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Election Archive => 2010 House Election Polls => Topic started by: ajc0918 on February 11, 2010, 05:15:10 pm



Title: (McLaughlin & Assocs - R) Delahunt (D, MA-10) in trouble?
Post by: ajc0918 on February 11, 2010, 05:15:10 pm
http://hotlineoncall.nationaljournal.com/archives/2010/02/gop_poll_shows_1.php
Quote
Rep. Bill Delahunt (D-MA) is the latest Dem to face a serious challenge, according to a new poll conducted for ex-Treas. Joe Malone (R).
The McLaughlin & Associates poll surveyed 300 likely voters Jan. 30-31 for a margin of error of +/- 5.7%. Delahunt and Malone were tested.

General Election Matchup
Malone        37
Delahunt      34


Voters see Delahunt in a positive light, with a 44%-33% fav/unfav rating, but that -- and other important numbers -- are below the 50% mark seen as crucial to incumbents seeking re-election. Still, Malone's team did not release a head-to-head matchup that includes leaners, suggesting Delahunt is in better shape than the initial matchup suggests.
Delahunt is seen as GOPers' top target in MA, where all 10 members of Congress are Dems. Sen. Scott Brown (R-MA) won 61% of the vote in Delahunt's district, which stretches from the South Boston suburbs out to the Cape.


Title: Re: Delahunt (D, MA-10) in trouble?
Post by: MArepublican on February 11, 2010, 05:21:18 pm
If this poll is anywhere near accurate were in great shape. Malone isn't even our strongest candidate.


Title: Re: Delahunt (D, MA-10) in trouble?
Post by: ajc0918 on February 11, 2010, 05:23:14 pm
If this poll is anywhere near accurate were in great shape. Malone isn't even our strongest candidate.

Who is then?


Title: Re: Delahunt (D, MA-10) in trouble?
Post by: Lief 🐋 on February 11, 2010, 05:29:13 pm
If this poll is anywhere near accurate were in great shape. Malone isn't even our strongest candidate.

Who is then?

Scott Brown, duh.


Title: Re: Delahunt (D, MA-10) in trouble?
Post by: Filuwaúrdjan on February 11, 2010, 05:33:00 pm
Internal 'poll', yaaaaaaaaawnz.


Title: Re: Delahunt (D, MA-10) in trouble?
Post by: MArepublican on February 11, 2010, 05:33:09 pm
If this poll is anywhere near accurate were in great shape. Malone isn't even our strongest candidate.

Who is then?

Either State Rep. Jeff Perry  or State Senator Bob Hedlund


Title: Re: Delahunt (D, MA-10) in trouble?
Post by: ajc0918 on February 11, 2010, 05:45:07 pm
Internal 'poll', yaaaaaaaaawnz.

I hope Delahunt says the same thing, just like Coakley.


Title: Re: Delahunt (D, MA-10) in trouble?
Post by: Alcon on February 11, 2010, 05:49:00 pm
Everything that could possibly be wrong with this poll pretty much is. 


Title: Re: Delahunt (D, MA-10) in trouble?
Post by: Filuwaúrdjan on February 11, 2010, 05:53:45 pm
Everything that could possibly be wrong with this poll pretty much is. 

That's what they said about Scott Brown you democRat party hack.


Title: Re: Delahunt (D, MA-10) in trouble?
Post by: redcommander on February 11, 2010, 06:27:46 pm
Everything that could possibly be wrong with this poll pretty much is. 

That's what they said about Scott Brown you democRat party hack.

Will you all stop comparing Brown's race to every Democrat in trouble. Delahunt is a left wing loon, and his district is seizing on the opportunity to throw him out now because of his out of step views with his constituents.


Title: Re: Delahunt (D, MA-10) in trouble?
Post by: Хahar 🤔 on February 11, 2010, 06:57:37 pm
Yeah, just like Kennedy.


Title: Re: Delahunt (D, MA-10) in trouble?
Post by: RIP Robert H Bork on February 11, 2010, 08:10:37 pm
I would like to see Delahunt kicked out, of course, but unfortunately I doubt that this race will even be close in the end.


Title: Re: Delahunt (D, MA-10) in trouble?
Post by: redcommander on February 11, 2010, 08:43:52 pm
I would like to see Delahunt kicked out, of course, but unfortunately I doubt that this race will even be close in the end.

If a Republican is going to win a house race in Massachusetts this is the most likely one to flip. However you're right it would be pretty difficult for a Republican to win, Delahunt hasn't had a strong challenger in a while.


