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Title: IN-09/SUSA-FDL: Hill trails Sodrel Post by: Rowan on January 21, 2010, 11:22:58 AM IN-09(SUSA)
Sodrel(R): 49% Hill(D-Inc): 41% http://elections.firedoglake.com/2010/01/21/in-9-baron-hill-trailing-mike-sodrel-in-fifth-straight-match-up-41-to-49/ Title: Re: IN-09/SUSA-FDL: Hill trails Sodrel Post by: Lief 🗽 on January 21, 2010, 04:25:39 PM How many young people are included in this poll? 2%? 5%?
Title: Re: IN-09/SUSA-FDL: Hill trails Sodrel Post by: ajc0918 on January 21, 2010, 04:32:20 PM Bye Bye.
Title: Re: IN-09/SUSA-FDL: Hill trails Sodrel Post by: JohnnyLongtorso on January 21, 2010, 06:38:02 PM A little less cut and dry, since Sodrel still has to win the primary against that other guy.
Title: Re: IN-09/SUSA-FDL: Hill trails Sodrel Post by: MSG on January 21, 2010, 09:24:11 PM 18-34 is almost a 2-1 advantage for sodrel yeah thats gonna happen in a district thats dominated by bloomington. i would put good money that sodrel has never won that age group and probably lost by that margin the last two go arounds. Its the older non bloomington/monroe county residents who make this a marginal republican district not the younger voters if sodrel needs the youth vote to give him a lead hes not winning let alone as JLT said he probably wont make it through the primary.
Title: Re: IN-09/SUSA-FDL: Hill trails Sodrel Post by: Meeker on January 21, 2010, 09:26:37 PM And so it goes.
Title: Re: IN-09/SUSA-FDL: Hill trails Sodrel Post by: Bo on January 21, 2010, 09:37:21 PM Hill will probably lose this time around.
Title: Re: IN-09/SUSA-FDL: Hill trails Sodrel Post by: Rowan on January 21, 2010, 09:47:24 PM 18-34 is almost a 2-1 advantage for sodrel yeah thats gonna happen in a district thats dominated by bloomington. i would put good money that sodrel has never won that age group and probably lost by that margin the last two go arounds. Its the older non bloomington/monroe county residents who make this a marginal republican district not the younger voters if sodrel needs the youth vote to give him a lead hes not winning let alone as JLT said he probably wont make it through the primary. There were 31 of 18-34 year olds in the entire sample. That equals a MOE of about 300000000%. Title: Re: IN-09/SUSA-FDL: Hill trails Sodrel Post by: Lief 🗽 on January 21, 2010, 11:48:34 PM How many young people are included in this poll? 2%? 5%? Oh, there are crosstabs. Looks like my second guess was correct. ::) Title: Re: IN-09/SUSA-FDL: Hill trails Sodrel Post by: rob in cal on February 02, 2010, 06:48:04 PM This is exactly the kind of seat the GOP needs to win if there is any chance for Speaker Boehner in Jan of 2011.
Title: Re: IN-09/SUSA-FDL: Hill trails Sodrel Post by: Mr.Phips on February 05, 2010, 02:55:52 AM This poll is complete garbage. Hill beat Sodrel by over 20% here in 2008 and Sodrel had upside down favorable ratings(almost 2 to 1 unfavorable) in most polls in that race. Races where an incumbent loses and then loses again by a huge margin and after that wins again are so rare that I cant even find an example.
Title: Re: IN-09/SUSA-FDL: Hill trails Sodrel Post by: Conservative frontier on February 09, 2010, 05:00:53 PM Ugh... I hate both candidates.
I also, am not fond of this district. But, anyways.... I say Hill : 54% Sodrel : 43% is the best case scenario for Sodrel. |