Talk Elections

Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion => Presidential Election Trends => Topic started by: greenforest32 on October 14, 2011, 05:10:32 PM



Title: PPP polls the favorability of every U.S. state
Post by: greenforest32 on October 14, 2011, 05:10:32 PM
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2011/10/polling-the-states.html

Quote
Over the next 3 months PPP will be polling the favorability of all 50 states as part of its national surveys, in order to determine the most popular and least popular ones in the country.  We started off this month with the first 17. Here's how they stack up from best net favorability to worst:

State                     Favorability             Spread
Pennsylvania.............40/11                +29
Indiana......................31/12               +19
Idaho.........................30/11              +19
Arizona.......................39/22              +17
Maryland....................31/15              +16
New Mexico................30/15              +15
Georgia......................31/20             +10
Minnesota..................27/17             +10
Rhode Island..............26/16            +10
Texas........................40/31            +9
Massachusetts...........35/27             +8
Arkansas....................25/20             +5
Alabama.....................27/26             +1
Louisiana....................24/24             Even
Utah............................24/27             -3
Mississippi...................22/28               -6
Illinois.........................19/29             -10

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_US_1014513.pdf

Please excuse my crappy formatting. I couldn't figure out how to make a table :P


Title: Re: PPP polls the favorability of every U.S. state
Post by: Snowstalker Mk. II on October 14, 2011, 05:28:17 PM
Pennsylvania represent!


Title: Re: PPP polls the favorability of every U.S. state
Post by: Nichlemn on October 14, 2011, 08:45:04 PM
Quote
-The most popular state with Democrats is Massachusetts (49/9) while the least popular is Texas.  With Republicans the most popular is Texas (66/9), while the least popular is Illinois.

Are the past two Presidential elections driving this? Arizona is also unpopular with Democrats (that might have something to do with its immigration bill though).

Interestingly, Arkansas is narrowly unpopular (20/23) with Democrats despite Clinton being from there. Are these people who are aware of its big swing to Republicans? Or just general anti-Southern-ness?


Title: Re: PPP polls the favorability of every U.S. state
Post by: Snowstalker Mk. II on October 14, 2011, 09:12:54 PM
The latter.


Title: Re: PPP polls the favorability of every U.S. state
Post by: CatoMinor on October 14, 2011, 11:03:41 PM
(
)

MS and IL I can understand, but why is Utah underwater with popularity? Mormons have got to be the friendliest people in the country.


Title: Re: PPP polls the favorability of every U.S. state
Post by: Nichlemn on October 15, 2011, 01:38:03 AM
(
)

MS and IL I can understand, but why is Utah underwater with popularity? Mormons have got to be the friendliest people in the country.

I'm guessing that their politics (particularly with their influence on Prop 8 ) have something to do with this.


Title: Re: PPP polls the favorability of every U.S. state
Post by: Talleyrand on October 15, 2011, 08:27:17 AM
Why is Alabama more popular than Mississippi?


Title: Re: PPP polls the favorability of every U.S. state
Post by: The world will shine with light in our nightmare on October 15, 2011, 10:15:53 AM
Why is Mississippi more popular than Illinois?


Title: Re: PPP polls the favorability of every U.S. state
Post by: Vern on October 17, 2011, 08:24:10 AM
These number don't seem right, at least to me.


Title: Re: PPP polls the favorability of every U.S. state
Post by: 5280 on October 17, 2011, 10:45:15 AM
I'm not sure why New Mexico is so popular.  There isn't much of jobs there or many people, populist state.


Title: Re: PPP polls the favorability of every U.S. state
Post by: ilikeverin on October 17, 2011, 02:08:45 PM
MS and IL I can understand, but why is Utah underwater with popularity? Mormons have got to be the friendliest people in the country.

Most people have met a Mormon, or never realized they've met one.


Title: Re: PPP polls the favorability of every U.S. state
Post by: Snowstalker Mk. II on October 17, 2011, 06:36:59 PM
NY and CA numbers should be interesting.


Title: Re: PPP polls the favorability of every U.S. state
Post by: greenforest32 on October 18, 2011, 01:42:56 AM
NY and CA numbers should be interesting.

Agreed. I'm also curious to see Oregon and Washington state's numbers. I wonder if they're similar or if they differ much.


Title: Re: PPP polls the favorability of every U.S. state
Post by: LastVoter on October 18, 2011, 03:20:48 AM
NY and CA numbers should be interesting.

Agreed. I'm also curious to see Oregon and Washington state's numbers. I wonder if they're similar or if they differ much.
The Evergreen state better win...


