proposals like Imams should have to pray in German when they are holding sermons in Austrian mosques, but he also had bad ideas like driving around Vienna in a Hummer called "Geilomobil" before the Vienna state elections, in which the ÖVP suffered their worst loss ever. But let's wait and see what he does ... :P On the other hand I´m rather happy with the appointment of Karlheinz Töchterle to Minister of Science and Research. Töchterle is a former Green Party member from Tyrol and also Dean of the University of Innsbruck. He favors the introduction of socially equated tuition fees, which means that parents of wealthy Austrian and foreign students have to pay them, while poor Austrian students won't. This is also what I think is best to keep the mostly (German) students away from our universities, because they are becoming to crowded and underfunded. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on April 22, 2011, 03:00:43 PM A picture of the swearing-in yesterday with President Heinz Fischer in the middle, Chancellor Werner Faymann (SPÖ) on the left and Michael Spindelegger (ÖVP) on the right.
() Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on April 23, 2011, 12:26:53 AM New Standard/Market poll:
27% SPÖ 24% FPÖ 24% ÖVP 13% Greens 6% BZÖ 6% Others Direct vote for Chancellor: 30% Faymann (SPÖ) 15% Strache (FPÖ) 15% Spindelegger (ÖVP) 8% Glawischnig (Greens) http://derstandard.at/1303291283614/Koalition-stabilisiert-sich-in-Umfrage Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on April 24, 2011, 02:47:13 PM Poll shows Catholic Austria trusts Dalai Lama over pope - and distrusts Muslim, Jewish leaders
VIENNA — A poll of Austrians suggests that most people in the overwhelmingly Catholic nation trust the Dalai Lama over the pope or their own bishops. The telephone survey of 503 respondents shows 38 per cent saying they trust the Dalai Lama the most. Pope Benedict XVI is named by 8 per cent. Austrian Cardinal Christopher Schoenborn polls the highest among Catholic dignitaries with 10 per cent. Of those surveyed, 42 per cent said they placed the least trust in Austrian Muslim leader Anas Schakfeh, while 35 per cent named Ariel Muzikant, the head of Austrian's Jewish community. Pollster Wolfgang Bachmayer said Friday the results show that trust in religious leaders is determined "much more by familiarity and media image" than by denomination. The APA-OGM poll has a sampling error margin of plus or minus 4.5 percentage points. http://www.google.com/hostednews/canadianpress/article/ALeqM5h5y0WE1NgGAKxe_zCo-fzb2D2HgQ?docId=6639835 Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on April 25, 2011, 01:42:44 AM New Spectra poll for Upper Austria:
27% SPÖ 27% ÖVP 22% FPÖ 16% Greens 5% BZÖ 3% Others (KPÖ, etc.) (state elections) 45% ÖVP 21% SPÖ 18% FPÖ 14% Greens 2% Others (BZÖ, KPÖ) Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on April 30, 2011, 01:27:03 AM Mostly good news to report today:
Quote Bilingual place-name signs controversy settled Political leaders seem to have ended a lengthy argument considering bilingual place-name signs. Negotiators announced in Klagenfurt yesterday evening (Tues) they agreed that 164 towns and communities in the province of Carinthia will be equipped with place-name signs in both German and Slovenian. Provincial decision-makers and representatives of the Slovenian minority have been at odds over the issue for decades. Politicians have quarrelled about the number of affected towns ever since the Austrian State Treaty was agreed upon in 1955. A low point was reached in 1972 when opponents of a decree by the federal government of Social Democratic (SPÖ) Chancellor Bruno Kreisky tore down several bilingual place-name signs. Late Carinthian Freedom Party (FPÖ) and Alliance for the Future of Austria (BZÖ) Governor Jörg Haider successfully tried to delay a settlement over the years by removing the affected signs by a few metres to make aware of legal loopholes. Haider’s successor as governor of the province, Gerhard Dörfler refused to leave Haider’s uncooperative course after the right-wing spearhead’s death in 2008 before making a remarkable U-turn on the issue earlier this year. "We carried the State Treaty’s requirement over the finish line today," Dörfler – who is the deputy head of the Carinthian Freedom Party (FPK) – said at the end of yesterday’s eight-hour Marathon session of negotiations with SPÖ State Secretary Josef Ostermayer and representatives of Carinthia’s Slovenes. http://austrianindependent.com/news/Politics/2011-04-27/7314/Bilingual_place-name_signs_controversy_settled Quote Vienna - Austria adjusted its immigration laws Friday to attract skilled workers and keep asylum seekers away, two days before the country's lifting of restrictions on workers from the new EU countries. Austria and Germany were the last two EU members that kept their labour markets closed to Central and Eastern European union citizens, by applying an exemption option that ends Sunday. For migrants from outside the European Union, parliament voted Friday to abolish the current blanket quota for highly qualified employees, in exchange for flexible quotas that can be adjusted to changing demand for various occupations. The new rules make it harder for hopeful immigrants, as it requires them to learn basic German before they enter the country. Although the timing of the end to the EU restrictions and the vote for the amendments was a coincidence, it highlighted the tough line on immigration that the government of Social Democrats and conservative People's Party have been taking in past years. The immigration package passed in parliament also included a controversial tightening of the refugee law. It obliges asylum seekers to remain in reception camps for up to seven days and lowers the minimum age for detaining migrants who are extradited from 18 to 16. The package was criticized not only by human rights groups but also by the Social Democratic student organization. The amendment would aggravate the situation of migrants and asylum seekers, the students said in a statement. 'This policy is not conducive to integration and will only play into the hands of far-right agitation.' Austria's government parties have been reacting to the election successes of the far-right Freedom Party in recent years by toughening their rethoric and policies on migration issues. http://www.monstersandcritics.com/news/europe/news/article_1636032.php/Austria-opens-to-EU-workers-toughens-rules-on-others And: Austria's government also decided yesterday to reform the postal voting law and made it similar to the one in Germany. Currently it was allowed that postal votes could come in up to 1 week after the election, if the voter has certified with his signature on the postal ballot that he filled out the ballot before polls closed on Election Day. But because this couldn't be verified, they now changed the law, so that the postal ballots have to arrive by at least 5pm on election day to be valid, which is the time when polls close in all Austrian towns. I don't know why they even introduced this stupid law in the first place if noone can verify if a voter cast his vote after the exit poll ... :P Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on April 30, 2011, 09:53:48 AM New Vorarlberg state elections poll:
() Direct vote for Governor: () Preferred successor for Gov. Sausgruber (ÖVP): () http://www.vol.at/sonntagsfrage-absolute-fuer-sausgruber-in-vorarlberg-waere-weg/news-20110430-11100224 Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on April 30, 2011, 11:56:32 PM New Gallup/Ö24 poll:
() The political picture is relatively stable right now when it comes to polls. Gallup also estimates the seats and it finds that the SPÖVP coalition would lose its parliamentary majority now. They would get 91 seats now, but the opposition already has 92 seats. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: ZuWo on May 01, 2011, 04:12:13 AM The political picture is relatively stable right now when it comes to polls. Gallup also estimates the seats and it finds that the SPÖVP coalition would lose its parliamentary majority now. They would get 91 seats now, but the opposition already has 92 seats. Is it conceivable that a SPÖ/FPÖ coalition will be formed if there is no majority for a grand coalition? Is there any overlap at all between the two parties? Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on May 01, 2011, 04:49:05 AM The political picture is relatively stable right now when it comes to polls. Gallup also estimates the seats and it finds that the SPÖVP coalition would lose its parliamentary majority now. They would get 91 seats now, but the opposition already has 92 seats. Is it conceivable that a SPÖ/FPÖ coalition will be formed if there is no majority for a grand coalition? Is there any overlap at all between the two parties? I don't think so. Not with Werner Faymann as SPÖ-boss, who has always spoken out against any form of coalition with the FPÖ. It could change if Faymann steps down in the event that the SPÖ loses the 2013 election to the FPÖ and is replaced with a more-FPÖ friendly leader like Franz Voves. But if the SPÖ would really be 2nd and the FPÖ first, I don't think they would enter a coalition with them as a junior partner, because the left wing would not allow this and would probably split from the party and form a new Left Party. I think in this case the SPÖ would enter a minority government with the ÖVP, that is backed by the Greens - or even a big SPÖ/ÖVP/Green coalition. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on May 05, 2011, 12:35:39 AM New (well, not really, because it was conducted March 17 to April 22) IMAS poll:
28% SPÖ 25% ÖVP 23% FPÖ 13% Greens 8% BZÖ 3% Others http://www.imas.at/content/download/659/3100/version/1/file/12-2011.pdf Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on May 08, 2011, 12:35:48 AM New Gallup/Ö24 poll:
() () Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: ZuWo on May 08, 2011, 08:26:51 AM New Gallup/Ö24 poll: () () No big changes here ... looks like an interesing three-way race between the SPÖ, the FPÖ and the ÖVP. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on May 09, 2011, 01:33:56 AM New Market poll for the newspaper "Der Standard":
27% [-2] SPÖ 26% [+8] FPÖ 23% [-3] ÖVP 14% [+4] Greens 6% [-5] BZÖ 4% [-2] Others Historical trend: () Which parties should be in the next government: () http://derstandard.at/1304551315088/STANDARD-Umfrage-43-Prozent-wollen-die-FPOe-in-der-naechsten-Regierung Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on May 09, 2011, 01:51:18 AM New poll for the St. Pölten town council election on July 3 (the only important election this year):
Peter Hajek Public Opinion Strategies for the NÖN newspaper () http://www.noen.at/news/politik/Wahlen-Ein-Solo-fuer-Stadler;art150,45575 Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on May 13, 2011, 12:41:18 AM Bilingual place-name signs controversy settled Political leaders seem to have ended a lengthy argument considering bilingual place-name signs. Negotiators announced in Klagenfurt yesterday evening (Tues) they agreed that 164 towns and communities in the province of Carinthia will be equipped with place-name signs in both German and Slovenian. Provincial decision-makers and representatives of the Slovenian minority have been at odds over the issue for decades. Politicians have quarrelled about the number of affected towns ever since the Austrian State Treaty was agreed upon in 1955. A low point was reached in 1972 when opponents of a decree by the federal government of Social Democratic (SPÖ) Chancellor Bruno Kreisky tore down several bilingual place-name signs. Late Carinthian Freedom Party (FPÖ) and Alliance for the Future of Austria (BZÖ) Governor Jörg Haider successfully tried to delay a settlement over the years by removing the affected signs by a few metres to make aware of legal loopholes. Haider’s successor as governor of the province, Gerhard Dörfler refused to leave Haider’s uncooperative course after the right-wing spearhead’s death in 2008 before making a remarkable U-turn on the issue earlier this year. "We carried the State Treaty’s requirement over the finish line today," Dörfler – who is the deputy head of the Carinthian Freedom Party (FPK) – said at the end of yesterday’s eight-hour Marathon session of negotiations with SPÖ State Secretary Josef Ostermayer and representatives of Carinthia’s Slovenes. http://austrianindependent.com/news/Politics/2011-04-27/7314/Bilingual_place-name_signs_controversy_settled The Carinthia Freedom Party (FPK) has now decided with their absolute majority in the state government that a all-mail-in-referendum about the issue will be held between June 6 and June 12. Mail ballots will be sent to all Carinthia households in the next weeks and every citizen aged 16+ will be allowed to vote. They have to mail back the ballots until June 17 and the results will be announced a few days later. They decided to hold this referendum by mail, because it "only" costs 200.000€ Gov. Dörfler (FPK), Jörg Haider's successor, has already said that he expects the referendum to be approved by the voters and that he hopes 40% will participate. Well, I also think that Carinthians will approve it, except if they are racists ... :P Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on May 14, 2011, 12:21:11 AM New Karmasin Motivforschung poll for the newspaper "Profil":
28% SPÖ 26% FPÖ 23% ÖVP 15% Greens 4% BZÖ 4% Others Direct vote for Chancellor: 21% Faymann (SPÖ) 13% Strache (FPÖ) 12% Spindelegger (ÖVP) 8% Glawischnig (Greens) http://www.profil.at/articles/1119/560/296828/umfrage-spoe-fpoe-oevp-stelle Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on May 19, 2011, 03:04:55 PM New OGM poll for "Kurier", usually the best poll out there:
29% FPÖ 28% SPÖ 23% ÖVP 13% Greens 5% BZÖ 2% Others () Direct vote for Chancellor: 24% Faymann (SPÖ) 18% Spindelegger (ÖVP) 16% Strache (FPÖ) http://kurier.at/nachrichten/2103786.php Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: mileslunn on May 19, 2011, 07:57:41 PM New OGM poll for "Kurier", usually the best poll out there: 29% FPÖ 28% SPÖ 23% ÖVP 13% Greens 5% BZÖ 2% Others () Direct vote for Chancellor: 24% Faymann (SPÖ) 18% Spindelegger (ÖVP) 16% Strache (FPÖ) http://kurier.at/nachrichten/2103786.php Is it actually possible that either party would form a coalition with the FPO. And likewise how would the EU react to this as they have always taken a strong stance against parties on the far right. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Verily on May 19, 2011, 09:10:29 PM The OVP and FPO formed a coalition from 1999-2002. The OVP led the coalition despite coming third in the popular vote (barely), although OVP and FPO had the same number of seats. The FPO vote collapsed in 2002; the key to loosening their grip on the youth vote is probably to have them in government again.
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on May 20, 2011, 12:25:27 AM The OVP and FPO formed a coalition from 1999-2002. The OVP led the coalition despite coming third in the popular vote (barely), although OVP and FPO had the same number of seats. The FPO vote collapsed in 2002; the key to loosening their grip on the youth vote is probably to have them in government again. Which would be bad for the future development of the country. The FPÖ needs to stay in opposition, because the FPÖ in government means moving backwards and is followed by massive incompetence and corruption. As the Green MP Kogler recently said: If the FPÖ enters the next government, the Greens will look to assign 3 corruption attorneys for each FPÖ minister to clean up the mess they are producing ... :P Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on May 20, 2011, 09:07:14 AM Even the Spiegel is now reporting about the 1st place of the FPÖ and has a nice graphic:
() http://www.spiegel.de/politik/ausland/0,1518,763834,00.html Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on May 20, 2011, 09:16:48 AM There's also a new OGM trust index, which is the saldo of "having trust" and "having no trust" in various politicians:
President Heinz Fischer (SPÖ): 73% trust, 18% no trust (+55) Chancellor Werner Faymann (SPÖ): 50% trust, 41% no trust (+9) Vice-Chancellor Michael Spindelegger (ÖVP): 42% trust, 28% no trust (+14) Eva Glawischnig (Green Party leader): 39% trust, 45% no trust (-6) Heinz-Christian Strache (FPÖ leader): 32% trust, 54% no trust (-22) Josef Bucher (BZÖ leader): 30% trust, 44% no trust (-14) http://www.ogm.at/pdfs/BundespolitikerInnen_Mai11.pdf ... Plus: Currently, the ÖVP convention in Innsbruck is taking place, in which the new ÖVP boss Michael Spindelegger is currently holding his speech and later he will be voted in as new chairman. It will be interesting to see what percentage of approval he gets from the delegates. I guess he will be backed by 95-99% of the delegates. Will post the results later. http://oevp.at/index.aspx?pageid=37421 Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Insula Dei on May 20, 2011, 09:22:54 AM The OVP and FPO formed a coalition from 1999-2002. The OVP led the coalition despite coming third in the popular vote (barely), although OVP and FPO had the same number of seats. The FPO vote collapsed in 2002; the key to loosening their grip on the youth vote is probably to have them in government again. Also, in response to the question, in 1999 there was a riot about the FPÖ taking place in a coalition government and the backlash it created troughout the EU, but today most EU nations themselves have egg on their faces, as evidenced by the EU's silence on the de facto presence of Wilders in the Dutch government. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Hash on May 20, 2011, 09:25:20 AM The Falangists won 39% in Spain last time around, yet they're not on the map. The Generalissimo and his sidekick Fraga would be pissed to see all their hard work not recognized.
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on May 20, 2011, 09:45:27 AM The map is also a bit faulty when it comes to FPÖ and BZÖ.
They say that the FPÖ represents 17.5% of seats in the parliament and the BZÖ 9.2%, but in reality there are 183 seats in parliament, of which 57 seats belong to the SPÖ (31.1%), 51 seats for the ÖVP (27.9%), 37 seats for the FPÖ (20.2%), 20 seats for the Greens (10.9%), 17 seats for the BZÖ (9.3%) and 1 Independent Ex-BZÖ member (0.6%). http://www.parlinkom.gv.at/WWER/SITZPLAN/sitzplan2Nr.pdf They have mixed up election results from the FPÖ and seat percentages from the BZÖ. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on May 20, 2011, 10:32:40 AM Spindelegger was just elected as the new ÖVP boss with 95.5% of the roughly 500 delegates.
The 4 deputies are: Andrea Kaufmann (97.3%) Maria Fekter (96.9%) Reinhold Mitterlehner (95.1%) Niki Berlakovich (93.7%) Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on May 20, 2011, 11:17:15 AM Austrians are sharply opposed to a planned second bailout package for the Greeks if the 1st package should not be enough, according to the OGM poll for the Kurier:
() 26% Favor 60% Oppose Only 7% of FPÖ voters support another bailout package, while 57% of Green voters do. Only 1/5 with lower education support the package, while 47% with a high school or university degree would support another package. http://kurier.at/mmedia/2011.05.20/13059059551_5.jpg Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on May 20, 2011, 11:28:49 AM Birth rate crawls up
There have been more births in Austria in 2010 than in the previous year, it has been announced. Statistik Austria said today (Fri) that 78,742 babies came into the world in the country last year, 3.1 per cent more than in 2009. Capital city Vienna recorded the most significant increase with 4.9 per cent ahead of Salzburg (plus 4.6 per cent). The number of births rose in all nine Austrian provinces. The eastern region of Burgenland registered the slightest increase at 0.1 per cent. Statistics also show that women were an average 30.1 years old when they gave birth for the first time. The annual number of births resembles the number of people who died in Austria in 2010. Statistik Austria announced that 77,199 citizens died last year. This is a decrease of 0.2 per cent compared to 2009. The life expectancy of Austrian women ranges around 83.2 years while an age of 77.7 years has been identified for the country’s male population. Around 8.4 million people are currently living in Austria. http://austrianindependent.com/news/General_News/2011-05-20/7615/Birth_rate_crawls_up Vienna – About 8.404 million people were living in Austria on 1 January 2011 according to the final results of Statistics Austria, an increase of 28 962 people (+0.3%) in relation to the beginning of 2010. The population growth was mainly due to a positive balance of international migration (+27 695 people) and to a small extent due to a natural population increase (+1 543 people). This growth was significantly higher than in the year before (2009: +20 030 people). The number of foreign citizens in 2010 rose by 32 468 to 927 612, with their share in total population increasing to 11.0% (+0.3%). http://www.statistik.at/web_en/press/056448 In the first quarter of 2011, births have increased again by 2.3%, so we might have more than 80.000 births again this year - for the first time in more than 10 years. http://www.statistik.at/web_en/press/056264 Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on May 21, 2011, 01:33:51 AM Gallup still has the SPÖ a single point ahead of the FPÖ, but Gallup notes that the FPÖ is about to overtake the SPÖ because the FPÖ is stronger and stronger in the raw data, which means declared supporters. Gallup surveyed 800 Austrians between May 19 and 20:
() Direct vote for Chancellor: 24% Faymann (SPÖ) 21% Spindelegger (ÖVP) 17% Strache (FPÖ) http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/SPOe-haelt-Platz-1-nur-hauchduenn/28402406 Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Franzl on May 21, 2011, 02:08:04 AM The rise of the far right in Austria is troubling.
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on May 29, 2011, 12:17:02 AM The rise of the far right in Austria is troubling. The German newspaper "Zeit Online" has a new article about the FPÖ called "Heinz Christian Strache - Rise of a Hate Preacher": http://pdf.zeit.de/politik/ausland/2011-05/fpoe-oesterreich-umfragen.pdf Meanwhile, there's a new Market poll out for "Der Standard": 27% FPÖ 27% SPÖ 23% ÖVP 23% Others (not mentioned in the article) This is the highest rating for the FPÖ so far in a Market poll for Standard newspaper. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on May 31, 2011, 02:59:56 PM Right-winger resigns over 'Blood and Honour' tattoo
A right-wing politician has stepped down after a dispute considering a tattoo. Carinthian Freedom Party (FPK) Councillor Gerry Leitmann announced today (Tues) he informed Franz Felsberger, the Social Democratic (SPÖ) mayor of Ebenthal, Carinthia, about his decision to resign yesterday. Leitmann came under fire by political rivals for a tattoo saying "Blut und Ehre" (Blood and Honour) on his upper arm. Town Hall delegates saw the slogan when Leitmann turned up short-sleeved for a meeting last week. "Blut und Ehre" was the slogan and motto of the Nazis’ Hitlerjugend (Hitler Youth). The term has been used by neo-Nazis and fascists ever since. Local FPK officials acknowledged Leitmann’s decision to step down over the controversy. They argued it was the right move to spare the party from suffering in reputation. Judicial experts said today Leitmann – who promised to have the tattoo removed – could be prosecuted for breaching the federal anti-Nazi mindset law. Citizens face fines and jail terms for spreading or supporting Nazi propaganda under the bylaw which is considered being one of the most stringent in the world. The FPK was founded by former Alliance for the Future of Austria (BZÖ) members in Carinthia last year. The decision to set the faction up was preceded by a severe party-internal rift at the BZÖ which was established by late Freedom Party (FPÖ) leader Jörg Haider in 2005. http://austrianindependent.com/news/Politics/2011-05-31/7746/Right-winger_resigns_over_%27Blood_and_Honour%27_tattoo Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Iannis on June 01, 2011, 02:36:49 AM The Falangists won 39% in Spain last time around, yet they're not on the map. The Generalissimo and his sidekick Fraga would be pissed to see all their hard work not recognized. Sure, and the godless communist/anarchist the 43%, so we need a liberation war! Wake up! we are in 2011!! Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: MaxQue on June 01, 2011, 11:37:23 AM The Falangists won 39% in Spain last time around, yet they're not on the map. The Generalissimo and his sidekick Fraga would be pissed to see all their hard work not recognized. Sure, and the godless communist/anarchist the 43%, so we need a liberation war! Wake up! we are in 2011!! But the PP never really condemned Falangism. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Iannis on June 01, 2011, 04:39:55 PM The Falangists won 39% in Spain last time around, yet they're not on the map. The Generalissimo and his sidekick Fraga would be pissed to see all their hard work not recognized. Sure, and the godless communist/anarchist the 43%, so we need a liberation war! Wake up! we are in 2011!! But the PP never really condemned Falangism. I think that PP has already demonstrated its democratic level, in any occasion, and Zapatero himself recognizes this. I think that these arguments, democracy, populist parties seen as antidemocratic, are just a mass distraction for dumb people, what should i.e. FPO and Lega Nord demonstrate to be considered "normal" democratic parties, given that they have been already in power without any traumatic consequence? Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on June 02, 2011, 01:16:11 AM 3 more negative stories for the FPÖ today:
Barbara Rosenkranz, failed FPÖ presidential candidate from last year, is promoting this year's midsummer festival with an invitation card that is almost entirely a copy from a page of the NAZI book "Vorweihnachten 1942" (Pre-Christmas 1942) from the NAZI author Hans Baumann. The original from the NAZI book and the invitation card sent out from Rosenkranz: () The annual FPÖ midsummer festivals btw are meetings in secluded woods where FPÖ people are partying around bonfires and singing NAZI songs ... :P http://derstandard.at/1304553257099/Niederoesterreich-Sonnwendfeier-Einladung-mit-Anleihen-aus-Nazibuch ... In another story that came out yesterday, another FPÖ city council member from Linz (Upper Austria) has been "outed" by other council members wearing a tatoo with "Ehre-Treue-Vaterland" ("Honour-Loyalty-Homeland"). http://derstandard.at/1304553441843/Tattoo-FPOe-Mandatar-traegt-Ehre-Treue-Vaterland-am-Bauch ... And in the third, a Vienna FPÖ city council member who was holding a speech was interrupted by a Turkish-born Green MP. He then said to the Green MP: "You are superficially able to speak German, so you can talk later. You have come to OUR country to live here, so let me complete speaking and then you can talk." http://www.kleinezeitung.at/nachrichten/politik/2756101/fpoe-verbalattacke-gegen-wiener-gruen-mandatar.story Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on June 04, 2011, 12:42:21 AM There's a new OGM poll out which asks Austrians if they want to keep the Euro or want the former currency, Schilling, back:
() FPÖ voters are strongly backing a Schilling comeback, by 55-34. http://kurier.at/nachrichten/3910812.php Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Franzl on June 04, 2011, 11:10:35 AM Well that's good because there's no way out.
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on June 04, 2011, 12:55:03 PM OGM has also polled the next preferred coalition government:
() Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on June 05, 2011, 02:25:59 AM New poll for "Profil" magazine:
Do you favor or oppose that gay couples in Austria have the right to adopt children ? 50% Favor 39% Oppose 10% Undecided http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20110528_OTS0008/profil-umfrage-50-prozent-der-oesterreicher-befuerworten-adoptionsrecht-fuer-homosexuelle Currently, gays in Austria can register Civil Unions, but not adopt children. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Jackson on June 05, 2011, 03:54:01 AM Why do you elect open fascists Austria?
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Franzl on June 05, 2011, 05:04:48 AM Why do you elect open fascists Austria? I think it's always been in their blood ;) Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Antonio the Sixth on June 05, 2011, 07:24:55 AM The Falangists won 39% in Spain last time around, yet they're not on the map. The Generalissimo and his sidekick Fraga would be pissed to see all their hard work not recognized. Sure, and the godless communist/anarchist the 43%, so we need a liberation war! Wake up! we are in 2011!! But the PP never really condemned Falangism. I think that PP has already demonstrated its democratic level, in any occasion, and Zapatero himself recognizes this. I think that these arguments, democracy, populist parties seen as antidemocratic, are just a mass distraction for dumb people, what should i.e. FPO and Lega Nord demonstrate to be considered "normal" democratic parties, given that they have been already in power without any traumatic consequence? "Without any traumatic consequence" ? You're joking, right ? Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on June 10, 2011, 12:30:06 AM New Salzburg state elections poll:
37% (-2) SPÖ 35% (-2) ÖVP 15% (+2) FPÖ 11% (+4) Greens 1% (-3) BZÖ 1% (+1) Others http://regionaut.meinbezirk.at/wals-siezenheim/politik/bb-politbarometer-spoe-setzt-sich-wieder-an-die-spitze-der-regierung-m547015,76859.html Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Boris on June 10, 2011, 06:45:12 AM Tender, what does this poster mean:
() (taken with my cell phone, probably while drunk, so the quality isn't that great) Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Boris on June 10, 2011, 07:00:15 AM The rise of the far right in Austria is troubling. It's not troubling at all. Have you been to Austria, dude? The kids here - like 2nd graders - ride the subway to school. Could you imagine that in Chicago? And I can hold a beer in my hand while talking to customs agents. Can you imagine how much US agents would flip a sh**t if that were the case? This forum is absolutely retarded when it comes to deriving what a location is like based upon election results. Give me the strongest FPÖ bastion in Austria over Knott County, Kentucky any day of the week. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Franzl on June 10, 2011, 08:30:30 AM The rise of the far right in Austria is troubling. It's not troubling at all. Have you been to Austria, dude? The kids here - like 2nd graders - ride the subway to school. Could you imagine that in Chicago? And I can hold a beer in my hand while talking to customs agents. Can you imagine how much US agents would flip a sh**t if that were the case? This forum is absolutely retarded when it comes to deriving what a location is like based upon election results. Give me the strongest FPÖ bastion in Austria over Knott County, Kentucky any day of the week. I'm pretty sure I've been to Austria a lot more often than you have. And I agree with everything you wrote there. It's perfectly normal in Austria, Germany and a lot of places in Europe. Everyday life in Europe is a lot more tolerant of things that you and I like to do. Still doesn't mean the rise of the far right isn't troubling. (Actually, I think I think it was in a thread we both posted in that I stated that Vienna and Munich are probably my favorite cities in the world....and indeed, I'm going to be moving from the Frankfurt area to Munich later this year, actually.) Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Franzl on June 10, 2011, 08:49:17 AM Tender, what does this poster mean: () (taken with my cell phone, probably while drunk, so the quality isn't that great) The translation: 300,000 pigs are currently kept in body-sized cages for their entire lives. Annually, 1.3 million young pigs die under these conditions. The SPÖ controlled Health Ministry, which is responsible for animal protection, wants to reduce the maximum time in these cages to 1.5 months but the ÖVP controlled Agriculture Ministry is trying to block even this slight improvement. Please protest - now! Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on June 11, 2011, 12:31:22 AM The rise of the far right in Austria is troubling. It's not troubling at all. Have you been to Austria, dude? The kids here - like 2nd graders - ride the subway to school. Could you imagine that in Chicago? And I can hold a beer in my hand while talking to customs agents. Can you imagine how much US agents would flip a sh**t if that were the case? This forum is absolutely retarded when it comes to deriving what a location is like based upon election results. Give me the strongest FPÖ bastion in Austria over Knott County, Kentucky any day of the week. Yeah, I think Vienna is not really comparable with Chicago when it comes to security. Vienna has 1.7 Mio. people and something like 20 or 30 murders each year, while Chicago has 2.8 Mio. people but something like 300 murders each year. So, driving with the subway to school is pretty much normal for school children, because their parents have to work or are not interested to drive them through Vienna when all the streets are congested in the morning. The Vienna subways are also very secure, the SPÖ government last year introduced 2 police members to protect and drive in every night subway line. Regarding the beer, why would the customs agent have any problem with a beer in hand as long as you are not completely drunk and a hooligan demolishing the airport ? So, Boris, what else did you like/not like here and what do you think are the most important differences between Vienna and the US ? Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Franzl on June 11, 2011, 01:28:33 AM Alcohol in virtually all public locations (with the exception of bars and the like) is a rather big tabu in the U.S. and can lead to arrest.
Obviously very very unusual for people used to Germany and Austria. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on June 12, 2011, 12:50:40 AM After 3 long weeks, we have a national poll again - by Gallup for Ö24:
() Direct vote for Chancellor: () http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/Regierung-im-Plus-FPOe-holt-SPOe-ein/30972741 Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on June 14, 2011, 01:41:13 PM On Saturday, the annual FPÖ convention will take place in Graz.
Strache will be up for re-election and he will already announce his shadow cabinet for the 2013 election, in case the FPÖ wins the elections. Strache mentioned Barbara Kappel as Minister for Economy, Herbert Kickl as Minister for Social Affairs and Harald Stefan as Minister for Justice. Strache also said that he wants to become Chancellor and that he will never make the same mistake as the Haider-FPÖ in 1999/2000 and let the ÖVP get the Chancellor if the FPÖ is first or ahead of the ÖVP. The FPÖ will also unveil a new 300 page party programme at the convention. http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/FPOe-Parteitag-Strache-bringt-sein-Schattenkabinett/31116325 Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on June 17, 2011, 02:20:25 PM One day before the FPÖ convention, there's a new poll out by OGM for Kurier:
() "Do you trust the FPÖ to head the government ?" 35% Yes, 52% No, 13% Undecided "Assuming the FPÖ is in the next government, do you think they have good people for government posts ?" 24% Yes, 63% No, 13% Undecided "Which party position do you think does the FPÖ want compared with the Haider-era ?" 39% Center-Right Party 35% Far-Right Party 26% Undecided (FPÖ voters only) 68% Center-Right Party 12% Far-Right Party 20% Undecided http://kurier.at/nachrichten/3915085.php Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on June 18, 2011, 11:30:09 AM Today, the FPÖ convention took place in Graz and FPÖ-leader Strache was re-elected with more than 94% of the 700 delegates.
Only about 100 left-wing demonstrators turned out to protest the event. () Meanwhile a new Profil poll is out today: 27% FPÖ 27% SPÖ 24% ÖVP 14% Greens 4% BZÖ 4% Others Direct vote for Chancellor: 23% Faymann (SPÖ) 20% Spindelegger (ÖVP) 12% Strache (FPÖ) 5% Glawischnig (Greens) http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20110618_OTS0006/profil-umfrage-strache-erstmals-vorn Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on June 18, 2011, 11:43:50 AM These are the 10 new "commandments" of the FPÖ (deeply discussed in a 300 page book):
1. Freiheit gilt uns als höchstes Gut. Seit der bürgerlichen Revolution von 1848 dient unser Streben dem Ringen nach Freiheit und ihrer Verteidigung überall dort, wo Erreichtes wieder bedroht wird. 2. Wir sind dem Schutz unserer Heimat Österreich, unserer nationalen Identität und Eigenständigkeit sowie unserer natürlichen Lebensgrundlagen verpflichtet. 3. Die Freiheit der Bürger wird gewährleistet und geschützt durch den freiheitlichen Rechtsstaat und eine echte Solidargemeinschaft. 4. Die Familie als Gemeinschaft von Mann und Frau mit gemeinsamen Kindern ist die natürliche Keimzelle und Klammer für eine funktionierende Gesellschaft und garantiert zusammen mit der Solidarität der Generationen unsere Zukunftsfähigkeit. 5. Wir fördern Leistung in einer Marktwirtschaft mit sozialer Verantwortung, schützen das Privateigentum und stehen für eine gerechte Aufteilung von Beiträgen und Leistungen für die Allgemeinheit. 6. Das öffentliche Gesundheitswesen dient den Staatsbürgern zur bestmöglichen medizinischen Vorsorge, Versorgung und Pflege. 7. Österreich hat sein Staatsgebiet mit allen Mitteln zu schützen, seine Neutralität zu wahren und seinen Bürgern Schutz und Hilfe in allen Bedrohungsszenarien zu gewähren. 8. Umfassende Bildung, freie Wissenschaft sowie unabhängige Kunst und Kultur sind Voraussetzung für die Entfaltung einer Gesellschaft. 9. Österreichs Rolle in der Welt hat von humanitärer Verantwortung, Selbstbewusstsein und der Wahrung österreichischer Interessen getragen zu sein. 10. Ein Verbund freier Völker und selbstbestimmter Vaterländer ist Grundlage unserer Europapolitik und unserer internationalen Kontakte. http://www.wienerzeitung.at/default.aspx?tabID=3858&alias=wzo&cob=566408 I´m too lazy to translate it though ... :P Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Insula Dei on June 18, 2011, 03:28:04 PM That picture makes Strache look like an evil bastard. Seriously, couldn't he try to not look like a horribly corrupt dictator holding his speech at the party congress while being cheered by the delegates?
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Hans-im-Glück on June 19, 2011, 04:31:40 AM That picture makes Strache look like an evil bastard. Seriously, couldn't he try to not look like a horribly corrupt dictator holding his speech at the party congress while being cheered by the delegates? Maybe Strache looks like a evil bastard, because he is a bevil bastard ;D Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on June 22, 2011, 11:29:24 PM New Kronen Zeitung poll by IMAS (historically very bad pollster):
28% SPÖ 26% ÖVP 23% FPÖ 13% Greens 7% BZÖ 3% Others Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on June 24, 2011, 12:15:29 AM New Market poll for "Der Standard":
28% FPÖ 27% SPÖ 23% ÖVP 12% Greens 7% BZÖ 3% Others New Fessel-GfK poll (ÖVP-internal): 30% SPÖ 26% ÖVP 25% FPÖ 12% Greens 4% BZÖ 3% Others http://derstandard.at/1308679530932/Sonntagsfrage-Freundliches-Urteil-ueber-Blau-und-Gruen-boese-Daten-fuer-OeVP Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: bgwah on June 26, 2011, 12:20:31 AM Between the wicked hand gesture and the creepy lighting, that dude sure looks pretty evil! Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on June 26, 2011, 12:27:26 AM New Gallup poll for Ö24:
() Currently, there's an education debate here in Austria initiated by SPÖ-education minister Claudia Schmied. Schmied recently proposed a plan that would enable bad students to be promoted to the next grade, even if they have 3 failing grades in their last report card. Until now, students with only one failing grade have to repeat the whole year again. SPÖ and Greens favor the plan, and the ÖVP was also inclined to back it. But then party leader Spindelegger spoke out against it and the ÖVP switched over to oppose it. FPÖ and BZÖ are of course against the plan. The new Gallup poll for Ö24 shows a clear picture of what Austrians think about this plan: 77% are opposed to the plan 18% are in favor of the plan http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20110626_OTS0001/oesterreich-77-gegen-aufsteigen-mit-drei-nicht-genuegend Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on July 01, 2011, 06:53:55 AM New ATV Austria Trend Poll:
29% FPÖ 28% SPÖ 24% ÖVP 13% Greens 4% BZÖ 2% Others Direct vote for Chancellor: 20% Werner Faymann (SPÖ) 18% Heinz-Christian Strache (FPÖ) 11% Michael Spindelegger (ÖVP) 4% Eva Glawischnig (Greens) 1% Josef Bucher (BZÖ) http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20110701_OTS0227/atv-oesterreich-trend-fpoe-weiter-vor-spoe-oevp-deutlich-abgeschlagen Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on July 01, 2011, 11:33:02 AM Strache has now passed 100.000 fans on Facebook.
Even David Cameron has only 134.000 fans, Angela Merkel has only 94.000. Nicolas Sarkozy has 442.000 fans, but France is of course 8-times bigger than Austria. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on July 01, 2011, 11:43:02 AM Hackers attack Austria's political elite
An internationally operating group of hackers have crashed the websites of two political parties in Austria. The homepage of the Social Democrats (SPÖ) depicted the logo of the group called Anonymous last night (Thurs/Fri). The internet representation of the Freedom Party (FPÖ) and the page of SPÖ Chancellor Werner Faymann were unavailable as well. Referring to the right-wing FPÖ’s controversial policies regarding immigration issues, Anonymous announced they wanted to show the party "what it feels like to be deported." Anonymous have been attacking the internet platforms of political parties and businesses around the world for some time. Meanwhile, SPÖ Defence Minister Norbert Darabos and Austrian People’s Party (ÖVP) Interior Minister Johanna Mikl-Leitner presented plans for anti-cyber crime units. http://austrianindependent.com/news/Politics/2011-07-01/8252/Hackers_attack_Austria%27s_political_elite The SPÖ site is still down, while the FPÖ site went back online about 1 hour after the attack. :P Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: JonBidinger on July 01, 2011, 12:02:29 PM Strache has now passed 100.000 fans on Facebook. Even David Cameron has only 134.000 fans, Angela Merkel has only 94.000. Nicolas Sarkozy has 442.000 fans, but France is of course 8-times bigger than Austria. Well, if that is a measurement of anything, Nichi Vendola has 512,077 fans. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on July 01, 2011, 02:23:07 PM Strache has now passed 100.000 fans on Facebook. Even David Cameron has only 134.000 fans, Angela Merkel has only 94.000. Nicolas Sarkozy has 442.000 fans, but France is of course 8-times bigger than Austria. Well, if that is a measurement of anything, Nichi Vendola has 512,077 fans. Well, if we compare fans with votes, then Vendola has the edge. Vendola's SEL currently has about 8% support in the polls, which means that they would get about 3 Mio. votes if the election were held today. Strache's FPÖ currently has about 29% support, which would mean about 1.4 Mio. votes for him. This means that Vendola has a rate of 1:6 (facebook fans/voters), while Strache has a 1:14 rate. On the other hand, Vendola certainly has MANY fans from the PD as well, while Strache certainly only has some friends from the BZÖ, while the SPÖ/Greens/ÖVP voters will not be among them. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: JonBidinger on July 01, 2011, 03:15:40 PM See, this is the kind of interesting stuff I come here for!
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on July 02, 2011, 10:48:10 AM The only "important" election this year in Austria will take place tomorrow in St. Pölten, which is the capital of Lower Austria.
44.501 people will be eligible to vote in this town council election. 7 parties/lists will participate: Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (Bürgermeister Mag. Matthias Stadler) Österreichische Volkspartei (Ing. Matthias Adl) DIE GRÜNEN ST. PÖLTEN (Mag. Cagri Dogan) Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (Hermann Nonner) Bürgerliste FÜR - ST. PÖLTEN (Samir Kesetovic) UNABHÄNGIGE BÜRGERPLATTFORM WIR FÜR ST. PÖLTEN (Wagner Bettina) CHRISTLICHE PARTEI ÖSTERREICHS (Ing. Robin Fischer) The 2006 results were: 59.6% SPÖ 24.2% ÖVP 7.2% Greens 5.7% FPÖ 3.3% Others http://www.st-poelten.gv.at/Content.Node/buergerservice/politik/Gemeinderatswahl_neu.pdf There have been 2 polls out from May: 58-64% SPÖ 20-22% ÖVP 8-9% Greens 6-8% FPÖ 2-3% Others http://www.noen.at/lokales/noe-uebersicht/stpoelten/aktuell/wahl/NOeN-Umfrage-So-waehlen-die-St-Poeltner;art8806,46328 http://www.heute.at/news/oesterreich/noe/St-Poelten-Hat-SP-Sieg-schon-sicher-;art932,560458 Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on July 03, 2011, 12:40:03 PM St. Pölten has voted and the results are:
44.501 eligible voters 25.816 votes were cast (Turnout: 58%) 25.293 votes were valid 14.357 votes - 56.8% - SPÖ 6.396 votes - 25.3% - ÖVP 2.708 votes - 10.7% - FPÖ 1.235 votes - 4.9% - Greens 299 votes - 1.2% - Wir für St. Pölten 175 votes - 0.7% - Bürgerliste - Für St. Pölten 123 votes - 0.5% - CPÖ Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on July 05, 2011, 06:01:28 AM The public opinion institute SORA that used to conduct exit polls and analysis for Austrian elections in the past 20 years, has filed for bankruptcy today:
http://www.wirtschaftsblatt.at/home/oesterreich/branchen/sora-schlittert-in-die-insolvenz-479310/index.do Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Jens on July 05, 2011, 07:22:04 AM St. Pölten has voted and the results are: 44.501 eligible voters 25.816 votes were cast (Turnout: 58%) 25.293 votes were valid 14.357 votes - 56.8% - SPÖ 6.396 votes - 25.3% - ÖVP 2.708 votes - 10.7% - FPÖ 1.235 votes - 4.9% - Greens 299 votes - 1.2% - Wir für St. Pölten 175 votes - 0.7% - Bürgerliste - Für St. Pölten 123 votes - 0.5% - CPÖ Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on July 05, 2011, 08:23:09 AM St. Pölten has voted and the results are: 44.501 eligible voters 25.816 votes were cast (Turnout: 58%) 25.293 votes were valid 14.357 votes - 56.8% - SPÖ 6.396 votes - 25.3% - ÖVP 2.708 votes - 10.7% - FPÖ 1.235 votes - 4.9% - Greens 299 votes - 1.2% - Wir für St. Pölten 175 votes - 0.7% - Bürgerliste - Für St. Pölten 123 votes - 0.5% - CPÖ They had a Turkish front-runner. Bradly-effect, you know. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Jens on July 05, 2011, 12:41:05 PM St. Pölten has voted and the results are: 44.501 eligible voters 25.816 votes were cast (Turnout: 58%) 25.293 votes were valid 14.357 votes - 56.8% - SPÖ 6.396 votes - 25.3% - ÖVP 2.708 votes - 10.7% - FPÖ 1.235 votes - 4.9% - Greens 299 votes - 1.2% - Wir für St. Pölten 175 votes - 0.7% - Bürgerliste - Für St. Pölten 123 votes - 0.5% - CPÖ They had a Turkish front-runner. Bradly-effect, you know. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on July 10, 2011, 12:25:10 AM According to a new Gallup/Ö24 poll, only 17% of Austrians want the monarchy back - while 66% are opposed.
Support is higher in Eastern Austria (Lower Austria, Vienna, Burgenland) with 22% support. 60% of the voters also want a big state funeral for Otto Habsburg, who recently died at 98. http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20110710_OTS0001/oesterreich-17-prozent-wuenschen-sich-kaiser-zurueck Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on July 10, 2011, 03:15:19 AM New Gallup/Ö24 poll:
28% (+1) SPÖ 27% (nc) FPÖ 24% (+1) ÖVP 14% (-1) Greens 4% (nc) BZÖ 3% (-1) Others http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20110710_OTS0008/oesterreich-umfrage-spoe-erstmals-wieder-allein-auf-platz-1 Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on July 16, 2011, 02:39:27 AM New Karmasin Motivforschung poll for the newspaper "Profil":
27% FPÖ 27% SPÖ 23% ÖVP 14% Greens 6% BZÖ 3% Others Direct vote for Chancellor: 22% Werner Faymann (SPÖ) 16% Michael Spindelegger (ÖVP) 15% Heinz-Christian Strache (FPÖ) 7% Eva Glawischnig (Greens) http://www.profil.at/articles/1128/560/301940/sonntagsfrage-umfrage-fpoe-27-spoe-27-oevp-23-die-gruenen-14-bzoe-6 New IMAS poll: 27% SPÖ 24% FPÖ 24% ÖVP 14% Greens 6% BZÖ 5% Others http://www.imas.at/content/download/665/3118/version/1/file/18-2011.pdf Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on July 26, 2011, 12:29:11 PM New Carinthia poll by the Humaninstitut Klagenfurt:
40% FPK-FPÖ 32% SPÖ 10% ÖVP 7% Greens 6% BZÖ 5% Others http://diepresse.com/home/politik/innenpolitik/681046/Umfrage_FPK-kaeme-derzeit-auf-40-Prozent Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: republicanism on July 27, 2011, 11:34:43 PM I've been wondering for quite some time now where BZÖ vote comes from today. It is no longer the Carinthian regional party, and the Muslim haters are all with HC Strache now, aren't they? I don't see what role they can play in Austrian party system. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on July 28, 2011, 12:59:13 AM I've been wondering for quite some time now where BZÖ vote comes from today. It is no longer the Carinthian regional party, and the Muslim haters are all with HC Strache now, aren't they? I don't see what role they can play in Austrian party system. I think the BZÖ vote these days comes only from ÖVP/SPÖ voters who are temporarily unsatisfied with the government style. I think the BZÖ will be unable to mobilize in the 2013 parliamentary elections and fall below the 4% barrier, because most of their current voters will either go back to the ÖVP or SPÖ or even the FPÖ. In the next state elections, the BZÖ will again fail to get into state parliaments. That means they will likely exist for another few years like the LIF did and then they will dissolve because of financial problems. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on July 30, 2011, 03:06:58 AM First poll after the Oslo attacks and the expulsion of MP Werner Königshofer from the FPÖ:
Gallup/Ö24 (400 people polled, July 28/29) 28% (+1) SPÖ 26% (-1) FPÖ 23% (-1) ÖVP 15% (+1) Greens 4% (nc) BZÖ 4% (nc) Others http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20110730_OTS0003/oesterreich-umfrage-fpoe-erstmals-wieder-mit-leichtem-minus Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on August 02, 2011, 01:04:04 AM New Lower Austria state elections poll by the independent Lower Austria pollster SOZAB:
() SOZAB also asked Lower Austrians about other issues: * 65% would pay more for electricity from renewable energy, if nuclear energy is phased out * 62% are against abolishing the army draft * 59% are against the Austrian bailout for Greece http://kurier.at/nachrichten/niederoesterreich/4065944.php This means the state has even gone further to the Right in the previous 3 years. 1% Others means support for the CPÖ, BZÖ and KPÖ. Therefore 70% of Lower Austrians would currently vote for a Center-Right or Far-Right party. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on August 02, 2011, 01:07:46 AM The 16% for the state-FPÖ would also match the result of the 1998 state election, 1 year before the FPÖ placed 2nd with 27% in the Austrian Parliamentary Election of 1999.
