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Title: WV PPP Poll: Manchin 51%, Raese 46% Post by: Torie on October 31, 2010, 08:55:07 PM The poll is here (http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/10/manchin-favored-in-wv.html). Someone else can put it in the data base.
Title: Re: WV PPP Poll: Manchin 51%, Raese 46% Post by: Psychic Octopus on October 31, 2010, 08:59:58 PM So, it appears that my hunch was correct, and that Raese was too extreme for West Virginia after all. Manchin will need to watch himself though, or he may be portrayed as Obama's "lapdog." Still, with popularity like that, he's hard to beat. Capito really must be kicking herself that she didn't try and run, though.
Title: Re: WV PPP Poll: Manchin 51%, Raese 46% Post by: DrScholl on October 31, 2010, 09:01:40 PM Good, this is one that would have been very disappointing to lose. I honestly think Manchin would have lost had it not been for the "Hick" ad, which gave him the opportunity to reclaim the race and define Raese.
Title: Re: WV PPP Poll: Manchin 51%, Raese 46% Post by: Torie on October 31, 2010, 09:04:34 PM The minimum wage thing hurt (just why Raese brought that up, escapes me, since the Dems are careful to keep the minimum wage low enough, that it really has a very marginal economic distortative effect), and the Florida mansion ads. But I remain unsure about this race. WV really hates Obama. I wonder if Ras will have another poll.
Title: Re: WV PPP Poll: Manchin 51%, Raese 46% Post by: Filuwaúrdjan on October 31, 2010, 09:06:49 PM So, it appears that my hunch was correct, and that Raese was too extreme for West Virginia after all. Manchin will need to watch himself though, or he may be portrayed as Obama's "lapdog." Still, with popularity like that, he's hard to beat. Capito really must be kicking herself that she didn't try and run, though. Since when did Raese have anything to do with this race? ??? Title: Re: WV PPP Poll: Manchin 51%, Raese 46% Post by: Beet on October 31, 2010, 09:09:31 PM If Manchin wins he'll be such a blue dog, I wonder if he'll even vote with the Dems 50% of the time.
Title: WV: Public Policy Polling: Manchin leads by 5 Post by: Kaine for Senate '18 on October 31, 2010, 09:11:51 PM New Poll: West Virginia Senator (Special) by Public Policy Polling on 2010-10-31 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2010/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=54120101031108)
Summary: D: 51%, R: 46%, I: 0%, U: 3% Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_WV_10311205.pdf) Title: Re: WV PPP Poll: Manchin 51%, Raese 46% Post by: Kaine for Senate '18 on October 31, 2010, 09:13:29 PM The poll is entered.
Title: Re: WV PPP Poll: Manchin 51%, Raese 46% Post by: Uncle Albert/Admiral Halsey on October 31, 2010, 09:27:24 PM I honestly think Manchin would have lost had it not been for the "Hick" ad, which gave him the opportunity to reclaim the race and define Raese. Agreed. Raese is to blame for losing this one. Title: Re: WV PPP Poll: Manchin 51%, Raese 46% Post by: Kevin on October 31, 2010, 09:28:32 PM I honestly think Manchin would have lost had it not been for the "Hick" ad, which gave him the opportunity to reclaim the race and define Raese. Agreed. Raese is to blame for losing this one. It isn't over yet, Title: Re: WV PPP Poll: Manchin 51%, Raese 46% Post by: Uncle Albert/Admiral Halsey on October 31, 2010, 09:33:08 PM I honestly think Manchin would have lost had it not been for the "Hick" ad, which gave him the opportunity to reclaim the race and define Raese. Agreed. Raese is to blame for losing this one. It isn't over yet, It will be in 2 days, and not much will change between that time. :P Title: Re: WV PPP Poll: Manchin 51%, Raese 46% Post by: Eraserhead on October 31, 2010, 09:43:46 PM If Manchin wins he'll be such a blue dog, I wonder if he'll even vote with the Dems 50% of the time. Oh please. He'll be more conservative than Byrd was in his later years but he's not gonna be Ben Nelson or anything. If he wins now, he probably has the seat for life anyway. Title: Re: WV PPP Poll: Manchin 51%, Raese 46% Post by: Citizen (The) Doctor on October 31, 2010, 09:45:35 PM I would still trade this seat for Wisconsin. Hell, even Pennsylvania.