Title: Re: PPP polls the favorability of every U.S. state
Post by: cavalcade on October 18, 2011, 11:58:57 AM
Can't help but notice that a lot of people won't play PPP's game here...

The popular states that surprise me are Indiana and Maryland, as well as that Pennsylvania is so high.

This will be a very interesting project.


Title: Re: PPP polls the favorability of every U.S. state
Post by: greenforest32 on October 18, 2011, 04:37:15 PM
NY and CA numbers should be interesting.

Agreed. I'm also curious to see Oregon and Washington state's numbers. I wonder if they're similar or if they differ much.
The Evergreen state better win...

We'll see ;)

I have to admit I've always been jealous of Washington's nickname. 'The Evergreen state' sounds pretty awesome and what do we get here for Oregon? F**king beavers? :P


Title: Re: PPP polls the favorability of every U.S. state
Post by: bgwah on October 18, 2011, 05:30:53 PM
Washington state will probably be confused for Washington D.C., hurting our numbers, I imagine...


Title: Re: PPP polls the favorability of every U.S. state
Post by: LastVoter on October 19, 2011, 06:33:03 PM
When's the next set coming?


Title: Re: PPP polls the favorability of every U.S. state
Post by: greenforest32 on October 19, 2011, 06:44:10 PM

I read it as they're doing one third of the states each month so the first third was released last week and I think that means the 2nd third will be released in November 15-19 with the last third being released in December 15-19.

Quote
Over the next 3 months PPP will be polling the favorability of all 50 states as part of its national surveys, in order to determine the most popular and least popular ones in the country.  We started off this month with the first 17.


Title: Re: PPP polls the favorability of every U.S. state
Post by: Eraserhead on October 19, 2011, 07:43:54 PM
This is odd... but interesting.


Title: Re: PPP polls the favorability of every U.S. state
Post by: All Along The Watchtower on October 19, 2011, 08:01:50 PM
lol Texas


Title: Re: PPP polls the favorability of every U.S. state
Post by: Bacon King on October 21, 2011, 01:45:48 AM
I love this idea, but it'd be even better if they had crosstabs of state approval by state!

Why is Alabama more popular than Mississippi?

Looking at the crosstabs, Democrats dislike both states equally, with independents being pretty close as well; Republicans approve of AL a good bit more than MS, probably because they like their new immigration laws.


Title: Re: PPP polls the favorability of every U.S. state
Post by: Ebowed on October 21, 2011, 09:31:09 PM
I love this idea, but it'd be even better if they had crosstabs of state approval by state!

Why is Alabama more popular than Mississippi?

Looking at the crosstabs, Democrats dislike both states equally, with independents being pretty close as well; Republicans approve of AL a good bit more than MS, probably because they like their new immigration laws.

Mississippi is also historically more embarrassing, though Alabama provides fierce competition in that regard.


Title: Re: PPP polls the favorability of every U.S. state
Post by: Ban my account ffs! on October 23, 2011, 11:01:40 PM
27/17 for MN.. about par for the course... most people go "Minne-whata?"  But we are sufficiently Americana with our Wheaties, Post-it notes, the Pillsbury Doughboy, and the Jolly Green Giant.


Title: Re: PPP polls the favorability of every U.S. state
Post by: TeePee4Prez on October 26, 2011, 11:42:57 PM

I guess many people haven't been to Central PA have they?  I find most people there rude, cliqish, depressing and provincial.  Their rudeness tops even New Yorkers.  The DC area is far friendlier.

It's home to rabid, dumb Steelers fans and has an anti-Philadelphia aura like none other.  GO RAVENS!  And they have this attitude that their "hard earned tax dollars" go to that "disgusting pit called Flithadelphia".  I'm not joking.  Imagine if Philadelphia and the 4 surrounding counties form a state.  Enjoy West Virginia North assholes!


Title: Re: PPP polls the favorability of every U.S. state
Post by: LastVoter on January 23, 2012, 07:01:19 PM
Where is the second round of this?


Title: Re: PPP polls the favorability of every U.S. state
Post by: greenforest32 on January 24, 2012, 12:03:41 AM

We're waiting PPP

>:(


Title: Re: PPP polls the favorability of every U.S. state
Post by: Miles on January 24, 2012, 12:28:40 AM
I thought it was a silly idea to begin with....


Title: Re: PPP polls the favorability of every U.S. state
Post by: greenforest32 on February 21, 2012, 11:40:00 PM
Looks like they released the 2nd/3rd batches together: http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/02/state-favorability-poll.html

Quote
Americans generally have a favorable view of most states.  Only five are in negative territory, led by California (27% favorable and 44% unfavorable), Illinois (19-29), New Jersey (25-32), Mississippi (22-28), and Utah (24-27).  Only seven other states have net-positive ratings in the single digits, and another breaks even (Louisiana).