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: ZuWo on August 02, 2011, 03:55:33 AM New Lower Austria state elections poll by the independent Lower Austria pollster SOZAB: () SOZAB also asked Lower Austrians about other issues: * 65% would pay more for electricity from renewable energy, if nuclear energy is phased out * 62% are against abolishing the army draft * 59% are against the Austrian bailout for Greece http://kurier.at/nachrichten/niederoesterreich/4065944.php This means the state has even gone further to the Right in the previous 3 years. 1% Others means support for the CPÖ, BZÖ and KPÖ. Therefore 70% of Lower Austrians would currently vote for a Center-Right or Far-Right party. Good news for the ÖVP, apparently, since this poll suggests that they're going to retain their majority while they're struggling in national polls. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on August 02, 2011, 04:11:53 AM New Lower Austria state elections poll by the independent Lower Austria pollster SOZAB: () SOZAB also asked Lower Austrians about other issues: * 65% would pay more for electricity from renewable energy, if nuclear energy is phased out * 62% are against abolishing the army draft * 59% are against the Austrian bailout for Greece http://kurier.at/nachrichten/niederoesterreich/4065944.php This means the state has even gone further to the Right in the previous 3 years. 1% Others means support for the CPÖ, BZÖ and KPÖ. Therefore 70% of Lower Austrians would currently vote for a Center-Right or Far-Right party. Good news for the ÖVP, apparently, since this poll suggests that they're going to retain their majority while they're struggling in national polls. It will be very important for the Coalition parties (SPÖVP) to get good results in the 2013 state elections. Before the Parliamentary Elections in September/October 2013, there will be 2 state elections in Lower Austria (probably in March 2013) and in Tyrol (probably in June 2013), in which the ÖVP currently holds huge majorities or pluralities. The FPÖ is historically not in good shape in these 2 states, but if they manage to get results close to the state election results in the late 90s, it might point to massive losses of the Coalition parties in the fall elections. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on August 02, 2011, 04:32:36 AM The FPÖ meanwhile has scandal after scandal:
The AUF, which is the FPÖ Police Union in Austria, has recently sent out a mail titled "Schwerarbeit – Was ist darunter zu verstehen ?" ("Heavy Labor - What does it mean ?"). On 2 pages the AUF argues that police work is "heavy labor" and that therefore they want 6 days of more annual vacation for the police officers and a retirement age starting at 57. Together with this picture in the mail: () The Mauthausen-Komitee Österreich (MKÖ) knows that the picture is called "Arbeit in der Gießerei" from the Concentration camp survivor Etienne van Ploeg. It's currently in the museum of the KZ Sachsenhausen. You can also clearly see that the dresses of the "workers" are dresses of KZ inmates and you can see a man with a NAZI dress in the background. Robert Rathammer, AUF-boss, tried to explain the picture: "It`s a painting from an artist and it has nothing to do with National-Socialism. We got the picture from an Upper Austrian comrade and therefore I think it shows steel workers at the VOEST* plant." (*The VOEST plant is a big steel plant in Linz, Upper Austria) http://www.heute.at/news/politik/Blaue-Gewerkschafter-vergleichen-Polizei-Job-mit-KZ-Zwangsarbeit;art422,584327 Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on August 02, 2011, 04:55:49 AM And the next FPÖ scandal:
Uwe Scheuch, FPK/FPÖ boss in Carinthia, has been found guilty of corruption and bribery today at the court in Klagenfurt. He has been sentenced to 1.5 years in prison. In 2009, Scheuch wanted money from a Russian business owner to fund the BZÖ/FPK/FPÖ campaigns, in exchange of the Austrian citizenship for this Russian business owner. This telephone call has been recorded then. Scheuch will appeal the ruling, but if found guilty again, he will lose his FPK leadership title and also the title of Vice-Governor of Carinthia. http://derstandard.at/1311802482732/Part-of-the-game-Uwe-Scheuch-schuldig-gesprochen Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on August 04, 2011, 12:06:54 PM Here is a more detailed article about the case:
A controversial right-winger has been sentenced to six months behind bars. () Carinthian Freedom Party (FPK) boss and Deputy Governor of Carinthia Uwe Scheuch said after the trial at the Provincial Court of Klagenfurt yesterday (Tues) he would fight "this utterly wrongful conviction." His lawyer Dieter Böhmdorfer – a former federal Freedom Party (FPÖ) justice minister – informed judge Christian Liebhauser-Karl that his client wanted to appeal the verdict. This means that the sentence of six months in jail with another 12 months on suspension is not legally binding yet. Liebhauser-Karl – who found Scheuch guilty of unjust enrichment – branded corruption as a "cancerous ulcer that has to be combated." Prosecutors decided to take Scheuch to court after a tape seemed to suggest that he offered political interference in exchange for a donation to his party. A businessman secretly recorded a phone conversation with the former FPÖ MP in 2009. Weekly magazine News published the tape on which Scheuch told his conversation partner he could help a Russian entrepreneur to Austrian citizenship if the party he was part of at that time "benefited in some way." Scheuch suggested a donation to the Alliance for the Future of Austria (BZÖ) if the Russian businessman decided to invest around five million Euros into projects in the province of Carinthia which were, according to Scheuch, planned and ready to be realised. In the conservation, Scheuch said in English that Austrian citizenship would be "part of the game." The Provincial High Court of Styria is now set to consider Scheuch’s appeal. A spokeswoman for juridical authorities in Graz explained today a decision could be expected for the end of this year. Scheuch reiterated today he would not resign from any of his political functions due to the first-instance verdict. The FPK’s partner in the provincial parliament in Klagenfurt has turned its back on the right-wing faction over the court’s decision. Josef Martinz, head of the Carinthian department of the People’s Party (ÖVP) said the coalition was "put on hold" until the appeal court made its decision. The ÖVP’s move means the Carinthian parliament’s other factions could overrule any kind of political plans brought forward by the FPK. Rolf Holub, head of the Greens in Carinthia, said he appreciated yesterday’s verdict. "It proves that Austria is still a functioning constitutional state," he said. Holub has been heading a special Klagenfurt parliamentary commission investigating the near collapse of former Carinthian provincial bank Hypo Group Alpe Adria (HGAA). Several current and former FPK decision-makers are held responsible for the dismal state the bank was in when the federal government coalition of Social Democrats (SPÖ) and the ÖVP decided to nationalise it in December 2009. Business magazines claimed late FPÖ boss Jörg Haider and other political leaders in the southern province used the bank’s assets to finance spectacular tourism projects and various endeavours they hoped to benefit from themselves. Prosecutors and anti-corruption experts in Austria, Croatia and Germany are still trying to find out who was behind allegedly illicit deals around HGAA. The SPÖ claimed the court’s decision meant it was "game over" for Scheuch, while federal ÖVP General Secretary Hannes Rauch claimed the former close ally of Haider disqualified himself from being in charge in politics. Most rivals of the former member of the federal parliament (MP) called on him to step down. Analysts have said the verdict would have a considerable impact on federal politics due to Scheuch’s ties with FPÖ boss Heinz-Christian Strache. The Carinthian politician was the driving force behind last year’s split within the BZÖ. Most members of the Carinthian branch of the BZÖ followed Scheuch when he decided to leave the right-wing party in 2009. Scheuch and his political partners officially founded the FPK the following year and Strache offered a warm "Welcome back!" to his former rival as the right-wingers also agreed to cooperate in the federal parliament. Political experts were at odds at that time over whether the FPÖ would benefit from the partnership with the ex-BZÖ members. There were also different points of view about what the cooperation would mean for the BZÖ. Carinthia is the stronghold of the party headed by Josef Bucher. However, the BZÖ is extremely weak elsewhere in Austria. It may not make the four per cent hurdle in the upcoming federal ballot. The BZÖ was established by Haider six years ago. It almost failed to enter the federal parliament the following year before sensationally bagging 10.7 per cent in 2008 when Haider fronted its campaign. The infamous right-winger died in a drink-driving crash near Klagenfurt a few weeks after the election. Strache hoped partnering up with the FPK would boost his own party’s power and influence in Carinthia. Some FPÖ members were highly sceptical about pooling forces with Scheuch’s team, but Strache nevertheless gave the cooperation his thumbs up. Some experts claimed the FPÖ might do better in the next federal vote – which is scheduled for 2013 – because of the FPK. However, they also warned a growing number of voters supporting the political centre would deny it the capability of taking responsibility in federal politics. Strache made clear at a federal party summit in Graz in April he was willing and ready to become chancellor. The right-winger called on the federal SPÖ-ÖVP coalition to stop "dispossessing" Austrians while millions of Euros were transferred to economically challenged Eurozone member Greece. Strache – whose party is seen as ahead of all of its competitors by many research groups – focused on criticising immigrants over their alleged refusal to integrate in Austria. While not saying a word about Germans, the largest group of immigrants in Austria, the FPÖ boss called on a stop to the immigration of people from "Islam-dominated" countries. Various non-government organisations (NGOs) and left-wing rivals attacked the FPÖ for bluntly linking rising crime rates with increasing immigration activity. Scheuch always represented the FPÖ’s far-right branch when he was a member of the party. His ideology regarding immigration and integration issues was one of the main reasons behind the surprising reconciliation with Strache and the FPÖ. Several top-tier BZÖ officials like Ewald Stadler and former chairman Peter Westenthaler are still engaging in campaigns against "mass immigration" while Bucher aims at more modest approaches. The influence of Stadler and Westenthaler was identified as a decisive ground against a partnership between the BZÖ and the Green Party by Eva Glawischnig. The chief of the Greens recently made clear his faction would not form a coalition with the SPÖ and the BZÖ as long as representatives of the far-right like Stadler and Westenthaler had their say in the BZÖ. Polls have shown that a coalition of these three parties could be possible after the 2013 ballot. A partnership of the SPÖ, the BZÖ and the Greens would force the ÖVP to withdraw to the opposition. The conservative party headed by Foreign Minister Michael Spindelegger has been part of federal coalitions for 25 years. Both the SPÖ and the ÖVP have to brace themselves for immense losses in the next general election, according to experts. The conviction of Scheuch comes only weeks after ÖVP Member of the European Parliament (MEP) Ernst Strasser stepped down. The ex-interior minister’s alleged willingness to commit corruptive actions was exposed by investigative journalists in March. Reporters of the Sunday Times secretly filmed Strasser when he offered to get active politically in favour of a company in exchange for money. Strasser – who described himself as a lobbyist in the spoof meetings with the undercover reporters – reportedly demanded 100,000 Euros for his "services" in the European Parliament (EP) in Strasbourg, France. Strasser could be in court for corruption. He denied any wrongdoings. Investigations by Austrian and European Union (EU) investigators are ongoing. Another high-profile politician who could be prosecuted for corruption is independent MEP Hans-Peter Martin. The EP is set to decide in a few months’ time whether the political immunity of the former journalist and book author would be lifted. Martin is accused of MEP Martin Ehrenhauser, a former political partner, of using around one million Euros of funds his faction received from the state for private means. Martin said he could vote in favour of an abolition of the immunity he enjoyed as MEP himself to prove his innocence. http://austrianindependent.com/news/Politics/2011-08-03/8624/Scheuch_%27game_over%27_ups_pressure_on_Strache Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on August 05, 2011, 02:54:49 PM The right-wingers are finally losing a bit in the latest Market poll for the "Standard":
29% (+2) SPÖ 25% (-3) FPÖ 25% (+2) ÖVP 12% (nc) Greens 6% (-1) BZÖ 3% (nc) Others http://derstandard.at/1311802846410/Sonntagsfrage-FPOe-faellt-in-Umfrage-deutlich-zurueck Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Filuwaúrdjan on August 05, 2011, 02:58:47 PM For the benefit of those that don't follow Austrian politics that closely, the results of the last election:
SPÖ 29.7, ÖVP 25.6, FPÖ 18.0, Greens 9.8, BZÖ 11.0 Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on August 05, 2011, 03:02:20 PM For the benefit of those that don't follow Austrian politics that closely, the results of the last election: SPÖ 29.7, ÖVP 25.6, FPÖ 18.0, Greens 9.8, BZÖ 11.0 Slight correction. The final results (http://wahl08.bmi.gv.at) were: 29.3 SPÖ 26.0 ÖVP 17.5 FPÖ 10.7 BZÖ 10.4 Greens 2.1 LIF 1.8 FRITZ 0.8 KPÖ 0.7 RETTÖ 0.6 CPÖ 0.1 Others Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Filuwaúrdjan on August 05, 2011, 03:04:42 PM For the benefit of those that don't follow Austrian politics that closely, the results of the last election: SPÖ 29.7, ÖVP 25.6, FPÖ 18.0, Greens 9.8, BZÖ 11.0 Slight correction. The final results (http://wahl08.bmi.gv.at) were: 29.3 SPÖ 26.0 ÖVP 17.5 FPÖ 10.7 BZÖ 10.4 Greens 2.1 LIF 1.8 FRITZ 0.8 KPÖ 0.7 RETTÖ 0.6 CPÖ 0.1 Others Ah, yes; they updated them for the postal votes or something, right? Third time that's caught me out now. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on August 05, 2011, 03:09:07 PM For the benefit of those that don't follow Austrian politics that closely, the results of the last election: SPÖ 29.7, ÖVP 25.6, FPÖ 18.0, Greens 9.8, BZÖ 11.0 Slight correction. The final results (http://wahl08.bmi.gv.at) were: 29.3 SPÖ 26.0 ÖVP 17.5 FPÖ 10.7 BZÖ 10.4 Greens 2.1 LIF 1.8 FRITZ 0.8 KPÖ 0.7 RETTÖ 0.6 CPÖ 0.1 Others Ah, yes; they updated them for the postal votes or something, right? Third time that's caught me out now. Yeah, if you click on the left side of the page on the button "Briefwahl (Österreich)", you can see the results of the postal vote alone. "Wahlkarten (Österreich)" means "absentee ballots", but they were already included in the election night returns. And "Briefwahl + Wahlkarten" means results of "postal votes and absentee ballots combined". Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on August 05, 2011, 03:29:23 PM I´ve also found a new Gallup poll for Ö24, which will be published tomorrow:
28% (nc) SPÖ 25% (-1) FPÖ 24% (+1) ÖVP 15% (nc) Greens 5% (+1) BZÖ 3% (-1) Others http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20110805_OTS0158/oesterreich-umfrage-fpoe-faellt-nach-scheuch-urteil-zurueck Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on August 06, 2011, 01:40:01 AM New Karmasin Motivforschung poll for "Profil":
Do you favor or oppose banning the Burqa (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Burqa) ? 71% Favor 23% Oppose 6% Undecided http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20110806_OTS0005/profil-umfrage-mehrheit-der-oesterreicher-fuer-burkaverbot Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on August 06, 2011, 10:18:14 AM More from todays Gallup poll, corruption and Uwe Scheuch:
Do you think Austrian politicians are corrupt ? 71% Yes 15% No Do you think that corruption in Austrian politics has increased in recent years ? 72% Yes 5% No Do you think that Austrian politicians who were found guilty of corruption should go to jail ? 86% Yes Which Austrian party do you think is most prone to corruption ? 29% FPÖ 14% SPÖ 13% ÖVP 8% BZÖ 2% Greens Uwe Scheuch (FPK leader in Carinthia) has been found guilty of corruption. He has refused to step down from his posts until his appeal to the ruling is reviewed by a higher court. Do you think that Scheuch should step down from his posts or that he should wait ? 74% step down immediately 13% wait for the court of appeals http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20110806_OTS0027/oesterreich-71-halten-unsere-politiker-fuer-korrupt Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Filuwaúrdjan on August 06, 2011, 12:01:17 PM Not good numbers on that issue for a protest party that is as blatantly one as the FPÖ.
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on August 06, 2011, 02:10:59 PM Not good numbers on that issue for a protest party that is as blatantly one as the FPÖ. In 2 years, nobody will know the scandals of this year, so the FPÖ still has some room to grow. Just think about early last year before the Presidential election when the FPÖ also polled 25%, then Rosenkranz came with her statements and lost the election by a wide margin, the FPÖ fell to about 20% and then after the moderate austerity package was passed by the government it gained ground and almost reached 30%. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on August 06, 2011, 02:25:38 PM The FPÖ is currently already very consolidated on a high level, so you won't see them collapse much further. I have found a new OGM poll for the newspaper "Heute", in which only 13% of FPÖ voters say the recent FPÖ scandals will have a negative impact for the party's future. 77% of FPÖ voters say there will be no impact.
On the other hand, 43% of ÖVP voters say the scandals will have a negative impact and 68% of SPÖ voters and 69% of Green voters. 51% of women and 60% of men agree. http://www.heute.at/news/politik/Juengste-FP-Skandale-schaden-H-C-Strache;art422,585625 Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on August 08, 2011, 01:36:32 AM The FPÖ really has a "bad" run right now (not that I mind it ... ;)):
Quote Wien - In Österreich verbreitet eine Facebook-Gruppe mit dem programmatischen Titel 'Türkei nicht in die EU' menschenverachtende Parolen. Da wird zum 'Abschlachten' von Muslimen aufgerufen, der 'Bombenregen auf islamischen Boden' und Giftgas werden als probate Mittel angepriesen, um Europa vor vermeintlicher 'Überfremdung' zu bewahren. Solche Vernichtungsphantasien, den Parolen des NS-Regimes verwandt, sind führenden Mitgliedern der Freiheitlichen Partei Österreichs (FPÖ) nicht prekär genug, um sie davon abzuhalten, bei dieser Internetgruppe dabei zu sein. Der FPÖ-Vorsitzende Heinz-Christian Strache firmierte gar als einer von drei Administratoren der Seite - ohne sein Zutun und Wissen, wie die FPÖ-Führung eilig versichern lässt. Die Administratoren-Position wurde umgehend aufgehoben. Gleichwohl bestreitet niemand, dass Strache und eine ganze Riege führender FPÖ-Mitglieder in dieser Gruppe mitmachen, in der der Gruß '88' als Verschlüsselung von 'Heil Hitler' gang und gäbe ist. Nun sehen sich die Sozialdemokraten in Wien bestärkt, auf Bundesebene keine Koalitionen mit der FPÖ einzugehen, eines der wenigen eindeutigen Bekenntnisse des Bundeskanzlers Werner Faymann. Die ÖVP wird aufgefordert, endlich ihre offene Haltung, gegebenenfalls sehr wohl mit der FPÖ zu koalieren, abzulegen. Parteichef Michael Spindelegger will sich aber auch jetzt nicht festlegen. Das eigene Verhalten durchkreuzt Bemühungen des Parteichefs Strache und seiner Führungskader, die FPÖ vom Ruch des offenen Rechtsradikalismus zu befreien und in ein moderateres rechtes Fahrwasser zu bringen. Vor kurzem erst hat sich die Partei eines Tiroler Mitgliedes entledigt, das den norwegischen Massenmord vor wenigen Wochen damit relativierte, dass die Abtreibung in Europa ein viel größeres Verbrechen darstelle, und Muslime bei Attentaten viel mehr Menschen umgebracht hätten als der norwegische Täter. Für die FPÖ sitzt Susanne Winter, ebenfalls Mitglied der kruden Internetplattform, im Wiener Parlament, obwohl sie wegen Volksverhetzung verurteilt wurde. http://www.sueddeutsche.de/u5X38X/139195/FPOe-Politiker-in-radikaler-Grupp.html Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on August 08, 2011, 01:42:48 AM What the article says:
It has been revealed that FPÖ-leader Strache is one of 3 admins on a Anti-Muslim Facebook group ("No Turkey in the EU") that advocates the "slaughtering of Muslims" and calls for a "bomb rain on Muslim soil". It also says that "poison gas is an appropriate tool of keeping Europe safe from foreign Muslim infiltration". The members of the site greeted themselves with the code "88" and so on. Strache meanwhile said that he had nothing to do with the site and that he cannot control every Facebook group that is set up and uses his name ... Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on August 11, 2011, 02:03:19 AM New poll about abortions in Austria:
62% of Austrians are in favor that abortions should be performed in every Austrian hospital, while 28% think the current 30 or so hospitals and private medical practices are sufficient. http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20110811_OTS0014/profil-umfrage-haelfte-der-oesterreicher-fuer-eine-ehe-light Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on August 11, 2011, 03:07:34 AM The SPÖ-lead is increasing in the latest Profil poll by Karmasin Motivforschung:
29% [+2] SPÖ 24% [-3] FPÖ 23% [nc] ÖVP 15% [+1] Greens 5% [-1] BZÖ 4% [+1] Others Direct vote for Chancellor: 23% Werner Faymann (SPÖ) 16% Michael Spindelegger (ÖVP) 12% Heinz-Christian Strache (FPÖ) 7% Eva Glawischnig (Greens) http://www.profil.at/articles/1132/560/304166/sonntagsfrage-umfrage-spoe-oevp-platz Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on August 17, 2011, 09:03:17 AM As I have predicted before, the FPÖ has probably bottomed out after dropping a few points in the recent "scandalous" weeks. New poll by IMAS out today:
26% SPÖ 25% FPÖ 25% ÖVP 13% Greens 5% BZÖ 6% Others http://diepresse.com/home/politik/innenpolitik/686143/Umfrage_SPOe-OeVP-und-FPOe-liegen-Kopf-an-Kopf Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on August 21, 2011, 01:29:12 AM New Gallup poll out today:
() Approval ratings of Austrian party leaders (left) and direct vote for Chancellor (right): () http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/Strache-fuer-58-Minus-Mann/37890725 Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on August 22, 2011, 05:25:46 AM A few OGM polls out today:
66% of Austrians are in favor of a constitutional balanced budget amendment ("Schuldenbremse"). 65% oppose a future joint economic government of the EU and cede more powers to Brussels. 63% oppose opening stores on Sundays for shopping, just 29% are in favor. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on September 02, 2011, 01:31:16 AM A new corruption scandal involving Eurofighter contractors, the Telekom Austria, lobbyists and former cabinet members of the ÖVP-FPÖ-BZÖ government between 2000 and 2006 is now dragging down ÖVP-FPÖ-BZÖ, according to a new Gallup poll:
() () () 78% of Austrians now favor a parliamentary committee of inquiry for the Telekom-scandal. The ÖVP is now also speculating that the SPÖ could trigger early elections, because the scandal is dragging the former ÖVP-FPÖ-BZÖ government down in the polls and they see a chance to win the elections. Other than that, the SPÖVP coalition is currently in a cold war concerning draft abolition, taxes on the rich etc. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on September 02, 2011, 01:54:15 AM Wow, the Schüssel government (2000-2006) was even more corrupt than I thought. But this is what you get when you elect a right-winger government.
Ö24 lists the sums that were channelled by lobbyists to ÖVP-FPÖ-BZÖ government officials and partys during 2000-2006: 84 Mio. € - Eurofighter consortium (Bergner, Plattner and Schön) 25 Mio. € - Telekom Austria (Hochegger, Gorbach) 10 Mio. € - BUWOG (Grasser, Meischberger, Hochegger) 6 Mio. € - ÖBB (Hochegger, Huber) 4 Mio. € - Wireless Licenses (Menssdorff-Pouilly) 2 Mio. € - Asfinag (Reichhold) Hopefully ÖVP-FPÖ-BZÖ can be permanently damaged with this in the next 2 years, so that SPÖ-Green gets near 45-50%. http://kurier.at/nachrichten/4145969.php http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/Eurofighter-84-Mio-Schmiergeld-an-Politiker/39159368 Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Franzl on September 02, 2011, 02:41:43 AM Ah, right, that's "what you get" for nit voting left-wing. There's never corruption among them.
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on September 04, 2011, 01:24:06 PM A few new polls out today:
Market/Standard: 28% SPÖ 25% ÖVP 25% FPÖ 12% Greens 6% BZÖ 4% Others Direct vote for Chancellor: 30% Faymann (SPÖ) 18% Spindelegger (ÖVP) 8% Strache (FPÖ) http://derstandard.at/1315005434831/Market-Umfrage-Umfrage-staerkt-Faymanns-Position Trend Chart: () There's also a new Upper Austria state elections poll by IMAS: () http://www.krone.at/Nachrichten/OOe_Auf_Siegeszug_der_Landes-VP_folgt_nun_Absturz-Krone-Umfrage-Story-295080 Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on September 05, 2011, 09:57:14 AM Former Austrian chancellor resigns amid corruption scandal
Austria's former chancellor, Wolfgang Schüssel, has ended his political career as a corruption scandal continues to unfold around him. Schüssel said he gave up his seat in parliament to make the investigation easier. () Former Austrian Chancellor Wolfgang Schüssel announced his resignation from politics on Monday. This means giving up his seat in the Austrian parliament, which he intends to do by the end of the week. Schüssel was chancellor of Austria from 2000 to 2007 and headed two controversial cabinets. In recent weeks, there has been plenty of media speculation that Schüssel or associates from his Austrian People's Party (ÖVP) were involved in cases of corruption where companies, including Telekom Austria, allegedly made payments to politicians. The former chancellor maintains his innocence and said Monday that he only resigned to make it easier for the Austrian judicial system to come to an objective conclusion in the case. "No one, including me, can exclude that my trust was betrayed or abused by someone," said Schüssel. "No one would regret it more than me [if that were the case]. That's why we need total clarity on this issue." Schüssel spent a total of 32 years in the Austrian parliament and served as the head of the Austrian People's Party from 1995 through the end of his time as chancellor. http://www.dw-world.de/dw/article/0,,15365554,00.html Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on September 09, 2011, 07:09:47 AM Christine Marek, head of the ever-shrinking Vienna ÖVP, surprisingly stepped down today.
It has became known recently that the Vienna ÖVP fell below 10% in internal polling ... :P Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Franzl on September 09, 2011, 07:10:52 AM Christine Marek, head of the ever-shrinking Vienna ÖVP, surprisingly stepped down today. It has became known recently that the Vienna ÖVP fell below 10% in internal polling ... :P Got any recent Vienna polls? That would be quite interesting. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on September 09, 2011, 07:15:22 AM Christine Marek, head of the ever-shrinking Vienna ÖVP, surprisingly stepped down today. It has became known recently that the Vienna ÖVP fell below 10% in internal polling ... :P Got any recent Vienna polls? That would be quite interesting. Vienna is rarely polled after a state election. If it is, then the polls are "internals" from the parties. But there was a Profil poll from June/July, which was not an internal and they had the ÖVP below 10%: http://diepresse.com/home/panorama/wien/rathauskeller/681081/UmfragenKrieg_Wie-schlecht-geht-es-der-VP-wirklich Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on September 09, 2011, 08:44:01 AM With Christine Marek now out as ÖVP-Vienna-boss, 3 people are now traded as new party leaders:
Fritz Aichinger () Isabella Leeb () Manfred Juraczka () ... I guess Aichinger is the most likely new party leader, followed by Leeb and Juraczka. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on September 09, 2011, 11:14:46 AM I´m already looking forward to the next federal polls !
I guess the ÖVP will be moving back down to about 20%, while the SPÖ should get about 30% now. :) Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Franzl on September 09, 2011, 11:17:09 AM I´m already looking forward to the next federal polls ! I guess the ÖVP will be moving back down to about 20%, while the SPÖ should get about 30% now. :) Really? I thought SPÖ, ÖVP and FPÖ were all about even at this point. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on September 09, 2011, 11:23:26 AM I´m already looking forward to the next federal polls ! I guess the ÖVP will be moving back down to about 20%, while the SPÖ should get about 30% now. :) Really? I thought SPÖ, ÖVP and FPÖ were all about even at this point. Yeah, but that was before the recent developments incl. the connection of various former ÖVP/FPÖ/BZÖ members in corruption and lobbying scandals and the Vienna-ÖVP turmoil. Also, the SPÖ has gone populist in the recent week, with proposing a 0.3-0.7% wealth tax on people with more than 1 Mio. € in personal assets - to help pay down the federal debt, reduce the budget deficit and invest in education and care. This wealth tax is backed by 70%+ of Austrians. I would be surprised if the upcoming polls are not changing ... Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Franzl on September 09, 2011, 11:29:53 AM Kind of depends what counts as wealth....as to whether or not I would support such a measure.
Not opposed on principle, but I usually find such proposals to be pretty stupid in practice. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on September 09, 2011, 11:43:54 AM Kind of depends what counts as wealth....as to whether or not I would support such a measure. Not opposed on principle, but I usually find such proposals to be pretty stupid in practice. Well, according to SPÖ plans only capital and real estate. Personal belongings like jewelry should not be among it. After all, Austria is a save haven for millionaires. Austria is among the countries in the world with the most millionaires per capita, slightly behind Switzerland and oil producing gulf countries. The number of millionaires here increased by about 10% last year as did their wealth. It also has one of the lowest rates of taxes imposed on the wealthy in all OECD countries. Only 0.5% of annual tax revenues are coming from wealth taxes in Austria, compared with 4.2% in the UK. On the other hand, the middle-class worker in Austria is taxed to death. Austria has one of the highest middle-class tax revenues in the world. Or better said: The 74.000 millionaires in Austria (less than 1% of the population) currently own 230 Bio. €, or 77% of the GDP. The 10 richest Austrians even have 65 Bio. € ... () Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on September 09, 2011, 11:53:37 AM Said the Boston Consulting Group:
Quote "This year, for the first time, BCG published figures on the countries with the highest number of “ultra-high-net-worth” (UHNW) households, defined as those with more than $100 million in AuM. The United States had the largest number of these super-wealthy households (2,692), while Saudi Arabia had the highest concentration of UHNW households, measured per 100,000 households, at 18, followed by Switzerland (10), Hong Kong (9), Kuwait [8], and Austria [8]. China experienced the fastest growth in the number of super-wealthy households, which jumped by more than 30 percent to 393." Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on September 09, 2011, 11:59:46 AM I mean which millionaire, except for the real greedy ones, would make a big deal of paying a 0.3-0.7% wealth tax ?
If I had a couple millions I would be more than happy to pay this small tax, if it would help bring my country's debt down. I mean, what is 0.3-0.7% annually, when you invest it anyway and if you are clever, you get 5-10% annually in dividends on your capital ? Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on September 09, 2011, 01:06:24 PM Writes the "Wiener Zeitung":
Quote Die Wiener ÖVP oder: Vom Untergang einer Partei, die sich selbst genügte Von Walter Hämmerle ÖVP-Obmann Michael Spindelegger steht in Wien vor den Trümmern seiner Stadtpartei. Bleibt diese weiterhin unter der politischen Wahrnehmungsgrenze, droht die Bundespartei bei den nächsten Nationalratswahlen der 20-Prozent-Grenze gefährlich nahe zu kommen. Oder anders formuliert: Spindelegger ist auf eine zumindest halbwegs funktionierende Wiener Stadtpartei für sein eigenes politisches Überleben angewiesen. Dass sich die Landespartei dabei aus sich selbst heraus erneuern könnte, darf getrost ausgeschlossen werden. Jahrzehnte haben die führenden Funktionäre damit zugebracht, sich um die vom roten Rathaustisch herabfallenden Brotkrumen zu balgen. Nur die Frage, warum überhaupt jemand in Wien die Volkspartei wählen sollte, haben dabei alle aus den Augen verloren. Der Wiener ÖVP ist schlicht ihre politische raison d’etre abhanden gekommen. Ein vernichtenderes Urteil lässt sich über eine politische Bewegung nicht fällen. Die Verantwortung für den erbärmlichen Zustand der Stadtpartei teilen sich Bundes- und Landespartei zu gleichen Teilen. Die Bundes-ÖVP hat bis heute kein politisches Sensorium für das Lebensgefühl urbaner Bürger entwickelt: Egal ob in der Familienpolitik, im Wirtschaftsleben oder im Kulturverständnis - stets prägt zuallererst ein ländlich gestimmtes Bauchgefühl die politische Positionierung der Volkspartei. Und was die Landespartei angeht, so verwechselte diese nur allzu bereitwillig die Nischenexistenz der sogenannten bürgerlichen Regimenter mit der realen Lebenswelt in der Stadt. Wer in der Wiener ÖVP wissen will, wie die Bürger mit einer Partei verfahren, die sie für überflüssig weil zwecklos erachten, dem sei empfohlen, kommenden Sonntagabend das deutsche TV einzuschalten. Dort hat er gute Chancen, den parlamentarischen Tod der Berliner FDP bei den Landtagswahlen live zu verfolgen. Mitleid ist keine politische Kategorie. Übrigens zu Recht. Parteien sind für die Bürger da, nicht umgekehrt. http://www.wienerzeitung.at/meinungen/analysen/395608_Die-Wiener-OeVP-oder-Vom-Untergang-einer-Partei-die-sich-selbst-genuegte.html :) Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on September 10, 2011, 01:30:57 AM I would be surprised if the upcoming polls are not changing ... And so it is. Today, a new Profil poll by Karmasin Motivforschung came out (conducted before the Vienna meltdown, but after the corruption revelations of the former right-wing government): 30% (+1) SPÖ 24% (+6) FPÖ 22% (-4) ÖVP 15% (+5) Greens 4% (-7) BZÖ 5% (-1) Others http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20110910_OTS0003/profil-umfrage-spoe-30-fpoe-24-oevp-22-gruene-15 The SPÖ should probably continue with the populist class warfare and make it a campaign issue in 2013. Because the Profil poll also shows 63% support a wealth tax, with just 15% opposed. It also shows 49% now support abolishing the draft, while 40% want to keep it. http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20110910_OTS0004/profil-oesterreicher-befuerworten-hoehere-besteuerung-von-vermoegen 68% of Austrians also oppose the EU-mandated regulation to phase out normal lightbulbs and replace them with energy-saving lightbulbs. Only 25% support the energy-saving lightbulbs. http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20110910_OTS0008/profil-mehrheit-gegen-gluehbirnen-verbot Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Franzl on September 10, 2011, 01:53:27 AM Are you certain the current Austrian government will really last until 2013?
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on September 10, 2011, 02:07:52 AM Are you certain the current Austrian government will really last until 2013? Well, I think so. Both SPÖ and ÖVP leaders have said that there will be no early elections. I don't think the SPÖ will call early elections, because Austrians like to punish the party that calls them. And the ÖVP won't call them either, because they are weak right now and would be punished even further, they could drop to 20% or below (which would be devastating for a party which got 42% a decade ago). Considering these facts, the SPÖ seems to be in the driver's seat right now and the ÖVP won't be able to continue with their blocking all the time. There are now dissenting voices within the ÖVP, such as the Salzburg ÖVP-leader Haslauer, who calls for a draft referendum. Maybe the ÖVP will buckle and give in to the draft referendum, if they get the support from the SPÖ on the other hand to impose the constitutional balanced budget amendment and 60% debt limit they want. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Franzl on September 10, 2011, 02:13:01 AM It's a pity there's no proper left and right in Austria (as in CDU/FDP vs. SPD/Greens). As it stands, the ÖVP, even without them being in a free fall due to scandals, doesn't really have a path to government outside of grand coalitions. They've been in a situation I wouldn't want to be in for quite a while....whether they get 30% or 20%.
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on September 13, 2011, 01:36:22 AM More and more Nazis within the FPÖ:
Quote FP-Funktionär: "Weiß nicht, wie ein Jude fühlt" Auf seiner Facebook-Seite widmet sich Kerbl dem Thema Islam und Moscheenbau, obwohl beides in Fohnsdorf nicht gerade von aktueller Brisanz ist. Seine Facebook-Freunde posten Nazisprüche wie "Arbeit macht frei", schimpfen über "offen jüdische" Zeitungen oder verlinken Neonazi-Songs - Kerbl lässt sie. Kerbl selbst warnt vor einer "Umvolkung" durch den Islam. Vom Standard gefragt, ob er wisse, dass die Nationalsozialisten diesen Begriff geprägt haben, meint das Mitglied der Burschenschaft Corps Austria zu Knittelfeld: "Ich weiß schon auch, wo der Begriff herkommt, aber seither haben ihn trotzdem viele andere Politiker verwendet." Die Postings seiner Fans lösche er nicht, weil er für "Meinungsfreiheit" sei. Kerbl ist auch gegen "islamische Zentren, und islamische Bäcker und Geschäfte, wie es sie in Wien gibt", weil dadurch eine "Parallelgesellschaft" entstünde. Gefragt, ob er auch gegen koschere Fleischer und jüdische Bäckereien sei, mein der Jungpolitiker: "Es geht darum, wie sich einer fühlt, ob er sich als Österreicher fühlt." Ob er wisse, wie sich Juden und Muslime in Wien fühlen? Dazu meint Kerbl nur: "Ich weiß nicht, wie ein Jude fühlt, das weiß ich wirklich nicht." Auf Straches Facebook-Seite dauerte es ein Monat, bis Aufrufe zum Mord an Künstlern und Muslimen gelöscht wurden. Auslöser war eine Anzeige des Wiener Werkstätten- und Kulturhauses (WUK), über das ein Strache-Fan postete, man solle es anzünden. http://derstandard.at/1315006160387/Facebook-FP-Funktionaer-Weiss-nicht-wie-ein-Jude-fuehlt Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on September 14, 2011, 12:24:28 PM Austrians are getting dumber when it comes to political knowledge, a new IMAS poll shows:
() 15% do not know the name of the Austrian Chancellor 21% do not know the name of the Austrian President 39% do not know the party of their state's governor 42% do not know the parties in the Austrian parliament 47% do not know typical criterias of democracy 48% do not know if Austria is a member of the UN 52% do not know the difference between capitalism and socialism 52% do not know the leaders of the political parties in Austria 58% do not know how long the occupation of Austria lasted after World War 2 58% do not know how many countries belong to the EU 58% do not know what Fascism is 60% do not know who Engelbert Dollfuß was 63% do not know the goals/principles of the Austrian parties 64% do not know who leads the Ministry of Foreign Affairs 70% do not know the purpose of the Bundesrat Rather shocking stuff ... Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on September 15, 2011, 08:43:29 AM New OGM poll for the newspaper "Heute":
29% (nc) SPÖ 27% (+9) FPÖ 25% (-1) ÖVP 13% (+3) Greens 4% (-7) BZÖ 2% (-4) Others Direct vote for Chancellor: 25% Werner Faymann (SPÖ) 19% Michael Spindelegger (ÖVP) 17% Heinz-Christian Strache (FPÖ) 7% Eva Glawischnig (Greens) 4% Josef Bucher (BZÖ) 28% None of them http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20110915_OTS0191/heute-umfrage-faymann-in-kanzlerfrage-weit-vor-spindelegger Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on September 15, 2011, 02:05:37 PM OGM also asked the preferred coalitions of Austrians:
() Don't know why they asked ÖVP-FPÖ, when the FPÖ is ahead of the ÖVP ... Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on September 18, 2011, 01:46:36 AM New Gallup poll today for "Österreich" newspaper:
() Do you favor or oppose a tax on the wealthy (those having assets of more than 1 Mio. €) ? 77% Favor 23% Oppose Do you favor or oppose abolishing the draft in Austria ? 53% Favor 47% Oppose What would you do with Greece ? 46% Send Greece into bankruptcy 42% Let government pass the next bailout package http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/VP-stuerzt-weiter-ab-Nur-mehr-23/40659177 ... There's also new Styria state elections poll out today by OGM for the "Kleine Zeitung" newspaper: () In Styria, 82% support a wealth tax and just 15% are opposed. http://www.kleinezeitung.at/system/galleries/upload/0/2/2/2833938/landtagswahl03.jpg ... There's also a new OGM/Kurier poll out about corruption in Austria: () Which party do you think is most responsible for the growing corruption in Austria ? 16% ÖVP 11% FPÖ 10% BZÖ 9% SPÖ 1% Greens 51% All parties 13% Undecided Is there more corruption now in Austria than before ? 20% Yes, corruption has risen in the past years 69% No, corruption was always there - it was just not discovered as much 11% Undecided http://kurier.at/nachrichten/4152759.php Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on September 22, 2011, 07:20:02 AM New OGM poll for the 2013 town council elections in Graz:
() http://www.kleinezeitung.at/nachrichten/politik/2836319/grazer-spoe-not.story Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on September 22, 2011, 07:25:18 AM I should probably mention that there's a ÖVP-Green coalition in Graz and that the city SPÖ had bad leadership problems in the last years and they just changed the party leader, who is a complete unknown.
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on September 24, 2011, 05:49:27 AM New Upper Austria poll by Spectra:
State elections 44% ÖVP 25% SPÖ 14% FPÖ 12% Greens 5% Others Federal elections 30% SPÖ 27% ÖVP 20% FPÖ 11% Greens 7% BZÖ 5% Others Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on September 27, 2011, 03:00:52 AM I should probably mention that there's a ÖVP-Green coalition in Graz and that the city SPÖ had bad leadership problems in the last years and they just changed the party leader, who is a complete unknown. And now this "unknown" Edmund Müller, who had the job for only 9 months, stepped down: http://www.krone.at/Nachrichten/Grazer_SPOe-Chef_Mueller_tritt_nach_nur_9_Monaten_ab-Zoff_mit_Voves-Story-297374 And is replaced by another "unknown", Martina Schröck. The Graz-SPÖ is in deep sh*t it seems. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on September 29, 2011, 03:53:43 AM Here´s a new IMAS poll:
26-28% SPÖ 24-26% FPÖ 24-26% ÖVP 13-14% Greens 5-6% BZÖ Also: () The first, grey column indicates the percentage of Austrians who know this politician. The second column indicates the percentage of Austrians who think this politician would be good as a boss of an industrial company. The third column indicates the percentage of Austrians who think this politician would be good as a head of a crisis management group. The fourth column indicates the percentage of Austrians who think this politician would be a good role model or idol for the youth. The fifth column indicates the percentage of Austrians who think this politician is very telegenic. ... It's very interesting to see how well FPÖ-leader Strache does here ... ... Says IMAS: Quote Nur der FPÖ-Obmann Strache verfügt über politische Monopoleigenschaften („Unique Selling Proposition“), die Hauptstärke des FPÖ-Chefs lautet „Attraktivität für die Jugend“. Die mangelnde Persönlichkeitswirkung ihrer Spitzenkandidaten zwingt SPÖ, ÖVP, GRÜNE und BZÖ zum Punkten mit politischen Konzepten. Die Stimmenanteile der Parteien haben sich in den IMAS-Umfragen der letzten Wochen trotz eines Tornados von Skandalen praktisch nicht verändert. Die SPÖ wird von ca. 26–28 Prozent der Wähler bevorzugt, ÖVP und FPÖ pendeln zwischen etwa 24–26 Prozent, die GRÜNEN liegen bei maximal 13–14 Prozent und das BZÖ bei rund 5–6 Prozent. Dies bedeutet, dass Rot, Schwarz und Blau nahezu gleich große Anhängerschaften besitzen. Unter statistischen Aspekten ist es derzeit unmöglich zu sagen, welche Partei bei einer jetzt stattfindenden Nationalratswahl die Nase wirklich vorn hätte. Keinesfalls ließe sich eine gesicherte Aussage darüber treffen, welche Partei den 2. oder 3. Platz besetzt. Dieser Sachverhalt ist für die politische Diagnose von weitreichender Bedeutung, denn er dokumentiert nicht nur eine Pattsituation, sondern signalisiert auch eine Art Entscheidungsparalyse der Bevölkerung. Die Wähler tun sich augenscheinlich besonders schwer, einer der drei an der Spitze liegenden Parteien den Vorzug zu geben. In einer solchen Situation gibt die Persönlichkeitswirkung der Spitzenkandidaten als Zusatzkriterium den Ausschlag für die Wahlentscheidung: Man wendet sich jener Persönlichkeit zu, die am überzeugendsten erscheint. http://www.imas.at/index.php/de/component/content/article/86-imas-report-de/aktuelle-reports/130 Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on September 29, 2011, 01:13:36 PM New EU poll:
() Do you think Austria has benefitted from the Euro or not ? 37% Yes 48% No Do you think EU agencys should be allowed to have direct influence on political areas that are currently handled by the member states ? Budget policy: 33% Yes, 58% No Tax policy: 32% Yes, 60% No Collective bargaining rounds: 25% Yes, 66% No Pension policy: 28% Yes, 64% No Do you think that the "United States of Europe" would be a fitting model for EU future ? 30% Yes 50% No ... And, what Austrians want their government to do most: () 89% Cut spending 87% Tougher rules and more integrity in the political and business sector 84% reduce the debt 83% reduce and punish Social Security abuse 76% constitutional balanced budget and debt amendment ... And, in terms of tuition fees for students: 66% of Austrians want tuition fees for university students to be re-introduced 28% not How much should students pay each semester ? 54% - 300€ 34% - 500€ 2% - 700€ http://www.market.at/de/market-aktuell/news/entity.detail/action.view/key.590.html Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Swedish Rainbow Capitalist Cheese on September 29, 2011, 03:32:31 PM And, what Austrians want their government to do most: 89% Cut spending 87% Tougher rules and more integrity in the political and business sector 84% reduce the debt 83% reduce and punish Social Security abuse 76% constitutional balanced budget and debt amendment When did Austria turn into the Republican party? :P Also very sursprising 30% of Austrians want a United States of Europe. Didn't think that idea would break 10% popular support. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Franzl on September 29, 2011, 04:10:47 PM And, what Austrians want their government to do most: 89% Cut spending 87% Tougher rules and more integrity in the political and business sector 84% reduce the debt 83% reduce and punish Social Security abuse 76% constitutional balanced budget and debt amendment When did Austria turn into the Republican party? :P Also very sursprising 30% of Austrians want a United States of Europe. Didn't think that idea would break 10% popular support. They're ideas that enjoy near-universal support in most places, I imagine. It's just that anything that would actually reach that goal is usually hated by the public. Cut spending, yeah, great idea. But don't cut my social security, or my education....or my healthcare....and so on :) Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on September 30, 2011, 12:59:55 AM And, what Austrians want their government to do most: 89% Cut spending 87% Tougher rules and more integrity in the political and business sector 84% reduce the debt 83% reduce and punish Social Security abuse 76% constitutional balanced budget and debt amendment When did Austria turn into the Republican party? :P Also very sursprising 30% of Austrians want a United States of Europe. Didn't think that idea would break 10% popular support. They're ideas that enjoy near-universal support in most places, I imagine. It's just that anything that would actually reach that goal is usually hated by the public. Cut spending, yeah, great idea. But don't cut my social security, or my education....or my healthcare....and so on :) Well, Austria passed a moderate austerity package a year ago - mostly in the social areas, while introducing a bank & stock tax and flight tax. A few thousand people protested, opinion polls showed that the public first disliked the measures, but eventually thought it is needed to balance the budget. Because of this, the budget deficit will decline from 4.6% in 2010 to about 2.5% this year and it is most likely balanced by 2015. Also, Austria has a big potential to cut spending because we have one of the most gracious pension systems in the whole world. Some branches like ÖBB people can apply for pensions starting with age 50 and most people in Austria apply for their pensions at an average age of 55 (women) and 57 (men). If the pension age of 65 would be heavily enforced and also more people would work until that age, like in Sweden or Switzerland. Austria could save about 5 Bio. € per year, but mostly the SPÖVP pensioner lobbyists, who have a lot of say within the parties, are of course blocking this. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on September 30, 2011, 01:04:22 AM And, what Austrians want their government to do most: 89% Cut spending 87% Tougher rules and more integrity in the political and business sector 84% reduce the debt 83% reduce and punish Social Security abuse 76% constitutional balanced budget and debt amendment When did Austria turn into the Republican party? :P Also very sursprising 30% of Austrians want a United States of Europe. Didn't think that idea would break 10% popular support. I think a good deal of Green and ÖVP voters would be in favor of this. The ÖVP people mostly because they see good business opportunities in a future United States of Europe. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Swedish Rainbow Capitalist Cheese on September 30, 2011, 05:15:02 AM And, what Austrians want their government to do most: 89% Cut spending 87% Tougher rules and more integrity in the political and business sector 84% reduce the debt 83% reduce and punish Social Security abuse 76% constitutional balanced budget and debt amendment When did Austria turn into the Republican party? :P Also very sursprising 30% of Austrians want a United States of Europe. Didn't think that idea would break 10% popular support. I think a good deal of Green and ÖVP voters would be in favor of this. The ÖVP people mostly because they see good business opportunities in a future United States of Europe. Yeah but still, 30%? That's just seven points below the number of people who said they liked the Euro... Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on October 02, 2011, 01:05:28 AM And, what Austrians want their government to do most: 89% Cut spending 87% Tougher rules and more integrity in the political and business sector 84% reduce the debt 83% reduce and punish Social Security abuse 76% constitutional balanced budget and debt amendment When did Austria turn into the Republican party? :P Also very sursprising 30% of Austrians want a United States of Europe. Didn't think that idea would break 10% popular support. I think a good deal of Green and ÖVP voters would be in favor of this. The ÖVP people mostly because they see good business opportunities in a future United States of Europe. Yeah but still, 30%? That's just seven points below the number of people who said they liked the Euro... It's not directly "like" the Euro, or "not". It asks if they see more assets or drawbacks concerning the Euro. At least 70% of Austrians "like" the Euro, but on the second question, if the country has benefitted from it, they are much more critical. In fact, many people who were used to the Schilling believe that the Euro has led to increasing prices everywhere. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on October 02, 2011, 01:08:57 AM New Gallup poll for Ö24:
() 85% now have a negative opinion of the SPÖVP government, just 11% have a positive view. 51% want new elections, including 64% of young voters. 53% of Austrians want Greece to go bankrupt, just 29% want to bail them out with a fund. http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/Mehrheit-der-Oesterreicher-fuer-Neuwahl/41964631 Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on October 03, 2011, 02:34:29 PM New Vienna state elections poll:
43% SPÖ 27% FPÖ 14% Greens 13% ÖVP 3% Others Considering that the FPÖ polled about 20% right before of the 2010 elections and eventually got 26% in the actual election, I would say that the FPÖ is close to 30% in Vienna right now. http://derstandard.at/1317018964498/Umfrage-Haeupls-SPOe-gibt-in-Wien-die-Themen-vor () Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on October 04, 2011, 03:21:41 PM New Kronen Zeitung poll for my home state of Salzburg (state elections):
35-37% SPÖ (-3) 35-37% ÖVP (-1) 16-18% FPÖ (+4) 8-10% Greens (+2) 1-3% BZÖ/Others (-2) Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on October 07, 2011, 04:25:12 AM New ATV Austria Trend by Peter Hajek:
() http://atv.at/contentset/184821 Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on October 07, 2011, 04:40:06 AM The governor of Vorarlberg, Herbert Sausgruber (ÖVP), announced today that he will retire in December.
