Title: Indiana Governor's race 2012 Post by: MyRescueKittehRocks on January 27, 2011, 07:10:58 PM In light of Mike Pence announcing that he's not running for president, I'd like to experiment with this
Who would win in these possible Governor's races Pence vs Joe Donnelly Pence vs Baron Hill Pence vs Andre Carson Pence vs Greg Goodnight Pence vs Brad Ellsworth Title: Re: Indiana Governor's race 2012 Post by: SvenssonRS on January 27, 2011, 07:13:47 PM Pence in all scenarios.
Title: Re: Indiana Governor's race 2012 Post by: Capitan Zapp Brannigan on January 27, 2011, 07:33:56 PM Pence would win all of them.
Realistically, the only Dem who could have made this race 50-50 was Bayh, and he pussied out. Title: Re: Indiana Governor's race 2012 Post by: SvenssonRS on January 27, 2011, 07:47:08 PM Pence would win all of them. Realistically, the only Dem who could have made this race 50-50 was Bayh, and he pussied out. That seems to be a recurring theme with him lately. Title: Re: Indiana Governor's race 2012 Post by: MyRescueKittehRocks on January 27, 2011, 09:24:30 PM So you guys think Pence beats the strongest of Democrats?
I know Carson loses because Indiana wouldn't elect a Muslim for governor. Silent Joe loses because the Tea Party backing Pence would have Hill might make it close Goodnight is a strong Conservative Democrat mayor who'll likely be reelected Ellsworth I see trying to challenge for the IN-8 seat he gave up to run for senate. Title: Re: Indiana Governor's race 2012 Post by: tmthforu94 on January 27, 2011, 10:00:38 PM If Ellsworth does anything, I think he'll try and win his seat back in Congress. 2010 proved he won't be able to win a statewide office, the same with just about anyone the Democrats put up. If I had to guess who will challenge Pence, I'd say Weinzapfel, as he seems to be looking towards a higher office. Donnelly could end up doing it as well to avoid getting embarassed by Walorski.
I still wish Skillman ran. :( Title: Re: Indiana Governor's race 2012 Post by: MyRescueKittehRocks on January 27, 2011, 11:05:07 PM Weinzapel.... Haven't heard of him.
Title: Re: Indiana Governor's race 2012 Post by: tmthforu94 on January 27, 2011, 11:31:16 PM Weinzapel.... Haven't heard of him. Title: Re: Indiana Governor's race 2012 Post by: Niemeyerite on January 28, 2011, 11:03:10 AM Ellsworth could make it close.
Title: Re: Indiana Governor's race 2012 Post by: Capitan Zapp Brannigan on January 28, 2011, 11:07:09 AM Ellsworth could make it close. Title: Re: Indiana Governor's race 2012 Post by: Modernity has failed us on January 28, 2011, 11:10:00 AM Pence vs Joe Donnelly 54-45
Pence vs Baron Hill 56-43 Pence vs Andre Carson 58-41 Pence vs Greg Goodnight 67-21 Pence vs Brad Ellsworth 52-48 Title: Re: Indiana Governor's race 2012 Post by: CatoMinor on January 28, 2011, 01:47:49 PM Pence would win all of them. Realistically, the only Dem who could have made this race 50-50 was Bayh, and he pussied out. He has already been Governor, and held for the dems what would almost certainly been a GOP senate seat. So I think you can find a better way of saying he's not running than "pussied out" Title: Re: Indiana Governor's race 2012 Post by: MASHED POTATOES. VOTE! on January 28, 2011, 02:26:39 PM Pence would win all of them. Realistically, the only Dem who could have made this race 50-50 was Bayh, and he pussied out. I don't think anyone of us would cry for Evan Bayh. Title: Re: Indiana Governor's race 2012 Post by: Niemeyerite on January 28, 2011, 07:07:07 PM Pence vs Joe Donnelly 54-45 Pence vs Baron Hill 56-43 Pence vs Andre Carson 58-41 Pence vs Greg Goodnight 67-21 Pence vs Brad Ellsworth 52-48 I agree with this, more or less. but I don't think that goodnight would only carry 21% of the vote. alvin greene got more in a more conservative state hahaha Title: Re: Indiana Governor's race 2012 Post by: tmthforu94 on January 28, 2011, 07:28:44 PM Pence vs Joe Donnelly 56-40
Pence vs Baron Hill 55-42 Pence vs Andre Carson 60-35 Pence vs Greg Goodnight 65-30 Pence vs Brad Ellsworth 53-42 Pence vs Weinzapfel 54-42 I think the bolded match-up will be the actual match-up. Weinzapfel is showing all the signs that he's gearing up for a run - fundraising, making some stops around the state, and announcing he won't be running for reelection in 2011. He's only 45. Title: Re: Indiana Governor's race 2012 Post by: Niemeyerite on January 29, 2011, 07:08:57 AM Pence vs Joe Donnelly 53-45
Pence vs Baron Hill 54-43 Pence vs Andre Carson 57-41 Pence vs Greg Goodnight 56-40 Pence vs Brad Ellsworth 51-47 Pence vs Weinzapfel 52-46 Title: Re: Indiana Governor's race 2012 Post by: Chancellor Tanterterg on January 29, 2011, 01:58:01 PM I agree with most of these, more or less, except that I think Hill would lose by something like 53-47. I think he's a very strong candidate in general who lost because of the national environment. It may seem like his margin of defeat was too big to be explained simply by a wave election and in many places that would be true. However, Indiana is one of those states that always swings really hard during wave elections (New Hampshire is another example).
