Title: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on February 19, 2012, 04:00:38 PM See also the predecessor (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=20854.105) from ages ago.
Tolerance up to 5000 from state average. Trying to split as few counties and where applicable towns/cities/etc as possible. () New Hampshire North 101,429, 55.3% Obama Lebanon 101,065, 62.5% Obama Cheshire 101,923, 62.4% Obama Concord 100,708, 58.1% Obama Belknap 100,859, 51.3% Obama (would no doubt elect a Republican) Dover & Rochester 103,347, 61.5% Obama Mid Rockingham (or whatever you'd call it) 100,251, 53.3% McCain Portsmouth 101,608, 57.7% Obama Derry & Salem (or just West Rockingham) 104,559, 53.7% McCain West Hillsborough 99,655, 51.1% Obama (would no doubt elect a Republican) Manchester 100,966, 81.8% anglo, 55.2% Obama Merrimack & Hudson (or I guess East Hillsborough will be better) 100,931, 53.5% McCain Nashua 99,169, 81.0% anglo, 54.9% Obama All other districts over 90% anglo. Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on February 19, 2012, 04:09:19 PM ()
York Coastal 99,177, 62.8% Obama York West 97,954, 55.5% Obama Cumberland West 103,639, 57.0% Obama Cumberland East 99,389, 60.1% Obama Portland 100,211, 86.3% Anglo, 73.9% Obama (all other districts over 90% Anglo) Knox, Lincoln & Sagadahoc 100,702, 57.2% Obama Oxford, Franklin & West Kennebec 100,856, 57.4% Obama Androscoggin 100,094, 56.4% Obama Kennebec 104,723, 56.6% Obama Hancock & Waldo 106,926, 55.9% Obama Bangor 104,066, 53.7% Obama Somerset, Piscataquis & North Penobscot 105,898, 49.6% Obama Aroostook & Washington 104,726, 52.4% Obama I didn't do it on purpose. Honest. Neither the Obama-carries-everything bit (it's not as if Somerset etc would vote for a Democrat anyways. Though all the others might.) nor the Eastern-districts-are-larger-on-average bit. That was a result of keeping county splits down. Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on February 19, 2012, 04:22:19 PM ()
Too easy. Burlington 105,606, 89.6% Anglo, 75.2% Obama Northwest 105,655, 63.4% Obama Northeast 103,809, 65.5% Obama Central 105,617, 68.2% Obama Rutland & Bennington 103,871, 62.8% Obama Windsor & Windham 101,183, 71.0% Obama Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: Hash on February 19, 2012, 04:45:30 PM Fantastic thread.
The huge states like CA, NY, TX or FL will be long, but I suppose really fun. Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on February 19, 2012, 05:03:01 PM All of Massachusetts that I'll do for now:
() Berkshire 198,126, 72.2% D Franklin & North Berkshire 104,465, 69.4% D Amherst 103,899, 85.0% Anglo, 62.0% D Northampton & Westfield 105,353, 89.0% Anglo, 56.9% D West Springfield, Agawam & Holyoke 103,367, 72.3% Anglo, 22.0% Hispanic, 53.5% R (and Southwick actually, while lacking one precinct in Holyoke. Splitting Southwick instead couldn't be done within the 5000 tolerance level) Springfield North & Chicopee 104,069, 58.8% White, 27.1% Hispanic, 10.6% Black, 56.8% D Springfield South 104,289, 37.8% Hispanic, 37.4% White, 19.6% Black, 66.1% D Hampden East 100,593, 59.3 R These "averages" are from all I hear way too R heavy. Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: muon2 on February 19, 2012, 05:51:46 PM Fantastic thread. The huge states like CA, NY, TX or FL will be long, but I suppose really fun. Given the time it took us to work on CA with 53 districts, I suspect that the division into 373 districts will indeed be long. So far the districts have been able to use counties and county subdivisions smaller than a district. I will be curious to see what criteria are applied to divide subdivisions that are larger than a district. Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: bgwah on February 19, 2012, 06:43:16 PM I might do WA later. That would be about 67 districts (we have 49 legislative districts).
Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: Fuzzybigfoot on February 19, 2012, 10:33:55 PM :D
Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: greenforest32 on February 19, 2012, 11:25:22 PM This pleases me
Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: muon2 on February 20, 2012, 12:54:09 AM All of Massachusetts that I'll do for now: () Berkshire 198,126, 72.2% D Franklin & North Berkshire 104,465, 69.4% D Amherst 103,899, 85.0% Anglo, 62.0% D Northampton & Westfield 105,353, 89.0% Anglo, 56.9% D West Springfield, Agawam & Holyoke 103,367, 72.3% Anglo, 22.0% Hispanic, 53.5% R (and Southwick actually, while lacking one precinct in Holyoke. Splitting Southwick instead couldn't be done within the 5000 tolerance level) Springfield North & Chicopee 104,069, 58.8% White, 27.1% Hispanic, 10.6% Black, 56.8% D Springfield South 104,289, 37.8% Hispanic, 37.4% White, 19.6% Black, 66.1% D Hampden East 100,593, 59.3 R These "averages" are from all I hear way too R heavy. I found a way you can avoid the split of Holyoke. Start with the north part of Berkshire down to Richmond, Lenox, and Washington. Link Franklin county with the eastern and western sides of Hampshire county. Take central Hampshire as a district except for Easthampton and Southampton. Those two towns link with Holyoke and Westfield to make a district. The rest of western Hampden links with southern Berkshire. Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on February 20, 2012, 04:41:40 AM I'm not sure I'm ready to get that technical. West Springfield to boondogs just sounds... very very wrong. (I mean, I looked at options to avoid that western extension to Amherst, and if I could have done it with one additional county split I'd probably have gone with it. Seems to take two, though.)
EDIT: And it's not necessary. North Berkshire Franklin & East Hampshire Amherst, Hadley, South Hadley, Northampton, Easthampton Holyoke, West Springfield, Agawam South Berkshire, West Hampshire, West Hampden incl. Westfield Holyoke is 4k under and all the others are 3-5k over, but it's legal. Will be in the final state map to come later today. Now I go play with Springfield to up the nonwhite percentage without splitting more than one ward. Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: Hash on February 20, 2012, 09:12:22 AM () Too easy. Burlington 105,606, 89.6% Anglo, 75.2% Obama Northwest 105,655, 63.4% Obama Northeast 103,809, 65.5% Obama Central 105,617, 68.2% Obama Rutland & Bennington 103,871, 62.8% Obama Windsor & Windham 101,183, 71.0% Obama Any way to avoid the central district cutting across the state? The Green Mountains form a pretty solid regional divide which is really broken. Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on February 20, 2012, 10:28:16 AM One district obviously has to, more than half the population being west of the mountains. And you're not going to avoid using Addison County, except by splitting Burlington, drawing part with Addison and part with Barre/Montpelier. You could trade out Orange for the remainder of Washington and parts of Lamoille. Or even put Lamoille into the northeast district and walk the Burlington seat north to get Shelburne into the Montpelier to Addison district, maybe.
Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on February 20, 2012, 10:40:56 AM ()
() () () Please disregard Boston on the maps above, the version covered in the numbers table to follow is here: () Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on February 20, 2012, 11:26:54 AM Magic of rightclick works for all the above maps, of course.
Ah right, I also renumbered Middlesex County again after creating the state overview map (because I had a town split between nonconsecutively numbered districts, and that's unaesthetic!) 8 districts in Western Massachusetts North Berkshire 105,388, 73.3 D, 90.2 (Format will be Anglo-Hispanic-Black-Asian unless stated. Groups over 10% listed.) South Berkshire - Westfield 104,474, 51.3 D, 92.2 Franklin - East Hampshire 103,454, 62.1 D, 92.5 Amherst - Northampton 105,185, 72.3 D, 82.2 Holyoke, West Springfield, Agawam 96,709, 51.8 R, 70.6-23.5 Springfield W 103,054, 74.0 D, 27.5-46.9-20.9 (5th ward is split) Chicopee - Springfield E 103,504, 53.1 D, 68.2-18.3 East Hampden 100,593, 59.3 R, 92.5 8 Districts in Worcester County Gardner - West Worcester Co. 103,113, 60.9 R, 93.1 Fitchburg, Leominster 98,440, 59.4 R, 75.7-15.3 Mid Worcester Co (light green) 101,133, 59.9 R, 89.8 Worcester NW - Auburn 98,699, 54.2 D, 73.9-11.6 Worcester SE 98,534, 61.4 D, 50.7-27.2-11.3 (4rd ward is split. Maximized the nonwhite share despite not getting it over 50%) SW Worcester Co 102,566, 63.3 R, 88.6 Shrewsbury etc (orange, east of Worcester) 98,433, 57.5 R, 81.3-12.2 Asian Milford - SE Worcester Co 97,634, 64.1 R, 91.3 13 Districts in Middlesex County, excluding Somerville. Couldn't quite avoid townsplits. Framingham 99,836, 50.5 D, 72.0-10.2 Natick etc 102,692, 51.0 D, 87.7 Marlborough - Concord 103,744, 52.3 D, 80.9 Dracut - NW Middlesex 98,747, 63.6 R, 89.9 includes the 1st ward of Lowell (which is the whitest, at least along the north side) Lowell 100,481, 52.2 D, 50.6-18.1-21.0 Asian Tewksbury etc (pinkish, east of Lowell) 102,299, 64.9 R, 91.5 Chelmsford etc (puke-colored, south of Lowell) 102,286, 53.9 R, 84.4-10.8 Asian. Splits Lexington with... Woburn etc 105,067, 50.7 R, 80.5-11.4 Asian Melrose & points north 98,099, 56.0 R, 91.4 Everett & Malden 101,117, 57.0 D, 52.9-13.6-14.0-13.8 Medford & Arlington 99,017, 63.5 D, 79.4 Watertown & points west 103,735, 58.9 D, 77.8. Splits Waltham with... Newton 105,049, 67.3 D, 71.4-11.1 Asian Cambridge 105,162, 85.5 D, 62.1-11.0 Black-15.1 Asian 8 Districts in Boston, Somerville, Brookline and Chelsea This is a compromise between respect for ward boundaries, racial gerrymandering, compactness, and the constraints offereed by a below-quota total population. It splits more wards than would have been technically necessary. Somerville 102,821, 70.3 D, 72.4 West Boston (orange) 95,901, 69.7 D, 64.6-10.7-15.3 Asian Brookline 97,155, 72.1 D, 72.9-14.6 Asian southern districts from west to east 99,311, 70.0 D, 58.2-17.7-16.7 95,960, 92.7 D, 16.1-24.5-50.9 98,630, 89.3 D, 10.5-19.1-53.5 97,259, 61.7 D, 67.2-11.6 Asian Chelsea 100,220, 62.1 D, 38.3-45.3 (still plurality White VAP though. Couldn't get that corrected without carving into Revere.) 8 Districts in Essex, Revere and Winthrop, aka 7 in Essex excluding Saugus Revere, Winthrop, Saugus 95,880, 55.5 R, 74.7-15.4 Lynn 105,335, 50.6 D, 54.2-27.8 Salem 105,420, 50.7 R, 84.2. Splits Peabody with... Beverly etc (light green) 97,721, 57.6 R, 92.6 Methuen West - Andover 101,260, 61.6 R, 82.7 Splits Methuen with... Lawrence - Methuen East 100,877, 56.7 D, 34.5-59.3 Haverhill & Amesbury 102,477, 58.2 R, 86.0 Gloucester & Newburyport 103,441, 53.1 R, 94.9 There is but one alignment of towns that avoids splitting Methuen (or Lawrence. Or Haverhill, possibly - not sure about that), and it crosses the county line and it didn't exactly make the task in Middlesex easier, either. Even though the average populations would have been more balanced. 6 Districts in Norfolk County (excluding detached portions) Needham etc 101,804, 51.6 R, 86.8 West Norfolk Co 99,056, 64.6 R, 91.7 WC Norfolk Co (Norwood & points sw) 99,173, 57.8 R, 87.2 C Norfolk Co (south from Milton) 102,433, 52.3 D, 65.7-19.4 Black. Splits Milton with... Quincy 101,832, 50.1 R, 67.7-22.2 Asian Braintree & Weymouth 100,278, 58.7 R, 86.3 13 Districts in the Old Colony Hingham to Marshfield (very pale coastal district) 101,094, 59.8 R, 95.6 Abington etc (very pale district inland from that) 96,351, 65.4 R, 93.6 Brockton 100,726, 54.9 D, 46.4-27.8 Black-13.9 Other (Capeverdeans) Plymouth 98,485, 62.0 R, 93.8 Wareham etc 98,996, 61.7 R, 92.2 Includes Bourne town in Barnstable County Taunton - Bridgewater 95,820, 58.9 R, 86.8 Also crosses a county line North Bristol County 105,647, 64.8 R, 91.4 Attleboro-Somerset 98,431, 56.6 R, 90.5 There are two possible alignments of towns here. The other one exchanges North Attleboro for Somerset and Deignton and is even worse. Rehoboth will have to lump it. Fall River 101,143, 57.9 D, 84.9 Splits Freetown with... New Bedford 98,067, 65.5 D, 68.8-16.3. Split is exceedingly reasonable, though. South Bristol County - Islands 102,447, 55.4 D, 91.1 Took a while to figure this least-damage alignment out West Cape Cod 97,599, 57.8 R, 92.2 Splits Barnstable with... East Cape Cod 98,535, 51.2 R, 90.4 Phew. Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on February 20, 2012, 01:10:43 PM One district obviously has to, more than half the population being west of the mountains. And you're not going to avoid using Addison County, except by splitting Burlington, drawing part with Addison and part with Barre/Montpelier. You could trade out Orange for the remainder of Washington and parts of Lamoille. Or even put Lamoille into the northeast district and walk the Burlington seat north to get Shelburne into the Montpelier to Addison district, maybe. () Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: World politics is up Schmitt creek on February 20, 2012, 01:28:37 PM I grew up in Vermont and what you had before strikes me as markedly preferable to that so far as the Montpelier area is concerned.
Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: they don't love you like i love you on February 20, 2012, 01:43:40 PM Lewis managed to draw the most phallic-looking district I've ever seen in the Boston area.
Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on February 20, 2012, 02:15:09 PM Which one? Orange West Boston, with the swinging nutsack and the inexplicable stuff to the west that's probably usually hidden from sight on the inside of the torso?
Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: they don't love you like i love you on February 20, 2012, 02:52:10 PM Yes that one.
Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on February 20, 2012, 03:05:08 PM ()
One additional county split; prevents an additional town split and an even worse design for the ninth district (in the Kent County part). No election data for RI, populations are in the image. 1 Woonsocket, N Smithfield, Burrilville, Glocester (sic), Scituate, Foster. 85.2% Anglo 2 Cumberland, Lincoln, Smithfield, Central Falls. 77.8% Anglo, 15.2% Hispanic 3 Johnston, N Providence, nw sections of Providence. 74.2% Anglo, 14.3% Hispanic 4 Pawtucket, ne sections of Providence. 57.1% Anglo, 19.1% Hispanic, 12.5% Black 5 c and s sections of Providence. 55.1% Hispanic, 18.4% Anglo, 15.5% Black. VAP Majority. 6 e sections of Providence, E Providence, Barrington, Warren. 81.7% Anglo 7 Cranston, n sections of E Warwick. 79.0% Anglo, 10.0% Hispanic 8 Warwick, s sections of E Warwick. 90.5% Anglo 9 Coventry, W Greenwich, E Greenwich, Exeter, N Kingstown, Jamestown (Conanicut Island). 94.0% Anglo 10 Narragansett, South Kingstown, Richmond, Hopkinton, Charlestown, Westerly, New Shoreham (Block Island). 92.1% Anglo 11 Bristol, Portsmouth, Middletown, Newport, Tiverton, Little Compton. 89.1% Anglo Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on February 20, 2012, 03:07:19 PM It's just your dirty mind. It doesn't look phallic at all.
Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on February 20, 2012, 04:49:27 PM ()
SW insert: () Populations for all but the first four in the first image. Windham 100,230, 57.0% Obama, 83.8, 10.9 Hispanic Tolland N - Woodstock 102,416, 56.7% Obama, 88.5 Tolland S - Colchester 96,000, 61.0% Obama, 89.1 Norwich 96,512, 57.6% Obama, 77.0 New London 63.6% Obama, 71.8, 12.5 Hispanic Waterford - Old Saybrook (or whatever you want to call it. Teal) 59.1% Obama, 90.0 Middletown 63.3% Obama, 81.6 Branford (is the largest town. Across the NH-NL line, anyways) 57.4% Obama, 91.8 New Haven N 88.8% Obama, 29.5, 42.9 Black, 20.5 Hispanic. Includes part of Hamden New Haven S 72.9% Obama, 48.0, 27.2 Hispanic, 17.8 Black. Includes West Haven East Haven - North Haven - Hamden 59.7% Obama, 79.4 Meriden & Wallingford 63.5% Obama, 68.0, 21.9 Hispanic Naugatuck - Cheshire just 51.4% Obama, 83.8. Includes part of Waterbury. Waterbury 65.8% Obama, 41.5, 33.7 Hispanic, 19.1 Black Milford (& points north) just 54.7% Obama, 80.9 Southbury - Newtown (- whatever. Green thingy) 49.9% McCain (yes!), 90.5 Bridgeport (Central) 87.7% Obama, 15.4, 42.7 Hispanic, 35.4 Black Stratford (- Shelton - Bridgeport E) 55.6% Obama, 70.9, 12.8 Hispanic, 11.5 Black Trumbull (- Bridgeport NW - points north) 54.1% Obama, 71.9, 12.9 Hispanic Fairfield & Westport (& two precincts in Norwalk) 59.2% Obama, 87.1 Norwalk & Darien 61.2% Obama, 61.6, 21.0 Hispanic, 11.3 Black Stamford (S) 67.1% Obama, 46.7, 27.7 Hispanic, 15.3 Black Greenwich - Stamford N - New Canaan just 52.3% Obama, 83.1 Ridgefield - Bethel (purple thingy south of Danbury) just 53.5% Obama, 89.4 Danbury 56.0% Obama, 63.5, 21.2 Hispanic Southington (grey, southern Hartford County district that includes one Fairfield town) just 53.1% Obama, 89.7 Bristol & Farmington 59.1% Obama, 84.1 New Britain & Newington 69.5% Obama, 57.8, 28.2 Hispanic Manchester & Glastonbury (& Marlborough...) 63.2% Obama, 74.5 Hartford E - Wethersfield - East Hartford 70.0% Obama, 48.3, 28.1 Hispanic, 16.9 Black Hartford W 92.5% Obama, 14.4, 40.6 Hispanic, 39.9 Black West Hartford (& points west) 63.4% Obama, 80.8 Enfield - South Windsor 58.2% Obama, 83.4 Windsor - Simsbury 66.8% Obama, 66.7, 22.5 Black. Black Flight areas just outside Hartford. Didn't know that. Litchfield North just 54.2% Obama, 90.7 Litchfield South 49.7% McCain(!), 91.9 So... two McCain districts, though there'd inevitably be a fair few Republicans left. And those two are under 50% McCain. Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: bgwah on February 20, 2012, 07:12:59 PM I've done 29/67 districts for WA. My hand hurts.
Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: Vazdul (Formerly Chairman of the Communist Party of Ontario) on February 20, 2012, 09:45:38 PM One district obviously has to, more than half the population being west of the mountains. And you're not going to avoid using Addison County, except by splitting Burlington, drawing part with Addison and part with Barre/Montpelier. You could trade out Orange for the remainder of Washington and parts of Lamoille. Or even put Lamoille into the northeast district and walk the Burlington seat north to get Shelburne into the Montpelier to Addison district, maybe. () I think the bolded option is preferable, as it avoids both the east-west stretch from Addison to Orange and the three-way split of Chittenden. () Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: muon2 on February 20, 2012, 10:15:16 PM 8 Districts in Essex, Revere and Winthrop, aka 7 in Essex excluding Saugus Revere, Winthrop, Saugus 95,880, 55.5 R, 74.7-15.4 Lynn 105,335, 50.6 D, 54.2-27.8 Salem 105,420, 50.7 R, 84.2. Splits Peabody with... Beverly etc (light green) 97,721, 57.6 R, 92.6 Methuen West - Andover 101,260, 61.6 R, 82.7 Splits Methuen with... Lawrence - Methuen East 100,877, 56.7 D, 34.5-59.3 Haverhill & Amesbury 102,477, 58.2 R, 86.0 Gloucester & Newburyport 103,441, 53.1 R, 94.9 There is but one alignment of towns that avoids splitting Methuen (or Lawrence. Or Haverhill, possibly - not sure about that), and it crosses the county line and it didn't exactly make the task in Middlesex easier, either. Even though the average populations would have been more balanced. Since you were willing to hop from southern Bristol to the Islands, I think you have a better solution to Essex with no splits. The key is to know that Nahant is really an island with an artificial causeway to connect it by road to Lynn. There are still some who travel by boat to leave Nahant. With that in mind, you could put Nahant in the district with Saugus, etc. since it was under population anyway. With Nahant out of the way, keep your Haverill district (+1744), and place Lawrence with North Andover (+3996). The Gloucester district goes to Boxford (+2909) and then Peabody, Danvers, Middleton, Topsfield, and Hamilton make a district (+4722). Finally within the county Salem, Beverly and Marblehead are one district (-83) and Lynn and Swampscott make the last (+3383). the remaining towns link to Middlesex. I'd rather see the counties split than the towns in New England. Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: Sbane on February 20, 2012, 10:37:25 PM I'm going to start working on California. It might take a while. :P
Also are we trying to follow the VRA? Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: Хahar 🤔 on February 21, 2012, 12:12:18 AM Oh, wow, that orange district is definitely a phallus.
Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: traininthedistance on February 21, 2012, 09:17:44 AM Think I'll give New Jersey a whirl.
Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on February 21, 2012, 10:11:06 AM I'm going to start working on California. It might take a while. :P Also are we trying to follow the VRA? 8 Districts in Essex, Revere and Winthrop, aka 7 in Essex excluding Saugus Revere, Winthrop, Saugus 95,880, 55.5 R, 74.7-15.4 Lynn 105,335, 50.6 D, 54.2-27.8 Salem 105,420, 50.7 R, 84.2. Splits Peabody with... Beverly etc (light green) 97,721, 57.6 R, 92.6 Methuen West - Andover 101,260, 61.6 R, 82.7 Splits Methuen with... Lawrence - Methuen East 100,877, 56.7 D, 34.5-59.3 Haverhill & Amesbury 102,477, 58.2 R, 86.0 Gloucester & Newburyport 103,441, 53.1 R, 94.9 There is but one alignment of towns that avoids splitting Methuen (or Lawrence. Or Haverhill, possibly - not sure about that), and it crosses the county line and it didn't exactly make the task in Middlesex easier, either. Even though the average populations would have been more balanced. Since you were willing to hop from southern Bristol to the Islands, I think you have a better solution to Essex with no splits. The key is to know that Nahant is really an island with an artificial causeway to connect it by road to Lynn. There are still some who travel by boat to leave Nahant. With that in mind, you could put Nahant in the district with Saugus, etc. since it was under population anyway. With Nahant out of the way, keep your Haverill district (+1744), and place Lawrence with North Andover (+3996). The Gloucester district goes to Boxford (+2909) and then Peabody, Danvers, Middleton, Topsfield, and Hamilton make a district (+4722). Finally within the county Salem, Beverly and Marblehead are one district (-83) and Lynn and Swampscott make the last (+3383). the remaining towns link to Middlesex. Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: traininthedistance on February 21, 2012, 01:23:45 PM Think I'll give New Jersey a whirl. The map was not as impossibly hard as I feared, but the write-up is going to take some time. There are twelve towns which are split, which I think is pretty much as low as practically possible. Several cities are over 100K- Newark, Elizabeth, Jersey City, Paterson, and Edison/Metuchen (Edison surrounds Metuchen). A couple towns are nearly 100K and surrounded entirely by other large towns: Trenton and Lakewood; so adjacent towns have to be split. And there are five other places where I can't find a way around splitting something somewhere. Counties matter more in NJ than in New England, but I still preferred to minimize town splits rather than county splits. Additionally one district is +5,078 which I could rectify with an additional town split but I think I'm going to let it slide instead. Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: traininthedistance on February 21, 2012, 09:41:34 PM Alright, here's New Jersey. Spent way too long on this, mainly because I decided to add a bunch of words to all the pictures. I'll split this up into a couple of posts, just because it's so long. Anyway, the state:
() And each district section-by-section, working up from the south like NJ districts tend to do. Racial stats shown as White/Black/Hispanic/Asian noting all groups over 10 percent; all VAP. I also assigned districts one of five race ratings after the fact, Safe or Lean D/R or Swing, many of which are probably debatable. () Six districts fit exactly in the southernmost four counties: Salem/Cumberland/Atlantic/Cape May. 1: CAPE MAY. All of Cape May County. Population 97,265. Obama 45.5%, Dem 45.2%, White 89%. Safe R. The easiest district to draw on the entire map, no question. 2: ATLANTIC CITY. Atlantic City, Margate City, Brigantine, Absecon, Galloway (part). Population 100,922. Obama 61%, Dem 59.2%. 53.0 W/17.8 B/15.8 H/11.6 A. Safe D, plurality-minority by total population. The split of Galloway with District 4 is not strictly necessary, but doing so has many benefits. If you give all of Galloway to 2, then Port Republic is forced to go into a non-Atlantic County district, and District 4 has to grab Stow Creek and Greenwich from 6, which is both ugly and relies on water connectivity, since there's no bridge that low on the Cohansey Creek. Or you could split another town? 3: EGG HARBOR. Egg Harbor, Pleasantville, Northfield, Linwood, Somers Point, Ventnor City, Margate. Population 97,332. Obama 57.3%, Dem 54.9%. 64.0 W/13.8 B/14.2 H. Lean D. An earlier draft had considered grouping all of the barrier islands with Pleasantville and Absecon in 2, with this district taking Mays Landing, but there's a sliver of Egg Harbor Township which would have been stranded inside, and it would also have resulted in a much uglier District 4. 4: BLACK HORSE. From Atlantic: Port Republic, Egg Harbor City, Mullica, Hammonton, Folsom, Buena Vista, Buena, Hamilton, Weymouth, Estell Manor, Corbin City, Galloway (part). From Cumberland: Maurice River, Commercial, Downe, Lawrence, Fairfield. Population 100,619. Obama 53.7%, Dem 52.6%. 69.3 W/14.7 B/12.1 H. Swing. A leftovers district taking in all the marshiest, Piney-est, most rural land in Atlantic and Cumberland. I decided to name this district after the historic Black Horse Pike, it was nicer than "Bogs and Marshes" and none of the towns are particularly large. 5: METRO CUMBERLAND. Vineland, Millville, Deerfield, Upper Deerfield. Population 99,903. Obama 60.6%, Dem 57.6%. 58.9 W/12.8 B/24.9 H. Safe D, Hispanic influence. Two of Cumberland's cities are here, Deerfield/Upper Deerfield are added for population. This area was a historic center of glass production and Welch's was founded here. 6: SALEM-BRIDGETON. All of Salem County. From Cumberland: Greenwich, Stow Creek, Bridgeton, Hopewell, Shiloh. Population 98,754. Obama 53.5%, Dem 51.4%. 66.4 W/17.8 B/13.4H. Swing. This is certainly the most agricultural district in the state. () Eight districts fit exactly within Gloucester/Camden. Unfortunately, this is the last group of counties where I was able to pull off that trick. 7: GLASSBORO-SOUTH GLOUCESTER. Glassboro, Monroe, Frankin, Newfield, Harrison, South Harrison, Elk. Population 101,055. Obama 55.9%, Dem 54.6%. 80.8 W/11.4 B. Lean D. The deviation was -1, best I was able to manage on the entire map. 8: WOODBURY-WEST GLOUCESTER. Woolwich, Swedesboro, Logan, Greenwich, Paulsboro, East Greenwich, Mantua, Pitman, Woodbury, Woodbury Heights, National City. Population 101,547. Obama 57.0%, Dem 55.2%, White 84.5%. Lean D. Not much to say here. 9: DEPTFORD-WASHINGTON. From Gloucester: Deptford, Washington, Wenonah, Westville. From Camden: Bellmawr. Population 97,269. Obama 55.0%, Dem 55.0%, White 84.3%. Lean D. The crossover district, dominated by the portions of Gloucester which are most clearly postwar suburbia. (Woodbury, Glassboro etc. are more older small towns, the rest of the county is largely sprawl and endangered farms). 10: LINDENWOLD-SOUTH CAMDEN. Waterford, Chesilhurst, Winslow, Pine Hill, Pine Valley, Clementon, Berlin, West Berlin, Gibbsboro, Lindenwold. Population 99,859. Obama 67.1%, Dem 63.9%, 63.8 W/23.7B. Safe D, arguably black influence. 11: MID-CAMDEN. Gloucester, Runnemede, Laurel Springs, Stratford, Hi-Nella, Somerdale, Magnolia, Lawnside, Barrington. Population 102,340. Obama 64.2%, Dem 61.7%, 75.9 W/14.7B. Safe D. The largest town here by far is Gloucester Township, but that would be confusing as this is an all-Camden County district. There's a bit of a contrast between more suburban Gloucester Twp. and the older boroughs along the PATCO line, but population math dictates they be thrown together. 12: CHERRY HILL. Cherry Hill, Voorhees. Population 100,176. Obama 62.4%, Dem 60.0%, 75.4 W/12.6 A. Safe D. Another easy district. In the north half of Camden I was able to separate out by city/older town/postwar suburb much better. 13: CAMDEN CITY. Camden, Woodlynne, Gloucester City, Brooklawn, Mt. Ephraim. Population 98,409. Obama 86.3%, Dem 84.4%. 23.6 W/36.0 B/36.5 H. Safe D, minority opportunity. The first district likely to elect a minority. 14: HADDON-PENNSAUKEN. Pennsauken, Merchantville, Collingswood, Oaklyn, Audubon, Audubon Park, Haddon Heights, Haddon, Haddonfield, Tavistock. Population 101,290. Obama 66.9%, Dem 61.4%. 73.4 W/10.7 B/10.9 H. Safe D. The connection between Pennsauken and the small towns southeast of Camden is a little tenuous, as they're separated by the Cooper River, and the one bridge in this area (Rt. 30) dips into Camden for a couple hundred feet. But given what's on each side of this district, it makes sense. () The next group is Burlington and Ocean counties. I really don't like that this is the group which emerged: Burlington is part of the Philly metro and is oriented towards the Delaware River, whereas Ocean is part of the NYC metro and is oriented toward, well, the ocean. But they do share the Pinelands, and the large townships in the suburbanized part of Ocean constrained my lines somewhat. Burlington shares one district each with Ocean and Mercer, Ocean manages to only share a district with Burlington. 15: MAPLE SHADE-MOORESTOWN-RIVERLINE SOUTH. Palmyra, Riverton, Cinnaminson, Delran, Riverside, Delanco, Beverley, Moorestown, Maple Shade. Population 97,438. Obama 57.1%, Dem 53.8%, White 81.4%. Lean D. I've taken the RiverLine a bunch, it's a nice ride through a bunch of small towns that really do seem to be doing better since they built the train. This district seems to be chock full of Dems who regularly cross party lines to vote for Diane Allen. 16: BURLINGTON-WILLINGBORO. Florence, Burlington (city and twp.), Edgewater Park, Westampton, Eastampton. Population 100,015. Obama 74.2%, Dem 69.1%, 48.8 W/37.4 B. Safe D, black opportunity. I don't like the cutout for Mount Holly around West- and Eastampton, but that's how the population math worked out. 17: MOUNT LAUREL-EVESHAM-MOUNT HOLLY. Those three towns plus Hainesport. Population 103,048. Obama 57.0%, Dem 51.5%, White 81.1%. Swing. I wonder if there's a better name for this district than just listing three-quarters of its towns. Mount Holly doesn't really fit (it's better in 16) but I couldn't find a better way to do it without splitting towns. 18: MID-BURLINGTON. Mansfield, Springfield, Wrightstown, New Hanover, Pemberton (boro and twp.), Southampton, Lumberton, Medford, Medford Lakes. Population 99,668. Obama 53.0%, Dem 47.7%, 76.0 W/12.0 B. Lean R. A mishmash of exurbs, Plnelands, a few farms, and part of Fort Dix. 19: PINELANDS-LONG BEACH. From Burlington: Tabernacle, Woodland, Shamong, Washington, Bass River. From Ocean: Barnegat, Stafford, Eagleswood, Little Egg Harbor, Tuckerton, Barnegat Light, Long Beach, Harvey Cedars, Surf City, Ship Bottom, Beach Haven. Population 97,336. Obama 42.0%, Dem 41.1%, White 92.5%. Safe R. The one thing Burlington and Ocean do have in common is the pines, and this is the Piney-est district of them all, with LBI added because there's no where else for it to go. I think this is the largest district by area, but #4 comes close. 20: BARNEGAT BAY. Ocean, Lacey, Berkeley, South Toms River, Beachwood, Pine Beach, Seaside Park. Population 97,677. Obama 41.5%, Dem 43.9%, White 92.3%. Safe R. The rest of Ocean County south of Toms River, most of the beach is a state park here. There's no road connection between the two sides of the bay, but that's unavoidable. 21: TOMS RIVER. Toms River (née Dover), Island Heights, Lavallette, Seaside Heights. Population 97,674. Obama 41.5%, Dem 41.9%, White 87.1%. Safe R. Another easy district to draw, though all the huge townships in this area make the surrounding districts a bit more constrained. 22: BRICK-POINT PLEASANT. Brick, Point Pleasant, Point Pleasant Beach, Mantoloking, Bay Head. Population 99,393. Obama 40.7%, Dem 40.8%, Anglo 91.1%. Safe R. Much like Toms River. 23: LAKEWOOD. Lakewood, Jackson (part). Population 100,339. Obama 40.4%, Dem 46.0%, 72.3 W/18.3 H. Safe R. Splitting a town is unavoidable in this area, as Lakewood is about 8K short of a district and all the surrounding towns are huge. Taking a tiny bite out of Jackson makes the rest of the this area work out very well here. There is something wonky with the Obama numbers in Lakewood, probably not just Orthodox block voting, but there's no way this district is anything but solid R anyway. 24: NORTHWEST OCEAN. Plumstead, Manchester, Lakehurst, Jackson (part). Populaton 100,339. Obama 42.4%, Dem 42.4%, White 88.3%. Safe R. This takes in the rest of Ocean, as well as the rest of Fort Dix. Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: traininthedistance on February 21, 2012, 09:51:40 PM Part 2 of NJ in 87 districts!