54% see Hawaii positively and only 10% negatively, followed in the top ten by Colorado (44-9), Tennessee (48-14), South Dakota (42-8), Virginia (45-13), Montana (39-7), Alaska (46-17), Oregon (43-14), and North Carolina and Pennsylvania (each 40-11).  Ten others are in positive territory by at least 21 points.

There are also some differences across demographic lines.  Women have a higher opinion of New York by 27 points more than men, Massachusetts by 22 points, Delaware and California by 16, New Hampshire by 15, Vermont and Illinois by 13, and Connecticut by 11, while men see North Dakota more favorably by 17 points, South Carolina by 15, Wyoming 14, Montana 13, and Iowa and South Dakota 10.

Democrats’ favorite states include Hawaii (62-7), Washington (50-10), Massachusetts (49-9), Oregon (46-6), Vermont (46-9), Colorado (45-8), and New York (51-15), and their least favorites are led by Texas (17-51), Alabama (13-45), and Mississippi (13-41).  Republicans love Alaska (65-3) and Texas (66-9), and absolutely hate California (12-68), followed distantly by Illinois (15-44) and Massachusetts (19-47).  So the greatest partisan gap is for California, which Democrats like 91 points more than Republicans do, followed by Texas, which is favored more by Republicans by 82 points.

Black voters dislike 10 of the 14 Southern states.  The only ones they like are North Carolina (their second favorite overall after Hawaii, at 42-8), Virginia (36-13), Tennessee (36-15), Maryland (32-13), and Florida (34-18).  Their least favorite state overall is Alabama (14-56), then Mississippi (15-51), and Texas (17-44).

All 50 states:

State, +/-, Margin

Hawaii, 54-10 , +44
Colorado, 44-9, +35
Tennessee, 48-14, +34
South Dakota, 42-8, +34
Virginia, 45-13, +32
Montana, 39-7, +32
Alaska, 46-17, +29
Oregon, 43-14, +29
North Carolina, 40-11, +29
Pennsylvania, 40-11, +29
Washington, 43-17, +26
Kentucky, 42-16, +26
Iowa, 42-17, +25
Oklahoma, 40-16, +24
Vermont, 39-15, +24
Wisconsin, 40-17, +23
Wyoming, 34-11, +23
Florida, 43-21, +22
North Dakota, 33-11, +22
Missouri, 32-11, +21
New Hampshire, 37-18, +19
Indiana, 31-12, +19
Idaho, 30-11, +19
Nebraska, 29-11, +18
Arizona, 39-22, +17
Michigan, 38-21, +17
Maine, 32-15, +17
Ohio, 34-18, +16
Delaware, 32-16, +16
Maryland, 31-15, +16
South Carolina, 34-19, +15
New Mexico, 30-15, +15
Kansas, 28-13, +15
New York, 40-29, +11
Georgia, 31-20, +11
Minnesota, 27-17, +10
Rhode Island, 26-16, +10
Texas, 40-31, +9
Massachusetts, 35-27, +8
West Virginia, 23-15, +8
Arkansas, 25-20, +5
Connecticut, 26-22, +4
Nevada, 28-26, +2
Alabama, 27-26, +1
Louisiana, 24-24, 0
Utah, 24-27, -3
Mississippi, 22-28, -6
New Jersey, 25-32, -7
Illinois, 19-29, -10
California, 27-44, -17


Title: Re: PPP polls the favorability of every U.S. state
Post by: Miles on February 22, 2012, 01:43:20 AM
Ok, they were just sitting on the results. I thought they stopped doing this entirely.

Whats so special about Tennessee!?


Title: Re: PPP polls the favorability of every U.S. state
Post by: The world will shine with light in our nightmare on February 22, 2012, 01:44:30 AM
Ok, they were just sitting on the results. I thought they stopped doing this entirely.

Whats so special about Tennessee!?

Country music, of course. :)


Title: Re: PPP polls the favorability of every U.S. state
Post by: Хahar 🤔 on February 22, 2012, 05:05:09 AM
Below New Jersey? Really?

Everyone else can go [Inks] themselves. They're just jealous.


Title: Re: PPP polls the favorability of every U.S. state
Post by: Antonio the Sixth on February 22, 2012, 04:31:49 PM
LOL@Oklahoma being tied with Vermont.


Title: Re: PPP polls the favorability of every U.S. state
Post by: Hash on February 22, 2012, 06:04:40 PM
(
)

Idiot. There is no excuse for KY, TN, PA, SD and IA being viewed more favourably than Vermont.