Title: Re: Indiana Governor's race 2012 Post by: Dunce on January 31, 2011, 09:30:42 PM Pence vs Joe Donnelly 54% to 44%
Pence vs Baron Hill 53% to 45% Pence vs Andre Carson 56%to 40% Pence vs Greg Goodnight 67% to 29% Pence vs Brad Ellsworth 56% to 41% Pence vs Weinzapfel 55% to 44% Title: Re: Indiana Governor's race 2012 Post by: MyRescueKittehRocks on January 31, 2011, 10:00:37 PM Carson would do the worst of any of the Democrats listed.
Title: Re: Indiana Governor's race 2012 Post by: Kaine for Senate '18 on January 31, 2011, 10:09:47 PM I'd say Pence is probably gonna be the nominee, and the next Governor. The only person who could beat him is Bayh, and Bayh isn't gonna run.
Title: Re: Indiana Governor's race 2012 Post by: Oakvale on February 01, 2011, 12:27:31 PM If Ellsworth does anything, I think he'll try and win his seat back in Congress. 2010 proved he won't be able to win a statewide office, the same with just about anyone the Democrats put up. That's a rather silly statement - it's like saying that, because John McCain lost in 2008, McCain could never have won the Presidency in 2000, 2004, etc. Title: Re: Indiana Governor's race 2012 Post by: tmthforu94 on February 03, 2011, 01:39:04 PM If Ellsworth does anything, I think he'll try and win his seat back in Congress. 2010 proved he won't be able to win a statewide office, the same with just about anyone the Democrats put up. That's a rather silly statement - it's like saying that, because John McCain lost in 2008, McCain could never have won the Presidency in 2000, 2004, etc. On a related note, Democrats do have a shot at kicking Tony Bennett out of Superintendent of the Schools. A lot, including myself, are extremely upset with the job he's doing. He seems to be more focused on keeping his "tough guy" image than he is actually doing his job right. He seems to be completely ignoring the will of his constituents. My hopes is that Dan Tanoos, Superintendent of Vigo County Schools, runs against him. Title: Re: Indiana Governor's race 2012 Post by: California8429 on February 21, 2011, 04:36:48 PM What is holding Pence back from running? It seems like he's actually considering something else instead of running for Governor, why wouldn't he run? He has a clear easy path to 8 years as Governor and then becomming a front runner for president.
Title: Re: Indiana Governor's race 2012 Post by: Napoleon on February 21, 2011, 05:08:10 PM If Ellsworth does anything, I think he'll try and win his seat back in Congress. 2010 proved he won't be able to win a statewide office, the same with just about anyone the Democrats put up. That's a rather silly statement - it's like saying that, because John McCain lost in 2008, McCain could never have won the Presidency in 2000, 2004, etc. On a related note, Democrats do have a shot at kicking Tony Bennett out of Superintendent of the Schools. A lot, including myself, are extremely upset with the job he's doing. He seems to be more focused on keeping his "tough guy" image than he is actually doing his job right. He seems to be completely ignoring the will of his constituents. My hopes is that Dan Tanoos, Superintendent of Vigo County Schools, runs against him. It all comes down to whether you think either 2008 or 2010 was an anomaly, rather looking at the big picture, and this goes for either side. Democrats aren't wiped out in Indiana but it has significant Republican tendencies throughout most of the state. Title: Re: Indiana Governor's race 2012 Post by: MyRescueKittehRocks on March 03, 2011, 08:16:13 PM Indiana Secratary of State arrested on fraud charges.
See foxnews.com for more details. Title: Re: Indiana Governor's race 2012 Post by: feeblepizza on March 04, 2011, 12:41:05 PM Indiana Secratary of State arrested on fraud charges. Who says Indiana isn't known for corruption? Title: Re: Indiana Governor's race 2012 Post by: Grumpier Than Uncle Joe on March 04, 2011, 12:44:41 PM Indiana Secratary of State arrested on fraud charges. Who says Indiana isn't known for corruption? You've got to read the B.S. article about it that px (naturally) put up. ::) Title: Re: Indiana Governor's race 2012 Post by: Bull Moose Base on April 07, 2011, 03:23:20 PM In light of the coming shutdown, I predict Pence is going to lose this race.
Title: Re: Indiana Governor's race 2012 Post by: feeblepizza on April 07, 2011, 03:58:17 PM In light of the coming shutdown, I predict Pence is going to lose this race. Title: Re: Indiana Governor's race 2012 Post by: politicalchick20 on May 05, 2011, 10:47:57 AM It's official. Pence is in:
http://www.indystar.com/article/20110505/NEWS/110505004/Pence-starts-2012-race-Indiana-governor? Title: Re: Indiana Governor's race 2012 Post by: politicalchick20 on May 17, 2011, 10:16:36 AM Former Speaker of the House John Gregg is running as well:
http://photos.indystar.com/galleries/12926-democrat-john-gregg-running-for-governor Title: Re: Indiana Governor's race 2012 Post by: feeblepizza on May 17, 2011, 10:20:34 AM A piece in my local paper said that Pence could lose to Gregg because Pence is a federal official and so has been focusing on national issues instead of statewide issues. Also, Pence is very conservative and most Indiana governors have been centrists (Bayh, O'Bannon, Daniels, candidate Gregg, etc).
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