() Moving to Central Jersey: Mercer has two districts entirely within its boundaries, and two that spill over. It also splits Hamilton Township, which is necessary as Trenton poses the exact same problem as Lakewood. I don't like all that splitting, but it has to happen somewhere. Monmouth is a little better, with six whole districts and part of one which is mostly in Middlesex. 25: HAMILTON-BORDENTOWN. From Mercer: Hamilton (part). From Burlington: Bordentown (city and twp.), Fieldsboro, Chesterfield, North Hanover. Population 102,434. Obama 53.0%, Dem 50.6%, 77.0 W/10.2 B. Swing. Hamilton is split because Trenton needs to take a chunk from one of its neighbors; doing it this way cleans up the rest of Burlington and preserves the old East Jersey/West Jersey line through Mercer, which appeals to my sense of aesthetics. 26: TRENTON. Trenton, Hamilton (part). Population 102,151. Obama 85.9%, Dem 80.5%. 24.0 W/43.4 B/29.7H. Safe D, black opportunity. 27: EAST MERCER. Princeton (twp. and boro), West Windsor, East Windsor, Hightstown, Robbinsville (née Washington). Population 102,063. Obama 68.1%, Dem 60.7%. 63.2 W/10.2 H/19.5 A. Safe D, Asian influence. All of Mercer east of the old East Jersey/West Jersey dividing line was too perfect to give up. I almost wanted to call this one "Princeton Junction" after the NJT station. 28: EWING-NORTH MERCER. From Mercer: Ewing, Lawrence, Hopewell (twp. and boro), Pennington. From Hunterdon: West Amwell, Delaware, Lambertville. Population 103,920. Obama 65.0%, Dem 59.2%, 72.7 W/13.1 B. Safe D. After this I ignore the rest of Hunterdon until the very end. Which (spoiler alert) comes back to bite me. 29: WEST MONMOUTH. Allentown, Upper Freehold, Roosevelt, Millstone, Manalapan, Englishtown, Marlboro. Population 101,088. Obama 45.6%, Dem 47.6%, 82.4 W/10.1 A. Safe R. 30: FREEHOLD-HOWELL. Freehold (twp. and boro), Howell. Population 100,640. Obama 45.5%, Dem 42.9%, 77.4 W/11.2 H. Safe R. A lot of these towns in Central Jersey are large enough to make the map-drawing somewhat difficult, but in this case it worked out perfectly. 31: MID-MONMOUTH. Keyport, Union Beach, Hazlet, Holmdel, Colt's Neck, Wall, Spring Lake Heights, Manasquan. Population 96,385. Obama 40.0%, Dem 38.7%, White 86.7%. Safe R. The most Republican district in South Jersey. This is, for my money, the ugliest district on the map (#73 a close second), with no road connection between Wall and Colts Neck (you have to cut through Howell, or walk across the Naval Weapons Station Earle) but there are good reasons for it. The main reason is Middletown, which is a huge uncuttable block of population in the northeast, and this configuration is the only way to keep both Freehold-Howell and prevent multiple parts of the Middletown district from being disconnected via road. An earlier draft had Tinton Falls rather than Keyport and Union Beach, and #33 reached up to Sandy Hook, but then the bulk of the Middletown district was cut off from both Sandy Hook and Keyport/Union Beach. So this configuration was ultimately preferable. 32: BRUCE SPRINGSTEEN-E STREET BAND. Manasquan, Sea Girt, Spring Lake, South Belmar, Belmar, Avon-By-The-Sea, Bradley Beach, Neptune City, Neptune, Ocean, Deal, Allenhurst, Interlaken, Loch Arbour, and of course Asbury Park. Population 102,941. Obama 59.0%, Dem 56.3%. 65.8 W/19.3 B/10.5 H. Lean D. I guess you could call this "Asbury Park-Neptune" or "Jersey Shore" or something, but where's the fun in that? This is the most intensely shore-focused district on the map, and the line between 31/32 was specifically drawn to have a shore and an inland district as much as possible. 33: SHREWSBURY-LONG BRANCH. Red Bank, Shrewsbury (twp. and boro), Little Silver, Tinton Falls Sea Bright, Monmouth Beach, Oceanport, Eatontown, West Long Branch, Long Branch. Population 98,355. Obama 53.3%, Dem 51.4%, 70.7 W/14.7 H. Swing. The earlier configuration for this district, before I fixed #34, was more obviously shore-focused, now there's just Long Branch. You win some, you lose some, it's still cohesive and compact. 34: MIDDLETOWN-NAVESINK. Monmouth Beach, Fair Haven, Rumson, Sea Bright, Middletown, Highlands, Atlantic Highlands, Keansburg. Population 103,951. Obama 43.1%, Dem 42.1%, White 90.2%. Safe R. The northernmost reaches of the Jersey Shore and Sandy Hook, but Middletown dominates here. It also forces this shape, as it has an exclave in Keansburg, and also requires the two Highlands and Sea Bright if you want to get from Sandy Hook to the rest of Middletown. Bruuuuuce actually lives here now. … Middlesex is the worst county for splits, bar none. It has six districts entirely within its boundaries, but four that it shares with neighboring counties: one with Monmouth, one with Somerset, one with Union, and one with Union and Somerset (there's a really good CoI reason for that, though). Worse than that, three towns are split among those districts. While the large towns in the Toms River area mostly worked themselves out, southern Middlesex is hell to make work with 100K districts, so there are, ugh, two splits there. In addition, Somerset has two districts of its own and one it has to share with Morris. 35: CHEESEQUAKE. From Monmouth: Matawan, Aberdeen. From Middlesex: Old Bridge, Sayerville (part). Population 104,773. Obama 52.7%, Dem 51.8%, 69.5 W/12.4 A. Swing. I tried a zillion different configurations to prevent two non-Edison splits of the Middlesex districts and nothing worked. Monroe, Sayreville, and the Brunswicks are obnoxiously sized for 100K districts, even with a few small boroughs to smooth things out. This configuration looked prettiest, so I went with it. Cheesequake, of course, is a hilariously-named state park in Old Bridge. 36: AMBOY. Perth Amboy, South Amboy, South River, Sayreville (part). Population 105,779. Obama 65.1%, Dem 64.0%, 43.1 W/41.7 H. Safe D, Hispanic opportunity. This district is actually plurality Hispanic by total population. A well-sized district can be made without South River and with the entirety of Sayreville, but that makes it impossible to have the Brunswicks work without even more splits. 37: EAST BRUNSWICK-MONROE. East Brunswick, Monroe, Spotswood, Helmetta, Jamesburg. Population 102,994. Obama 54.4%, Dem 54.0%, 74.6 W/14.6 A. Lean D. If you wanted to call this "Swing" instead I wouldn't argue. 38: SOUTH BRUNSWICK. From Middlesex: Cranbury, Plainsboro, South Brunswick. From Somerset: Montgomery, Rocky Hill, Franklin (part). Population 100,231. Obama 63.0%, Dem 55.1, 53.9 W/32.5 A. Safe D, Asian influence. Crossing county lines and chopping a town! Madness! This configuration enables #37, #39, and #44 to work, it's plenty compact and cohesive, and the town that is chopped, Franklin, is obnoxiously long and diverse in its building patterns anyway. 39: NORTH BRUNSWICK. North Brunswick, New Brunswick, Milltown. Population 102, 816. Obama 71.0%, Dem 66.9%. 40.5 W/13.8 B/29.7 B/14.1 A. Safe D, minority influence. The chops in #38 enable this district to stay super-compact and super-sensible, entirely within Middlesex on the south banks of the Raritan. 40: WOODBRIDGE. Just Woodbridge! Population 99,585. Obama 57.0%, Dem 58.3%. 54.0 W/14.1 H/21.3 A. Lean D, minority influence. Easiest district to draw after Cape May, and another reason the chops have to be concentrated in southern Middlesex. 41: EDISON-METUCHEN. Metuchen, Edison (part). Population 99,585. Obama 61.3%, Dem 58.8%, 45.0 W/40.5 A. Safe D, Asian opportunity. Edison by itself is perfectly district-sized, but it also surrounds Metuchen. So I had to excise part of Edison, and in doing so made a district which is plurality Asian (I believe primarily Indian/Pakistani) by total population. 42: PISCATAWAY. Piscataway, Highland Park, Middlesex, Edison (part). Population 98,796. Obama 65.7%, Dem 63.5%. 48.6 W/13.4 B/10.7 H/25.2 A. Safe D, minority influence. I considered calling this one "Rutgers", as while the state university is nominally in New Brunswick, most of its campus is actually in Piscataway. Also, all the Rutgers profs live in Highland Park. 43: PLAINFIELD. From Middlesex: South Plainfield, Dunellen. From Union: Plainfield. From Somerset: North Plainfield. Population 102,356. Obama 74.1%, Dem 68.8 %. 31.1 W/29.6 B/31.9 H. Safe D, minority opportunity. This is the infamous three-county district. But just take a look at the towns it comprises and tell me isn't cohesive. 44: RARITAN SOUTH-MILLSTONE. Hillsborough, Manville, Millstone, Franklin (part). Population 104,343. Obama 60.1%, Dem 54.8%. 58.6 W/15.4 B/10.4 H/13.9 A. Lean D. Actually, it's most of Franklin. I went with rivers rather than towns for the name here. 45: BRIDGEWATER-RARITAN NORTH. South River, Bridgewater, Raritan, Somverville, Bound Brook, South Bound Brook, Green Brook, Watchung. Population 105,871. Obama 47.0%, Dem 42.3 %. 69.1 W/13.0 H/12.8 A. Safe R. 46: WATCHUNG WEST. From Somerset: Bridgewater, Peapack-Gladstone, Far Hills, Bernards, Bernardsville, Warren. From Morris: Long Hill, Chatham (twp. and boro), Madison. Population 105,297. Obama 44.1%, Dem 38.2%, White 82.8%. Safe R. Even though Watchung is in #45, the Watchung Mountain appelation seemed more apropos here. It crosses county lines, but northern Somerset and Morris are basically the same McMansionland, so this seemed like the right place to do it. Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: traininthedistance on February 21, 2012, 10:03:22 PM Part three!
() Union only has three districts to itself; there's also the Plainfield district and two others it has to share. 47: CARTERET-LINDEN-ROSELLE. From Middlesex: Carteret. From Union: Linden, Winfield, Roselle, Roselle Park. Population 99,196. Obama 70%, Dem 68.8%. 42.2 W/24.2 B/24.8 H. Safe D, minority influence. The existence of Woodbridge strands Carteret, and this is the only way to make the numbers work without splitting towns. If I was being strict about the VRA this might not pass muster. 48: SOUTH UNION. Clark, Rahway, Scotch Plains, Fanwood, Cranford, Kenilworth. Population 103,469. Obama 53.9%, Dem 51.7%. 71.9 W/11.3 B/10.8 H. Swing. The original plan had Westfield instead of Cranford and Kenilworth, which looked better but then I realized that #51 was bisected by a park with no road connection. So I just went with this U-shaped thing instead. 49: ELIZABETH Elizabeth (part). Population 100,690. Obama 71.3%, Dem 68.9%. 20.5 W/15.2 B/60.5 H. Safe D, Hispanic opportunity. Downtown Elizabeth is actually in #52, but most of it's here. 50: UNION-HILLSIDE-WEEQUAHIC. From Union: Union, Hillside. From Essex: the Weequahic section of Newark. Obama 77.5%, Dem 74.2%. 32.9 W/46.1 B/12.5 H. Safe D, black opportunity. In addition to its two whole districts, this is the first of three to dip into Newark. This may be one more than absolutely necessary (#52 has to be what it is because Bayonne is so isolated), but it leaves exactly enough room for one more Union district and is possibly mandated by the VRA anyway, so I like it. 51: WATCHUNG EAST. Summit, New Providence, Berkeley Heights, Springfield, Mountainside, Westfield, Garwood. Population 103,855. Obama 50.4%, Dem 47.1%, White 81.4%. Lean R. The rest of Union, mostly its hilly rich parts. () In addition to #50, Essex is home to six whole districts and three parts; Hudson has five whole districts and two parts, one of them the same Bayonne corner district. 52: BAYONNE-EWR. From Union: Elizabeth (part). From Essex: Newark (part). From Hudson: Bayonne. Population 98,290. Obama 58.6%, Dem 63.5%. 45.7 W/18.2 B/29.0 H. Safe D, minority influence. Bayonne is stuck in a corner, and putting the rest of the district would force Jersey City to take on four districts, not an ideal plan. By appending the rest of Elizabeth, and enough of Newark to connect the two parts, mostly the industrial port and airport sections, we can make Hudson County much neater. The vast majority of NJ's districts have a higher Obama % than Dem %, this is probably the starkest exception. 53: NEWARK NORTH AND EAST. Parts of Newark. Population 104,110. Obama 85.5%, Dem 84.5%. 24.3 W/16.9 B/ 52.0 H. Safe D, Hispanic opportunity. The Ironbound, most of the North Ward (Bloomfield Ave is the dividing line), and enough of downtown to connect the two. The election figures are off, because the entire Ironbound is missing votes. 54: NEWARK CENTRAL. Parts of Newark. Population 103,325. Obama 96.2%, Dem 94.2%, 62.5 B/27.8 H. Safe D, black opportunity. No way to avoid the packing here, especially if you also want a Hispanic district in Newark. 55: SOUTH ESSEX. Irvington, Maplewood, Millburn. Population 97,942. Obama 82.4%, Dem 72.7%, 29.9 W/56.1 B. Safe D, black opportunity. Of the three black-majority districts in New Jersey (all of them entirely within Essex!), this is the only one which isn't hilariously overpacked. 56: EAST ORANGE-VAILSBURG. East Orange, the Vailsburg section of Newark. Population 98,065. Obama 97.9%, Dem 95.4%, 84.3% black. Safe D, to call it "black opportunity" would be, um, an understatement. Way too packed for fairness, but there's nothing to do unless you want to split more towns. 57: ORANGE. Orange, South Orange, West Orange, Verona. Population 105,871. Obama 73.1%, Dem 70.5%. 44.5 W/34.2 B/13.9 H. Safe D, black influence. I'd rather not have Cedar Grove and Verona in separate districts (I made sure to keep the similar pairs of Bloomfield/Montclair and Belleville/Nutley together), but that's how the population worked out. 58: BLOOMFIELD-MONTCLAIR. Bloomfield, Montclair, Glen Ridge, Cedar Grove. Population 104,922. Obama 68.8%, Dem 65.3%. 60.2 W/17.6 B/13.5 H. Safe D. I grew up here, and will thus defend to the death the unalienable right of Bloomfield and Montclair to be unsplit and in the same district in every single map, ever. :P 59: WEST ESSEX From Essex: Livingston, Roseland, Essex Fells, Caldwell, West Caldwell, North Caldwell, Fairfield. Population 101,577. Obama 44.4%, Dem 45.4%, 81.4 W/11.3 A. Safe R. From Morris: Montville, Lincoln Park. Yeah, there's a bit of Morris in the "West Essex" district, it's unfortunate. I would have rather found a way to keep West Essex entirely within Essex and push these districts east, but that would have screwed up what is a very nice Bergen and Hudson map. 60: GIANTS STADIUM. From Essex: Nutley, Belleville. From Bergen: Rutherford, East Rutherford, Lyndhurst (part). Population 99,517. Obama 52.2%, Dem 53.5%. 62.4 W/20.7 H/11.1 A. Swing. This is basically a leftovers district, and after #31 it's the one I'm least happy with. The split of Lyndhurst is necessary to prevent horrible lines in Hudson, or further splits in Essex outside of Newark, but even so this district is kinda ugly. It is a reasonably good CoI, as all of these towns have historically been heavily Italian; of course this is also true of most of their neighbors. Basically Nutley/Belleville and the Rutherfords obviously belong together, but then the half-of-Lyndhurst connection is awkward. And I don't care if the Jets whined and MetLife bought the naming rights. It's still Giants Stadium to me. 61: JERSEY CITY SOUTH. Parts of Jersey City. Population 97,207. Obama 86.8%, Dem 84.6%. 12.6 W/45.9 B/22.4 H/15.4 A. Safe D, black opportunity. One of the most diverse districts in the state. 62: JERSEY CITY NORTH. Parts of Jersey City. Population 103,510. Obama 77.6%, Dem 74.8%. 26.1 W/34.0 H/26.8 A. Safe D, minority opportunity. Could easily elect a white, hispanic, or Asian candidate. 63: GOLD COAST. Parts of Jersey City (downtown, Pavonia/Newport), Hoboken. Population 96,885. Obama 72.1%, Dem 70.7%. 58.3 W/13.7 H/22.1 A. Safe D. The Turnpike extension is a neat dividing line between downtown and waterfront JC, and adding it to Hoboken makes an easy district. 64: UNION CITY. Union City, Weehawken, North Bergen (part). Population 100,189. Obama 74.3%, Dem 75.1%, 17.9 W/75.0 H. Safe D, Hispanic opportunity. Given the manner in which North Bergen and Jersey City surround Union City/Hoboken/West New York/Guttenberg, a town split is absolutely unavoidable here. Splitting North Bergen makes the most sense. 65: NORTH HUDSON. West New York, Guttenberg, North Bergen (part). Population 100,477. Obama 71.0%, Dem 71.8%, 20.1 W/70.2 H. Safe D, Hispanic opportunity. The partner to #64, neatly going up to the county line. 66: MEADOWLANDS SOUTH. Harrison, East Newark, Kearny, Secaucus, North Arlington, Lyndhurst (part). Population 100,673. Obama 56.7%, Dem 60.0%, 55.6 W/29.7 H. Lean D. The more suburban and swampy portions of Hudson, and the southernmost tip of Bergen, sharing Lyndhurst with #60. Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: traininthedistance on February 21, 2012, 10:08:10 PM Part four.
() On to Bergen and Passaic. In addition to the two aforementioned districts which go into Bergen, the state's largest county is home to eight whole districts and one more which it shares with Passaic. Passaic has four districts of its own, and one with Morris. 67: GARFIELD-LODI. Garfield, Lodi, Hasbrouck Heights, Elmwood Park, Saddle Brook, Rochelle Park. Population 105,057. Obama 54.6%, Dem 56.4%, 66.0 W/21.7 H. Lean D. A lot of these Bergen districts are just a collection of indistinguishable inner-suburban boroughs, this might be the most indistinguishable. 68: PALISADES SOUTH. Bogota, Ridgefield, Ridgefield Park, Palisades Park, Fairview, Cliffside Park, Edgewater. Population 100,512. Obama 63.1%, Dem 62.9%. 43.6 W/27.0 H/24.9 A. Safe D, minority influence. 69: PALISADES NORTH. Fort Lee, Leonia, Englewood, Englewood Cilffs, Tenafly, Cresskill, Alpine. Population 101,620. Obama 64.8%, Dem 65.8%. 48.8 W/13.7 H/26.5 A. Safe D, Asian influence. 70: TEANECK-BERGENFIELD. Teaneck, Bergenfield, New Milford, Dumont. Population 100,360. Obama 62.2%, Dem 64.4%. 52.0 W/13.0 B/17.0 H/16.2 A. Safe D. Yawn. 71: HACKENSACK-PARAMUS. Hackensack, Paramus, River Edge, Maywood, Little Ferry. Population 100,873. Obama 60.6%, Dem 60.2%. 51.4 W/10.8 B/20.3 H/15.7 A. Safe D. This district is, I guess, the "center" of the Bergen districts, not just geographically but also because Hackensack is the county seat (and one of the county's most urban places), whereas Paramus is home to zillions of acres of malls and shopping centers, etc, and is one of the most prominent "edge cities" in NJ. 72: RIDGEWOOD-FAIR LAWN. Fair Lawn, Glen Rock, Ridgewood, Washington, Midland Park, Ho-Ho-Kus, Waldwick. Population 98,949. Obama 50.7%, Dem 50.1%, Anglo 82.8%. Lean R, because I'm rating these conservatively. 73: PASCACK VALLEY. Oradell, Emerson, Westwood, Hillsdale, Demarest, Haworth, Closter, Norwood, Rockleigh, Northvale, Harrington Park, Old Tappan, River Vale, Park Ridge, Montvale. Population 100,586. Obama 47.5%, Dem 46.5%, 78.3 W/13.7 A. Lean R, though I guess you could make a case for "safe". Ain't boroughitis grand? 74: NORTH BERGEN. Woodcliff Lake, Saddle River, Upper Saddle River, Ramsey, Mahwah, Allendale, Oakland, Franklin Lakes, Wyckoff. Population 103,992. Obama 41.9%, Dem 39.3%, White 86.1%. Safe R. This end of Bergen County, at least, is free of splits. And if one has to choose, this is the end where not splitting is more important, because of the physical boundary that is Campgaw Mountain. 75: PASSAIC-NORTH MEADOWLANDS From Bergen: South Hackensack, Teterboro, Woodridge, Moonachie, Carlstadt, Wallington. From Passaic: Passaic. Population 100,022. Obama 64.0%, Dem 65.0%, 36.0 W/50.9 H. Safe D, Hispanic opportunity. The geography of Clifton ensures that Passaic's district must reach into Bergen if we want to avoid town splits, and this chunk of the Meadowlands conveniently is big enough. It also effectively deals with the weirdness that is South Hackensack. 76: CLIFTON-LITTLE FALLS. Clifton and Little Falls! Population 98,568. Obama 57.0%, Dem 55.7%, 60.6 W/25.7 H. Lean D, Hispanic influence. Clifton is sort of like those Central Jersey towns in that it's big enough to cause problems, but this district doesn't have them. The "problems" are Passaic going east (which is actually fine) and ripple effects leading to the Lyndhurst split (which isn't great). 77: PATERSON. Parts of Paterson. Population 97,415. Obama 90.8%, Dem 88.4%, 30.9 B/57.8 H. Safe D, Hispanic opportunity. I don't actually know what's the best way to split Paterson, this line seems to work with the set of towns the other district has to add. 78: GREAT FALLS. Parts of Paterson (including the Great Falls historic site), Haledon, North Haledon, Hawthorne, Woodland Park (née West Paterson). Population 101,994. 43.9 W/13.9 B/35.6 H. Safe D, Hispanic influence. I don't know if it's actually possible to split things here in such a way as to have an all-Paterson district and another one which is also likely to elect a minority. Whatever, clean lines are more important for this particular exercise. 79: WAYNE-POMPTON. Totowa, Wayne, Pompton Lakes, Ringwood, Wanaque. Population 99,962. Obama 44.3%, Dem 44.9%, White 82.6%. Safe R. Passaic is a county that I don't mind splitting, given its wasp-waist around Pompton Lakes and the fact the two sides are just so different. But bridging the gap is what ended up happening, oh well. The northern half just isn't large enough for a whole district, and Wayne is somewhat more suburban anyway. () And finally, Morris and northwest NJ! We've gone through the Morris-Somerset and Morris-Essex districts, still here are three all-Morris districts and the Morris-Passaic district, which is mostly Morris. Each of the outlying rural counties- Sussex, Warren, and Hunterdon has one district entirely in its boundaries, and #87 mops up the last leftovers from Morris and the other three. 80: PEQUANNOCK. From Passaic: West Milford, Bloomingdale. From Morris: Pequannock, Riverdale, Butler, Kinnelon, Boonton Twp., Denville, Mountain Lakes, Rockaway Boro. Population 101,888. Obama 42.0%, Dem 39.3%, White 88.6%. Safe R. One of the weirder-looking districts here; this proved to be the best way to work around the West Essex leftovers and not make the all-Morris districts too horrible. 81: PARSIPPANY. Boonton, Parsippany-Troy Hills, Morris Plains, Hanover, East Hanover, Florham Park. Population 103,682. Obama 45.3%, Dem 42.5%, 70.2 W/18.6 A. Safe R. 82: CENTRAL MORRIS. Morris, Morristown, Harding, Mendham (twp. and boro), Randolph, Victory Gardens, Dover. Population 100,816. Obama 52.5%, Dem 47.2%, 63.8 W/24.0 H. Lean R. The only district in any part of any of these four counties to vote Obama. 83: ROCKAWAY-ROXBURY. Rockaway, Jefferson, Roxbury, Mt. Arlington, Netcong, Wharton, Mine Hill, Chester (twp. and boro). Population 96,736. Obama 42.7%, Dem 39.8%, 81.6 W/10.4 H. Safe R. 84: SUSSEX. Sparta, Ogdensburg, Franklin, Hamburg, Hardyston, Vernon, Sussex, Wantage, Montague, Sandyston, Frankford, Lafayette, Hampton, Fredon, Stillwater, Walpack. Population 104,078. Obama 38.5%, Dem 35.4%, White 91.7%. Safe R, the most Republican district in the state. 85: HUNTERDON. East Amwell, Raritan, Flemington, Readington, Tewksbury, Lebanon, Clinton (town and two.), High Bridge, Franklin, Kingwood, Franchtown, Alexandria, Milford, Holland, Bethlehem, Bloomsbury, Hampton, Union. Population 106,134. Obama 41.2%, Dem 35.2%, White 88.1. Safe R. This is the overpopulated district, at +5078. I tweaked things as much as I could in this corner (which obviously I did last) to get it under 5000 without splitting towns or sacrificing the entirely-within-county districts out here, this is as close as I could manage. 86: WARREN. All of Warren EXCEPT for Allamuchy. Population 104,369. Obama 42.8%, Dem 39.0%, White 87.6%. Safe R. 87: HOPATCONG-MOUNT OLIVE From Warren: Allamuchy. From Hunterdon: Lebanon, Glen Gardner, Califon. From Morris: Washington, Mount Olive. From Sussex: Green, Andover, Newton, Byram, Stanhope. Hopatcong. Population 105,528. Obama 41.6%, Dem 36.9%, White 85.1%. Safe R. And finally, some stats! 23 Safe R 5 Lean R 8 Swing 12 Lean D 39 Safe D Obviously these numbers are not exact. 22 districts have a significant shot at minority representation: 4 nearly sure to elect a black rep (26, 54, 55, 56; Trenton, Newark, East Orange/Newark, Irvington etc.) 6 nearly sure to elect a Hispanic rep (49, 53, 64, 65, 75, 77; Elizabeth, Newark, two in north Hudson, Passaic, Paterson) 1 nearly sure to elect a black or Hispanic rep (13; Camden) 4 have a decent chance of electing a black rep (16, 50, 57, 61; Burlco, Union/Newark, Oranges, JC) 2 have a decent chance of electing a Hispanic rep (36 and 78; Amboys and Paterson area) 2 have a decent chance of electing an Asian rep (38 and 41; southern Middlesex and Edison) 3 have a decent chance of electing any one of multiple minorities (39, 43, and 62; New Brunswick, Plainfields, and Jersey City) ...Whew. Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: bgwah on February 21, 2012, 10:52:02 PM Here's Washington state with 67 districts. Cowlitz County is kind of ugly, but something had to be... *shrug*
Also not crazy about rural King but I guess it doesn't look that bad after a second glance. Statewide view: () Seattle & Puget Sound view: () Vancouver, Tri-Cities, and Spokane views: () Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on February 22, 2012, 02:13:52 PM [quote author=traininthedistance link=topic=149250.msg3205775#msg3205775 date=1329878494
And each district section-by-section, working up from the south like NJ districts tend to do. Racial stats shown as White/Black/Hispanic/Asian noting all groups over 10 percent; all VAP. I also assigned districts one of five race ratings after the fact, Safe or Lean D/R or Swing, many of which are probably debatable.[/quote]Just in case anyone wondered, I always reported the total population data. VAP is a bit irrelevant in an alternative universe where the VRA Case Law body doesn't exist. Now I go look at your plans. :) Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on February 22, 2012, 03:50:03 PM () ()
My pc is acting up atm, won't load New York, won't load Pennsylvania, is super slow on Ohio, so I'm jumping south for the time being. Delaware is not wholly subdivided into towns and stuff, but provides some challenges of its own. North New Castle 78% White, 11% Black, 62.0% Obama Wilmington 53% Black, 32% White, 12% Hispanic, 86.7% Obama. After Wilmington town, I looked in what direction I would find more Black-heavy precincts. Old New Castle (which is touristy and very white) got in the way in between. West New Castle 73% White, 12% Black, 65.0% Obama Central New Castle 70% White, 14% Hispanic, 10% Black, 68.1% Obama South (Metro) New Castle 54% White, 29% Black, 72.2% Obama. Yeah, I played with the boundaries of this (except towards Wilmington) to up the Black share a wee bit. Middletown - Smyrna - Harrington 73% White, 18% Black, 54.2% Obama. Meh. This was the only way to avoid some really tight cuts around Dover. Where city boundaries and precinct boundaries don't align (they do in New Castle County. The two places you see split are CDPs.) Obviously it's not ideal. Dover 58% White, 28% Black, 57.3% Obama Sussex West 68% White, 17% Black, 12% Hispanic, 56.8% McCain Sussex East 83% White, 51.5% McCain. I actually started with a north-south split that then developped into a nw-se split and in the end I decided, whatev. Especially as comparing race states with vote stats implies a definite distinction, if with a blurred lines, between an old-southey inland part and a retiree coast. Sorry for not getting the inland district off the coast entirely; I didn't want to split Milford three ways. Another particular annoyance is that one precinct between Georgetown and Riverview, west of the road - it includes tiny, quite possibly uninhabited, slivers of both cities. Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on February 22, 2012, 05:18:04 PM Broad outline of Maryland:
7 districts in the eastern shore and Harford County. That is, 2 in Harford, 1 in Harford and Cecil, and 4 on the Eastern Shore. Wicomico is the right size for a district, but that forces a very weird roadless wraparound, and it seems possible to draw a Salisbury & Cambridge district and a district to the south of that instead. 5 districts in Frederick County and points west. Hagerstown and Cumberland end up at the easternmost ends of the two westernmost districts, there is one urban district based on Frederick city. 8 districts for Baltimore County. Probably two Black ones. 17 districts for Baltimore, AA, Calvert, Howard and Carroll. Sounds like an odd pairing, but really that's 6 for Baltimore (probably 5 Black, 1 White) minus those areas by south of the harbor which are placed in an AA-dominated district. 4 wholly in AA. Calvert brought to population with southermost AA. A N Carroll district, a S Carroll/W Howard district. A Columbia district, an Ellicott City district, A SE Howard district spilling into AA. 21 in MontCo, PG's, Charles and St Mary's: 9 wholly in MontCo, 1 MontCo dominated district spilling into PG's, 8 wholly in PG's, 1 S PG's / Charles city, 1 rural Charles with a bit of St Anne's which is just too large for one district. Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on February 24, 2012, 08:37:28 AM Maryland is done
() MontCo, PG's, Annie A () Baltimore () Numbered clockwise from the mountains. Cumberland (- Garrett), 97214, 91% Anglo, 64.2% McCain Hagerstown (- E Allegany), 97721, 83% Anglo, 55.0% McCain E Washington - W Frederick, 97890, 88% Anglo, 59.9% McCain Frederick city, 98176, 64% Anglo, 15% Black, 12% Hispanic, 57.5% Obama SE Frederick, 94998, 86% Anglo, 54.6% McCain N Carroll, 99301, 91% Anglo, 64.7% McCain S Carroll - W Howard, 101883, 88% Anglo, 62.1% McCain Columbia, 98896, 52% Anglo, 25% Black, 11% Asian, 72.1% Obama Ellicott City, 102665, 64% Anglo, 20% Asian, 53.0% Obama SE Howard - Severn W, 100560, 44% Anglo, 34% Black, 11% Asian, 65.0% Obama (best minority influence district possible if you refuse to split Columbia) Crofton - Odenton, 101908, 72% Anglo, 15% Black, 49.7% Obama Annapolis, 101914, 74% Anglo, 13% Black, 52.3% Obama Calvert (- Deale Beach), 103010, 80% Anglo, 13% Black, 53.3% McCain Arnold - Severna Park, 97779, 88% Anglo, 57.9% McCain Glen Burnie - Severn E, 101089, 68% Anglo, 18% Black, 50.4% McCain Curtis Bay - Baltimore S, 101181, 63% Anglo, 26% Black, 49.0% Obama (by 26 votes :D ) Baltimore Waterfront, 97998, 62% Anglo, 19% Black, 12% Hispanic, 68.1% Obama Baltimore W, 96799, 87% Black, 96.3% Obama Baltimore NW, 95727, 93% Black, 98.3% Obama Baltimore N, 103847, 61% Anglo, 27% Black, 76.5% Obama Baltimore E 101012, 86% Black, 95.7% Obama Baltimore NE, 96064, 72% Black, 22% Anglo, 88.3% Obama Catonsville - Arbatus, 97015, 66% Anglo, 22% Black, 56.0% Obama (had to intrude onto the Black parts of the county here, forcing gerried lines further north to not draw a heavy pack and a weak Black influence district. This is also why this district had to be on the low end populationwise.) Lochearn - Pikesville - Owings Mills, 102193, 53% Black, 35% Anglo, 79.9% Obama Randallstown - Reisterstown, 103418, 59% Black, 30% Anglo, 80.1% Obama N Baltimore County, 103051, 82% Anglo, 54.8% McCain Towson, 100486, 73% Anglo, 17% Black, 55.5% Obama Carney - Perry Hall, 100470, 79% Anglo, 57.7% McCain Dundalk, 95430, 74% Anglo, 16% Black, 51.1% McCain Essex - Middle River, 102966, 68% Anglo, 21% Black, 52.4% McCain Edgewood - Aberdeen, 102376, 66% Anglo, 23% Black, 50.3% Obama (yeah, sort of gerried. Emmontown has to be split anyways though, and it's not as if this'd actually elect a Democrat, military turnout and voting pattern in 2008 having been the outlier it was) Bel Air - Jarrettsville, 97143, 90% Anglo, 66.6% McCain Havre de Grace, 99866, 89% Anglo, 61.4% McCain Eastern Shore N (or Elkton - Chestertown), 96387, 82% Anglo, 10% Black, 53.5% McCain Eastern Shore C (or Easton - Kent Island), 96729, 80% Anglo, 12% Black, 58.7% McCain (alternatively you can switch out Kent Island for the rural parts of Kent County. Kent Narrows / Queenstown goes to the northern district either way. Partisan effect is negligible, N gets marginally safer) Salisbury - Cambridge, 100317, 63% Anglo, 27% Black, 50.7% McCain (introducing to you... the McCain district that would likely elect a Democrat. Common to the areas this thread will soon move to, but not seen anywhere northeast of here.) Eastern Shore S (or Ocean City - Somerset), 101234, 73% Anglo, 21% Black, 56.5% McCain Saint Mary's, 101425, 76% Anglo, 15% Black, 55.6% McCain Charles Outer, 99467, 58% Anglo, 32% Black, 57.9% Obama Saint Charles - Clinton, 95005, 64% Black, 23% Anglo, 82.1% Obama Fort Washington - Glassmanor, 98220, 80% Black, 93.6% Obama Suitland - Pagetts Corner, 97885, 85% Black, 96.1% Obama Seat Pleasant - Mount Rainier, 100164, 74% Black, 18% Hispanic, 95.7% Obama Upper Marlboro, 96467, 81% Black, 12% Anglo, 91.5% Obama Bowie, 102187, 61% Black, 27% Anglo, 80.8% Obama Seabrook - Dodge Park, 96590, 65% Black, 19% Hispanic, 91.3% Obama Adelphi - East Riverdale, 98429, 50% Hispanic, 30% Black, 13% Anglo, 85.3% Obama (best I could do for a Hispanic district in PGs. Likely still Black plurality CVAP.) College Park - South Laurel, 96476, 37% Anglo, 35% Black, 17% Hispanic, 77.8% Obama Laurel - Columbia Pike, 101624, 44% Black, 26% Anglo, 15% Hispanic, 13% Asian, 78.9% Obama (again, best I could do for a Black-opportunity district in MontCo. Well mostly in MontCo.) Aspen Hill - Rossmoor, 98937, 44% Anglo, 21% Black, 20% Hispanic, 12% Asian, 71.6% Obama Wheaton - Glenmont - Silver Spring E, 100911, 40% Hispanic, 27% Anglo, 19% Black, 11% Asian, 76.4% Obama (another attempt at a Hispanic opportunity. From here on, all I could do was draw some heavily White districts and some coalition districts that are still plurality White. MontCo's not-too-super-posh parts just are that integrated.) Silver Spring - Takoma Park, 98542, 50% Anglo, 23% Black, 16% Hispanic, 82.4% Obama Bethesda, 98571, 79% Anglo, 75.1% Obama Potomac, 102875, 68% Anglo, 16% Asian, 65.5% Obama Rockville - North Potomac, 99448, 57% Anglo, 25% Asian, 69.1% Obama Montgomery Village - Gaithersburg, 96282, 36% Anglo, 27% Hispanic, 20% Black, 13% Asian, 69.4% Obama Germantown, 103839, 34% Anglo, 22% Black, 21% Hispanic, 20% Asian, 72.0% Obama Olney - Damascus, 103555, 65% Anglo, 12% Asian, 11% Black, 57.2% Obama Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: muon2 on February 24, 2012, 10:30:57 AM 8 Districts in Essex, Revere and Winthrop, aka 7 in Essex excluding Saugus Revere, Winthrop, Saugus 95,880, 55.5 R, 74.7-15.4 Lynn 105,335, 50.6 D, 54.2-27.8 Salem 105,420, 50.7 R, 84.2. Splits Peabody with... Beverly etc (light green) 97,721, 57.6 R, 92.6 Methuen West - Andover 101,260, 61.6 R, 82.7 Splits Methuen with... Lawrence - Methuen East 100,877, 56.7 D, 34.5-59.3 Haverhill & Amesbury 102,477, 58.2 R, 86.0 Gloucester & Newburyport 103,441, 53.1 R, 94.9 There is but one alignment of towns that avoids splitting Methuen (or Lawrence. Or Haverhill, possibly - not sure about that), and it crosses the county line and it didn't exactly make the task in Middlesex easier, either. Even though the average populations would have been more balanced. Since you were willing to hop from southern Bristol to the Islands, I think you have a better solution to Essex with no splits. The key is to know that Nahant is really an island with an artificial causeway to connect it by road to Lynn. There are still some who travel by boat to leave Nahant. With that in mind, you could put Nahant in the district with Saugus, etc. since it was under population anyway. With Nahant out of the way, keep your Haverill district (+1744), and place Lawrence with North Andover (+3996). The Gloucester district goes to Boxford (+2909) and then Peabody, Danvers, Middleton, Topsfield, and Hamilton make a district (+4722). Finally within the county Salem, Beverly and Marblehead are one district (-83) and Lynn and Swampscott make the last (+3383). the remaining towns link to Middlesex. This is what I had in mind. Methuen and Andover go into separate districts. I also only end up with one split in all of Middlesex. () Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on February 24, 2012, 12:04:34 PM Ah, I see. Well done.
Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on February 24, 2012, 01:19:06 PM ()
A map of Virginia. 80 districts. Presidential figures for this state are 2PP btw. () Newport E, 99027, 69% Black, 20% Anglo, 85.7% Obama Newport W, 97485, 61% Anglo, 24% Black, 62.9% Obama Newport N / VB NW, 98375, 56% Anglo, 28% Black, 58.0% Obama VB NE (I'd probably name these after neighborhoods, if I were a Commission and knew the place better), 95477, 83% Anglo (very much a pack of the lilywhite bits), 59.9% McCain VB C (uh... the yellow one), 95680, 63% Anglo, 20% Black, 51.1% McCain VB SW, 96101, 47% Anglo, 28% Black, 12% Asian (uniting the minority-heavy parts as far as was practicable), 57.1% Obama VB SE, 98679, 72% Anglo, 14% Black, 56.7% McCain Chesapeake N, 102244, 51% Anglo, 37% Black, 58.7% Obama Chesapeake S, 100186, 70% Anglo, 22% Black, 59.0% McCain Suffolk - Pughsville, 104364, 53% Anglo, 39% Black, 53.2% Obama Portsmouth, 95535, 53% Black, 40% Anglo, 67.4% Obama Hampton W, 100016, 57% Black, 32% Anglo, 74.7% Obama Hampton E - (Poquoson -) Eastern Shore, 95123, 66% Anglo, 25% Black, 53.4% McCain Newport News E (god, I labored on that gerry), 96091, 51% Black, 36% Anglo (not majority Black VAP), 72.0% Obama Newport News W, 97382 (incl. 13k in York County), 59% Anglo, 27% Black, 53.7% Obama York (E) - Gloucester - Mathews, 98546, 80% Anglo, 10% Black, 64.1% McCain Williamsburg - James City - New Kent, 99506, 77% Anglo, 13% Black, 54.8% McCain () Hanover, 99863, 86% Anglo, 67.6% McCain Henrico NE (or you could just pick some development names at random), 98879, 64% Black, 29% Anglo, 77.6% Obama Henrico NW (Lakeside is pretty big), 101313, 65% Anglo, 16% Black, 10% Asian, 52.4% McCain Henrico W (Tuckahoe), 96476, 75% Anglo, 56.5% McCain Richmond N, 102684, 49% Anglo, 43% Black, 77.0% Obama Richmond S, 101530, 57% Black, 29% Anglo, 10% Hispanic, 82.5% Obama (a good example of how I'm ideally trying to treat minority areas here. First I split the city along the river. Then I noticed the southern side was Black majority and needed population, while the northern side was barely White plurality. So I identified a readily-accessible Black bit on the north side to go into the southern district. Though in this case I just notice that I limited myself by insisting on catching the bridge. So, eh, here's the alternate set of numbers if you exchange that downtown precinct, which is white-majority with a Black and some Hispanic presence, for the two just easternmost ones, which are all-Black: Richmond N, 99384, 52% Anglo, 40% Black, 76.0% Obama Richmond S, 104380, 60% Black, 27% Anglo, 83.4% Obama) Chesterfield C (uh... EC? Or Bensley Village), 98530, 46% Anglo, 35% Black, 13% Hispanic, 57.7% Obama (and drawn to maximize minority presence) Chesterfield NW, 100876, 78% Anglo, 12% Black, 58.5% McCain Chesterfield S (includes Colonial Heights), 97937, 74% Anglo, 17% Black, 61.0% McCain Hopewell, with Surry, Charles City, half of PG, remants of Henrico and Chesterfield, 96070, 62% Anglo, 28% Black, 52.8% McCain Petersburg, with Dinwiddie, Sussex, remainder of PG, 95639, 52% Black, 41% Anglo, 63.0% Obama Isle of Wight - Franklin - Emporia (and 3 more counties), 98026, 54% Anglo, 42% Black, 52.6% Obama (Isle of Wight had to go somewhere :( ) Mecklenburg, Amelia etc, 97552, 61% Anglo, 34% Black, 52.1% McCain Powhatan, Goochland etc, 102652, 75% Anglo, 21% Black, 59.4% McCain Halifax etc (with bulk of Campbell and small corner of Pittsylvania), 103805, 71% Anglo, 26% Black, 59.9% McCain Lynchburg (with suburbs in Amherst and Campbell Counties), 104869, 68% Anglo, 24% Black, 57.9% McCain Bedford (city and county) - Amherst (bulk of), 96222, 86% Anglo, 66.8% McCain Danville - Pittsylvania (bulk of), 103126, 63% Anglo, 33% Black, 54.2% McCain Martinsville - (Henry - ) E Franklin, 96301, 72% Anglo, 22% Black, 54.0% McCain Carroll, Patrick, Floyd, W Franklin, 98683, 92% Anglo, 64.8% McCain Bristol, Washington, Grayson, S Scott, 100297, 95% Anglo, 67.6% McCain Norton, Wise, Lee, Dickenson, N Scott, 98024, 94% Anglo, 61.9% McCain Russell, Tazewell, Buchanan, 98073, 96% Anglo, 60.8% McCain Pulaski, Wythe, Smyth, 96315, 94% Anglo, 63.8% McCain Montgomery (bulk of) - Radford, 104877, 85% Anglo, 52.8% Obama Covington, 5 counties and parts of 2 more, 103968, 94% Anglo, 61.7% McCain Roanoke city, 97032, 62% Anglo, 28% Black, 61.5% Obama Salem - Roanoke county (bulk of), 103792, 88% Anglo, 60.4% McCain (a donut constituency!) Lexington, Buena Vista, 4 counties and parts of 2 more, 100847, 91% Anglo, 60.5% McCain Staunton - Waynesboro - Augusta (bulk of), 98220, 87% Anglo, 62.1% McCain Harrisonburg - E Rockingham, 102734, 82% Anglo, 11% Hispanic(!), 58.4% McCain Shenandoah - Page - Warren, 103610, 91% Anglo, 60.6% McCain Winchester - Frederick, 104508, 82% Anglo, 59.6% McCain 8 counties around the Northern Neck, 95419, 68% Anglo, 26% Black, 53.8% McCain (rural) Spotsylvania - Caroline - King George, 100639, 74% Anglo, 18% Black, 54.8% McCain Fredericksburg - N Spotsylvania, 98173, 65% Anglo, 19% Black, 52.3% Obama Charlottesville - S Albemarle, 97628, 70% Anglo, 15% Black, 69.5% Obama N Albemarle - Louisa - Greene, 96373, 82% Anglo, 10% Black, 51.9% McCain Culpeper etc (4 counties), 100851, 78% Anglo, 13% Black, 55.8% McCain () Warren - Clarke - parts of Stafford, 104746, 81% Anglo, 57.6% McCain (I would like to take this opportunity to apologize for drawing this stupid constituency. I think it saved a county cut.) Stafford (bulk of), 103452, 66% Anglo, 17% Black, 53.1% McCain Manassas (- Man Park - adjoining bits of PW), 100134, 42% Anglo, 34% Hispanic, 14% Black, 59.2% Obama. I probably race-gerried NoVa far too much, all to get a nice mix of strongly white and coalition districts. That will then probably go and vote for white guys anyways.) West PW, 101956, 67% Anglo, 10% Hispanic, 55.1% McCain EC PW (teal. "Lake Ridge - PW Forest"?), 103318, 59% Anglo, 18% Black, 13% Hispanic, 53.2% Obama Dale City - Dumfries, 104759, 32% Anglo, 32% Black, 23% Hispanic, 71.0% Obama Woodbridge - Lorton - Fort Belvoir, 95855, 41% Anglo, 23% Hispanic, 20% Black, 12% Asian, 63.3% Obama (crosses the county line into Fairfax) West Springfield - Burke - points west, 100317, 66% Anglo, 15% Asian, 11% Hispanic, 52.0% Obama Springfield - Newington - Woodland Park, 96472, 37% Anglo, 27% Hispanic, 20% Black, 13% Asian, 64.8% Obama Fort Hunt - Franconia, 97087, 62% Anglo, 13% Hispanic, 13% Black, 60.8% Obama Alexandria W - Lincolnia - Annandale S, 101897, 33% Anglo, 26% Hispanic, 22% Black, 17% Asian, 69.3% Obama Alexandria, 101404, 62% Anglo, 16% Black, 14% Hispanic, 69.5% Obama Arlington SE, 103721, 54% Anglo, 20% Hispanic, 12% Black, 11% Asian, 71.5% Obama Arlington NW, 103906, 74% Anglo, 10% Hispanic, 67.3% Obama McLean, 95473, 70% Anglo, 17% Asian, 55.8% Obama Falls Church - Jefferson, 99615, 42% Anglo, 29% Hispanic, 19% Asian, 66.6% Obama Lake Barcroft - Mantua - points west (yellow, se of Fairfax city), 103484, 63% Anglo, 17% Asian, 12% Hispanic, 56.6% Obama Fairfax - Vienna - Wolf Trap, 102455, 64% Anglo, 17% Asian, 11% Hispanic, 56.7% Obama Reston, 102957, 57% Anglo, 18% Hispanic, 14% Asian, 64.7% Obama Chantilly, 103240, 57% Anglo, 24% Asian, 54.9% Obama Centreville, 100262, 50% Anglo, 27% Asian, 12% Hispanic, 58.5% Obama Dulles - Sterling, 104996, 48% Anglo, 23% Asian, 18% Hispanic, 56.4% Obama Leesburg - Broad Run Farms, 104275, 64% Anglo, 13% Hispanic, 11% Asian, 53.9% Obama West Loudoun, 103040, 76% Anglo, 50.2% Obama (and that says it all about just how badly McCain did in NoVa. Quite the challenge getting these three into the tolerance.) Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: muon2 on February 24, 2012, 10:51:43 PM When you get to IL I'd be fascinated to see you do it with 109K instead of 100K - ie 118 districts. :)
Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on February 25, 2012, 09:13:32 AM When you get to IL I'd be fascinated to see you do it with 109K instead of 100K - ie 118 districts. :) I've started with Ohio and managed to at least save my work (38/115 - NE Ohio) before it finally froze for seemingly good. So now, here's some more light fare: the state of Columbia, entitled to six districts! () Georgetown 79% Anglo, 83.0% Obama Chillum (or maybe Petworth? Or just Georgia Avenue?) 60% Black, 21% Hispanic, 15% Anglo, 96.6% Obama Columbia Heights (if that's not actually split. Dupont Circle?) 60% Anglo, 16% Black, 14% Hispanic, 90.4% Obama Arboretum 85% Black, 98.0% Obama Capitol Hill 44% Anglo, 42% Black, 90.3% Obama Anacostia 93% Black, 98.9% Obama. Which is possibly a record for the ages. Though maybe we can break 99% in Chicago somewhere. Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on February 25, 2012, 10:06:01 AM ()
Populations in the image, election data not provided, racial data fairly dull - the least white districts are Charles Town / Martinsburg (83.0), Charleston / SW Kanawha (84.4, and Blackest at 10.0), Beckley (88.4) and Monongalia (89.7). The four whitest ones are all at 97.0 to 97.7 (the grey central district holding the record). County splits: Clarksburg and Bridgeport both quite barely included in the Fairmont / Clarksburg district. Putnam split puts the areas along the Charleston-Parkersburg interstate into the southern district and the areas along the Kanawha into the northern district. Though the interstate itself is the boundary in places. Charleston district includes all of the city (which is on both banks of the Kanawha) and the left bank of the river below the city. I did look at road links and valleys in splitting Wyoming and Fayette. Berkeley split is just west of Martinsburg. And if you wish, you may exchange Pleasants for Wirt Counties between the 2nd and 3rd, or even include both in the 3rd. I really don't know what's preferrable, I just notice all three are legal arrangements. Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: muon2 on February 25, 2012, 10:26:29 AM When you get to IL I'd be fascinated to see you do it with 109K instead of 100K - ie 118 districts. :) Quote I've started with Ohio and managed to at least save my work (38/115 - NE Ohio) before it finally froze for seemingly good. Karma? ;) Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: jimrtex on February 25, 2012, 01:46:11 PM When you get to IL I'd be fascinated to see you do it with 109K instead of 100K - ie 118 districts. :) Quote I've started with Ohio and managed to at least save my work (38/115 - NE Ohio) before it finally froze for seemingly good. Karma? ;) I think it is Parma. Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on February 25, 2012, 02:49:55 PM When you get to IL I'd be fascinated to see you do it with 109K instead of 100K - ie 118 districts. :) Quote I've started with Ohio and managed to at least save my work (38/115 - NE Ohio) before it finally froze for seemingly good. Karma? ;) I think it is Parma. Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on February 26, 2012, 04:28:11 PM Nordkarolinien. 95 districts.
() Numbering scheme begins north of Greensboro. Rockingham (and a bit of Caswell) 102514, 74-19 (Anglo-Black wherever not noted), 57.5% McCain (bulk of) Caswell - Person - Granville (excl. Oxford) 105147, 62-30, 50.8% McCain Franklin - Vance W (greater part) - Oxford 100387, 54-37, 56.3% Obama Halifax - Warren - Vance E ( - two precincts in Northampton) 96268, 40-52, 64.8% Obama Martin - Bertie - (bulk of) Northampton - Hertford - Chowan 101478, 43-53, 60.4% Obama Pasquotank - Perquimans - Gates - Camden - Currituck 99838, 69-25, 53.0% McCain Beaufort - Hyde - Washington - Tyrrell - Dare 105124, 70-22, 54.1% McCain Pitt E 104796, 69-23, 52.4% McCain (there's a very clear racial divide through Greenville, and it is used here) Pitt W - Edgecombe N (greater part) 103665, 34-58, 70.4% Obama Wilson - Edgecombe S 97473, 51-38, 51.6% Obama Nash 95840, 54-37, 50.4% McCain Johnston W (Raleigh exurbs) 95591, 74-13, 60.7% McCain Johnston E - Wayne W 97589, 68-16, 65.6% McCain Wayne E 98321, 50-36-11 Hispanic, 50.5% Obama Lenoir - Greene - Craven W 96371, 52-38, 51.6% McCain Craven E (bulk of) - Pamlico 101135, 69-20, 56.0% McCain Carteret - Jones - Ownslow E 100698, 83 Anglo, 65.8% McCain Ownslow Jacksonville 103408, 62-19-12 Hispanic, 52.1% McCain Pender - Ownslow W 102505, 76-14, 61.9% McCain New Hanover NW 100425, 64-25, 59.7% Obama New Hanover SE 102242, 89 Anglo, 58.9% McCain (anything looking towards the beach is here; anything looking towards the river is in NW. Of the couple of precincts in between, I went with the lily-white-goes-beach theme that was already established) Brunswick (bulk of) 97589, 83-10, 59.3% McCain Columbus - Bladen (- two precincts in Brunswick) 103130, 59-31, 51.2% McCain Robeson (bulk of) 103837, 21-24-44 Lumbee, 60.1% Obama (shape is to avoid excising any heavily Lumbee areas, and also to avoid splitting Lumberton) Hoke - Robeson N - Scotland N 98759, 42-34-11 Lumbee, 56.4% Obama. Sorry for the low contrast. Heightened for the screenshot below. Richmond - Anson - Montgomery S - Scotland S 100397, 54-34, 53.4% Obama Moore - Montgomery N 78-13, 60.9% McCain (boundary through Montgomery is another racial gerry of course) () Fort Bragg - Cumberland E 99640, 50-32-10 Hispanic, 56.9% Obama Fayetteville N 104121, 31-51-10 Hispanic, 74.8% Obama. Explains the carveout in NW Fayetteville, I hope. The precincts at the eastern end are really heavily Black. Fayetteville S (and south to the county line) 105213, 58-26, 52.9% McCain Harnett E - Sampson W (- and one 10k precinct in Cumberland) 96730, 65-20, 62.0% McCain Sampson (bulk of) - Duplin 105007, 50-28-19 Hispanic, 50.5% McCain Lee - Harnett W 103200, 62-19-15 Hispanic, 55.1% McCain () SE Wake ("Holly Springs - Fuquay-Varina"?) 100583, 75-12, 56.0% McCain Apex 103024, 73-11 Asian, 50.9% Obama E Wake ("New Hope - Zebulon - Auburn"?) 95969, 45-33-17 Hispanic, 61.0% Obama Raleigh SE 100915, 22-58-16 Hispanic, 84.8% Obama Raleigh SW 97285, 67-17, 62.8% Obama Cary 98975, 65-14 Asian, 55.9% Obama Raleigh N 103701, 66-18-12 Hispanic, 58.2% Obama N Wake (or Wake Forest) 102303, 72-16, 51.2% McCain NW Wake ("Raleigh NW - Leesville"?) 98238, 76-11, 51.6% Obama Durham E 101960, 21-59-16 Hispanic, 84.4% Obama Durham SW 98379, 51-26-12 Hispanic, 76.1% Obama Durham NW - Orange N 97238, 64-19-11 Hispanic, 60.8% Obama Chapel Hill 103811, 70-11, 76-3% Obama Chatham - Randolph E 100545, 75-11-11 Hispanic, 52.9% McCain Randolph W 104712, 81-11 Hispanic, 70.6% McCain Burlington 100398, 58-24-15 Hispanic, 50.8% Obama Guilford E - Alamance W 100105, 81-12, 62.7% McCain Greensboro E 97135, 24-63, 82.3% Obama (NE, 97976, 29-59, 79.9%) Greensboro NW 102572, 76-14, 52.9% Obama (99740, 76-14, 53.9%) Greensboro SW 100035, 41-39-10 Hispanic, 70.5% Obama (S, 102026, 38-43-11, 70.7%) High Point 101230, 52-32, 54.3% Obama () (this map features the alternate lines given in brackets. Yeah, I just played with it again because I was dissatisfied with the heavy Blackpack) Kernersville - Guilford NW 97068, 81 Anglo, 64.6% McCain Winston-Salem E 95743, 25-53-19 Hispanic, 82.0% Obama Winston-Salem NW (and to the county line) 97275, 73-15, 53.3% McCain Winston-Salem SW (- Clemmons) 98646, 65-19-11, 52.8% Obama Davidson E 103211, 85 Anglo, 69.9% McCain Davidson W - Davie 100907, 81 Anglo, 63.7% McCain () Rowan W 101991, 67-21, 56.0% McCain Stanly - Rowan E 97022, 86 Anglo, 70.0% McCain Union W (exurbs) 100594, 83 Anglo, 66.8% McCain Union E 100698, 66-16-15 Hispanic, 58.4% McCain Cabarrus N (Concord) 104110, 68-17-12 Hispanic, 56.6% McCain Cabarrus S (and three precincts along I-85 in Mecklenburg) 102442, 67-18, 53.1% McCain Mecklenburg E (Mathews - Mint Hill) 97778, 73-13, 55.4% McCain Mecklenburg S (Providence - Pineville. Though Providence is within city limits and partly within E, anyways) 98301, 65-15-11 Hispanic, 49.8% Obama Charlotte S 100872, 70-14-10 Hispanic, 49.7% Obama Charlotte E 99991, 27-41-25 Hispanic (this started as a half-assed attempt at a Hispanic opportunity district, but then got unpacked a little again since it didn't work anyways), 76.6% Obama Charlotte C 95830, 71-18, 59.0% Obama Charlotte W (- Berryhill) 100897, 23-52-18 Hispanic, 81.3% Obama Charlotte NC 101411, 16-60-16 Hispanic, 87.0% Obama Charlotte N (basically suburbs, though some of them Black ones and mostly within city limits) 96420, 37-47, 71.4% Obama N Mecklenburg (Huntersville) 99587, 79 Anglo, 53.9% McCain Iredell S (Mooresville) 101143, 84 Anglo, 64.9% McCain Iredell N (Statesville) - Alexander 95492, 76-14, 61.0% McCain Gaston N & E 104507, 86 Anglo, 68.8% McCain Gaston SW (Gastonia) 101579, 65-23, 55.0% McCain Cleveland 98078, 74-21, 59.5% McCain Lincoln - Catawba SE 100806, 87 Anglo, 67.2% McCain Catawba N 104565, 74-10-11 Hispanic, 58.5% McCain Burke (bulk of) - Catawba SW 103752, 83 Anglo, 61.4% McCain Yancey - Mitchell - Avery - McDowell N - Burke W 96671, 90 Anglo, 61.9% McCain Rutherford - Polk - McDowell S 102251, 86 Anglo, 63.5% McCain Henderson (bulk of) 96830, 84-10 Hispanic, 60.0% McCain Buncombe SE (- bit of Henderson) 86 Anglo, 50.5% Obama Asheville 100036, 80 Anglo, 67.0% Obama Buncombe NW - Madison - Haywood N 99896, 93 Anglo, 54.3% McCain Haywood S - Transylvania - Jackson (except the reservation precinct) 98376, 91 Anglo, 52.0% McCain Macon - Clay - Cherokee - Graham - Swain ( - Eastern Cherokee) 100956, 85 Anglo, 61.9% McCain And then I noticed I had four marooned districts, and they might actually fit at the very beginning, but was too lazy to renumber. Caldwell - Watauga W 101332, 90 Anglo, 61.7% McCain Watauga E - Ashe - Alleghany - Surry W 101307, 89 Anglo, 54.2% McCain Wilkes - Yadkin (bulk of) 100191, 88 Anglo, 69.4% McCain Surry E - Stokes (- bit of Yadkin) 98534, 89 Anglo, 66.3% McCain Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on February 27, 2012, 11:59:10 AM ()
Writeup to come at some later time (gotta run) but I'd just like to note two things: There are parts of this map that I'm quite unhappy with, and might rework yet. Note particularly the pale pink district north of Columbia and the gerry at Sumter. And not only are the four Richland County districts 18k undersized on balance (and I drew that county last!) ... three of them are barely Black majority. ;D Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on February 29, 2012, 02:51:56 PM dunh dunh dunh dunh... OHIO!
() (Note: Contrast revved on this map only.) Only Anglo percentage listed except where Black and/or Hispanic over 10%. Two figures with no explanation is always Anglo-Black. "?" behind McCain/Obama figure means the alternatively-provided average shows a different winner, but by a smaller margin. "!" if different winner, by a larger margin. The numbering scheme begins with the Northeast, then works its way down the Ohio almost to Cincinnati (Springfield is included at this point due to county splits reasons), then north through Columbus all the way back to the Lake, then west to Toledo, then south again, ending at Cincinnati. Ashtabula 101497, 91 (that is, Anglo percentage), 55.7% Obama () (Note: Some districts on the periphery of this map were renumbered after screenshot was taken.) Outer Trumbull 101576, 94, 54.4% Obama Warren 98779, 82-14, 65.2% Obama Youngstown 102893, 58-31, 76.5% Obama (extends into Trumbull) Boardman - Austintown 104265, 91, 56.8% Obama S Mahoning - E Portage 98948, 97, 50.2% McCain! W Portage 98239, 88, 57.7% Obama Geauga 99243, 96, 56.8% McCain (extends into Portage) () E Lake 101680, 88, 50.1% McCain (Mentor is split) W Lake 101499, 93, 49.8% Obama Euclid 104361, 55-40, 71.0% Obama (extends into Lake. Extends into Cleveland.) E Cuyahoga 100843, 80-12, 59.5% Obama (South Euclid is split) Cleveland Heights 100548, 41-51, 86.1% Obama SE Cuyahoga 95671, 41-52, 77.6% Obama S Cuyahoga 96468, 91, 52.8% McCain? (Garfield Heights is split) Cleveland SE 103768, 18-79, 92.9% Obama Cleveland NE 102082, 85 Black (yes. under 10% Anglo. Basically anything with an Anglo presence in far NE Cleveland was excised and put into Euclid), 96.4% Obama Cleveland NW 98537, 45-25 Hispanic-24 Black, 80.1% Obama (best Hispanic pack feasible, unless you want to abandon the Cuyahoga River boundary or draw a donut around the district - the areas right by the lake shore are devoid of Hispanics.) Cleveland SW 98237, 71-13 Black-12 Hispanic, 65.9% Obama (includes Brooklyn and several tiny municipalities) Lakewood - Rocky River - Fairview Park 101473, 86, 61.3% Obama (extends into Cleveland) Parma - Parma Heights 102319, 91, 56.4% Obama Strongsville - Brook Park 99004, 90, 52.7% Obama Westlake - Olmsted - Bay Village 103632, 91, 50.6% Obama Avon - North Ridgeville 101804, 91, 49.9% McCain! Lorain 98819, 67-19 Hispanic-11 Black, 65.7% Obama Elyria - Oberlin 100733, 82, 60.6% Obama N Medina 101916, 82, 51.4% McCain! S Medina - Copley 99231, 92, 53.3 McCain? (extends not just into Summit but into Akron, taking the Copley Junction neighborhood) N Summit 97387, 86, 50.9% McCain? Stow - Cuyahoga Falls 97025, 91, 53.3% Obama Akron N & E 102226, 85, 59.1% Obama Akron W & C 100485, 43-49, 84.5% Obama Barberton - Akron S - Green 100402, 91, 53.7% Obama (extends into Stark) Massillon 98826, 92, 52.7% Obama North Canton 100838, 93, 55.8% McCain Canton 99714, 74-19, 65.5% Obama Alliance - S Stark 99390, 94, 50.4% McCain! (extends into Columbiana) Columbiana 100100, 95, 52.3% McCain! Jefferson - Lee 98545, 95, 49.4% McCain! Madison - Belmont - Monroe 100906, 95, 50.2% Obama Tuscarawas 102683, 96, 49.7% Obama (extends into Scioto) E Licking - Scioto 96886, 94, 53.7% McCain W Licking 96606, 92, 58.6% McCain Muskingum 99303, 93, 52.6% McCain? (extends into Guernsey) Washington - Noble - Guernsey 103281, 96, 55.8% McCain? Athens - Meigs - Morgan 103581, 93, 57.8% Obama Perry - Hocking - Vinton - Jackson 104560, 97, 51.8% McCain! Lawrence - Gallia 100922, 95, 58.4% McCain? (extends into Jackson) Scioto - E Adams 96473, 94, 53.2% McCain! Brown - Highland - W Adams 100011, 97, 61.6% McCain Ross - Pike 95737, 91, 51.2% McCain! Pickaway - Fayette 95764, 94, 59.7% McCain (extends into Ross) Springfield - W Clark 97100, 81-12, 51.7% Obama (see Dayton map below) Champaign - E Clark - Rural Madison, 98223, 95, 59.2% McCain () Municipal and precincts boundaries in Ohio can be weird, and Columbus is among the worst offenders. Hence a number of unlisted "town splits" and noncontiguous precinct parts. SW Franklin - London 104453, 78, 50.1% McCain? (in Franklin and Madison Counties) Outer Fairfield 97928, 96, 59.2% McCain Reynoldsburg - Pickerington 99392, 67-23, 51.2% Obama? (in Franklin and Fairfield Counties) S Franklin 103466 83-11, 53.6% McCain Columbus W 98132, 72-14, 56.6% Obama Columbus C 95816, 79-11, 72.9% Obama Columbus NW - Upper Arlington 103072, 82, 59.2% Obama Columbus SE 95809, 22-68, 89.5% Obama Columbus NE 102596, 33-55, 78.0% Obama Columbus E - Whitehall 99766, 57-32, 63.8% Obama Gahanna - NE Franklin 101000, 75-14, 51.7% Obama? Columbus N - Worthington 102965, 78, 53.9% Obama Dublin - Hilliard 103505, 81, 53.1% McCain Westerville - Orange - Powell 99236, 85, 57.8% McCain (in Franklin and Delaware Counties) Outer Delaware 103190, 91, 59.0% McCain Union - Logan 98158, 93, 63.4% McCain Hardin - Crawford - Wyandot 98457, 96, 58.2% McCain Marion - Morrow 101328, 92, 55.9% McCain Knox - Holmes 103287, 97, 61.9% McCain E Wayne 95877, 94, 55.2% McCain Ashland - W Wayne - N Mansfield 99675, 97, 60.3% McCain Mansfield 96582, 84-12, 54.4% McCain Seneca - Rural Huron 95768, 92, 51.0% McCain Erie - Norwalk 97682, 86, 55.2% Obama Sandusky - Ottawa 102372, 89, 51.7% Obama () S Wood 98367, 90, 50.8% Obama? Toledo E - Oregon - N Wood, 100821, 79-11 Hispanic, 65.2% Obama Toledo N 102590, 83, 64.4% Obama Toledo C 10044, 33-56, 88.8% Obama Toledo SW - Maumee - Waterville 104622, 84, 53.7% Obama Sylvania - Fulton 102857, 89, 50.7% McCain? Defiance - Williams - Henry 104894, 91, 54.7% McCain Paulding - Van Wert - Mercer 101387, 96, 64.8% McCain (extends into Putnam and Allen Counties) Hancock - Putnam 101004, 91, 63.5% McCain Allen 102393, 82-12, 59.4% McCain Shelby - Auglaize 95372, 96, 68.5% McCain Miami 102506, 94, 63.3% McCain Darke - Preble 99498, 97, 66.1% McCain (extends into Montgomery) () Sorry for the lack of contrast between Kettering etc and West Greene. Oh, and the Greene districts have to be numbered this way round because the other one borders a district of the same colour, the scheme repeating after No.55. N Montgomery 101457, 82-11, 55.2% McCain Dayton W 104775, 21-74, 87.9% Obama Dayton E 100664, 83, 51.5% Obama (yeah, racial segregation of Dayton is incredible) Kettering - Oakwood - Circleville 100713, 90, 57.1% McCain (Washington township is split, portion south of Circleville being included here) Carrollton - Miamisburg 97931, 83, 55.3% McCain Middletown - W Montgomery 99070, 89, 59.5% McCain (also extends into Warren) () Outer Butler 99894, 92, 62.2% McCain Hamilton - Fairfield 104469, 80, 57.2% McCain West Chester - Liberty 98567, 81, 65.3% McCain (two townships. Not cities. The right size taken together.) N Warren 99267, 91, 69.3% McCain S Warren 104900, 86, 66.1% McCain E Greene - Clinton 99275, 88, 58.4% McCain (Sugarcreek township split along Shawnee Creek. This seemed preferrable to including Beavercreek township, as opposed to city, in the eastern constituency.) W Greene 104338, 85, 60.7% McCain E Clermont 101493, 96, 66.3% McCain W Clermont 95870, 94, 64.8% McCain NE Hamilton 104583, 84, 59.8% McCain NC Hamilton 104179, 50-42, 62.9% Obama (I gave up the attempt to fashion a Black majority seat here. There's a stretch of lilywhite, Republican-leaning territory from Wyoming to Greenhills. Cinci's racial geography is hilariously complex in general, the very opposite of Dayton.) W Hamilton 96372, 85-10, 64.8% McCain Delhi - Bridgeton 96416, 94, 71.3% McCain Cincinnati W 97153, 59-31, 66.3% Obama Cincinnati C 96943, 42-51, 79.2% Obama (Norwood and St Bernard are very White... but so are the are the excised southeastern areas of the city. That line is a clearcut racial line, for once, both east and south of Norwood.) Cincinnati N 103278, 36-58, 79.9% Obama Cincinnati SE - E Hamilton 103450, 91, 56.5% McCain Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: Filuwaúrdjan on February 29, 2012, 02:53:44 PM Weirdly pretty.
Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on February 29, 2012, 04:06:44 PM () Writeup to come at some later time (gotta run) but I'd just like to note two things: There are parts of this map that I'm quite unhappy with, and might rework yet. Note particularly the pale pink district north of Columbia and the gerry at Sumter. And not only are the four Richland County districts 18k undersized on balance (and I drew that county last!) ... three of them are barely Black majority. ;D Not going to bother redrawing, but need to get that writeup and those closeups into the world. Would still be following the notation regarding the averages, except there's not much point: Colleton etc and Rock Hill are Republican on average figures (and by more than Obama won them), c'est tout. DRA presidential data used not to include early votes, skewing to the R. Have not checked whether that's been corrected. () Charleston S - Mount Pleasant 97403, 82-13, 54.2% McCain Charleston N - North Charleston (uh, what?) 101361, 32-55-10 Hispanic, 75.7% Obama. Note the racial split of Charleston proper; the carve into St Andrews does take account of race stats but is really done for population balance, and the territory involved is (narrowly) plurality Anglo. Saint Andrews - James Island 96936, 79-15, 53.3% McCain Colleton - Rural Dorchester - West Charleston County 103977, 56-37, 50.9% Obama Summerville 104410, 67-23, 58.5% McCain Goose Creek - Ladson - Hanahan 101725, 62-22, 57.3% McCain. Had to carve into Black(ish) bits of Charleston County here. Not enough people in the eastern rural appendage. Rural Berkeley 97687, 63-30, 52.4% McCain W Beaufort 105537, 73-15 Hispanic, 59.2% McCain E Beaufort - Jasper - Hampton 102563, 48-42, 57.4% Obama. Doing some kind of racial split is inevitable once you put Hilton Head and Sun City into the same constituency. Getting it to a Black plurality is impossible. I've tried. This does not represent the "Blackest" possible arrangement - that splits the Beaufort/Burton area along utterly weird lines and also splits Bluffton and still falls short. Since I gave that up anyways, maybe it would have been preferrable to split an extra county to avoid cutting into the Beaufort agglomeration, I dunno. Orangeburg (with Denmark) 98410, 33-63, 69.4% Obama Rural Aiken - Barnwell - Allendale - Bamberg (sans Denmark) 102956, 56-38, 50.6% McCain Aiken - North Augusta 100261, 70-23, 63.8% McCain () SE Lexington - Calhoun 103458, 67-22, 60.8% McCain W Lexington - Saluda 96780, 76-14, 69.6% McCain NE Lexington 97203, 80-12, 69.7% McCain Columbia N 96723, 43-51, 62.7% Obama Columbia S 95862, 62-31, 60.2% Obama SE Richland 95909, 37-49, 69.3% Obama NE Richland, 96010, 39-51, 64.8% Obama Chester - Fairfield - Newberry (and Greenwood County along the road to Newberry) 104994, 55-40, 51.1% Obama Greenwood (bulk of) - Edgefield - McCormick (- Calhoun Falls) 99209, 59-35, 55.0% McCain E Anderson County - Abbeville (bulk of) 104836, 83-13, 69.4% McCain Anderson 104987, 73-21, 60.9% McCain Oconee - Clemson 96576, 85, 65.5% McCain Pickens 96921, 89, 75.1% McCain () N Greenville County 95819, 84, 72.6% McCain "Wade Hampton - Taylors"? (or just E Greenville) 99942, 76, 66.4% McCain Greenville NW 100949, 42-42-14, 63.2% Obama. Yeah, collecting all the minorities I could find. So? Barest of anglo pluralities. Greenville SE - Simpsonville 98761, 76-14, 63.1% McCain Laurens - S Greenville County 98697, 71-23, 59.9% McCain S Spartanburg County (and protruding into Greenville) 101559, 81-12, 68.1% McCain Spartanburg 102043, 51-36, 54.9% Obama (not that many minorities nearby to collect and accordingly amend the urban Spartanburg district you'd draw anyways) N Spartanburg County 104299, 80-11, 68.5% McCain Cherokee - Union - W York 103518, 74-21, 62.1% McCain York C 104458, 82-11, 64.1% McCain (combines the northern and western suburbs of Rock Hill with the smaller town of York. How do you formally express that?) Rock Hill 102400, 61-29, 49.6% Obama Lancaster - N Kershaw 98255, 70-24, 57.5% McCain Sumter W - Camden 100758, 64-29, 56.9% McCain Sumter E - Clarendon - Lee 100983, 36-60, 65.7% Obama. Why the hell did I insist on getting those (in parts very heavily Black) western rural precincts into the latter district? I think it's just that I looked for areas to excise from an already drawn oversized district. Here's a much nicer-looking alternate version: () Sumter W - Camden 99618, 63-30, 55.2% McCain Sumter E - Clarendon - Lee 102123, 37-58, 64.3% Obama Chesterfield (excl. Cheraw) - Darlington 104335, 59-37, 50.9% McCain Marlboro - Dillon - Marion (- Cheraw) 105137, 43-51, 60.1% Obama Florence 101970, 54-41, 51.2% McCain Williamsburg - S Florence - Rural Georgetown 95730, 44-52, 58.7% Obama. The north side of Georgetown city is entirely Black, and I apologize for not including it here (given what they were included in). It would have forced much uglier splits in Horry, and I guess you could argue for CoI on account of being coastal. Georgetown - Garden City 97211, 81-12, 61.1% McCain Myrtle Beach 103194, 78-11, 59.2% McCain Conway - Rural Horry 102652, 73-20, 64.5% McCain Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on March 02, 2012, 07:09:48 AM Well, New York State is working... for now. Here's a first instalment: Nassau County.
() The county is the right size for 15 districts, somewhat undersized. Brookhaven and Riverside are the right size for five districts, oversized, but that doesn't leave enough people to the west, so Brookhaven's western perimeter had to be breached. Huntington is the right size for two districts. Islip, Smithtown and Babylon are all very very wrong sizes. There is a coalition district with somewhat tortured lines in Babylon, and a very compact Hispanic district in Islip. Hamptons 103269, 74 Anglo, 19 Hispanic, 56.7% Obama Riverhead - Brookhaven NE 100716, 84 Anglo, 50.8% McCain Brookhaven Setauket 100234, 79 Anglo, 55.1% Obama Brookhaven Mastic 100461, 76 Anglo, 14 Hispanic, 51.2% Obama Brookhaven Patchogue 98204, 70 Anglo, 19 Hispanic, 54.6% Obama Brookhaven Centereach 95690, 74 Anglo, 13 Hispanic, 52.3% Obama Ronkonkoma 97510, 77 Anglo, 13 Hispanic, 51.2% McCain (in Islip, Brookhaven and Smithtown, with Islip contributing somewhat over half the population) Smithtown 101352, 90 Anglo, 56.5% McCain Islip Brentwood 98452, 64 Hispanic, 16 Anglo, 15 Black, 77.8% Obama Islip E 100048, 79 Anglo, 13 Hispanic, 51.0% McCain Islip W 102008, 74 Anglo, 15 Hispanic, 49.9% McCain (extends into Babylon, with shape of salient inspired by shape of minority influence district there) Babylon S 96149, 84 Anglo, 51.9% McCain Babylon NW 95993, 39 Anglo, 31 Black, 25 Hispanic, 70.6% Obama Huntington Station 102112, 67 Anglo, 17 Hispanic, 55.7% Obama Huntington Northport 89 Anglo, 49.9% McCain Democratic averages in all districts bar Smithtown (with McCain margins exceeding D average margins in Ronkonkoma and Babylon S). Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on March 02, 2012, 07:51:12 AM Treating populations individually, Oyster Bay should be 3 constituencies, Hempstead with Long Beach 8, North Hempstead with Glen Cove about 2.5 that could be combined with Queens for 25 somewhat undersized seats, Brooklyn could be 25, Staten needs to be paired but could be paired with Brooklyn for 30 smallish, Manhattan could be 16 smallish, the Bronx 14 smallish... see where this is headed (remembering that Suffolk seats are smallish too)?
That's right, one seat more than the area as a whole should be due. While the upstate could be legally drawn with 83 instead of 84 seats, I don't think this is either fair or going to work well. New York without Queens is worth about 59.4 seats (and would be at 60 under the formula above), and Westchester is about 9.5, so I guess there'll be a Westchester-Bronx seat, and a Bronx-Manhattan seat. Sigh. Leaving the remaining 74 upstate seats still somewhat on the high end. And Long Island+Queens, Brooklyn, Staten still "stealing" a seat (81 seats for 8mio 37k). Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on March 02, 2012, 01:25:22 PM ()
Oyster Bay - Glen Cove 102654, 76 Anglo, 12 Hispanic, 50.7% Obama (R average) Oyster Bay Hicksville 98358, 76 Anglo, 13 Asian, 51.7% Obama Oyster Bay Massapequa 99244, 87 Anglo, 58.5% McCain Mineola - Westbury - Jericho 99020, 56 Anglo, 18 Hispanic, 14 Asian, 57.8% Obama (so yeah, I didn't do the Glen Cove - North Hempstead link, splitting Oyster Bay twice instead.) Great Neck - Port Washington - Roslyn 100586, 77 Anglo, 11 Asian, 56.0% Obama There is a piece of North Hempstead in one other constituency of course, but county splits beat township splits for the numbering scheme, I should think. So Hempstead goes first. Hempstead Garden City 100738, 79 Anglo, 59.0% McCain Hempstead Levittown 102379, 79 Anglo, 11 Hispanic, 50.9% McCain (D average) Hempstead Wantagh 102396, 89 Anglo, 52.0% McCain (barely D average) Hempstead Freeport 95936, 35 Black, 31 Hispanic, 29 Anglo, 74.5% Obama Hempstead Oceanside - Long Beach 97681, 82 Anglo, 12 Hispanic, 52.9% Obama Hempstead Lake - Uniondale 97154, 44 Black, 38 Hispanic, 14 Anglo, 85.4% Obama (trying hard to avoid calling this "Hempstead Hempstead" ) Hempstead SW 100613, 77 Anglo, 12 Hispanic, 54.4% McCain (just too many different places, none dominant. Maybe Hewlett could be used.) Hempstead Elmont - Valley Stream 95966, 33 Black, 31 Anglo, 20 Hispanic, 13 Asian, 68.5% Obama Glen Oaks - New Hyde Park 99045, 52 Anglo, 32 Asian, 57.6% Obama (this is the Queens-N Hempstead district. For all the remainder of this post, imagine the constituency name to begin in "Queens") Bellaire - Cunningham Park 97014, 34 Asian, 26 Anglo, 16 Hispanic, 15 Black, 72.1% Obama Bayside - Beechhurst 96905, 61 Anglo, 25 Asian, 11 Hispanic, 56.4% Obama Flushing - College Point 99552, 56 Asian, 21 Hispanic, 18 Anglo, 66.1% Obama Auburndale - East Flushing 103988, 58 Asian, 22 Anglo, 14 Hispanic, 64.1% Obama Hill Crest - Briarwood - Fresh Meadows 98288, 41 Asian, 28 Anglo, 16 Hispanic, 11 Black, 71.0% Obama Hillside - Hollis 98161, 65 Black, 16 Hispanic, 10 Asian, 96.4% Obama Springfield Gardens - Cambria Heights 98564, 86 Black, 97.9% Obama South Jamaica - Brookville 99582, 81 Black, 97.5% Obama Ozone Park - Howard Beach - Breezy Point 98352, 49 Anglo, 24 Hispanic, 13 Asian, 53.0% Obama Rockaway 95192, 47 Black, 24 Hispanic, 24 Anglo, 79.6% Obama (as small as possible to get the above district as near the bridge as possible...) Richmond Hill 95776, 26 Black, 26 Asian, 22 Hispanic, 20 Other, 86.6% Obama (the map above calls this Morris Park, but wikipedia has only one Morris Park and that in the Bronx, and the Richmond Hill article seems to be talking broadly of this area. The Others are mostly Caribbean East Indians, who obviously don't know what the hell to put. Also many Arabs. The Asians are also mostly South Asian.) Woodhaven - North Jamaica 99074, 52 Hispanic, 18 Asian, 12 Anglo, 79.4% Obama Kew Gardens 102240, 51 Anglo, 20 Asian, 18 Hispanic, 66.2% Obama Parkside - Rego Park 104789, 57 Anglo, 23 Asian, 15 Hispanic, 61.0% Obama Middle Village 98896, 65 Anglo, 25 Hispanic, 53.5% Obama Linden Hill - Haberman 95858, 50 Hispanic, 31 Anglo, 16 Asian, 76.6% Obama Woodside - Elmhurst 102250, 52 Asian, 29 Hispanic, 15 Anglo, 70.4% Obama Jackson Heights 96127, 57 Hispanic, 25 Asian, 14 Anglo, 77.7% Obama (population density hereabouts is amazing) Corona 98922, 70 Hispanic, 14 Asian, 86.5% Obama North Beach 97907, 65 Hispanic, 14 Asian, 84.9% Obama Steinway - Astoria 102059, 61 Anglo, 22 Hispanic, 13 Asian, 77.6% Obama Long Island City 98925, 34 Anglo, 32 Hispanic, 18 Asian, 11 Black, 84.0% Obama () Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: traininthedistance on March 02, 2012, 02:46:46 PM You should call the Hempstead SW district "Five Towns".
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Five_Towns Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on March 02, 2012, 02:54:15 PM You should call the Hempstead SW district "Five Towns". http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Five_Towns Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on March 03, 2012, 07:13:14 AM Brooklyn & Staten
() Greenpoint & S Williamsburg 99673, 81 Anglo, 12 Hispanic, 69.0% Obama Williamsburg 99671, 49 Hispanic, 28 Anglo, 16 Black, 91.8% Obama (didn't want to split the Hasidic portion, preferring to carve up the hipsters instead. Hence the shape.) Bushwick 97044, 67 Hispanic, 19 Black, 93.2% Obama Cypress Hill - Broadway Junction 97844, 50 Hispanic, 34 Black, 93.5% Obama East New York 99710, 71 Black, 22 Hispanic, 95.1% Obama Canarsie 95044, 82 Black, 94.8% Obama Flatlands - Bergen Beach 104331, 56 Black, 29 Anglo (in Bergen Beach), 79.1% Obama Midwood Park 102380, 46 Black, 23 Anglo, 15 Hispanic, 13 Asian, 87.3% Obama East Flatbush 100716, 90 Black, 98.2% Obama Flatbush 99465, 71 Black, 17 Hispanic, 97.4% Obama Crown Heights 99678, 66 Black, 20 Anglo, 91.0% Obama Brownsville - Ocean Hill 100738, 79 Black, 17 Hispanic, 98.5% Obama Bedford-Stuyvesant 96230, 78 Black, 14 Hispanic, 98.7% Obama Fort Greene - Clinton Hill 95276, 41 Black, 30 Anglo, 21 Hispanic, 96.4% Obama Downtown Brooklyn 95506, 61 Anglo, 16 Hispanic, 12 Black, 90.4% Obama Park Slope 101402, 62 Anglo, 13 Hispanic, 11 Black, 90.0% Obama Sunset Park N - Red Hook 95490, 58 Hispanic, 20 Anglo, 14 Asian, 85.2% Obama Sunset Park S - 65th Street 97090, 55 Asian, 22 Anglo, 20 Hispanic, 63.4% Obama (the possibility of creating this district influenced quite a bit of the map. What the hell do you call the eastern part of the district between Boro Park and Dyker Heights, anyways?) Boro Park 96001, 85 Anglo, 81.4% McCain Midwood 98722, 80 Anglo, 67.7% McCain Sheepshead Bay - Marine Park 100943, 67 Anglo, 18 Asian, 50.5% McCain (strongly Democratic average) Coney Island - Brighton Beach 99227, 61 Anglo, 15 Hispanic, 11 Asian, 11 Black, 53.6% Obama Gravesend 103427, 62 Anglo, 21 Asian, 13 Hispanic, 55.6% McCain (average almost as Democratic as presidential result is Republican. McCain margin relying heavily on northern end of the constituency, where Boro Park/Midwood was too large for two. Close without that area.) Bensonhurst 102466, 51 Anglo, 34 Asian, 13 Hispanic, 49.9% Obama Bay Ridge - Dyker Heights 100220, 67 Anglo, 16 Asian, 14 Hispanic, 54.8% Obama East Staten Island - Narrows Bridge 98900, 66 Anglo, 15 Hispanic, 14 Asian, 53.7% McCain North Staten Island 100699, 36 Hispanic, 34 Black, 21 Anglo, 81.9% Obama Staten Expressway 100376, 66 Anglo, 16 Hispanic, 10 Asian, 51.8% McCain ("North Staten Island South" or "Inland North Staten Island" just don't sound right. Staten neighborhoods are far too small to name districts after them. Somewhat narrow Democratic average.) SE Staten Island 96730, 82 Anglo, 62.2% McCain SW Staten Island 98412, 85 Anglo, 65.7% McCain Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on March 03, 2012, 12:42:41 PM ()
() And because the latter map is very small... () Still too small, even with right click? I've got it saved in drf, I can do requests. Chinatown - Financial District 100874, 48 Asian, 38 Anglo, 76.6% Obama Alphabet City - Two Bridges 101533, 36 Anglo, 34 Hispanic, 19 Asian, 87.8% Obama (too many hipster "East Village" bits for Hispanic plurality) Greenwich Village 102698, 78 Anglo, 88.3% Obama Gramercy - Madison Square 104401, 70 Anglo, 15 Asian, 81.9% Obama Midtown - Roosevelt Island 103478, 71 Anglo, 15 Asian, 74.9% Obama Hells Kitchen - Chelsea 101521, 61 Anglo, 17 Hispanic, 13 Asian, 87.0% Obama Upper West Side South 100235, 74 Anglo, 11 Asian, 82.6% Obama (wth else do you call these?) Upper West Side North 102836, 69 Anglo, 15 Hispanic, 88.2% Obama Upper East Side South (Lennox Hill) 103228, 83 Anglo, 73.3% Obama Upper East Side North (Yorkville) 101889, 79 Anglo, 77.2% Obama East Harlem 97076, 55 Hispanic, 27 Black (remember this is non-Hispanic Black. Same goes for the Bronx, of course, of course), 10 Anglo, 93.9% Obama Harlem S - Manhattan Valley 101142, 52 Black, 27 Hispanic, 14 Anglo, 96.6% Obama (had to put the park somewhere, and a majority of its 27 census residents are Black) Harlem N - Hamilton Heights 103620, 51 Black, 38 Hispanic, 97.6% Obama Morningside Heights - Riverbank 99071, 38 Hispanic, 37 Anglo, 14 Black, 90.2% Obama Washington Heights 100568, 79 Hispanic, 92.5% Obama Inwood - Jerome Park 102598, 70 Hispanic, 16 Anglo, 10 Black, 88.9% Obama Bedford Park - Norwood 103176, 61 Hispanic, 19 Black, 10 Anglo, 90.1% Obama (a fifth of that Anglo population lives on Fordham Uni campus) Fordham 97930, 70 Hispanic, 22 Black, 93.8% Obama Tremont - Morris Heights 98152, 66 Hispanic, 30 Black, 95.7% Obama (how you find your way around the Bronx when every other neighborhood and its kid sister is called "Morris" is beyond me) Crotona Park 102202, 64 Hispanic, 30 Black, 94.0% Obama Morrisania 100213, 55 Hispanic, 41 Black, 96.6% Obama Melrose - High Bridge 97488, 67 Hispanic, 29 Black, 95.7% Obama Port Morris - Longwood 96323, 74 Hispanic, 23 Black, 93.7% Obama Hunts Point - Soundview 95593, 59 Hispanic, 35 Black, 94.0% Obama Park Stratton - Westchester 96248, 53 Hispanic, 27 Black, 12 Asian, 90.7% Obama Bronxdale 103720, 59 Hispanic, 22 Black, 13 Anglo, 88.1% Obama Throgs Neck - Morris Park - City Island 101129, 52 Anglo, 34 Hispanic, 57.2% Obama Baychester 97836, 66 Black, 24 Hispanic, 94.0% Obama Williamsbridge 100559, 62 Black, 27 Hispanic, 94.0% Obama Riverdale - Yonkers SE 100594, 68 Anglo, 18 Hispanic, 62.5% Obama. Yonkers is the right size for two districts, actually. But that would have forced a number of odd township splits elsewhere - at least one more than the three I got, if I didn't overlook anything, and besides the White areas around Riverdale in the western North Bronx are just the right size to be combined with something in Westchester, and Yonkers is the only place they border. The Black parts of Mount Vernon would have been the right size to combine with somewhere in the Bronx (all of Mount Vernon would have been too big, but there's still some white areas at the northern end), except the heavily Black parts in the North Bronx are the right size for two districts already. Yonkers W 97486, 51 Hispanic, 24 Black, 18 Anglo, 80.6% Obama Yonkers NE - Greensburgh S 96071, 69 Anglo, 13 Hispanic, 11 Asian, 59.9% Obama White Plains - Greensburgh N 100788, 49 Anglo, 26 Hispanic, 16 Black, 70.1% Obama Mount Vernon - (Pelham -) New Rochelle W 103480, 47 Black, 26 Anglo, 21 Hispanic, 82.0% Obama. Hispanics mostly in the New Rochelle portion, but that was preferrable to uniting Mount Vernon with lily-white Eastchester for a barely Black plurality district. Especially since New Rochelle, Pelham and Scarsdale are barely out of tolerance together anyways, so it didn't safe a town split. New Rochelle - Eastchester - Scarsdale 102799, 70 Anglo, 13 Hispanic, 59.2% Obama Mamaroneck - Rye - Harrison 104600, 66 Anglo, 25 Hispanic, 59.5% Obama too many towns to list them all in the constituency name from here on... Mount Kisco 96782, 81 Anglo, 11 Hispanic, 55.7% Obama Ossining 98767, 66 Anglo, 20 Hispanic, 61.2% Obama Peekskill 101256, 69 Anglo, 17 Hispanic, 57.4% Obama Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on March 07, 2012, 12:45:45 PM And New York is done. :D
() 121 Rockland SE 103823, 75 Anglo, 51.5% Obama 122 Rockland C 103782, 39 Anglo, 29 Hispanic, 23 Black, 65.2% Obama 123 Rockland NW 104043, 82 Anglo, 56.3% McCain One more township split than strictly necessary (three instead of two), in order to create that coalition district and also keep the Hasidim broadly united. 124 Putnam 99710, 83 Anglo, 12 Hispanic, 53.2% McCain 125 SW Dutchess 103766, 74 Anglo, 11 Hispanic, 50.5% McCain 126 Poughkeepsie 96387, 64 Anglo, 16 Black, 14 Hispanic, 60.3% Obama 127 N (&E) Dutchess 97335, 87 Anglo, 53.2% Obama One township barely split around Myers Corner. Oh yeah, from here on I won't mention the word "Anglo". 128 S Orange 102940, 82, 10 Hispanic, 53.4% McCain 129 Middletown - Port Jervis 104828, 61, 22 Hispanic, 12 Black, 55.2% Obama 130 Newburgh 102078, 56, 25 Hispanic, 14 Black, 57.4% Obama 131 C Orange - SW Ulster 95864, 77, 13 Hispanic, 49.4% McCain One township split between the latter two, and it's technically avoidable but the map gets seriously weird. Time for a state view! () 132 E Ulster 96368, 79, 61.5% Obama 133 Greene - N Ulster 102114, 89, 55.0% Obama 134 Sullivan - S Delaware 97757, 78, 12 Hispanic, 52.0% Obama 135 Schoharie - S Otsego - N Delaware 101626, 93, 49.7% McCain 136 Montgomery - N Otsego - S Herkimer 97767, 90, 52.0% McCain 137 Fulton - Hamilton - N Herkimer 98490, 95, 54.9% McCain Split of Herkimer is really not particularly nice (but those of Delaware and Otsego are, I think!) but the alternative of splitting Fulton instead came out really, really unattractive. Though I wonder now if I thought of all the options, I drew that part several days ago. () 138 Albany City 104795, 56, 28 Black, 78.8% Obama 139 Albany NE 104387, 85, 56.2% Obama 140 Albany SW 94985, 89, 58.9% Obama Using the full tolerance in order to split only one township (a few precincts just north of Albany in the City constituency). 141 Troy - Greenbush 100010, 80, 57.1% Obama 142 S Rensselaer - Columbia 98522, 91, 54.0% Obama 143 S Saratoga - N Rensselaer 95852, 92, 50.1% Obama (crossing the Hudson here saved a county split. Crossing the eastern boundary of Saratoga at all also saved a split of Glens Falls proper, though not splitting the conurbation there would have required that extra county split after all.) 144 N Saratoga 96954, 94, 52.3% Obama 145 Ballston - W Schenectady 103426, 95, 50.6% McCain. Rotterdam is split. 146 Schenectady City 102095, 68, 13 Black, 61.0% Obama 147 Washington - Glens Falls 101622, 94, 52.0% Obama. Had to split one precinct off the surrounding township (to the northeast.) 148 Clinton - Adirondacks - Warren 104767, 88, 53.8% Obama 149 Franklin - E Essex 102990, 92, 59.3% Obama 150 Saint Lawrence (part) 104585, 93, 57.8% Obama Right, so what I drew here requires an explanation. I could have split Franklin instead but it would have run right through the Plattsburgh area. I could have split Clinton instead but Malone would have gone with the southern district. The Clinton-Essex County Line also splits Saranac Lake, and there actually is a proposal to create a new county around that town. Population constraints caused a few suboptimal town allocations. 151 Jefferson (part) 98030, 85, 51.6% McCain 152 Lewis - parts of three more (heh. whatever you want to call the district) 97023, 96, 55.5% McCain 153 Oswego (part) 103015, 95, 51.0% Obama 154 Rome 96894, 90, 56.0% McCain 155 Utica 104718, 77, 52.8% Obama. See also Syracuse map below. 156 Cortland - Chenango 99813, 95, 51.4% Obama 157 Binghampton - Broome NE 100451, 86, 53.4% Obama 158 Broome SW 100149, 87, 52.9% Obama Odd to remove the main town from a conurbation, but I blame said conurbation's peculiar shape. It was not done because it creates two lean D seats, although that is the result. 159 Tompkins 101564, 80, 70.1% Obama () 160 Cayuga (part) - SW Onondaga 103717, 92, 52.9% Obama 161 Madison - SE Onondaga 104686, 92, 50.0% Obama. Onondaga township is split between these two, and really belongs with neither (being much the most Syracusey part of the two constituencies), but the populations worked out too well to the north to forego this. 162 Syracuse E 103893, 82, 61.9% Obama. With DeWitt and Manlius. 163 Syracuse W 99485, 44, 35 Black, 80.4% Obama. Wholly within the city. As you can probably guess, that eastern appendage is full of Black people. 164 NE Onondaga 100295, 90, 54.8% Obama 165 NW Onondaga 99482, 93, 53.0% Obama. Clay township split. 166 Wayne - N Cayuga 102497, 92, 54.1% McCain 167 Seneca - Schuyler - N Chemung 96478, 93, 51.3% McCain 168 Tioga - S Chemung 96905, 89, 50.7% McCain. Elmira is just included in the southern district. Poetic justice for Broome? Chemung, unlike Tompkins, is too small to stand alone, though not by much, and Tioga must go somewhere. 169 Steuben 98990, 94, 57.7% McCain 170 Livingston - Yates - S Ontario 99858, 94, 52.8% McCain 171 Ontario (part) 98814, 91, 49.7% Obama 172 Genesee - Wyoming 102234, 91, 59.9% McCain () 173 SW Monroe (Gates, Chili etc) 98111, 85, 49.9% McCain 174 SE Monroe (Fairport, East Rochester etc) 95084, 91, 51.9% Obama 175 Brighton - Penfield - Henrietta E 104567, 83, 58.6% Obama. Henrietta township is split with SW Monroe. Shape necessary to keep number of splits at one not counting Rochester. 176 Irondequoit - Webster 103643, 86, 54.1% Obama. And far north Rochester. 177 Rochester E 99378, 37, 36 Black, 22 Hispanic, 82.4% Obama 178 Rochester W 101877, 46 Black, 35 Anglo, 11 Hispanic, 83.8% Obama. Technically the airport is a non-contiguous part of the city, but nobody lives there and I gave it to the SW constituency. 179 Greece 96095, 86, 50.2% McCain. The constituency consists of exactly one township. 180 Orleans - W Monroe - E Niagara 102911, 91, 57.4% McCain 181 Niagara Falls 98415, 81, 11 Black, 53.1% Obama. 182 Lockport - North Tonawanda 103615, 92, 49.9% McCain. The cities of Niagara Falls and North Tonawanda and surrounding townships of Niagara and Wheatfield are too large taken together, hence Falls had to be united with the northern rural parts of the county. () 183 NE Erie 97097, 94, 55.6% McCain 184 Amherst 98546, 82, 55.3% Obama. Excludes southeast corner, includes northeast corner of (town of) Tonawanda 185 Cheektowaga - Williamsville 99843, 86, 54.7% Obama. Excludes southwest corner (oh and sorry for that stupid eastward strip. I blame the precinct design), includes Williamsville and nearby places in Amherst. Depew village (the map seems to call it "Cheektowaga") split along township line, though I'm not sure how much power townships have in villages anyways. 186 Tonawanda - Grand Island 101589, 92, 53.8% Obama. See above regarding split. 187 Buffalo NW 103530, 56, 19 Hispanic, 17 Black, 74.9% Obama 188 Buffalo NE 100314, 74 Black, 17 Anglo, 93.8% Obama 189 Buffalo S - Lackawanna 95274, 81, 61.7% Obama. Also includes Sloan and nearby parts of Cheektowaga. Putting the split here rather than say including Kenmore was necessary to keep the Hispanic areas (which are actually fairly large, all along the northern waterfront - but are triracially mixed rather than solidly Hispanic. There's actually a thin wedge of whiteyland between this area and the solidly Black northeast) united in the NW seat. Creating two Blacks-electing districts in the north would probably have been possible. 190 West Seneca - Orchard Park (- Elma - Aurora), 98864, 96, 50.7% McCain 191 Hamburg (etc), 96166, 94, 50.2% Obama 192 S Erie - N Chautauqua - N Cattaraugus 95938, 89, 49.8% McCain 193 Allegany - S Cattaraugus 99808, 93, 55.9% McCain 194 Chautauqua (part) 95192, 92, 52.1% McCain Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on March 09, 2012, 06:49:37 AM Indiana
() Hammond - East Chicago - Whiting 95415, 41 Hispanic, 30 Anglo, 28 Black, 79.1% Obama Gary - Hammond E 100404, 71 Black, 17 Anglo, 92.5% Obama Note that the section of Hammond included is fairly White, removed from the Hammond district to up the Hispanic influence there. The Black-dominated parts of East Chicago have a sizable Hispanic but next to no Anglo population, so using them leaves the other district about tied between Hispanics and Anglos. Still, it's a legitimate alternative. WC Lake (Schererville etc) 98769, 81, 11 Hispanic, 51.0% Obama. Saint John township is split with S. EC Lake (Lake Station, Merrillville etc) 103820, 60, 21 Black, 15 Hispanic, 66.5% Obama S Lake (Crown Point etc) 97579, 88, 54.2% McCain Portage (part) 102015, 84, 10 Hispanic, 55.0% Obama Valparaiso - S La Porte - Starke 96668, 91, 50.4% Obama La Porte (part) 100490, 80, 12 Black, 61.5% Obama South Bend City 102600, 57, 26 Black, 13 Hispanic, 71.1% Obama. Includes German Township. Excludes one near-detached precinct to the south. NE Saint Joseph 95299, 84, 52.9% Obama. Got sick of fashioning something near-reasonable that splits only Penn township or Mishawaka city, and technically split them both along reasonable lines. S Saint Joseph - NW Marshall 95778, 91, 51.6% McCain Kosciusko - SE Marshall 97663, 90, 66.9% McCain () Elkhart 102389, 72, 15 Hispanic, 50.4% Obama Goshen (Elkhart County SE) 95170, 83, 13 Hispanic, 62.3% McCain Steuben - Lagrange - DeKalb E 101478, 95, 57.1% McCain Noble - Allen N - DeKalb W 99084, 92, 62.5% McCain Fort Wayne C 99838, 48, 30 Black, 13 Hispanic, 71.6% Obama Fort Wayne E - New Haven (and some additional townships) 101881, 86, 56.9% McCain Fort Wayne W (and some additional townships) 97641, 85, 55.6% McCain E Allen - Adams - Wells - Jay 99690, 96, 61.9% McCain () Huntington - Wabash - Whitley 103304, 96, 61.0% McCain Pulaski - Jasper - Newton - Benton - Warren - White NW 96612, 93, 56.3% McCain Tippecanoe N - Carroll - White SE 96005, 82, 53.5% Obama Tippecanoe S 103447, 82, 53.4% Obama Cass - Fulton - Miami 96705, 88, 56.3% McCain Howard - Tipton 98688, 89, 53.7% McCain () Boone NW - Clinton - Montgomery 100037, 91, 59.0% McCain Hendricks N - Boone SE 95019, 91, 63.3% McCain Hendricks S - Morgan NE 102492, 89, 59.9% McCain Morgan S - Johnson S - Brown 102161, 96, 59.8% McCain Johnson N 97517, 91, 62.9% McCain Marion SW (it would be better to name all or most of these for neighborhoods and/or former townships. I just didn't bother.) 97845, 84, 53.3% McCain Marion SE 98109, 85, 56.5% McCain Marion W 1022236, 66, 17 Black, 13 Hispanic, 55.8% Obama Marion ESE (purple) 100853, 73, 14 Black, 58.0% Obama Marion ENE (yellow) 103275, 57 Black, 30 Anglo, 83.9% Obama Marion C 101421, 54 Black, 34 Anglo, 88.3% Obama Marion NW 99468, 48 Black, 28 Anglo, 19 Hispanic, 80.7% Obama Marion N (- far NW) 100773, 72, 18 Black, 61.2% Obama Marion NE (right, so this would be "Lawrence") 99313, 67, 20 Black, 53.5% Obama Shelby - Hancock S 95003, 95, 62.3% McCain Hamilton Fishers - Hancock N 101665, 85, 59.5% McCain Hamilton Carmel 95747, 85, 60.8% McCain Hamilton N 96592, 90, 62.3% McCain Anderson 101446, 83, 11 Black, 53.3% Obama Grant - N Madison 100251, 89, 53.3% McCain Muncie 98750, 86, 58.9% Obama Henry - Rush - S & E Delaware - Blackford 98396, 96, 51.6% McCain Wayne - Randolph - Union 101995, 91, 52.5% McCain Fayette - Franklin - Decatur - Ripley 101916, 97, 61.2% McCain Dearborn - Jefferson - Switzerland - Ohio 99831, 96, 60.6% McCain Bartholomew - Jennings N 96205, 89, 54.2% McCain Lawrence - Jackson - Jennings S 97624, 95, 57.8% McCain Bloomington 104403, 83, 69.9% Obama Sullivan - Clay - Owen - E Monroe 103511, 96, 49.7% McCain Putnam - Fountain - Parke - Vermillion 99798, 95, 52.1% McCain (and two townships in Vigo. Map shows the larger of these - Otter Creek - split, but numbers wholly include it here.) Vigo (part) 96804, 86, 57.9% Obama Knox - Daviess - Greene 103253, 95, 58.1% McCain Gibson - Pike - Dubois - Martin 98571, 95, 54.6% McCain N Vanderburgh - Posey 103341, 94, 56.0% McCain. Includes the 5th ward of Evansville. Evansville 102272, 79, 14 Black, 58.8% Obama. Includes two tiny remnant townships split in two by the city Warrick - Spencer - Perry 99979, 95, 51.2% McCain Crawford - Orange - Washington - Scott - N Harrison 103309, 97, 55.3% McCain. And two townships of Clark County Floyd - S Harrison 99828, 91, 55.2% McCain Clark (part) 104033, 85, 52.4% McCain Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on March 10, 2012, 04:39:01 AM And now for something lighter and funnier that took ten minutes to draw
() Fargo 95452, 89 Anglo, 55.0% Obama Southeast 99120, 95 Anglo, 49.5% Obama Northeast - Grand Forks 92512, 90 Anglo, 50.3% Obama Central - Jamestown 96022, 80 Anglo, 17 Native, 51.2% McCain Northwest - Minot 97636, 92 Anglo, 59.8% McCain Bismarck 98887, 92 Anglo, 60.3% McCain West 92962, 86 Anglo, 10 Native, 62.2% McCain Took a care to put the reservations in only two districts. Rivercrossing in the north is to prevent splitting Fort Berthold (which is on both sides of the river and in four counties or so, and yeah, there's Native residents in all the parts.) Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on March 10, 2012, 04:45:35 AM Hmmm... just noticed that Williams County is not one of those four. That opens this alternative route:
() Northwest - Minot 100677, 91 Anglo, 60.7% McCain Bismarck 96927, 92 Anglo, 60.0% McCain West 91881, 87 Anglo, just under 10 Native, 61.5% McCain Williams does have something of a Native presence even though it's not a reservation county, as you can see. Bismarck district still includes Mandan city. Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on March 10, 2012, 05:02:23 AM No, sorry, that second version must have a trapped precinct or two, probably in Bottineau. Yellow district is oversized.
