|
Title: CT: Public Policy Polling: Foley (R) takes the lead Post by: Tender Branson on October 31, 2010, 01:36:49 AM New Poll: Connecticut Governor by Public Policy Polling on 2010-10-30 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/GOVERNOR/2010/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=920101029108)
Summary: D: 47%, R: 49%, I: 0%, U: 4% Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_CT_1030925.pdf) Title: Re: CT: Public Policy Polling: Foley (R) takes the lead Post by: Tender Branson on October 31, 2010, 01:40:57 AM That suxx ... :(
Title: Re: CT: Public Policy Polling: Foley (R) takes the lead Post by: Fmr. Pres. Duke on October 31, 2010, 01:42:18 AM Very interesting. I don't know what to make of it.
Title: Re: CT: Public Policy Polling: Foley (R) takes the lead Post by: Guderian on October 31, 2010, 01:45:19 AM If Foley wins then CT-04 and CT-05 surely will flip Republican.
Title: Re: CT: Public Policy Polling: Foley (R) takes the lead Post by: Associate Justice PiT on October 31, 2010, 01:50:14 AM Okay, this is unexpected. My gut tells me that Malloy still wins, though.
Title: Re: CT: Public Policy Polling: Foley (R) takes the lead Post by: SvenssonRS on October 31, 2010, 01:51:59 AM Out of PPP, too?
This one might really suck for the Democrats. Title: Re: CT: Public Policy Polling: Foley (R) takes the lead Post by: cinyc on October 31, 2010, 02:02:06 AM Okay, this is unexpected. My gut tells me that Malloy still wins, though. Foley has been hammering Malloy about abusing his power of eminent domain to try to shut down a mom-and-pop diner. And hiking taxes. McMahon has gone positive in the past week or so. Blumenthal and the DSCC have been hammering her for using lobbyists to protect her business interests. The DSCC's not on in New York, but Blumenthal is. Title: Re: CT: Public Policy Polling: Foley (R) takes the lead Post by: Eraserhead on October 31, 2010, 02:11:54 AM Possible last-minute "wave" induced upset? Ugh.
Title: Re: CT: Public Policy Polling: Foley (R) takes the lead Post by: cinyc on October 31, 2010, 02:15:00 AM Possible last-minute "wave" induced upset? Ugh. If it were solely wave-induced, McMahon would be surging, too. She's not. This is TV ad-induced - Malloy's favorables are way down. Title: Re: CT: Public Policy Polling: Foley (R) takes the lead Post by: Dgov on October 31, 2010, 02:40:14 AM Well part of it is that he's basically erased Malloy's lead with young voters, and only trails by 5 with them
Title: Re: CT: Public Policy Polling: Foley (R) takes the lead Post by: albaleman on October 31, 2010, 11:58:47 AM Out of PPP, too? This one might really suck for the Democrats. This whole election really sucks for us Democrats. Title: Re: CT: Public Policy Polling: Foley (R) takes the lead Post by: Phony Moderate on October 31, 2010, 12:08:10 PM The dreaded last-minute swing....
Title: Re: CT: Public Policy Polling: Foley (R) takes the lead Post by: Verily on October 31, 2010, 12:14:12 PM Something's screwy. Malloy leads 52-44 among "Moderates", who make up over half of the electorate (52% in this poll), and is about equally ahead among liberals (21%) as Foley is among conservatives (28%), yet is behind. That doesn't add up.
Title: Re: CT: Public Policy Polling: Foley (R) takes the lead Post by: Tender Branson on October 31, 2010, 12:24:40 PM Something's screwy. Malloy leads 52-44 among "Moderates", who make up over half of the electorate (52% in this poll), and is about equally ahead among liberals (21%) as Foley is among conservatives (28%), yet is behind. That doesn't add up. 52% Moderate: 52-44 Malloy 28% Conservative: 82-14 Foley 21% Liberal: 81-16 Malloy 27.04+3.92+17.01 = 47.97 Malloy 22.88+22.96+3.36 = 49.20 Foley It`s probably due to rounding ... Title: Re: CT: Public Policy Polling: Foley (R) takes the lead Post by: Small Business Owner of Any Repute on October 31, 2010, 12:49:49 PM Okay, this is unexpected. My gut tells me that Malloy still wins, though. Foley has been hammering Malloy about abusing his power of eminent domain to try to shut down a mom-and-pop diner. And hiking taxes. For those interested in the story: http://www.ctnow.com/news/hc-curleys-diner-1029-20101028,0,429705.story?track=rss Title: Re: CT: Public Policy Polling: Foley (R) takes the lead Post by: Eraserhead on November 01, 2010, 07:45:53 AM Foley is +3 in Quinnipiac. The guy's probably going to win now.
Title: Re: CT: Public Policy Polling: Foley (R) takes the lead Post by: Small Business Owner of Any Repute on November 01, 2010, 09:52:32 AM That just puts even more pressure on Democrats to hold CT-4 and CT-5, because Democrats are almost certainly going to fall short of a veto-proof majority in the CT State House.
Title: Re: CT: Public Policy Polling: Foley (R) takes the lead Post by: Guderian on November 01, 2010, 02:48:34 PM Amazing, it does look like Foley is going to win this. Guy really came out of nowhere over the last few days. Whoever came up with his attack ad strategy is going to get more job offers now.
|