He was the governor of Vorarlberg since 1997. Markus Wallner will follow him as governor until the next state election in 2014 or probably much longer, because the ÖVP has a lock on the state. () Sausgruber on the left, Wallner in the middle. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on October 08, 2011, 04:19:06 AM New poll by Karmasin Motivforschung for "Profil":
29% [nc] SPÖ 26% [+8] FPÖ 22% [-4] ÖVP 15% [+5] Greens 3% [-8] BZÖ 5% [-1] Others Would you consider voting for an Austrian version of the Pirate Party ? 31% Yes 57% No 12% Undecided http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20111008_OTS0008/profil-umfrage-regierungsparteien-spoe-und-oevp-verlieren http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20111008_OTS0006/profil-umfrage-ein-drittel-der-oesterreicher-wuerde-eine-piratenpartei-waehlen Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on October 15, 2011, 04:16:44 AM New Gallup poll for Ö24 out today:
29% SPÖ 27% FPÖ 23% ÖVP 13% Greens 5% BZÖ 3% Others Direct vote for Chancellor: 26% Werner Faymann (SPÖ) 16% Michael Spindelegger (ÖVP) 15% Heinz-Christian Strache (FPÖ) http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20111015_OTS0003/oesterreich-spoe-liegt-bei-29-fpoe-schon-bei-27 http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/Faymann-nur-noch-knapp-vor-FPOe/43319992 The FPÖ also had some good news yesterday, when 2 of their members walked out of the courtrooms as free men, after they were found not guilty in a corruption case and an incitement of hatred case. http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/Freispruch-nach-Anti-Minarett-Spiel/43237577 http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/Franz-Koloini-Freispruch-in-Geldwaesche-Prozess/43263624 Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on October 23, 2011, 01:59:35 AM New Gallup poll out today:
() And a new OGM poll which asked Austrians if the people should vote on these issues in a referendum or if the parliament should deal with it and find a solution: () Abolition of the draft: 60% referendum, 34% parliament Re-introduction of tuition fees: 56% referendum, 42% parliament More bailouts for failing EU members like Greece: 54% referendum, 38% parliament Introduction of a "Rich Tax": 54% referendum, 42% parliament Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on October 25, 2011, 09:32:27 AM New Salzburg state poll:
38% SPÖ 36% ÖVP 15% FPÖ 10% Greens 1% BZÖ Do you want the draft to be abolished ? 39% Yes 50% No What's your opinion about university tuition fees ? 39% each university should implement their own tuition fees 32% the government should implement tuition fees 20% I´m against tuition fees Do you have sympathies for the Occupy Wall Street protests ? 58% Yes 34% No http://www.salzburger-fenster.at/images/artikel/2011/sf37_11/umfrage.pdf Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on October 30, 2011, 02:29:03 AM New Gallup poll:
29% [-0.3] SPÖ 28% [+10.5] FPÖ 22% [-4.0] ÖVP 13% [+2.6] Greens 5% [-5.7] BZÖ 3% [-3.1] Others http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20111030_OTS0002/gallup-umfrage-fuer-oesterreich-fpoe-und-spoe-fast-gleichauf Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on October 30, 2011, 12:14:12 PM There's also a new Market poll out today for the "Standard" newspaper, with similar results:
27% FPÖ 27% SPÖ 24% ÖVP 13% Greens 5% BZÖ 4% Others History has shown that the FPÖ would win the election in the event of a tie, because the FPÖ used to underpoll in earlier elections relative to the election day result. Trend chart: () http://derstandard.at/1319181604658/Umfrage-SPOe-und-Freiheitliche-liegen-Kopf-an-Kopf Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: You kip if you want to... on October 30, 2011, 02:46:46 PM Why're the fascists surging?
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Leftbehind on October 30, 2011, 05:27:32 PM Is my translation right, and that earlier table showing ÖVP leading as the party for the bourgeois/elderly interests and who'd be best for the Viennese economy?
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on October 31, 2011, 01:26:54 AM Is my translation right, and that earlier table showing ÖVP leading as the party for the bourgeois/elderly interests and who'd be best for the Viennese economy? Correct. And the FPÖ is seen as: * more important in 5 years than now * understands the concerns of Vienna residents * is the party of young people * can solve the problems of integrating foreigners * works to achieve low taxes and fees * has good ideas for Vienna * is helping the weak and the poor * is a bourgeois party And the Greens are seen as: * is the party of young people * works to achieve low taxes and fees * has solutions for Vienna traffic problems * has good ideas for Vienna * stands for a modern, liberal world city * is helping the weak and the poor * more important in 5 years than now * can solve the problems of integrating foreigners * can work together with other parties in a good manner Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on October 31, 2011, 01:32:30 AM Why're the fascists surging? Because the BZÖ and ÖVP are losing and European and Austrian government politicians have nothing better to do than transferring billions of €s to incompetent southern EU members ? Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on November 04, 2011, 02:00:57 PM In other news, FPÖ-leader H.C. Strache is in trouble again, as NEWS reports some of his (young) staffers at campaign rallies are Neo-Nazis: ()() ()() Two of the 3 staffers have now been sentenced to 14 and 28 months in jail because of re-enactment of National Socialism. The 3rd guy in the picture is already dead. http://www.news.at/articles/1144/11/311221/freiheitliche-partei-fpoe-wahlhelfer Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on November 05, 2011, 03:48:41 AM 2 new polls today:
Profil/Karmasin Motivforschung 28% SPÖ 27% FPÖ 23% ÖVP 15% Greens 3% BZÖ 4% Others Direct vote for Chancellor: 19% Werner Faymann (SPÖ) 15% H.C. Strache (FPÖ) 15% Michael Spindelegger (ÖVP) 7% Eva Glawischnig (Greens) http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20111105_OTS0008/profil-umfrage-fpoe-nur-noch-1-hinter-spoe ... Ö24/Gallup 29% SPÖ 27% FPÖ 23% ÖVP 13% Greens 5% BZÖ 3% Others Direct vote for Chancellor: 25% Werner Faymann (SPÖ) 17% Michael Spindelegger (ÖVP) 14% H.C. Strache (FPÖ) http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/OeSTERREICH-SPOe-auf-Platz-1-FP-verliert/45426568 Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on November 12, 2011, 03:12:01 AM New "Presse" poll (very rare):
() Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on November 12, 2011, 02:05:41 PM New TT poll for the upcoming Innsbruck City elections in 2012 (the only somewhat important election next year):
21% Greens 20% Für Innsbruck 20% SPÖ 18% ÖVP 10% Liste Rudi Federspiel 8% FPÖ 3% Tiroler Seniorenbund Direct vote for Innsbruck mayor: 55% Christine Oppitz-Plörer (FI-Incumbent) 12% Franz Gruber (ÖVP) 10% Marie-Luise Pokorny-Reitter (SPÖ) 10% Rudi Federspiel (LRF) 6% Sonja Pitscheider (Greens) 5% Ernst Pechlaner (SPÖ) 2% Richard Heis (FPÖ) http://www.tt.com/csp/cms/sites/tt/Tirol/3764093-2/kopf-an-kopf-und-doch-voran.csp Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on November 12, 2011, 02:27:49 PM Changes compared with the 2006 Innsbruck elections:
+2.5 Greens -6.8 Für Innsbruck +0.3 SPÖ +3.4 ÖVP +0.6 Liste Rudi Federspiel +3.0 FPÖ +0.1 Tiroler Seniorenbund -3.1 Others Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on November 25, 2011, 03:58:23 AM Finally, a new poll by (the best pollster) OGM for Kurier newspaper:
() Direct vote for Chancellor: () http://kurier.at/nachrichten/4318198.php The article also reveals that young Austrian voters (those under 30 years of age) prefer Strache as Chancellor by a wide margin, followed by Green leader Eva Glawischnig. The young voters are also different when it comes to the next preferred coalition. 23% of young voters, a plurality, want FPÖ-ÖVP - but among all voters, a SPÖVP coalition leads with 29%. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on November 27, 2011, 01:56:02 AM Polls are pretty stable now, except for the ÖVP - which is bouncing around between 22% and 25% - according to the new Gallup poll for Ö24 that was released today:
() The release also says that the FPÖ is now first with 17% among die-hard base voters (those voters that have a unchangeable voting intention). Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on December 03, 2011, 03:20:29 AM New Profil poll:
27% FPÖ 27% SPÖ 24% ÖVP 14% Greens 4% BZÖ 4% Others Direct vote for Chancellor: 19% Werner Faymann (SPÖ) 16% Michael Spindelegger (ÖVP) 15% H.C. Strache (FPÖ) 6% Eva Glawischnig (Greens) Which of these Austrian Chancellors do you think is the most competent ? 28% Wolfgang Schüssel (ÖVP) 22% Werner Faymann (SPÖ) 15% Alfred Gusenbauer (SPÖ) 24% None of them 11% Undecided http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20111203_OTS0006/profil-umfrage-fpoe-gleichauf-mit-spoe Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: You kip if you want to... on December 03, 2011, 05:31:01 PM Youths preferring the fascists over the lefties? I don't understand Austria...
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Filuwaúrdjan on December 03, 2011, 06:41:51 PM Youths preferring the fascists over the lefties? I don't understand Austria... Protest vote. The Left is as much part of the establishment in Austria as in Scandinavia. Therefore... Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on December 04, 2011, 02:26:22 AM Youths preferring the fascists over the lefties? I don't understand Austria... Protest vote. The Left is as much part of the establishment in Austria as in Scandinavia. Therefore... I would put it this way: The Austrian Left favors the mass immigration of foreigners. The Austrian youth does not. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on December 04, 2011, 02:31:59 AM The new Ö24 poll by Gallup, out today, has exactly the same results as the Profil poll yesterday:
() http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/Strache-holt-die-SPOe-ein/48351744 Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Хahar 🤔 on December 04, 2011, 02:44:11 AM Youths preferring the fascists over the lefties? I don't understand Austria... Protest vote. The Left is as much part of the establishment in Austria as in Scandinavia. Therefore... I would put it this way: The Austrian Left favors the mass immigration of foreigners. The Austrian youth does not. That's clear from the poll results. The question is why that is. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on December 04, 2011, 02:57:35 AM Youths preferring the fascists over the lefties? I don't understand Austria... Protest vote. The Left is as much part of the establishment in Austria as in Scandinavia. Therefore... I would put it this way: The Austrian Left favors the mass immigration of foreigners. The Austrian youth does not. That's clear from the poll results. The question is why that is. Well, we are talking about 40-45% of the younger population. Most polls show that among younger voters, ca. 35% vote FPÖ, and 5-10% BZÖ - while the Greens are also strong at about 20-25%, and SPÖ and ÖVP have about 20% each. I think these 40% vote mostly FPÖ because they have negative experiences with foreigner kids when they go to clubs. A lot of younger Austrians can't get along with groups of Turks or "Yugos" and in some cases they were beaten up or attacked by these foreigner groups of Turks or "Yugos". They are basically living in 2 different worlds. The FPÖ has set up a hotline for this "Inländer discrimination" (native discrimination) and because they are the only party which does it, they get the reward. Another fact is of course the Facebook/Social Media popularity of Strache, whereas SPÖ-Chancellor Faymann has miserably failed with it ... http://austrianindependent.com/news/Politics/2011-11-23/9552/Faymann_suffers_Facebook_fiasco Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Swedish Rainbow Capitalist Cheese on December 04, 2011, 06:23:52 AM Austria has the most strange political culture and landscape of any western democracy I can think off.
The populist anti-immigration parties tends to be strong with the youth everywhere in Europe, but Austria seems to be at rediculous levels. How come the SPÖ and ÖVP completly fails to have any sort of youth structure and support at all. From what I understand they don't even seem to see it as a problem and do something about it. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on December 04, 2011, 07:39:15 AM How come the SPÖ and ÖVP completly fails to have any sort of youth structure and support at all. From what I understand they don't even seem to see it as a problem and do something about it. They have young members, but most of them are just slimy party apparatchiks who want to climb up the party ranks. And SPÖ and ÖVP have completely overslept the social media revolution. While FPÖ and Greens have long been very active among Facebook, Twitter and Blogs, SPÖVP have remained in the digital stone-age, or in the case of Chancellor Failmann have spent over 100.000€ for a 9-person team to set up a Facebook account that had just 3000 friends after a week out of which roughly half were faked friends created by the SPÖ headquarters. Besides, SPÖVP has always been the party creature of the olds and retirees here in Austria. And that's unlikely to change, because the population is getting older anyway. SPÖ and Greens have another strategy for getting votes though: naturalisations of foreigners - who in turn vote SPÖ/Green, similar to Hispanics in the US voting for the Democrats. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Swedish Rainbow Capitalist Cheese on December 04, 2011, 08:37:23 AM Ah yes, importing voters. A classical method of growing your vote-share.
I'm still surprised not more is done to win over young voters though. Looking at Sweden we also have an aging population and although pensioners are seen as the biggest price to win the establishment parties do a lot to reach out to young voters. (Well not KD, but then they are a special intrest party for conservative olds, and see how well it's going for them) Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Filuwaúrdjan on December 04, 2011, 11:57:19 AM That's one of those accusations that gets made all the time but which no one ever has any proof for (usually because it is completely untrue).
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on December 04, 2011, 12:57:36 PM That's one of those accusations that gets made all the time but which no one ever has any proof for (usually because it is completely untrue). What do you mean ? The naturalization of foreigners, who then vote for the Left ? Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Filuwaúrdjan on December 04, 2011, 02:00:56 PM That's one of those accusations that gets made all the time but which no one ever has any proof for (usually because it is completely untrue). What do you mean ? The naturalization of foreigners, who then vote for the Left ? The claim that immigration is a conspiracy dreampt up by cynical social democrats in order to bolster their electoral position. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: MaxQue on December 05, 2011, 08:16:35 PM Do we really to live with that obvious troll here?
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Filuwaúrdjan on December 05, 2011, 08:40:15 PM Do we really to live with that obvious troll here? No. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on December 09, 2011, 02:38:08 AM New Innsbruck poll:
24% Für Innsbruck (center-liberal) 22% Greens (left) 18% ÖVP (center-right) 17% SPÖ (center-left) 9% Liste Rudi Federspiel (right) 7% FPÖ (right) 3% Tiroler Seniorenbund (center) 0% KPÖ (far left) Mayor Christine Oppitz-Plörer (FI) leads the direct vote for Mayor with 57%. http://www.tt.com/csp/cms/sites/tt/Tirol/3941815-2/die-suche-nach-dem-pers%C3%B6nlichen-umfrage-dreh.csp Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on December 10, 2011, 06:30:05 AM New Tirol poll:
42-43% ÖVP 17-18% FPÖ 15-16% SPÖ 14-15% Greens 8-9% FRITZ http://www.tt.com/csp/cms/sites/tt/Tirol/3953703-2/licht-und-schatten-bei-vp-umfrage.csp Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on December 11, 2011, 04:46:31 AM New Gallup poll:
() Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on December 16, 2011, 03:50:14 AM New study about the Vienna youth (16-19 year olds):
* 44% of the young agree with the argument "there are already too many Turks living in the country". * 41% agree with the argument "foreigners in Austria see the native Austrians just as an inferior people". * 18% agree with the argument "the Jews still have too much influence in the world economy". * 11% agree with the argument "Hitler has done a lot of good for the people". http://diepresse.com/home/panorama/oesterreich/716836/Vier-von-zehn-Jungen-sagen_Zu-viele-Tuerken Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on December 17, 2011, 07:50:25 AM New "ATV Austria Trend" poll:
30% [+1] SPÖ 25% [-1] ÖVP 25% [+7] FPÖ 14% [+4] Greens 4% [-7] BZÖ 2% [-4] Others http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20111214_OTS0206/atv-oesterreich-trend-spoe-in-der-sonntagsfrage-wieder-klar-auf-platz-eins Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Colbert on December 19, 2011, 11:33:18 AM except carinthian regionalism, what exactly is difference between BZO and FPO?
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on December 19, 2011, 12:06:34 PM except carinthian regionalism, what exactly is difference between BZO and FPO? The BZÖ sees itself right-liberal, the FPÖ right-conservative. In most topics they have the same opinions, the only have different opinions in few areas such as keeping the draft (FPÖ) or abolishing it (BZÖ), stay neutral as a country (FPÖ) or join NATO (BZÖ). Another topic is tuition fees for universities, which the FPÖ opposes and the BZÖ supports. The FPÖ also supports bootcamps for criminal young people, while the BZÖ opposes it. The BZÖ supports government-funded art, the FPÖ is opposed. In general, it can be said that the BZÖ is the more conservative wing of the ÖVP, very business-friendly with flat taxes etc. and no further tax increases, while the FPÖ has a more anti-foreigner platform and a less business-friendly one, because they want to be seen as the party of the "small blue-collar man/woman" and lure away voters from the SPÖ. Therefore the FPÖ is seen as more "pro-welfare state" while the BZÖ wants to slash the welfare state to cut the country's debt. Another difference is gay rights, which the FPÖ totally opposes and the BZÖ is more liberal on (supporting civil unions, like the ÖVP). It's also not as radical on the EU as the FPÖ and not involved in as many Nazi-scandals as the FPÖ. But I would say, on 70% of all issues the 2 parties agree. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Colbert on December 20, 2011, 06:33:55 AM OK, thanks :)
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on December 24, 2011, 03:24:15 PM Interesting new poll regarding Austrians and Christianity in the "Standard" newspaper:
14% of Austrians consider themselves as "engaged Christians" 47% of Austrians consider themselves as "Christians in name only" 28% of Austrians say they were former Christians, but have quit the churches 11% of Austrians have nothing to do with Christianity Also: () Pope Benedikt XVI. gets only a 31-56 approval rating from Austrians. () Do you think the Catholic Church has the right answers for people these days ? 84% No (41% not at all, 43% not really) 13% Yes (2% yes definitely, 11% yes somewhat) Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on December 25, 2011, 02:27:51 AM New Gallup/Ö24 poll out today:
28% [-1] SPÖ 26% [+8] FPÖ 24% [-2] ÖVP 13% [+3] Greens 5% [-6] BZÖ 4% [-2] Others Direct vote for Chancellor: 25% Werner Faymann (SPÖ) 17% Michael Spindelegger (ÖVP) 15% Heinz-Christian Strache (FPÖ) Do you think there will be snap elections in 2012 (regular election date: Fall 2013) ? 26% Yes 62% No http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20111225_OTS0002/oesterreich-umfrage-jeder-vierte-rechnet-2012-mit-neuwahlen Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on December 28, 2011, 01:05:55 PM New Tyrol state elections poll for the TT:
44% ÖVP 17% SPÖ 16% FPÖ 13% Greens 8% CFT 1% CCT 1% BZÖ http://www.tt.com/csp/cms/sites/tt/%C3%9Cberblick/Politik/PolitikTirol/4034825-6/vp-schw%C3%A4chelt-stagnation-beim-koalitionspartner-sp%C3%B6.csp Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on December 30, 2011, 12:07:28 PM New Market poll for the "Standard":
30% [+1] SPÖ 26% [+8] FPÖ 23% [-3] ÖVP 14% [+4] Greens 5% [-6] BZÖ 2% [-4] Others http://derstandard.at/1324501448224/Umfrage-SPOe-klar-voran-Spindelegger-hinter-Strache No majority for FPÖ-ÖVP (well maybe, but it's 49-49) ... :) Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on January 01, 2012, 07:10:49 AM The first Gallup poll for Ö24 this year:
28% SPÖ 26% FPÖ 24% ÖVP 13% Greens 5% BZÖ 4% Others Austrians are not happy with the work of the SPÖVP government: 23% say they are happy 73% say they are not happy Most Austrian government politicians are in the red as well, meaning that they have a negative poll balance of trust minus no trust: () Only 4 politicians have positive ratings (actually 5 with the President) and 1 has a balanced rating. http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/Jahreszeugnis-fuer-unsere-Politiker/51266308 Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on January 08, 2012, 07:21:40 AM Not much change in todays Gallup poll:
() To reduce the budget deficit, Austrians most want to: * tax wealthy with a capital of 1 Mio. € or more (75%) * higher taxes on the 13th and 14th annual income for those earning 250K+ € a year (61%) * sell Eurofighters to other countries (57%) http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/Sonntag-kommt-Pensions-Paket/52012888 Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on January 08, 2012, 07:36:37 AM New Carinthia poll (not really a good one, only 300 people polled by an institute I've never heard of before and they were also polling undecideds and non-voters):
() 16% are non-voters and 20% are undecided. So, if we only count the decided voters, the results would be: 37.5% FPK 31.3% SPÖ 15.6% ÖVP 10.9% Greens 4.7% BZÖ FPK/ÖVP/BZÖ would lose about 8% combined compared with the 2009 elections. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on January 11, 2012, 08:46:31 AM New Market poll for Upper Austria:
45% (-2) ÖVP 22% (-3) SPÖ 17% (+2) FPÖ 13% (+4) Greens 2% (-1) BZÖ 1% (nc) Others (KPÖ, CPÖ) 58% ÖVP-Green government 42% Opposition parties http://www.nachrichten.at/nachrichten/politik/landespolitik/art383,795267 Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on January 14, 2012, 12:51:14 PM New polls:
Karmasin Motivforschung for Profil (poll was conducted before the S&P downgrade) 29% SPÖ 26% FPÖ 25% ÖVP 14% Greens 4% BZÖ 2% Others http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20120114_OTS0005/profil-umfrage-regierungsparteien-legen-zu ... Oekonsult/RMA poll: () Which party do you think will have a good year 2012 ? 27.9% FPÖ Which party do you think developed best in the year 2011 ? 30.7% FPÖ Which party do you trust most to make the right decisions for Austria ? 30.1% FPÖ Do you think things are going in the right or wrong direction in Austria ? 57% Right Who do you think has the power in Austria ? 36.7% Companies 25.9% EU 16.9% Politicians 14.5% Media 5.8% Citizens http://www.oekonsult.eu/RMA_OEKONSULT_HOFER_11jan2012.pdf Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on January 15, 2012, 05:38:53 AM Not much change in the weekly Gallup poll:
() Greens gaining a bit, BZÖ losing a bit. http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/Politbarometer-Regierung-erholt-sich/52816912 Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on January 21, 2012, 02:36:08 AM New Styria state elections poll by Gallup, conducted for the state ÖVP:
36% SPÖ 34% ÖVP 15% FPÖ 8% Greens 7% Others (KPÖ, BZÖ, CPÖ) Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Filuwaúrdjan on January 21, 2012, 01:39:30 PM I wouldn't have leaked that internal I've I were them.
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on January 22, 2012, 02:37:13 AM I wouldn't have leaked that internal I've I were them. Doesn't really matter because the next elections are in 2015 ... ;) Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: You kip if you want to... on January 22, 2012, 03:45:17 PM A decent majority believe that Austria's heading in the right direction, yet FPO leads on indictators for doing what's best for Austria? Troll country.
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: minionofmidas on January 22, 2012, 03:47:48 PM Finally a good, useful, two word summary of Austria. :)
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on January 23, 2012, 04:42:23 AM A decent majority believe that Austria's heading in the right direction, yet FPO leads on indictators for doing what's best for Austria? Troll country. Like in the US with the Tea Party folks, the FPÖ/BZÖ-people are those who say the country is on the wrong track. ÖVP/Green and the well-off-part of the SPÖ-voters think the country is on a good track. Also: Only FPÖ/BZÖ voters think the FPÖ provides good solutions for the country, while 70% choose other parties. That's why you shouldn't judge the country because of what just 3 in 10 voters have to say. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on January 26, 2012, 03:39:31 PM New poll by the accurate OGM institute for the Kurier and Heute newspapers:
() Vote for Chancellor: () "Heute" reports that Eva Glawischnig (Greens) gets 7% in the Chancellor vote, while BZÖ-leader Josef Bucher has 4%. "Someone else" is preferred by 19% and 16% are undecided. http://kurier.at/nachrichten/4482588-blau-zieht-gleich-mit-rot-oevp-stuerzt-ab.php http://www.heute.at/news/politik/art23660,652395 Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on January 28, 2012, 08:49:55 AM Gallup/Ö24:
28% [-1] SPÖ 27% [+9] FPÖ 24% [-2] ÖVP 13% [+3] Greens 5% [-6] BZÖ 3% [-3] Others http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/Neueste-Werte-SP-vorne-VP-legt-zu/54344255 Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on February 02, 2012, 01:45:11 PM ÖVP-FPÖ coalition option unaffected by 'New Jews' quote
Leading People’s Party (ÖVP) representatives have refused to rule out forming a coalition with the Freedom Party (FPÖ) after the coming election - despite disputed statements by the right-wing party’s chairman. FPÖ chief Heinz-Christian Strache allegedly compared the suffering of the Jewish community in Germany and Austria during World War Two (WWII) to what visitors of last Friday’s Viennese Corporations Ball had to go through. He was also quoted as describing members of his party as "the new Jews". Strache denied that he created direct comparisons between the Jews of the 1930s and 1940s and FPÖ supporters but underlined that he debated what occurred outside Hofburg Palace "under the influence of what I have been told by many people." The politician, who became chairman of the FPÖ in 2005, said many crying women told him they were beaten by protesters outside the venue of the event which is widely seen as a gathering of Europe’s right-wing extremist elite and far-right student fraternities. Five policemen, three guests of the ball and one protester were slightly injured in the altercations of that night. Strache – a member of Viennese student fraternity Vandalia – said on Tuesday that late FPÖ chief Jörg Haider once spoke about "the new Jews". Strache claimed he mentioned it during a private conversation at the ball. However, a journalist who made the statements public denied that Strache referred to Haider in the chat. It is unclear whether the reporter secretly listened to the discussion or participated in it after claiming to be a voter of the FPÖ. Now Andreas Khol said Strache disqualified himself from becoming Austrian chancellor or vice chancellor one day. The ÖVP member and former parliament speaker also told Die Presse today (Thurs) that the Corporations Ball controversy did not rule out a possible future cooperation between Strache’s party and his faction. ÖVP chief Michael Spindelegger appealed to Strache to apologise. However, both Spindelegger and his party’s general secretary, Hannes Rauch, also pointed out that coalitions were an essential aspect of democracies. The SPÖ said Strache’s statements were "absurd" while the Greens announced he "disqualified himself as a politician a long time ago." SPÖ Chancellor Werner Faymann said yesterday he felt confirmed in his strict no to a future partnership with the FPÖ. Faymann’s faction teamed up with the FPÖ for three years in the 1980s. At that time, liberal forces had the upper hand in the party which had got closer to the right-wing spectrum ever since. http://austrianindependent.com/news/Politics/2012-02-02/10143/%D6VP-FP%D6_coalition_option_unaffected_by_%27New_Jews%27_quote Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on February 04, 2012, 11:40:44 AM Strache's "We are the new Jews" is not liked by the Austrians, says a new Gallup poll:
29% (+1) SPÖ 25% (+1) ÖVP 24% (-3) FPÖ 14% (+1) Greens 4% (-1) BZÖ Direct vote for Chancellor: 26% (+2) Faymann (SPÖ) 18% (+2) Spindelegger (ÖVP) 11% (-5) Strache (FPÖ) Do you want H.C. Strache to step down as FPÖ leader ? 51% Yes 33% No Do you think it was the right or wrong decision by President Heinz Fischer to revoke the planned awarding of an Austrian honorary medal of the Republic for Strache ? 70% Right 17% Wrong http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/FPOe-stuerzt-in-Sonntagsfrage-ab/55137543 ... Kind of similar to the FPÖ's drop in the polls after Pres. candidate Barbara Rosenkranz's statements of gas chambers and the attacks by Breivik in Norway. Don't think it will last very long, in a few weeks the FPÖ should be back at their usual 27/28% again, especially with the planned spending cuts/tax increase package that will be unveiled at the end of February ... Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: RedPrometheus on February 08, 2012, 12:24:31 PM Strache's "We are the new Jews" is not liked by the Austrians, says a new Gallup poll: 29% (+1) SPÖ 25% (+1) ÖVP 24% (-3) FPÖ 14% (+1) Greens 4% (-1) BZÖ Direct vote for Chancellor: 26% (+2) Faymann (SPÖ) 18% (+2) Spindelegger (ÖVP) 11% (-5) Strache (FPÖ) Do you want H.C. Strache to step down as FPÖ leader ? 51% Yes 33% No Do you think it was the right or wrong decision by President Heinz Fischer to revoke the planned awarding of an Austrian honorary medal of the Republic for Strache ? 70% Right 17% Wrong ... Kind of similar to the FPÖ's drop in the polls after Pres. candidate Barbara Rosenkranz's statements of gas chambers and the attacks by Breivik in Norway. Don't think it will last very long, in a few weeks the FPÖ should be back at their usual 27/28% again, especially with the planned spending cuts/tax increase package that will be unveiled at the end of February ... That's at least a bright spot. I hope the left will gain some momentum before the next election. A chancellor Strache would definitly be a disaster. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on February 08, 2012, 12:34:41 PM Strache's "We are the new Jews" is not liked by the Austrians, says a new Gallup poll: 29% (+1) SPÖ 25% (+1) ÖVP 24% (-3) FPÖ 14% (+1) Greens 4% (-1) BZÖ Direct vote for Chancellor: 26% (+2) Faymann (SPÖ) 18% (+2) Spindelegger (ÖVP) 11% (-5) Strache (FPÖ) Do you want H.C. Strache to step down as FPÖ leader ? 51% Yes 33% No Do you think it was the right or wrong decision by President Heinz Fischer to revoke the planned awarding of an Austrian honorary medal of the Republic for Strache ? 70% Right 17% Wrong ... Kind of similar to the FPÖ's drop in the polls after Pres. candidate Barbara Rosenkranz's statements of gas chambers and the attacks by Breivik in Norway. Don't think it will last very long, in a few weeks the FPÖ should be back at their usual 27/28% again, especially with the planned spending cuts/tax increase package that will be unveiled at the end of February ... That's at least a bright spot. I hope the left will gain some momentum before the next election. A chancellor Strache would definitly be a disaster. Hallo, RedPrometheus :) Bist du aus Deutschland ? Wenn ja, woher denn genau ? Ich freu mich immer, wenn neue deutschsprachige Mitglieder dazukommen und sich meinen Thread hier ansehen. Wennst willst, kannst ja auch deinen Senf dazuposten ... ;) PS: Ja, Strache als Kanzler wäre wohl der absolute Super-GAU. Aber es sieht danach aus, als wirds nicht dazu kommen. UHBP (Unser Herr Bundespräsident) Fischer wird einen Strache mit seinen Ansichten (und die seiner Partei) wohl nie und nimmer angeloben. Und sollte die FPÖ 2013 siegen, werden sich SPÖ oder ÖVP nicht in eine FPÖ-Knechtschaft begeben. Die würden eher wieder eine Große Koalition eingehen. Also, kann zwar im Laufe des Wahlkampfs noch viel passieren, aber ich glaube die in Österreich hass-geliebte GROKO aus SPÖVP wird weiter Bestand haben, auch nach 2013. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on February 08, 2012, 01:09:29 PM Big deal in the next weeks will be the unveiling of a big spending cuts/tax increase package by the government and the political fallout. I have already posted this elsewhere, but I want it here too:
Congratulations! I wish Austria well going forward this is a very big deal! It's not THAT big of a deal, because it turned out that the Opposition (FPÖ/Greens/BZÖ) blocked all efforts to pass a constitutional balanced budget amendment + 60% debt cap. And because SPÖVP didn't have the necessary 2/3 majority for a constitutional change, they just passed a simple law. That's why I changed the thread title ... ;) But: It seems the SPÖVP government can actually get budget-balancing things done, even without a CBBA. They are currently finishing their talks about a 26-30 billion € spending cut/tax increase package that will be unveiled in the next weeks. This package will run until 2016 and consolidate the Austrian budget by roughly 5-6 billion € each year, so that the country will have no deficit by 2016 or 2017. Newspaper reports suggest the final deal will be made up of about 70% spending cuts and 30% tax increases. But it could also end up 75/25, because the ÖVP wants more spending cuts rather than tax increases. Both parties have taken a look at areas that will not hurt the broader middle class and cripple the solid economy. So the major consolidation areas will be: * Pensions: reform of pension entry ages, real entry age will steadily raised to 65 from an average 58 years (Austrians are record-holders in early retirement, due to the historically strong pension representatives in the "old parties" SPÖ and ÖVP). Early retirement for women (60) will steadily be phased out and be tied to the men's age of 65. Early retirement for physically damaged people (due to accidents, sickness, etc.) will be heavily restricted, so that people stay longer in the work process (you need at least 15 years of work to apply and then you have heavy deductions). A new "corridor-pension" will also be introduced: People aged 62+ with at least 37,5 insurance years can apply for this system in which they have to pay deductions of 4,2% annually until they are 65. Social Security payments will be raised by 0,5% annually for all (?) pensions, but SPÖVP have said a good deal will be invested in future care for seniors. This should save about 8 billion € until 2016. * Bureaucrats: Freeze in new hirings, but no firings. Administrative reforms such as merging county courts etc. Should save about 2,7 billion € * ÖBB (state rail): 1,4 billions in savings, due to a review of much-needed infrastructure projects and an end of early retirements for their employees. * Health Care/Hospitals/ELGA: 1,8 billions in savings due to reforms in this sector, introduction of ELGA (Electronic Health Report System) which makes it easier to share information between doctors, hospitals, emergency personnell etc. * Subsidies/Social Transfers: Will be cut by about 800 million $, mainly agriculture etc. * States/Cities: will consolidate their budgets by about 5,2 billion € * New Taxes: at least 7 billion € in new taxes, primarily focused on the Rich: real estate sales tax, higher taxes for high-income earners, reform in group-taxing http://derstandard.at/1328507151900/Da-wird-gespart-Die-grossen-Brocken Later more, if the package is unveiled ... Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on February 11, 2012, 07:22:22 AM New Profil poll (conducted before the budget-consolidation package yesterday):
30% SPÖ 24% ÖVP 24% FPÖ 13% Greens 4% BZÖ 5% Others http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20120211_OTS0006/profil-umfrage-spoe-legt-zu-fpoe-verliert Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on February 13, 2012, 02:49:42 AM Austria Agrees on 26.5 Billion Euros of Budget Cuts by 2016
By Zoe Schneeweiss Austria’s government agreed on pension and spending cuts and tax increases that will cut the Alpine republic’s deficit an accumulated 26.5 billion euros ($35 billion) by 2016. “We will have a balanced budget again in 2016,” Chancellor Werner Faymann, who leads the coalition government of Social Democrats and the pro-business People’s Party, said at a press conference in Vienna, broadcast live in Austrian state television ORF. About 76 percent of that is due to cuts, while 24 percent is because of new or increased taxes. Austria, which lost its AAA rating at Standard & Poor’s last month, is aiming to narrow its deficit to comply with balanced-budget rules agreed among euro-area leaders last month. The country’s budget deficit will fall to 0.6 percent of gross domestic product by 2016, from 3.1 percent last year, according to the plan. Debt, which amounted to 72.2 percent of GDP in 2011, will widen to 75.4 percent in 2014 before narrowing to 71 percent in 2016. Finance Minister Maria Fekter told Austria Press Agency that she hopes the measures will allow Austria to regain its AAA rating at S&P. The plan includes 7.26 billion euros of savings because of stricter rules for early retirement and lower pensions, about 2.5 billion euros saved on pay and hiring freezes for civil servants and about 440 million-euro tax surcharge for top earners. Additional measures include lower investments in infrastructure, health care and at the state-owned railway company, an end to double subsidies from regional and federal agencies and closing tax loopholes including an exemptions for real estate gains and tax benefits for gasoline acquired by farmers. The measures also include potential revenue of a tax on financial transactions within the European Union as of 2014 and taxes on undeclared Austrian funds in Swiss accounts, which should be levied on the basis of a treaty that still needs to be agreed on with Switzerland. http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-02-10/austrian-government-agrees-on-26-7-billion-euros-of-cuts-by-2016.html ... There's also a first OGM poll out about the budget consolidation package: () 50% say that they will be "strongly affected" by the package 53% say that the package is not balanced enough to affect all groups equally 73% say there will be another consolidation package before 2016 The goals of which party were mostly achieved in the package ? 45% ÖVP 19% SPÖ The rise in pensions will be about 1% lower than the inflation rate in 2013/14. Do you think this is OK ? 38% Yes 54% No There will be no pay rise for civil servants in 2013 and only a moderate rise in 2014. Do you think this is OK ? 72% Yes 21% No There will be a hiring freeze of civil servants, except in the areas of Justice, Police and Teachers. Do you think this is OK ? 68% Yes 24% No High-income earners (those earning more than 180.000€ a year) will have to pay a temporary solidarity tax between 3% and 6%. Do you think this is OK ? 85% Yes 9% No Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on February 14, 2012, 03:13:54 PM New Karmasin/TT poll for the only "important" (LOL) election this year in Austria.
INNSBRUCK CITY COUNCIL & MAYOR: 25% FI (center/liberal) 21% Greens (eco/left) 17% ÖVP (center-right) 16% SPÖ (center-left) 10% LRF (far right) 7% FPÖ (far right) 3% TSB (center) 1% KPÖ (far left) Direct vote for Mayor: 57% Christine Oppitz-Plörer (FI-Incumbent) The election will be held on April 15. http://www.tt.com/csp/cms/sites/tt/%C3%9Cberblick/Politik/PolitikTirol/4296812-6/fi-im-hoch-konkurrenz-schw%C3%A4chelt.csp Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on February 16, 2012, 11:21:03 AM New poll for Austria's Utah (Vorarlberg):
44% ÖVP 26% FPÖ 13% Greens 13% SPÖ 2% BZÖ 2% Others http://www.vol.at/lt-wahlen-am-sonntag-oevp-wuerde-absolute-mehrheit-klar-verlieren/3169890 Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Colbert on February 16, 2012, 04:52:38 PM Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Leftbehind on February 16, 2012, 05:13:29 PM LRF? I don't recognise that acronym.
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on February 17, 2012, 01:12:52 AM LRF? I don't recognise that acronym. Liste Rudi Federspiel Local former FPÖ dude who's running with his own right-wing list. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: MaxQue on February 17, 2012, 01:31:55 AM Federspiel is a family name or a word?
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on February 17, 2012, 01:35:56 AM Federspiel is a family name or a word? It's his real last name. In English, something like "feather game". Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on February 17, 2012, 01:40:58 AM LRF? I don't recognise that acronym. Liste Rudi Federspiel Local former FPÖ dude who's running with his own right-wing list. http://www.rudi-federspiel.at/2012/home/team Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Filuwaúrdjan on February 17, 2012, 09:30:16 AM Federspiel is a family name or a word? It's his real last name. In English, something like "feather game". Cockfighting? Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on February 17, 2012, 09:57:45 AM Federspiel is a family name or a word? It's his real last name. In English, something like "feather game". Cockfighting? Yes, one FPÖ-cock fights the other. I like when the FPÖ is splintered and fighting. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on February 19, 2012, 07:27:04 AM First Gallup/Ö24 poll after the BCP:
() Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on February 19, 2012, 08:11:46 AM Because the BZÖ is below the 4% treshold, there are only 3 coalitions possible now:
* SPÖVP * FPÖ-ÖVP or ÖVP-FPÖ * SPÖ-FPÖ Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Colbert on February 21, 2012, 10:43:31 PM is there in austria some FPO/SPO coalition (on lander, city, or other)?
