|
Title: When will the last veteran of ________ die? Post by: I spent the winter writing songs about getting better on May 08, 2011, 12:56:30 PM WWII
First Israeli-Arab War Korean War Vietnam War Six Day War Yom Kippur War Iraq-Iran War Soviet invasion of Afghanistan Lebanese Civil War Persian Gulf War The former Yugoslavia Afghan War Iraq War South Osettia War Libyan Civil War Title: Re: When will the last veteran of ________ die? Post by: ZuWo on May 08, 2011, 02:40:50 PM I'll just pick WWII and say 2035.
Title: Re: When will the last veteran of ________ die? Post by: I spent the winter writing songs about getting better on May 08, 2011, 02:51:33 PM I'll just pick WWII and say 2035. It'd probably be a bit later. Someone who was 18 in 1945 would've been born in 1927 and most of these last surviving veterans are dying around the age of 110-111. Title: Re: When will the last veteran of ________ die? Post by: ZuWo on May 08, 2011, 03:17:09 PM I'll just pick WWII and say 2035. It'd probably be a bit later. Someone who was 18 in 1945 would've been born in 1927 and most of these last surviving veterans are dying around the age of 110-111. Yes, that's probably correct. I just made a rough calculation, but something like 2039, 2040 appears more precise. ;) Title: Re: When will the last veteran of ________ die? Post by: dead0man on May 08, 2011, 03:51:41 PM WWII-2042
First Israeli-Arab War-2029 Korean War-2058 Vietnam War-2089 Six Day War-2084 Yom Kippur War-2092 Iraq-Iran War-2082 Soviet invasion of Afghanistan-2091 Lebanese Civil War-2080 Persian Gulf War-2099 The former Yugoslavia-2091 Afghan War-2112 Iraq War-2112 South Osettia War=2101 Libyan Civil War-2099 Our lives are going to start getting quite a bit longer over the next several decades. Title: Re: When will the last veteran of ________ die? Post by: Insula Dei on May 08, 2011, 03:58:01 PM Are you having people live to age 130+ over there? I find that very hard to believe.
Title: Re: When will the last veteran of ________ die? Post by: dead0man on May 08, 2011, 04:14:23 PM Are you having people live to age 130+ over there? I find that very hard to believe. Title: Re: When will the last veteran of ________ die? Post by: Middle-aged Europe on May 08, 2011, 04:15:02 PM On the other hand, the maximum possible lifespan of a human being wasn't much expanded since the 19th century. For instance, Geert Adriaans Boomgaard (1788-1899) and Margaret Ann Neve (1792-1903) lived both for 110 years.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_verified_supercentenarians_who_died_before_1980 Currently, the oldest living person on the planet is Besse Cooper, age 114. Title: Re: When will the last veteran of ________ die? Post by: I spent the winter writing songs about getting better on May 08, 2011, 04:50:23 PM Yes most biologists think max human lifespan is 115.
Title: Re: When will the last veteran of ________ die? Post by: Stranger in a strange land on May 08, 2011, 06:36:33 PM A rule of thumb that seems to apply here is that the last veteran tends to die around the time that the 100th anniversary of the war is approaching. There are some slight variations, and human lifespans have been generally getting longer, but that's been the general trend for the last hundred years or so.
Title: Re: When will the last veteran of ________ die? Post by: I spent the winter writing songs about getting better on May 08, 2011, 07:21:48 PM Vietnam War-2089 Iraq-Iran War-2082 What? The Iraq-Iran War ended a good 10 years after the Vietnam War did. Also the Iranians notoriously made use of child soldiers, based on other lifespans around slightly later than 2082 is likely. But someone would have to live to be about 130 to be a Vietnam War veteran in 2089. Hell 2089 is over 110 years after the war ended. Title: Re: When will the last veteran of ________ die? Post by: dead0man on May 08, 2011, 08:09:25 PM I didn't think of the child soldiers thing, but I wouldn't be shocked at all if there are a handful of people hitting their 130s in 2089. In fact, I'd be more shocked if there wasn't.
