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Title: NY-01/SUSA-FDL: Bishop in a close race Post by: Rowan on January 20, 2010, 10:30:54 AM NY-01(SurveyUSA)
Bishop(D-Inc): 47% Altschuler(R): 45% http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=02b53979-1e5f-47fc-82e1-64b0fb96602e&c=158 Title: Re: NY-01/SUSA-FDL: Bishop in a close race Post by: Sam Spade on January 20, 2010, 11:23:24 AM I'm not going to do anything with this until Joe and I get moderating control back over the Senatorial election polls, but I'm going to request that House polls be put into Senatorial election polls board unless Dave creates a House election polls child board (which I may ask for).
Title: Re: NY-01/SUSA-FDL: Bishop in a close race Post by: Rowan on January 20, 2010, 12:16:45 PM Finally we got a board for these.
Title: Re: NY-01/SUSA-FDL: Bishop in a close race Post by: Tender Branson on January 20, 2010, 02:52:25 PM Someone seems to have lots of money at firedoglake to commission these polls on a weekly basis.
Not that I have anything against it, they should continue to do so until November ... :) Title: Re: NY-01/SUSA-FDL: Bishop in a close race Post by: Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee on January 20, 2010, 03:51:18 PM Looking good, Looking good. We may finally see the end of Bishop.
Title: Re: NY-01/SUSA-FDL: Bishop in a close race Post by: © tweed on January 20, 2010, 03:53:02 PM interesting tint to be added to a potential July Hamptons weekend.
Title: Re: NY-01/SUSA-FDL: Bishop in a close race Post by: Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee on January 20, 2010, 04:16:41 PM Altschuler needs to increase his support among women voters and get the other 10% of Republicans who disapprove of Obama to support him(74% of Repubs disapprove of Obama but only 66% of Repubs support Altschuler. Adding more points among Independents wouldn't hurt either.
Title: Re: NY-01/SUSA-FDL: Bishop in a close race Post by: Rowan on January 20, 2010, 04:28:39 PM Looks like an absurdly tight voter screen. They only have 1% of the electorate as 18-34.
Title: Re: NY-01/SUSA-FDL: Bishop in a close race Post by: xavier110 on January 20, 2010, 06:16:19 PM I live in this district. That 1% sample is a little ridiculous, but it's definitely not pushing 6 or 7%.
Just from what I've seen/heard - Bishop will lose. I don't know how he's gotten away with such a liberal voting record in a swing district, aside from being generally well-liked in the Town of Southampton. Title: Re: NY-01/SUSA-FDL: Bishop in a close race Post by: Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee on January 20, 2010, 06:19:50 PM I live in this district. That 1% sample is a little ridiculous, but it's definitely not pushing 6 or 7%. Just from what I've seen/heard - Bishop will lose. I don't know how he's gotten away with such a liberal voting record in a swing district, aside from being generally well-liked in the Town of Southampton. Crappy candidate in 2004, and two waves in 2006 and 2008. Title: Re: NY-01/SUSA-FDL: Bishop in a close race Post by: xavier110 on January 20, 2010, 06:23:53 PM I live in this district. That 1% sample is a little ridiculous, but it's definitely not pushing 6 or 7%. Just from what I've seen/heard - Bishop will lose. I don't know how he's gotten away with such a liberal voting record in a swing district, aside from being generally well-liked in the Town of Southampton. Crappy candidate in 2004, and two waves in 2006 and 2008. To be honest, he's had a crappy opponent all three times. And the old people genuinely like him a lot. He could still probably pull it off with a solid campaign, but I really think health care has killed him. (He was one of the first congressmen, if not the first, bum-rushed at a town hall.) Title: Re: NY-01/SUSA-FDL: Bishop in a close race Post by: Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee on January 20, 2010, 06:36:05 PM I live in this district. That 1% sample is a little ridiculous, but it's definitely not pushing 6 or 7%. Just from what I've seen/heard - Bishop will lose. I don't know how he's gotten away with such a liberal voting record in a swing district, aside from being generally well-liked in the Town of Southampton. Crappy candidate in 2004, and two waves in 2006 and 2008. To be honest, he's had a crappy opponent all three times. And the old people genuinely like him a lot. He could still probably pull it off with a solid campaign, but I really think health care has killed him. (He was one of the first congressmen, if not the first, bum-rushed at a town hall.) Well even if he had good opponents in 2006 or 2008, he would have still won reelection because of the wave. Title: Re: NY-01/SUSA-FDL: Bishop in a close race Post by: Lief 🗽 on January 20, 2010, 06:45:48 PM Looks like an absurdly tight voter screen. They only have 1% of the electorate as 18-34. SUSA's last two polls for FDL also has ridiculously tight voter screen: 5% in AR-02 and 3% in OH-01 (http://www.swingstateproject.com/diary/6249/ny01-new-susa-poll-shows-a-dogfight-but-almost-no-young-voters-in-sample). Title: Re: NY-01/SUSA-FDL: Bishop in a close race Post by: JohnnyLongtorso on January 20, 2010, 07:00:50 PM SUSA's internals are always screwy, but their toplines tend to be solid.
Title: Re: NY-01/SUSA-FDL: Bishop in a close race Post by: Hash on January 20, 2010, 08:32:44 PM I actually expected Bishop to be trailing.
Title: Re: NY-01/SUSA-FDL: Bishop in a close race Post by: Smash255 on January 20, 2010, 10:40:47 PM 79% over 50. 1% 18-34......
Title: Re: NY-01/SUSA-FDL: Bishop in a close race Post by: Lunar on January 21, 2010, 04:17:06 AM I'm not sure what FDL is doing here in terms of financial gain. These polls are expensive and they don't have Kos's resources. And if I were an activist these results would make me not want to activate
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