Title: Re: Delahunt (D, MA-10) in trouble?
Post by: Small Business Owner of Any Repute on February 12, 2010, 07:34:33 am
If this poll is anywhere near accurate were in great shape. Malone isn't even our strongest candidate.

Who is then?

Either State Rep. Jeff Perry  or State Senator Bob Hedlund

Jeff Perry is a nice guy, but he's hardly your best candidate.


Title: Re: Delahunt (D, MA-10) in trouble?
Post by: Badger on February 12, 2010, 05:14:35 pm
Everything that could possibly be wrong with this poll pretty much is. 

That's what they said about Scott Brown you democRat party hack.

Will you all stop comparing Brown's race to every Democrat in trouble. Delahunt is a left wing loon, and his district is seizing on the opportunity to throw him out now because of his out of step views with his constituents.

Which obviously is why his constituents have handidly reelected this out of step left wing loon 7 times now....


Title: Re: Delahunt (D, MA-10) in trouble?
Post by: SamInTheSouth on February 13, 2010, 10:28:54 am
Which obviously is why his constituents have handidly reelected this out of step left wing loon 7 times now....

Incumbent retention is well over 90% with the exception of a wave year for one party.  Usually the only time they lose is if they get some kind of really negative publicity over a vote or scandal or a wave year comes for the opposite party and pushes them out.


Title: Re: Delahunt (D, MA-10) in trouble?
Post by: Badger on February 13, 2010, 04:57:02 pm
Which obviously is why his constituents have handidly reelected this out of step left wing loon 7 times now....

Incumbent retention is well over 90% with the exception of a wave year for one party.  Usually the only time they lose is if they get some kind of really negative publicity over a vote or scandal or a wave year comes for the opposite party and pushes them out.

All true. I was simply needling the new walking RNC talking point going over the top (again).


Title: Re: Delahunt (D, MA-10) in trouble?
Post by: Small Business Owner of Any Repute on February 14, 2010, 01:47:23 am
Which obviously is why his constituents have handidly reelected this out of step left wing loon 7 times now....

Incumbent retention is well over 90% with the exception of a wave year for one party.  Usually the only time they lose is if they get some kind of really negative publicity over a vote or scandal or a wave year comes for the opposite party and pushes them out.

Republicans didn't even try contesting the seat those last 7 elections.


Title: Re: (McLaughlin & Assocs - R) Delahunt (D, MA-10) in trouble?
Post by: Vice President PiT on February 14, 2010, 03:02:06 am
     Internal poll. Toss it & forget it.


Title: Re: (McLaughlin & Assocs - R) Delahunt (D, MA-10) in trouble?
Post by: Conservative frontier on February 14, 2010, 05:32:17 pm
Here's what I predict the final results will be, it's very close :

Delahunt : 61.34%
Malone : 38.74%

Look at the closefulnessnes


Title: Re: (McLaughlin & Assocs - R) Delahunt (D, MA-10) in trouble?
Post by: Vepres on February 14, 2010, 05:59:53 pm
I can see it now, in a major upset Delahunt wins with only 2/3 of the vote.


Title: Re: (McLaughlin & Assocs - R) Delahunt (D, MA-10) in trouble?
Post by: Torie on February 26, 2010, 02:43:26 pm
Delahunt is now plagued by scandal, and he won't be running for re-election. He's done. You just wait and see.


Title: Re: (McLaughlin & Assocs - R) Delahunt (D, MA-10) in trouble?
Post by: Small Business Owner of Any Repute on February 26, 2010, 03:08:02 pm
Delahunt is now plagued by scandal, and he won't be running for re-election. He's done. You just wait and see.

I think you're right, of course. He seemed to be leaning against running again, even before the recent flare up of controversy involving the Bishop case (http://www.boston.com/bostonglobe/editorial_opinion/editorials/articles/2010/02/24/delahunt_deflects_blame_but_bishop_case_still_resonates/).


Title: Re: (McLaughlin & Assocs - R) Delahunt (D, MA-10) in trouble?
Post by: ScottM on February 26, 2010, 03:18:34 pm
Since it's Massachusetts, I would like to see more polling before getting too excited about this. That said, I don't guess it's impossible (even if unlikely), after all, Martha Coakley couldn't lose either.


Title: Re: (McLaughlin & Assocs - R) Delahunt (D, MA-10) in trouble?
Post by: TRIPLE ROCK on February 28, 2010, 07:56:51 pm
Something that happened 24 years ago is going to take down Delahunt?