Title: Re: When will the last veteran of ________ die? Post by: I spent the winter writing songs about getting better on May 08, 2011, 08:17:47 PM Well if you think that there will probably be living Iraq-Iran War veterans in the 22nd century.
Title: Re: When will the last veteran of ________ die? Post by: Oswald Acted Alone, You Kook on May 08, 2011, 11:03:36 PM I'll just pick WWII and say 2035. It'd probably be a bit later. Someone who was 18 in 1945 would've been born in 1927 and most of these last surviving veterans are dying around the age of 110-111. Don't forget a few people who lied about their age so they could fight. (Who could blame them? It was an Epic Battle between Good and Evil.) Title: Re: When will the last veteran of ________ die? Post by: Gustaf on May 09, 2011, 11:20:06 AM WWII-2042 First Israeli-Arab War-2029 Korean War-2058 Vietnam War-2089 Six Day War-2084 Yom Kippur War-2092 Iraq-Iran War-2082 Soviet invasion of Afghanistan-2091 Lebanese Civil War-2080 Persian Gulf War-2099 The former Yugoslavia-2091 Afghan War-2112 Iraq War-2112 South Osettia War=2101 Libyan Civil War-2099 Our lives are going to start getting quite a bit longer over the next several decades. This doesn't seem entirely consistent. The first Israeli-Arab War ended only a couple of years after WWII so why would their last veteran die 13 years earlier? And the Korean war ended 8 years after WWII, why would their last veteran die 16 years later? And the Yom Kippur war preceded the Yugoslavian war by about two decades and yet their last veteran would die a year later? Title: Re: When will the last veteran of ________ die? Post by: dead0man on May 09, 2011, 01:26:51 PM WWII-2042 First Israeli-Arab War-2029 Korean War-2058 Vietnam War-2089 Six Day War-2084 Yom Kippur War-2092 Iraq-Iran War-2082 Soviet invasion of Afghanistan-2091 Lebanese Civil War-2080 Persian Gulf War-2099 The former Yugoslavia-2091 Afghan War-2112 Iraq War-2112 South Osettia War=2101 Libyan Civil War-2099 Our lives are going to start getting quite a bit longer over the next several decades. This doesn't seem entirely consistent. The first Israeli-Arab War ended only a couple of years after WWII so why would their last veteran die 13 years earlier? And the Korean war ended 8 years after WWII, why would their last veteran die 16 years later? And the Yom Kippur war preceded the Yugoslavian war by about two decades and yet their last veteran would die a year later? Title: Re: When will the last veteran of ________ die? Post by: GMantis on May 09, 2011, 02:05:38 PM A rule of thumb that seems to apply here is that the last veteran tends to die around the time that the 100th anniversary of the war is approaching. There are some slight variations, and human lifespans have been generally getting longer, but that's been the general trend for the last hundred years or so. Title: Re: When will the last veteran of ________ die? Post by: Gustaf on May 09, 2011, 04:01:39 PM WWII-2042 First Israeli-Arab War-2029 Korean War-2058 Vietnam War-2089 Six Day War-2084 Yom Kippur War-2092 Iraq-Iran War-2082 Soviet invasion of Afghanistan-2091 Lebanese Civil War-2080 Persian Gulf War-2099 The former Yugoslavia-2091 Afghan War-2112 Iraq War-2112 South Osettia War=2101 Libyan Civil War-2099 Our lives are going to start getting quite a bit longer over the next several decades. This doesn't seem entirely consistent. The first Israeli-Arab War ended only a couple of years after WWII so why would their last veteran die 13 years earlier? And the Korean war ended 8 years after WWII, why would their last veteran die 16 years later? And the Yom Kippur war preceded the Yugoslavian war by about two decades and yet their last veteran would die a year later? Fair point and fair point. |