Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2010 House Election Polls => Topic started by: cinyc on October 29, 2010, 12:29:58 AM



Title: RI-01 & RI-02: NBC 10/Quest Research - RI-01 D+2; RI-02 Dem Blowout
Post by: cinyc on October 29, 2010, 12:29:58 AM
RI-01: NBC 10/Quest Research (http://www2.turnto10.com/news/2010/oct/28/nbc-10-quest-research-poll-cicilline-loughlin-virt-ar-274178/)
Cicilline (D)   - 42%
Loughlin (R) - 40%
Raposa (I)   -   5%
Capalbo (I)  -   4%
Undecided   -   9%

486 LVs; MoE +/- 4.5%

RI-02
Langevin (D)(i)  - 54%
Zaccaria (R)       - 19%
Matson (I)          -  9%
Undecided          - 18%

215 LVs; MoE +/-6.68%


Title: Re: RI-01 & RI-02: NBC 10/Quest Research - RI-01 D+2; RI-02 Dem Blowout
Post by: cinyc on October 29, 2010, 12:36:45 AM
FYI - expect a WPRI/Fleming poll on the race around 5PM tomorrow.  One Providence TV station can't let the other trump it during sweeps month.


Title: Re: RI-01 & RI-02: NBC 10/Quest Research - RI-01 D+2; RI-02 Dem Blowout
Post by: Small Business Owner of Any Repute on October 29, 2010, 01:21:05 AM
I presume we all understand now why Obama made the trip out here this week.


Title: Re: RI-01 & RI-02: NBC 10/Quest Research - RI-01 D+2; RI-02 Dem Blowout
Post by: redcommander on October 29, 2010, 01:51:14 AM
Excellent news. It would be great if Loughlin can pull through on Tuesday.


Title: Re: RI-01 & RI-02: NBC 10/Quest Research - RI-01 D+2; RI-02 Dem Blowout
Post by: Brittain33 on October 29, 2010, 07:12:06 AM
I wonder which way the undecideds in RI-1 would lean.


Title: Re: RI-01 & RI-02: NBC 10/Quest Research - RI-01 D+2; RI-02 Dem Blowout
Post by: Sam Spade on October 29, 2010, 11:09:17 AM
Fortunately for us, RI polling tends to suck big fat..., so we really know nothing.  :)


Title: Re: RI-01 & RI-02: NBC 10/Quest Research - RI-01 D+2; RI-02 Dem Blowout
Post by: Torie on October 29, 2010, 11:53:12 AM
Well, RCP, no doubt due to this poll, has moved RI-1 to toss up this morning, along with ME-1.  New England has all of these mystery seats, most of which the GOP should lose, but it seems barely possible if the Halloween spirit is still in play, that come morning, the GOP might grab a half dozen or more seats, rather than just settle for one in New Hampshire.


Title: Re: RI-01 & RI-02: NBC 10/Quest Research - RI-01 D+2; RI-02 Dem Blowout
Post by: cinyc on October 29, 2010, 12:56:18 PM
Fortunately for us, RI polling tends to suck big fat..., so we really know nothing.  :)

This one has actually has a decent MoE, for once.  Usually, the pollsters in RI (and Maine) split a 400-600 LV sample in half when they put out CD-level results.   This time, Quest oversampled RI-01, it appears.


Title: Re: RI-01 & RI-02: NBC 10/Quest Research - RI-01 D+2; RI-02 Dem Blowout
Post by: Small Business Owner of Any Repute on October 29, 2010, 01:12:45 PM
Well, RCP, no doubt due to this poll, has moved RI-1 to toss up this morning, along with ME-1.  New England has all of these mystery seats, most of which the GOP should lose, but it seems barely possible if the Halloween spirit is still in play, that come morning, the GOP might grab a half dozen or more seats, rather than just settle for one in New Hampshire.

And they have ME-2 in "lean." Me thinks RCP is getting way ahead of themselves, but I do agree, at least, that there may be something going on in ME-1.


Title: Re: RI-01 & RI-02: NBC 10/Quest Research - RI-01 D+2; RI-02 Dem Blowout
Post by: Zarn on October 30, 2010, 04:22:38 PM
Three seats out of Democratic hands would be a blessing. Any more is just a whole lot of hurt for the Dems.