Title: Re: PPP polls the favorability of every U.S. state
Post by: SUSAN CRUSHBONE on February 24, 2012, 11:17:51 AM
(
)

Idiot. There is no excuse for KY, TN, PA, SD and IA being viewed more favourably than Vermont.
Oklahoma > Illinois.
Even worse.


Title: Re: PPP polls the favorability of every U.S. state
Post by: Niemeyerite on February 24, 2012, 01:56:09 PM
If PPP called me, I'd say I have a positive opinion of every state but Alabama, Oklahoma, Mississippi, Texas, Kentucky and Louisiana :p (undecided on Utah and Arkansas).

My favourite state is VT (followed by Colorado, NC and Hawaii), what's yours?


Title: Re: PPP polls the favorability of every U.S. state
Post by: Reginald on February 24, 2012, 04:59:45 PM
LOL@Oklahoma being tied with Vermont.


If PPP called me, I'd say I have a positive opinion of every state but... Oklahoma...

Yeah well... at least we won't be eating fetuses any time soon.


Title: Re: PPP polls the favorability of every U.S. state
Post by: Grumpier Than Thou on February 24, 2012, 06:56:45 PM
Okay stop.

Pennsylvania and New York are viewed favorably, and New Jersey isn't?

F that, America is dumb.


Title: Re: PPP polls the favorability of every U.S. state
Post by: Хahar 🤔 on February 24, 2012, 09:27:57 PM
Okay stop.

Pennsylvania and New York are viewed favorably, and New Jersey isn't?

F that, America is dumb.

Everyone hates New Jersey.


Title: Re: PPP polls the favorability of every U.S. state
Post by: bgwah on February 24, 2012, 10:11:38 PM
I'm a little surprise Washington did so well. I thought people would confuse us with the city! :P


Title: Re: PPP polls the favorability of every U.S. state
Post by: Antonio the Sixth on February 25, 2012, 05:55:27 AM
And the least favorite State is California.

WHAT ?


Title: Re: PPP polls the favorability of every U.S. state
Post by: 5280 on February 28, 2012, 01:26:52 AM
I can agree, CO is a great place to live.  I have more happy days than sad ones.


Title: Re: PPP polls the favorability of every U.S. state
Post by: Fmr. Pres. Duke on February 28, 2012, 02:52:42 PM
Again, Vermont is way overrated on this site because of its politics. Sure, it has beautiful scenery, but unless you want to live in a rural setting, its not a great place to live permanently.


Title: Re: PPP polls the favorability of every U.S. state
Post by: Tidewater_Wave on February 29, 2012, 11:45:41 PM
New Hampshire always seems to be the most free and most livable. New York and New Jersey seem to be at the bottom of those lists.


Title: Re: PPP polls the favorability of every U.S. state
Post by: Comrade Funk on March 01, 2012, 08:32:19 PM
Well that sucks.


Title: Re: PPP polls the favorability of every U.S. state
Post by: 5280 on March 01, 2012, 10:47:37 PM
Why is Nevada and Texas light green?


Title: Re: PPP polls the favorability of every U.S. state
Post by: J. J. on March 01, 2012, 11:15:48 PM
Is anyone else surprised that Pennsylvania and New Mexico are so popular?

No, it's our tropical weather, golden beaches, and young, hot, babes.

"I wish they all could be Pennsylvania girls ...."  :)

I live in the state of Pennsylvania; the people polled live in the state of delusion. 


Title: Re: PPP polls the favorability of every U.S. state
Post by: Tidewater_Wave on March 02, 2012, 02:03:08 AM
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2011/10/polling-the-states.html

Quote
Over the next 3 months PPP will be polling the favorability of all 50 states as part of its national surveys, in order to determine the most popular and least popular ones in the country.  We started off this month with the first 17. Here's how they stack up from best net favorability to worst:

State                     Favorability             Spread
Pennsylvania.............40/11                +29
Indiana......................31/12               +19
Idaho.........................30/11              +19
Arizona.......................39/22              +17
Maryland....................31/15              +16
New Mexico................30/15              +15
Georgia......................31/20             +10
Minnesota..................27/17             +10
Rhode Island..............26/16            +10
Texas........................40/31            +9
Massachusetts...........35/27             +8
Arkansas....................25/20             +5
Alabama.....................27/26             +1
Louisiana....................24/24             Even
Utah............................24/27             -3
Mississippi...................22/28               -6
Illinois.........................19/29             -10

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_US_1014513.pdf

Please excuse my crappy formatting. I couldn't figure out how to make a table :P

Great find! Thanks.