Noticed that when I drew this for a joke: () All reservations united in a single district made wholly of whole counties. Forces a split of Bismarck, though, and is still just 25% Native (and 53.0% McCain.) Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on March 10, 2012, 01:23:02 PM ()
"What the fuck is this shit", you ask. Well to be quite frank it's more a study of what's possible than anything else. A Black district in Pittsburgh (pink) and as close as possible to a Black district (47.8 Anglo, 45.9 Black. Anglo majority VAP though) in Allegheny County outside the city of Pittsburgh. In red, in case you didn't know. Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on March 11, 2012, 07:59:57 AM ()
Thar she blows. 127 districts. Winds its way east to west, beginning at Northeast Philadelphia and ending at New Castle. It is a widely known fact that William Penn created the Keystone State for the express purpose of frustrating uniform swing assumptions, with Obama running far ahead of generic legislative, statewide or congressional candidates in some parts of the state and far behind in others... not that these types of races all perform alike either... and not as if the state's politcs were known for producing generic candidates. Still, presidential figures will have to do. Some of these SE PA names are very much provisional / hurried / could be done infinitely better, especially by someone who knows his way around. () Outer Northeast 99951, 80 Anglo, 52.7% Obama Inner Northeast 99936, 74 Anglo, 56.4% Obama Northern Riverfront 102177, 65 Anglo, 17 Black, 13 Hispanic, 61.7% Obama Wissnoming 97075, 35 Black, 30 Anglo, 21 Hispanic, 11 Asian, 80.5% Obama Olney 101529, 48 Black, 26 Hispanic, 13 Anglo, 11 Asian, 88.3% Obama Germantown 100156, 90 Black, 98.0% Obama Northwest 95543, 65 Anglo, 26 Black, 80.0% Obama (not undersized by chance, obviously...) Wayne Junction 95916, 87 Black, 98.4% Obama North Kensington 102565, 66 Hispanic, 20 Black, 10 Anglo, 89.8% Obama Spring Garden 101155, 61 Black, 22 Anglo, 10 Hispanic, 95.4% Obama Central 99125, 79 Anglo, 78.9% Obama South Philly 100472, 67 Anglo, 14 Asian, 66.4% Obama Point Breeze - University City 98414, 41 Black, 35 Anglo, 16 Asian, 89.6% Obama Lancaster Avenue 95418, 85 Black, 96.6% Obama West Philly 95289, 87 Black, 98.6% Obama Elmwood - Delaware E 102888, 63 Black, 19 Anglo, 11 Asian, 85.2% Obama () Note that I had to split three towns in Delaware County: Darby and Upper Darby for contiguity as well as colorline reasons, Ridley just because it annoyingly spikes south to the river. S Delaware 95878, 55 Black, 36 Anglo, 79.3% Obama (a racial gerry. Basically.) EC Delaware 99804, 83 (Anglo that is, of course of course), 55.2% Obama (ugly southern spike because I didn't like the alternatives any better. That's the boundary between Darby and Ridley defining the west side of the spike.) WC Delaware 102674, 89, 54.4% Obama N Delaware 103450, 89, 56.6% Obama W Delaware 95620, 87, 50.1% McCain E Chester 100316, 85, 54.8% Obama C Chester 104437, 86, 53.9% Obama S Chester 98946, 77, 15 Hispanic, 51.7% Obama W Chester 99250, 75, 14 Black, 59.1% Obama (the famous Mainline effect!) N Chester 95937, 88, 51.7% Obama MontCo has way too many districts for cardinal point names. Some of these have more obvious names than others. No towns split (nor in Chester or Bucks, either). Montgomery Merion 96376, 81, 67.3% Obama Montgomery Providence (?) 104043, 84, 52.7% Obama Montgomery Pottstown 191997, 86, 55.4% Obama Montgomery Lansdale (?) 105003, 81, 52.6% Obama Montgomery Norristown 97685, 64, 17 Black, 12 Hispanic, 63.8% Obama Montgomery Whitemarsh (?) 99033, 82, 60.3% Obama Montgomery Abington & Cheltenham 99068, 71, 18 Black, 70.4% Obama Montgomery Moreland (?) 96669, 83, 55.1% Obama Bucks Doylestown - Warminster 101317, 89, 52.3% Obama Bucks Bensalem 99349, 81, 54.3% Obama Bucks Bristol - Falls 103182, 80, 65.4% Obama Bucks Makefield - Middletown 96179, 87, 54.8% Obama Bucks Northampton - Newtown - Buckingham 98780, 92, 50.4% McCain Upper Bucks 98049, 93, 49.7% McCain Allentown W - S Lehigh - Bucks Quakertown 103843, 88, 53.2% Obama Allentown 100156, 48 Hispanic, 37 Anglo, 11 Black, 75.1% Obama (bulk of city, and wholly within city limits) E Lehigh 103019, 84, 55.5% Obama (see Northeast map below) W Lehigh - Berks Kutztown 96450, 89, 50.5% McCain Reading 95171, 55 Hispanic, 32 Anglo, 78.7% Obama (the cities of Reading, West Reading, and Kenhorst) N Berks 95745, 89, 50.9% McCain S Berks 96883, 89, 49.7% McCain E Berks 98065, 93, 50.4% Obama Northampton Bethlehem 98675, 72, 19 Hispanic, 61.1% Obama Northampton Easton 97470, 78, 57.1% Obama N Northampton 101590, 93, 49.8% McCain (see Northeast map below) NE Lancaster 100106, 94, 66.2% McCain NW Lancaster 101866, 94, 62.0% McCain Lancaster City 96492, 54, 29 Hispanic, 10 Black, 66.8% Obama (and Lancaster township and southern parts of Manheim township) SE Lancaster 101819, 91, 62.2% McCain (with the remainder) SW Lancaster 102836, 90, 55.6% McCain C York - Lancaster Columbia 96035, 87, 53.6% McCain (Columbia was chosen because there's a bridge here. Two precincts of the surrounding township were included as well though that was probably technically unnecessary.) York City 99882, 67, 15 Hispanic, 14 Black, 56.9% Obama (and some surrounding places) SE York 99184, 93, 60.7% McCain SW York 98475, 93, 61.2% McCain N York - Cumberland Mechanicsville 97862, 93, 60.6 Um. Just noticed the Harrisburg area isn't in any of the screenshots I took (besides the statewide). Going to rectify that now... here: () W Cumberland 98277, 92, 56.5% McCain E Cumberland 96989, 86, 55.7% McCain Adams (whole county) 101407, 91, 59.2% McCain Harrisburg 95470, 42 Anglo, 38 Black, 13 Hispanic, 74.3% Obama (Black plurality is impossible, I think, though I didn't check the other bank of the river. Maximum Black pack that I found split three townships instead of the one shown here, for precious little gain.) N Dauphin 102691, 86, 56.1% McCain S Dauphin - W Lebanon 100131, 87, 55.5% McCain Lebanon (part) 103376, 85, 11 Hispanic, 58.7% McCain () W Schuylkill 101024, 95, 54.5% McCain E Schuylkill - Carbon 97440, 93, 49.2% McCain W Monroe - SE Luzerne - N Carbon 97953, 76, 11 Hispanic, 10 Black, 53.3% Obama E Monroe 100055, 71, 13 Hispanic, 11 Black, 58.5% Obama Hazleton - W Luzerne 101355, 83, 13 Hispanic, 53.2% McCain Wilkes-Barre 102821, 85, 59.8% Obama NE Luzerne 103650, 95, 55.7% Obama Scranton 96384, 83, 66.8% Obama E Lackawanna 101067, 95, 61.0% Obama Susquehanna - Wyoming - NW Lackawanna - N Wayne 97454, 97, 52.9% McCain Pike - S Wayne 101355, 87, 53.2% McCain Bradford - Tioga 104603, 97, 60.3% McCain Lycoming (part) 100339, 91, 61.4% McCain Columbia - Montour - Sullivan - E Lycoming 101811, 95, 54.0% McCain Northumberland - Muncy 100479, 95, 56.6% McCain. The kind of situation where you're sorely tempted to relax your rules just a tiny bit. Northumberland is barely too small, and wouldn't be in many states that happened to round up rather than down for their seat total. Union - Snyder - E Mifflin 101042, 92, 61.0% McCain Perry - Juniata - W Mifflin 100894, 96, 66.4% McCain. It is not coincidental that the somewhat ugly split of Mifflin is visible at the far NW corner of the Harrisburg map. () N Franklin - Huntingdon 97544, 93, 66.1% McCain S Franklin 97987, 89, 64.3% McCain. I was perfectly ready to do an extra county split here with the pairing to the west, but that just didn't work out nice either. Bedford - Fulton - S Blair 95390, 97, 71.8% McCain N Blair 96306, 95, 58.5% McCain Somerset - S Cambria 103983, 96, 59.0% McCain C Cambria - Johnstown 104420, 92, 50.5% Obama Indiana - N Cambria 101898, 95, 52.7% McCain Armstrong - SW Jefferson 98265, 98, 62.8% McCain Clearfield - NE Jefferson 97527, 95, 56.2% McCain State College 100521, 84, 60.4% Obama N Centre - Clinton - Cameron 97792, 96, 54.0% McCain Warren - McKean - Potter 102722, 96, 57.2% McCain Clarion - Elk - Forest - E Venango 104853, 96, 55.4% McCain SW Crawford - NE Mercer - W Venango 104019, 96, 56.5% McCain E Erie - NE Crawford 101238, 96, 50.7% Obama Erie City 101786, 72, 16 Black, 71.6% Obama (not going to bother with a closeup, but it's literally just the city) W Erie 104690, 94, 53.5% Obama SW Mercer 104017, 90, 50.7% Obama N Butler 102694, 96, 60.6% McCain S Butler - Marshall - Pine 100751, 95, 65.7% McCain () NW Allegheny 99562, 92, 54.9% McCain NE Allegheny 102953, 94, 53.7% McCain Pittsburgh North Bank - Shaler 97530, 77, 18 Black, 59.8% Obama Pittsburgh C 103295, 74, 11 Black, 76.5% Obama. Bit of a misnomer I admit. Pittsburgh E 104126, 57 Black, 36 Anglo, 87.7% Obama. And on into those Black suburbs, of course. Penn Hills is split. Can't do without that huge proboscis, sorry. You're scraping 8% Black precincts to get to population without dropping below 50.0% Black (total population) without it. And sorry to the Blacks in the precincts right by the river south of the proboscis, of course. Pittsburgh S 99939, 77, 16 Black, 64.8% Obama. With the two tiny cities of Mount Oliver (the enclave) and Ingram; without the semi-detached 31st ward to the east. IIRC keeping Ingram in was actually an oversight in restoring something I'd drawn once before. W Allegheny 95408, 88, 49.8% McCain Correcting the Ingram issue: Pittsburgh S 96609, 77, 17 Black, 65.1% Obama. W Allegheny 98738, 88, 49.5% McCain (17 votes margin!) Much better. :D Allegheny Mount Lebanon 99046, 91, 52.6% Obama Allegheny Bethel Park 104367, 93, 52.1% McCain Allegheny McKeesport 99120, 86, 11 Black, 51.6% Obama Allegheny West Mifflin 96576, 78, 18 Black, 59.5% Obama. Yeah, I switched over to named divisions here cause there's one cardinal point too few. This last includes the 31st ward. It also includes one precinct of Baldwin, both because that precinct consists of three parts two of which are non-contiguous to the bulk of the township (there's a further two-precinct enclave that looks like a split of Mount Lebanon on the DRA map because Mount Lebanon too is officially a township and not a place) and because including it in the Bethel Park district takes that outside tolerance. E Allegheny 101843, 81, 13 Black, 51.8% Obama NW Westmoreland 103781, 93, 58.0% McCain C Westmoreland 101442, 94, 59.1% McCain. Or you could name this one for places in it. Hempfield township is split with E, btw. E Westmoreland 95751, 97, 59.8% McCain S Westmoreland - N Fayette 103947, 96, 53.5% McCain S Fayette 96854, 91, 52.2% Obama E Washington 99737, 94, 52.1% McCain S Washington - Greene 98012, 93, 50.9% McCain N Washington - S Beaver 101621, 91, 49.6% Obama. Splitting Beaver along the Ohio happened to work out . :D C Beaver 104283, 91, 51.7% McCain (well, N Beaver minus a few places in the far north, really) Lawrence - N Beaver 104500, 94, 52.6% McCain Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on March 12, 2012, 06:59:11 AM Kentucky.
() You notice the populations are in the images. () And another closerup of Louisville. () No political data for Kentucky in the DRA. Numbering scheme losely follows congressional districts'. Anglo (and Black where over 10) percentages: 6 western counties 89 Paducah 88 Hopkinsville 74-17 6 Ohio River counties 90 Owensboro 90 Madisonville 91 near-donut 92 Bowling Green 80 4 1/2 counties east of Owensboro 94 5 1/2 southeast of that 92 Hardin County 78-11 6 counties east of Bowling Green 94 Somerset etc 95 5 to the north 92 Bullitt, Nelson, Washington 93 Shelby, Spencer 89 S Jefferson 83 SW Jefferson 83-10 Newburg - Shively 47-37. Attempting to unite suburban Blacks, spanning cross the airport to trap as few White areas in between as necessary. Shively (unlike Newburg) borders the urban Black bits, but the boundary there matches the pre-amalgamation city boundary. Louisville W 29-66 Louisville E 90 Jeffersontown etc 79-12 NE Jefferson 81 Prospect and four rural counties 91 ugly Outer North Kentucky thingie 93 N Boone 89 N Kenton 88 Campbell - Taylor Mill 94 7 counties northeast of Lexington 93 Ashland 96 I-54 district 96 Clark-Menifee-Jackson 7 1/2 county thing 95 Blue Kentucky Girl seven 96 Pike & Floyd 98 Perry, Knott, Letcher, Harlan 97 Whitley etc 95 Laurel etc 96 Madison with Rockcastle 92 Nicholasville etc 91 (ugh, just notice there's a county split here and I therefore should have given this a much lower number. Oh well.) Franklin & Scott 86 Fayette NW 56-27-13. Yeah, there's Hispanics in Lexington. Shape is to cover all the minority areas, of course. It's not that segregated. Fayette SW 83 Fayette E 79-11 Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on March 12, 2012, 11:01:01 AM Tennessee. Given the shape of the state, a statewide map is impracticable. E to W, like the congressional districts.
() Washington 99435, 90, 67.8% McCain (I actually changed it slightly compared to the map above, but not cutting into Johnson City just doesn't work out right) Carter - Unicoi - S Washington 99281, 94, 72.1% McCain Sullivan Bristol - Johnson 98631, 96, 70.8% McCain Sullivan Kingsport - E Hawkins 101877, 94, 71.2% McCain Greene - Hawkins 100223, 95, 70.8% McCain Hamblen Morristown - Grainger - Claiborne - Hancock 100898, 89, 68.4% McCain Hamblen S - Cocke - Jefferson 102027, 93, 72.3% McCain Sevier (with a bit of Jefferson) 98266, 92, 74.2% McCain Campbell - Anderson Oak Ridge 96354, 92, 63.6% McCain N Knox - Union - E Anderson 103348, 95, 73.8% McCain Knoxville E (extends beyond the city limits) 98801, 70-23, 55.1% Obama Knoxville W (doesn't) 97354, 82, 53.2% McCain (the slight hint of yin & yang is to get all the Black precincts into E... but the area outside the city was not chosen for such reasons but just on account of what worked given geography. Does have a Dem "average", for whatever they're worth.) W Knox 102825, 88, 68.5% McCain S Knox - N Blount 103252, 90, 67.7% McCain Blount - E Monroe 100203, 94, 71.1% McCain McMinn - Polk - Monroe 101663, 92, 69.3% McCain Bradley 98963, 89, 75.2% McCain () Hamilton E 100841, 81, 74.1% McCain (Collegedale, East Ridge, some unincorporated parts, precious little of Chattanooga) Chattanooga C 102230, 39-52, 67.6% Obama Hamilton W 104667, 89, 68.7% McCain (suburbs; all of Chattanooga on the right bank of the river and also the southwest corner) Hamilton N - Sequatchie - Bledsoe - Rhea - Meigs 99275, 94, 71.1% McCain Loudon - Roane 102737, 92, 70.4% McCain Morgan - Scott - four more counties on the Upper Cumberland 97195, 97, 67.0% McCain Cumberland - E Putnam 102884, 92, 67.8% McCain (Cookeville itself is split along the motorway, with the smallish southern portion included in the next district) Warren - Van Buren - White - W Putnam 96718, 92, 63.1% McCain. Sorry for the low contrast. Noticed that a bit late. Franklin - Marion - Grundy - Tullahoma 99928, 91, 60.1% McCain. Portion of Coffee County included is identical to the city of Tullahoma. Coffee - Bedford - Moore - E Marshall 98633, 86, 66.6% McCain Maury - W Marshall 100220, 81-12, 60.4% McCain Lincoln - Giles - Lawrence 104715, 90, 66.5% McCain E Wilson - 6 Upper Cumberland counties 103446, 93, 61.9% McCain Wilson 103993, 87, 68.7% McCain () Sumner (part) 102128, 87, 66.1% McCain Hendersonville - Goodlettsville 97059, 81-11, 64.5% McCain Nashville NW 104014, 37-53, 79.2% Obama Nashville E 101949, 68-20, 55.7% Obama Nashville SE 103409, 41-32-19, 67.5% Obama Nashville C 103428, 37-42-15, 79.7% Obama. Didn't manage to get this to Black plurality VAP. :'( Nashville SW 104698, 83, 52.0% Obama Oak Hill - Brentwood 104642, 83, 62.5% McCain W Williamson - Franklin 101742, 86, 68.3% McCain E Williamson - Outer Rutherford 101249, 88, 70.3% McCain Rutherford Smyrna - La Vergne 103122, 72-13, 59.6% McCain Rutherford Murfreesboro 105672, 73-15, 55.1% McCain As you can see, quite sizable constituencies. Sorry for precinct design around Murfreesboro. () Robertson - Cheatham 105388, 88, 66.0% McCain Clarksville 96108, 59-24, 54.3% Obama. Not quite the entire city. Outer Montgomery - Houston - Stewart 97973, 81, 60.2% McCain Dickson - Hickman - Humphreys - Perry 100809, 92, 57.7% McCain 5 counties on either side of the Tennessee River 98414, 91, 70.4% McCain Madison 98294, 58-36, 53.5% McCain (D average) 4 1/2 counties on the Tennessee's left bank 102468, 90, 64.8% McCain Gibson - Weakley - W Carroll 99103, 82-14, 65.1% McCain 4 1/2 northwest corner counties 103677, 81-14, 67.1% McCain 3 counties and the southern half of Lauderdale 101151, 57-39, 52.6% McCain (D average) Drawing a nonmetropolitan Black district requires splitting Jackson, and its county fit the population target so... Lauderdale split is a colorline, of course. I wouldn't have drawn it to look like that otherwise. () Tipton - Millington 97172, 70-24, 64.0% McCain Bartlett 96905, 73-18, 67.7% McCain Memphis E - Fisherville, 102029, 61-27, 59.5% McCain Germantown - Collierville (and into Memphis...) 99261, 75-15, 68.5% McCain Memphis SE 98981, 79 Black, 87.9% Obama Memphis SC 102328, 10-80, 93.4% Obama Memphis EC 99878, 72-19, 54.3% McCain (Midtown to the west votes Democratic, but the eastern part is white suburbs) Memphis NE 97880, 22-63-13, 75.3% Obama Memphis NW 97948, 15-81, 89.5% Obama Memphis SW 96343, 96 Black, 97.8% Obama And undersized seats to match Nashville. Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on March 14, 2012, 12:09:03 PM I find the prospect of starting on Illinois or that execrable hellhole that Georgia has become quite daunting.
