Talk Elections

Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion => International What-ifs => Topic started by: Teddy (IDS Legislator) on February 01, 2012, 02:25:01 AM



Title: Northern Ireland with Irish parties
Post by: Teddy (IDS Legislator) on February 01, 2012, 02:25:01 AM
ooo I can hear the Unionist's blood boiling, but, this is just a what-if :P

Note that NI's current stormont districts and member numbers are a bit overdone, but, if each stormont district elected 4 members, it would give NI a total of 72 TD's, which would fit in with it's share of the Irish population. Thus, lets presume this.


Title: Re: Northern Ireland with Irish parties
Post by: Teddy (IDS Legislator) on February 01, 2012, 02:37:35 AM
()

Note that these 4 maps are one. Each district elects 4 members, so just merge the maps in your mind.

This is also based on current polling in the republic.

results:
FG - 21
SF - 18
FF - 15
UU - 11
Lab - 6

I think that most Unionists willing to 'play ball' would go for FG, while a smaller number would go FF or Labour.

SFers would also break off to FF in some numbers, but a lot would remain loyal.

Also, if FF were to return to "normal" polling levels, it would be from FG they would gain their seats, not SF as much, and some FG seats would go UU.