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Title: PA: Reuters/Ipsos: Toomey 46% Sestak 46% Post by: mypalfish on October 26, 2010, 12:20:43 PM http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE69P3OG20101026
Title: Re: PA: Reuters/Ipsos: Toomey 46% Sestak 46% Post by: Meeker on October 26, 2010, 12:21:08 PM I give up.
Title: Re: PA: Reuters/Ipsos: Toomey 46% Sestak 46% Post by: Keystone Phil on October 26, 2010, 12:28:37 PM It's a jungle out here.
Title: Re: PA: Reuters/Ipsos: Toomey 46% Sestak 46% Post by: tokar on October 26, 2010, 02:39:06 PM (August 10th poll had Toomey +10 (47-37) and Corbett +15 (49-34).)
Today's poll says Corbett +6 (49-43) as well Sample size is 600. 400 people identify themselves as LV. Of the LV, the split is R+1 (46-45). Of the RV, the split is D+10 (50-40).. LV split 46-46. RV go for Sestak at a 4 point clip (46-42). Independents go for Sestak 31-23. LV go for Corbett 49-43. RV go for Onorato 46-43. Independents are split 33-33 for both Gov cand's. Title: Re: PA: Reuters/Ipsos: Toomey 46% Sestak 46% Post by: Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee on October 26, 2010, 03:08:12 PM There is no way to read the Indy's accurately unless a separate poll of 300-500 PA indies is conducted. Otherwise with sub 10% intenrals you are talking 30-50 people tops.
Just as accurate would be to look at indies in other places and try to extrapolate some kind of trend factoring in any natural lean among those PA indies that have historically been exhibited over the years. Title: Re: PA: Reuters/Ipsos: Toomey 46% Sestak 46% Post by: Keystone Phil on October 26, 2010, 03:14:22 PM Independents going for Sestak by an eight point margin? Ok, guys, thank you.
Title: Re: PA: Reuters/Ipsos: Toomey 46% Sestak 46% Post by: Eraserhead on October 26, 2010, 03:36:50 PM :)
Title: Re: PA: Reuters/Ipsos: Toomey 46% Sestak 46% Post by: Keystone Phil on October 26, 2010, 03:48:53 PM You can't get too excited. Sestak clearly isn't leading among Independents, let alone leading by eight. The poll is questionable. Title: Re: PA: Reuters/Ipsos: Toomey 46% Sestak 46% Post by: Eraserhead on October 26, 2010, 03:51:24 PM You can't get too excited. Sestak clearly isn't leading among Independents, let alone leading by eight. The poll is questionable. The tracker is questionable too. It's especially dangerous to get caught up in crosstabs. I look forward to seeing further polling here. Title: Re: PA: Reuters/Ipsos: Toomey 46% Sestak 46% Post by: Keystone Phil on October 26, 2010, 03:53:06 PM You can't get too excited. Sestak clearly isn't leading among Independents, let alone leading by eight. The poll is questionable. The tracker is questionable too. It's especially dangerous to get caught up in crosstabs. I look forward to seeing further polling here. Sure. I think Quinnipiac had it right. It's probably a four to six point lead for Toomey. Title: Re: PA: Reuters/Ipsos: Toomey 46% Sestak 46% Post by: Tender Branson on October 27, 2010, 12:39:32 AM Still anything possible in this race ...
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