Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2012 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls => Topic started by: Ben Romney on November 23, 2011, 07:18:08 PM



Title: NH-UNH: Only Romney leads Obama
Post by: Ben Romney on November 23, 2011, 07:18:08 PM
PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE (UNH)

Mitt Romney 47%
Barack Obama (D-inc) 44%

Gingrich trails the president by 12 points, and Perry falls short by 19 points.

http://www.wmur.com/new-hampshire-primary-extended-coverage/29846953/detail.html#ixzz1eZe0hpb6


Title: Re: Romney Dominates Field in NH
Post by: Eraserhead on November 23, 2011, 09:30:59 PM
Good GE results for Obama.


Title: Re: Romney Dominates Field in NH
Post by: Tender Branson on November 24, 2011, 05:44:21 AM
Hillary, a 3-point lead for Romney is not "dominating".

"Dominating" is 10%+


Title: Re: Romney Dominates Field in NH
Post by: Reaganfan on November 24, 2011, 08:27:54 AM

Yeah, losing a state by 4 points that he carried by 11 points is DANDY!


Title: Re: Romney Dominates Field in NH
Post by: memphis on November 24, 2011, 08:44:30 AM

Yeah, losing a state by 4 points that he carried by 11 points is DANDY!
Willing to support Romney, then?


Title: Re: Romney Dominates Field in NH
Post by: Reaganfan on November 24, 2011, 08:47:01 AM

Yeah, losing a state by 4 points that he carried by 11 points is DANDY!
Willing to support Romney, then?

()


Title: Re: NH-UNH: Only Romney leads Obama
Post by: Tender Branson on November 24, 2011, 09:30:35 AM
So, Romney runs an Obama attack ad in NH and his lead drops from 10 points to 3 points.

Nice job, Mitt.


Title: Re: NH-UNH: Only Romney leads Obama
Post by: tmthforu94 on November 24, 2011, 10:33:18 AM
So, Romney runs an Obama attack ad in NH and his lead drops from 10 points to 3 points.

Nice job, Mitt.
This poll was conducted from the 15th through the 22nd, so over half of the respondents probably voted before it came out. And of the minority, a good majority probably hadn't seen it yet. I highly doubt his ad is the reason that one poll shows the race tighter.

If it was the same polling group and was conducted a week after the advertisement came out, I'd be tempted to agree with you.


Title: Re: NH-UNH: Only Romney leads Obama
Post by: The_Texas_Libertarian on November 24, 2011, 02:45:55 PM
Even though it is "only" 4 electoral votes it could be an election cycle where that matters.  This will be a premiere toss-up state.   


Title: Re: Romney Dominates Field in NH
Post by: pbrower2a on November 24, 2011, 06:26:29 PM

Yeah, losing a state by 4 points that he carried by 11 points is DANDY!

Favorite son effect. President Obama eviscerates everyone else in the state. Just take a look at how well Republicans are doing in Arizona against the President. None of the likely nominees has any connection to Arizona.


Title: Re: Romney Dominates Field in NH
Post by: Eraserhead on November 25, 2011, 01:27:55 PM

Yeah, losing a state by 4 points that he carried by 11 points is DANDY!

It is against someone who lives in and is currently campaigning in the state constantly. Also, Obama only carried it by 9.6% in 2008.


Title: Re: NH-UNH: Only Romney leads Obama
Post by: cavalcade on November 29, 2011, 12:30:07 PM
This is (relatively) good for Obama, though NH isn't really a good proxy for performance in any other swing states.