Someone explain to me why, in that case, I did Florida instead. 188 districts. Percentages are of major party vote. () SW Escambia 100471, 71 Anglo, 15 Black, 66.4% McCain C Escambia 98264, 47 Anglo, 43 Black, 56.9% Obama. Drawn with a total disregard to municipal lines but a view to compactness (else there's the Black town of Cantonment to the north, out of reach but not that far out of reach...) NE Escambia 98884, 81 Anglo, 11 Black, 68.7% McCain. Or else Pensacola E - N Escambia. C Escambia would then be called Pensacola W. S Santa Rosa 104606, 86 Anglo, 73.5% McCain N Santa Rosa - N Okaloosa 100758, 80 Anglo, 11 Black, 74.4% McCain S Okaloosa, 99442, 74 Anglo, 70.5% McCain. Shape of the Air Force Base really dictated districts here. S Santa Rosa is a bit unfortunate actually, but the others came out nice. Walton - Holmes - Destin 102358, 87 Anglo, 76.3% McCain. Washington - N Bay 96367, 86 Anglo, 76.0% McCain Panama City 97381, 73 Anglo, 16 Black, 66.2% McCain. Could have drawn this really compact and the other a donut, but the areas to the southeast are really unaccessible from anywhere else. Gadsden - Jackson 96159, 50 Anglo, 41 Black, 53.1% Obama Wakulla - S Leon - Apalachicola River 99398, 77 Anglo, 16 Black, 63.4% McCain Tallahassee S 104725, 51 Black, 37 Anglo, 79.2% Obama Tallahasssee N 103116, 74 Anglo, 15 Black, 56.9% Obama N Leon - Madison - Hamilton - Jefferson 98186, 64 Anglo, 28 Black, 51.0% McCain. A district of Gadsden, Madison, Hamilton and Jefferson is in the allowable range, but still White plurality (nevermind noncontiguous.) () Lower Suwannee 101820, 79 Anglo, 13 Black, 72.4% McCain Columbia - Baker (and a bit of Suwannee) 99178, 78 Anglo, 16 Black, 70.7% McCain Outer Alachua - Bradford - Union 98299, 75 Anglo, 17 Black, 61.3% McCain Gainesville SW 95824, 68 Anglo, 14 Black, 59.0% Obama Gainesville NE 97268, 52 Anglo, 30 Black, 73.1% Obama SW Clay 95438, 79 Anglo, 71.9% McCain NE Clay 95427, 75 Anglo, 71.3% McCain. County is barely in range for two districts. Saint John's even more barely so, but that trapped an unwieldy number of people in Duval and Nassau, never mind that it would have been very difficult to balance without splitting a precinct. () Jacksonville W - Baldwin 104612, 59 Anglo, 26 Black, 59.7% McCain Jacksonville SW (right bank) 101218, 57 Anglo, 28 Black, 52.3% McCain Nassau - NE Duval 99241, 84 Anglo, 71.6% McCain Jacksonville N 103784, 71 Black, 23 Anglo, 80.5% Obama Jacksonville C 101718, 57 Black, 33 Anglo, 72.7% Obama Jacksonville E 104766, 55 Anglo, 24 Black, 11 Hispanic, 54.4% McCain Duval Beaches 103704, 78 Anglo, 63.8% McCain Jacksonville SE 101066, 64 Anglo, 13 Black, 11 Hispanic, 58.8% McCain Jacksonville S (left bank) 101116, 75 Anglo, 64.0% McCain W Saint Johns (and into Duval) 104131, 80 Anglo, 68.6% McCain E Saint Johns 102260, 89 Anglo, 63.7% McCain Flagler 95696, 76 Anglo, 11 Black, 50.8% Obama. I've never been sure of the source of Democratic strength here compared to places just north. Another county that's barely large enough. Volusia Ormond Beach 99116, 82 Anglo, 51.0% McCain. Actually juts into Daytona, excising areas on the west side of the city with a wholly disconnected suburban-style roadgrid. Volusia Daytona Beach 98130, 68 Anglo, 23 Black, 63.0% Obama. Port Orange is split down the middle. Volusia New Smyrna Beach 95788, 90 Anglo, 51.9% McCain Volusia DeLand 97669, 75 Anglo, 13 Hispanic, 50.5% McCain Volusia Deltona 103851, 62 Anglo, 26 Hispanic, 55.5% Obama Putnam - NE Marion (Lake is a similar colour but a different district) 100885, 77 Anglo, 13 Black, 60.4% McCain Ocala 101321, 69 Anglo, 17 Black, 10 Hispanic, 55.4% McCain SE Marion 103832, 78 Anglo, 11 Hispanic, 56.9% McCain W Marion 99616, 71 Anglo, 14 Hispanic, 12 Black, 53.8% McCain () Levy - Citrus and Hernando Coast 99403, 87 Anglo, 59.4% McCain E Citrus 102212, 89 Anglo, 58.3% McCain Sumter (- E Hernando) 101069, 83 Anglo, 63.3% McCain Spring Hill 95985, 80 Anglo, 13 Hispanic, 51.4% Obama N Pasco - Mid Hernando 103286, 86 Anglo, 55.1% McCain. Sorry, Hernando County. NW Pasco 103680, 86 Anglo, 52.5% Obama SW Pasco 101487, 86 Anglo, 50.4% McCain S Pasco (Land O'Lakes) 101122, 70 Anglo, 17 Hispanic, 53.9% McCain E Pasco 104688, 75 Anglo, 15 Hispanic, 54.5% McCain S Lake 99310, 63 Anglo, 21 Hispanic, 52.7% McCain Mid Lake 101640, 81 Anglo, 59.2% McCain NE Lake 96102, 80 Anglo, 57.9% McCain () N Seminole (Sanford) 102141, 56 Anglo, 21 Black, 17 Hispanic, 55.3% Obama E Seminole (Winter Springs) 98078, 74 Anglo, 14 Hispanic, 55.3% McCain S Seminole 99800, 67 Anglo, 19 Hispanic, 50.6% Obama W Seminole 103157, 71 Anglo, 17 Hispanic, 56.2% McCain Winter Park (extends into Seminole) 95024, 65 Anglo, 15 Hispanic, 14 Black, 51.8% Obama Apopka 97616, 52 Anglo, 22 Black, 22 Hispanic, 51.9% Obama Winter Garden 98459, 55 Anglo, 21 Hispanic, 14 Black, 50.3% Obama Orlando NW 98575, 61 Black, 18 Anglo, 14 Hispanic, 79.6% Obama Orlando SW 96225, 56 Black, 21 Anglo, 17 Hispanic, 83.8% Obama Orlando C - Conway 96751, 77 Anglo, 14 Hispanic, 50.2% McCain UCF Area (no seriously, this is what some map called an area somewhat alike to though smaller than my pink district. Its presence also explains the voting patterns, of course.) 98232, 57 Anglo, 26 Hispanic, 60.6% Obama Union Park 95375, 42 Anglo, 40 Hispanic, 60.3% Obama (not a very good name) Orlando SE - Azalea Park 96405, 51 Hispanic, 35 Anglo, 63.7% Obama S Orange 96439, 48 Hispanic, 23 Anglo, 21 Black, 72.4% Obama SW Orange 104761, 62 Anglo, 18 Hispanic, 11 Asian, 52.3% McCain. Only >10% Asian district in Florida. Kissimmee N - Hunters Creek 101144, 58 Hispanic, 25 Anglo, 70.4% Obama. Extends into Orange. (Kissimmee S -) W Osceola 100929, 46 Hispanic, 36 Anglo, 12 Black, 65.0% Obama E Osceola 99064, 57 Anglo, 34 Hispanic, 51.0% McCain Brevard Cocoa - E Orange 101873, 60 Anglo, 20 Hispanic, 13 Black, 50.0% Obama. 28 vote margin in this somewhat unfortunate district. Brevard Titusville 98291, 81 Anglo, 57.5% McCain Brevard Rockledge - Merritt Island 104404, 81 Anglo, 59.4% McCain Brevard Melbourne 102985, 77 Anglo, 54.6% McCain Brevard Beaches 97920, 90 Anglo, 57.9% McCain Brevard Palm Bay 97040, 63 Anglo, 17 Black, 15 Hispanic, 53.7% Obama () Indian River (part) 101271, 78 Anglo, 12 Hispanic, 58.3% McCain Fort Pierce - Florida Ridge 98854, 54 Anglo, 27 Black, 16 Hispanic, 57.9% Obama Port Saint Lucie E 101511, 72 Anglo, 15 Hispanic, 11 Black, 53.1% Obama Port Saint Lucie W 104538, 62 Anglo, 18 Hispanic, 16 Black, 55.0% Obama W Martin - Okeechobee - W Saint Lucie 97112, 73 Anglo, 18 Hispanic, 60.2% McCain E Martin 98845, 82 Anglo, 11 Hispanic, 55.2% McCain Highlands 98786, 71 Anglo, 17 Hispanic, 59.1% McCain Look back to the Central Florida map... S Polk (Bartow - Frostproof) 97142, 65 Anglo, 19 Hispanic, 13 Black, 56.4% McCain SE Polk (Lake Wales) 97451, 57 Anglo, 25 Hispanic, 15 Black, 50.5% Obama Winter Haven - Haines City 101699, 59 Anglo, 20 Black, 18 Hispanic, 50.5% Obama N Polk (Polk City) 102626, 70 Anglo, 18 Hispanic, 54.7% McCain Lakeland N 102278, 62 Anglo, 20 Black, 14 Hispanic, 50.3% Obama Lakeland S 100899, 74 Anglo, 12 Hispanic, 10 Black, 58.5% McCain Yeah, I've no idea how I managed to do that. 3 Obama districts in Polk County. I didn't even look once at presidential figures. They'd all likely elect Republicans, anyways. () St Petersburg W 103872, 83 Anglo, 52.4% Obama. Half of it outside the city proper. St Petersburg S 95015, 52 Black, 39 Anglo, 79.9% Obama St Petersburg N 103146, 81 Anglo, 55.3% Obama. And this is why there's that Petersburg carveout in the congressional map. Pinellas Park 102129, 77 Anglo, 52.1% Obama Seminole - Beaches 102866, 91 Anglo, 53.8% McCain. Not the only Pinellas district with beachfront, but something of a theme with the district anyways. Clearwater - Largo 103438, 71 Anglo, 13 Hispanic, 12 Black, 56.6% Obama South Highpoint - Safety Harbor 103326, 77 Anglo, 12 Hispanic, 52.4% Obama Dunedin - Palm Harbor S 98828, 86 Anglo, 50.6% Obama Tarpon Springs - Palm Harbor N 103922, 85, 53.3% McCain Onto Hillsborough... Keystone - Westchase 100646, 68 Anglo, 19 Hispanic, 54.1% McCain Lake Magdalene 101788, 66 Anglo, 19 Hispanic, 52.1% McCain Egypt Lake 98027, 52 Hispanic, 34 Anglo, 60.4% Obama. Town'n'Country had to be split three ways. (Or else both it and Egypt Lake split, but the effect on the numbers is... not negligible but literally nonexistent.) Tampa S 101025, 76 Anglo, 13 Hispanic, 51.8% McCain. Only district to be actually wholly in Tampa. Tampa W 102194, 42 Hispanic, 31 Anglo, 23 Black, 71.5% Obama Tampa E 100644, 54 Black, 22 Anglo, 20 Hispanic, 84.2% Obama Tampa N 99582, 39 Anglo, 28 Hispanic, 27 Black, 68.3% Obama Pebble Creek - Thonotosassa 98129, 59 Anglo, 17 Hispanic, 13 Black, 53.1% Obama Plant City 97812, 61 Anglo, 28 Hispanic, 60.6% McCain Brandon 103477, 58 Anglo, 21 Hispanic, 15 Black, 50.8% Obama. Exactly the city. Fish Hawk - Bloomingdale 100311, 69 Anglo, 15 Hispanic, 58.8% McCain Apollo Beach - Sun City 97770, 65 Anglo, 22 Hispanic, 54.4% McCain Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on March 14, 2012, 12:38:29 PM Wimauma - Hardee - DeSoto - Myakka City 99295, 53 Anglo, 35 Hispanic, 59.4% McCain
N Manatee 99440, 76 Anglo, 13 Hispanic, 57.5% McCain Bradenton W 99149, 84 Anglo, 53.8% McCain Bradenton E 98670, 58 Anglo, 24 Hispanic, 15 Black, 55.0% Obama. Both extending well beyond the city limits. Sarasota E 96311, 86 Anglo, 54.2% McCain Sarasota W 99451, 73 Anglo, 13 Hispanic, 10 Black, 59.4% Obama. Same here, with E extending into Manatee. Mid Sarasota County ("Venice - Gulf Gate"?) 99876, 93 Anglo, 54.7% McCain North Port 100503, 87 Anglo, 51.4% McCain Port Charlotte 104017, 87 Anglo, 51.3% McCain E Charlotte - Glades - North Fort Myers 96276, 85 Anglo, 58.2% McCain. Not all of N Fort Myers, actually. Cape Coral N 97452, 71 Anglo, 21 Hispanic, 52.7% McCain Cape Coral S - Sanibel 99266, 83 Anglo, 13 Hispanic, 58.3% McCain Fort Myers N 97114, 38 Anglo, 30 Black, 29 Hispanic, 61.9% Obama. Eastern extension is necessary - that's the only direction it wasn't bounded by 80%+ Anglo territory. Couldn't even include all the minority areas there. Fort Myers S 100967, 85 Anglo, 57.8% McCain S Lee (Bonita Springs - Estero) 97419, 79 Anglo, 18 Hispanic, 59.7% McCain E Lee (Gateway - Alva - Lehigh Acres, insofar that hasn't been used for Fort Myers N) 99105, 64 Anglo, 23 Hispanic, 55.4% McCain Right, at one point I'd worked out that Collier+Monroe, PB+Broward+Hendry and Dade on its own made very nice populations. But I was sick of how the southern interior had been hacked to pieces further north (except for Highlands, but Highlands is atypical for the southern interior... and more typical of south and central Florida as a whole than the rest of it is.) And Collier and Monroe are nowhere near each other, they just look like they are. And Hendry + interior parts of PB + interior parts of Collier for a minority-heavy interior seat actually works out very well and leaves the right population for the remainder of Collier. (There's basically nobody living in the swamp parts of Broward and Dade, of course.) So that's what I did. Dade had to be paired with both Monroe and Broward for somewhat oversized districts on average, while coastal PB has smallish ones. N Collier 98337, 73 Anglo, 21 Hispanic, 61.9% McCain C Collier 96602, 69 Anglo, 23 Hispanic, 62.4% McCain S Collier 100656, 69 Anglo, 22 Hispanic, 61.4% McCain Hendry - Belle Glade - Immokalee 99788, 49 Hispanic, 30 Black, 20 Anglo, 60.5% Obama () By all means click to enlarge this image! Jupiter 98921, 84 Anglo, 11 Hispanic, 53.0% McCain Palm Beach Gardens 99195, 75 Anglo, 11 Hispanic, 52.0% Obama West Palm Beach 100433, 55 Black, 28 Anglo, 13 Hispanic, 83.2% Obama Palm Beach Shore 95651, 75 Anglo, 15 Hispanic, 52.0% Obama. AKA Clay West, jr. It actually makes sense at this level. (Heck, it made a degree of sense even irl!) Haverhill (some of these names are somewhat random and are just drawn from what shows up on the map. This is one of them.) 95813, 39 Anglo, 34 Hispanic, 23 Black, 67.5% Obama Wellington - Royal 102191, 63 Anglo, 19 Hispanic, 12 Black, 56.3% Obama Lake Worth Road 95059, 66 Anglo, 20 Hispanic, 61.9% Obama Greenacres 101492, 52 Hispanic, 30 Anglo, 14 Black, 67.3% Obama Atlantis 97810, 54 Anglo, 22 Hispanic, 20 Black, 63.9% Obama Boynton - Delray 104426, 49 Anglo, 34 Black, 13 Hispanic, 70.8% Obama (I left out the "Beach" because I left the beach out of the district. ;D ) High Point 96560, 85 Anglo, 69.7% Obama Boca Raton 100867, 79 Anglo, 13 Hispanic, 52.5% Obama Mission Bay 96993, 75 Anglo, 14 Hispanic, 62.7% Obama Coral Springs N - Parkland 98607, 56 Anglo, 20 Black, 16 Hispanic, 59.9% Obama Coral Springs S - Margate 99771, 50 Anglo, 24 Hispanic, 20 Black, 64.7% Obama Tamarac - North Lauderdale 99278, 35 Anglo, 35 Black, 25 Hispanic, 75.9% Obama Coconut Creek - Deerfield Beach W 97800, 64 Anglo, 18 Hispanic, 12 Black, 65.2% Obama Pompano Beach W (- Deerfield Beach C) 100929, 44 Black, 30 Anglo, 22 Hispanic, 78.0% Obama Pompano Beach E - Deerfield Beach E 97957, 77 Anglo, 13 Hispanic, 52.5% McCain Fort Lauderdale E 96803, 75 Anglo, 13 Hispanic, 59.0% Obama Fort Lauderdale W 99289, 68 Black, 17 Anglo, 11 Hispanic, 89.3% Obama Lauderhill 100403, 75 Black, 13 Anglo, 91.1% Obama Plantation 102443, 53 Anglo, 24 Hispanic, 17 Black, 65.3% Obama Sunrise - Weston N 101372, 45 Anglo, 35 Hispanic, 14 Black, 64.5% Obama Weston S - Pembroke Pines W 101553, 44 Hispanic, 39 Anglo, 56.6% Obama Davie - Cooper City 99617, 59 Anglo, 26 Hispanic, 57.9% Obama Hollywood N & E - Dania 101428, 64 Anglo, 24 Hispanic, 62.3% Obama Hollywood SW 101864, 33 Black, 33 Hispanic, 30 Anglo, 78.3% Obama Pembroke Pines E 104306, 41 Hispanic, 32 Anglo, 20 Black, 68.4% Obama Miramar W 100386, 44 Hispanic, 28 Black, 19 Anglo, 68.7% Obama Norland - Miramar E 99778, 71 Black, 19 Hispanic, 91.9% Obama. This is the crosscounty district, of course. Golden Glades - Ives Estates 96895, 47 Black, 30 Hispanic, 17 Anglo, 81.6% Obama Ojus - Aventura - Bay Harbor Islands 101462, 52 Anglo, 40 Hispanic, 60.2% Obama North Miami 97902, 61 Black, 25 Hispanic, 10 Anglo, 88.9% Obama Caroly City - Westview 103045, 68 Black, 28 Hispanic, 93.0% Obama Country Club 98559, 79 Hispanic, 57.1% Obama. Hispanic, but not Cuban. Unlike the areas to the south as far as Kendall Lakes (except Doral). Hialeah NW 97768, 89 Hispanic, 60.5% McCain. Extends well beyond the city, of course. Hialeah C 95998, 95 Hispanic, 65.4% McCain. Doesn't. Hialeah SE 101388, 91 Hispanic, 65.0% McCain. Does, but not nearly as far. Miami NW 98736, 65 Black, 30 Hispanic, 93.8% Obama. And Brownsville, Gladeview and stuff. Miami NE 102650, 62 Hispanic, 20 Black, 15 Anglo, 74.7% Obama. Wholly within the city except for North Bay Village. Hispanic, but not Cuban. The Miami River really marks a very sharp boundary of Cubans vs Other Hispanics in Miami. Miami WC (aka the Original Little Havanna) 103416, 92 Hispanic, 57.0% McCain. Wholly within the city except the area just west of the airport. Miami W 102032, 93 Hispanic, 64.3% McCain. Wholly within the city. Miami S 101945, 49 Hispanic, 39 Anglo, 58.9% Obama. Extends into Coral Gables and stuff. Bit of an unfortunate constituency really. Miami Beach - Key Biscayne 100918, 54 Hispanic, 40 Anglo, 61.1% Obama Fountainbleau - Doral 103195, 86 Hispanic, 53.3% McCain. Doral is (mostly) not Cuban - indeed it's probably the only plurality Venezuelan place in the entire US - but Fountainbleau is. Anyways Doral went for Obama only very narrowly. Then again it has some Cubans too. Tamiami - University Park 95200, 91 Hispanic, 67.8% McCain Westchester - Coral Terrace 103520, 84 Hispanic, 14 Anglo, 64.1% McCain Kendall Lakes - Sunset 102583, 83 Hispanic, 14 Anglo, 58.1% McCain Kendall West 96679, 87 Hispanic, 59.7% McCain. No idea about the non-CDP places beyond, but Kendall West itself (not marked as such on the map for some reason, this is the slate colored district at the sw corner) is mostly Colombian. Not all non-Cubans vote Democratic. () The Hammocks - Richmond West 104921, 76 Hispanic, 14 Anglo, 54.7% Obama Kendall - The Crossings 102336, 65 Hispanic, 25 Anglo, 52.6% Obama Princeton - Goulds - Perrine 103790, 52 Hispanic, 38 Black, 80.1% Obama Pinecrest - Palmetto Bay 103790, 48 Hispanic, 39 Anglo, 54.4% Obama Homestead 101460, 63 Hispanic, 23 Black, 13 Anglo, 70.1% Obama Monroe - Naranja 101623, 62 Anglo, 30 Hispanic, 51.1% Obama Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: Linus Van Pelt on March 14, 2012, 08:56:50 PM This thread is great.
Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: World politics is up Schmitt creek on March 14, 2012, 10:36:27 PM This thread is great. Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: Del Tachi on March 16, 2012, 11:35:09 PM Good stuff!
Hoping to see Mississippi soon! Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on March 17, 2012, 04:33:02 AM I was planning to do that one last of the six remaining states east of the Mississippi, actually. IL-MI-WI-GA-AL-MS-LA-then-north-to-MN is sort of the schedule.
Meanwhile, fulltime work also has me back, so this won't proceed at quite the speed it has gone. Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on September 16, 2012, 09:08:21 AM Heh. When I abandoned this about a week after the last post, I had Illinois mostly done and Michigan outside the Detroit Metro provisionally done. But I deleted the files sometime during the summer. :(
() Alabama. 48 districts. Race figure is White-Black. 1 Mobile E 101554, 24-73, 81.2 Obama 2 Mobile (City) W 101134, 59-33, 58.8 McCain. You could draw two Black Majority VAP districts in Mobile, splitting SE-NW. But it's not particularly CoIffic. (Though I did pretty much draw as many Black districts as semi-reasonably possible everywhere else in the state. And I jigged them to get them all over 50% VAP, which explains the strange things I did about Montgomery.) 3 Mobile S 99581, 79-13, 75.3 McCain 4 Mobile N - Washington 104345, 71-22, 66.1 McCain 5 Baldwin N - Creola 103675, 79-15, 73.9 McCain 6 Baldwin S 102549, 86, 76.5 McCain 7 Escambia - Covington - Geneva 102874, 76-19, 74.2 McCain 8 Houston 101547, 69-26, 70.2 McCain 9 Coffee - Dale 100199, 72-18, 73.1 McCain 10 Barbour - Henry - Macon - Bullock - Pike E 103589, 43-52, 57.2 Obama. This is like, 50.01 or so on VAP. Best I could do without splitting the main town of Troy. 11 Montgomery S - Lowndes - Crenshaw - Butler NE - Pike W 103030, 34-61, 63.7 Obama 12 Montgomery E 102964, 60-32, 63.9 McCain 13 Montgomery W - Autauga (bulk of) 98626, 37-57, 67.6 Obama Yeah, a White and a Black urban Montgomery district was just so Black and so near districts where I could use a few more Blacks... and I also had an issue of what to do with Autauga, so... 14 Dallas - Wilcox - Monroe - Conecuh - Butler SW 100618, 41-57, 57.6 Obama 15 Elmore - Autauga E 102386, 77-18, 77.0 McCain 16 Auburn - Opelika 96883, 65-26, 54.9 McCain 17 Russell - Lee E 96311, 65-29, 57.4 McCain 18 Coosa - Tallapoosa - Chambers - S Randolph 98537, 65-32, 61.3 McCain 19 Talladega - Clay 96223, 67-29, 61.3 McCain 20 Anniston 99096, 71-23, 63.0 McCain 21 Cleburne - Cherokee - S DeKalb - N Randolph - E Calhoun 107483, 87, 76.5 McCain 22 Jackson - N DeKalb 89036, 87, 70.9 McCain DeKalb County has just four precincts of ~17k people each. Imagine the northern one split. 23 Etowah 104430, 79-15, 68.6 McCain 24 Huntsville E - SE Madison 104564, 81-11, 71.0 McCain 25 Huntsville W 102704, 35-52, 72.0 Obama. Includes the majority-White-but-rather-mixed suburb of Clarksdale because anywhere else in Huntsville was lilywhite. 26 Madison W - Limestone SE 98348, 70-19, 64.3 McCain 27 Madison N - Limestone N 81-11, 71.0 McCain. Location of the Blacks and the Arsenal forced this (well this or a very ugly split of Madison town.) 28 Lauderdale - Limestone SW 102246, 85-10, 63.6 McCain 29 Lawrence - Colbert - Morgan SW 98717, 80-13, 62.8 McCain. These two districts are still Democratic-leaning on the "average" figure. 30 Decatur 98054, 74-14, 69.8 McCain 31 Marshall - Morgan E 104505, 85-11 Hispanic(!), 77.9 McCain Only >10% Hispanic district in Alabama. 32 Lamar - Marion - Franklin - Winston 101528, 88, 75.7 McCain 33 Walker - Fayette - Tuscaloosa NW 96725, 90, 74.1 McCain 34 Tuscaloosa (County) E (- City N) 97276, 82-12, 72.5 McCain 35 Tuscaloosa S - Hale 100679, 42-54, 61.8 Obama 36 Pickens - Greene - Sumter - Marengo - Choctaw - Clarke 103273, 46-52, 53.9 Obama. 50.3% on VAP, and that's with no split counties. Here we get to a problem... a number of oversized districts so far. Jefferson County is just a tad too small to even theoretically wholly house seven districts, so I had to extend one out into the surrounding counties, where, alas, districts wouldn't have been oversized even without that, and had to balance them all rather finely. 37 Bibb - Perry - Chilton - S Shelby 95145, 72-21, 66.9 McCain 38 C Shelby 96928, 77-12, 74.9 McCain 39 N Shelby - S Saint Clair 94705, 86, 79.9 McCain 40 Saint Clair - S Blount 95207, 87, 82.2 McCain 41 Cullman - N Blount 95811, 92, 82.0 McCain () 42 NW Jefferson - SW Blount 96874, 89, 84.1 McCain 43 E Jefferson, 96029, 82-12, 74.8 McCain 44 Birmingham NE - Center Point 95239, 30-64, 68.0 Obama 45 Birmingham C - Forestdale 94810, 27-69, 81.1 Obama 46 Birmingham S - Homewood 98645, 32-60, 79.0 Obama 47 Bessemer 97565, 36-59, 66.0 Obama 48 Hoover 95063, 73-14, 70.6 McCain Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: LastVoter on September 16, 2012, 06:03:18 PM Going to work on Oregon with 37 districts. It'll be a little more liberal with 20% population deviation, as ridings are done in Canada.
Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on September 17, 2012, 09:38:58 AM Aw, please stick to "the rules". :( Increasing deviation for more reasonable districts is such a cowardly, moderate thing to do.
'nyways, Georgia. 97 districts. This is kinda clockwise from west of Atlanta, with the heart of the metro at the end. () 1 Carroll (bulk of) 100672, 72 w, 18 b, 65.6 McCain 2 E Paulding 97697, 72 w, 19 b, 66.1 McCain 3 W Paulding - Haralson - E Polk - Temple (that's the bit in Carroll) 100321, 84 w, 10 b, 74.4 McCain 4 S Floyd - W Polk 98266, 70 w, 15 b, 12 h, 65.9 McCain 5 S Walker - Dade - Chattooga - N Floyd 99300, 88 w, 72.4 McCain 6 Catoosa - N Walker, 98513, 92 w, 74.0 McCain 7 Whitfield, 102599, 62 w, 32 h, 69.5 McCain. Dalton is an industrial city, home to a specialized industry - wall-to-wall carpets - and that's where the Mexicans work. 8 Bartow, 100157, 80 w, 10 b, 72.1 McCain 9 S Cherokee (Woodstock), 103353, 78 w, 11 h, 72.7 McCain 10 N Cherokee (Canton), 101960, 83 w, 77.5 McCain 11 Dawson - N Forsyth - E Pickens - NE Cherokee 101757, 89 w, 80.0 McCain 12 S Forsyth, 103221, 77 w, 77.0 McCain 13 N Hall - E Forsyth 102919, 73 w, 20 h, 79.6 McCain 14 S Hall 99917, 59 w, 29 h, 72.4 McCain 15 Gordon - Murray - W Pickens 102989, 83 w, 13 h, 74.6 McCain 16 Fannin - Gilmer - Lumpkin - Union 103296, 93 w, 75.0 McCain 17 Rabun - Habersham - White - Towns 96932, 87 w, 77.2 McCain 18 Franklin - Elbert - Banks - Stephens (and a slice of Jackson) 103424, 83 w, 11 b, 72.9 McCain 19 Jackson - N Barrow 101668, 80 w, 75.7 McCain 20 Walton - S Barrow 100395, 77 w, 15 b, 74.7 McCain 21 Clarke (bulk of) 97659, 56 w, 27 b, 11 h, 66.3 Obama 22 Elbert - Madison - Lincoln - Wilkes (bulk of) - Oglethorpe - E Clarke 96657, 73 w, 21 b, 60.0 McCain. Slight mess-up of the numbering scheme here, as I just notice... 23 Newton 99958, 52 w, 40 b, 50.3 Obama. Won't be majority White for long. 24 Oconee - Morgan - Putnam - Jasper - N Jones - W Greene 99165, 76 w, 17 b, 68.0 McCain 25 Laurens - Johnson - Wilkinson - Twiggs - S Jones 97795, 62 w, 34 b, 58.9 McCain 26 Baldwin - Hancock - Taliaferro - E Greene - S Wilkes - S Jefferson 102187, 51 b, 44 w, 58.1 Obama. Failed to get this over 50% VAP. 27 W Columbia - McDuffie - Warren - Glascock - N Jefferson 101255, 65 w, 26 b, 64.7 McCain 28 N Augusta - Martinez 99198, 72 w, 17 b, 66.5 McCain 29 S Augusta 97589, 62 b, 30 w, 76.3 Obama 30 S Richmond - Burke - Jenkins 96472, 54 b, 40 w, 62.7 Obama 31 Emanuel - Candler - Toombs - Tattnall - Evans 97339, 61 w, 28 b, 66.4 McCain 32 Bulloch - Screven - N Effingham - N Bryan (portion north of Fort Stewart) 99144, 66 w, 29 b, 59.7 McCain 33 N Chatham - S Effingham 98671, 70 w, 21 b, 68.9 McCain 34 Savannah (excluding White areas in the south) 102061, 66 b, 27 w, 84.5 Obama 35 S Chatham 95170, 71 w, 19 b, 59.7 McCain 36 Liberty - Bryan (bulk of) - Burroughs (the three Chatham precincts) 100828, 51 w, 34 b, 51.3 Obama 37 Appling - Wayne - Long - McIntosh - N Glynn 103854, 69 w, 21 b, 68.2 McCain 38 S Glynn - Camden 103417, 66 w, 25 b, 58.5 McCain 39 Ware - Charlton - Brantley - Pierce - Bacon 96748, 76 w, 19 b, 73.9 McCain 40 oof. 8 counties plus a bit of Lowndes. 100141, 69 w, 22 b, 66.8 McCain 41 Lowndes 102047, 54 w, 37 b, 52.7 McCain 42 Brooks - Colquitt - Thomas (bulk of) 101363, 58 w, 31 b, 60.7 McCain 43 Grady - Mitchell - Decatur - Seminole - Miller - NW Thomas 96303, 56 w, 37 b, 58.9 McCain 44 10 counties north and west of Albany 95300, 54 b, 39 w, 55.3 Obama. And yeah, Black VAP majority. 45 Dougherty - Baker 98016, 66 b, 30 w, 66.6 Obama 46 Lee - Worth - Tiff - Turner 100573, 65 w, 28 b, 68.6 McCain 47 6 counties around Jeff Davis so far avoided, S Dodge 102427, 63 w, 27 b, 65.9 McCain 48 5 counties west of that, N Dodge, S Houston 104155, 59 w, 36 b, 62.7 McCain 49 Warner Robins 103181, 59 w, 29 b, 58.3 McCain 50 W Bibb - Peach - W Houston 103338, 60 w, 31 b, 60.8 McCain. The bizarre shape of Crawford County means that this district is technically noncontiguous - though the DRA's tool for finding trapped precincts considers it contiguous. 51 Macon 101875, 66 b, 30 w, 73.0 Obama 52 Muscogee S - Chattahoochee 100991, 65 b, 23 w, 87.5 Obama 53 Muscogee N 100161, 66 w, 21 b, 61.4 McCain 54 seven county area north and east of Columbus 101330, 68 w, 27 b, 63.2 McCain 55 Troup - Heard - Meriwether 100870, 63 w, 31 b, 59.1 McCain () 56 Monroe - Lamar - Butts - Pike - E Spalding 95006, 74 w, 22 b, 68.8 McCain 57 S Fayette - W Spalding 97135, 68 w, 24 b, 65.7 McCain 58 S Clayton - E Fayette 97239, 56 b, 30 w, 63.8 Obama. Area in Fayette is majority White but is "Blackest" part. 59 W Clayton (Riverdale) 96373, 74 b, 12 h, 90.6 Obama 60 N Clayton (Forest Park) 98367, 58 b, 19 h, 14 w, 82.6 Obama 61 Coweta (bulk of) 100552, 70 w, 20 b, 68.1 McCain 62 W Fayette - N Coweta - SW Douglas - Palmetto (the White bit in far southwest Fulton) 97992, 73 w, 16 b, 68.4 McCain 63 NE Douglas 101290, 45 b, 41 w, 59.5 Obama. Still plurality White VAP. For now. 64 S Fulton 104430, 86 b, 92.2 Obama 65 S Atlanta - East Point 97046, 81 b, 92.2 Obama 66 SE Atlanta 102014, 67 b, 24 w, 91.7 Obama 67 W Atlanta 104121, 93 b, 98.3 Obama 68 NC Atlanta 97007, 68 w, 15 b, 67.8 Obama 69 N Atlanta (- Sandy Springs S) 98916, 71 w, 12 h, 54.7 McCain 70 Roswell (bulk of - Sandy Springs N) 104078, 57 w, 19 b, 17 h, 50.3 McCain 71 Johns Creek (- Roswell E) 100879, 62 w, 19 Asian (yes), 10 b, 57.8 McCain 72 Alpharetta - Milton 104185, 70 w, 11 Asian, 62.5 McCain 73 Cobb NE ("Blackwells - Shallowford"?) 97281, 80 w, 64.2 McCain 74 Cobb E ("Vinings - Mount Bethel"?) 96336, 66 w, 17 b, 57.0 McCain 75 Cobb C (Marietta. Sorry for the precincts with noncontiguous bits, they follow the noncontiguous city boundary.) 99573, 35 w, 31 b, 28 h, 60.6 Obama 76 Cobb S (Smyrna) 101689, 46 w, 32 b, 16 h, 54.6 Obama 77 Cobb SW (Austell - Powder Springs) 95034, 51 b, 30 w, 15 h, 66.9 Obama. Not majority VAP, not that it matters. 78 Cobb W ("Red Rock - Lost Mountain"?) 95352, 77 w, 14 b, 70.7 McCain 79 Cobb N (Kennesaw - Acworth)102513, 61 w, 20 b, 11 h, 57.3 McCain And we jump across to the other side of Atlanta... 80 Henry SE (McDonough) 104618, 61 w, 30 b, 60.1 McCain 81 Henry NW (Stockbridge - Hampton) 99304, 43 w, 43 b, 54.4 Obama. Plurality White (total population) by 31 persons on Census Day, but obviously not by today. 82 Rockdale (and a tiny angle into DeKalb to boost the Black plurality. Still no VAP majority... in 2010.) 100696, 53 b, 35 w, 59.3 Obama 83 DeKalb SE (Redon - Stone Mountain) 96083, 89 b, 95.1 Obama 84 DeKalb C ("Stockdale"?) 98650, 69 b, 14 w, 89.3 Obama 85 DeKalb S (Panthersville - Snapfinger. Beautiful place names.) 97950, 94 b, 97.8 Obama 86 DeKalb SW (East Atlanta - Gresham Park - Belvedere Park) 97203, 73 b, 22 w, 92.9 Obama 87 DeKalb W (Decatur - Druid Hills) 100716, 61 w, 17 h, 13 b, 71.8 Obama 88 DeKalb N (Dunwoody) 100961, 56 w, 21 h, 12 b, 10 a, 50.5 Obama 89 DeKalb NE (Tucker - Trickem. With Trickem being the Gwinnett bit.) 102129, 54 w, 18 h, 18 b, 53.5 Obama 90 Gwinnett W ("Lilburn - Norcross"?) 96779, 50 h, 22 b, 15 w, 11 a. Over 50 on total population. 67.8 Obama 91 Gwinnett WC ("McDaniel Farm Park"??) 101439, 34 h, 25 b, 22 w, 17 a, 61.4 Obama 92 Gwinnett NW (Duluth - Suwannee) 96233, 58 w, 18 a, 14 b, 61.6 McCain 93 Gwinnett N (Burford - Sugar Hill) 97675, 65 w, 13 h, 13 b, 69.7 McCain 94 Gwinnett E ("Dacula - Allendale"?) 100995, 58 w, 18 b, 14 a, 62.2 McCain 95 Gwinnett EC (Lawrenceville) 98300, 32 w, 30 b, 24 h, 11 a, 56.7 Obama 96 Gwinnett SC ("Five Forks - Snellville N"? This is a gerry and it shows.) 101694, 59 w, 20 b, 63.9 McCain 97 Gwinnett S ("Snellville S - Centerville"?) 94626, 45 b, 38 w, 10 h, 57.0 Obama Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: Hatman 🍁 on September 17, 2012, 12:21:16 PM Going to work on Oregon with 37 districts. It'll be a little more liberal with 20% population deviation, as ridings are done in Canada. We have 25% deviation. Some provincial commissions try and use 5%, while others like to use the 25% deviation quite liberally. Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: LastVoter on September 17, 2012, 06:33:33 PM Going to work on Oregon with 37 districts. It'll be a little more liberal with 20% population deviation, as ridings are done in Canada. We have 25% deviation. Some provincial commissions try and use 5%, while others like to use the 25% deviation quite liberally. Preview: () total of 37 districts Bernie Sanders rating: Safe: 14 Lean: 6 Toss-up: 1 Need more minorities/hipsters/californians: 3 "He's a commie": 15 Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on September 18, 2012, 01:27:51 PM ()
30 districts for Mississippi. 1 Hernando E (boundary runs between Horn Lake and Southaven) 100770, 72-21 (all racial figures Anglo-Black), 69.9 McCain 2 Hernando W, Tunica, Tate 100146, 63-30, 59.9 McCain. My apologies to Tunica County. Rest of the Delta fit four districts. 3 Marshall, Burton, Tippah, Union 95239, 66-29, 58.1 McCain 4 Tishomingo, Alcorn, Prentiss, Itawamba E 94102, 88-9, 72.8 McCain 5 Lee, Itawamba W 94135, 71-25, 65.9 McCain. Finely balanced to keep both within tolerance (93910 to 103910 in this case), but the line used here actually seems to make a lot of sense judging from the minor roads grid. 6 Monroe, Chickasaw, Clay, Webster, N Lowndes (Caledonia and the Air Base - there are no similar smaller population nuclei in Oktibbeha) 96280, 61-36, 55.3 McCain 7 Lowndes (bulk of), Oktibbeha, 96438, 53-43, 50.9 Obama 8 Lafayette, Pontotoc, Calhoun, E Grenada 95467, 73-21, 63.7 McCain 9 Leflore, Sunflower, Montgomery, Carroll, Grenada (bulk of) 102163, 37-60, 56.5 Obama. Split so inequitable to avoid splitting Grenada town. 10 Coahoma, Quitman, Panola, Tallahatchie, Yalobusha 97137, 40-57, 58.6 Obama 11 Washington, Bolivar, Humphreys, Sharkey 99408, 29-69, 67.6 Obama 12 Warren, Yazoo, Holmes, Issaquena 97442, 39-57, 57.0 Obama. Or if you think tiny Issaquena really belongs with the more northerly district - and I suppose you probably have a point - it has only 1406 inhabitants and all moving it does is push Obama's Washington etc percentage down all the way to 67.5. 13 Madison 95203, 56-38, 57.5 McCain 14 Neshoba, Leake, Attala, Choctaw, Winston 100790, 56-35, 60.4 McCain 15 Lauderdale, Kemper, Noxubee 102262, 49-48, 51.3 McCain. Yes, I left that in. The only way to draw a Black WC Mississippi district is to combine Meridian with the Black parts of Columbus (indeed, south rural Lowndes County is heavily Black too)...there are further Blacks northwest of Columbus/Starkville too... hmmm... might give this a few more tries. But this is as it were the primary map. 16 Newton, Scott, Smith, Jasper, Clarke 100269, 59-35, 60.7 McCain 17 E Rankin - Simpson 99098, 76-20, 73.1 McCain 18 NE Jackson (the White or partly White sections) - W Rankin 102907, 68-26, 69.4 McCain 19 S Jackson 97869, 17-81, 79.5 Obama. Easy to draw a 95% Black district in Jackson, actually. Attached four near suburban precincts to the south attached here because they didn't fit elsewhere either, and they're mixed (bare majority Black) but responsible for half the White population here. 20 N Hinds (incl. NW Jackson) 101181, 24-72, 73.9 Obama 21 Adams, Claiborne, Jefferson, Wilkinson, Copiah, S Hinds 102304, 37-58, 61.5 Obama 22 Pike, Lincoln, Amite, Franklin 96522, 57-40, 56.8 McCain 23 Jones, Covington, Jefferson Davis 99816, 62-33, 61.9 McCain 24 Hattiesburg (district is in Forrest and Lamar Counties because the city is) 101617, 60-34, 60.8 McCain 25 Marion, Walthall, Lawrence, Lamar outer, Forrest S, Perry 96685, 71-26, 68.5 McCain 26 Wayne, Greene, George, Jackson N 96930, 80-17, 77.1 McCain 27 Jackson S, 100463, 63-27, 59.0 McCain 28 Gulfport - Biloxi 102037, 58-30, 54.6 McCain. Odd precinct design and city lines mean neither city is entirely included. District also includes the next town west of Gulfport, Long Beach. That one has sensible lines and is included entirely. 29 Harrison N, Stone 102854, 78-14, 72.7 McCain 30 Pearl River, Hancock 99763, 84-10, 78.2 McCain Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on September 18, 2012, 02:05:41 PM Not one but three EC Mississippi alternatives!