Title: Re: WV PPP Poll: Manchin 51%, Raese 46% Post by: Eraserhead on October 31, 2010, 09:46:45 PM I would still trade this seat for Wisconsin. Hell, even Pennsylvania. Who wouldn't ??? Title: Re: WV PPP Poll: Manchin 51%, Raese 46% Post by: tpfkaw on October 31, 2010, 09:47:17 PM 2008 exit polls:
48D-34R-19I This poll: 55D-34R-11I I call BS. Title: Re: WV PPP Poll: Manchin 51%, Raese 46% Post by: DrScholl on October 31, 2010, 09:58:49 PM The party ID numbers don't mean much, since most in West Virginia are registered Democrats, but vote very conservative. The sample is always going to be very high on Democrats, even if all of them aren't support the Democratic candidate.
Title: Re: WV PPP Poll: Manchin 51%, Raese 46% Post by: Ronnie on October 31, 2010, 10:17:01 PM Hm, this is unfortunate. I guess it's finally time to switch my prediction on this one.
Title: Re: WV PPP Poll: Manchin 51%, Raese 46% Post by: mypalfish on October 31, 2010, 10:31:13 PM A simple fact...there is no wave coming if the GOP loses this seat. And the early good news on election night for the Dems (winning CT, DE and WV) could have a positive impact for them on the west coast, where voting will still be going on in WA, NV and CA.
And Gallup should be embarrassed with their ridiculous generic ballot result. Title: Re: WV PPP Poll: Manchin 51%, Raese 46% Post by: tpfkaw on October 31, 2010, 10:35:31 PM mypalfish seems to like being wildly off in his predictions. A bit of a masochist, perhaps?
Title: Re: WV PPP Poll: Manchin 51%, Raese 46% Post by: Ronnie on October 31, 2010, 10:54:06 PM And the early good news on election night for the Dems (winning CT, DE and WV) could have a positive impact for them on the west coast, where voting will still be going on in WA, NV and CA. I honestly don't see any connection whatsoever...please expound. Title: Re: WV PPP Poll: Manchin 51%, Raese 46% Post by: Filuwaúrdjan on October 31, 2010, 10:55:27 PM mypalfish seems to like being wildly off in his predictions. A bit of a masochist, perhaps? Are you familiar with the history of the fish? Title: Re: WV PPP Poll: Manchin 51%, Raese 46% Post by: tpfkaw on October 31, 2010, 11:03:49 PM mypalfish seems to like being wildly off in his predictions. A bit of a masochist, perhaps? Are you familiar with the history of the fish? "I will now accept my accolades" Title: Re: WV PPP Poll: Manchin 51%, Raese 46% Post by: Eraserhead on October 31, 2010, 11:29:53 PM A simple fact...there is no wave coming if the GOP loses this seat. And the early good news on election night for the Dems (winning CT, DE and WV) could have a positive impact for them on the west coast, where voting will still be going on in WA, NV and CA. And Gallup should be embarrassed with their ridiculous generic ballot result. lol Title: Re: WV PPP Poll: Manchin 51%, Raese 46% Post by: Umengus on November 01, 2010, 05:44:38 AM fish needs a therapy...
Title: Re: WV PPP Poll: Manchin 51%, Raese 46% Post by: Eraserhead on November 01, 2010, 09:27:43 AM Rasmussen has Manchin +4 today.
Title: Re: WV PPP Poll: Manchin 51%, Raese 46% Post by: ?????????? on November 01, 2010, 09:51:08 AM A simple fact...there is no wave coming if the GOP loses this seat. And the early good news on election night for the Dems (winning CT, DE and WV) could have a positive impact for them on the west coast, where voting will still be going on in WA, NV and CA. And Gallup should be embarrassed with their ridiculous generic ballot result. Need to be reminded of your history?? |