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on February 22, 2012, 02:35:40 AM is there in austria some FPO/SPO coalition (on lander, city, or other)? At least not in the states. There are 2500 cities/towns in Austria, so I have no clue if there's a SPÖ-FPÖ coalition anywhere. Probably not, or only in some small towns nobody cares about. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on February 22, 2012, 02:44:46 AM Strache's "We are the new Jews" is not liked by the Austrians, says a new Gallup poll: ... Kind of similar to the FPÖ's drop in the polls after Pres. candidate Barbara Rosenkranz's statements of gas chambers and the attacks by Breivik in Norway. Don't think it will last very long, in a few weeks the FPÖ should be back at their usual 27/28% again, especially with the planned spending cuts/tax increase package that will be unveiled at the end of February ... Here we are, 3 weeks later, and the FPÖ is back to 27% according to the new "Standard" poll: 28% SPÖ 27% FPÖ 24% ÖVP 16% Greens 4% BZÖ 1% Others http://derstandard.at/1329703258346/Meinungsumfrage-OeVP-hat-sich-durchgesetzt---und-zahlt-die-Rechnung Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on February 25, 2012, 07:01:42 AM New "Profil" poll regarding the planned start of "Hydraulic Fracking" in Lower Austria by the main Austrian Oil and Gas company OMV:
36% favor 39% oppose 25% have no opinion http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20120225_OTS0008/profil-umfrage-befuerworter-und-gegner-der-schiefergasfoerderung-im-weinviertel-gleichauf In Lower Austria, the OMV has found huge gas reserves, worth 30 years of Austria's annual gas demand. The Greens have already spoken out against the project, even though the OMV has said that they will only use "clean fracking" in the future. "Clean Fracking" means that, instead of aquifier-damaging chemicals, natural products like cornstarch would be used to fracture the rock layers and to extract the gas. Currently, the ÖVP-held state government of Lower Austria has put the plans on hold, but the ÖVP-led Austrian Ministry of Economy will have the final say in that matter. And I guess that because of the pressure from Green groups and concerned citizens, they will only allow the OMV to frack by using "clean fracking" technology. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on February 25, 2012, 07:11:55 AM A big reason why the ÖVP is against allowing Hydro-Fracking in Lower Austria right now:
In early 2013, state elections will be held in Lower Austria and the ÖVP there has to defend their absolute majority from 2008. And the ÖVP doesn't need angry (usually ÖVP voting) citizens in the area where the fracking should take place. But the OMV is also the biggest taxpayer in Austria and one of the most profitable companies in the country, providing tons of jobs etc., so the ÖVP cannot be against it forever. We'll probably see the ÖVP-led Ministry of Economy to okay Hydro-Fracking in the summer of 2013, after the Lower Austria election is fought - but before the 2013 Austrian Parliament election takes place. In this case, everyone should be happy: The Lower Austria ÖVP, because they have avoided the issue during the election campaign, the Greens, because they get their clean fracking and the OMV, because they get their gas and the citizens because they get new jobs. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on February 25, 2012, 07:40:32 AM The city (Poysdorf) where the huge gas reserves where found and where the OMV wants to start the Hydro-Fracking, was about 74% ÖVP and 7% FPÖ in the last state election in 2008. In the last parliamentary election the ÖVP got about 50%, FPÖ/BZÖ/CPÖ another 25%.
http://wahl08.bmi.gv.at/gm_31644.htm The whole region north of Vienna is very conservative, so you can see why the ÖVP is very cautious in allowing hydrofracking this year. They have a lot to lose. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on February 26, 2012, 03:17:12 AM Weekly Ö24/Gallup poll:
() FPÖ seems to have recovered quite quickly from Strache's "Jews" quote. Ö24 also reports that Strache has been invited by Rick Santorum for a meeting later this year. And they report that the SPÖVP government could strategically call for early elections already in the fall of this year or in the spring of next year - instead of the regular date in the fall of 2013. Strategically, because the SPÖ thinks it could run an election campaign based on wealth taxes and the ÖVP because of a tax system overhaul and because they think that Strache's FPÖ has now peaked and that Strache can be portrayed as "having no clue or solutions for economic matters". http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/daniel/Politik-Insider-Warum-Regierung-schon-bald-waehlen-lassen-will/57591173 Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on February 26, 2012, 03:28:14 AM As you can see, the Gallup poll from today shows almost the same result like the actual election in 2008, just with 2 small differences:
* The BZÖ-vote has gone from 11% to 3%, and these 8% have gone to the FPÖ. * The Greens went from 10% to 13%. But the SPÖ has exactly the 29% like in 2008 and the ÖVP has also their 26% from 2008. The Greens probably gained from the 6% who voted for "other" parties in 2008 (mainly the LIF and FRITZ). Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Colbert on February 27, 2012, 05:09:19 AM As you can see, the Gallup poll from today shows almost the same result like the actual election in 2008, just with 2 small differences: * The BZÖ-vote has gone from 11% to 3%, and these 8% have gone to the FPÖ. * The Greens went from 10% to 13%. But the SPÖ has exactly the 29% like in 2008 and the ÖVP has also their 26% from 2008. The Greens probably gained from the 6% who voted for "other" parties in 2008 (mainly the LIF and FRITZ). quite boring, the Austrian electoral scene, no ? I prefer spectacular changes, like PASOK fall or GOP primary race (smiley with tongue) Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on February 28, 2012, 01:39:18 PM As you can see, the Gallup poll from today shows almost the same result like the actual election in 2008, just with 2 small differences: * The BZÖ-vote has gone from 11% to 3%, and these 8% have gone to the FPÖ. * The Greens went from 10% to 13%. But the SPÖ has exactly the 29% like in 2008 and the ÖVP has also their 26% from 2008. The Greens probably gained from the 6% who voted for "other" parties in 2008 (mainly the LIF and FRITZ). quite boring, the Austrian electoral scene, no ? I prefer spectacular changes, like PASOK fall or GOP primary race (smiley with tongue) Sometimes yes, sometimes no. I'd like an election this year too, not next year. 2012 is very boring when it comes to elections here. No state elections either. It would be better if the Bundesrat would be transformed into some kind of Senate with 50 members that are directly elected in 50 Austrian "Senate districts". But that won't happen. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on March 04, 2012, 06:09:44 AM Only a new Innsbruck poll this week:
27% FI 22% Greens 15% SPÖ 15% ÖVP 10% FPÖ 10% LRF 1% TSB 0% KPÖ 0% Pirates http://www.tt.com/csp/cms/sites/tt/Nachrichten/4404190-2/b%C3%BCrgermeisterin-allein-auf-weiter-flur.csp Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on March 10, 2012, 03:38:17 AM 2 new polls out today.
Ö24/Gallup: 29% SPÖ 27% FPÖ 25% ÖVP 13% Greens 3% BZÖ 3% Others Direct vote for Chancellor: 24% Faymann (SPÖ) 18% Spindelegger (ÖVP) 14% Strache (FPÖ) http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20120310_OTS0012/oesterreich-umfrage-spoe-bleibt-auf-platz-1-fpoe-legt-zu-oevp-verliert Profil/Karmasin Motivforschung 29% SPÖ 26% FPÖ 24% ÖVP 14% Greens 3% BZÖ 4% Others Direct vote for Chancellor: 19% Faymann (SPÖ) 14% Spindelegger (ÖVP) 13% Strache (FPÖ) 5% Glawischnig (Greens) http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20120310_OTS0005/profil-umfrage-regierungsparteien-stagnieren-fpoe-wieder-auf-platz-zwei Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on March 10, 2012, 04:25:43 AM New Spectra poll for Upper Austria:
State elections 45% ÖVP (-2) 22% SPÖ (-3) 19% FPÖ (+4) 10% Greens (+1) 4% Others (nc) http://www.nachrichten.at/nachrichten/politik/landespolitik/art383,834502 Federal elections 28% SPÖ (-3) 24% ÖVP (-3) 23% FPÖ (+4) 12% Greens (+2) 8% BZÖ (-1) 5% Others (+1) http://www.nachrichten.at/nachrichten/politik/innenpolitik/art385,835270,B ... New Salzburg state elections poll by IGF in todays Kronen Zeitung newspaper (sample=513): 38% SPÖ (-1) 35% ÖVP (-2) 16% FPÖ (+3) 9% Greens (+2) 2% Others (-2) Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on March 10, 2012, 08:08:27 AM I was bored, so I created a map of all recent Austrian state elections by county and winning party and its share:
() Grey = ÖVP (6 shades: 20-30%, 30-40%, 40-50%, 50-60%, 60-70%, 70-80%) Red = SPÖ (3 shades: 30-40%, 40-50%, 50-60%) Orange = BZÖ (3 shades: 30-40%, 40-50%, 50-60%) Innsbruck City is the only county with 20-30% for the ÖVP, even though Tamsweg looks like 20-30% too, but it's actually the colour for 30-40% ... probably an optic effect :P Zwettl is the only 70% or more ÖVP county. 2 districts in Carinthia (Wolfsberg and Feldkirchen) are 50-60% for the BZÖ. I'm in the 40% SPÖ-coloured district of ZE. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: ObserverIE on March 10, 2012, 06:43:44 PM Is there a reason why the SPÖ does well in rural Salzburg?
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on March 11, 2012, 03:01:06 AM Is there a reason why the SPÖ does well in rural Salzburg? There are mostly 2 reasons I guess: * One reason is called Governor Gabriele Burgstaller, who is a more business-friendly, not-your-average SPÖ-hack common-sense Governor with ÖVP roots in her family herself. She covers a wide field of potential voters: business people who usually vote ÖVP, the base voters, young people, usual FPÖ-blue collar voters and Green voters. * Rural Salzburg's economy has grown relatively fast in the past 8 years thanks to the state government's policies and investments into rural areas. Tourism is booming, employment rises by 3% annually, unemployment is the lowest in all of Austria, people are considerably well off even by Austrian standards (which are already high in EU standards). Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Hash on March 11, 2012, 08:14:36 AM There certainly is a demographic reason to it as well. Such stuff doesn't usually happen without there being a demographic reason to it.
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on March 11, 2012, 09:57:22 AM There certainly is a demographic reason to it as well. Such stuff doesn't usually happen without there being a demographic reason to it. Not sure if that's a factor. Rural Salzburg is demographically not much different from let's say Tirol or Upper Austria, and these regions are strongly ÖVP. The regions of Tirol and Upper Austria are also not wealthier than Salzburg, though wealthier than the Austrian average. The West in general is more wealthier, with Carinthia, Burgenland and Styria being on the lower end. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on March 11, 2012, 10:05:05 AM Here for example is the Gross Regional Product for Austrian NUTS regions:
() So, wealthy regions in Austria vote for SPÖ and ÖVP alike, while poorer regions also vote for SPÖ and ÖVP alike. The FPÖ tends to do better in wealthy areas, as well as the Greens. The BZÖ only really exists in Carinthia. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Filuwaúrdjan on March 11, 2012, 05:08:55 PM Of course that's not really a good way of measuring that kind of thing.
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on March 12, 2012, 04:23:40 AM Of course that's not really a good way of measuring that kind of thing. Which indicators would you use ? ... Anyway, new Market poll for Salzburg published in today's Standard newspaper: 40% ÖVP 39% SPÖ 12% FPÖ 9% Greens 0% BZÖ (:)) Direct vote for Governor: 40% Gabriele Burgstaller (SPÖ) 21% Wilfried Haslauer (ÖVP) 3% Karl Schnell (FPÖ) 3% Cyriak Schweighofer (Greens) 0% Robert Stark (BZÖ) http://derstandard.at/1331206998476/Umfrage-Burgstaller-als-Landeshauptfrau-unangefochten The ÖVP basically gains all the voters from the BZÖ, which got 4% in the 2009 state elections, while the numbers for the other parties are mostly unchanged. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Antonio the Sixth on March 12, 2012, 04:27:41 AM Robert Stark ? LOL
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on March 12, 2012, 04:41:13 AM Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on March 12, 2012, 12:13:58 PM New Vorarlberg poll by "M&R Institut für Marktforschung":
51% ÖVP 25% FPÖ 14% Greens 9% SPÖ 1% Others http://vorarlberg.orf.at/news/stories/2524624 SPÖ drops to single-digits. LOL. Vorarlberg is to the SPÖ what Vienna is to the ÖVP. Single digit territory. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on March 12, 2012, 12:22:20 PM New national poll by the historically accurate OGM institute for "Kurier":
() The poll also asked: "Do you want SPÖVP continue to govern after the 2013 elections ?" 51% said "No", while 30% said "Yes". Below that there are the preferred coalitions if SPÖVP are unable/unwilling to form a coalition again. () http://kurier.at/nachrichten/4488166-mehrheit-hat-genug-von-rot-schwarz.php Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on March 15, 2012, 02:46:30 AM New Vorarlberg poll:
44% ÖVP 25% FPÖ 14% SPÖ 13% Greens 4% Others http://www.vol.at/absolute-weg-vn-umfrage-zeigt-oevp-bei-44-prozent/3195680 Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on March 22, 2012, 09:13:40 AM 2 new polls:
Market/Standard 29% SPÖ 27% FPÖ 24% ÖVP 15% Greens 4% BZÖ 1% Others http://derstandard.at/1331779942103/Umfrage-Klare-Mehrheit-gegen-Blaue-in-Regierung ATV Austria Trend 29% SPÖ 27% FPÖ 23% ÖVP 13% Greens 6% BZÖ 2% Others http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20120322_OTS0081/atv-oesterreich-trend-oevp-mit-23-prozent-deutlich-hinter-fpoe-auf-platz-3 ... There's also a new article about FPÖ-leader Strache @ Reuters: http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/03/22/us-austria-right-idUSBRE82L0A920120322 Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on March 24, 2012, 03:59:40 AM The Innsbruck election, which takes place in about a month, has become considerably more interesting in the last week because the ÖVP changed their mayoral frontrunner from a mostly unknown guy to a more widely known and more popular guy. In the previous TT poll it looked like FI and its imcumbent Mayor Christine Oppitz-Plörer was pulling away from everyone else, but now the FI has taken a hit and is back in a tie again with the Greens and the ÖVP and Oppitz-Plörer herself has only 39% support left in the mayoral election, making a run-off likely:
() () Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on March 24, 2012, 08:59:29 AM The FPÖ is about to overtake the SPÖ, according to the new Gallup poll for Ö24:
28% FPÖ 28% SPÖ 23% ÖVP 14% Greens 3% BZÖ 4% Others http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20120324_OTS0037/oesterreich-umfrage-fpoe-holt-spoe-ein-oevp-verliert The Wolfgang Schüssel-era corruption scandals that are now investigated in a parliamentary investigation committee are really hurting the ÖVP, because most of the corrupt figures during the Schüssel-era (2000-2006) are from the ÖVP. There are also FPÖ and BZÖ figures involved, but it seems that voters are not blaming the FPÖ and BZÖ because they think that Strache and Bucher head the "new" FPÖ and BZÖ, while the corrupt figures were mostly the ones who worked for Jörg Haider and former Chancellor Wolfgang Schüssel. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on March 30, 2012, 04:16:07 AM Seen in Innsbruck, ahead of the municipial election next month:
() "Love for the homeland, instead of Moroccan thieves" () "We defend our citizens, others defend asylum defrauders and criminals" Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on March 31, 2012, 12:32:25 AM Seen in Innsbruck, ahead of the municipial election next month: () "Love for the homeland, instead of Moroccan thieves" There are now problems with the Moroccan embassy: Austrian far-right party probed over ‘racist’ poster slammed by Morocco as ‘humiliating’ Friday, 30 March 2012 Austrian prosecutors said Friday they are investigating the far-right Freedom Party for alleged incitement of racial hatred after complaints about campaign posters for local elections next month. The FPOe party’s posters for the election in the western city of Innsbruck carry the slogan “Heimat-Liebe statt Marokkaner-Diebe,” meaning “Patriotism not thieving Moroccans.” The Moroccan embassy in Vienna issued an angry statement attacking what it called the FPOe’s “defamatory and discriminatory behavior” and accusing it of “humiliating, stigmatizing and discriminating against” the Moroccan community. “The embassy condemns in the strongest possible terms this hurtful practice aimed only at winning votes at the cost of respect for fundamental human rights,” the Austria Press Agency (APA) quoted the statement as saying. The FPOe, led by the charismatic Heinz-Christian Strache, is neck-and-neck in national opinion polls with Chancellor Werner Faymann’s Social Democrats, with Faymann’s federal coalition partners, the People’s Party, in third place. The FPOe is hoping to win seats in Innsbruck city council, where it is currently not represented, in local elections on April 15. The next national vote is not due until 2013. In January Strache provoked outrage after he allegedly said that the “persecution” of members of the far-right attending a controversial Viennese ball made them “the new Jews.” http://english.alarabiya.net/articles/2012/03/30/204274.html ... While I don't agree with the FPÖ-posters as they are implying all Moroccans are thieves and criminals, there is of course and there has been a serious problem with Moroccans in the city of Innsbruck. Almost all the drug trafficking and dealing at the Hauptbahnhof (rail station) Innsbruck is controlled by Moroccans, there have been shootings and stabbings and thefts among Moroccan (asylum seekers) and in 2009, four young Moroccan men raped a 17-year old Austrian girl in Innsbruck for a few hours and injured her critically. So, you see why the FPÖ does this. The party thinks that the city government, police and social workers have failed to contain the "Moroccan problem". Nonetheless, the FPÖ in Innsbruck is a joke party and even has a far-right rival list with the "LRF". Both of them combined will get about 20% of the vote next month. LRF maybe 11-12% and the FPÖ about 8-9%. At least the FPÖ got the attention they wanted with their "moroccan" posters and it's controversy. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on April 03, 2012, 05:07:24 AM Typical FPÖ-strategy "We retreat, but not really ..." :P:
Far-right party defends anti-Moroccan slogan VIENNA -- Senior officials from Austria's far-right party are defending election campaign posters that condemn so-called "Moroccan thieves" even after taking them down to avoid legal action. The Freedom Party slogan for local elections in Innsbruck translates as "Love your home country instead of Moroccan thieves." The far-right party backs restrictions on immigration. Innsbruck party officials said Sunday they were getting rid of the posters after Morocco threatened legal action and Austrian state prosecutors said they were considering criminal charges. August Penz, the party's local leader, said he "never intended to insult anyone." But on Monday Gerald Hauser, the head of Tyrol's Freedom Party, said there was nothing wrong with the posters and urged Morocco to "take back its criminals." The Freedom Party is Austria's second most popular. http://www.sacbee.com/2012/04/02/4384084/far-right-party-defends-anti-moroccan.html Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on April 03, 2012, 11:19:32 AM New Innsbruck poll, conducted slightly ahead of "Morocco-gate":
() () () http://regionaut.meinbezirk.at/innsbruck/politik/platzgummer-holt-stark-auf-rennen-voellig-offen-d157912.html Interestingly, the ÖVP has now overtaken the FI for the first time - because of their new and more popular frontrunner. Also, the FPÖ is ahead of the LRF in this poll, contrary to other polls. And maybe the Pirates will take votes away from the Greens ? And the Communists (KPÖ) takes votes away from the SPÖ ? We'll have to wait for other polls to see what's happening there, because "Morocco-gate" is not yet reflected in these results. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on April 05, 2012, 08:53:17 AM New Profil/Karmasin poll:
29% SPÖ 27% FPÖ 23% ÖVP 13% Greens 2% BZÖ 6% Others (KPÖ, CPÖ, Pirates etc.) http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20120405_OTS0009/profil-umfrage-freiheitliche-legen-zu-volkspartei-verliert-weiter "Would you consider voting for the Austrian Pirate Party ?" 25% Yes 68% No http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20120405_OTS0010/profil-umfrage-jeder-vierte-haelt-piratenpartei-fuer-waehlbar BTW, the Austrian Pirate Party is not comparable with the German one, it's a joke party and barely exists. "Do you think classes in schools should start at 9am, rather than 8am ?" 20% Yes 69% No http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20120405_OTS0011/profil-umfrage-mehrheit-der-oesterreicher-gegen-unterrichtsbeginn-um-neun-uhr Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: You kip if you want to... on April 05, 2012, 09:01:54 AM New Profil/Karmasin poll: 29% SPÖ 27% FPÖ 23% ÖVP 13% Greens 2% BZÖ 6% Others (KPÖ, CPÖ, Pirates etc.) http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20120405_OTS0009/profil-umfrage-freiheitliche-legen-zu-volkspartei-verliert-weiter "Would you consider voting for the Austrian Pirate Party ?" 25% Yes 68% No http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20120405_OTS0010/profil-umfrage-jeder-vierte-haelt-piratenpartei-fuer-waehlbar BTW, the Austrian Pirate Party is not comparable with the German one, it's a joke party and barely exists. "Do you think classes in schools should start at 9am, rather than 8am ?" 20% Yes 69% No http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20120405_OTS0011/profil-umfrage-mehrheit-der-oesterreicher-gegen-unterrichtsbeginn-um-neun-uhr Austrian school starts 8am? That's crazy. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on April 05, 2012, 09:09:28 AM Austrian school starts 8am? That's crazy. Not really, we are just up early ... ;) I always got up at 6:30 in the morning to catch the school bus. But I have known others who had to get up at 5.30 or 6.00, because their school was 40 km away, and the bus stops every 2 or so km to pick up students ... :P Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Iannis on April 06, 2012, 04:51:28 AM New Profil/Karmasin poll: 29% SPÖ 27% FPÖ 23% ÖVP 13% Greens 2% BZÖ 6% Others (KPÖ, CPÖ, Pirates etc.) http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20120405_OTS0009/profil-umfrage-freiheitliche-legen-zu-volkspartei-verliert-weiter "Would you consider voting for the Austrian Pirate Party ?" 25% Yes 68% No http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20120405_OTS0010/profil-umfrage-jeder-vierte-haelt-piratenpartei-fuer-waehlbar BTW, the Austrian Pirate Party is not comparable with the German one, it's a joke party and barely exists. "Do you think classes in schools should start at 9am, rather than 8am ?" 20% Yes 69% No http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20120405_OTS0011/profil-umfrage-mehrheit-der-oesterreicher-gegen-unterrichtsbeginn-um-neun-uhr Austrian school starts 8am? That's crazy. In Italy too. And I think that also worktime should start at the same time and not 9 Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Franzl on April 06, 2012, 11:49:30 AM My German high school started at 7:45 am.
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Filuwaúrdjan on April 06, 2012, 12:30:53 PM Madness. No wonder you people produced Hitler.
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on April 06, 2012, 11:33:34 PM Madness. No wonder you people produced Hitler. Did school always start at 9 in the UK or did it start earlier in the past ? :P Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on April 06, 2012, 11:42:39 PM New Styria state elections poll by the good OGM institute:
() () () () http://www.kleinezeitung.at/nachrichten/politik/2990050/ja-zum-sparpaket-aber-minus-fuer-spoe-oevp.story Pretty weird: Even though voters in Styria are happy with the SPÖVP government there and think that the state is on a good path and give the party leaders and their policies good grades, the SPÖ and the ÖVP are losing heavily compared with the 2010 state elections while the FPÖ, Greens and the KPÖ are gaining strongly. One good thing is that the BZÖ follows the path of the German FDP: into non-existance ... :) Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Хahar 🤔 on April 07, 2012, 12:08:34 AM I have school from 7:35 to 12:35.
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on April 07, 2012, 12:09:58 AM I have school from 7:35 to 12:35. Then you are obviously a fascist, according to our UKers ... ;) Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on April 07, 2012, 02:35:43 AM There's also a new OGM poll in today's "Kurier" newspaper, which surveyed Austrians about the work of ÖVP-leader Michael Spindelegger and his team of ÖVP ministers after 1 year of work (1 year ago, the previous ÖVP-boss Josef Pröll stepped down because of health problems and Spindelegger changed some ministers):
() Spindelegger himself has very low approval ratings, as well as the women in his team (but not because they are women, but because their offices and how they handle it is really bad). Beatrix Karl, Minister for Justice, has problems because of how some polarizing cases were handled and because of problems within the system (not enough judges, lawyers etc.) Johanna Mikl-Leitner, Interior Minister, has problems because she's a hardliner on immigration and asylum and because of the new unpopular data storage law. And Maria Fekter, Minister for Finances, is well ... Maria Fekter. Also a hardliner, excentric and always had low approval ratings. Only 30% of Austrians approve of the job that Spindelegger has done in the previous year, while 55% disapprove. The only 2 that have positive ratings are Sebastian Kurz (Secretary of State for Immigration & Integration), who is the youngest member of government in the history of Austria. The other one is Minister for Science and Universities and former Dean of Innsbruck University, Karl-Heinz Töchterle - a former Green Party member. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on April 07, 2012, 08:25:42 AM New Gallup poll for Ö24:
28% FPÖ 28% SPÖ 22% ÖVP 14% Greens 4% BZÖ 4% Others In a separate election question, Gallup also included the Austrian Pirate Party and a new party by Austrian/Canadian billionnaire Frank Stronach (which does not exist yet). The news report says that the Pirates would get 7% support and the Stronach-party would get 6%, with the SPÖ/FPÖ and Greens losing the most support. http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/OeSTERREICH-Umfrage-SPOe-und-FPOe-auf-Platz-1-OeVP-verliert-weiter/62104088 Frank Stronach has previously said that he "may create a new party based on economic policy". But he already said it a year ago and nothing has happened in the meantime. If he's really serious about it, he'd probably have to create it in the next 6 months, because of the party organisation and because the "silent campaign" for the Oct. 2013 election already starts in the fall. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Frank_Stronach Stronach, who was a member and candidate for the Canadian Liberal Party once (or still is) - is also rumoured to financially back the BZÖ in their 2013 campaign if they adopt some of his policy ideas in their election platform. A few of the BZÖ people are working for his MAGNA company and the BZÖ is a business-oriented and center-right-liberal party, therefore it would fit Stronach's goals. Without Stronach's financial help, the BZÖ is probably D.O.A. next year. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on April 07, 2012, 08:36:57 AM In a separate election question, Gallup also included the Austrian Pirate Party and a new party by Austrian/Canadian billionnaire Frank Stronach (which does not exist yet). The news report says that the Pirates would get 7% support and the Stronach-party would get 6%, with the SPÖ/FPÖ and Greens losing the most support. Ahh, my email to the Ö24 editorial department has helped. They have now updated their article to show support for SPÖ, ÖVP, FPÖ, Greens and BZÖ too. The results are: 25% [-3] FPÖ 25% [-3] SPÖ 22% [nc] ÖVP 10% [-4] Greens 7% [+7] Pirates 6% [+6] Stronach-party 3% [-1] BZÖ 2% [-2] Others So, the Greens would lose the most to the Pirates and the Stronach-party ? That's surprising, I thought it would be the FPÖ ... Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Swedish Rainbow Capitalist Cheese on April 07, 2012, 09:14:21 AM The only 2 that have positive ratings are Sebastian Kurz (Secretary of State for Immigration & Integration), who is the youngest member of government in the history of Austria. He's quite cute I must say. Although he looks like the typicalcocky upper-class kid you also find in Swedish politics who people find really annoying. What's he like politically? Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on April 07, 2012, 09:38:09 AM The only 2 that have positive ratings are Sebastian Kurz (Secretary of State for Immigration & Integration), who is the youngest member of government in the history of Austria. He's quite cute I must say. Although he looks like the typicalcocky upper-class kid you also find in Swedish politics who people find really annoying. What's he like politically? No, from interviews he comes across as likeable actually. I have seen many other ÖVP types from Vienna who seem to be much more arrogant than him. Politically, he does what a Secretary of State for Integration needs to do. He thinks Imams in Austrian mosques should be trained only in Austria, not for example in Turkey where they are then basically civil servants to the Turkish state, and the imams should also be required to preach in German within the mosques. He also established so called "days of the open mosque", so that Austrians can visit mosques and learn something about Islam. He also established peer-groups of successful students with migrant-background who should give advice to pupils with problems in learning and talk with their parents if they have trouble at home. He also favors harsh penalties for parents if their children repeatedly skive lessons. And because he's also the leader of the Young ÖVP, he recently proposed a change in the tax system, so that Austrians can earmark 10% of their income taxes to areas they want (for example some people choose education, while other choose infrastructure etc.) In the past year, he actually had a ton of ideas what to do with integration and immigration matters (one newspaper even called him the "Integration-Alchemist") and I can't recall all of them. But because he has had so many ideas, he probably is the most liked politician in Austria right now, after President Heinz Fischer, and this with 25 years of age. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on April 07, 2012, 09:51:02 AM Here's a portrait of him if you understand some German:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qsKHsP-BYPY Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: MaxQue on April 07, 2012, 10:57:03 AM Doesn't Frank Stronach Canadian, through?
I remember his daughter Belinda, which was a Conservative/Liberal MP and which ran for Conservative leadership. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on April 07, 2012, 11:01:28 AM Doesn't Frank Stronach Canadian, through? I remember his daughter Belinda, which was a Conservative/Liberal MP and which ran for Conservative leadership. What's the meaning of your first sentence ? If Stronach is Canadian ? Don't know really, but I guess he has both the Austrian and the Canadian citizenship, because he was born here and already moved to Canada in the 50s. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: MaxQue on April 07, 2012, 11:06:55 AM I asked, with forgeting some words, if Stronach is Canadian and Austrian, because it would be strange to run in Austrian elections if you lived abroad for 60 years.
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on April 07, 2012, 11:15:24 AM I asked, with forgeting some words, if Stronach is Canadian and Austrian, because it would be strange to run in Austrian elections if you lived abroad for 60 years. I think he lives part-time in Canada and part-time in Austria these days. He comes accross in the media here once in a while. But it's not that he himself has to run "his" party. I've read somewhere that he eyes a former ÖVP politician as a front-runner of his party. Stronach would then only be the big financer of this party and give interviews to the newspapers and TV stations once in a while, without actually being elected to the Parliament. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Swedish Rainbow Capitalist Cheese on April 07, 2012, 04:09:55 PM Here's a portrait of him if you understand some German: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qsKHsP-BYPY Seems like my sort of politician. I'm guessing he's a quite likly ÖVP leader sometime in the future. Anyway, besides the fact the President has said he'd never appoint such an government, what's the liklyhood of an FPÖ-ÖVP coalition after the next election? Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on April 08, 2012, 12:16:22 AM Here's a portrait of him if you understand some German: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qsKHsP-BYPY Seems like my sort of politician. I'm guessing he's a quite likly ÖVP leader sometime in the future. Anyway, besides the fact the President has said he'd never appoint such an government, what's the liklyhood of an FPÖ-ÖVP coalition after the next election? Spindelegger doesn't want to rule out a FPÖ-ÖVP coalition categorically, contrary to Faymann. He keeps his options open, maybe because he knows that there's a possibility that SPÖVP could not have its own majority next year. And if the ÖVP really ends up at 20% next year due to all the corruption cases in the Schüssel-era that are now dealt with, he could try to be the Junior partner of a strong FPÖ. But many factors are unknows as of now: What will Fischer do if the FPÖ really gets 25-30% and the ÖVP wants to join them in a coalition ? Will other parties such as the Pirates or a Stronach-party cross the 4% threshold ? If Stronach does not support the BZÖ financially, will it fail to get beyond 4% ? Will powerful Lower Austria governor Erwin Pröll win the state election in March next year, then step down as Governor and run as the frontrunner for the ÖVP in the federal election ? And so on ... As for Kurz: Yeah, he's only 25 years. So he has at least 40 years left to become an ÖVP-leader later on. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on April 08, 2012, 01:03:50 AM As part of their Styria poll, OGM has also polled the Graz Municipial Election of January 2013:
() () () () http://www.kleinezeitung.at/steiermark/graz/graz/2990598/absturz-grazer-spoe-platz-drei.story ... Hmm, this is the 1st time that the Graz-FPÖ is ahead of the Graz-SPÖ ! In recent years, the Graz-SPÖ has become some sort of joke party with big internal problems and leadership changes. Just recently they changed their leader once again to a woman called Martina Schröck, who is not only seen as unpopular but also gets just 1% (!!!) in a direct vote for Mayor. Also notice that the KPÖ is still strong after the departure of Ernest Kaltenegger, who helped the Communists to record results in Graz. Elke Kahr seems to continue his good work. Also notice that 9% of voters would vote for "other parties". Which probably means the BZÖ and Pirates. I guess the SPÖ loses a lot of support to the KPÖ and Pirates next year. Some of the internals are really brutal for the SPÖ: Quote Umfragen sind immer das, was sie sind - Momentaufnahmen der politischen Stimmung. Versucht man, so etwas wie "das Ergebnis" der brandaktuellen OGM-Umfrage herauszufiltern, ist es wohl der Niedergang der lange Jahre regierenden Grazer SPÖ. Glaubte man, bei der Wahl 2008 mit 19,7 Prozent schon den absoluten Tiefpunkt erreicht zu haben, sprechen die aktuellen Zahlen eine andere Sprache: Mit 15 Prozent liegt man nur noch auf Platz drei - nur einen Prozentpunkt vor den Grünen und gerade noch drei vor der KPÖ. An der seit Jahren anhaltenden Negativtendenz konnte auch die neue Parteichefin Martina Schröck nichts ändern. Wiewohl sie als vierte Parteichefin innerhalb von zwei Jahren nicht die Hauptschuldige ist. Schröck am Tiefpunkt Das viel Dramatischere für die SPÖ an dieser Umfrage: Schröck liegt nicht nur bei den Sympathiewerten weit abgeschlagen an vorletzter Stelle - die letzte nimmt ihr Parteikollege Michael Grossmann ein. Vor allem liegt sie innerhalb der eigenen Wählerschaft katastrophal: Nur 23 Prozent haben von ihr eine gute Meinung, 19 dagegen eine schlechte. Und 24 Prozent der SPÖ-Wähler können mit ihrem Namen nichts anfangen. Negativer Höhepunkt: Bei den über 50-Jährigen, der insgesamt stärksten Wählergruppe, haben nur 13 Prozent eine gute, aber 59 Prozent eine schlechte Meinung von Schröck. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Swedish Rainbow Capitalist Cheese on April 08, 2012, 06:09:37 PM If SPÖVP fail to reach a majority, is a SPÖVP + Greens coalition a possibility?
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Kevinstat on April 08, 2012, 07:43:09 PM Here's a portrait of him if you understand some German: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qsKHsP-BYPY Seems like my sort of politician. I'm guessing he's a quite likly ÖVP leader sometime in the future. Anyway, besides the fact the President has said he'd never appoint such an government, what's the liklyhood of an FPÖ-ÖVP coalition after the next election? What if (hypothetically) the FPÖ won a majority of seats in the federal parliament. Could the President refuse to appoint that government? What role (beyond ceremonial) does the president have over such things? Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on April 09, 2012, 12:52:24 AM If SPÖVP fail to reach a majority, is a SPÖVP + Greens coalition a possibility? Yes, but I don't know if the ÖVP would be more likely to join a FPÖ-led coalition or a SPÖ-ÖVP-Green coalition. Austrian politicians never say which coalitions they prefer ahead of an election. But Spindelegger could opt for FPÖ-ÖVP, because the ÖVP would get more ministers in this coalition than they would get in a SPÖ-ÖVP-Green one. Here's a portrait of him if you understand some German: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qsKHsP-BYPY Seems like my sort of politician. I'm guessing he's a quite likly ÖVP leader sometime in the future. Anyway, besides the fact the President has said he'd never appoint such an government, what's the liklyhood of an FPÖ-ÖVP coalition after the next election? What if (hypothetically) the FPÖ won a majority of seats in the federal parliament. Could the President refuse to appoint that government? What role (beyond ceremonial) does the president have over such things? I think he has to swear this government in then, if the FPÖ gets 50%+ I found this explanation: Quote Die Nationalratswahlen haben auch die politische Bedeutung von Kanzlerwahlen. Der frisch gewählte und insofern personalplebiszitär legitimierte Kanzlerkandidat steht dem früher gewählten personalplebiszitär legitimierten Bundespräsidenten gegenüber. Bei absoluter parlamentarischer Mehrheit des Kanzlerkandidaten wird daher der Entscheidungsspielraum des Bundespräsidenten gemäß Art 70 B-VG auf null reduziert. Das Gutdünken oder rechtliche Ermessen bei der Auswahl der Personen wird zur faktischen Bindung. Bei starker relativer Mehrheit eines Kanzlerkandidaten schrumpft der Spielraum umso mehr, je mehr der Kandidat sich auf eine von ihm veranlaßte sichere Koalitionsmehrheit stützen kann. Zur relativen plebiszitären Legitimation kommt die parlamentarische. Auch dann ist der Entscheidungsspielraum des Bundespräsidenten reduziert. Bei relativer Mehrheit eines Kanzlerkandidaten ohne sichere Koalitionsmehrheit ist der Bundespräsident relativ frei. http://www.boku.ac.at/wpr/wpr_dp/dp-26.pdf It says that "if a parliamentary election results in an absolute majority for the winning party, the election is like a direct Chancellor election and then the Chancellor candidate is in the same position like the President and therefore the swearing-in of the Chancellor candidate by the President becomes de-facto binding." Even though another source says this: Quote Was passiert, wenn HC Strache (FPÖ) Nummer 1 bei der nächsten Nationalratswahl wird? Der Kurier fragte Bundespräsident Heinz Fischer (SPÖ), ob er schon bald Strache als Kanzler angeloben muss? Antwort Bundespräsident Heinz Fischer: "Von MUSS kann keine Rede sein". (kurier.at 23. April 2011) Stellt sich die Frage was passieren würde, wenn Strache mehr als 50% der Stimmen - also eine absolute Mehrheit - bekommt. Rein theoretisch könnte Bundespräsident Fischer auch dann eine Angelobung von Strache als Bundeskanzler verweigern. Dann würde aber die Demokratie in Österreich ordentlich ins Wanken geraten, denn die FPÖ könnte jedes Gesetz im Parlament blockieren und eine eventuelle Minderheitsregierung von SPÖ & ÖVP mit Misstrauensanträgen aus dem Amt kippen. Somit müßte Bundespräsident Fischer entweder gute Mine zur Strache-Angelobung machen (wie zB Thomas Klestil bei der Angelobung der FPÖ-ÖVP Koalition) oder als Bundespräsident zurücktreten und auf monatlich 22.848 Euro Gehalt verzichten. http://www.nationalratswahl.at This source says that Fischer could refuse to appoint Strache as Chancellor even if the FPÖ gets more than 50% of the vote. A FPÖ-majority in parliament could then block every law by a SPÖVP minority government by a no-confidence vote, which would lead to a failure of this SPÖVP minority government. If the SPÖVP minority government crashes, Fischer would either have to swear in Strache as Chancellor like Klestil had to do with the FPÖ/ÖVP coalition after the '99 elections or Fischer would need to step down as President. ... As you can see, the Austrian Constitutional Law from 1929 is very outdated when it comes to these scenarios and probably should be amended to have clear rules what to do in these situations. But the politicians back then probably thought that no party other than Socialists or Christian Democrats would ever head a government in the future ... :P Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Swedish Rainbow Capitalist Cheese on April 09, 2012, 03:51:34 AM Austrian politicians never say which coalitions they prefer ahead of an election. Do they really need to though, it's always SPÖVP. You guys seem to like your grand coalitions more than even Sweden loves Social Democrats. :P Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Antonio the Sixth on April 09, 2012, 04:18:05 AM Austrian politicians never say which coalitions they prefer ahead of an election. Do they really need to though, it's always SPÖVP. You guys seem to like your grand coalitions more than even Sweden loves Social Democrats. :P Considering that the only alternative is coalition with a far-right party, I'm perfectly fine with grand coalitions. :P Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: minionofmidas on April 09, 2012, 04:23:52 AM My German high school started at 7:45 am. It was some special deal due originally to Deutsche Bahn timetables and the fact that it was the most easily reached Gymnasium for residents of Maintal... though by my time, very few people in Maintal sent their kids to Frankfurt from 5th grade on, instead attending the local Gesamtschule and transferring in 11th, so by then it was really just a case of inertia/tradition. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Iannis on April 11, 2012, 04:05:00 AM If SPÖVP fail to reach a majority, is a SPÖVP + Greens coalition a possibility? Yes, but I don't know if the ÖVP would be more likely to join a FPÖ-led coalition or a SPÖ-ÖVP-Green coalition. Austrian politicians never say which coalitions they prefer ahead of an election. But Spindelegger could opt for FPÖ-ÖVP, because the ÖVP would get more ministers in this coalition than they would get in a SPÖ-ÖVP-Green one. Here's a portrait of him if you understand some German: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qsKHsP-BYPY Seems like my sort of politician. I'm guessing he's a quite likly ÖVP leader sometime in the future. Anyway, besides the fact the President has said he'd never appoint such an government, what's the liklyhood of an FPÖ-ÖVP coalition after the next election? What if (hypothetically) the FPÖ won a majority of seats in the federal parliament. Could the President refuse to appoint that government? What role (beyond ceremonial) does the president have over such things? I think he has to swear this government in then, if the FPÖ gets 50%+ I found this explanation: Quote Die Nationalratswahlen haben auch die politische Bedeutung von Kanzlerwahlen. Der frisch gewählte und insofern personalplebiszitär legitimierte Kanzlerkandidat steht dem früher gewählten personalplebiszitär legitimierten Bundespräsidenten gegenüber. Bei absoluter parlamentarischer Mehrheit des Kanzlerkandidaten wird daher der Entscheidungsspielraum des Bundespräsidenten gemäß Art 70 B-VG auf null reduziert. Das Gutdünken oder rechtliche Ermessen bei der Auswahl der Personen wird zur faktischen Bindung. Bei starker relativer Mehrheit eines Kanzlerkandidaten schrumpft der Spielraum umso mehr, je mehr der Kandidat sich auf eine von ihm veranlaßte sichere Koalitionsmehrheit stützen kann. Zur relativen plebiszitären Legitimation kommt die parlamentarische. Auch dann ist der Entscheidungsspielraum des Bundespräsidenten reduziert. Bei relativer Mehrheit eines Kanzlerkandidaten ohne sichere Koalitionsmehrheit ist der Bundespräsident relativ frei. http://www.boku.ac.at/wpr/wpr_dp/dp-26.pdf It says that "if a parliamentary election results in an absolute majority for the winning party, the election is like a direct Chancellor election and then the Chancellor candidate is in the same position like the President and therefore the swearing-in of the Chancellor candidate by the President becomes de-facto binding." Even though another source says this: Quote Was passiert, wenn HC Strache (FPÖ) Nummer 1 bei der nächsten Nationalratswahl wird? Der Kurier fragte Bundespräsident Heinz Fischer (SPÖ), ob er schon bald Strache als Kanzler angeloben muss? Antwort Bundespräsident Heinz Fischer: "Von MUSS kann keine Rede sein". (kurier.at 23. April 2011) Stellt sich die Frage was passieren würde, wenn Strache mehr als 50% der Stimmen - also eine absolute Mehrheit - bekommt. Rein theoretisch könnte Bundespräsident Fischer auch dann eine Angelobung von Strache als Bundeskanzler verweigern. Dann würde aber die Demokratie in Österreich ordentlich ins Wanken geraten, denn die FPÖ könnte jedes Gesetz im Parlament blockieren und eine eventuelle Minderheitsregierung von SPÖ & ÖVP mit Misstrauensanträgen aus dem Amt kippen. Somit müßte Bundespräsident Fischer entweder gute Mine zur Strache-Angelobung machen (wie zB Thomas Klestil bei der Angelobung der FPÖ-ÖVP Koalition) oder als Bundespräsident zurücktreten und auf monatlich 22.848 Euro Gehalt verzichten. http://www.nationalratswahl.at This source says that Fischer could refuse to appoint Strache as Chancellor even if the FPÖ gets more than 50% of the vote. A FPÖ-majority in parliament could then block every law by a SPÖVP minority government by a no-confidence vote, which would lead to a failure of this SPÖVP minority government. If the SPÖVP minority government crashes, Fischer would either have to swear in Strache as Chancellor like Klestil had to do with the FPÖ/ÖVP coalition after the '99 elections or Fischer would need to step down as President. ... As you can see, the Austrian Constitutional Law from 1929 is very outdated when it comes to these scenarios and probably should be amended to have clear rules what to do in these situations. But the politicians back then probably thought that no party other than Socialists or Christian Democrats would ever head a government in the future ... :P I hope Fischer would not be so anti-democratic. If FPO gets a majority, FPO leads the government. Period. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on April 14, 2012, 12:35:32 AM Tomorrow, the only moderately important 2012 Austrian election will take place in Innsbruck.
A new city council and mayor will be elected. 96.861 people aged 16 and over who are also EU-citizens will be eligible to vote. The mayoral election is a direct vote, so every voter gets 2 ballots. The polls are open from 7am to 6pm and first results can be expected at about 7.30pm The 2006 results were: 27% FI (Liste Für Innsbruck, center-right, split from the ÖVP in the 90s, have the current mayor) 20% SPÖ (Social Democrats, center-left) 19% Greens (left/green politics, Greens are very strong because Innsbruck is a student city) 15% ÖVP (center-right, could get a polling boost because they changed their frontrunner) 9% LRF (Liste Rudi Federspiel, right-wing/populist, headed by a former ÖVP/FPÖ politician) 5% FPÖ (far-right/populist, created a controversy with "Moroccan thieves" posters) 3% TSB (Tyrolean Seniors League, center right, mainly made up of ÖVP people) 3% Others Turnout was about 60% in 2006. This year, the Communists and Pirates will also take part in the election. They are both polling between 1 and 3%. Here are the historical results in Innsbruck: http://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ergebnisse_der_Kommunalwahlen_in_Innsbruck#Gemeinderatswahlen Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on April 14, 2012, 12:50:10 AM My prediction for tomorrow:
22% FI 20% Greens 20% ÖVP 16% SPÖ 8% LRF 8% FPÖ 3% TSB 2% Pirates 1% KPÖ Mayor Christine Oppitz-Plörer (FI) and Christoph Platzgummer (ÖVP) are heading for a mayoral run-off. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on April 14, 2012, 01:04:51 AM The polls are open from 7am to 6pm and first results can be expected at about 7.30pm Slight correction: The polls are actually open from 8am to 5pm tomorrow says the Innsbruck election homepage and results are expected after 6pm. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on April 15, 2012, 03:45:19 AM Innsbruck results can be found here after 6pm local time (final results are expected at 8pm):
http://wahlen.innsbruck.gv.at Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on April 15, 2012, 03:50:12 AM And here:
http://www.tt.com/dossier/thema.csp?s=Wahl_2012 And here: http://tirol.orf.at/studio/stories/2528915 Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on April 15, 2012, 04:55:16 AM Strache at the final FPÖ campaign event in Innsbruck:
Quote () Strache verteidigt rassistischen Slogan und will "anständige Leute" Auch Strache konnte sich einen Seitenhieb auf Oppitz-Plörer und ihre zum Teil in türkischer Sprache affichierte Wahlwerbung nicht verhalten. "Ich weiß nicht, ob ich in Izmir oder in Innsbruck bin", meinte er und erntete Applaus. Er verteidigte erneut die mit der Aufschrift "Heimatliebe statt Marokkaner-Diebe" heftig kritisierten und schließlich abmontierten Wahlplakate der Innsbrucker FPÖ. "Niemand von uns ist ein Ausländerfeind, wir wollen anständige Leute", erklärte er. "Deutsche Landessprache beherrschen" Jeder anständige Zuwanderer habe früher oder später das Recht, die österreichische Staatsbürgerschaft zu bekommen. Dafür müsse er aber die deutsche Landessprache beherrschen, einen Arbeitsplatz haben und fleißig sein. Do you see the irony ? Hint: Take a look at the poster behind Strache ... :) Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on April 15, 2012, 08:34:31 AM Hehe:
() :) 90 minutes to go. Then we can see how well the Pirates did with their 3000€ budget ... :P Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on April 15, 2012, 10:41:01 AM 20 minutes until the first results. I'm hoping for an epic fail result for the FPÖ (well, the FPÖ has always been epic fail in Innsbruck, so the question is only if they get more or less than 10%).
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on April 15, 2012, 10:46:50 AM 4 of 152 Sprengel already counted (2,63% of the votes):
() Platzgummer (ÖVP) leads Oppitz-Plörer (FI) by 1 vote for Mayor ... :P http://wahlen.innsbruck.gv.at Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on April 15, 2012, 10:49:12 AM It looks that out of the first 4 precincts, 3 are retirement home precincts.
Thats why the Greens suck right now ... Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on April 15, 2012, 10:50:42 AM Also, turnout seems to be really crappy, in the lower 40s.
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on April 15, 2012, 10:59:41 AM 2 precincts are in a Mormon Church ... :P
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on April 15, 2012, 12:09:49 PM About 2/3 of the vote in now:
ÖVP and FI are still fighting for 1st place. The Greens are now at their 2006 level, which would again be their best result in Innsbruck. The 14.6% for the SPÖ would not be their worst result, they got 11.7% in 2000. The FPÖ continues to suck (8% is way below the 13% they got in 1989 and 1994). The Pirates will get 1 seat in the city council for the first time with a campaign budget of only 3000€. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on April 15, 2012, 12:51:58 PM 100% counted:
() Seats: () Change compared with 2006: () Mayoral direct election: () http://wahlen.innsbruck.gv.at Oppitz-Plörer (FI) and Platzgummer (ÖVP) will advance to a run-off in 2 weeks. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: MaxQue on April 15, 2012, 01:44:44 PM That Pirate poster is great to learn colors in German.