() All but the five listed districts remain unchanged, and dividing line between lime and orange continues along the county line offscreen in all maps. Version 1: The Full Monty. Columbus and Meridian racially cut, Starkville with territory to the west. No room for Chickasaw County in the Black district. Teal 66-30, 60.2 McCain Grey 30-68, 69.4 Obama Olive 61-36, 58.2 McCain Orange 66-31, 65.8 McCain Lime 57-31, 64.3 McCain Version 2: The Starkville Snake. All the rural Blacks plus racial cuts of Columbus and - even though it's perhaps the least segregated Southern town of any size - Starkville. Leaving Meridian out of it. Teal 68-28, 62.0 McCain Grey 38-59, 63.5 Obama Olive 56-36, 59.7 McCain Orange 56-41, 59.8 McCain Lime 60-33, 62.8 McCain Version 3: The Minimum Version. Like, if Plurality Black Total Population and a solid Obama win is enough for you and you don't even insist on Plurality VAP, it can actually be done without either Columbus or Meridian. There's still an extra county split compared to the original map. (Note the slightly different cuts of Neshoba. That served no purpose whatsoever.) Teal 59-38, 54.0 McCain Grey 47-50, 58.9 Obama Olive 57-35, 59.8 McCain Orange 56-41, 59.8 McCain Lime 59-33, 62.4 McCain Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on September 20, 2012, 11:24:12 AM ()
45 districts, winding its way from Baton Rouge to Monroe. 1 Baton Rouge C 100418, 12-80, 88.0 Obama 2 Baton Rouge N 100605, 34-64, 62.1 Obama 3 Baton Rouge S 97232, 70-21, 59.1 McCain 4 Baton Rouge E 98222, 63-27, 71.6 McCain 5 Baton Rouge SE - N Ascension 99373, 79-13, 77.4 McCain 6 S Ascension - St James - Assumption 97059, 56-38, 50.2 McCain (D avg) 7 Livingston S 99418, 90, 84.9 McCain 8 Livingston N - Tangipahoa N - St Helena - Feliciana 95900, 62-31, 59.2 McCain 9 Tangipahoa S 100900, 68-26, 68.8 McCain 10 Washington - St Tammany N 96885, 77-19, 73.8 McCain 11 St Tammany SW (Covington - Mandeville) 96956, 86, 79.2 McCain 12 St Tammany SE (Slidell) - Michoud 96128, 69-21, 66.7 McCain 13 New Orleans NE (9th except Michoud/Venetie Gardens, 8th, northern 7th) 103692, 85 Black, 93.9 Obama 14 New Orleans C (1st throuth 6th except northern end of 4th near City Park, southern 7th, western 15th) 104369, 29-61, 81.5 Obama 15 New Orleans W (10th to 14th, 16th, 17th) 104179, 55-35, 68.5 Obama 16 St Bernard - Plaquemines - Lafitte (ie far south Jefferson) - E Algiers (remainder of 15th) 103204, 60-27, 61.3 McCain 17 Jefferson S 101601, 30-54, 64.5 Obama 18 Jefferson C 104031, 62-23-10 Hispanic, 65.9 McCain 19 Metairie E 103713, 73-13 Hispanic, 77.2 McCain 20 Kenner - Metairie W 101470, 56-20-19 Hispanic, 66.5 McCain () 21 St Charles - St John the Baptist 98704, 54-39, 53.9 McCain 22 Lafourche - Schriever 103635, 77-14, 71.1 McCain 23 Terrebonne (sans Schriever) 104543, 69-18, 69.5 McCain 24 St Mary - New Iberia (- detached portion of St Martin) 100644, 54-37, 54.3 McCain (D avg) 25 Vermillion - St Martinsville - Iberia W 97980, 76-18, 70.6 McCain 26 Iberville - N St Martin - WBR 96600, 59-37, 54.6 McCain (D avg) 27 Lafayette N 105111, 50-43, 50.7 Obama 28 Lafayette S 105585, 83, 78.9 McCain 29 Jefferson Davis - Acadia - Lafayette W 104249, 79-17, 71.0 McCain 30 Lake Charles 99939, 53-41, 51.3 Obama 31 Calcasieu W - Cameron 99668, 88, 77.6 McCain 32 Vernon - Beauregard - Allen S 102567, 75-15, 74.7 McCain 33 Evangeline - St Landry W - Allen N 104528, 57-39, 51.4 McCain (D avg) 34 Avoyelles - St Landry E - Pointe Coupee - Concordia S 100807, 67-29, 61.6 McCain 35 7 parishes + Concordia N 97522, 57-41, 58.2 McCain 36 La Salle - Caldwell - Winn - Grant - NE Rapides 96545, 80-15, 80.6 McCain 37 Rapides (bulk of) 97712, 53-40, 55.8 McCain 38 Natchitoches - Red River - DeSoto - Sabine 99546, 59-34, 58.8 McCain 39 Caddo S 103323, 74-20, 72.2 McCain 40 Caddo C 104973, 21-75, 81.1 Obama (it would be possible to pack this over 80% Black, it might even make sense, but I didn't like the wraparound effect to the southwest that it would have produced) 41 Caddo N - Bossier N - Webster 100821, 59-37, 58.8 McCain 42 Bossier S 104038, 69-20, 72.0 McCain 43 Claiborne - Bienville - Jackson - Lincoln - Union W 100232, 55-40, 57.0 McCain 44 Ouachita W - Union W - Morehouse 102410, 76-20, 76.1 McCain 45 Monroe 96335, 42-54, 54.6 Obama And then I went a little crazy creating extra Black districts... the Orleans one is easy, obviously a smalltown one between New Orleans and Baton Rouge is possible though requires a lot of parishsplitting, and you can connect the city of Opelousas with the counties facing Mississippi along the river for another one. Getting the Alexandria district to be Black majority requires a tentacle towards Natchitoches, and it seems that (short of a bizarre connector between the two cities maybe) neither a Lafayette nor a Lake Charles district can be done (but when I then tried to reconstruct my earlier Lafayette district, I concluded the maximal possible Obama share there is probably 50.9.) Presumably you can also create another one at Shreveport but I didn't try. I'm not showing you that version. I'm vaguely ashamed of it. Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on September 22, 2012, 07:40:31 AM ()
No presidential data for Arkansas on the DRA. I suppose I could edit in figures for whole county districts. 1 Baxter, Marion, Izard, Fulton, W Sharp. 96935, 96 White 2 Greene, Lawrence, Randolph, Clay, E Sharp. 97993, 96 White 3 Craighead (Jonesboro) 96443, 80 White, 13 Black 4 Mississippi, Poinsett, Cross, Woodruff, W Saint Francis 104460, 71 White, 24 Black 5 Crittenden, Phillips, Lee, E St Francis 103074, 56 Black, 40 White. One of four Black majority districts, and the easiest to draw. 6 Lonoke, Prairie, Monroe, Arkansas 104239, 82 White, 13 Black 7 White, Jackson, E Faulkner (Vilonia) 103199, 88 White 8 Faulkner (sans Vilonia) 105111, 82 White, 11 Black 9 N Pulaski 104343, 76 White, 16 Black. Splits through North Little Rock and Jacksonville informed by race - this map's a gerrymander. 10 E Pulaski 98761, 54 Black, 35 White. The cross-river district. There had to be one, of course. Balancing the figures to get both Black-opportunity districts (which occur "naturally") to be Black-majority-VAP districts, that's where the gerrymandering came in. Very little wiggleroom for that. Of course, knowing me, if I hadn't managed to make it I'd probably have ungerried these a bit... 11 C Pulaski 99151, 55 Black, 33 White. At least it's virtually entirely within Little Rock city limits! (Two precincts partially outside, only one of which seems to have considerable population outside.) 12 W Pulaski, Perry, W Saline 100822, 84 White. The need to excise the most heavily White bits in northern Little Rock (not North Little Rock), the fact that Pulaski has 380k people and all but one neighboring county are suburban and have considerable population, and the desire to not split Benton all informed this rurban monstrosity. 13 E Saline 97234, 88 White 14 Jefferson, Desha, N Lincoln 96436, 54 Black, 42 White. Given that Jefferson County has 80k people and a Black VAP majority, this was more difficult than it ought to have been - couldn't be done without going to the Mississippi (or into Little Rock). Adding the northern half of Chicot does not erode the Black majority further but adds a county split. Actually, exchanging Chicot for the portion of Lincoln included does not erode the Black majority, but makes the district noncontiguous. (Adding all of Chicot would make the district too large - and erode the Black majority somewhat, though it's still over 50% VAP.) 15 Chicot, Ashley, Drew, Bradley, Cleveland, Dallas, Calhoun, S Lincoln, NE Ouachita (using the Ouachita River as the boundary) 99670, 66 White, 28 Black 16 Union, Ouachita (bulk), Columbia, Nevada, Lafayette 102408, 60 White, 36 Black. Least White district outside of the Minority-Majority ones. 17 Miller, Hempstead, Little River, Sevier 97159, 66 White, 22 Black 18 Grant, Hot Spring, Clark, Pike, Howard 98851, 81 White, 13 Black 19 Garland, Montgomery 105511, 85 White. As it happens, Garland County is barely large enough for a district of its own, barely not too large with Montgomery added. Including it here saved a county split. 20 S Sebastian, Logan, Yell, Scott, Polk 101151, 88 White 21 N Sebastian (Fort Smith) 101026, 68 White, 15 Hispanic 22 Johnson, Pope, S Conway 102493, 85 White 23 Independence, Stone, Cleburne, Van Buren, N Conway 98380, 93 White 24 Boone, Carroll, Madison, Newton, Searcy 96591, 92 White 25 Crawford, Franklin, S Washington 96930, 89 White 26 Fayetteville (with suburban areas to the the south, east and west. C Washington) 102876, 84 White 27 Springdale, Siloam Springs (N Washington, SW Benton. If you will. Hugs the northern limits of Fayetteville) 103175, 62 White, 28 Hispanic 28 E Benton (Rogers) 102045, 71 White, 23 Hispanic. Hispanic populations concentrated in Springdale proper and Rogers proper. Not really workable to combine them in one district that wouldn't elect one anyways. 29 W Benton (Bentonville) 100081, 84 White. And yeah, though Bentonville and Rogers border both are wholly within their respective districts. Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: LastVoter on September 22, 2012, 05:34:38 PM Going to work on Oregon with 37 districts. It'll be a little more liberal with 20% population deviation, as ridings are done in Canada. We have 25% deviation. Some provincial commissions try and use 5%, while others like to use the 25% deviation quite liberally. Preview: () total of 37 districts Bernie Sanders rating: Safe: 14 Lean: 6 Toss-up: 1 Need more minorities/hipsters/californians: 3 "He's a commie": 15 Bend Area: District 1(blue)- the most left leaning area, considering it's it a town in a toss-up Deschutes county. District 2(working class & Hispanic) suburbs of Bend, also pretty left-leaning The rest of the districts are solidly right-wing. Western Oregon: Coastal districts are underpopulated like Eastern Oregon. District 9(marine blue): is the most right-wing coastal district. The rest are all pretty left leaning(green, brown, dark blue) Southern Oregon: There is an urban Medford-Ashland district that's also pretty left leaning. Two Rural districts that are very right wing. Blue and pink. Light green district is partially in Southern Oregon and Willamette valley, and it's also right-wing but not as right-wing as the two districts in Southern Oregon. Willamette Valley: 3 rural right wing districts: light brown, dark brown and red. Eugene has 3 rurban districts, and all should be pretty left-leaning. Blue pink and orange. Corvallis-Albany is a yellow district that should also be pretty left wing. Salem has two districts that should be moderately left. Portland Area: Grey district is the rich suburban district that acts as a vote sink, the only district in Portland Metro that can conceivably vote Republican, also the whitest suburban district, only Portland itself can get a whiter district. Washington County: Purple - Hillsboro district, has a lot of Hispanics, should be fairly left-wing. Light Green- Tualitin based district, should also be fairl left-wing. Light Pink- has parts of suburban Beaverton and northwest portland & hills, fairly rich area, but should still be left-wing Light gray- Other part of Portland's hills and downtown Beaverton Multnomah County: Light blue: The minority district in north Portland, has 15.4% black VAP Green: the Urban district, 83.3 White, probably the whitest such district possible anywhere in US. Yellow: Southern Portland Purple: Eastern Portland Orange: Eastern suburbs(Gresham, not sure how they vote, but I am assuming pretty left-wing Lavender: Also eastern suburbs, contains troutdale, and parts of Eastern Portland. Clackamas county: Blue: Light blue: contains Milwaukee and foothills Blue: contains Oregon City. Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on September 24, 2012, 05:35:58 AM ()
1 Tulsa N 94095, 36 Black, 34 Anglo, 18 Hispanic, 71.6% Obama. Bringing the North Tulsa Ghetto up to size with mixed areas in the northeast. It's not my fault the ghetto extends into Osage County. White plurality VAP, but a district like this would be represented by a Black anywhere in America. 2 Tulsa E 96595, 51 Anglo, 24 Hispanic, 12 Black, 58.9% McCain 3 Tulsa C 97425, 74 (single figure is always Anglo. With scattered Black, Hispanic, Native, and Mixed populations, lots of districts in the 70-83% Anglo range with all minorities under 10), 55.1% McCain, D avg 4 Tulsa (city) S 97193, 70, 66.8% McCain 5 S Tulsa County 95750, 79, 74.4% McCain 6 Broken Arrow 100645, 74, 72.4% McCain. The city is in both Tulsa and Wagoner counties and so is the district. Although the southwestern part is in the fifth district. () 7 Muskogee - outer Wagoner 100361, 62 Anglo, 16 Native, 59.7% McCain, D avg 8 Creek - Sand Springs (far west Tulsa County) 95172, 79, 70.1% McCain 9 Washington - N Tulsa County 97259, 76, 71.9% McCain 10 Osage (bulk) - Kay - Noble 99521, 76 Anglo, 12 Native, 71.4% McCain 11 Rogers - Mayes W 95739, 74 Anglo, 13 Native, 71.8% McCain 12 Ottawa - Craig - Nowara - N Delaware - N Mayes 101291, 70 Anglo, 17 Native, 65.2% McCain, D avg 13 Cherokee - Adair - S Mayes - S Delaware - N Sequoyah, or "Cherokee Nation" for short. Yes, a district purpose drawn to maximize Native responses, wholly within Cherokee territory. Tthough the cut into Sequoyah is also justified by the next district's population constraints. Sorry to Mayes County, though, getting split threeways like that. 103052, 49 Anglo, 35 Native, 60.8% McCain, D avg 14 Le Flore - Haskell - Sequoyah (bulk) 102196, 71 Anglo, 15 Native, 68.8% McCain, D avg 15 McCurtain - Choctaw - Pushmataha - Latimer - Pittsburg S (with all of McAlester) 103479, 68 Anglo, 16 Native, 69.6% McCain, D avg 16 Seminole - McIntosh - Okfuskee - Hughes - Pittsburg N 99955, 68 Anglo, 17 Native, 62.0% McCain, D avg 17 Pottawatomie - Seminole 94924, 73 Anglo, 14 Native, 68.2% McCain 18 Bryan - Atoka - Coal - Pontotoc 100015, 72 Anglo, 15 Native, 69.0% McCain, D avg 19 Carter - Love - Marshall - Johnston - Murray 97265, 73, 69.6% McCain, D avg 20 Lawton 99526, 55 Anglo, 20 Black, 12 Hispanic, 54.2% McCain, D avg 21 Stephens - Jefferson - Cotton - Tillman - Kiowa - Outer Comanche 99723, 79, 72.5% McCain. No good reason not to draw a donut. 22 Custer - Beckham - Wash**ta - Greer - Jackson - Harmon - Roger Mills 100471, 75 Anglo, 14 Hispanic, 76.0% McCain 23 12 Counties of Northwest Oklahoma 99995, 76 Anglo, 18 Hispanic, 82.7% McCain. It would be possible to move Roger Mills County here, though both districts would be near the edges of population tolerance it may have better Community of Interest here (the three counties along the interstate are sorta kinda more urban/exurbanized) 24 Logan - Garfield 102428, 80, 72.5% McCain 25 Payne - Pawnee 93927, 80, 64.5% McCain. Yes, that's within range for Oklahoma which has a population of just over 3.75 million (and thus very narrowly wins a 38th seat) 26 Lincoln - E Oklahoma - E Cleveland 100582, 83, 72.1% McCain. Ugly leftovers district. () 27 Edmond 96416, 80, 70.7% McCain 28 Oklahoma City NW 97991, 73 Anglo, 11 Black, 67.4% McCain 29 Oklahoma City NC 99392, 65 Anglo, 14 Hispanic, 53.1% McCain, D avg 30 Oklahoma City E 95437, 52 Black, 32 Anglo, 72.9% Obama. Yes, Black VAP majority. Yes, quite the ugly district. And splitting the sizable suburban municipalities of Midwest City and Del City up. 31 Oklahoma City SE 97850, 64 Anglo, 15 Black, 61.9% McCain. And you know where the largest Black populations here are? Just south of Del City. 32 Oklahoma City SC 97393, 51 Hispanic, 33 Anglo, 50.8% Obama. At least it's Hispanic plurality VAP. My perceived need to draw a Hispanic-opportunity district also meant the splitting of another "natural" CoI - Central OKC - and thus almost held Obama down to 1 district in the county (and 2 in the state). For a Central OKC district would be a very safe Democratic district, but south of that you got partly Hispanic suburbs where Whites vote mostly Republican (with some Democrats) and Hispanics vote mostly not (with some Democrats). 33 Oklahoma City W (or Bethany) 103263, 59 Anglo, 18 Hispanic, 12 Black, 63.6% McCain 34 Moore 101026, 73, 71.1% McCain 35 Norman 101759, 75, 50.0% McCain (by 21 votes), D avg. Drawing this as an Obama district is very easy - just move the northeasternmost precinct to the 26th, for instance - but not the point of this exercise. 36 Garvin - McClean - S Cleveland - E Grady 101362, 81, 74.5% McCain 37 Caddo - W Grady - W Canadian - Kingfisher 96739, 72 Anglo, 11 Native, 71.0% McCain. Native populations mostly in Caddo County, and would evidently be happier in a Lawton-aligned district. I didn't find a way. 38 E Canadian 94139, 82, 77.2% McCain Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: Linus Van Pelt on September 25, 2012, 09:53:07 PM I do approve of the return of this.
Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on October 02, 2012, 04:11:39 PM ()
() () () () Write-up on 251 districts to follow tomorrow. Are these detailed enough or do you insist to see everywhere this clearly? () Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on October 03, 2012, 04:20:26 AM Ho hum then. -_-
Numbering scheme begins at Galveston because I say so, works its way through the Houston Metro, East Texas, DFW, West Texas, Central Texas, South Texas and winds up at El Paso. I'm mentioning where an Obama district has an R average (about a dozen of them) or a McCain district has a D average (2 of those). In districts with a Hispanic plurality or close to I'm also adding the Spanish Surname Voter Registration percentage (note that not all Census Hispanics have Spanish Surnames), except in >75% Hispanic districts in San Antonio and by the Rio Grande. Those all have very solid SSVR majorities. 3 districts for Galveston County: 1 Galveston - Texas City 95723, 44 w, 29 h, 23 b, 58.3% Obama 2 League City 96084, 67 w, 20 h, 68.6% McCain 3 Friendswood - La Marque 99502, 66 w, 19 h, 11 b, 66.9% McCain 3 districts for Brazoria County: 4 South (Lake Jackson) 103867, 59 w, 29 h, 69.0% McCain 5 Central (Alvin - Angleton) 104465, 54 w, 32 h, 10 b, 68.5% McCain 6 North (Pearland) 104834, 47 w, 22 h, 16 b, 13 a, 58.1% McCain 6 districts for Fort Bend County: 7 Outer 97324, 59 w, 20 h, 10 b, 68.9% McCain 8 Rosenberg - Greatwood - Pecan Grove 97423, 41 w, 39 (25) h, 13 b, 61.8% McCain 9 Missouri City 98008, 56 b, 26 h, 13 w, 79.8% Obama 10 Sugar Land East - Stafford 95305, 37 w, 30 a, 16 h, 14 b, 55.4% McCain 11 Sugar Land West 97157, 37 a, 31 w, 16 h, 14 b, 52.9% McCain. Only Asian plurality district in the state. 12 Mission Bend - Cinco Ranch 100158, 37 w, 25 h, 19 b, 17 a, 56.7% McCain 40 districts wholly in Harris County, roughly counterclockwise from southwest. Obviously names are approximate and just plucked from the Silverlight map. 13 Katy - Barker 104206, 56 w, 27 h, 69.9% McCain 14 Clay Road 97325, 45 (22) h, 31 w, 16 b, 52.6% McCain 15 Bear Creek Park 102380, 43 w, 35 h, 11 a, 62.5% McCain 16 Jersey Village 101542, 48 w, 27 h, 13 b, 11 a, 63.8% McCain 17 Fairbanks 103751, 68 (29) a, 21 w, 55.0% McCain. Yes, that is the kind of Hispanic voter registration rate we're dealing with, on the west side of Houston, in DFW and in Austin. Elsewhere it's better. (In West Texas and also near the Gulf Coast, the Hispanics vote. It's just that they only lean Democrat while the Whites vote Republican almost to a man.) 18 Bunker Hill - Hunters Creek 103743, 70 w, 13 h, 68.9% McCain 19 Westchase 101571, 37 w, 25 h, 23 b, 11 a, 51.3% Obama, R avg 20 West Oaks 95745, 34 (17) h, 32 b, 20 a, 13 w, 65.8% Obama 21 Alief 96712, 48 (21) h, 26 b, 16 a, 66.8% Obama 22 Sharpstown 98668, 55 (16!) h, 18 b, 15 w, 11 a, 60.3% Obama 23 Gulfton 100934, 67 (24) h, 14 w, 12 b, 62.4% Obama 24 Montrose 104942, 64 w, 16 h, 11 b, 56.9% Obama. (West) Central Houston. Only White majority, solidly Democrat district outside of Austin I think. 25 Bellaire - West University Place 97943, 67 w, 13 h, 12 a, 51.7% McCain 26 Heakers - Almeda 102626, 45 (17) h, 41 b, 82.1% Obama 27 Third Ward - Pierce Junction 102839, 55 b, 21 h, 13 w, 90.0% Obama 28 Brookhaven 98230, 62 b, 30 h, 92.8% Obama 29 Pecan Park - Golfcrest 103044, 84 (60) h, 70.1% Obama 30 East Haven 98042, 60 (36) h, 19 w, 13 b, 52.2% Obama 31 Pasadena West - Allendale 97121, 83 (60) h, 14 w, 53.0% Obama 32 Pasadena East - Olcott 95649, 52 w, 37 h, 67.5% McCain 33 Clear Lake City - Webster 96717, 50 w, 26 h, 11 a, 11 b, 59.2% McCain 34 Deer Park - La Porte 96212, 66 w, 27 h, 72.1% McCain 35 Baytown 98735, 40 (21) h, 40 w, 17 b, 56.0% McCain 36 Galena Park - Channelview 99125, 68 (39) h, 18 w, 12 b, 58.1% Obama 37 Kingwood - Lake Houston 103717, 76 w, 15 h, 75.7% McCain 38 Atascosita - Humble 99104, 44 w, 28 h, 22 b, 58.9% McCain 39 Aldine - Kinwood - Dyersdale 97300, 56 (27) h, 28 b, 14 w, 72.5% Obama 40 Port Houston 102257, 73 (52) h, 17 b, 74.0% Obama 41 Shadydale - East Houston 97820, 61 b, 35 h, 96.5% Obama 42 Hawthorne Place 97994, 85 (57) h, 62.9% Obama 43 North Freeway 95473, 69 (50) h, 19 b, 11 w, 74.6% Obama 44 Houston Heights 102112, 53 w, 37 h, 52.5% Obama (wait, what? Is this a mistake in my notes? *looks it up* No, quite correct. Borders on the other one.) 45 Highland Heights - Hudson 97988, 41 b, 40 (16) h, 14 w, 74.6% Obama 46 Greens Bayou 96857, 57 (29) h, 29 b, 79.1% Obama 47 Resthaven - Westfield 103249, 42 (17) h, 41 b, 10 w, 76.2% Obama 48 Spring 99001, 42 w, 29 h, 23 b, 58.4% McCain 49 Klein 98573, 64 w, 19 h, 72.4% McCain 50 Kohrville - Louetta 100827, 64 w, 18 h, 73.3% McCain 51 Willowbrook - Satsuma 99900, 37 w, 32 h, 16 b, 13 a, 58.1% McCain 52 Cypress 100360, 66 w, 19 h, 74.7% McCain and two districts partly in Harris County... 53 Waller (whole county) - Hockley 100470, 37 w, 37 (14) h, 21 b, 50.6% McCain 54 Tomball - The Woodlands West 100545, 75 w, 16 h, 75.9% McCain and four wholly in Montgomery County. 55 The Woodlands East 96206, 72 w, 17 h, 72.6% McCain 56 West 103066, 81 w, 14 h, 82.4% McCain 57 East 101330, 69 w, 25 h, 77.5% McCain 58 North (Conroe) 99859, 58 w, 32 h, 74.2% McCain 59 Walker - San Jacinto - Cleveland 102917, 62 w, 19 b, 16 h, 62.8% McCain. Cleveland is a town in Liberty County. 60 Liberty (bulk) - Chambers 102067, 71 w, 18 h, 75.2% McCain 3 wholly or partly in Jefferson... 61 Hardin - Beaumont West 102116, 79 w, 11 b, 74.3% McCain 62 Beaumont 99842, 53 b, 27 w, 17 h, 72.4% Obama 63 Port Arthur 104950, 51 w, 22 b, 21 h, 55.0% McCain, D avg Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on October 03, 2012, 04:59:40 AM East Texas now... the rural districts here (and even a few fairly urban ones, such as the one based on Texarkana) are ~10 points more Democratic in the "average" figure than presidentially. That still makes every single one of them an R average district, just not by blowout margins.
64 Orange - South Jasper/Newton (yeah, additional county split because of what avoiding it does to the district to the north) 100102, 84 w, 74.3% McCain 65 Tyler - Sabine - South Polk - North Jasper/Newton 96050, 74 w, 15 b, 70.0% McCain 66 Angelina - North Polk 100624, 65 w, 19 h, 15 b, 67.5% McCain 67 Houston - Trinity - Madison - Leon - Freestone - South Cherokee 96558, 70 w, 16 b, 13 h, 71.8% McCain 68 Anderson - North Cherokee 101543, 61 w, 19 h, 18 b, 72.0% McCain 69 Navarro - Limestone - West Henderson 102925, 69 w, 18 h, 11 b, 68.2% McCain 70 Wood - East Henderson 99305, 82 w, 11 h, 75.7% McCain 71 South Smith 103511, 79 w, 80.1% McCain 72 North Smith 99174, 42 w, 29 h, 27 b, 53.6% McCain. A very good compromise between a geographic and a color-line split I think, though the third possible goal (urban-rural split) fell by the wayside. It's not as if I would have pulled out all the stops for a D district here if it were possible, but I don't think it is. 73 Upshur - Van Zandt - Rains (and a bit of Smith) 99216, 84 w, 76.4% McCain 74 Longview 97831, 60 w, 20 b, 16 h, 69.0% McCain 75 Panola - Rusk - South Gregg 101025, 67 w, 17 b, 14 h, 72.5% McCain 76 Nacogdoches - Shelby - San Augustine [sic, what moron named this?] 98837, 63 w, 18 b, 16 h, 66.0% McCain 77 Harrison - Marion - South Cass 101782, 69 w, 20 b, 66.8% McCain 78 Bowie - North Cass 97424, 67 w, 24 b, 68.7% McCain 79 Hopkins - Franklin - Titus - Morris - Camp 103435, 65 w, 22 h, 11 b, 68.2% McCain. I kinda wonder where the Hispanic presence here comes from? 80 Lamar - Fannin - Red River - Delta 101799, 78 w, 11 b, 70.7% McCain Collin, Grayon, Hunt and Rockwall Counties, 11 districts 81 North Grayson (Sherman - Denison) 96031, 77 w, 12 h, 66.9% McCain 82 North West Collin - South Grayson 95250, 72 w, 14 h, 69.9% McCain 83 McKinney 98325, 70 w, 15 h, 66.5% McCain 84 Frisco 95818, 62 w, 15 a, 12 h, 62.2% McCain 85 Plano West 95536, 61 w, 15 a, 11 h, 10 b, 58.8% McCain 86 Plano South 99472, 55 w, 22 h, 13 a, 60.1% McCain 87 Plano North 98923, 59 w, 20 a, 11 h, 58.0% McCain 88 Allen 99820, 63 w, 14 a, 11 h, 62.7% McCain 89 Princeton - Wylie 95738, 65 w, 20 h, 68.1% McCain 90 Hunt - North East Collin 96803, 75 w, 14 h, 70.9% McCain 91 Rockwall - South East Collin 95968, 74 w, 16 h, 73.5% McCain 92 Kaufman 103350, 70 w, 17 h, 10 b, 68.0% McCain. The only district to be coterminous with a county in the entire state. 93 South East Ellis (Ennis - Waxahachie) 101740, 61 w, 27 h, 68.0% McCain 94 South West Johnson (Cleburne) 97720, 76 w, 18 h, 74.1% McCain 95 NW Ellis - NE Johnson (Midlothian - Alvarado) 101084, 76 w, 17 h, 74.8% McCain 23 districts in Dallas County. Everything said about Harris County names applies here as well. It's not I think possible to draw a majority SSVR district in DFW - there's hardly any precincts that have that. Obama much overperformed the Averages. 96 Duncanville - Cedar Hill 101834, 46 b, 26 w, 24 h, 66.8% Obama 97 Lancaster - De Soto 103879, 55 b, 22 w, 21 h, 77.4% Obama 98 Laureland - Arden Terrace 97278, 75 w, 20 h, 95.8% Obama 99 Oak Cliff 95968, 70 (37) h, 17 b, 12 w, 78.5% Obama 100 Rochester Park 103012, 47 b, 46 (14!) h, 92.3% Obama 101 Kleberg - Balch Springs 101698, 59 (24) h, 22 b, 17 w, 73.5% Obama 102 East Dallas - Mesquite West 100044, 46 (18) h, 26 b, 25 w, 62.2% Obama 103 Mesquite East 101094, 44 w, 26 h, 22 b, 51.1% McCain 104 Garland South 99478, 39 (14) h, 38 w, 17 b, 52.8% McCain 105 Rowlett - Garland East 96869, 57 w, 18 h, 12 b, 10 a, 61.4% McCain 106 Garland West 95218, 43 (15) h, 31 w, 12 a, 12 b, 51.1% McCain 107 Richardson 101008, 49 w, 27 h, 12 b, 54.7% McCain 108 Audelia - Fair Oaks Park 104348, 33 (7!) h, 30 w, 29 b, 57.3% Obama, R avg (very narrowly). Assuming for a second no non-Spanish-surname Hispanics, voter registration is 15% of VAP for Hispanics and 80% for Non-Hispanics. Madre de Deus. 109 White Rock Lake 104891, 61 w, 26 h, 51.1% Obama, R avg. The funny thing is that two current Republican Congressmen (Sessions and Hensarling) are registered to vote in this district. 110 Central Dallas 100862, 47 w, 34 h, 14 b, 62.3% Obama 111 University Park (- points north) 102419 82 w, 10 h, 66.2% McCain 112 North West Dallas 100019, 68 (27) h, 19 w, 66.7% Obama 113 Eagle Ford - Irving South East - Grand Prairie North 100973, 70 (37) h, 18 w, 59.2% Obama 114 Ledbetter Hills 96953, 64 (38) h, 25 b, 76.6% Obama 115 Grand Prairie East 101035, 46 (24) h, 30 w, 17 b, 52.3% Obama, R avg. The city is of course located in both Dallas and Tarrant Counties, which made for odd districts. 116 Irving West 102821, 44 (18) h, 28 w, 15 b, 10 a, 53.6% Obama, R avg 117 Irving North East - Coppell 103993, 50 w, 24 a, 14 h, 59.0% McCain 118 Addison - Farmers Branch 103400, 50 w, 33 h, 10 b, 54.7% McCain 119 Carrollton 102945, 43 w, 33 h, 14 a, 55.8% McCain. City is in Dallas and Denton Counties and so is the district. 6 Denton County districts... 120 Lewisville 102110, 51 w, 28 h, 10 b, 57.3% McCain 121 The Colony - Hebron 104024, 59 w, 18 h, 12 b, 58.6% McCain 122 North East Denton 102510, 68 w, 17 h, 64.2% McCain 123 Denton town, 98506, 60 w, 23 h, 10 b, 52.7% Obama, R avg 124 Corinth - West Denton 102465, 78 w, 14 h, 71.2% McCain 125 Flower Mound 99409, 80 w, 71.0% McCain Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on October 03, 2012, 05:42:52 AM As you can see I'm breaking this up into quarter sections.