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on April 16, 2012, 02:56:37 AM Also, turnout seems to be really crappy, in the lower 40s. Final results (incl. postal votes) actually show turnout up to 52.3%, which is still the worst figure ever in Innsbruck and down by 5.5% compared with the 2006 elections. Final result (incl. postal votes): 21.9% [+7.3] ÖVP (9 seats) 21.0% [-5.8] FI (9 seats) 19.1% [+0.6] Greens (8 seats) 14.5% [-5.2] SPÖ (6 seats) 7.9% [-1.5] LRF (3 seats) 7.7% [+2.7] FPÖ (3 seats) 3.8% [+3.8] Pirates (1 seat) 2.7% [-0.2] TSB (1 seat) 1.4% [+0.5] KPÖ Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on April 16, 2012, 03:32:13 AM Here you can see that the FI and the ÖVP and also the TSB is in reality just "the ÖVP". Christine Oppitz-Plörer (FI) and Christoph Platzgummer (ÖVP) - which will head to the run-off - even held a joint post-election event together:
() :P So, the 3 lists of the ÖVP actually got 46% yesterday. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on April 23, 2012, 09:47:54 AM New "Heute" ("Today") newspaper poll:
27% FPÖ 27% SPÖ 23% ÖVP 13% Greens 3% BZÖ 7% Others (Pirates, KPÖ, CPÖ) http://www.heute.at/news/politik/art23660,696631 Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on April 23, 2012, 09:54:58 AM New Gallup poll shows the FPÖ pulling ahead again after months of being tied or second:
() The news release says that the "Pirates" have 5% of the 6% who voted for "other parties". () http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/Strache-ist-schon-Erster/63650869 ... A new IMAS poll for the Kronen Zeitung shows a weak FPÖ: () This poll looks like a joke poll and total outlier. 7% for the BZÖ ? LOL. http://www.krone.at/Oesterreich/Umfrage-Fiasko_fuer_die_FPOe_-_Platz_2_ist_weit_entfernt-Lebenszeichen_der_VP-Story-318953 Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: You kip if you want to... on April 24, 2012, 07:02:16 PM If the Pirates let the FPO become the largest party, will Pirate voters realise how innane their opinion is?
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Swedish Rainbow Capitalist Cheese on April 24, 2012, 08:36:20 PM If the Pirates let the FPO become the largest party, will Pirate voters realise how innane their opinion is? I rather think most Pirate voters couldn't care less which party comes out on top. If anything they might prefer FPÖ on top, after all the far-right and the pirates share the same demographic base, young working-class males who dislike/distrust the establishment. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on April 25, 2012, 12:47:31 AM If the Pirates let the FPO become the largest party, will Pirate voters realise how innane their opinion is? I rather think most Pirate voters couldn't care less which party comes out on top. If anything they might prefer FPÖ on top, after all the far-right and the pirates share the same demographic base, young working-class males who dislike/distrust the establishment. I don't think you can say that the Pirates will be responsible for the FPÖ winning. A previous poll has shown that SPÖ, FPÖ and Greens would all lose about 3% each if the Pirates and a Frank Stronach party would run next year. Because the Pirates are mostly a protest party, I even think that they would hurt the FPÖ the most during the election campaign. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on April 28, 2012, 12:50:27 PM New Gallup poll for Ö24 shows that the Pirates now have officially Parliamentary support:
27% (-1) FPÖ 27% (nc) SPÖ 22% (nc) ÖVP 13% (-1) Greens 6% (+1) Pirates 3% (nc) BZÖ 2% (+1) Others Majority for FPÖVP and SPÖVP and FPÖ-SPÖ (totally unlikely though). No majority for SPÖ-Greens-Pirates. http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/Piraten-Partei-schon-bei-sechs-Prozent-laut-OeSTERREICH-Umfrage/64347638 Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on April 28, 2012, 01:06:52 PM PS:
Ö24 notes that the Pirate voters are made up mostly by voters who have not voted in 2008 (they account for about 50% of all Pirates) and former FPÖ, SPÖ, Green and BZÖ voters with about equal support. Only the ÖVP doesn't seem to lose voters to the Pirates, but the ÖVP is badly damaged anyway. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Hash on April 28, 2012, 01:11:20 PM Pirates are cute, but they're pretty useless, so this Germanic Pirate-mania is becoming a bit stupid.
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on April 28, 2012, 01:24:57 PM Pirates are cute, but they're pretty useless, so this Germanic Pirate-mania is becoming a bit stupid. Maybe the Pirate-mania will die off in the next year anyway and if not, they still have to collect 2600 signatures somehow to be on the ballot. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on April 29, 2012, 05:39:40 AM Recent comments on FPÖ-leader Strache's Facebook site regarding a 15-year old Turkish arsonist who burned down the Catholic Dome in Wr. Neustadt incl. 1 million € of damage:
() http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/chronik/niederoesterreich/Wiener-Neustadt-Feuerteufel-will-Dom-reparieren/63865026 :o Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on April 29, 2012, 11:17:04 AM http://wahlen.innsbruck.gv.at Oppitz-Plörer (FI) and Platzgummer (ÖVP) will advance to a run-off in 2 weeks. With 100% counted once again, Christine Oppitz-Plörer wins the run-off with 56% of the vote and remains the Mayor of Innsbruck. Before the run-off, she announced that she would seek a coalition between FI, Greens and either SPÖ or ÖVP, while ruling out any coalition that includes the FPÖ. Platzgummer on the other hand said that he would also include the FPÖ in a coaliton. Therefore, I'm quite happy with the result. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on May 05, 2012, 08:06:28 AM New "Profil" poll by Karmasin Motivforschung:
29% SPÖ 26% FPÖ 24% ÖVP 12% Greens 2% BZÖ 7% Others (Pirates, CPÖ, KPÖ, LIF (?), planned Stronach-party etc.) You can clearly see that the FPÖ, Greens and BZÖ all lose votes to the Pirates, while the SPÖ and ÖVP remain mostly where they were. Direct vote for Chancellor: 21% Faymann (SPÖ) 16% Spindelegger (ÖVP) 14% Strache (FPÖ) 6% Glawischnig (Greens) http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20120505_OTS0003/profil-umfrage-volkspartei-legt-zu-freiheitliche-verlieren Austrians also want the border checks back, according to the same poll: 70% favor the re-introduction of border and passport checks, like Sarkozy wants it 25% are opposed http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20120505_OTS0008/profil-umfrage-grosse-mehrheit-fuer-wiedereinfuehrung-der-passkontrollen Austrians are also against the SPÖ-proposal to limit the average working time of Austrians to 38,5 hours a week. Currently, the average Austrian works about 43 hours each week. 50% are opposed 41% support the proposal http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20120505_OTS0005/profil-umfrage-haelfte-der-oesterreicher-glaubt-nicht-an-erfolg-des-transparenzpakets Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on May 12, 2012, 11:49:50 PM FPÖ is now clearly first in the new Gallup poll for Ö24:
() Pirates now at 7%, which is their highest share ever. FPÖ+Pirates+BZÖ are at 37% - which would be a new record for protest partys. SPÖVP government (47%) is now without a majority (50% for FPÖ/Greens/Pirates/BZÖ). It also looks like the Pirates are mostly gaining from the SPÖ, ÖVP, Greens and BZÖ - but not the FPÖ. Approval Ratings for Austrian Party leaders: () http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/FP-voran-Faymann-legt-zu/65833391 Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on May 16, 2012, 04:55:08 AM A few minor news stories:
In Innsbruck, the liberal FI list (a split-off from the ÖVP) from re-elected mayor Christine Oppitz-Plörer has agreed to form a coalition with the Greens and the SPÖ. http://www.tt.com/Nachrichten/4792560-2/innsbrucker-ampel-zwingt-vp-in-die-opposition.csp Austrian ÖVP-leader Michael Spindelegger and BZÖ-leader Josef Bucher have called the Austrian Pirates (who currenly poll about 7% - mostly from SPÖ/ÖVP/Greens/BZÖ) a "bunch of clowns and anarchists": Quote People’s Party (ÖVP) Vice Chancellor Michael Spindelegger has branded the Pirate Party (PPÖ) as a "group of clowns". The foreign minister said in a speech at Hofburg Palace in Vienna yesterday (Mon) that the increasingly popular party consisted of "political clowns". Some analysts think that the established parties still fail to realise the threat the PPÖ and other up and coming parties are posing to their leading positions. The PPÖ, which has not yet competed on federal level, won one seat in last month’s Innsbruck city parliament election. The PPÖ bagged 3.8 per cent. The Social Democrats (SPÖ) of Innsbruck sustained a loss of around five per cent to 14.5 per cent while the ÖVP managed to come first. The conservative party won almost 22 per cent. Spindelegger’s attack on the PPÖ – which is currently focusing on online issues such as free of charge downloads – comes just days after Josef Bucher, the head of the Alliance for the Future of Austria (BZÖ), said the PPÖ featured "anarchists". The opposition politician – whose party has the support of only two per cent in current polls – told newspaper Die Presse: "We have a different structure of voters." Spindelegger invited hundreds of ÖVP members and supporters of his party to Hofburg Palace to hear his visions for the future. The vice chancellor – who took over as chairman of the ÖVP one year ago – said there must be a reduction of bureaucratic barriers for Austrian companies. He also called for a tax reform for families. The BZÖ and the parliament’s other opposition parties, the Greens and the Freedom Party (FPÖ), are expected to point out that the ÖVP missed many chances to do so itself. The party is part of the government since 1986. Spindelegger also criticised the SPÖ. He said the party of Chancellor Werner Faymann – whose recent web 2.0 campaign flopped terribly – "is afraid of the future". SPÖ officials have accused the ÖVP of the same in the past months due to its blockade of educational reforms and a change of the army’s structure. SPÖ Education Minister Claudia Schmied wants to create one compulsory school system for all children to give everyone the same chances to succeed. The teachers’ council and the ÖVP are against most of the main aspects of her plans. http://austrianindependent.com/news/Politics/2012-05-15/11178/%D6VP_head_pounces_on_PP%D6 Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on May 19, 2012, 12:10:47 AM New Carinthia poll by the Humaninstitut Klagenfurt:
41% FPK 30% SPÖ 14% ÖVP 8% Greens 7% Others (BZÖ, PPÖ, CPÖ, KPÖ etc.) http://www.humaninstitut.at/humaninstitut/download.php?file=POLIT_KULTUR_IN_KAERNTEN.pdf Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on May 20, 2012, 11:11:36 AM New OGM poll (the best pollster) says the following:
71% of Austrians want Greece out of the Eurozone now so they can get back to the Drachme 21% are opposed http://kurier.at/wirtschaft/4496671-griechen-raus-71-prozent-der-oesterreicher-sind-dafuer.php Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on May 20, 2012, 11:30:45 PM New Market poll (which didn't asked for the Pirates), conducted last week:
() If we compare it with the latest Gallup poll that I posted above and that includes the Pirates, we can clearly see that the SPÖ loses 3 points to the Pirates, the BZÖ 2 points and the ÖVP and the Greens lose 1 point each (3+2+1+1 = 7% for the Pirates). The FPÖ loses nothing and remains at 27%. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Flocke on May 22, 2012, 09:24:06 AM From last week's market poll
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on May 22, 2012, 10:06:58 AM From last week's market poll
Holy sh*t ! Someone else from Austria on this Forum ? I've waited 6 years for this ... :) Welcome Flocke, where are you from ? I'm from Zell am See in Salzburg. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Franzl on May 22, 2012, 10:13:54 AM Oh wow, noch ein Ösi! ;)
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on May 22, 2012, 10:19:03 AM Oh wow, noch ein Ösi! ;) At the rate we are going, we'll soon overtake you Preißn/Piefke ... ;) (Franzl, you are living/studying in Munich now, right ? So you are only a semi-Piefke anymore ... :P) Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Franzl on May 22, 2012, 10:22:13 AM Oh wow, noch ein Ösi! ;) At the rate we are going, we'll soon overtake you Preißn/Piefke ... ;) (Franzl, you are living/studying in Munich now, right ? So you are only a semi-Piefke anymore ... :P) It's a rather long story, but I'm back at my real home in Southern Hesse/Odenwald, studying in Frankfurt. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on May 22, 2012, 10:31:15 AM Oh wow, noch ein Ösi! ;) At the rate we are going, we'll soon overtake you Preißn/Piefke ... ;) (Franzl, you are living/studying in Munich now, right ? So you are only a semi-Piefke anymore ... :P) It's a rather long story, but I'm back at my real home in Southern Hesse/Odenwald, studying in Frankfurt. Ah ok. But I just checked it: You may actually not qualify as a typical Preiß/Piefke - because you live slightly south of the Weißwurstäquator (similar to the Mason-Dixon line in the US): Quote The Weißwurstäquator (Austro-Bavarian: Weißwuascht-Äquator; literally: white sausage equator) is a humorous term describing the supposed cultural boundary separating Southern Germany, especially Bavaria, from Central Germany. It is named for the Weißwurst sausage of Bavaria. There is no precise definition of the Weißwurstäquator; it is sometimes taken to correspond with the linguistic boundary known as the Speyer line separating Upper German from Central German dialects, roughly following the Main River. It is sometimes taken to run further south, more or less along the Danube, or between the Main and the Danube, roughly along the 49th parallel north circle of latitude. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wei%C3%9Fwurst%C3%A4quator () Lewis on the other hand would qualify as a Preiß/Piefke though. ;) Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Flocke on May 22, 2012, 12:28:32 PM Welcome Flocke, where are you from ? I'm from Zell am See in Salzburg. Graz BTW this thread seems to be one of the best places to find recent polls on Austria. English or German. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Flocke on May 22, 2012, 12:48:35 PM If the Pirates let the FPO become the largest party, will Pirate voters realise how innane their opinion is? Strong Pirates are the only chance to prevent a FPÖ/ÖVP majority. German Pirates may be bad for Red-Green, but in Austria they wouldn't get enough votes anyway. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on May 22, 2012, 01:05:19 PM Welcome Flocke, where are you from ? I'm from Zell am See in Salzburg. Graz BTW this thread seems to be one of the best places to find recent polls on Austria. English or German. Nice city. A friend of mine is studying there. Yeah, I try to post as many polls I can find from all of Austria (federal, state, local elections). And this for the last 6 years. If you go to the "search" option, you can look for my 2006 and 2008 topics on the parliamentary elections too. Did you come here to this Forum because of my poll entries on the German Wikipedia ? BTW: What are your political leanings in Austria and the US ? I'm voting for Greens and SPÖ in Austria and would consider myself a liberal/socialist Democrat in the US. If the Pirates let the FPO become the largest party, will Pirate voters realise how innane their opinion is? Strong Pirates are the only chance to prevent a FPÖ/ÖVP majority. German Pirates may be bad for Red-Green, but in Austria they wouldn't get enough votes anyway. Yeah, but the Austrian Pirates still have huge organisational problems, no money and no programme. They also have to collect 2300 signatures to be on the ballot next year. And they have to hope that the Pirate support doesn't collapse in the next year. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Flocke on May 25, 2012, 08:50:14 AM There is a new poll from Humaninstitut
FPÖ 26% SPÖ 25% ÖVP 20% Greens 9% BZÖ 4% Pirates and new parties 16% Are you satisfied with what parties in parliament have to offer? Yes 20% No 64% Are Pirates and new platforms an alternative? good alternative 46% not much of an alternative 32% no alternative 22% But I wouldn't take it too serious, IMHO Humaninstitut is by far the worst pollster. Did you come here to this Forum because of my poll entries on the German Wikipedia ? There were links to international elections on wahlrecht.de, I think. And I remembered this site, when it was mentioned in a video about the Geography of United States Elections. BTW: What are your political leanings in Austria and the US ? I'm voting for Greens and SPÖ in Austria and would consider myself a liberal/socialist Democrat in the US. At federal level: Greens, for the lack of better options. I would consider voting SPÖ, if I could cast a Vorzugsstimme for a Sektion 8 member, but Faymann, Rudas and Niko Pelinka... Yeah, but the Austrian Pirates still have huge organisational problems, no money and no programme. They also have to collect 2300 signatures to be on the ballot next year. And they have to hope that the Pirate support doesn't collapse in the next year. Getting enough signatures in Austria is hard, but it shouldn't be a problem, when you are polling over 4%. I still think they can do even better than in Germany, because disappointment with the traditional parties is much higher here. Although their chances are best, if voters assume, that they are just like German Pirates. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on May 25, 2012, 11:31:33 AM There is a new poll from Humaninstitut FPÖ 26% SPÖ 25% ÖVP 20% Greens 9% BZÖ 4% Pirates and new parties 16% Are you satisfied with what parties in parliament have to offer? Yes 20% No 64% Are Pirates and new platforms an alternative? good alternative 46% not much of an alternative 32% no alternative 22% But I wouldn't take it too serious, IMHO Humaninstitut is by far the worst pollster. I agree with you. The Humaninstitut is from Klagenfurt (Carinthia) and they have always shown unrealistically high numbers for the BZÖ, for example in the Styria state election in 2010 when they had them at 6% or so and they only got 2.5%. Not that this result is THAT out of question: A Gallup poll a few weeks ago also showed that the Pirates and a Stronach party would get 7% each. BTW: What are your political leanings in Austria and the US ? I'm voting for Greens and SPÖ in Austria and would consider myself a liberal/socialist Democrat in the US. At federal level: Greens, for the lack of better options. I would consider voting SPÖ, if I could cast a Vorzugsstimme for a Sektion 8 member, but Faymann, Rudas and Niko Pelinka... For Niki Kowall maybe ? http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kPRUU3CYGx8 Yeah, but the Austrian Pirates still have huge organisational problems, no money and no programme. They also have to collect 2300 signatures to be on the ballot next year. And they have to hope that the Pirate support doesn't collapse in the next year. Getting enough signatures in Austria is hard, but it shouldn't be a problem, when you are polling over 4%. I still think they can do even better than in Germany, because disappointment with the traditional parties is much higher here. Although their chances are best, if voters assume, that they are just like German Pirates. Yeah, just read it. Their situation is really bad: Quote Begonnen - und vorläufig geendet - hat es im Gasthaus Wratschko in Wien-Neubau, dem Stammlokal der Piraten. Wo diese nunmehr mit einem Lokalverbot konfrontiert sind. Urheber des Lokalverbots sei Jorquera, laut Gedächtnisprotokoll von Straka habe der im Lokal gestänkert und wurde handgreiflich. Nicht zum ersten Mal, wie Straka behauptet. "Wir sind ja nicht die FPÖ", ärgert sich dieser, "wir können in der Partei keine körperlichen Übergriffe dulden." "Sozial unverträgliche Leute" müssten eben aus der Partei ausgeschlossen werden. Maßnahmen wurden bereits ergriffen, so soll bei den Piraten bei körperlichen Übergriffen eine dreiwöchige Stammtisch-Sperre verhängt werden, wie Christoph Trunk, ebenfalls Vorstand der Wiener Piraten, mitteilt. Das Stammtischverbot gilt aber nicht rückwirkend, Jorquera ist davon also nicht betroffen. Jorquera räumte ein, dass es "natürlich auch relativ intensive Diskussionen" gegeben habe, "aber keine Rauferei oder etwas Ähnliches". Jorquera: "Es gab keine Handgreiflichkeiten in diesem Sinne, nur einen Stupser." http://derstandard.at/1336697868249/Streit-Echte-Piraten-duerfen-nicht-raufen ::) Of course, if you are polling at 7% - getting 2300 signatures should not be too hard. But considering that you need a certain amount of signatures in every state from 100 in Burgenland to 500 in Vienna and you also consider that some states don't even have a local chapter at the moment, they can still fail to pass even this "very easy" barrier. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on May 25, 2012, 11:45:56 AM Here is a more detailed breakdown of the Austrian Pirates and the formation of their state chapters:
() Burgenland: has no Pirate Party yet Carinthia: has no Pirate Party yet, because there are not enough people interested. In June the creation of a party is planned Upper Austria: There's a party since Oct. 2011 and a party convention will be held this Saturday Tyrol: The Pirates in Innsbruck won a seat in the latest city council election, but the state Pirate Party is a seperatist one and is not getting along with the federal party (they got thrown out of the federal party). Vorarlberg: The Pirates exist since 2010, but the party was founded anew this year with new members. The Pirate Party in Salzburg, Lower Austria and Styria all exist since May 2012. The Vienna Pirate Party is the oldest (2006) and has the most members (146). http://diepresse.com/home/politik/innenpolitik/760349/Am-Stammtisch-der-Piraten_Chaos-als-Parteiprogramm Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on May 27, 2012, 12:23:47 AM FPÖ losing again, because of Martin Graf's recent financial scandals (Graf is a FPÖ-member and a de-facto Nazi and also the 3rd parliamentary president who cannot be removed from his post by the constitution):
() 71% of Austrians want Graf to step down (even 65% of FPÖ voters want it). Graf has said he has no intention of doing so. Looks like the publicity about the Pirates and their incredible chaos is now also having some effect, as they are dropping from 7% to 5%. http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/Affaere-Graf-kostet-FPOe-Platz-eins/67238666 Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on May 28, 2012, 12:02:46 PM Yay !
ÖVP-boss Spindelegger now wants a referendum ahead of the 2013 elections on the introduction of mandatory referendums - after petition drives have gathered a significant number of signatures (of course he doesn't say how many signatures that would be). :P Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Flocke on May 30, 2012, 08:32:25 AM The Black-Green coalition in Graz broke up today.
Mayor Nagl (ÖVP) wanted a referendum for a land purchase by the end on June, the Greens, like all other parties opposed the date, and favored September. The next election is planned for January 2013, but a snap election after the summer is possible. last poll from April (see page 55) ÖVP 34% FPÖ 16% SPÖ 15% Greens 14% KPÖ 12% Others (Pirates, BZÖ) 9% Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on May 30, 2012, 08:49:29 AM Interesting, but still somewhat predictable.
Weren't there problems already before in the Black-Green coalitions regarding the Umweltzone and the Murkraftwerk ? So, who will be the winners of this ? FPÖ, KPÖ and Pirates ? Even though I doubt that the FPÖ will come anywhere close to the 27% they got in Graz in 1998 ... Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on June 01, 2012, 03:19:20 PM New Vienna poll by Karmasin for "Heute" newspaper:
() Direct vote for Mayor: 40% Michael Häupl (SPÖ) 18% H.C. Strache (FPÖ) 8% Maria Vassilakou (Greens) 7% Manfred Juraczka (ÖVP) http://www.heute.at/news/politik/art23660,720856 The poll also says that if Johann Gudenus is the FPÖ-frontrunner instead of Strache, Häupl's percentage drops to 37% (without mentioning what percentage Gudenus would get). Johann Gudenus is the son of the Nazi John Gudenus and a rising star within the Vienna FPÖ. If Strache one day decides to step aside as Austrian FPÖ leader, the young Gudenus would be a good bet for his successor. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on June 02, 2012, 12:49:30 PM A new poll by Karmasin for "Profil" magazine shows the FPÖ in 3rd place for the first time in a few months (probably the Martin Graf fallout):
30% SPÖ 25% ÖVP 24% FPÖ 12% Greens 3% BZÖ 6% Others Direct vote for Chancellor: 23% Faymann (SPÖ) 16% Spindelegger (ÖVP) 11% Strache (FPÖ) 5% Glawischnig (Greens) http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20120602_OTS0007/profil-umfrage-fpoe-seit-langem-wieder-auf-platz-drei "Do you think the introduction of the Euro was a mistake ?" 34% Yes 57% No 9% Undecided "Do you think the EU should implement spending policies to push economic growth as a supplemental for austerity/savings measures ?" 58% spending & austerity measures 29% only austerity/savings measures 13% undecided http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20120602_OTS0009/profil-umfrage-jeder-dritte-oesterreicher-haelt-euro-einfuehrung-fuer-fehler Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Flocke on June 04, 2012, 12:23:36 PM Tyrol state poll by Karmasin (actually the same pollster as Gallup with a different name, Karmasin is a franchise holder)
ÖVP 40% FPÖ 17% SPÖ 16% Greens 13% Dinkhauser's list 8% Pirates 4% Gurgiser's list 2% Vote for Governor (hypothetical) Günther Platter (ÖVP, current governor) 31% Karl-Heinz Töchterle (ÖVP, federal minister of science) 16% Christine Oppitz-Plörer (For Innsbruck, Innsbruck mayor) 14% Fritz Dinkhauser 10% Hannes Gschwentner (SPÖ) 7% Gebi Mair (Greens) 3% Others (ÖVP) 12% Others (SPÖ) 4% Others (Greens) 3% Remarkable result for a conservative stronghold: Future of the Hypo Tyrol Bank 41% Keep it 100% state property 26% The State of Tyrol should keep the majority of shares 22% Privatization Pirates 4%. Which pirates? The Pirate Party Tyrol was the former state organization of the Austrian Pirates until they where excluded in 2011. And Andreas Ofer, who won the seat in Innsbruck, lost his position as a leader of the Tyrolian Pirates, at a party convention, which in his opinion wasn't legally summoned. Dinkhauser is a former ÖVP member, and Gurgiser won a seat on Dinkhauser's list. Another ÖVP-splinter is on it's way, "For Innsbruck", who won the mayoral election in the state's capital. They used to to act only at local level, and their founder became a ÖVP State Governor. But that has changed since they decided to form a government with SPÖ and Greens. "For Innsbruck" members lost all their positions within the state's ÖVP. There are rumors that they could participate in the state elections next year, or even at federal level as a liberal-conservative party. Governor Platter had an awkward visit at the Austrian Soccer National Team's training camp, when he began talking in English with David Alaba, Austria's footballer of the year 2011, born to a Nigerian father and a Filipino mother. The Bayern Munich player responded, "You can talk German to me, I'am an Austrian". Platter later apologized, "I'm no soccer expert". (But to pretend that was the whole point of the visit) Martin Graf fallout Martin Graf (FPÖ), Third President of the National Council, elected with votes from SPÖ and ÖVP despite of being a member f Burschenschaft Olympia a right-wing fraternity, that invites people like David Irving and a songwriter, famous for songs like "With 6 million Jews the fun just begins". He apparently swindled a 90-year old lady. She was convinced to bring all her assets into a foundation and make Graf the head of it. He used this foundation to buy a building in an upper-class district, in which "Cafe-Restaurant Graf" is located. The name is no coincidence, it's operated by his brother and he himself holds shares. The rent is not always paid in time, but the foundation has been very generous, at least to them. The former millionaire got a payout of 5000 Euros in 2011, and not a single cent in 2012. Weren't there problems already before in the Black-Green coalitions regarding the Umweltzone and the Murkraftwerk ? So, who will be the winners of this ? FPÖ, KPÖ and Pirates ? Even though I doubt that the FPÖ will come anywhere close to the 27% they got in Graz in 1998 ... Whoever is able to motivate non-voters, as there were a lot of them in 2008 and maybe even more in the next election. So FPÖ, KPÖ and Pirates are a good guess, sooner elections would favor ÖVP, later SPÖ. In 1998 the city FPÖ was much more moderate than the federal party, but the last of those left with Winter's Mohamed remarks. The chairman of the SPÖ group in the city council is openly talking about appointments they could get out of this situation, and he changed his opinion on the referendum within almost 12 hours. Party head Martina Schröck is not very pleased about this and acts more reversed. There are also tensions within ÖVP, where some believe the decision was made by a Nagl adviser and head of an advertising agency. The alternative version is, that SPÖ State Governor Voves and his ÖVP deputy are acting from behind. They fear a hard SPÖ vs. ÖVP confrontation in Graz could hurt the image of their successful partnership. In addition an election in Graz 2012 makes it more likely that Nagl stands in the 2015 state elections. Voves' likely successor Bettina Vollath and Nagl know each other since their scouting days, so there is the hope the coalition could keep on working without much frictions. That's what Kleine Zeitung, the major newspaper in Styria is writing, who are surprisingly unbiased towards Nagl. Murkraftwerk: I think there are enough signatures for a referendum about the hydro-electrical power plant to take place. Umweltzone: Is supported by Voves/Schützenhöfer and was promoted by Nagl. Nevertheless he named it as one of his reasons. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on June 04, 2012, 01:28:51 PM Governor Platter had an awkward visit at the Austrian Soccer National Team's training camp, when he began talking in English with David Alaba, Austria's footballer of the year 2011, born to a Nigerian father and a Filipino mother. The Bayern Munich player responded, "You can talk German to me, I'am an Austrian". Platter later apologized, "I'm no soccer expert". (But to pretend that was the whole point of the visit) PS: David Alaba was born in Vienna and talks a Viennese dialect of course. () ;) Martin Graf fallout Martin Graf (FPÖ), Third President of the National Council, elected with votes from SPÖ and ÖVP despite of being a member f Burschenschaft Olympia a right-wing fraternity, that invites people like David Irving and a songwriter, famous for songs like "With 6 million Jews the fun just begins". He apparently swindled a 90-year old lady. She was convinced to bring all her assets into a foundation and make Graf the head of it. He used this foundation to buy a building in an upper-class district, in which "Cafe-Restaurant Graf" is located. The name is no coincidence, it's operated by his brother and he himself holds shares. The rent is not always paid in time, but the foundation has been very generous, at least to them. The former millionaire got a payout of 5000 Euros in 2011, and not a single cent in 2012. I mean, the lady was quite stupid too. How can you expect a politician to carefully invest 1 million €, and especially a politician from the FPÖ who is also a Nazi ? But the old lady said she once sympathized with the FPÖ, so anyone who invests in Nazis or allows them to manage their own money, is a fool anyway in my opinion. BTW: Graf stepped down as head of the investment foundation today, but he still refuses to step down as Third President of the National Council ... meh. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Insula Dei on June 04, 2012, 02:32:48 PM Martin Graf fallout Martin Graf (FPÖ), Third President of the National Council, elected with votes from SPÖ and ÖVP despite of being a member f Burschenschaft Olympia a right-wing fraternity, that invites people like David Irving and a songwriter, famous for songs like "With 6 million Jews the fun just begins". He apparently swindled a 90-year old lady. She was convinced to bring all her assets into a foundation and make Graf the head of it. He used this foundation to buy a building in an upper-class district, in which "Cafe-Restaurant Graf" is located. The name is no coincidence, it's operated by his brother and he himself holds shares. The rent is not always paid in time, but the foundation has been very generous, at least to them. The former millionaire got a payout of 5000 Euros in 2011, and not a single cent in 2012. Classy. One is reminded of FN senator Michel Delacroix's attempt at musical fame. http://www.dailymotion.com/video/xbg18a_un-depute-du-front-national-belge-c_news Philippe Moureaux was near tears with disgust when it was discussed in the Senate, which forever increased my opinion of him. (For those of you who don't speak any French, the section of the song in the video roughly translates to: My little jewess is in Dachau She is in the quicklime She has left her Ghetto To be burned alive.) Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on June 05, 2012, 10:46:12 AM Martin Graf fallout Martin Graf (FPÖ), Third President of the National Council, elected with votes from SPÖ and ÖVP despite of being a member f Burschenschaft Olympia a right-wing fraternity, that invites people like David Irving and a songwriter, famous for songs like "With 6 million Jews the fun just begins". He apparently swindled a 90-year old lady. She was convinced to bring all her assets into a foundation and make Graf the head of it. He used this foundation to buy a building in an upper-class district, in which "Cafe-Restaurant Graf" is located. The name is no coincidence, it's operated by his brother and he himself holds shares. The rent is not always paid in time, but the foundation has been very generous, at least to them. The former millionaire got a payout of 5000 Euros in 2011, and not a single cent in 2012. Classy. One is reminded of FN senator Michel Delacroix's attempt at musical fame. http://www.dailymotion.com/video/xbg18a_un-depute-du-front-national-belge-c_news Philippe Moureaux was near tears with disgust when it was discussed in the Senate, which forever increased my opinion of him. (For those of you who don't speak any French, the section of the song in the video roughly translates to: My little jewess is in Dachau She is in the quicklime She has left her Ghetto To be burned alive.) Meh. These Nazis really suck. ... Flocke, have you seen any recent poll from Lower Austria ? Lower Austria holds state elections early next year and it's also the 2nd largest state in Austria, but polls from there are really rare. I think the last one is a year old ... :P We get polls from all other states, but not from the important one where the ÖVP has to defend its absolute majority. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: mileslunn on June 05, 2012, 05:59:27 PM Tyrol state poll Remarkable result for a conservative stronghold: Future of the Hypo Tyrol Bank 41% Keep it 100% state property 26% The State of Tyrol should keep the majority of shares 22% Privatization Not totally surprising. Outside the US, it seems a lot generally oppose privatization even in areas the government has no business being in. As a side note Bayern LB in Germany is 94% government owned, the highest of the landesbanks and in the most conservative state and likewise here in Canada, Alberta is the only province with a government owned bank and also the most conservative province. Is this the only state with a government owned banks or are there others? Also on a different topic why is the FPO doing so well. Is there a rise in racism like in other countries or are people just fed up with the status quo. And also where is the majority of their support coming from? Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on June 06, 2012, 08:03:13 AM New Graz poll:
() Looks like Nagl has successfully portrayed the Greens as the "party to blame" for the coaltion breakup. Usually, Austrian voters tend to punish the party at the polls that breaks up a coalition. But it seems Graz is different. The SPÖ seems to win back Pirate voters, because of the chaos at the formation gatherings of Pirate Party state chapters. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: batmacumba on June 06, 2012, 05:14:41 PM Isn't It beautiful when the anti-immigration party leader has foreign name and surname?
Well, as with the British guy, obviously the problem is that TEIH TEAK UOR JOSB!!,!.!.!€&@@@@####%%!!!! not that they look/act different. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on June 07, 2012, 03:56:57 AM Isn't It beautiful when the anti-immigration party leader has foreign name and surname? Well, as with the British guy, obviously the problem is that TEIH TEAK UOR JOSB!!,!.!.!€&@@@@####%%!!!! not that they look/act different. Mario Eustacchio sounds kinda Italian to me. But his site says he was born in Austria. Must have Italian ancestors though. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on June 07, 2012, 04:11:46 AM Also, "Blame the Greens !" works in Graz:
() 42% blame the Greens for the coalition end, only 23% blame the ÖVP. People also think that the ÖVP, SPÖ and FPÖ will gain the most from the ÖVP/Green coalition breakup. Graz voters also want to vote regularly in 2013 and oppose snap elections (by 63-29). Nagl of course is far ahead in the direct vote for Mayor. People also oppose the introduction of an environment zone (which would ban old diesel cars without a particle filter within the city center) by 60-30. Finally, citizens favor the purchase of the Reininghaus-area for the construction of a new ecological city district by 49-27. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on June 09, 2012, 12:45:31 AM New revelations about 3rd Parliamentary President Martin Graf (Nazi-FPÖ):
He apparently invested 50.000€ from the old woman's money into a banana-company and lost the whole money. And in the 1994 parliamentary elections, Graf ran on the Vienna FPÖ list as a "lawyer", when in fact he was only a trainee. Graf never was a real lawyer. This was investigated by the "Kronen Zeitung", which usually is not unfavorable towards the FPÖ. If the Kronen Zeitung already tries to bring down Graf, then Strache and the FPÖ is in real trouble. I wouldn't rule out that they drop to 22/23% in the next polls and the SPÖ and ÖVP could gain (maybe the SPÖ above 30% for a long time ?). Says Claus Pandi from the Kronen Zeitung: Quote Graf als falscher Rechtsanwalt im Hohen Haus? Das wirft juristisch einige Fragen auf. Politisch sollte jetzt aber alles beantwortet sein. Auf Grafs Ausreden kann man gespannt sein. Vermutlich wird irgendeiner Sekretärin die Schuld zugewiesen. Möglicherweise entwickelt Herrn Grafs Burschenschafterlager auch wieder enorme Kräfte in ihrer Spezialdisziplin - den Verschwörungstheorien. Doch von einem Politiker und Juristen darf erwartet werden, dass er weiß, welchen Beruf er erlernt hat, und er sollte ebenfalls wissen, dass eine Nationalratswahl-Liste des Innenministeriums der Wahrheit zu entsprechen hat. So aber muss für eine Partei der Anständigen, als die sich die FPÖ gerne bezeichnet, der Vorwurf der Hochstapelei mehr als nur bitter sein. http://www.krone.at/Oesterreich/Graf_als_falscher_Rechtsanwalt_auf_NR-Wahllisten-Ein_Hochstapler-Story-323940 Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on June 09, 2012, 12:53:16 AM Writes the Standard:
Quote "Meschar-Stiftung war an Bananen-Kühlschiffen beteiligt" "[Martin Graf's trust with money from the 90-year old woman] was involved in banana-ships." http://derstandard.at/1338558977126/Causa-Graf-Oellinger-Meschar-Stiftung-war-an-Bananen-Kuehlschiffen-beteiligt ... Idea for a new FPÖ poster: "Bananankutter statt Zuwendung für Großmutter" "Banana ships, instead of devotion for grandmothers" :) Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on June 10, 2012, 12:12:58 AM New Gallup poll for Ö24 shows the FPÖ dropping (but that poll was conducted BEFORE the new Martin Graf revelations about being a conman/squanderer:
() The FPÖ might even drop to 22% or so if Graf remains in office ... Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on June 10, 2012, 03:13:54 AM Today is the Vienna FPÖ convention, in which Strache has to be re-elected.
2 years ago, he got 99.1% - but it is not sure if he can get a similar result today - with the Martin Graf baggage. The more liberal Norbert Steger, who headed the FPÖ in the 80s before Jörg Haider, has already distanced himself from Martin Graf and called him a "con-man". The Greens on the other hand will introduce a motion this Wednesday on the deselection of Martin Graf as 3rd Parliamentary President. SPÖ and ÖVP have signaled that they might back this motion (after voting him in with their votes 4 years ago). Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on June 10, 2012, 03:25:20 AM In general, Austrian party leaders are not seen in a positive light by the voters, according to the new Gallup poll from today. But FPÖ's Strache is taking a really big hit compared with 2 weeks ago (Graf is dragging him down):
() Strache is now seen favorably by only 18% of Austrians and unfavorable by 61%, for a balance of minus 43. That balance is down by 10 points in the last 2 weeks. The only party leader with somewhat good numbers is Green-leader Eva Glawischnig with 30-34. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on June 10, 2012, 06:34:08 AM Today is the Vienna FPÖ convention, in which Strache has to be re-elected. 2 years ago, he got 99.1% - but it is not sure if he can get a similar result today - with the Martin Graf baggage. Today he got 99.2% and he supported Graf and attacked the Red-Green government in Vienna: () "Because of our love for Vienna, we are against Red-Green" ... Notice how "Red-Green" is shaped with Communist tools ... http://www.news.at/articles/1223/11/330461/fpoe-landesparteitag-wien-strache Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on June 11, 2012, 12:36:56 AM A Wikipedia page has now been created:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Next_Austrian_legislative_election Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on June 16, 2012, 12:33:30 PM A new OGM poll for the "Kurier" shows that the SPÖ now has 29% support and the ÖVP has 25%. Other parties have 4%.
The article doesn't mention support for FPÖ, Greens and BZÖ. But 29+25+4 = 58% Assuming that the Greens have their usual 13-14% and the BZÖ their 3-4%, then the FPÖ must have support between 24% and 26%. http://kurier.at/nachrichten/4500152-umfrage-oesterreicher-wollen-keinenfalls-zum-schilling-zurueck.php Also, Austrians want to keep the Euro rather than returning to the Schilling by a 58-35 margin. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on June 16, 2012, 12:40:12 PM In the last 2 OGM polls, support for Greens and BZÖ was 19% - which could mean that the FPÖ might have dropped to 23% - which would be a loss of 4%.
Probably have to buy the print edition tomorrow to find out ... :P Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on June 16, 2012, 11:25:13 PM The FPÖ drops to a new record low in the latest Gallup poll (down 5 points in about a month):
() http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/Fekter-HC-Strache-als-Umfrage-Verlierer/69388087 Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on June 17, 2012, 12:45:07 AM Austrian politics is very boring at the moment, with the Martin Graf (FPÖ) scandal winding down (he will remain in office because he refuses to step down, FPÖ-boss Strache can't kick him out because the Nazi-wing within the FPÖ would revolt, costing even more votes and the ÖVP and SPÖ are unwilling to back a motion from the Greens to remove him from office).
So, the most important thing that's going on in Austrian politics right now is a politician from Carinthia who was caught having sex with a woman (not his own) in the woods by a night camera ... :P Quote Wildlife camera catches Austrian politician having sex in forest An Austrian politician is in line to get up to £16,000 in compensation after a hidden camera used for snapping wildlife photographed him having sexual intercourse in a forest. The politician, who has not been named, will get the money if a court rules the photographs violated his privacy. Carefully concealed, placed well away from areas frequented by people and packing motion sensors the camera was designed to record the wildlife of the forest in the Austrian region of Carinthia but instead caught the politician's physical liaison. Legal experts said the camera contravenes Austrian laws restricting the use of surveillance cameras. Hans Zeger, president of Argen Daten, an NGO specialising in data protection, said official permission was needed to place the camera, and "at the very least is should have been marked with signs so visitors could adjust their behaviour and avoid the monitored areas." But the Carinthia Hunting Society, the organisation which placed the camera, defended the use of the spying equipment. "I cannot say for sure how many cameras are in operation in forests in Carinthia as they do not have to be registered to us," said Freydis Burgstaller-Gredenegger, the society's manager. "We have never had any problems with the cameras up until now." She added that the cameras were generally used to record animal feeding patterns. So far the politician's blushes have been spared by the society decision to keep both the photographs and his name secret. http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/europe/austria/9334182/Wildlife-camera-catches-Austrian-politician-having-sex-in-forest.html And everyone's now trying to figure out who it was ... ;) Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on June 17, 2012, 03:32:42 AM Probably have to buy the print edition tomorrow to find out ... :P Did that and the full results are: 29% (+1) SPÖ 25% (+1) ÖVP 25% (-2) FPÖ 14% (-1) Greens 3% (-1) BZÖ 4% (+2) Others Direct vote for Chancellor: 23% (+5) Faymann (SPÖ) 17% (+1) Spindelegger (ÖVP) 14% (-1) Strache (FPÖ) 46% Other/None/Undecided/No Opinion Should Martin Graf (FPÖ) resign as 3rd Parliamentary President ? 68% Yes 16% No Interestingly, 100% of Green-voters (!!!) say the Quasi-Nazi has to resign, while 86% of SPÖ-voters and 78% of ÖVP-voters say so. 32% of FPÖ-voters want him to resign, 45% do not. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: batmacumba on June 20, 2012, 02:32:36 PM Is It to keep the mess visible, or is there some bureaucratic-like mental attitude?
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on June 20, 2012, 11:11:38 PM Is It to keep the mess visible, or is there some bureaucratic-like mental attitude? Both. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: batmacumba on June 21, 2012, 11:37:54 AM Is It to keep the mess visible, or is there some bureaucratic-like mental attitude? Both. Which makes green voters fresh minded, but naïve. It couldn't be more stereotypical, could It? Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on June 21, 2012, 12:49:25 PM Is It to keep the mess visible, or is there some bureaucratic-like mental attitude? Both. Which makes green voters fresh minded, but naïve. It couldn't be more stereotypical, could It? What exactly are we talking about now ? I thought it was about me posting stuff about Austrian polls (bureaucratic-like mental attitude) and stuff about the FPÖ (keep the mess visible). But it seems you meant something else (please explain) ... :P Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: MaxQue on June 21, 2012, 01:34:50 PM Is It to keep the mess visible, or is there some bureaucratic-like mental attitude? Both. Which makes green voters fresh minded, but naïve. It couldn't be more stereotypical, could It? What exactly are we talking about now ? I thought it was about me posting stuff about Austrian polls (bureaucratic-like mental attitude) and stuff about the FPÖ (keep the mess visible). But it seems you meant something else (please explain) ... :P The question was "Does the SPÖ and the ÖVP refused to remove Graff from office to keep the mess visible or because they have a bureaucratic-like mental attitude or both?" Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: batmacumba on June 23, 2012, 07:57:47 PM Not only the parties, but the voters too.
And trying to understand voters minds is part of understanding politics, or is It different in Austria? ;) Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on June 23, 2012, 11:10:19 PM Is It to keep the mess visible, or is there some bureaucratic-like mental attitude? Both. Which makes green voters fresh minded, but naïve. It couldn't be more stereotypical, could It? What exactly are we talking about now ? I thought it was about me posting stuff about Austrian polls (bureaucratic-like mental attitude) and stuff about the FPÖ (keep the mess visible). But it seems you meant something else (please explain) ... :P The question was "Does the SPÖ and the ÖVP refused to remove Graff from office to keep the mess visible or because they have a bureaucratic-like mental attitude or both?" Ah, ok. I think SPÖVP on the one hand don't mind keeping Graf in his office, because he's a gift that keeps on giving. He's the most unpopular politician in Austria and ensures that SPÖVP have an enemy until the election next year which benefits their polling numbers. But on the other hand there are also many voices (especially within the SPÖVP bases) to remove him from his post. But the top SPÖVP operatives couldn't agree once more to find a common motion for removal. Not only the parties, but the voters too. And trying to understand voters minds is part of understanding politics, or is It different in Austria? ;) No, it's the same. But the poll above clearly show that other than FPÖ voters and some BZÖ voters, people want him to resign. It's just the top politicians that are on the opposite side of the people. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on June 24, 2012, 10:26:17 AM New Market poll:
() 28% SPÖ 27% FPÖ 23% ÖVP 14% Greens 5% BZÖ 3% Others Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on June 29, 2012, 05:38:11 AM New ATV/Peter Hajek Public Opinion Strategies poll:
() Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on June 30, 2012, 05:17:53 AM 2 more polls today:
Karmasin Motivforschung for "Profil" 29% SPÖ 24% FPÖ 23% ÖVP 13% Greens 4% BZÖ 7% Others Chancellor vote: 23% Faymann (SPÖ) 15% Spindelegger (ÖVP) 11% Strache (FPÖ) 7% Glawischnig (Greens) http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20120630_OTS0004/profil-umfrage-volkspartei-faellt-wieder-auf-platz-drei Gallup for "Ö24" 28% SPÖ 24% FPÖ 23% ÖVP 12% Greens 7% Pirates 3% BZÖ 3% Others Chancellor vote: 24% Faymann (SPÖ) 17% Spindelegger (ÖVP) 16% Strache (FPÖ) http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20120630_OTS0023/oesterreich-fpoe-wieder-platz-2-spoe-klar-vorn Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on June 30, 2012, 05:28:32 AM The ATV poll that I posted above also mentioned that currently only 6 in 10 Austrians were willing to declare support for a party in their poll.
The rest either said they were undecided, that they would vote invalid or not at all. This is the lowest score ATV has ever measured in their polls. Could mean that turnout next year might drop quite a bit from the high 79% in the 2008 elections. But there's still 1 year to go and there are currently several corruption/lobbying scandals that are dealt with in parliamentary investigation committees that primarily involve former figures of the ÖVP/BZÖ/FPÖ (former Schüssel government). As you can see in the latest polls, the ÖVP, FPÖ and BZÖ have all seen better polling days before ... SPÖ and Greens are unable to gain though. The only "party" or better said group that's gaining ground are the Pirates. Alltogether, 7-10% of Austrians would currently vote for other parties than those in parliament, a new record. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on July 03, 2012, 01:12:12 PM It's official now: Austria will get a new center-right, pro-business party this year.
Frank Stronach, the Austrian-Canadian billionaire will sponsor it and he's currently looking for a front-runner in the 2013 elections here. Also, the name of the new party should be out by August and a party platform later. Currently, Stronach is in talks with former Magna manager Siegfried Wolf to lead the party in the 2013 elections. It's primarily business-oriented (which will take away votes from BZÖ and ÖVP) and also euro-sceptic (taking votes away from the FPÖ). Stronach's focus is on removing bureaucratic barriers in Austria, introducing a flat tax, introducing a constitutional deficit and debt brake and opposing the ESM. http://www.news.at/articles/1227/8/333300/sronach-wirtschaftspartei Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on July 03, 2012, 01:20:29 PM Frank Stronach has already set up his "Frank Stronach Institute", which is a harbinger of the party platform:
http://www.stronachinstitut.at/english Quote This is what we stand for Austria needs to adopt a number of political and economic measures that will improve the country’s standard of living. We need to stop digging ourselves deeper and deeper into debt and we need to start paying back the money we owe. We also need to introduce measures that prevent politicians from mortgaging the future by borrowing more and more money to finance government spending. We need a simpler and fairer tax system, a flat tax without loopholes or privileges that every citizen can understand. And we need to stop rewarding companies that invest outside the country, and instead grant tax exemptions to companies that invest their profits and create jobs in Austria. We need to reduce the so called “great divide” between the wealthy and the working class. One of the best ways to do this is to provide incentives for companies that share profits with their employees. We need to reduce the size of government bureaucracy. We are over-governed, over-regulated and over-bureaucratized. Austria should continue to be a staunch supporter of a strong Europe. And it should support the free movement of persons, goods and capital within Europe. But Austria must manage its own political future and regain control of its own economic destiny. And finally, the citizens of Austria need to have greater involvement in the political system. We must find new and innovative solutions outside the realm of traditional party politics. Reforming government – more democracy and less party politics Government is the management team of a country, and that management team is made up of politicians. Although most politicians mean well and want to serve the country, the primary mandate of a politician is to be elected or re-elected. So the dilemma we face is that government decisions are driven primarily by political rather than economic reasoning. This is especially the case in Austria. Austria’s political system is pseudo-democratic and has become rife with cronyism. It is in dire need of reform. One of its chief problems is the lack of citizen involvement. Politicians who stand for election are chosen from among members on a party list, and various special interest groups ranging from big business and unions to large professional chambers influence who gets chosen to be on these party lists. Through this process, the political status quo is maintained from election to election. The political system in Austria needs more democracy and greater competition so that the best politicians can come forward. For example, party leaders should be democratically elected by the members of the party. Similarly, every member of the National Council should be elected by the citizens living in that member’s electoral district. Austria needs to urgently find solutions to a number of political issues in the areas of education, health, immigration and the environment. Political parties have shown themselves to be incapable of finding solutions to these issues, which is another reason why the country needs greater citizen involvement. The Frank Stronach Institute advocates the creation of a new Chamber of Citizen Representatives as a way to create greater citizen involvement in the political system and to bring forward fresh ideas and solutions to the problems confronting the country. These new Citizen Representatives would be much more inclined to place the country’s socio-economic welfare and long-term national interests ahead of political considerations or partisan views since they would not be beholden to any political party. Citizen Representatives would be selected using the same process as another time-honoured democratic tradition – the jury system. A computer could randomly select a list of candidates for the position of Citizen Representative in each electoral district across the country. The addition of Citizen Representatives would make government much more democratic, effective and accountable. In addition, Citizen Representatives would bring a much more pragmatic approach to managing the affairs of the country, and would be much more inclined to place the long-term economic interests of the country ahead of short-term partisan interests. Reducing debt to reignite economic growth Every household knows that it cannot spend more than it earns, otherwise its occupants will soon become dependent on welfare. Every farmer knows that he cannot spend more than he earns, otherwise he will eventually lose his farm. And every business person knows that if your business spends more money than it brings in, the company will go bankrupt. But when it comes to politicians, the dangerous consequences of debt are often ignored. When countries sink deeper and deeper into debt, it is usually the fault of poorly managed governments and reckless politicians looking for quick fixes, easy solutions and votes. In other words, politicians often end up placing short-term political gains ahead of the long-term economic well-being of the nation. Austria has accumulated a massive national debt. The real ratio of national debt to GDP in Austria is approaching 100% and the country must pay approximately 10 billion Euros annually just to cover the interest on the debt owed, an amount that is higher than the combined annual budget for education, art and culture. If the country doesn’t take action to stop the build-up of debt, the interest on that mountain of debt will continue to grow. And, as the world has recently witnessed in the case of Greece, a large and out-of-control public debt can have drastic consequences for the entire country. Citizens need to push for binding changes that will tie the hands of free-spending politicians so that governments cannot spend more money than they generate through taxes. Several countries have already done this. Germany established a so-called “debt brake” in its national constitution in 2009. The debt brake legislation requires the government to deliver a balanced budget over the course of several years (similar to a regular business cycle). If the country is forced to borrow money during a recession, it must return to a balanced budget during an economic upturn. Switzerland also entrenched a debt brake provision in its national constitution in 2003 following a citizen referendum. The Swiss government estimates that the country’s national debt rate will decline to just 34% of the GDP in 2014 from 60% in 2004 when the debt brake was first established. In addition, most of the states in the US are bound by their constitutions to have a balanced budget. But these constitutional provisions are only effective if there are sanctions or penalties attached that hold politicians accountable for their actions. Politicians need to stop making reckless spending promises in an attempt to win votes. But at the same time, it is also the responsibility of voters to reject spending promises made by politicians that are not in the long-term interests of the country. There is no escaping from the consequences of debt: in the final analysis, we are destroying our children’s and grandchildren’s futures, and we will all have to pay off the debt in the form of higher taxes and cuts to social programs. It is high time that we faced up to our debt obligations and forced our political leaders to stop spending more than they take in. Freed from the burden of debt, countries would have room to lower taxes and become more competitive in the global marketplace, creating greater growth, more employment and a higher standard of living for all citizens. Creating prosperity – giving employees a share of the profits The main reason why people get up in the morning is that they want to create a better life for themselves and their families. People want to become prosperous. But to attain prosperity, you must generate wealth, and wealth is created by three driving forces: good management, hard-working employees, and investors. All three of these stakeholders have a moral right to the financial outcome. From my experience, sharing profits with employees is a proven and powerful formula for growth. When workers have a tangible stake in the company’s financial success, they are more motivated to produce a better product for a better price, and the company becomes more competitive. It’s the formula we enshrined in the Corporate Constitution of the company I founded, Magna International Inc., and it’s the reason why that company has grown into a world leader in the automotive industry with close to 110,000 employees working at over 370 manufacturing and R&D centres around the world. The Constitution ensures that everyone has a financial stake in the profitability of the company, while also striking a balance between the interests of management, shareholders and workers. Balance is a vital element for any society. One of the main problems in our society today is that there is a growing gap between the wealthy and the average working person. That gap must be reduced. We need to create frameworks and tax incentives that will encourage companies to give employees a share of the profits. If everyone is in the same boat – management and employees – then everyone will work together to improve the products and services their company provides. In short, the company will become more competitive, producing better products, winning new customers and generating greater profit. It has become popular nowadays to talk about how we can distribute wealth. But it is far more important to focus on how we can create wealth. Without wealth creation, there is nothing to distribute. And the best way to create enhanced prosperity and productivity is by sharing the financial success of a company with each of its key stakeholders. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on July 03, 2012, 01:21:32 PM Quote Reducing taxes – generating growth via a simple and fair tax system Economic growth means a greater number of jobs. And if more people are working, we would generate more tax revenue while at the same time reduce government spending related to social costs such as unemployment and welfare. In the final analysis, it is the tax system, more so than any other economic lever that has the greatest bearing on the creation of wealth and jobs. We need a streamlined tax system, one that is clearly understood by every citizen. A flat tax system would be straightforward and clear-cut, with no loopholes, no privileges , and could be applied to all personal income, as well as all corporate and capital income (dividends and interest income). The flat tax rate would be between 20 and 40 percent; the optimal percentage would be found over the course of time. The current tax system is overly-complicated, too vague and too difficult to understand. It has become a drag on economic growth, and requires businesses and individuals to spend more and more time complying with tax filings – time that ultimately increases the final cost of the product or service provided by the business. However a simple, flat-rate tax system would unshackle individuals and businesses from the enormous waste of time and energy spent complying with tax filings or preparing for audits. More importantly, it would stimulate the creation of jobs, reduce bureaucracy and spark economic growth. If a company invests its profits outside Austria it should pay tax on those profits. But businesses that invest their profits in Austria should be exempt from paying any tax whatsoever – a reward for investing in our country and creating jobs. Furthermore, we should eliminate complicated amortization rules. The costs associated with the purchase of equipment should be accounted for in the year in which the purchase is made. At the same time, we should keep and perhaps even expand the consumption tax on the purchase of goods and services.This tax would ensure that wealthier individuals contribute more taxes via their spending on higher-priced and luxury items. Under a flat tax system, we would need far fewer tax consultants and financial experts. Naturally, some professional groups, driven by their own financial self-interest, would be very reluctant to embrace a simplified tax. But the truth is, we have drifted away from a real economy, one in which we manufacture products, to a predominantly financial economy based on financial engineering and manipulation. We have become less and less pre-occupied with creating real wealth, and more and more engaged in the process of transferring and redistributing the declining wealth that we do generate. Today, more than ever before, we need to create a tax system that is transparent, simpler and more geared toward the creation of wealth. If we developed such a system, we would create greater prosperity and increased employment. Reducing bureaucracy and increasing competitiveness Austria is administered by 183 members of the National Assembly, 63 members of the Upper House of the Austrian Parliament, as well as 14 ministers and 4 undersecretaries. In addition, the country has 1 President, 9 heads of provincial government, 84 district leaders and 2,357 mayors. On top that, Austria has 22 social insurance agencies and another central association in the health system, with each agency run by a chair and a host of other directors and officials. The country also has three big chambers: the Chamber of Labour, the Chamber of Commerce and the Chamber of Agriculture. These three chambers are umbrella organizations for the nine provincial chambers for commerce, labour and agriculture. In addition, there are numerous other chambers, including the Medical Association, the Bar Association, the Chamber of Notaries, the Chamber of Public Accountants, the Chamber of Pharmacists, the Chamber of Architects, and so on. And each of these Chambers has a president, a vice-president and a large number of directors and officials. All of these various government agencies and departments are housed in luxurious office buildings and the senior bureaucrats and politicians who administer them often have large expense accounts as well as chauffeur-driven limousines. I’ve often said that if you run a factory, it doesn’t matter how productive the people on the factory floor are if there is too much administration up top. The business will simply not be competitive. The same holds true for a country. But in a civilized society, no one sector or group should be made the scapegoat for our problems. It’s not the fault of government employees that our bureaucracy has gotten bloated. All of us, to a certain extent, are to blame because we as a society have repeatedly turned to government as the chief source to solve all of our social and economic problems and fulfill all of our needs, forgetting in the process that government cannot give you anything unless it takes it from you first. The plain fact is, Austria is over-governed, over-bureaucratized and over-administered. The administration does not create economic wealth but instead consumes vast amounts of tax money. The most important task of a country is to provide security. In addition, no individual should be hungry, homeless or without health care in a civilized society. Meeting these minimum standards is the key task of any country, and the government should fulfill these tasks as efficiently as possible. We need fewer laws, simpler laws and less administration. There is a lot of government fat that can be cut out and a lot of waste that can be stopped. If we reduced the size of government burearcacy, there would be fewer people working on rules and regulations that hamper business productivity, and more employees contributing value-added activities in the private sector. Whether it’s business or government, the key watchword in today’s world is efficiency, efficiency, efficiency. Those businesses and governments that understand this will prosper. Those that do not are doomed to fall behind. Europe needs competition instead of egalitarianism The most significant economic problems facing many European countries today can be traced back to the establishment of monetary union and the creation of the Euro. Many of the economically weaker countries within the European Union (EU) took advantage of the inexpensive money that the EU made available to them. Most of that money has been spent propping up an artificially high standard of living, one that has been borrowed rather than earned. Greece is a prime example. Greece is the cradle of Western civilization and the birthplace of democracy, and the Greeks were independent for thousands of years. But in the 21st century, the country decided to join the European Union, which offered easy access to inexpensive money and other inducements that have driven Greece into national bankruptcy. Now the European Union is force-feeding Greece more stimulus money combined with a package of austerity measures that include cuts to social spending. It’s no wonder that the people of Greece are in revolt. Greece should be allowed to go its own way. It’s clear that you help a neighbour when he is in trouble. But it isn’t right that countries with sound economies and sound fiscal policies should have to subsidize countries that have been grossly financially mismanaged. When that happens, then everybody loses. During the previous century, the primary concern of the European people following two devastating world wars was to establish a lasting peace. Over the course of time they agreed to work closer together economically to establish a stronger Europe. The European Community safeguarded free passenger traffic, free transportation of goods and the free movement of capital. As a result, the economy prospered for a long period of time. The engine of this economic miracle was the unfettered competition that was allowed to exist in all areas between the countries that were members of the European Community. But then the countries of Europe made a critical mistake: instead of only concentrating on economic co-operation, they sought to bring about a political union. The foundation of the European Union, with its massive administrative machinery, has not contributed to further economic growth. On the contrary, it has created an enormous bureaucracy that has hampered economic progress. And in its zealous pursuit of “harmonization”, the EU has dragged Europe’s countries down to the lowest common denominator. It would have been easy for the various countries of Europe to implement the desire for peace and prosperity without forcing their people into an overly-centralized political system with a vast and intrusive bureaucracy. It appears that the objective of the ruling class in Europe today is to build a federal state that is centrally governed, and within this super state, the rights and powers of the various countries that comprise Europe will either be eliminated or made subservient to the central power of the EU bureaucracy. That’s why it’s vital that the countries of Europe politically disentangle themselves from the EU and return to sound economic policies and principles. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Хahar 🤔 on July 03, 2012, 03:17:17 PM That "Chamber of Citizen Representatives" might be the worst idea ever.
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on July 03, 2012, 11:47:00 PM That "Chamber of Citizen Representatives" might be the worst idea ever. Most of his ideas are and follow a neo-liberal agenda that eventually will only empower companies and managers and try to destroy unions and the middle class. Basically a new ÖVP, just that the ÖVP favors the ESM, while Stronach does not. Still, I think he could get 5-15% next year. Besides, Stronach had a really bizarre TV "interview" yesterday on the ORF, which was actually not an interview. The journalist had absolutely no chance to ask him a question, because Stronach immediately started a 10 minute long monologue, criticizing the ESM, how our politicians from SPÖVP and Greens are traitors and how Brussels gets too much power. Every time the ORF journalist wanted to ask him a question, he just said: "Let me finish my talk !" And then he left the room at the end of the interview. http://tvthek.orf.at/programs/1211-ZIB-2/episodes/4274931-ZIB-2/4274937-Frank-Stronach-gegen-ESM http://tvthek.orf.at/programs/1211-ZIB-2/episodes/4274931-ZIB-2/4274939-Studiogast--Frank-Stronach Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: MaxQue on July 04, 2012, 12:09:10 AM Hopefully, his political career turns out as the one of his daughter...
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on July 04, 2012, 12:17:01 AM Hopefully, his political career turns out as the one of his daughter... He's not running for office himself though. He's only providing the money and giving interviews. Like Mitt Romney, he lets other people do the "real" jobs. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: MaxQue on July 04, 2012, 12:18:32 AM Hopefully, his political career turns out as the one of his daughter... He's not running for office himself though. He's only providing the money and giving interviews. Like Mitt Romney, he lets other people do the "real" jobs. Well, we know who is leading the party in fact... Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on July 04, 2012, 12:19:36 AM Hopefully, his political career turns out as the one of his daughter... He's not running for office himself though. He's only providing the money and giving interviews. Like Mitt Romney, he lets other people do the "real" jobs. Well, we know who is leading the party in fact... Even though he's already 80, so it's probably OK that he let other people do the job ... ;) Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on July 07, 2012, 04:28:06 AM New Gallup poll for Ö24, now including the Stronach party:
28% SPÖ 23% FPÖ 22% ÖVP 12% Greens 5% Pirates 4% Stronach Party 3% BZÖ 3% Others http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/Stronach-Partei-kaeme-auf-vier-Prozent/71514172 Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on July 08, 2012, 11:20:52 AM stornach party would belong to ECR group ? This group needs to form first and then enter the Austrian Parliament. These are the most important things for them at the moment. If they succeed with that, they can think about running for the EU Parliament (but I'll doubt Stronach would even want this because of his dislike for the centralist power-hungry Brussels). But yeah, the Stronach party would either belong to the ECR, the European People's Party, the (Neo)-Liberals or belong to no group at all. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on July 13, 2012, 04:04:23 AM About 10 months until the next Tyrol state elections and there's a new TT/Karmasin poll:
41% ÖVP 15% FPÖ 15% SPÖ 14% Greens 9% Dinkhauser List 3% Pirates 2% Gurgiser List 1% BZÖ http://www.tt.com/Tirol/5037737-2/42-prozent-sind-noch-unentschlossen.csp Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on July 14, 2012, 12:27:16 AM New IMAS poll for the "Kronen Zeitung":
28-30% SPÖ 23-25% ÖVP 19-21% FPÖ 13-15% Greens 6-8% BZÖ 5-7% Others http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20120713_OTS0157/aktuelle-imas-umfrage-fuer-die-kronen-zeitung-zeugnis-faellt-fuer-fpoe-schlecht-aus-bzoe-kommt-auf-bis-zu-8-prozent IMAS polls should be taken with a ton of salt though, because they usually underestimate the FPÖ and overestimate the BZÖ. But it would be hilarious if true, because the FPÖ has another problem right now (Carinthian FPK boss Uwe Scheuch got sentenced to prison once again, but still refuses to step down). Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on July 15, 2012, 06:43:09 AM All parties except the Greens are now involved in some kind of (corruption/lobbying) scandal:
* ÖVP: This week, Carinthia ÖVP-boss Martinz was on trial because of his involvement in the shady Carinthian Hypo bank sale a few years ago, in which his personal finance adviser Birnbacher got a premium of 6 million € (it is estimated that for the transaction only about 200.000 €s should have gone to him, yet he got 30-times the bonus, from taxpayer money). If confirmed by the judge and in a later appeal, Martinz would get kicked out of the state ÖVP (they are already looking for a new interim ÖVP boss). A few other people from the ÖVP involve former Finance Minister Grasser and Interior Minister Strasser. * FPÖ/FPK/BZÖ: Martin Graf, previously explained. Uwe Scheuch, Carinthian FPK-leader, already found guilty by a second court, after the verdict of the first court was struck down in the appeals court. If the appeals court finds him guilty of corruption in the 2nd trial, FPÖ boss Strache has basically said that Scheuch has to step down. Also, Carinthian Governor Dörfler (FPK, former BZÖ), his financial advisor Dobernig and MP Petzner from the BZÖ are due to appear in a Vienna trial next week, investigating a huge ad campaign ahead of the 2009 state election in Carinthia, in which the then BZÖ government from Jörg Haider sent out a several ("underestimate") page long brochure to every Carinthian household (paid by taxpayer money). The BZÖ then won a record landslide victory with about 45%. * SPÖ: Werner Faymann could be charged later this year because of advertising agreements involving the Austrian state rail and several newspapers. More here (http://www.austriantimes.at/news/General_News/2012-04-06/40750/Chancellor_could_be_charged_with_embezzlement). * And while the Greens are not involved in a scandal, they are currently waging a war against drivers in the capital Vienna, where they are in a government with the SPÖ. The SPÖ base is pretty pissed and it could either hurt or help the Greens in the federal elections next year, hard to say. More here (http://www.austriantimes.at/news/Blog/2012-06-06/42138/What_price_should_we_pay_for_a_greener_Vienna%3F). Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on July 15, 2012, 06:56:58 AM Also, Carinthian Governor Dörfler (FPK, former BZÖ), his financial advisor Dobernig and MP Petzner from the BZÖ are due to appear in a Vienna trial next week, investigating a huge ad campaign ahead of the 2009 state election in Carinthia, in which the then BZÖ government from Jörg Haider sent out a several ("underestimate") page long brochure to every Carinthian household (paid by taxpayer money). The BZÖ then won a record landslide victory with about 45%. Ghosts from the past: The BZÖ-led government has sent out a 40-page campaign info to ALL households in Carinthia recently. I like Right-wingers behind bars ... :) Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on July 19, 2012, 12:05:35 AM * And while the Greens are not involved in a scandal, they are currently waging a war against drivers in the capital Vienna, where they are in a government with the SPÖ. The SPÖ base is pretty pissed and it could either hurt or help the Greens in the federal elections next year, hard to say. More here (http://www.austriantimes.at/news/Blog/2012-06-06/42138/What_price_should_we_pay_for_a_greener_Vienna%3F). A new Gallup poll for Ö24 shows that Vienna voters strongly oppose the extension of parking fees in areas other than the inner-city, which was proposed by the SPÖ-Green city government: 28% support it, while 65% oppose it. Only Green voters support the idea by 67-25, while SPÖ voters oppose it 57-32 and FPÖ voters oppose it with 85%. http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20120719_OTS0001/oesterreich-umfrage-65-prozent-der-wiener-sind-gegen-das-parkpickerl SPÖ-Green will implement the new parking zones in the fall and only after that it will hold a referendum on the issue (mostly because the city-ÖVP has collected about 200.000 signatures in the city from voters who oppose the measure). This stuff might actually hurt the SPÖ in Vienna badly in the federal election next year. I'm not so sure about the Greens. They could remain relatively stable, gain a bit or lose a bit. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on July 22, 2012, 12:09:06 AM This stuff might actually hurt the SPÖ in Vienna badly in the federal election next year. I'm not so sure about the Greens. They could remain relatively stable, gain a bit or lose a bit. The Greens gain, the SPÖ loses ! At least according to the new Gallup Vienna state elections poll for Ö24: () () Bad thing: Almost anyone besides Green voters hate Vienna Green Party leader Maria Vassilakou. Also, like I predicted, the Vienna SPÖ is losing 6% compared with the last state election in 2010. The FPÖ gains 2 additional points, because the city ÖVP still suxx badly. ... There's also a new federal elections poll by Gallup: () () Parties involved in recent corruption scandal trials (ÖVP/FPÖ/BZÖ), are all losing ground, while new fringe/protest parties like the planned neo-liberal Frank Stronach party and the Pirates are gaining. http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/Die-SPOe-hat-ein-Pickerl-Problem/73011148 Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on July 24, 2012, 12:12:48 AM New GfK poll for the ÖVP:
() http://diepresse.com/home/politik/innenpolitik/1270094/SPOe-voran-OeVP-liegt-knapp-vor-FPOe Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on July 26, 2012, 12:49:17 AM :)
Austrian politician quits over kickback scandal (Reuters) - The head of Austria's conservative People's Party (OVP) in the province of Carinthia resigned on Wednesday after admitting in court he took part in a kickback scheme to milk money from the sale of state bank Hypo Alpe Adria in 2007. The abrupt departure of Josef Martinz follows a series of corruption scandals that have dented confidence in public officials and prompted Austria's parliament in June to adopt a sweeping ethics package before elections due next year. Martinz acknowledged that he plotted to siphon off for party coffers part of an inflated 12 million euro ($14.5 million) fee that was paid to tax adviser Dietrich Birnbacher for his three weeks of work on the bank sale. Birnbacher has confessed and has also implicated other local politicians in Carinthia, a stronghold of the far-right Freedom Party, which is making strong gains in opinion polls against the ruling national coalition of Social Democrats and the OVP. Members of the rightist Freedom Party of Carinthia (FPK), which governs with the OVP in the province, have denied wrongdoing in the affair. "What Birnbacher says is correct," the Austria Press Agency quoted Martinz as saying at his breach of trust trial in the provincial capital of Klagenfurt. He quit his party post with immediate effect. People's Party leader Michael Spindelegger, also Austria's foreign minister, said he would not put up with behaviour that brought shame on the OVP. "It was correct and necessary that this (resignation) took place immediately. I personally am deeply disappointed in Josef Martinz," he said in a statement. Former Carinthian Governor Joerg Haider, the right-wing leader who died in a 2008 car crash, was a prime architect of the 2007 1.6 billion euro sale of Hypo Alpe Adria to German landesbank BayernLB. Birnbacher has said Haider also sought to get kickbacks from the deal. Austria nationalised Hypo Alpe Adria in 2009 to avoid a collapse of the then BayernLB-owned bank that would have sent shock waves through central and eastern Europe. http://in.reuters.com/article/2012/07/25/austria-corruption-idINL6E8IPCU620120725 According to derstandard.at, new state elections could be "forced" in Carinthia now. Why ? The FPK, which holds 17 of the 36 seats in the state government, is strongly against snap elections and blocks the dissolution of the state parliament (2/3 of votes are needed). The state SPÖ as well as the state Greens and the new state ÖVP leader Gabriel Obernosterer all back snap elections. But because the FPK blocks, dissolution is not possible. But there's a trick provided by the Austrian Constitution: The federal SPÖ, ÖVP and Greens can dissolve a state parliament with their votes (also 2/3) in the federal parliament, which then has to be also backed by the Upper chamber with a 2/3 majority and signed by the President. The federal parties wouldn't rule out such a move ... :) Quote Neuwahlen gefordert SPÖ, BZÖ und Grüne forderten umgehende Neuwahlen in Kärnten. Es sei "unvorstellbar, welche dubiosen Geschäfte Martinz, Haider, und wie Birnbacher behauptet auch Dobernig und Scheuch auf Kosten der Steuerzahler abgezogen haben", hieß es in einer Aussendung der SPÖ. "Dieser Parteienfinanzierungsskandal übersteigt jedes Maß", sagte der Grüne Landtagsobgeordnete und ehemalige Vorsitzende des Kärntner Hypo-U-Ausschusses Rolf Holub. FPK-Landeshauptmann Gerhard Dörfler erteilte den Neuwahlforderungen allerdings eine Absage. Mitterlehner für Neuwahlen Wirtschaftsminister Reinhold Mitterlehner (ÖVP) sprach sich im Gespräch mit der "ZIB2" für Neuwahlen in Kärnten aus. Er sei - wie Obernosterer auch - für Neuwahlen, sagte Mitterlehner. Die ÖVP werde sich nicht gegen Neuwahlen stellen, so Mitterlehner. Für Neuwahlen muss jedoch der Landtag aufgelöst werden, dazu braucht es prinzipiell die FPK, es gibt aber auch eine zweite Möglichkeit: Laut Verfassung kann die Bundesregierung die Auflösung eines Landtags beantragen, diesem Ansuchen muss der Bundesrat zu zwei Drittel zustimmen. Dann kann der Bundespräsident den Landtag auflösen. Dieses Prozedere wollte Mitterlehner auf Nachfrage nicht ausschließen. http://derstandard.at/1342947670943/Gabriel-Obernosterer-neuer-OeVP-Parteichef Should be interesting, I'd like a 2012 election - even if it's only Carinthia ... :P Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on July 26, 2012, 12:56:38 AM Even the ÖVP's General Secretary now says that the "ÖVP's image is brutally damaged" ...
The party that once won 42% in the federal election in 2002 will now likely drop to 20% or even below in the next polls ... Not that the FPÖ does much better: They once polled 28%, but are now approaching 22% (still more than the 17.5% in the 2008 elections, but a big drop). And the BZÖ is around 2-3%, down from 11% in 2008. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on July 26, 2012, 11:54:30 PM According to derstandard.at, new state elections could be "forced" in Carinthia now. Why ? The FPK, which holds 17 of the 36 seats in the state government, is strongly against snap elections and blocks the dissolution of the state parliament (2/3 of votes are needed). The state SPÖ as well as the state Greens and the new state ÖVP leader Gabriel Obernosterer all back snap elections. But because the FPK blocks, dissolution is not possible. But there's a trick provided by the Austrian Constitution: The federal SPÖ, ÖVP and Greens can dissolve a state parliament with their votes (also 2/3) in the federal parliament, which then has to be also backed by the Upper chamber with a 2/3 majority and signed by the President. The federal parties wouldn't rule out such a move ... :) Chancellor Faymann is against a federal intervention in Carinthia and has said he's against dissolving the state parliament by a government motion. So, early "forced" elections are unlikely and the corrupt FPK government will remain in place until 2014. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on July 27, 2012, 02:15:35 PM In a special session of the Carinthia state parliament, the budget committee approved a motion for snap elections with the votes of SPÖ, ÖVP and Greens - while the FPK voted against it.
This means that in the next regular session of the state parliament, the whole chamber will vote on the snap election motion. But because 2/3 of the chamber needs to be present in the voting process and the FPK has said that their 17 members will move out of the chamber, the motion will fail anyway, even if all 19 members of SPÖ, ÖVP and Greens vote for it. But SPÖ, ÖVP and Greens have said that they will introduce this snap election motion from now on at the start of EVERY state parliament session, so that the FPK members would have to leave the chamber all the time. It is unlikely that the FPK can do this all the time, because the media and the public would start to hate them really badly. Already today, there were many people outside the state parliament building welcoming the MP's from the corrupt FPK and ÖVP with signs like "new elections now !" or "crooks and liars ! into prison with them now !" etc. http://derstandard.at/1342947921332/Neuwahlantrag-im-Ausschuss-abgesegnet Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on July 29, 2012, 12:50:16 AM New Tyrol state elections poll by Karmasin for the "TT":
37% [-3.5] ÖVP 15% [+2.6] FPÖ 14% [+3.3] Greens 14% [-1.5] SPÖ 12% [-6.4] Dinkhauser 3% [+3.0] Pirates (*new*) 2% [+2.0] For Tyrol (*new*) 2% [+2.0] Citizen Club (*new*) 1% [-1.5] Others http://www.tt.com/Tirol/5163558-2/%C3%B6vp-f%C3%A4llt-in-ein-sommerloch.csp Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on July 29, 2012, 01:05:13 AM New federal Market poll, conducted this week, shows a big hit for the FPÖ and the ÖVP compared with their previous poll, while SPÖ/Greens/BZÖ are gaining:
() In the direct vote for Chancellor, a record 6 out of 10 Austrians would now like someone else than one of the current party leaders as Chancellor. Only 43% have a preference: () Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on July 29, 2012, 12:34:19 PM In a special session of the Carinthia state parliament, the budget committee approved a motion for snap elections with the votes of SPÖ, ÖVP and Greens - while the FPK voted against it. This means that in the next regular session of the state parliament, the whole chamber will vote on the snap election motion. But because 2/3 of the chamber needs to be present in the voting process and the FPK has said that their 17 members will move out of the chamber, the motion will fail anyway, even if all 19 members of SPÖ, ÖVP and Greens vote for it. But SPÖ, ÖVP and Greens have said that they will introduce this snap election motion from now on at the start of EVERY state parliament session, so that the FPK members would have to leave the chamber all the time. It is unlikely that the FPK can do this all the time, because the media and the public would start to hate them really badly. Already today, there were many people outside the state parliament building welcoming the MP's from the corrupt FPK and ÖVP with signs like "new elections now !" or "crooks and liars ! into prison with them now !" etc. http://derstandard.at/1342947921332/Neuwahlantrag-im-Ausschuss-abgesegnet Looks like the threat from SPÖ/ÖVP/Greens is having some effect. Both Carinthia Gov. Gerhard Dörfler and Uwe Scheuch (both FPK) are now leaning towards early elections in 2013: http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/Scheuch-fuer-Wahlen-im-Fruehjahr-2013/73820838 But it could just be a red herring by the FPK because of all the media attention focused on all the corrupt crooks in their ranks and to gain some time. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on July 30, 2012, 01:35:44 PM Here's the calendar for the upcoming elections in Austria in 2012 and 2013:
() 07.10.2012: Burgenland town council and mayoral elections (more or less uninteresting) Fall 2012: Maybe early elections in Carinthia, which is still very unclear and unlikely January 2013: Town council elections in Graz (second biggest city in Austria) Spring 2013: State elections in Lower Austria and Tyrol (those are strong ÖVP states, will only be interesting to see how much the ÖVP loses in both states, but of course the winner will be the ÖVP once again) May 2013: University council elections Fall 2013: Regularly scheduled Austrian Parliament Election I'll create a new 2013 election thread on Jan. 1, 2013 - unless early state elections in Carinthia take place in the fall. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on July 30, 2012, 01:57:01 PM The Carinthian government:
() Out of 7, only 1 (woman) is clean. The other 6 are either already on trial or they are currently being blamed about being corrupt. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on August 02, 2012, 01:26:39 PM Uwe Scheuch, no more:
Another Austrian politician goes as scandals rage (Reuters) - Corruption scandals in Austria's southernmost province claimed another victim on Wednesday when the head of the right-wing Freedom Party of Carinthia (FPK) quit, saying he could no longer put up with constant "media baiting". Uwe Scheuch announced he would exit politics but insisted this was not an admission of wrongdoing in a widening furor that is getting huge media attention and could play a role in national elections due next year. His brother Kurt took over Scheuch's vacant posts. Scheuch, who was also deputy governor of the province, leaves just days after Carinthia's conservative leader resigned while admitting in court he took part in a kickback scheme to milk money from the sale of state bank Hypo Alpe Adria in 2007. The abrupt departure of People's Party (OVP) regional head Josef Martinz last week capped a series of corruption scandals that have dented confidence in public officials and prompted Austria's parliament in June to adopt a sweeping ethics package. Carinthia is a stronghold for the Freedom Party, whose eurosceptic and nationalist themes have put the country's largest opposition party in a strong position to challenge the coalition of center-left Social Democrats (SPO) and the center-right OVP in elections due by September 2013. Political analysts say the drumbeat of corruption headlines could hurt the OVP and Freedom in the next national elections, boosting chances for the SPO-led coalition to remain in power by dashing prospects for a right-of-center governing alliance. Sheuch, grandson of the Freedom Party's co-founder, is a political heir of far-right leader Joerg Haider and rose to power when Haider died in a 2008 car crash. Haider split with the Freedom Party before he died, but the FPK and the national Freedom Party under Heinz-Christian Strache remain allies. Strache on his Facebook page called Scheuch's decision a "creditable step in the interest of Carinthia and the Free Democrat community", adding that cooperation with the FPK would go on. Scheuch, 43, has denied accusations he also tried to wring kickbacks from a tax adviser who got an inflated 12 million euro ($14.8 million) fee to consult on the bank sale. Prosecutors are probing possible money laundering in the case. Scheuch has appealed against his 2011 conviction on charges he sought to secure party donations in return for getting Austrian citizenship for a Russian investor. He told a hastily arranged news conference in Klagenfurt he was going because he was fed up with a "media baiting campaign that has gone on for more than two years against me, my family and people close to me", reiterating he would clear his name. "Uwe Scheuch, ladies and gentlemen, you can neither bend nor break," he told reporters. http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/08/01/us-austria-corruption-idUSBRE8700MK20120801 Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on August 03, 2012, 12:03:20 AM And even more:
In the night, Landesrat (member of the Carinthia provincial government) Achill Rumpold, Klubobmann (party chair) Stefan Tauschitz und Landesgeschäftsführer (state party managing director) Thomas Goritschnig, all from the ÖVP, stepped down. http://derstandard.at/1343743764712/Landesrat-Rumpold-und-Klubchef-Tauschitz-treten-zurueck So, 2 out of the 7 Carinthia government members from the picture I posted above have stepped down in the previous days. The next is probably Harald Dobernig from the FPK, because the public prosecutor's office for corruption has already raided his house and offices and seized documents ... Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on August 03, 2012, 01:11:01 PM First Carinthia poll by Market for the "Standard":
35% SPÖ 25% FPK 17% Greens 8% ÖVP 2% BZÖ 13% Others 52-35 majority for SPÖ-Greens !!! Direct vote for Governor: 22% Peter Kaiser (SPÖ) 20% Gerhard Dörfler (FPK) 16% Rolf Holub (Greens) 12% Gabriel Obernosterer (ÖVP) http://derstandard.at/1343743855731/Umfrage-Rot-gruene-Mehrheit-in-Kaernten There's also a new Gallup poll for "Ö24": 36% SPÖ 26% FPK 15% Greens 13% ÖVP 10% BZÖ 51-49 majority for SPÖ-Greens. Are you in favor of snap elections NOW ? 53% Yes 33% No http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/SPOe-in-Kaernten-auf-Platz-1-FPK-stuerzt-ab/74362815 ... The bad thing is that the Carinthia SPÖ is also blamed for being corrupt and 4 members of the state SPÖ are now under investigation by the public prosecutor's office for corruption. http://derstandard.at/1343743799162/Korruptionsermittlungen-gegen-SPOe-stehen-bevor ... So, the only "clean" party in Carinthia are the Greens ... :) I want to see the day when the Carinthia Greens get 15% or more or even 20% or more ... :) That's like Obama winning Alabama ... :P ... For comparison, the 2009 state election results: 44.9% BZÖ 28.7% SPÖ 16.8% ÖVP 5.2% Greens 3.8% FPÖ 0.5% KPÖ Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on August 03, 2012, 11:51:18 PM Apparently, the new Gallup poll to be released later today in Ö24 shows the following for the 2013 Austrian parliament elections:
ca. 30% SPÖ ca. 20-21% ÖVP ca. 20-21% FPÖ http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/wolfgangfellner/Das-sagt-Oesterreich/74384606 That would be a drop of 8% for the FPÖ compared with previous polls and a drop of 6% for the ÖVP compared with the 2008 elections. More later. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on August 04, 2012, 11:30:08 AM Here's the complete stuff: () How corrupt do you think the parties are ? () FPÖ: 69% corrupt, 14% probably not, 2% definitely not and so on ... http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/SPOe-bundesweit-bereits-8-Prozent-vor-FPOe/74453067 Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on August 10, 2012, 01:06:35 PM New Carinthia poll by Karmasin for the "Presse" newspaper:
() About 9% would vote for "other" parties, which in Carinthia basically means the KPÖ and the not-existing Pirates ... Also: 48% want new elections NOW, 18% want them until 2012 is over, 29% favor 2013 elections and just 2% want the elections in 2014, which is the regular date. http://diepresse.com/home/politik/innenpolitik/1277441/Kaernten_Mehrheit-fuer-Wahl-noch-heuer Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on August 10, 2012, 01:20:45 PM Billionaire Frank Stronach will now definitely set up a new party in the last week of September to compete in the 2013 federal election:
http://derstandard.at/1343744551542/Stronach-Parteigruendung-ist-fix He said that the "frontrunners and campaign people are already found and the party platform is ready". I guess the name of the party will also be revealed at the end of September. It is also unknown if Stronach himself will be the party frontrunner or if he's just financing the party. I would bet on the latter. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on August 11, 2012, 03:42:09 PM It is also unknown if Stronach himself will be the party frontrunner or if he's just financing the party. I would bet on the latter. Stronach today said that he himself will be the frontrunner for his party !!! http://derstandard.at/1343744588262/Frank-Stronach-wird-Spitzenkandidat-seiner-Partei His goal for the 2013 parliamentary election is 10%, which I think is not unlikely because many disappointed ÖVP/FPÖ/BZÖ and also some SPÖ-voters will back him. And the Pirates might also get a good amount of votes. So, alltogether Austrians might back 10-20% "other" parties who are currently not in parliament. This might be good for keeping turnout at a high level, because otherwise it might have dropped to about 70% due to all the recent corruption scandals in Carinthia and elsewhere. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on August 11, 2012, 03:54:42 PM Here's more about it (in English articles):
Quote Magna founder to launch Austrian party (Reuters) - The founder of Magna International Inc, one of the world's biggest auto-parts makers, plans to launch a political party in Austria in September, Deutsche Wirtschafts Nachrichten reported on Saturday, citing an interview. "The key positions (in the party) have already been assigned, the programme has been agreed," the publication quoted Frank Stronach, the company's founder and honorary chairman, as saying. Stronach, who immigrated to Canada in 1954, said his party would oppose patronage in Austrian politics and the euro, noting that the region could only function "if each country has its own currency." Canada-based Magna employs more than 102,000 people in 26 countries and paid Stronach about $900 million in 2010 to cede control of the company. http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/08/11/magna-party-idINL6E8JB0GL20120811 And because Stronach is basically the Austrian Mitt Romney when it comes to the economy and protest votes, this might help him too: Quote Magna posts higher profit on record sales (Reuters) - Magna International Inc, one of the world's biggest auto parts manufacturers, reported a big jump in quarterly profit on Thursday, as sales rose 5 percent. Magna said its second-quarter earnings rose to $349 million, or $1.48 a share, compared with profit of $282 million, or $1.15 a share, in the same period last year. Revenue increased to $7.7 billion from $7.3 billion in the period ended June. http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/08/09/magna-results-idINL2E8J734W20120809 Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on August 12, 2012, 12:49:49 AM In an interview yesterday Stronach said that he will put at least 25 Mio. € into the launch and promotion of his new party, even before the actual 2013 election campaign will start next summer.
That sum is more than all the major parties spent combined in the 2008 elections ... :P http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/Stronach-Trete-selbst-als-Nummer-1-an/75152420 A real Austrian Mitt Romney (or Meg Whitman) ... Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on August 15, 2012, 12:03:04 AM The SPÖ-mayor of Spittal in Carinthia, who is also a Parliamentary MP for the SPÖ, stepped down from his posts, resigned from the SPÖ and joined Frank Stronach's new party yesterday.
He would have been expelled from the SPÖ anyway, if he didn't step down. http://derstandard.at/1343744837061/Spittaler-SPOe-Buergermeister-wechselt-zu-Stronach Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: RedPrometheus on August 16, 2012, 07:54:42 AM Perhaps this will divide the Right in Austria even more...
Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on August 16, 2012, 01:11:58 PM Perhaps this will divide the Right in Austria even more... Of course. The new Stronach party will gain votes mostly from FPÖ and BZÖ, followed by the ÖVP and a small amount of SPÖ voters. The FPÖ is already going crazy because Stronach wants a return of the "Schilling" currency, instead of the Euro. Strache and his people already said that a "Eurozone exit is not the solution". Hear hear ! And that from the FPÖ. Stronach is now in the process of baiting current MP's away from their parties so they can join the Stronach party and set up their own parliamentary club. 5 MP's would be needed for this. Currently, Stronach has 1: The SPÖ guy I mentioned above. But there are several other people, for example a former FPÖ official which has joined the Stronach team. Also, there are rumours that ÖVP and BZÖ members could be presented when the party gets formed in September. Stronach's own parliamentary group with 5 defected MP's would be a big benefit for the promotion of his party: 3 MP's signatures are needed that a party is automatically on the ballot next year, so Stronach could forego the collection of the 2600 signatures from voters that are needed to be on the ballot. Also, the state broadcaster ORF would have to invite Stronach to every debate and give him quite a lot of advertising time on TV, something that would not be the case without his own parliamentary club. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on August 16, 2012, 01:20:13 PM It is rumoured that the current 2 Independents in the Parliament, Robert Lugar and Erich Tadler (both former BZÖ MP's) will join the former SPÖ-MP Gerhard Köfer and defect to Stronach.
Which would mean he has already 3 MP's for being on the ballot. Then he needs 2 more. ... Meanwhile the Pirate Party is self-destructing itself in personal leadership duels: In the last weeks, 3 of the 5 federal chairpersons have stepped down. This chaotic party still polls 5-7% at the moment ... Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on August 17, 2012, 12:00:46 AM It is rumoured that the current 2 Independents in the Parliament, Robert Lugar and Erich Tadler (both former BZÖ MP's) will join the former SPÖ-MP Gerhard Köfer and defect to Stronach. Which would mean he has already 3 MP's for being on the ballot. Then he needs 2 more. In today's Kronen Zeitung interview, Tadler says he will "definitely join the Stronach party". (It would be stupid for him not to do so: As an Independent, he would not enter Parliament anymore next year, unless he joins a party in which he can enter it again). Makes 2 defected MP's. 1 (or 3) more are needed now ... Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on August 18, 2012, 11:25:31 AM New Gallup poll for Ö24 shows Stronach & Greens gaining and SPÖ, FPÖ & Pirates losing:
28% [-1.3] SPÖ (-1) 21% [-5.0] ÖVP (nc) 20% [+2.5] FPÖ (-1) 14% [+3.6] Greens (+2) 8% [+8.0] Stronach (+2) 4% [+4.0] Pirates (-2) 3% [-7.7] BZÖ (nc) 2% [-4.1] Others (KPÖ, CPÖ, LIF etc.) (nc) http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20120818_OTS0028/oesterreich-umfrage-stronach-legt-kraeftig-zu 28% say that they would consider voting for the Stronach party (incl. 33% of men). Also: 41% of Pirate voters and 39% of FPÖ voters would consider voting for Stronach. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: You kip if you want to... on August 18, 2012, 07:14:11 PM New Gallup poll for Ö24 shows Stronach & Greens gaining and SPÖ, FPÖ & Pirates losing: 28% [-1.3] SPÖ (-1) 21% [-5.0] ÖVP (nc) 20% [+2.5] FPÖ (-1) 14% [+3.6] Greens (+2) 8% [+8.0] Stronach (+2) 4% [+4.0] Pirates (-2) 3% [-7.7] BZÖ (nc) 2% [-4.1] Others (KPÖ, CPÖ, LIF etc.) (nc) http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20120818_OTS0028/oesterreich-umfrage-stronach-legt-kraeftig-zu 28% say that they would consider voting for the Stronach party (incl. 33% of men). Also: 41% of Pirate voters and 39% of FPÖ voters would consider voting for Stronach. Fad party for crazy youths looking at other fad party for crazy youths? Well, i'm shocked. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on August 19, 2012, 01:06:47 PM New Gallup poll for Ö24 shows Stronach & Greens gaining and SPÖ, FPÖ & Pirates losing: 28% [-1.3] SPÖ (-1) 21% [-5.0] ÖVP (nc) 20% [+2.5] FPÖ (-1) 14% [+3.6] Greens (+2) 8% [+8.0] Stronach (+2) 4% [+4.0] Pirates (-2) 3% [-7.7] BZÖ (nc) 2% [-4.1] Others (KPÖ, CPÖ, LIF etc.) (nc) http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20120818_OTS0028/oesterreich-umfrage-stronach-legt-kraeftig-zu 28% say that they would consider voting for the Stronach party (incl. 33% of men). Also: 41% of Pirate voters and 39% of FPÖ voters would consider voting for Stronach. Fad party for crazy youths looking at other fad party for crazy youths? Well, i'm shocked. The Austrian Pirate voters consist primarily of pissed-off middle-aged voters from other parties. Despite being mostly seen as "left-wing" Europe-wide, the Pirates here are mostly anarchists, with even right-wing elements. Some members were recently seen as shooting from balconies, posting right-wing stuff on Facebook etc., according to newspaper reports. In the US they would be considered Ron Paul people I guess. On the other hand, the Stronach party is not supported by young voters either. Stronach also lures primarily middle-aged voters between 30 and 60, who are also pissed off by the other parties and who are also upper-middle class. Young voters still back the Greens, the FPÖ, SPÖ and ÖVP. Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on August 19, 2012, 01:08:33 PM New "Market" poll conducted for the "Standard" newspaper:
30% SPÖ 23% ÖVP 21% FPÖ 16% Greens 4% BZÖ 6% Others The FPÖ is now at the lowest level in 2 years ... http://derstandard.at/1345164506806/Umfrage-FPOe-auf-tiefstem-Stand-seit-mehr-als-zwei-Jahren Title: Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... Post by: Tender Branson on August 19, 2012, 01:14:37 PM I believe the 48-46 lead for the combined "Right" over the combined "Left" is the smallest in any survey since the 2006 election.
For the last 30 years, Austria has ALWAYS elected a Right-wing majority in parliament ... Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on August 24, 2012, 12:26:41 AM Stronach now has the support of the 3rd MP, Robert Lugar, a former BZÖ MP who is now an Independent in the Parliament. This means that Stronach doesn't need to collect the 2600 signatures from voters to be on the ballot in next years parliamentary elections, because 3 MP's are necessary to be on the ballot.
() If 2 more MP's would join Stronach's party, then he could set up his own parliamentary club and get state funding and media coverage like the other parties. But this creation of a parliamentary club would have to be approved by a vote in the parliament, because defected members of MORE THAN ONE party would join Stronach. And it is unlikely that the whole parliament would approve the creation of a Stronach parliamentary club. http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/Frank-Stronach-hat-mit-Robert-Lugar-seinen-dritten-Abgeordneten/76267776 Also, FPÖ-leader HC Strache has posted a Anti-Semitic cartoon on his Facebook site which is very similar to the Anti-Jewish cartoons published in the Nazi propaganda outfit "Stürmer" in the 1930s and 1940s: () The cartoon shows 1 fat man (banks) which is served by another man (government), which takes away the "food" from the thin man (the regular people). It was argued that the cufflinks on the "banker's" jacket were photoshopped by the FPÖ to resemble Stars of David which Jews needed to wear during the Nazi time. Also, a hooked nose instead of a normal nose was photoshopped on the "banker" - probably to picture the banker as an "evil Jew" ... Strache of course says that the "leftist media" is interpreting stuff into the picture ... http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/Strache-Cartoon-Neue-Anzeige/76320502 Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on August 24, 2012, 12:36:04 AM Here's the Reuters article about the FPÖ's anti-semitic comic:
Austrian rightist chief accused of anti-Semitism over cartoon (Reuters) - The World Jewish Congress called on Austrian politicians to condemn the posting of what it called an anti-Semitic cartoon by the country's far-right leader, saying on Thursday that Austria otherwise risked losing international credibility. Prosecutors may investigate Heinz-Christian Strache for inciting hatred over the cartoon showing a fat banker with a hooked nose and six-point-star buttons on his sleeve gorging himself at the expense of a thin man representing "the people". The leader of the Freedom Party (FPO), the Alpine republic's biggest opposition faction, has denied that the cartoon - published on his Facebook page - is anti-Semitic. Critics including the head of Austria's Jewish communities say the cartoon resembles Nazi propaganda caricatures of Jews in the 1930s and 40s. Nazi Germany annexed Austria in 1938 and a debate still simmers over whether Austrians were Hitler's first victims or his willing accomplices. Austria has 9,000 Jews today, compared with more than 200,000 before the Nazi takeover. "Clearly, and not for the first time, the FPO leader is trying to whip up anti-Semitic sentiment. His repeated denials are not credible because his words and actions speak for themselves," said World Jewish Congress President Ronald Lauder. "This scandal shows that anti-Jewish resentment is still widespread, and unscrupulous politicians are allowed to exploit it for electioneering purposes. That is mind-boggling, and it could have negative repercussions for Austrian Jews," he said. Strache, 43, wrote on his Facebook page on Wednesday: "I vehemently and fundamentally reject all anti-Semitism. "I say to all those who attempt to determine someone's origins by looking at a caricature of their nose, that this is the most deeply objectionable form of racism!" ORIGINAL CARTOON DELETED Another version of the cartoon - with English captions, a more bulbous nose and minus the star shapes on the buttons - also exists. Strache replaced his original posting with this version after the original provoked an outcry. The Vienna prosecutor's office is considering launching an investigation into whether the posting of the cartoon broke Austrian anti-hate laws. A spokesman said on Thursday a decision would be made towards the end of next week. The affair has provoked criticism from some Austrian politicians, but Lauder, a U.S. billionaire and the son of cosmetics company founder Estee Lauder, demanded that Austrian leaders ostracize Strache and his party. "If Austria doesn't want to lose its credibility on the international stage, the leaders of the mainstream parties must sideline Strache and his FPO," he said. A spokesman for Austrian Chancellor Werner Faymann, a Social Democrat who governs with conservative coalition partners, noted that justice authorities were already examining the case. "The chancellor has already said many times that he rigorously rejects any form of anti-Semitism, racism and incitement to hatred. This attitude of course still holds for all cases," he said in an email. http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/08/23/us-austria-rightists-antisemitism-idUSBRE87M0NL20120823 Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Insula Dei on August 24, 2012, 06:39:03 PM Sometimes the FPÖ just boggles the mind.
Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Hatman 🍁 on August 24, 2012, 09:30:52 PM lol Frank Stronach
Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on August 25, 2012, 12:19:42 AM New IMAS poll for the Kronen Zeitung shows the FPÖ dropping to a record low:
28-30% SPÖ 24-26% ÖVP 18-20% FPÖ 12-14% Greens No numbers for BZÖ, Stronach, Pirates or other parties - but about 14% remain. Usually, IMAS always shows the BZÖ higher than other pollsters at about 6-8% which means there are still 7% for Stronach, Pirates and others. But it would be nice to see the FPÖ drop to 15%. I wouldn't really mind a Stronach party in parliament if I could see the FPÖ at a record low of 15%, with even a LOSS compared with 2008 ... ;) Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on August 25, 2012, 12:25:56 AM New OGM trust index of Carinthian politicians:
() The trust index is measured by taking the "I trust this politician" and subtracting the number of "I don't trust this politician". Which means that only 2 politicans in Carinthia are trusted at the moment: Beate Prettner from the SPÖ and Green leader Rolf Holub, which is one of the reasons why the Greens poll at an unusual 15-20% in the state right now. Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on August 25, 2012, 03:13:51 AM The latest "Profil" poll also shows the FPÖ at a record low:
29% SPÖ 23% ÖVP 21% FPÖ 14% Greens 7% Stronach 2% BZÖ 4% Others (Pirates, KPÖ, CPÖ, LIF etc.) For the FPÖ, this represents a drop of 3% compared with their previous poll. http://www.profil.at/articles/1234/560/339818/umfrage-umfrage-fpoe-sinkflug-stronach-7 Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on August 25, 2012, 11:26:57 AM New Carinthia "Kurier" poll by the accurate OGM institute shows a far more conservative electorate than other recent polls:
() 55% Right (FPK+ÖVP+Stronach+BZÖ) 42% Left (SPÖ+Greens) Also, this poll shows the SPÖ and Greens losing a lot of support compared with previous polls (The SPÖ was ahead of the FPK by about 10 points and the Greens were polling 15-20%). Also, the incumbent FPK-governor Gerhard Dörfler leads in the direct vote for Governor with 25%, while Green leader Rolf Holub gets only 8%. 48% want new elections now. 30% want new elections early next year. 17% want elections take place regularly in 2014. () 54% think Jörg Haider was strongly to blame for the corruption in Carinthia. 19% say he was partly to blame and 17% say he was not to blame for it. 51% don't think Haider would be on trial now, while 37% say he would be on trial because of the corruption scandals. http://kurier.at/nachrichten/4509580-umfrage-kaernten-rechnet-mit-haiders-erbe-ab.php ... The fact that the corrupt parties FPK, ÖVP and BZÖ would still get 48% among Carinthian voters is quite alarming to me. Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on August 26, 2012, 12:32:42 AM New Ö24/Gallup poll:
29% SPÖ 22% ÖVP 20% FPÖ 14% Greens 9% Stronach 3-4% Pirates (the graphic says 4%, the article says 3%) 2-3% BZÖ (the graphic says 3%, the article says 2%) Because the values in the graphic would add up to 101%, I think the values in the article for Pirates and BZÖ are the correct ones, as it would amount to 99% with 1% for other parties. The article also says that Stronach is mostly backed by middle-aged men between ages 30 and 50. No surprise there. Also, Stronach is strongest in his home state of Styria with 20%. http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/FP-stuerzt-ab-SP-zieht-weg/76538561 Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on August 26, 2012, 03:14:26 AM New Tyrol state elections poll by "Karmasin" for the TT:
38% ÖVP 16% SPÖ 15% Greens 14% FPÖ 9% Dinkhauser List 4% Pirates 3% Gurgiser List 1% Pfurtscheller List 0% KPÖ 0% BZÖ http://www.tt.com/Tirol/5308449-2/tirols-vp-bei-nur-38-prozent-dreikampf-um-zweiten-platz.csp Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on August 27, 2012, 11:57:26 PM We are finally getting our military draft referendum in January next year:
http://derstandard.at/1345165347761/Spindelegger-kuendigt-Volksbefragung-zu-Wehrpflicht-an It has been really quiet about this issue in the past months, but now the SPÖ and ÖVP leaders have agreed with the backing of their state chapters that a referendum will be held on either keeping the draft or implementing a professional voluntary army. Polls show a close race. SPÖ, Greens and BZÖ favor a voluntary army, while ÖVP and FPÖ are for retaining the current draft system. Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on August 28, 2012, 01:33:12 PM Another BZÖ-MP, Elisabeth Kaufmann-Bruckberger, defects to Frank Stronach's team:
http://derstandard.at/1345165446164/Geruechte-BZOe-Mandatarin-soll-zu-Stronach-wechseln Which means that Stronach needs 1 more to apply for parliamentary club status. It looks like the BZÖ-people already know that they are not going to be in parliament anymore after the next election and therefore defect to Stronach who actually has a chance to clear the 4% treshold. Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on August 31, 2012, 01:08:03 PM New "Market" poll (taken this week):
() KW means "Kalenderwoche" (calendar week). Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on August 31, 2012, 01:13:00 PM This poll would also mean that Red-Green (SPÖ-Greens) is tied with Black-Blue (ÖVP-FPÖ) at 45% each.
Because the BZÖ polls below the 4% barrier and 7% are voting for other parties, this is significant: Austria has never elected a left-wing parliamentary majority in the last 30 years. Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Swedish Rainbow Capitalist Cheese on September 01, 2012, 03:17:29 AM When will Stronach's new party get a name?
Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on September 01, 2012, 11:17:00 AM When will Stronach's new party get a name? At the end of September, when it will be officially launched. Names mentioned include "Team Stronach" or "Team Stronach for Austria". Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on September 01, 2012, 11:25:04 AM BREAKING NEWS: Stronach breaks 10% for the first time in a poll
New "Gallup" poll for "Ö24": 28% SPÖ 21% ÖVP 20% FPÖ 14% Greens 10% Stronach 3% BZÖ 4% Others (incl. Pirates, KPÖ, CPÖ, LIF and others) Which means 54% for Right-winger-parties and 42% for Left-winger-parties. http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/SPOe-klar-vor-OeVP-und-FPOe/77216866 Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on September 01, 2012, 11:38:57 AM Here's a good summary on the Stronach Party (important parts in bold):
Billionaire car boss joins Austrian political race A new headline grabber has emerged on the Austrian political stage. He’s Frank Stronach, an 80-year-old auto parts magnate who’s launched a new party that seeks control of the government – and an end to the euro. Frank Stronach was born not far from Graz, the location of the Austrian production arm of Magna International, a company Stronach formed in Canada after emigrating as a young man. Stronach made millions in Canada in the auto parts industry, only to return in the 1980s to Austria where he made many more millions. But as new cars continue to roll off production lines at Magna Steyr in Graz, and parts are assembled at factories belonging to Magna International in 26 countries around the globe, Stronach is now concentrating his efforts on the upcoming general election in Austria. 'Political plus' At a recent campaign outing, Stronach told journalists that his party wanted to win at least 20 percent of the vote at the 2013 election, and he wanted to become Austria's next chancellor. The latest poll estimates he could receive as much as eight percent of the vote. Stronach pitches himself as an economic liberal who appeals to the working class. Political analyst Thomas Hofer from h&p consulting says his success in business is a political plus, one that evokes the wave Mitt Romney is attempting to ride in the United States presidential race at the moment. “Besides [Stronach's] many disadvantages, he has the important advantage of having been successful in the economic world. He has also managed to create jobs in Austria.” Along with his investments in the auto industry, Stronach has built a major horse racing center in Austria and bought a top-notch soccer team. Most people know his name here in Austria, but there's a lot left to discover. “The first question he will have to square with the people concerns where his taxes go, if he pays them at all. It is very unlikely that Austrian voters will support somebody who doesn't pay taxes here, and I think when the negative campaigning starts he will have a difficult time.” Away with the 'monstrosity' In a recent interview on Austrian state television, Stronach refused to let his interviewer ask a question. The question pertained to the European Stability Mechanism (ESM), the fund envisaged to help prevent a recurrence of the eurozone crisis, which Stronach adamantly referred to as the EDM, or “European Debt Machine.” [The German word for debt is Schulden. Editor's note.] Among the billionaire's economic policies are a return to the shilling, Austria's currency before the euro, which Stronach has referred to as a "downright monstrosity." He is also campaigning for a flat tax rate of 20 percent. “For us it's crystal clear that wealth grows with competition," Katharin Nachbaur, head of the Frank Stronach Institute, told DW. "Whenever competition is crushed, then the prosperity of the people suffers. And that's what we're facing in Europe as a result of the common currency.” So can an 80-year-old who lives around half of the year in Canada really shake-up Austria's political establishment? Thomas Hofer says the governing coalition parties, the Social Democrats and People's Party, have little to fear. But Stronach is likely to take voters from the Freedom Party and another small right wing party, the Alliance for Austria's Future. It's rumored that Stronach is prepared to put up 25 million euros of his own money for election campaigning. That would be more than all of the other parties could raise together. The official launch of the still nameless party is scheduled for September. http://www.dw.de/dw/article/0,,16203394,00.html Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: 後援会 on September 01, 2012, 11:41:54 AM Ending the Euro? And the coming structural transfer of wealth from the North to the South? Business experience?
This guy literally sounds like the perfect candidate ever, as long as he's not like a xenophobe or something. Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on September 01, 2012, 11:46:50 AM Ending the Euro? And the coming structural transfer of wealth from the North to the South? Business experience? This guy literally sounds like the perfect candidate ever, as long as he's not like a xenophobe or something. He's not a xenophobe, he actually supports immigration of skilled workers to Austria to help the economy grow (which of course is also supported by the SPÖ, ÖVP and the Greens). The FPÖ and BZÖ people are the xenophobes. Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: 後援会 on September 01, 2012, 11:48:25 AM Ending the Euro? And the coming structural transfer of wealth from the North to the South? Business experience? This guy literally sounds like the perfect candidate ever, as long as he's not like a xenophobe or something. He's not a xenophobe, he actually supports immigration of skilled workers to Austria to help the economy grow (which of course is also supported by the SPÖ, ÖVP and the Greens). The FPÖ and BZÖ people are the xenophobes. Oh. So this guy actually is perfect then. Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on September 01, 2012, 12:00:54 PM Ending the Euro? And the coming structural transfer of wealth from the North to the South? Business experience? This guy literally sounds like the perfect candidate ever, as long as he's not like a xenophobe or something. He's not a xenophobe, he actually supports immigration of skilled workers to Austria to help the economy grow (which of course is also supported by the SPÖ, ÖVP and the Greens). The FPÖ and BZÖ people are the xenophobes. Oh. So this guy actually is perfect then. Not really. Several factors are negative about him: * He's old (already over 80, which means he could die in the next years, which is similar to McCain's age problem. Why would people vote for a Chancellor candidate if he is already 80+ ?) * He mostly lives in Canada and pays his taxes there, but for the most part he pays his taxes in Switzerland and only a "small" share in taxes in Austria. As the article says, Austrians have a problem with people who pay their taxes elsewhere and want to run for office here and tell us what to do with our tax system and how middl-class people's taxes should be reformed. * BZÖ-boss Bucher says that Stronach wanted to pay him 500.000€ to join his party as a front-runner candidate, basically alledging that Stronach wanted to buy him. Stronach confirmed that he offered the 500.000€ to Bucher, but in January of this year and only to help the BZÖ election campaign. Stronach back then hadn't decided to launch his own party. But still, there's that smell that Stronach could easily buy people for his party, especially from the weak BZÖ, whose MP's would be unemployed after the next election. The threshold for parliament is 4% and the BZÖ is just at 3% right now and it won't get better. * Stronach is seen as a neo-liberal who wants to secretly destroy unions and weaken the protection of the workers. Austrians are strongly in favor of the unions and the Sozialpartnerschaft (social partnership) which in a historic tradtion is responsible for such good things as the bargaining of minimum wages, restricted opening hours, maternity leave, social benefits, housing benefits, commuter benefits, need-oriented basic income etc. etc. * And some more stuff I cannot remember right now ... Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: 後援会 on September 01, 2012, 12:09:11 PM So he's a bad person because he makes money? I see nothing that would actually impact his ability to govern. Just personal qualities people don't like.
Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on September 01, 2012, 12:21:39 PM I see nothing that would actually impact his ability to govern. There is a problem with him governing: As I've said before, he mostly pays his taxes ABROAD (primarily in the Swiss canton of Zug where he only pays a 10% tax on his income) and wants to run for office HERE. He cannot do this. If he wants to run for office he has to pay ALL of his taxes here. Which wouldn't be much of a problem, because Austria currently has one of the lowest wealth taxes in Europe. And because Stronach has already made almost all of his 1.7 Bio € in the past he would only have to pay a higher tax on his current annual earnings of about 20 Mio. €. But the bigger problem is this: Stronach would have to permanently live in Austria to govern. It is virtually impossible to have a Chancellor of Austria or a parliamentary member who jets in from Canada with his airplane once in a while for a parliamentary session or for Chancellor work ... Not a lot of people would like that. Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on September 01, 2012, 12:26:54 PM BTW: Stronach pays about 2.5 Mio. $ annually in taxes in Austria alone.
Which is another Romney similarity. Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: 後援会 on September 01, 2012, 02:18:29 PM Is there a constitutional provision or something that stipulates Prime Ministers or Politicians can't have overseas income?
Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: MaxQue on September 01, 2012, 02:46:20 PM Is there a constitutional provision or something that stipulates Prime Ministers or Politicians can't have overseas income? The problem is than he probably is more often living out of Austria than in Austria. I'm quite sure than an American who almost didn't lived in the US would have difficulties to be elected. Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: 後援会 on September 01, 2012, 04:40:24 PM Is there a constitutional provision or something that stipulates Prime Ministers or Politicians can't have overseas income? The problem is than he probably is more often living out of Austria than in Austria. I'm quite sure than an American who almost didn't lived in the US would have difficulties to be elected. Possibly. It'd be something to take into account if you were voting in a primary. Because that'd be an electability concern. However, it's not a qualification concern that should guide ones decision when the party standard-bearers are already decided. Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Zanas on September 01, 2012, 05:28:57 PM I'm sorry but are you completely out of your mind ?
Can't you really see how much of a problem it is for someone seeking supreme office to be declaring his income in other countries, especially in a fiscal paradise like neighboring Switzerland, when he will ask his citizens to increase their fiscal effort because of "the crisis", whichever this may be ? Can't you really see how outrageous it would be ? Would you have Romney living in Luxembourg six months a year and financing Luxembourg universities more than US ones while being US President ? Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: 後援会 on September 01, 2012, 07:50:36 PM I'm sorry but are you completely out of your mind ? Can't you really see how much of a problem it is for someone seeking supreme office to be declaring his income in other countries, especially in a fiscal paradise like neighboring Switzerland, when he will ask his citizens to increase their fiscal effort because of "the crisis", whichever this may be ? Can't you really see how outrageous it would be ? Would you have Romney living in Luxembourg six months a year and financing Luxembourg universities more than US ones while being US President ? Actually, I feel am I being far more rational here. It may be an electoral liability, but it's not a liability towards ones ability to hold the office. I am being quite rational here. I want the candidate who is best for the nation and by extension best for me to win. Regardless of my personal feelings about them. If I had the option to benefit everyone, including me, on the condition that someone I didn't like benefited the most, I'd still opt for that option. In fact, if everyone thought rationally thought like this, wouldn't we all be much better off? We'd certainly put an end to stupid things like war and protectionism. Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Filuwaúrdjan on September 01, 2012, 07:58:52 PM I don't think you used the word 'rationally' nearly enough in that post.
Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on September 02, 2012, 12:22:21 AM Here is the full poll from Gallup (incl. the number for the Pirates):
() Stronach has more potential though than his current 10% might suggest: [Would you consider voting for the Stronach Party ? 32% Yes, 53% No. Among FPÖ-voters: 50%] () Popular and successful Magna-manager Sigi Wolf has also been mentioned as a likely front-runner for the Stronach Party. He once worked for Stronach in his company and they have good ties. Wolf would actually be seen as a better Chancellor candidate by the Austrians: 13% could imagine Wolf as Chancellor, while 12% could imagine Stronach as a Chancellor. () Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Хahar 🤔 on September 07, 2012, 09:56:26 AM Let's not ignore this gem.
Political analyst Thomas Hofer from h&p consulting says his success in business is a political plus, one that evokes the wave Mitt Romney is attempting to ride in the United States presidential race at the moment. Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Leftbehind on September 08, 2012, 09:35:50 AM Ending the Euro? And the coming structural transfer of wealth from the North to the South? Business experience? This guy literally sounds like the perfect candidate ever, as long as he's not like a xenophobe or something. He's not a xenophobe, he actually supports immigration of skilled workers to Austria to help the economy grow (which of course is also supported by the SPÖ, ÖVP and the Greens). The FPÖ and BZÖ people are the xenophobes. Oh. So this guy actually is perfect then. lol Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: minionofmidas on September 08, 2012, 09:41:21 AM Here is the full poll from Gallup (incl. the number for the Pirates): () Stronach has more potential though than his current 10% might suggest: [Would you consider voting for the Stronach Party ? 32% Yes, 53% No. Among FPÖ-voters: 50%] () (from different polls, of course. Guttenberg poll taken right during the resignation mess, all others less than two years older than that. Horst Schlämmer... uh, lol (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Horst_Schl%C3%A4mmer).) Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: RedPrometheus on September 08, 2012, 03:37:40 PM Is there any chance of ÖVP, FPÖ and the Stronach Party of working together?
Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Leftbehind on September 08, 2012, 10:13:44 PM What sort of masochist would want to imagine such a thing?
Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on September 08, 2012, 11:56:13 PM Is there any chance of ÖVP, FPÖ and the Stronach Party of working together? Definitely not impossible. Depends if the FPÖ moves away from their xenophobic and antisemitic behaviour in the next year, so it gets more coalition-friendly. ÖVP/Stronach alone would not be the problem, but the fact that the FPÖ is part of it ... Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on September 09, 2012, 12:16:02 AM New Salzburg state elections poll by "IMAS" in today's "Kronen Zeitung":
38% [-1.4] SPÖ 33% [-3.5] ÖVP 13% [nc] FPÖ 11% [+3.6] Greens 4% [+0.3] BZÖ 1% [+1.0] Others 49-46 majority for SPÖ-Greens over ÖVP-FPÖ. The BZÖ is below the 5% threshold for seats. Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on September 09, 2012, 01:07:40 AM Here is the full scanned release from today's print edition for historical purposes:
() () () Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on September 10, 2012, 01:15:09 PM New Gallup/Ö24 poll:
() Majority for ÖVP-FPÖ-Stronach. Majority for SPÖVP. All other coalition forms are unlikely. Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Simfan34 on September 10, 2012, 09:45:32 PM Is this Frank Stronach in any way related to the former Canadian MP Belinda Stronach?
Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: MaxQue on September 10, 2012, 09:58:38 PM Is this Frank Stronach in any way related to the former Canadian MP Belinda Stronach? It is her father. Which is the problem of Frank Stronach, he lives in Canada since the 50's and wants to run in Austria. Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on September 14, 2012, 10:21:48 AM The Graz city council elections have been moved by ÖVP-Mayor Siegfried Nagl to November 25, instead of the regular election date January 20, 2013.
On January 20, 2013 the military draft referendum will take place in Austria, so Nagl said he doesn't want "his" election to take place on the same day. Nagl's ÖVP is way ahead in the polls right now. Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on September 15, 2012, 12:23:30 AM Nagl's ÖVP is way ahead in the polls right now. Today's a new Graz city council elections poll out by OGM: () The Pirate Party actually has 2% in the poll, but the graphic doesn't show it (click on the link below for the bigger graphic). Of course the ÖVP is still far ahead, but the battle for 3rd is becoming interesting: The FPÖ, Communists and the Greens are all within the margin of error. The BZÖ plays only a minor role. Some other parties are also running: The Pirates, the CPÖ (Christian Party), the LIF (Liberals) and a "pro-energy-saving-list". Direct vote for Mayor: 35% Siegfried Nagl (ÖVP) 10% Elke Kahr (Communists) 10% Mario Eustacchio (FPÖ) 8% Martina Schröck (SPÖ) 8% Lisa Rücker (Greens) 29% Someone else Projected turnout: 62% will definitely vote 19% will probably vote 15% will not vote Are the early elections a good or bad decision ? 27% Good 19% Bad 52% Don't care Which party benefits/loses because the early elections were called ? ÖVP: 72-19 benefits SPÖ: 6-19 loses FPÖ: 6-7 loses Greens: 2-38 loses Communists: 2-0 benefits Others: 2-4 loses http://www.kleinezeitung.at/system/galleries/upload/7/4/1/3117537/2012-09-15-OGM-Graz-Umfrage-S3.pdf Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on September 15, 2012, 12:40:04 AM Frank Stronach's party-launching get's serious the next week, when the old moneyed man jets in from Canada and lands in Vienna to stay in Austria for 3 (!!!) weeks, before departing to Canada again (this is probably the longest he'll be in Austria in the past years :P):
They have already agreed on the party name: "STRONACH for AUSTRIA" and a party logo. They are still thinking about what party color to use. The campaign team has already worked out a party platform too, incl. a position on the upcoming military draft referendum on January 20, 2013. For the final 3 months of 2012, the Stronach party will also spend 25 Million € on advertising and promotion of the party !!! This is a HUGE figure, because in the 2008 election, ALL parties COMBINED spent only 30 Million €. On January 1, 2013 the new campaign finance law takes into effect, which means that Stronach also has to obey it and his campaign ads will be limited to about 8 Million for all of 2013. That's why he's spending most of the money in 2012 after the launch of the party and ahead of the campaign finance law. Also, the Stronach-Team has said the party will contest the upcoming 2013 state elections in Carinthia and Tyrol (no word about the Lower Austria state elections, which also take place in March of 2013). But they said that they already have a Carinthia campaign office running. The fact that Lower Austria is missing so far is strange, because it is rumoured that the NATIONAL campaign office for the Stronach party will be based in Oberwaltersdorf in Lower Austria, which is also the seat of the Austrian branch of Stronach's MAGNA company. So, having the national campaign headquarters in this state and not running in the state elections there would be kinda weird. But there's still a few months time ... ;) http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/Stronach-Partei-Logo-Name-Personal-fix/78648450 Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on September 15, 2012, 01:04:00 PM After the Stronach Party, the Pirate Party has now decided to run for the Carinthia state elections next year.
Just like the Stronach party, the Pirates in the state just recently emerged as a party and set up a party platform at a party and leadership founding conference yesterday in Villach. http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/Piratenpartei-nun-auch-in-Kaernten/78684838 Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on September 16, 2012, 04:02:06 AM New poll by the accurate OGM institute:
() PS: The graphic shows that 5% would vote for "other parties", such as the Pirates, Communists, Christians, Liberals etc. In the direct vote for Chancellor, it's: 22% Faymann (SPÖ) 13% Spindelegger (ÖVP) 12% Strache (FPÖ) http://kurier.at/nachrichten/4512206-kurier-ogm-umfrage-so-waehlt-oesterreich.php Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on September 18, 2012, 02:41:29 PM New Carinthia poll by the Humaninstitut Klagenfurt:
33% FPK 31% SPÖ 13% Greens 10% ÖVP 9% BZÖ 4% Stronach Direct vote for Governor: 25% Gerhard Dörfler (FPK-Incumbent) 24% Peter Kaiser (SPÖ) 19% Josef Bucher (BZÖ) 15% Rolf Holub (Greens) 10% Gabriel Obernosterer (ÖVP) 6% Gerhard Köfer (Stronach) http://kurier.at/nachrichten/4512577-kaerntner-stehen-weiterhin-zu-fpk-und-bzoe.php Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Zanas on September 19, 2012, 03:43:23 AM I love how all three right-wing candidates are men, two of them dull suit-tied stereotypes, whereas all three left-wingers (though we could argue that SPÖ is still left-wing...) are women, with SPÖ candidate kinda hot with that dress... :D
You cannot make up stuff like that ! Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on September 22, 2012, 12:42:18 AM SPÖ, ÖVP, FPÖ, BZÖ now all have massive credibility problems ! This might help the Greens and Stronach next year:
Austria curbs sleaze panel remit, opposition protests VIENNA (Reuters) - Austria's government has curbed the remit of a parliamentary investigation into high-level corruption and ensured Chancellor Werner Faymann is not called to testify, rebuffing pressure by protesters and prompting an opposition outcry. The panel's work has enthralled Austrians for months and fuelled perceptions that politics are rotten given the cozy interplay of business and political power in the Alpine republic, one of the most affluent states in the European Union. Criminal inquiries continue into a slew of alleged graft cases. With hundreds of demonstrators gathered outside parliament to demand the panel's work go on, a deal to rescue the inquiry came together late on Wednesday but limited its work to just eight more hearings and left Faymann off the witness list. Critics called it a sad day for Austrian democracy when government parties - concerned the panel was making life uncomfortable before elections next year - fettered an investigation designed to shed light on shady dealings. "Even if a panel with a deadline is better than no panel, informed elucidation of corruption is no longer possible," the centrist daily Der Standard commented on Thursday. Officials from Faymann's Social Democrats and their center-right People's Party (OVP) coalition partners put the best face on the compromise deal, noting the panel would have come to an abrupt halt in the absence of an accord. But Stefan Petzner of the opposition right-wing Alliance for Austria's Future summed it up by telling Austrian television: "In truth this was ice-cold blackmail by the governing parties." Faymann and a top aide have been investigated over whether they pressured the state railways and motorway agency to place flattering ads with friendly newspapers during his tenure as transport minister before he became chancellor in 2008. Faymann has repeatedly denied any wrongdoing and said he was ready to appear before the panel if asked to testify, something that the governing parties can prevent with their majority. story continues ... http://ca.reuters.com/article/topNews/idCABRE88J0HE20120920?sp=true About 90% of Austrians wanted Faymann to testify before the panel, according to a Market poll. I expect the SPÖ to drop in the next polls ... Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on September 22, 2012, 11:41:16 AM I expect the SPÖ to drop in the next polls ... 2 new polls out today and the SPÖ drops. Karmasin Motivforschung for "Profil" 27% SPÖ 22% ÖVP 21% FPÖ 15% Greens 9% Stronach 2% BZÖ 4% Others The article notes that this is the first time in a "Profil" poll that the SPÖVP coalition drops below 50%. The opposition now has 47% (or 45% without the BZÖ). http://www.profil.at/articles/1238/560/342581/sonntagsfrage-umfrage-erstmals-mehrheit-spoe-oevp Gallup for "Ö24" 27% SPÖ 23% ÖVP 21% FPÖ 14% Greens 9% Stronach 6% Others (incl. BZÖ, Pirates and others) http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20120922_OTS0054/spoe-verliert-fpoe-gewinnt-in-neuer-gallup-oesterreich-umfrage Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on September 22, 2012, 11:59:56 PM Here is the complete Gallup poll for Ö24, incl. the numbers for the Pirates and the BZÖ:
() Here are the approval ratings of the major Austrian party leaders: () Here are the balances (approval minus disapproval) for the Austrian ministers and the President: () Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on September 25, 2012, 01:29:12 AM Frank Stronach gave his first hour-long interview yesterday @ PULS 4. He was interviewed by Corinna Milborn and Rainer Nowak from the "Presse" newspaper:
() It was quite surreal: The interview took place in Stronach's multi-million villa in the Vienna suburbs, that looked like a Southern US mansion with wide surroundings and other multi-million dollar villas next to his. Other than that, Stronach was quite vague: He wants a small professional army and a 2-year voluntary civil service for men and women. He also wants tuition fees for overcrowded subjects but prefers no tuition fees for studies that "the economy badly needs". He also wants a flat tax in Austria and opposes wealth taxes. He also favors an additional haircut for Greece, with banks involved strongly this time. He also striked me as quite soft on social issues, he said free health care is a right for everyone and that the weak and sick should be cared about by the government in form of unemployment and welfare money. He was also attacked by the moderators for promising to build a plant in Carinthia with 300 jobs, which he actually did but only with 100 jobs created instead of the 300. Then Stronach got loud and said: "I invested 2 Billion € in Austria and created 20.000 jobs. I could have done it elsewhere and made bigger profits, but I did not because my mother is from Carinthia etc. etc." ;) http://www.puls4.com/video/austrianews/play/1797589 BTW: If you watch the first 10 minutes of the interview, you can also see an excerpt of Stronach's first campaign TV ad in which Bill Clinton (!!!) talks very favorable about Stronach. Stronach has said he wants to put 25 Mio. € into campaign advertising in the next 3 months. Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on September 26, 2012, 12:09:34 AM The party was officially registered at the Interior Ministry yesterday under the name "Team Stronach für Österreich" (Team Stronach for Austria) and will be launched officially with a press conference and a website (www.stronach.at) tomorrow at 11am in Vienna.
Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Zanas on September 26, 2012, 02:17:20 AM I find it very characteristic that his party would have a name in Denglish, having spent all his life in Canada...
Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on September 26, 2012, 04:12:17 AM I find it very characteristic that his party would have a name in Denglish, having spent all his life in Canada... But "team" is basically a German name already ... How else would the party be named ? "Stronach-Mannschaft für Österreich" ? or "Stronach-Gruppe für Österreich" ? :P Anyway, the new party colours will be Red-White-Red, like the Austrian flag. This of course pisses off the "Austrian EU Exit Party" (EU-Austrittspartei Österreichs (http://www.euaustrittspartei.at)), which already exists for more than a year and also has Red-White-Red as their party colours: http://www.heute.at/news/politik/art23660,793555 :P Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on September 26, 2012, 04:27:04 AM ()
FRANK STRONACH 2013: Wirtschaftskompetenz durch Altersdemenz ! ... Background: In the TV interview I posted above, Stronach could only name 1 MP out of 4 MP's that defected recently to his "team" ... ;) Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Zanas on September 26, 2012, 09:46:09 AM Yeah I hadn't realized that Team was so rooted in German nowadays. The German language is not the best resistant against the English language invasion...
Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on September 26, 2012, 10:45:38 AM Yeah I hadn't realized that Team was so rooted in German nowadays. The German language is not the best resistant against the English language invasion... Maybe because they have common origins ? Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on September 26, 2012, 11:26:32 AM New IMAS poll for the Kronen Zeitung:
() It says "Stronach and other parties" are at 15-17%, of which Stronach gets 10-12% and other parties like the Pirates, Communists, Christians, Liberals etc. get about 5%. http://www.krone.at/Nachrichten/Stronach_als_Senkrecht-Starter_vor_NR-Wahl-IMAS-Umfrage-Story-335548 Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on September 27, 2012, 12:53:23 AM New "meinungsraum.at" poll for NEWS shows that voters turn to Stronach and the Greens in droves and away from the corrupt SPÖ/ÖVP/FPÖ/BZÖ in disgust:
27% SPÖ (-2) 21% FPÖ (+3) 19% ÖVP (-7) 15% Greens (+5) 9% Stronach (+9) 3% Pirates (+3) 3% BZÖ (-8) 3% Others (KPÖ, CPÖ, LIF, EU-Aus, etc.) (-3) http://www.news.at/a/uausschuss-faymann-verbirgt-etwas www.meinungsraum.at seems to be a new online-pollster from Vienna. Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on September 27, 2012, 01:13:52 AM Today is launch day for the new Stronach party !
Press conference in 3 hours, new website in 4 hours. The new website will be: www.teamstronach.at instead of www.stronach.at Maybe www.stronach.at already belongs to someone else. Or it will be a website for Frank himself. Who knows ... Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on September 27, 2012, 05:05:07 AM New ATV Austria Trend poll shows the FPÖ crashing and Stronach rising:
27% SPÖ 22% ÖVP 19% FPÖ 13% Greens 11% Stronach 4% BZÖ 4% Others Direct vote for Chancellor: 17% Faymann (SPÖ) 13% Spindelegger (ÖVP) 11% Strache (FPÖ) 8% Stronach 7% Glawischnig (Greens) 3% Bucher (BZÖ) 41% Other/None of them http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20120927_OTS0008/atv-oesterreich-trend-sonntagsfrage-stronach-bei-11-fpoe-verliert-massiv Excellent ! Anything that damages the FPÖ and BZÖ is fine for me. At least Frank Stronach is politically somewhat sane, contrary to the FPÖ and BZÖ. Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on September 27, 2012, 05:23:44 AM Currently, Stronach and his team is answering a ton of question from journalists:
() http://www.oe24.at/video/live Just recently he talked about abortion, but I tuned in a little too late, but I guess from what I heard he's pro-choice. I think this is a very good start for this new party. Expect Stronach to hit 15% soon. Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Boris on September 27, 2012, 05:12:56 PM What a badass. Emigrating to Canada before Austria was even an independent country, making a couple billion, and subsequently returning and forming a party marketing itself as a student-driven, intellectual movement. If only something like a Team Stronach-Pirate Party coalition were possible. :(
Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: DL on September 27, 2012, 06:58:25 PM Where does Stronach fit ideologically< is he seen as left of centre or right of centre and who might he be willing to join in a coalition? Could there be a SPO, Green, Stronach coalition?
Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on September 28, 2012, 12:13:40 AM Where does Stronach fit ideologically< is he seen as left of centre or right of centre and who might he be willing to join in a coalition? Could there be a SPO, Green, Stronach coalition? His homepage has released a 30-page party platform yesterday on various issues, but it is still worked on in the next months (so far it's very superficial and vague) and will be finalized in spring or summer of next year (the next election is only in 1 year). From what I've read so far, he's centrist on social issues (He says the SPÖ has failed as the Worker's Party and he's the real alternative for the average worker, coming out of a poor worker's family himself) and center-right on economic issues. Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on September 28, 2012, 02:28:03 AM According to various pollsters, we also have a picture now of what the average Stronach voter looks like:
(White, of course) middle-aged man with (upper) middle-class income, living in mostly rural/suburban areas and with normal/higher education. Basically, the typical Ex-FPÖ voter. Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on September 28, 2012, 09:23:57 AM From the ATV Austria trend poll:
How likely are you to vote in the parliamentary elections next year ? 50% I will definitely vote 32% I will probably vote 11% I will probably not vote 4% I will definitely not vote 82% say they are likely to vote, which means turnout could be similar next year like in 2008, when 79% voted. Despite all the recent political scandals. Voters of SPÖ, ÖVP, Greens, FPÖ and BZÖ are above average when it comes to "likelyhood" of voting. Stronach voters and "other" party voters are less likely to turn out. Old people, people with higher education and urban voters are also above average when it comes to turnout. This is strange, because in all recent elections, rural areas had much higher turnout than urban areas. http://atv.at/binaries/asset/download_assets/2894800/file Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on September 28, 2012, 12:34:25 PM Brand-new Gallup poll for "Ö24", conducted yesterday and today:
26% [-3] SPÖ 23% [-3] ÖVP 20% [+2] FPÖ 14% [+4] Greens 12% [+12] Stronach 2% [-9] BZÖ 3% [-3] Others Only a slight 49-46 majority anymore for the SPÖVP government. Also: This is the highest support for the "Team Stronach" so far. http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/OeSTERREICH-Umfrage-Frank-Stronach-schon-bei-12-Prozent/80078336 Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on September 28, 2012, 12:39:24 PM ... and who might he be willing to join in a coalition? Could there be a SPO, Green, Stronach coalition? Stronach currently says he would join any coalition with partners that support TEAM STRONACH's ideas. So, a center-right ÖVP-FPÖ-Stronach coalition (would have a 55-40% majority right now) is not out of question. Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on September 28, 2012, 11:37:47 PM Full results of the new Gallup poll, incl. the Pirates:
() Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on September 28, 2012, 11:59:33 PM Stronach calls Merkel "dumb" and "in bed with the banks".
CDU counters and calls Stronach "dumb" too and as "someone who can't calculate". http://kurier.at/nachrichten/4513843-cdu-zu-stronach-dumm.php At least Frank Stronach gets the publicity he wanted for his new party ... ;) But I think the bubble will burst some time next year, when he gets attacked by the other parties during the election campaign. Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on September 30, 2012, 12:29:12 AM Stronach is now the most popular party leader in Austria (even though all of them are in negative territory):
() Hypothetical Chancellor vote: () Vote potential for Stronach party (34% say they could potentially vote for Stronach's party): () Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on September 30, 2012, 01:02:44 PM First biographical 5-minute ad from Stronach, featuring the Ontario Prime Minister Dalton McGuinty, former US-President Bill Clinton, daughter Belinda Stronach, former Canadian PM Brian Mulroney & Larry King (CNN):
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hwsrwKvMrSM Later today, in 2 hours, Stronach will get grilled live on TV by 4 top journalists in an hour-long interview. Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on October 01, 2012, 01:09:38 AM Later today, in 2 hours, Stronach will get grilled live on TV by 4 top journalists in an hour-long interview. That interview was great. Christian Rainer from the "Profil" magazine was quite an arrogant prick and wanted Stronach to call him with "Sie" (which is the more formal/businesslike version in German for "you"), while the other 3 journalists had no problem with being called "du", (which is the more personal form of "you" in German). Stronach still called Rainer with "du" instead of "Sie" all the time and referred to him as the "megaphone of the Raiffeisen-bank" ... ;) Another journalist he asked: "Are you an emissary of the Red Army?" Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on October 06, 2012, 11:27:07 AM New Gallup poll for Ö24:
26% SPÖ 22% ÖVP 21% FPÖ 14% Greens 12% Stronach 5% Others 48-47 lead for the "Grand" (:P) Coalition (SPÖVP). http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20121006_OTS0056/oesterreich-umfrage-keine-mehrheit-mehr-fuer-rot-schwarze-koalition New Karmasin poll for "Heute": 27% SPÖ 22% ÖVP 21% FPÖ 11% Stronach No numbers for Greens, BZÖ or Pirates in the article ... :( http://www.heute.at/news/politik/art23660,798816 Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on October 06, 2012, 01:30:02 PM New Gallup poll for Ö24: 26% SPÖ 22% ÖVP 21% FPÖ 14% Greens 12% Stronach 5% Others 48-47 lead for the "Grand" (:P) Coalition (SPÖVP). http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20121006_OTS0056/oesterreich-umfrage-keine-mehrheit-mehr-fuer-rot-schwarze-koalition Full poll has now been released (incl. BZÖ and Pirates): () 1% would vote for "other parties". 57% would vote for Right-wingers (ÖVP+FPÖ+Stronach+BZÖ). 40% would vote for Left-wingers (SPÖ+Greens). The Pirates (2%) are neither "left" or "right". Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on October 07, 2012, 04:24:10 AM Today, the Burgenland town council elections take place. Nothing interesting really.
There are about 170 towns in Burgenland, of which the SPÖ and their mayors hold about 90 and the ÖVP the rest, with a few independent mayors . Other parties have basically no chance to win there. So, the statewide vote will be something like 49% SPÖ and 44% ÖVP again. I'll post the results when the polls close. Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on October 07, 2012, 11:40:09 AM Today, the Burgenland town council elections take place. Nothing interesting really. There are about 170 towns in Burgenland, of which the SPÖ and their mayors hold about 90 and the ÖVP the rest, with a few independent mayors . Other parties have basically no chance to win there. So, the statewide vote will be something like 49% SPÖ and 44% ÖVP again. I'll post the results when the polls close. The polls closed about 1.5 hours ago and 142 of the 171 towns are counted. And as I predicted, there is not much change compared with 2007: 47.9% [-1.2] SPÖ 42.5% [-0.4] ÖVP 3.7% [+1.0] FPÖ 3.7% [+0.7] Independents 1.2% [-0.1] LBL 0.9% [+0.1] Greens Turnout: 84% (no change compared with 2007) http://wahl.bgld.gv.at/wahlen/gr20121007.nsf Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on October 08, 2012, 01:05:28 AM Final Burgenland results:
Town council elections 46.2% [-1.5] SPÖ 42.1% [-1.0] ÖVP 4.2% [+1.1] Independents 4.0% [+1.1] FPÖ 1.8% [+0.4] Greens 1.6% [-0.2] LBL Mayoral elections 47.5% [-2.1] SPÖ 43.2% [-1.2] ÖVP 4.0% [+1.3] Independents 2.9% [+1.6] FPÖ 1.6% [+0.2] LBL 0.6% [+0.2] Greens Turnout: 82.5% (-0.4) http://wahl.bgld.gv.at/wahlen/gr20121007.nsf Map of winning parties: http://wahl.bgld.gv.at/wahlen/gr20121007.nsf/vwAUSGWeb ... There was also a city council election in the Lower Austrian city of Krems, which resulted in a historical loss for the City-ÖVP. The ÖVP lost their majority for the first time in 60 years and the SPÖ became the biggest party: 37.9% [+0.4] SPÖ 36.2% [-10.1] ÖVP 8.0% [+2.1] FPÖ 6.9% [+2.7] KLS (Communists and Left Socialists) 5.0% [+1.2] Greens 4.7% [+4.7] UBK (Independent list) 1.3% [+0.1] GFK (Independent list) http://www.krems.at/wahlen/html/gemeinderatswahlen/grwahl2012.asp Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on October 09, 2012, 02:28:47 PM New Oekonsult poll for the RMA:
() Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on October 10, 2012, 01:19:18 PM New Market poll for the "Standard":
28% [-1] SPÖ 22% [-4] ÖVP 20% [+2] FPÖ 16% [+6] Greens 10% [+10] Team Stronach 2% [-9] BZÖ 2% [-4] Others http://derstandard.at/1348285659306/Gruene-in-Umfrage-bei-16-Prozent Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Zanas on October 11, 2012, 04:05:18 AM I like where the Greens' figures are going...
Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on October 13, 2012, 12:23:36 AM I like where the Greens' figures are going... But usually they always overpoll by a few points ahead of an election. You need to subtract about 2% from their polling numbers and get the actual election day result. BTW: The BZÖ is collapsing further, because another one of their MP's - Christoph Hagen - has been kicked out of the party yesterday and joined the Team Stronach. Interestingly, Hagen told BZÖ-boss Bucher on Oct. 11 - the day Jörg Haider died in a car crash - that he would not switch to Stronach. One day later he switched to Stronach ... :P Stronach now has 4 former MP's from the BZÖ and 1 from the SPÖ. To set up a parliamentary club, Stronach would need another MP from the BZÖ. Currently, Martina Schenk and Stefan Markowitz are rumoured about switching over to Stronach as well. http://derstandard.at/1348285786756/Neuzugaenge-im-Team-Stronach http://derstandard.at/1348285915218/Stronach-Partei-BZOe-Vizelandeschef-naechster-heisser-Tipp Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on October 13, 2012, 01:17:07 PM SPÖ national convention was today and Chancellor Faymann was re-elected as party leader with just 83% of the delegates, the LOWEST EVER percentage for a SPÖ leader. This probably had to do with the fact that Faymann refused to appear at the parliamentary investigation committee which deals with corruption involving ÖVP, FPÖ, BZÖ and SPÖ figures, incl. Faymann and one of his workers. About 90% of Austrians wanted Faymann to testify before the PIC, but instead his SPÖ and the ÖVP agreed to kill the PIC (it will stop it's work in a few weeks). Looks like the SPÖ-base is also not amused with Faymann killing the PIC, so he can stay away from the corruption investigations ...
Here's the article in English: Austrian Chancellor backs EU, higher taxes (AFP) VIENNA — Austria's centre-left Chancellor Werner Faymann kicked off Saturday his campaign for re-election next year with a call for higher taxes and a commitment to the crisis-hit European Union. () Speaking at a party conference of his Social Democrats (SPOe), Faymann said he wanted to raise taxes on the wealthy and bring back an inheritance tax in order to improve "social justice" and curb the "excesses of capitalism." "In order to increase the number of all-day school places ... to 100 percent, we need 500 million euros ($650 million) per year," he said. "This is exactly the amount that an inheritance tax .. would generate." Faymann, 52, chancellor of the wealthy EU and eurozone country since late 2008, is currently in a "grand coalition" with the centre-right Austrian People's Party (OeVP) led by Michael Spindelegger, who rejects higher taxes. The next parliamentary elections in eight-million-strong Austria, which has the lowest rate of unemployment in the EU, are due in October 2013. With both parties likely to face a strong challenge in the election from the far-right, eurosceptic Freedom Party (FPOe) under Heinz-Christian Strache, Faymann also said he was committed to the EU. "We must stay together," he said. "Taking us out of the EU would lead us to isolation." The conference in Sankt Poelten near Vienna was attended by senior centre-left European politicians including Martin Schulz, head of the European Parliament, and Sigmar Gabriel, head of Germany's Social Democrats. Faymann also said he supported Austria having a professional army. A referendum is due to take place on January 20 on whether to keep compulsory military service. http://www.google.com/hostednews/afp/article/ALeqM5jhWI0tsFQYmIEfGPnfv72NNTZXXA?docId=CNG.167e93d9881bb2b508c8e1a9db70f189.7e1 Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on October 14, 2012, 07:40:03 AM Because the SPÖ convention took place yesterday, the pollster "OGM" released the October trust ratings for SPÖ-politicians among all Austrians (balance of "I have trust" minus "I have no trust"):
() The Governor of my home state Salzburg, Gabriele Burgstaller, and the President of the Austrian Parliament, Barbara Prammer, have the best trust ratings among SPÖ-politicians. Those 2 are the most likely to run for President in 2016 for the Social Democrats. Defense Minister Norbert Darabos has the absolute worst ratings. Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on October 20, 2012, 11:42:26 AM The Social Democrats have reached a new low today in the latest "profil" poll:
25% SPÖ 23% ÖVP 22% FPÖ 15% Greens 10% Stronach 2% BZÖ 3% Others http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20121020_OTS0004/profil-umfrage-spoe-im-sinkflug There's also an internal poll conducted for the SPÖ yesterday by IFES: 29% SPÖ 25% ÖVP 14% Greens 11% FPÖ 6% Stronach 1% BZÖ 14% Others http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20121020_OTS0015/aktuelle-umfrage-spoe-liegt-stabil-an-erster-stelle Austrian parties almost never release internal polls. It's pretty bad when the SPÖ starts releasing internal polls right after public polls show them crashing to the lowest level ever. Besides, this poll is a joke because the FPÖ is at only 11% when the public polls show twice the support. Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on October 21, 2012, 12:12:06 AM The new Gallup poll for "Ö24" shows basically the same result as the "Profil" poll from yesterday:
() Even more reason to believe that the SPÖ internal is crap ... http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/Neueste-Umfrage-Kanzler-wird-abgestraft/82406605 Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on October 21, 2012, 12:41:06 AM New Tirol state elections poll by Karmasin Motivforschung for the "TT":
42% ÖVP 17% Greens 13% SPÖ 11% FPÖ 8% Dinkhauser list 3% Gurgiser list 3% Pirates 2% Pfurtscheller list 1% BZÖ The ÖVP has gained about 4-5% since their polling low in the previous months. Direct vote for Governor: 31% Günther Platter (ÖVP-Incumbent) 8% Fritz Dinkhauser 7% Gerhard Reheis (SPÖ) 5% Fritz Gurgiser 3% Ingrid Felipe (Greens) 2% Gerald Hauser (FPÖ) 1% Gerhard Huber (BZÖ) 1% Patrick Pfurtscheller 42% None of those/Other/Undecided http://www.tt.com/Tirol/5578934-2/ende-des-%C3%B6vp-rekordtiefs-gr%C3%BCne-klar-auf-platz-zwei.csp Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on October 23, 2012, 01:27:19 PM Another MP from the BZÖ (Stefan Markowitz) has switched to the Team Stronach, which now has 5 former BZÖ MP's and therefore enough to form its own parliamentary group with state party funding, TV appearances in debates etc. etc.
The parliament still has to approve the new group, but top officials from SPÖVP have said that it will "likely be approved", because there has been a precedent in the early 90s, when 5 members from the FPÖ seperated and set up the LIF (Liberal Forum) parliamentary group. It also means the BZÖ's strength in parliament has been decimated from 21 elected members in 2008 to 13 now (5 have defected to the Team Stronach and 3 to the FPÖ). Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on October 25, 2012, 09:14:25 AM ÖVP-leader Michael Spindelegger said that he "rules out a coalition with the FPÖ and Team Stronach, because of their anti-EU-rhetoric".
So, it looks like SPÖVP again after the next elections (or SPÖVPGreens if they don't have a majority anymore). Or Spindelegger flip-flops after the election and enters a ÖVP-FPÖ-Stronach coalition after all. Or Spindelegger is replaced with someone else who then enters a coalition with them. http://kurier.at/nachrichten/4516999-spindelegger-absage-an-fpoe-und-stronach.php Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on October 27, 2012, 12:13:59 AM New IMAS poll for the Kronen Zeitung:
() IMAS always shows the FPÖ worse off and the BZÖ better off than other pollsters for some reason ... http://www.krone.at/Oesterreich/SPOe_und_OeVP_liegen_Kopf_an_Kopf_-_FPOe_deutlich_dahinter-Neue_IMAS-Umfrage-Story-338864 Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on October 27, 2012, 06:53:31 AM The new Gallup poll this week (400 polled, Oct. 24-25) is identical to the one from last week:
25% SPÖ 22% ÖVP 22% FPÖ 15% Greens 11% Stronach 2% BZÖ 3% Others Direct vote for Chancellor: 17% Werner Faymann (SPÖ) 15% Michael Spindelegger (ÖVP) 12% Heinz-Christian Strache (FPÖ) 9% Frank Stronach (Team Stronach) http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/Rot-Schwarz-hat-keine-Mehrheit-mehr/83109975 Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on October 27, 2012, 12:53:31 PM A new party has been founded in Austria today: "NEOS - The new Austria"
() It is headed by a former ÖVP-politician from Vorarlberg, Matthias Strolz. I like this party. I will probably sign a petition for them that is needed to appear on the parliamentary election ballot next year. 2600 are needed for all of Austria. It's socially left-wing, pro-European, pro-education, pro-direct democracy and pro-business. Some things they favor: * 138 seats in parliament should be elected directly (relative majority is enough, and special election in the event that a MP steps down, dies, etc.) * 45 seats in parliament should be elected via party lists * abolition of the Bundesrat (which is the 2nd chamber of the Austrian legislative) * more political education is schools * making Social Insurance carriers more efficient by creating only 1 carrier * full transperancy with party finances and fundings, party funding should be dramatically lowered until 2018 * reforming the education system: comprehensive and "all-day-long" schools, make schools autonomous and more PE lessons and much more (this looks to be a center-left issue they picked up) * making the healthcare system even better (it's already pretty good here) * full gay marriage rights with full adoption rights (currently Austria has Civil Unions and adoptions are not allowed) * promotion of skill enhancement during maternal leave, draft times etc. * basic social protection for everyone (they are vague here, probably because Austria already has a pretty good social protection system with many social transfers) * lower taxes to create more jobs * longer term reduction of debt as a percentage of GDP to below 50% * elimination of fixed shop closing times * and a lot more ... http://www.neos.eu Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Kitteh on October 27, 2012, 01:00:04 PM What are the chances that this party makes it into parliament? Are they getting a lot of attention in the media or are they a fringe group? Sounds like a good party from what you say there.
Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Hash on October 27, 2012, 01:00:15 PM Ugh FPTP. I wish all those who complain about the PR/party list systems in their countries, even if they're obviously flawed too, would realize that FPTP is just 100x more horrible.
Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Kitteh on October 27, 2012, 01:01:43 PM Ugh FPTP. I wish all those who complain about the PR/party list systems in their countries, even if they're obviously flawed too, would realize that FPTP is just 100x more horrible. It sounds like they're proposing MMP, not FPTP. Or am I reading that wrong? Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Hash on October 27, 2012, 01:02:44 PM Ugh FPTP. I wish all those who complain about the PR/party list systems in their countries, even if they're obviously flawed too, would realize that FPTP is just 100x more horrible. It sounds like they're proposing MMP, not FPTP. Or am I reading that wrong? Yeah, it's MMP, but with a disproportionate dose of FPTP. Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on October 27, 2012, 01:11:15 PM What are the chances that this party makes it into parliament? Are they getting a lot of attention in the media or are they a fringe group? Sounds like a good party from what you say there. They want to win 10% of the vote. But the party was launched just today, so they have not received a lot of media coverage yet. I also don't know how much money they have for the campaign. But I need to read through their 30-page party platform right now and see what their actual positions are on all the issues (there's a lot in there to read). But currently this looks like the best party to vote for in 2013. Or I'll stick with the Greens. Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on October 28, 2012, 01:24:41 AM Here's the full Gallup poll from yesterday:
() BTW: After reading their 30 page party platform paper, that new "NEOS" party seems similar to the Stronach party (just without the big money) and being much more pro-European in a Liberal sense (they favor a United States of Europe with Austria becoming a federal state). The Council of Europe should be transformed into a second legislative chamber and the President of the Countil should be directly elected by the voters in the member states. The government should be appointed by the President of the Council, with hearings in the 2 chambers and members need to be approved there. Also, NEOS has a special focus on improving the education system, something the Stronach team is more vague about. NEOS also favors a voluntary social year, so I suppose they are also against the draft (it doesn't actually say anything about draft/professional army in their paper, but their main positions are still modified until next April). Also, they favor that universities can collect tuition fees and implement student quotas on an autonomous basis. They also want tuition fees to be pre-financed to students by the state, so that students can pay back the fees when they have a full-time job. Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on October 28, 2012, 01:46:31 AM A few pictures from the launch yesterday:
() () () The new party leader Matthias Strolz: () Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on October 28, 2012, 03:51:09 AM http://wahlkabine.at/2012
has their new 2012 edition online now ! All parties except the Team Stronach have participated in answering 25 key questions: SPÖ ÖVP FPÖ Grüne BZÖ KPÖ NEOS - Das Neue Österreich Piratenpartei Liberales Forum ... My result: () It seems I have to stick with the Greens next year ... ;) I'll post the 25 questions and the party positions later: http://wahlkabine.at/wahlkabine/2012/standpunkte Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on October 28, 2012, 04:26:07 AM Question 1:
Should Austria keep the military draft ? No - SPÖ Yes - ÖVP Yes - FPÖ No - Grüne No - BZÖ No - KPÖ No - NEOS - Das Neue Österreich No - Piratenpartei No - Liberales Forum Question 2: Should asylum seekers get an immediate work permit after they apply for asylum in the country ? Yes - SPÖ No - ÖVP No - FPÖ Yes - Grüne No - BZÖ Yes - KPÖ Yes - NEOS - Das Neue Österreich Yes - Piratenpartei Yes - Liberales Forum Question 3: Should it remain possible that children are detained and put into detention pending deportation ? No - SPÖ No - ÖVP Yes - FPÖ No - Grüne No - BZÖ No - KPÖ No - NEOS - Das Neue Österreich No - Piratenpartei No - Liberales Forum Question 4: Should a "Culture-Flatrate" be introduced (similar to the broadcasting fee) that would make it legal to download and save copyrighted material from the Internet ? Yes - SPÖ No - ÖVP No - FPÖ Yes - Grüne No - BZÖ No - KPÖ No - NEOS - Das Neue Österreich Yes - Piratenpartei No - Liberales Forum Question 5: Should homosexual couples be eqauted to heterosexual couples when it comes to the adoption law ? Yes - SPÖ No - ÖVP No - FPÖ Yes - Grüne No - BZÖ Yes - KPÖ Yes - NEOS - Das Neue Österreich Yes - Piratenpartei Yes - Liberales Forum Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on October 28, 2012, 04:37:25 AM Question 6:
Should it be made possible to vote online in future elections in Austria ? No - SPÖ Yes - ÖVP No - FPÖ No - Grüne Yes - BZÖ No - KPÖ Yes - NEOS - Das Neue Österreich No - Piratenpartei Yes - Liberales Forum Question 7: Should every broadcasted piece from the state broadcaster ORF be made accessible in an online archive ? Yes - SPÖ Yes - ÖVP No - FPÖ Yes - Grüne Yes - BZÖ Yes - KPÖ Yes - NEOS - Das Neue Österreich Yes - Piratenpartei Yes - Liberales Forum Question 8: Should all official documents from the national and local governments be made accessible to the public as long as they are not protected by data privacy laws or by security reasons ? Yes - SPÖ Yes - ÖVP No - FPÖ Yes - Grüne Yes - BZÖ Yes - KPÖ Yes - NEOS - Das Neue Österreich Yes - Piratenpartei Yes - Liberales Forum Question 9: Should parts of the Health Care System be privatized ? No - SPÖ No - ÖVP No - FPÖ No - Grüne Yes - BZÖ No - KPÖ Yes - NEOS - Das Neue Österreich No - Piratenpartei Yes - Liberales Forum Question 10: Should a new Health Care System be created only for non-EU-foreigners that co-exists with the existing Health Care System for Austrian and EU-citizens ? No - SPÖ No - ÖVP Yes - FPÖ No - Grüne No - BZÖ No - KPÖ No - NEOS - Das Neue Österreich No - Piratenpartei No - Liberales Forum Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on October 28, 2012, 04:50:43 AM Question 11:
Should there be an unconditional basic income ? No - SPÖ No - ÖVP No - FPÖ Yes - Grüne No - BZÖ Yes - KPÖ No - NEOS - Das Neue Österreich Yes - Piratenpartei Yes - Liberales Forum Question 12: Should the religious and culturally defined circumcision of male infants be prohibited by law ? No - SPÖ No - ÖVP No - FPÖ No - Grüne No - BZÖ No - KPÖ No - NEOS - Das Neue Österreich Yes - Piratenpartei No - Liberales Forum Question 13: Should a law be passed to legalize private copies of Internet contents ? Yes - SPÖ No - ÖVP Yes - FPÖ Yes - Grüne Yes - BZÖ Yes - KPÖ Yes - NEOS - Das Neue Österreich Yes - Piratenpartei No - Liberales Forum Question 14: Should the non-commercial use and spreading of digital data be a basic right ? No - SPÖ No - ÖVP No - FPÖ Yes - Grüne No - BZÖ Yes - KPÖ No - NEOS - Das Neue Österreich Yes - Piratenpartei Yes - Liberales Forum Question 15: Tuition fees for universities ? No - SPÖ Yes - ÖVP No - FPÖ No - Grüne Yes - BZÖ No - KPÖ Yes - NEOS - Das Neue Österreich No - Piratenpartei Yes - Liberales Forum Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Franzl on October 28, 2012, 05:01:08 AM Guess I'd vote SPÖ, believe it or not. Possibly Green....but SPÖ probably to help guarantee they would lead another "grand" coalition (not very grand in Austria these days).
Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Swedish Rainbow Capitalist Cheese on October 28, 2012, 05:15:49 AM A new party has been founded in Austria today: "NEOS - The new Austria" () Sounds like one of those annoying "increased spending with lower taxes" party that promise everything to everyone, a.k.a. pre-coalition LibDems. When xenophobic parties says it they at-least pretend they can make up the difference by cutting immigration. ::) Not to mention their proposed election-system sounds awful. I'm all for abolishing unnecessary second chambers though. Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Niemeyerite on October 28, 2012, 08:02:27 AM Neos seems to be a party for gay people =P
Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on October 28, 2012, 08:11:56 AM Neos seems to be a party for gay people =P Because of the Pink as party colour ? :P Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on October 28, 2012, 08:29:56 AM Here are the final 10 questions:
Question 16: Should Austria spend more money on education and research ? Yes - SPÖ Yes - ÖVP No - FPÖ Yes - Grüne Yes - BZÖ Yes - KPÖ Yes - NEOS - Das Neue Österreich Yes - Piratenpartei Yes - Liberales Forum Question 17: Should there be seperate classes for immigrant children with low German-knowledge ? No - SPÖ Yes - ÖVP Yes - FPÖ No - Grüne No - BZÖ No - KPÖ No - NEOS - Das Neue Österreich No - Piratenpartei No - Liberales Forum Question 18: Should Austria exit the Euro-Zone ? No - SPÖ No - ÖVP No - FPÖ No - Grüne No - BZÖ No - KPÖ No - NEOS - Das Neue Österreich No - Piratenpartei No - Liberales Forum Question 19: Should Austria advocate within the EU that countries with financial problems get excluded from the Eurozone ? No - SPÖ Yes - ÖVP Yes - FPÖ No - Grüne Yes - BZÖ No - KPÖ No - NEOS - Das Neue Österreich No - Piratenpartei No - Liberales Forum Question 20: Should the economic benefits for companies be cut if they refuse to hire young apprentices ? No - SPÖ No - ÖVP No - FPÖ No - Grüne No - BZÖ Yes - KPÖ No - NEOS - Das Neue Österreich Yes - Piratenpartei No - Liberales Forum Question 21: Do you think capital and wealth should be taxed higher in Austria ? Yes - SPÖ No - ÖVP No - FPÖ Yes - Grüne No - BZÖ Yes - KPÖ No - NEOS - Das Neue Österreich Yes - Piratenpartei No - Liberales Forum Question 22: Should costs for contraception and abortions be covered by the Health Care System ? Yes - SPÖ No - ÖVP No - FPÖ Yes - Grüne No - BZÖ Yes - KPÖ No - NEOS - Das Neue Österreich Yes - Piratenpartei No - Liberales Forum Question 23: Should there be quotas for women on party lists in a parliamentary election in Austria ? Yes - SPÖ Yes - ÖVP No - FPÖ Yes - Grüne No - BZÖ Yes - KPÖ No - NEOS - Das Neue Österreich No - Piratenpartei Yes - Liberales Forum Question 24: Should Austria spend more money on development aid ? Yes - SPÖ Yes - ÖVP No - FPÖ Yes - Grüne No - BZÖ Yes - KPÖ Yes - NEOS - Das Neue Österreich Yes - Piratenpartei Yes - Liberales Forum Question 25: Should Austrian combat forces participate in military operations of the EU Battle Groups ? Yes - SPÖ No - ÖVP No - FPÖ No - Grüne No - BZÖ No - KPÖ Yes - NEOS - Das Neue Österreich No - Piratenpartei Yes - Liberales Forum Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on October 28, 2012, 08:35:16 AM Many of these questions also have official explanations from the parties on why they are "Yes" or "No" and how important these questions are for them.
If you want to know the explanations for a few of these questions, just quote them and I can translate it for you ... ;) Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Kitteh on October 28, 2012, 10:38:18 AM ()
Not surprised in the least. Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: MaxQue on October 28, 2012, 12:22:43 PM By the way, the question order seems to be randomised.
Green: 291 SPÖ: 261 KPÖ: 256 Piraten: 244 LIF: 82 NEOS: 48 BZÖ: -82 ÖVP: -111 FPÖ: -165 Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on October 28, 2012, 12:25:11 PM New Market poll for the Standard newspaper:
27% SPÖ 23% ÖVP 22% FPÖ 15% Greens 10% Team Stronach 1% BZÖ 2% Others 50-47 lead for the SPÖVP government. BZÖ is below the 4% barrier. Direct vote for Chancellor: 21% Faymann (SPÖ) 16% Spindelegger (ÖVP) 11% Strache (FPÖ) 9% Stronach (Team Stronach) 7% Glawischnig (Greens) 3% Bucher (BZÖ) http://derstandard.at/1350259576445/Sechs-von-zehn-halten-Oesterreich-fuer-ungerecht Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on October 28, 2012, 12:26:02 PM By the way, the question order seems to be randomised. Yeah, I know, but with my translations I think you can figure it out ... ;) Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: MaxQue on October 28, 2012, 12:42:34 PM By the way, the question order seems to be randomised. Yeah, I know, but with my translations I think you can figure it out ... ;) Oh, Google Translate does a good job and when it's not clear, your questions is clearing up things Green: 291 SPÖ: 261 KPÖ: 256 Piraten: 244 LIF: 82 NEOS: 48 BZÖ: -82 ÖVP: -111 FPÖ: -165 Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: SUSAN CRUSHBONE on October 28, 2012, 03:23:20 PM Grüne 306
KPÖ 267 PIRATEN 245 SPÖ 231 LIF 134 NEOS 78 -44 ÖVP -88 BZÖ -142 FPÖ Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Leftbehind on October 28, 2012, 06:49:42 PM A new party has been founded in Austria today: "NEOS - The new Austria" () Sounds like one of those annoying "increased spending with lower taxes" party that promise everything to everyone, a.k.a. pre-coalition LibDems. When xenophobic parties says it they at-least pretend they can make up the difference by cutting immigration. ::) Not to mention their proposed election-system sounds awful. I'm all for abolishing unnecessary second chambers though. Really? The past Lib Dems hardly promised everything, desperate to prove themselves 'moderate', and what they did offer, they tended to balance out with mansion tax, scrapping of trident etc. I'd say NEOS look far closer to the current Lib Dems: the only thing stopping them being seen as your standard right-of-centre neoliberal party is their equally liberal social stances, and even then it shouldn't. Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on November 06, 2012, 10:32:46 AM New Carinthia poll by the Humaninstitut (which has been notoriously pro-BZÖ in all their polls):
() Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on November 08, 2012, 11:23:08 AM Austria billionaire Stronach party allowed in parliament
A party set up by an Austro-Canadian billionaire six weeks ago is being allowed into parliament in Vienna without contesting an election. Frank Stronach, 80, launched his party at the end of September. Speaker Barbara Prammer awarded parliamentary status to Team Stronach, after it persuaded five MPs to defect from a small right-wing alliance. Born in Austria, the car parts magnate spent almost sixty years in Canada, where he built his fortune. According to opinion polls, his new party has attracted the support of an estimated 10% of the electorate, even though it is yet to define its policies clearly. Mr Stronach has vowed to shake up the eurozone, but has said a full party programme will not be decided until April. Autumn election He has said that a country stands and falls by its own currency and believes the euro has made Europe uncompetitive. Austria holds general elections next autumn and the decision to allow a new party into parliament in the form of the five defected MPs was not without controversy. Frank Stronach was born into a working class family in southern Austria during the Great Depression. After the Second World War he emigrated to Canada where he established a small manufacturing company in Toronto. That enterprise grew over the years into Magna International, North America's largest automobile parts manufacturer. Mr Stronach unsuccessfully stood as a candidate for the Canadian parliament in 1988. His daughter, Belinda, was an MP in Ottawa for four years. She was elected as a Conservative, but defected to the Liberal Party and became Minister of Human Resources in the government of Paul Martin. http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-20250157 Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on November 11, 2012, 06:46:57 AM New Gallup/Ö24 poll out today (SPÖVP government gaining a bit, FPÖ/Greens losing a bit):
() Direct vote for Chancellor: () Favorable ratings of party leaders: () http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/Umfrage-SPOe-kriselt-Frank-lacht/84647217 Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on November 14, 2012, 01:11:44 AM New IMAS poll for the "Kronen Zeitung":
() http://www.krone.at/Oesterreich/IMAS_Team_Stronach_hat_die_Gruenen_eingeholt-Liegen_Kopf_an_Kopf-Story-340756 Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Franzl on November 14, 2012, 01:17:05 AM This whole Stronach thing is just ridiculous.
Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on November 14, 2012, 01:28:04 AM This whole Stronach thing is just ridiculous. It will probably fade away anyway like the Pirates during the election campaign when voters notice that he has no plan, just a few talking points. But there are 2 things that could keep him at a high level: money and TV presence. He know has his own parliamentary club, which means he is automatically in the TV debates and "meet the press" segments of the ORF. Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on November 17, 2012, 12:47:13 PM New "Profil" poll:
27% SPÖ 24% ÖVP 21% FPÖ 13% Greens 10% Stronach 2% BZÖ 3% Others Direct vote for Chancellor: 18% Faymann 15% Spindelegger 11% Strache 7% Stronach 6% Glawischnig http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20121117_OTS0009/profil-umfrage-fpoe-klar-auf-platz-drei Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on November 18, 2012, 05:00:04 AM F**k:
() Hopefully Spindelegger won't be soooo crazy ... Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on November 20, 2012, 01:56:14 PM New state elections poll for my home state Salzburg by "IGF (Institut für Grundlagenforschung)":
() Trust ratings for the main Salzburg politicians: () http://www.salzburger-fenster.at/redaktion/aktuelle_berichte/sf_umfrage_so_steht_es_im_land_spoe_38_oevp_37_fpoe_12_gruene_10_art1992/ Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on November 24, 2012, 01:36:51 AM Tomorrow is the last Austrian election of 2012: The Graz city council election.
The ÖVP will be clearly first, but the Communists could surprise and come in 2nd (actually it's a tough 4-way battle for 2nd place between SPÖ, KPÖ, Greens and FPÖ). Here is the trend chart of the latest polls: () And here are the results from 2008: () Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on November 24, 2012, 03:19:26 AM It looks like the ÖVP commissioned an "exit poll" from the voters who voted early at the early voting Friday from a week ago. Only 8.000 people voted then, and according to the ÖVP poll, The Communists got 20% ...
You should take this poll with a ton of salt though because A) the ÖVP probably wants to piss off the SPÖ by boosting the Communist share and B) only 8.000 people voted out of more than 100.000. But maybe the Communists are really getting close to the results of Ernest Kaltenegger again, while the SPÖ and Greens will have a bad result. We will now more tomorrow. http://kurier.at/politik/inland/graz-waehlt-der-kuriose-kampf-um-platz-zwei/1.393.246 Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on November 24, 2012, 03:38:23 AM This is why the Communists are so popular in Graz (article is from 2009, but this is still the reason):
Styrian KPÖ gives to poor By Lisa Chapman The Styrian Communist Party (KPÖ) reported yesterday (Mon) in its traditional "Day of Open Accounts" it had given 163,897.64 Euros to the poor in 2009. Graz KPÖ councillor Elke Kahr said the money had helped 1,311 needy people in the province. She added that KPÖ officials at local and provincial levels had contributed a total of 965,184.87 Euros to 6,683 poor people since the inception of the charitable programme in 1998 by current KPÖ provincial whip Ernest Kaltenegger. Kahr added elected KPÖ officials had an income limit of 2,000 Euros a month, which meant that 50 per cent of provincial deputies and municipal councillors’ incomes went into the party’s social fund. The party gives money from the social fund to large families, single parents and pensioners in need. Kahr said around 62,000 Euros had been spent on such daily needs as school materials, food and medications, around 48,000 had gone to help the needy pay their rent, and 14,500 Euros had been used to help the poor pay their energy bills this year. KPÖ provincial deputy Claudia Klimt-Weithaler called for creation of a "social ombudsman" in Styria to help the poor. Kaltenegger, who started the party’s social fund, had said last March he would retire from politics in 2010 for health reasons. Kaltenegger, 59, who has been chiefly responsible for Communist electoral gains in Graz and at provincial level in recent years, said it was time for new blood after his three years in parliament. He said a party congress would choose his successor and the party’s chief candidate in the autumn 2010 provincial election. He added he would not run again for a seat in parliament. http://www.austriantimes.at/news/General_News/2009-12-29/19202/Styrian_KP%D6_gives_to_poor Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on November 25, 2012, 01:17:13 AM New TT/Karmasin poll for the upcoming Tirol state elections:
39% ÖVP 16% Greens 15% SPÖ 10% FPÖ 7% Stronach 7% Dinkhauser 2% Gurgiser 2% Pirates 1% BZÖ 1% For Tyrol 0% KPÖ () http://www.tt.com/Nachrichten/5741284-2/stronach-wirbelt-die-tiroler-polit-landschaft-durcheinander.csp Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on November 25, 2012, 01:20:06 AM New Gallup/Ö24 poll:
() () http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/SPOe-legt-zu-Team-Stronach-verliert/86096091 Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on November 25, 2012, 02:08:46 AM I'll try a prediction for Graz:
37% ÖVP 19% KPÖ 14% SPÖ 12% FPÖ 11% Greens 4% Pirates 1% BZÖ 2% Others Probably a lot of SPÖ and Green voters will defect to the Communists. Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on November 25, 2012, 02:15:58 AM The Austrian Intrade sees the following:
Wie viele Stimmen (in %) erhalten die Parteien bei den Gemeinderatswahlen in Graz 2012? ÖVP 34,65 % KPÖ 17,49 % SPÖ 14,21 % FPÖ 11,36 % Grüne 11,20 % Others 11,09 % http://www.wahlfieber.at/de_du/markt/A-12-GZ--gemeinderatswahlen-in-graz-2012 Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on November 25, 2012, 02:32:33 AM It looks like SORA is doing an official ORF Exit Poll for Graz today at 5pm:
http://www.sora.at/themen/wahlverhalten/wahlanalysen/hochrechnungen/hr-grw-graz12.html And I thought SORA was bankrupt (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=107855.msg2947860#msg2947860) ... Apparently not. Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on November 25, 2012, 02:39:51 AM Anyone else want to try a Graz prediction ?
Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on November 25, 2012, 07:16:43 AM Turnout in Graz seems to be higher than in 2008, when it was about 60%.
Hopefully, KPÖ+SPÖ+Greens will get 50% or more. It would be nice somehow if Graz got a Communist mayor ... ;) Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on November 25, 2012, 07:25:23 AM Results (will be posted starting at about 17:45):
http://wahl12.graz.at/ergebnisse/gr60101.html Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on November 25, 2012, 07:30:36 AM Wow, look at that SPÖ-trend:
() They could end up with about 15% today ... Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Niemeyerite on November 25, 2012, 08:34:05 AM My prediction:
38% ÖVP 20% KPÖ 14% FPÖ 12% SPÖ 11% Greens 3% Pirates 1% BZÖ 1% Others Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on November 25, 2012, 10:24:17 AM Early voting results (the Friday a week ago was an early voting day, in which about 9.000 people voted):
ÖVP: 36 %, SPÖ: 13 %, Grüne: 15 %, KPÖ: 18 %, FPÖ: 12 %, BZÖ: 3 %, Piraten: 2 %. Of course this is only 6-7% of the expected total vote. http://www.kleinezeitung.at/steiermark/graz/grazwahl/3173201/so-haben-morgen-wahl.story Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Franzl on November 25, 2012, 10:40:00 AM Why should anyone really care about Graz local elections? :)
Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on November 25, 2012, 10:40:43 AM Early results from the election day precincts suggest that the Communists and Elke Kahr (the woman pictured in my sig) had a BIG day.
Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on November 25, 2012, 10:41:59 AM Why should anyone really care about Graz local elections? :) Because it could get a Communist mayor, the first Communist mayor in any of the 9 state capitals and a Communist mayor in the 2nd biggest city in Austria ... ;) Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Franzl on November 25, 2012, 10:48:31 AM Why should anyone really care about Graz local elections? :) Because it could get a Communist mayor, the first Communist mayor in any of the 9 state capitals and a Communist mayor in the 2nd biggest city in Austria ... ;) Really communist....or communist in party name only? (Pardon my ignorance) Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on November 25, 2012, 10:49:02 AM In the 29 precincts ("Sprengel") already counted (out of 268), the KPÖ gains 11% compared with the previous election ...
Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on November 25, 2012, 10:51:01 AM Why should anyone really care about Graz local elections? :) Because it could get a Communist mayor, the first Communist mayor in any of the 9 state capitals and a Communist mayor in the 2nd biggest city in Austria ... ;) Really communist....or communist in party name only? (Pardon my ignorance) It's more of a localist hard-left thing, with a populist tone (Graz city politicians get about 4000€ a month, and the Communists donate about 2000€ of that to poor people). They also focus a lot on affordable housing etc. Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on November 25, 2012, 10:56:17 AM First projection:
() So, gains for the far-left and the far-right and new parties. The established parties are losing. Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Franzl on November 25, 2012, 10:57:50 AM Why should anyone really care about Graz local elections? :) Because it could get a Communist mayor, the first Communist mayor in any of the 9 state capitals and a Communist mayor in the 2nd biggest city in Austria ... ;) Really communist....or communist in party name only? (Pardon my ignorance) It's more of a localist hard-left thing, with a populist tone (Graz city politicians get about 4000€ a month, and the Communists donate about 2000€ of that to poor people). They also focus a lot on affordable housing etc. I'm near the communist center of Western Germany, actually,.....so I'm familiar with the concept :) That village is only about 10 km away from me. http://www.reinheim.de/index.php?eID=tx_cms_showpic&file=uploads%2Fpics%2FVG_OBW_Ueberau.jpg&width=800m&height=600m&bodyTag=%3Cbody%20bgcolor%3D%22black%22%3E&wrap=%3Ca%20href%3D%22javascript%3Aclose%28%29%3B%22%3E%20|%20%3C%2Fa%3E&md5=a500057917532d120f356d56e33755c1 (http://www.reinheim.de/index.php?eID=tx_cms_showpic&file=uploads%2Fpics%2FVG_OBW_Ueberau.jpg&width=800m&height=600m&bodyTag=%3Cbody%20bgcolor%3D%22black%22%3E&wrap=%3Ca%20href%3D%22javascript%3Aclose%28%29%3B%22%3E%20|%20%3C%2Fa%3E&md5=a500057917532d120f356d56e33755c1) Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on November 25, 2012, 10:59:28 AM Why should anyone really care about Graz local elections? :) Because it could get a Communist mayor, the first Communist mayor in any of the 9 state capitals and a Communist mayor in the 2nd biggest city in Austria ... ;) Really communist....or communist in party name only? (Pardon my ignorance) It's more of a localist hard-left thing, with a populist tone (Graz city politicians get about 4000€ a month, and the Communists donate about 2000€ of that to poor people). They also focus a lot on affordable housing etc. I'm near the communist center of Western Germany, actually,.....so I'm familiar with the concept :) That village is only about 10 km away from me. http://www.reinheim.de/index.php?eID=tx_cms_showpic&file=uploads%2Fpics%2FVG_OBW_Ueberau.jpg&width=800m&height=600m&bodyTag=%3Cbody%20bgcolor%3D%22black%22%3E&wrap=%3Ca%20href%3D%22javascript%3Aclose%28%29%3B%22%3E%20|%20%3C%2Fa%3E&md5=a500057917532d120f356d56e33755c1 (http://www.reinheim.de/index.php?eID=tx_cms_showpic&file=uploads%2Fpics%2FVG_OBW_Ueberau.jpg&width=800m&height=600m&bodyTag=%3Cbody%20bgcolor%3D%22black%22%3E&wrap=%3Ca%20href%3D%22javascript%3Aclose%28%29%3B%22%3E%20|%20%3C%2Fa%3E&md5=a500057917532d120f356d56e33755c1) Maybe Austria also had a few KPÖ mayors ... in the 1950s. I'm not sure about that. But Graz would be big. Almost 300.000 people live there. Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on November 25, 2012, 11:00:21 AM Hahaha, this election even has a live-stream:
http://www.kleinezeitung.at/portal/fragments/steiermark/livevideo/index_ustream.jsp Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on November 25, 2012, 11:32:41 AM Official results (223 of 270 precincts counted):
32.8% [-5.6] ÖVP (17 seats) 20.4% [+9.2] KPÖ (10 seats) 15.8% [-3.9] SPÖ (8 seats) 14.5% [+3.7] FPÖ (7 seats) 11.3% [-3.3] Greens (5 seats) 2.7% [+2.6] Pirates (1 seat) 1.4% [-3.0] BZÖ 0.5% [+0.5] CPÖ 0.6% Others 24 seats for KPÖ/SPÖ/Greens/Pirates to 24 seats for ÖVP/FPÖ. But the most likely scenario is ÖVP-SPÖ with 25-23 seats. Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on November 25, 2012, 11:43:04 AM The Communists currently lead in the district Graz-Gries, with 1 precinct remaining.
Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on November 25, 2012, 12:53:16 PM Official results (all 270 precincts counted):
33.5% [-4.9] ÖVP (17 seats) 20.1% [+8.9] KPÖ (10 seats) 15.3% [-4.4] SPÖ (7 seats) 13.9% [+3.1] FPÖ (7 seats) 12.0% [-2.6] Greens (6 seats) 2.7% [+2.7] Pirates (1 seat) 1.4% [-3.0] BZÖ 0.5% [+0.5] CPÖ 0.6% Others Turnout: 53% (-5%) Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on November 25, 2012, 12:56:34 PM Turnout should rise to about 56% when the postal votes are counted tomorrow, which would still be down 2% compared with 2008 and the lowest level ever.
Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Franzl on November 25, 2012, 01:00:56 PM So I guess that means Graz is not getting their communist mayor?
Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on November 25, 2012, 01:03:02 PM So I guess that means Graz is getting their communist mayor? No: 10+8+5 =23 (+1) = 24 ÖVP/FPÖ: 17+7 = 24 And no: Quote "Dieses Wahrergebnis soll Mut machen und Hoffnung geben", sagte KPÖ-Spitzenkandidatin Elke Kahr in einer ersten Reaktion zu den sich abzeichnenden starken Zugewinnen. Für alle hätten Reformen in letzter Zeit immer eine Schlechterstellung bedeutet. Sie werde keinen Anspruch auf das Bürgermeisteramt stellen und auch eine Koalition - mit wem auch immer - kann sie sich nicht vorstellen. "Was ich mir vorstellen kann, sind Bereichskoalitionen." http://www.kleinezeitung.at/steiermark/graz/grazwahl/3174438/kahr-dieses-wahrergebnis-soll-mut-machen.story Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Franzl on November 25, 2012, 01:11:54 PM That's comforting :)
Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: MaxQue on November 25, 2012, 03:10:01 PM So I guess that means Graz is getting their communist mayor? No: 10+8+5 =23 (+1) = 24 ÖVP/FPÖ: 17+7 = 24 And no: Quote "Dieses Wahrergebnis soll Mut machen und Hoffnung geben", sagte KPÖ-Spitzenkandidatin Elke Kahr in einer ersten Reaktion zu den sich abzeichnenden starken Zugewinnen. Für alle hätten Reformen in letzter Zeit immer eine Schlechterstellung bedeutet. Sie werde keinen Anspruch auf das Bürgermeisteramt stellen und auch eine Koalition - mit wem auch immer - kann sie sich nicht vorstellen. "Was ich mir vorstellen kann, sind Bereichskoalitionen." http://www.kleinezeitung.at/steiermark/graz/grazwahl/3174438/kahr-dieses-wahrergebnis-soll-mut-machen.story So, what now? All possible coalitions seems to add to 24 (FPÖVP, SPÖVP, Greens/KPÖ/SPÖ). Does Green/SPÖ/ÖVP could happen? Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on November 26, 2012, 01:14:53 AM So I guess that means Graz is getting their communist mayor? No: 10+8+5 =23 (+1) = 24 ÖVP/FPÖ: 17+7 = 24 And no: Quote "Dieses Wahrergebnis soll Mut machen und Hoffnung geben", sagte KPÖ-Spitzenkandidatin Elke Kahr in einer ersten Reaktion zu den sich abzeichnenden starken Zugewinnen. Für alle hätten Reformen in letzter Zeit immer eine Schlechterstellung bedeutet. Sie werde keinen Anspruch auf das Bürgermeisteramt stellen und auch eine Koalition - mit wem auch immer - kann sie sich nicht vorstellen. "Was ich mir vorstellen kann, sind Bereichskoalitionen." http://www.kleinezeitung.at/steiermark/graz/grazwahl/3174438/kahr-dieses-wahrergebnis-soll-mut-machen.story So, what now? All possible coalitions seems to add to 24 (FPÖVP, SPÖVP, Greens/KPÖ/SPÖ). Does Green/SPÖ/ÖVP could happen? Well, today the remaining postal votes will be counted, so this adds another 6000 ballots. But probably the seats will remain like they are right now. Which means ÖVP+SPÖ plus the 1 Pirate or ÖVP+SPÖ+Greens. The KPÖ has said it won't be in a coalition with the ÖVP. Anyway, the results: () And by district: () Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on November 26, 2012, 01:29:22 AM Data from the SORA Exit Poll:
Gender: Men: 32% ÖVP, 23% KPÖ, 17% FPÖ, 13% SPÖ, 7% Greens, 2% BZÖ, 5% Others Women: 35% ÖVP, 19% SPÖ, 17% KPÖ, 16% Greens, 11% FPÖ, 1% BZÖ, 2% Others Age: 16-29: 26% Greens, 22% FPÖ, 14% KPÖ, 13% SPÖ, 12% ÖVP, 3% BZÖ, 9% Others 30-59: 29% ÖVP, 26% KPÖ, 16% SPÖ, 13% FPÖ, 12% Greens, 1% BZÖ, 3% Others 60+: 55% ÖVP, 17% SPÖ, 13% KPÖ, 11% FPÖ, 2% Greens, 1% BZÖ, 1% Others http://images.derstandard.at/2012/11/25/wahltagsbefragung.pdf Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Zanas on November 26, 2012, 04:29:23 AM Well that's a shame, since Cordoba in España lost its Communist mayor last year, that would have probably be the largest European city with a Communist mayor !
Anyway that's pretty comforting to see that voters are still capable sometimes of switching away of a centre-left party that compromises too much with the right to go for a more left-wing party not willing to do so. SPÖ must ask themselves questions now... Oh and another thing : those councils with even numbers of seats are just ridiculous. You just don't do that. Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: MaxQue on November 26, 2012, 04:51:16 AM Well that's a shame, since Cordoba in España lost its Communist mayor last year, that would have probably be the largest European city with a Communist mayor ! What it is now? Some Paris suburb? Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Zanas on November 26, 2012, 05:31:38 AM Well, until Dec 2011 you still also had Nicosia in Cyprus, but it turned conservative also. Now I only find Saint-Denis in Paris' suburb which has 105,000 inhabitants.
You could argue that Pisapia, Milan's mayor in Italia, is the largest city's communist mayor, but I think he's now much more of a social-democrat. In Germany, Die Linke's got Schwerin with 95,000. Maybe fellow Atlas members could help us in that quest ? :D Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Leftbehind on November 26, 2012, 06:06:09 AM It's a shame it didn't amount to a mayor, but still good news. Also, the Pirates: seriously, just f**k off.
Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Velasco on November 26, 2012, 07:09:03 AM Well that's a shame, since Cordoba in España lost its Communist mayor last year, that would have probably be the largest European city with a Communist mayor ! Anyway that's pretty comforting to see that voters are still capable sometimes of switching away of a centre-left party that compromises too much with the right to go for a more left-wing party not willing to do so. SPÖ must ask themselves questions now... Oh and another thing : those councils with even numbers of seats are just ridiculous. You just don't do that. Since the lost of Cordoba, I think that the most important city with an IU mayor is Rivas-Vaciamadrid (pop. around 73000), in the Spain's capital periphery. That town is called the Gaul village of the left in Madrid and its mayor, José Masa, has developed some advanced social and environmental policies. In Catalonia ICV retains El Prat de Llobregat (pop. 63500), although many IU militants regard the ecosocialist party as a vile bunch of socialdemocratic revisionists. I think that in Andalusia IU doesn't control any municipality above 50000, but I might be wrong. Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on November 26, 2012, 02:11:17 PM Final results with all votes counted (incl. all the postal votes from today):
33.74% [-4.63] - 17 seats - ÖVP 19.86% [+8.68] - 10 seats - KPÖ 15.31% [-4.43] - 7 seats - SPÖ 13.75% [+2.90] - 7 seats - FPÖ 12.14% [-2.42] - 6 seats - Greens 2.70% [+2.70] - 1 seat - Pirates 1.34% [-2.97] - 0 seats - BZÖ 1.16% - Others Coalition remains unknown. Will probably take a few days/weeks for them to figure it out. Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on November 26, 2012, 02:17:55 PM Forgot something:
The final turnout (incl. all postal votes) in Stalingraz/Leningraz was 55.5%, which is down by 2.4% compared with 2008 - and a new low. Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on November 27, 2012, 01:34:45 AM I'll probably lock this thread and the draft thread on Saturday (Dec. 1) and create a uniform new thread about the "2013 Austrian parliamentary election, state elections and draft referendum".
Title: Re: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ... Post by: Tender Branson on November 28, 2012, 02:15:10 PM I'll probably lock this thread and the draft thread on Saturday (Dec. 1) and create a uniform new thread about the "2013 Austrian parliamentary election, state elections and draft referendum". I'll create the new thread right now and lock the 2 current ones ... Goodbye "2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ..."-thread ... ;) |