18 Tarrant County districts. 126 Grapevine - Southlake - Colleyville 103438, 79 w, 11 h, 71.6% McCain 127 Bedford - Euless 99624, 64 w, 16 h, 60.8% McCain 128 Keller - Watauga 101888, 74 w, 14 h, 69.3% McCain 129 North Richland Hills 103299, 72 w, 18 h, 67.5% McCain 130 Arlington North 102877, 46 w, 31 h, 16 b, 52.2% McCain 131 Grand Prairie West - Arlington South East 104182, 30 w, 29 b, 29 (14) h, 10 a, 60.6% Obama 132 Arlington East 102330, 37 (14) h, 29 w, 23 b, 58.5% Obama 133 Arlington South West 103931, 72 w, 12 h, 64.5% McCain 134 Mansfield - Kennedale - Burleson 65 w, 16 h, 13 b, 63.8% McCain 135 Forth Worth South East 98824, 48 b, 37 h, 90.2% Obama 136 Fort Worth South 96555, 53 (28) h, 21 w, 21 b, 65.7% Obama. Under 50% Hispanic VAP. 137 Fort Worth South West 96505, 60 w, 19 h, 15 b, 55.9% McCain 138 Fort Worth West 96507, 57 w, 29 h, 11 b, 54.7% McCain 139 Fort Worth North 102234, 68 (44) h, 24 w, 57.7% Obama. It's possible to pack this even closer (somewhere like 74/47 is the maximum I think) but it forces ugly splits. 140 Fort Worth East 100612, 33 b, 31 (12...) h, 29 w, 65.2% Obama 141 Haltom City 97832, 56 w, 27 h, 62.0% McCain 142 Saginaw - Eagle Mountain - Haslet 98875, 68 w, 20 h, 67.4% McCain 143 West Tarrant 100804, 75 w, 15 h, 67.2% McCain headin' off towards West Texas... 144 East Parker 103328, 86 w, 11 h, 77.4% McCain 145 Palo Pinto - West Parker - Hood - Somervell 101472, 83 w, 13 h, 77.1% McCain 146 Wise - Jack - Young - Archer - Baylor 99501, 81 w, 16 h, 79.9% McCain 147 Cooke - Montague - Clay - Outer Wichita 102297, 83 w, 11 h, 79.0% McCain 148 Wichita Falls 98111, 64 w, 19 h, 12 b, 66.7% McCain 149 21 counties around the base of the panhandle. Empty country. 101313, 65 w, 28 h, 74.3% McCain 150 13 counties in the northeastern panhandle. I think Pampa (where Woody Guthrie spent formative years) is the largest town. 98523, 69 w, 27 h, 86.0% McCain. Yeah. Unless it gets beat somewhere in Utah this must be the most Republican district in the known universe. 151 8 counties out on the Caprock and the northern outskirts of Amarillo. 101919, 48 w, 46 (28) h, 79.1% McCain 152 Amarillo North (Potter County) 95919, 44 w, 40 (23) h, 65.9% McCain 153 Amarillo South (Randall County) 97435, 77 w, 17 h, 81.5% McCain 154 7 counties round Plainview and the southern parts of Randall. 100892, 51 w, 43 h, 74.8% McCain 155 Lubbock East 98358, 49 (40) h, 35 w, 13 b, 50.5% McCain. This ought to be interesting. 156 Lubbock (West) Central 101161, 67 w, 24 h, 70.2% McCain. Wholly within city limits. 157 Lubbock West (South West as far as the city is concerned) - Hockley 102247, 69 w, 26 h, 79.1% McCain 158 7 counties, extending northwest from Big Spring 99672, 51 w, 43 h, 75.9% McCain 159 Midland 101569, 61 w, 30 h, 81.7% McCain 160 South Odessa - South Midland 101201, 66 (49) h, 27 w, 62.0% McCain. There is the obvious alternative of having two wholly urban Midland and Odessa districts, but I preferred to draw this prime opportunity for a Hispanic Republican. They're basically twin towns. 161 North Odessa - 7 rural Permian counties 101405, 53 w, 42 h, 79.8% McCain 162 7 West Central Texas counties and the outer parts of two more, with Sweetwater as the main population center. 102653, 67 w, 27 h, 78.6% McCain 163 Abilene 100150, 65 w, 24 h, 71.6% McCain 164 San Angelo 97030, 55 w, 38 h, 68.7% McCain. Completely donutted. 165 Kerrville - points west (10 counties) 97590, 70 w, 27 h, 74.8% McCain 166 Sutter - Kendall - Blanco - South Burnet 103845, 77 w, 20 h, 75.7% McCain 167 Coryell - Lampasas - North Burnet 102714, 66 w, 16 h, 12 b, 67.6% McCain. Fort Hood making its presence felt. You know you're in strange country when army bases depress Conservative margins of victory. I know people (siblings) who grew up here. 168 8 counties round about Brownwood and the Colorado River 103283, 78 w, 18 h, 79.6% McCain 169 Erath - Eastland - Comanche - Hamilton - Bosque 97176, 79 w, 18 h, 77.2% McCain 3 Bell County districts. At the upper limits of population tolerance, limiting options. 170 Killeen (bulk of) 103842, 35 w, 32 b, 23 h, 65.6% Obama 171 South Bell (incl. Killeen E) 102974, 54 w, 21 h, 18 b, 58.2% McCain 172 North Bell (Temple) 103419, 64 w, 21 h, 11 b, 66.5% McCain 3 wholly or partly McLennan districts 173 West McLennan (incl. the areas in Waco around the lake) 99722, 78 w, 13 h, 72.7% McCain 174 Waco Central 102064, 37 (19) h, 36 w, 24 b, 60.2% Obama 175 East McLennan - Hill - Falls - Robertson 102697, 68 w, 17 h, 13 b, 66.0% McCain 2 Brazos County districts 176 Bryan 96611, 48 w, 33 h, 15 b, 62.4% McCain 177 College Station 98240, 70 w, 14 h, 66.8% McCain. All the city and one (large) precinct directly south of it, with the Bryan district forming a near-donut around it. 178 Washington - Austin - Grimes - South East Burleson 95951, 64 w, 19 h, 15 b, 71.3% McCain 179 East Williamson - Milam - Lee - North West Burleson 98359, 61 w, 28 h, 62.1% McCain 3 wholly Williamson districts 180 North Williamson (Georgetown) 103224, 73 w, 21 h, 65.6% McCain 181 Round Rock 97869, 54 w, 28 h, 51.5% McCain 182 Jollyville - Round Rock West 97200, 63 w, 19 h, 50.3% Obama, R avg 183 Cedar Park - Jonestown 103942, 73 w, 17 h, 59.3% McCain. Mostly in Williamson but extends into Travis. 10 wholly Travis districts. Obama outperformed averages - and those are quite Democratic already. Hispanic registration as abysmal as in DFW. 184 Austin North West 102875, 78 w, 11 h, 58.7% Obama 185 Austin North 99623, 55 w, 21 h, 13 a, 62.6% Obama 186 Pflugerville 101360, 44 w, 30 h, 15 b, 59.1% Obama, R avg (barely) 187 Austin East - Manor - Garfield 101231, 54 (26) h, 23 b, 20 w, 80.0% Obama. Only rivercrossing district. 188 Austin North Central 99164, 62 (21) h, 23 w, 11 b, 77.8% Obama 189 Austin Central 99781, 58 w, 23 h, 78.7% Obama 190 Austin South Central 97192, 56 w, 36 h, 77.9% Obama 191 Austin South 97094, 62 w, 27 h, 60.9% Obama 192 Austin South East - Elroy 101246, 66 (35) h, 22 w, 75.9% Obama 193 South West Travis 98102, 80 w, 12 h, 53.2% McCain. This is where extremely wealthy Texans who need to be close to state government go to live. Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on October 03, 2012, 06:18:25 AM 194 North Hays 95656, 58 w, 36 h, 54.3% McCain
195 South Hays - North Guadalupe (and a tiny bit of Comal. Built around San Marcos but it's drowned out by suburbs.) 102391, 61 w, 34 h, 56.0% McCain 196 South Guadalupe 101310, 55 w, 34 h, 64.7% McCain 197 Comal (bulk) 97755, 70 w, 26 h, 73.8% McCain 17 Bexar districts. Very provisional names as Silverlight was oddly unhelpful. 198 North Bexar 103935, 57 w, 30 h, 67.5% McCain 199 North West Bexar 105092, 49 w, 40 h, 61.5% McCain 200 San Antonio North West 102365, 44 (33) h, 40 w, 50.3% McCain 201 Leon Valley 99663, 55 (40) h, 33 w, 53.4% Obama, R avg 202 San Antonio West 103766, 65 (48) h, 22 w, 60.1% Obama 203 Woodlawn Lake - Garza Park (one of the west central San Antonio districts) 99452, 86 h, 70.0% Obama 204 San Pedro Avenue (the most central one) 96566, 79 h, 17 w, 64.1% Obama 205 Alamo Heights - Airport 99596, 56 w, 33 h, 54.7% McCain 206 San Antonio North - Castle Heights - Hollywood Park 103251, 55 w, 38 h, 60.2% McCain 207 San Antonio North East - Windcrest 103074, 45 w, 42 (27) h, 56.6% McCain 208 East Bexar 98431, 44 w, 37 h, 14 b, 56.1% McCain 209 San Antonio East - Kirby 104428, 48 (31) h, 29 b, 18 w, 69.7% Obama. My attempt at a Black opportunity district in San Antone. 210 San Antonio South East 95429, 76 h, 13 w, 71.5% Obama 211 San Antonio South ("King William - Flores Street"?) 98042, 89 h, 72.9% Obama 212 Amistad Park 101515, 90 h, 76.0% Obama (the more southerly west central one) 213 San Antonio South West 97611, 82 h, 13 w, 72.9% Obama 214 South Bexar 102590, 70 (55) h, 23 w, 53.8% Obama Obviously it would have been possible to draw more Hispanic majority districts. But only by making goddamn ugly ribbons. On to South Texas (incl. Gulf Coast) - beginning with two more prime Hispanic Republican opportunities. 215 Medina - Uvalde - Zavala - Frio 101305, 65 (56) h, 32 w, 53.7% McCain 216 Atascosa - Live Oak - Bee - West Wilson 102119, 57 (>50) h, 39 w, 57.7% McCain 217 Gonzales - Lavaca - DeWitt - Karnes - East Wilson 103093, 59 w, 34 h, 71.4% McCain 218 Caldwell - North Bastrop 96458, 49 w, 41 h, 52.3% McCain 219 Wharton - Colorado - Fayette - South Bastrop 102487, 61 w, 27 h, 11 b, 67.2% McCain 220 Victoria - Jackson 100868, 50 w, 42 h, 67.9% McCain 221 Matagorda - Calhoun - Aransas - Refugio - Goliad 95834, 53 w, 37 h, 63.7% McCain. No road contiguity but alternatives were awkward. Driving through Weedhaven is not detrimental to your health, anyways. 222 Nueces - San Patricio Coastal 99265, 56 w, 36 h, 65.5% McCain 223 Nueces - San Patricio Inland 103189, 68 (60) h, 30 w, 51.9% McCain, D avg. Much better for community of interest than anything that doesn't split San Patricio. Both districts intrude on Corpus Christi city limits but not the urban core, which can then be split by whether there are Anglos there. Interesting elections in 223 as long as R's nominate a Hispanic. 224 Corpus Christi West 99458, 83 h, 10 w, 70.9% Obama 225 Corpus Christi East 103115, 51 (37) h, 41 w, 57.6% McCain 226 Kleberg - Jim Wells - Duval - Jim Hogg - Brooks - Kenedy 97620, 79 h, 18 w, 61.4% Obama 4 Cameron districts 227 East Cameron 100204, 86 h, 13 w, 60.2% Obama 228 Brownsville 103155, 94 h, 74.3% Obama 229 South West Cameron 104231, 93 h, 71.7% Obama 230 Harlingen 98630, 80 h, 18 w, 53.0% Obama, R avg 7 3/4 Hidalgo districts 231 North Hidalgo - Willacy 99287, 93 h, 77.9% Obama 232 Weslaco - Mercedes 96639, 91 h, 70.5% Obama 233 San Juan 99678, 94 h, 75.3% Obama 234 Pharr 103383, 93 h, 73.7% Obama 235 Ediburg - McAllen North 99836, 86 h, 10 w, 64.2% Obama 236 McAllen 102320, 87 h, 63.5% Obama 237 Mission North - Alton 98781, 93 h, 65.4% Obama 238 Mission South 96979, 88 h, 11 w, 68.6% Obama 239 Starr - Zapata - South Webb 98046, 96 h, 80.9% Obama. Portion in Webb not as small as it looks. 240 Laredo South 103808, 97 h which is yet another crazy record, 77.9% Obama 241 Laredo North 101104, 94 h, 66.8% Obama 242 Maverick - North Webb - 4 fairly empty counties 97777, 92 h, 71.1% Obama 243 Val Verde - Trans-Pecos, 104419, 73 (59) h, 24 w, 51.8% Obama. Half the population is in Val Verde. And eight districts in El Paso County and then we're through. 244 Socorro - San Elizario 95531, 97 h (a mere 96.6 vs 97.2 in 240, though), 81.0% Obama 245 Homestead Meadows - Horizon City 100933, 88 h, 70.4% Obama 246 El Paso North East 105146, 76 h, 18 w, 63.3% Obama 247 El Paso East 100268, 87 h, 68.2% Obama 248 El Paso East Central 101836, 95 h, 81.0% Obama 249 El Paso West Central 96262, 75 h, 19 w, 64.1% Obama 250 El Paso North Side 99091, 69 (51) h, 20 w, 60.5% Obama 251 El Paso West Side 101580, 71 (51) h, 24 w, 53.6% Obama, R avg. These figures almost tempt one to draw a White-opportunity district, but there's a mountain in the way. Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on October 03, 2012, 07:22:01 AM Logically I ought to complete the Midwest (Illinois, Michigan, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Iowa, Missouri, Kansas, Nebraska still outstanding) but I felt more like going west.
() Montana offers some rather challenging geography and population distribution. Besides, the DRA has only block groups, not precincts, and no election data. I managed not to divide any major population centers but it forced some ugly compromises. (I also drew this in less than half an hour. Ooh, I didn't even renumber.) Billings City 102823, 87% White, 5% Hispanic Southeast 102345, 82% White, 12% Native (Crow and Northern Cheyenne Reservations) Kalispell 94095, 94% White Missoula 94646, 91% White Far West 96896, 94% White Helena - Polson 100642, 85% White, 8% Native (Flathead Reservation, home to Salish & Kootenai Nation. Naming issues with this government-created amalgamation of peoples... not to mention it's one of those severalty-allotted, White-overrun, fertile-farmland reservations.) Bozeman 98181, 94% White North 99835, 70% White, 25% Native (Blackfeet, Rocky Boy's, Fort Belknap and Fort Peck Reservations. I actually tried to draw a district that stretched all the way round to take in Crow and Northern Cheyenne as well, but it got too ridiculous.) Butte - Random Leftover Areas 98401, 94% White Great Falls 101552, 89% White Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on October 03, 2012, 08:22:34 AM In the same vein, Idaho.
() Bonner - Boundary - N Kootenai (includes all of Hayden) 93220, 94 w, 62.6% McCain Coeur d'Alene 97123, 91 w, 59.4% McCain Latah - Nez Perce (excl. the reservation) - Benewah - Shoshone 94019, 91 w, 52.9% McCain either side of Hells Canyon :P 96767, 87 w, 8 h, 66.7% McCain Caldwell - Owyhee 102619, 69 w, 27 h, 67.4% McCain Nampa 97830, 75 w, 21 h, 66.6% McCain Ada N (Boise NW - Eagle) 98512, 87 w, 7 h, 55.5% McCain Ada W (Meridian) 95236, 88 w, 6 h, 64.6% McCain Ada E (Boise E) 96734, 87 w, 6 h, 62.1% Obama. Hm-hmm. Ada S (Boise SW - Kuna) 101883, 84 w, 9 h, 56.1% McCain Twin Falls - Jerome 99604, 79 w, 18 h, 68.0% McCain Snake River Valley 101285, 72 w, 24 h, 72.2% McCain. This district looks very odd - in part due to following county lines - but makes a considerable degree of sense. I think. It's more than can be said of its northern neighbor. Bannock (excl. the reservation) - Franklin - Bear Lake 99585, 89 w, 7 h, 60.8% McCain Blackfoot - empty center of state 93898, 79 w, 14 h, 60.0% McCain. Something had to give. Idaho Falls 100296, 85 w, 12 h, 70.0% McCain Rexburg - etc 98971, 88 w, 10 h, 78.4% McCain Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on October 03, 2012, 08:54:08 AM Wyoming. Enough for today.
() Cheyenne, 91738, 81 w, 13 h, 59.8% McCain Laramie - Rock Springs 98398, 84 w, 12 h, 57.3% McCain. Only split county but at least I managed not to split the town of Rock Springs. 100,000 inhabitants would actually be outside of range for Wyoming, strange as it sounds. Evanston - Jackson Hole (or whatever) 89159, 87 w, 10 h, 60.6% McCain Riverton - Cody 94455, 82 w, 9 n, 6 h, 69.7% McCain. Wind River, the reservation with two nations on it. Casper 91767, 90 w, 7 h, 68.3% McCain Gillette - Sheridan 98109, 92 w, 5 h, 75.5% McCain Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: Bacon King on October 03, 2012, 09:48:58 AM This is amazing.
Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on October 04, 2012, 04:20:33 AM ()
Another look at Montana. Better version over all. It obviously violates an implicit rule of this thread so far, but it's the only reasonable alternative to a district stretching out into the plains from Helena (or Butte). If you consider the Great Falls & Helena district here unbearable, then something like this is your best bet: () Oh, right (this is for the latter map) Kalispell - Lincoln 96987, 94 Flathead Lake - diverse mountain valleys 97562, 86, 8 Native Missoula 97211, 91 Butte - Ravalli - Beaverhead 96035, 93 Great Falls 100559, 89 Helena - points east 103486, 94 Bozeman 97204 (previous version must have a trapped precinct, in Dillon maybe), 94 North 98616, 70, 26 Native Billings 99367, 86, 6 Hispanic Southeast 102388, 82, 12 Native. Okay, so you probably want to move some more precincts on the outskirts of Billings back into the urban district, as in version 1. Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on October 04, 2012, 09:12:00 AM Colorado. 50 districts.
() Boundaries outside map at top and bottom run along county lines. A lot more county splits than strictly necessary to instill at least some sense. Race figures listed from 5% on. 2 numbers is White-Hispanic; where other groups make it all have been listed. As Obama carried 31 districts but only 20 have a Democratic average, R avg is mentioned throughout. 1 Park - Aspen - Gunnison 96967, 85-12, 60.6% Obama. Beginning here because it doesn't county splits in more than one direction. Note the double carves into Eagle and Summit to bring it up to population and not disrupt links. 2 Eagle - Clear Creek - Steamboat Springs 100789, 79-19, 58.5% Obama. Boundary runs just west of Steamboat Springs. 3 Garfield - Moffat - Palisade 96429, 76-21, 55.8% McCain. Note the situation around Grand Junction - the town of Palisade is included here, the suburbs of Orchard Mesa and Clifton in the 5th, while the city itself and areas to the west form the 4th district. 4 Grand Junction 101661, 84-12, 63.1% McCain 5 Montrose - Delta - Clifton - Orchard Mesa 105469, 79-18, 64.6% McCain 6 Durango - Cortez - Telluride 95731, 81w-11h-6n, 52.8% Obama, R avg. Ute Reservations. Split through Montrose follows a mountain range. Tiny Hinsdale and Mineral Counties placed here to bring population within tolerance. 7 San Luis Valley - Trinidad - La Junta 101147, 56-41, 50.5% Obama, R avg. Just not enough people in the Valley. 8 Pueblo 103331, 45-51, 65.8% Obama. White VAP plurality (not majority). A Hispanic VAP plurality would have been possible, but at what price? A majority not, I think. Even as is a few White precincts in the north of the city proper have been carved. 9 Pueblo West - Fremont - Custer 104112, 77-18, 59.3% McCain 10 High Plains 100138, 79-16, 70.5% McCain. Yeah, I added that carve into El Paso County when I understood that Teller County did not logically belong with anywhere else than El Paso... which brings us to a more detailed map. () 11 Fort Carson - Fountain - Security 102386, 66w-17h-9b, 57.9% McCain 12 Colorado Springs South 103417, 49w-30h-12b, 55.0% Obama, R avg. Maximized minority presence. Still a White VAP majority. 13 Colorado Springs East - Cimarron Hills 98038, 72w-14h-6b, 63.0% McCain 14 Colorado Springs Central 104324, 76-14, 53.6% McCain 15 Colorado Springs North - Black Forest 100864, 83-8, 71.0% McCain 16 Colorado Springs West - Manitou Springs - Teller 104226, 86-8, 56.0% McCain. And yeah, this map did end up screwing Dems quite a bit. Oh right, next map. () I don't know if anybody could possibly make this out, but I changed the numbering scheme in JeffCo and rejigged a few precincts in Denver and a few more in Adams between the overview map and this one. This one is the one that counts, though. 17 Castle Rock - Woodmoor 103161, 87-8, 61.8% McCain. Outer Douglas County, with a carve into El Paso to bring it up to population for three districts. 18 Parker - The Pinery 101221, 85-7, 58.2% McCain. Northeast Douglas. 19 Highlands Ranch 96878, 84w-7h-6a, 55.1% McCain. Wait, that map is not clear enough? () 20 Littleton - Englewood 98010, 79-15, 53.2% Obama, R avg 21 Centennial 103295, 82w-7h-6a, 50.6% Obama, R avg 22 East Arapahoe 96699, 71w-11h-8a-7b, 50.8% McCain 23 Aurora South East 104002, 60w-17h-13b-6a, 58.3% Obama 24 Aurora Central 103545, 46w-25h-19b-5a, 66.4% Obama. White VAP majority. 25 Aurora North 97918, 50h-27w-17b, 69.2% Obama. Just under 50 even in total population. Cuts across a county line, of course. 26 Brighton - East Adams 96574, 65-28, 49.8% Obama, R avg 27 Thornton - Northglenn 104138, 54-38, 61.1% Obama 28 Westminster - Thornton North 105528, 67w-23h-5a, 56.2% Obama, R avg. That's the Adams (main) portion of Westminster, of course. 29 Commerce City - Berkley - Sherrelwood - Federal Heights 97170, 36-58, 66.9% Obama. First of three districts with a Hispanic VAP majority. If that spike between Westminster and Thornton looks odd to you, well it is a municipal boundary. It is also unnecessary to get the district over 50% VAP, Westminster south of the interstate serves just as well but introduces a non-negligible municipal split. 30 Denver North East 102521, 37h-30b-26w, 86.8% Obama. Maximizing the Black population and presumably Black plurality CVAP. Hispanic plurality VAP. 31 Denver East 99971, 68w-14h-11b, 73.4% Obama 32 Denver South East 103344, 74w-13h-6b, 66.6% Obama. These two include the enclaves that exist within the city&county, but otherwise I respected Denver's boundaries - which forced some very fine jiggling to create two Hispanic majority VAP constituencies as I couldn't drop off White areas at the city's far corners. It was *just about* possible, though! 33 Denver Central 99490, 76-14, 80.7% Obama 34 Denver North West 97006, 36-56, 81.8% Obama 35 Denver South West 104556, 35-57, 64.8% Obama. Those rich Whites out by Marston Lake vote quite marginally. 36 Columbine - Ken Caryl 96620, 84-10, 50.7% McCain 37 Lakewood South 97752, 74-19, 56.6% Obama 38 Wheat Ridge - Applewood - Lakewood North 99649, 71-24, 59.0% Obama 39 Arvada 100262, 80-15, 53.1% Obama, R avg 40 West Jefferson 98295, 91-5, 51.5% Obama, R avg. Just under 5% Hispanic, actually. You want to look at an earlier map again now. 41 Broomfield - Westminster West 97851, 80w-12h-6a, 55.5% Obama, R avg. Broomfield is of course a county of its own now. 42 Lafayette - Louisville 100584, 84-9, 70.5% Obama. And much of rural Boulder County. 43 Boulder 97691, 83-9, 84.9% Obama 44 Longmont 96292, 72-23, 59.0% Obama 45 Outer Larimer 99792, 86-11, 50.5% McCain 46 Loveland - Fort Collins South 101430, 85-11, 49.9% McCain 47 Fort Collins 98408, 83-10, 66.2% Obama 48 West Weld 104508, 76-20, 53.9% McCain 49 Greeley 103015, 56-40, 51.3% Obama, R avg 50 East Weld - Fort Morgan - Sterling 102991, 73-23, 64.4% McCain Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on October 06, 2012, 06:34:40 AM ()
New Mexico. 21 districts. 2 figures is Anglo-Hispanic, 3 is Anglo-Hispanic-Native. Clovis - Raton, 7 counties, 98279, 52-41, 61.9% McCain Carlsbad - Hobbs, one county and the greater part of another, 47-48 (Anglo VAP majority), 66.2% McCain Alamogordo - Artesia, one county and minority parts of three, 101209, 48-43 (Anglo VAP majority), 62.4% McCain Outer Dona Ana, 98955, 25-73, 58.7% Obama Las Cruces, 99785, 36-59, 59.6% Obama Roswell - Ruidoso - Edgewood, 2 counties and parts of 2 more, 100645, 53-42, 61.5% McCain Las Vegas - Los Alamos, 4 counties and part of one, 98535, 40-54 (Hispanic VAP majority), 72.3% Obama Santa Fe, 95375, 42-54 (Hispanic VAP plurality), 84.7% Obama Rio Arriba - Taos - Outer Sandoval, 24-53-21 (Hispanic VAP majority), 77.5% Obama. Loads of Upper Rio Grande pueblos and the Jicarilla Apache. () Rio Rancho - Bernalillo (the town), 98222, 51-40, 51.5% Obama, R avg Albuquerque North - Los Ranchos - Corrales, 99999 (lol), 45-47 (Anglo VAP plurality), 60.4% Obama Albuquerque North West ("Petroglyph" if you want named divisions), 101872, 30-61, 62.5% Obama Albuquerque South West ("Five Points - Los Padillas"? Much of this is actually outside city limits) 97607, 14-80, 71.7% Obama Albuquerque North East ("Paseo del Norte"), 97108, 63-26, 50.8% McCain Albuquerque East Central ("Nob Hill - Uptown"), 95232, 55-33, 67.3% Obama Albuquerque South East ("Manzano Hills"?) - East Bernalillo, 97435, 58-30, 51.3% Obama, R avg Albuquerque South ("Old Town") - Isleta - Peralta, 95942, 28-58-7, 71.9% Obama. Isleta Pueblo. Sorry for that, the next district had to lose population, Albquerque had to pick up some, and the Isleta are totally in the way. Valencia (bulk) - Cibola - Zuni, one county and parts of three more, 97965, 29-47-21, 59.9% Obama. Acoma, Laguna, Zuni, and the Ramah and Canoncito Navajo enclaves (the latter is why the cut into Bernalillo) Navajoland (part on the cool side of the stateline), part of two counties, 94713, 10-11-77, 68.2% Obama Farmington, 98308, 54-24-19, 68.8% McCain. Loads of Navajo in this natural ressources town just offrez, obviously. Silver City - Deming - Socorro, five whole counties, 93082, 46-49 (Anglo VAP majority), 54.5% Obama, R avg The following reservations are trapped in Native-under-5%-districts: Mescalero Apache (Alamogordo. Nothing to be done for that as it's too far from all other Native Country), Alamo Navajo (Silver City. Bordering the Cibola district, but fixing this would have required two county splits as removing it brings the Silver City district below tolerance), Nambe, Tesuque, Pojoaque, San Ildefonso (in northern Santa Fe county and the Las Vegas district. I suppose fixing this could be done, but it'd require a complex set of changes and additional cuts). Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on October 06, 2012, 06:43:29 AM And I notice that Navajoland (not the district, the land. Not the official reservation either, of course) appears to extend into northwestern Sandoval. Oh well.
Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on October 06, 2012, 12:29:54 PM And another oddball state with oddball geography. This is what I went West for. 64 districts. 2 figures is ever White-Hispanic. Where more groups make it past 5% all are named.
() 1 Yuma West, 96483, 16-80, 57.0% Obama 2 Yuma East, 99268, 54-40, 64.7% McCain. Make of that what you will. 3 Kingman - Lake Havasu City (yeah, I'm jumping a county. So?) 101723, 83-12, 68.3% McCain 4 Bullhead City 98463, 76-17, 62.1% McCain. This is, like, the way to split Mohave County in two and not split any of its three main population centers. Mohave-Coconino County line splits Kaibab Paiute and Hualapai Reservations, but populated parts are wholly in Mohave. 5 Flagstaff - Page - Hopi 103192, 60w-19n-16h, 56.4% Obama. Only way not to split the Navajo (except for Coalmine and Cameron. Contiguity overrules.) Little bite into Yavapai because not doing that extra county split forced something weird. One of the Mohave districts could have taken the area instead. 6 Navajoland (AZ) 101053, 94% Native, 80.2% Obama. Yessir. 7 Chino Valley - Cottonwood - Sedona 103995, 79-15, 56.4% McCain. Unfortunate but avoids splitting Prescott. 8 Prescott 101965, 84-12, 63.1% McCain 9 Payson - South Navajo (county) - Eagar 104252, 76w-15h-6n, 72.2% McCain. Chock full of Mormons. A few Navajos in the towns, especially Winslow. Vernon had to be removed to bring the district within tolerance. 10 Safford - Douglas - Apache 95126, 38h-35w-24n (White VAP plurality), 54.9% McCain 11 West Cochise 102537, 67-22, 62.4% McCain 12 East Pinal - Globe 101732, >50w-37h-5n, 56.3% McCain. Two thirds of the Natives are in the huge, voter-poor Cactus Forest precinct... I think that has the diverse state prisons round Florence. Welcome to Arizona - a warm version of Canada. (Canadian prisons can be as full of Natives as American prisons are of Blacks. I would suppose the same is true in South Dakota or Montana.) 13 Apache Junction 98000, 80-15, 59.8% McCain. Note this district extends into Maricopa. 14 San Tan Valley 98443, 67-23, 59.9% McCain 15 Casa Grande - Maricopa (city) 102118, 53w-33h-6b, 53.8% McCain 16 West Pinal - Buckeye - Tohono O'odham 102014, 41w-34h-19n, 55.0% McCain. What a crazy leftovers district. Indians include Gila River and Ak-Chin as well as Tohono O'odham. There's another leftovers district nearby, of course, but first we go down to Tucson. () 17 Oro Valley - Picture Rocks 97621, 77-17, 58.7% McCain 18 Casas Adobes - Flowering Wells - Kino 104260, 68-24, 52.9% McCain 19 Tucson West - Drexel Heights 97977, 34-59, 62.1% Obama 20 Tucson Santa Cruz 101812, 23-68, 71.3% Obama. Named for and follows the riverbed. 21 Tucson South East 99112, 65h-24w-5b, 67.1% Obama 22 Tucson Sam Hughes 104413, 63-24, 69.7% Obama. Silverlight calls it that. The named divisions are mostly to avoid the question of what should be considered Central, of course. 23 Tucson East 102523, 65w-23h-5b, 50.1% Obama, R avg 24 Catalina Foothills - Tanque Verde 103600, 79-12, 50.0% McCain. Extends into Tucson city limits actually. 25 Tucson South East - Green Valley 103373, 73-19, 57.3% McCain. Racially motivated carveout. 26 Nogales - Sahuarita - Summit 98927, 30-63, 57.0% Obama. Though Native population is recorded as just 4.5%, the DRA figure is for non-Hispanic Native. The district includes San Xavier and Pascua Yaqui - and I think most or all of that 1/4 Hispanics at Pascua are Native Americans. Yaquis are not the only Arizona Native Peoples to sometimes do that, either. () 27 North West Maricopa - La Paz - South Yavapai 98009, 68-24, 65.9% McCain 28 Goodyear - Litchfield Park 97912, 56w-30h-7b, 58.4% McCain 29 El Mirage 100026, 59w-29h-6b, 55.5% McCain. Can someone tell me what the areas west of El Mirage and south of Sun City West are actually called? Black presence round these parts is military. 30 Sun City 103783, 85-10, 59.9% McCain 31 Peoria North - Vistancia 94952, 82-10, 65.5% McCain 32 Peoria 99652, 67-24, 58.3% McCain 33 Glendale North 103656, 69-20, 58.8% McCain. Though the furthest north parts are missing. 34 Glendale South 101963, 57h-29w-8b, 53.1% Obama 35 Phoenix West End 95797, 67h-30w-7b, 54.6% Obama 36 Phoenix Cartwright 97532, 12-81, 65.4% Obama 37 Phoenix Fowler - Tolleson - Avondale 100562, 67h-19w-9b, 63.5% Obama 38 Phoenix Laveen 97954, 58h-20w-15b, 67.3% Obama 39 Phoenix Encanto Park - Riverside 95517, 65h-24w-7b, 72.2% Obama 40 Phoenix Indian School - Cielito Park 96942, 62h-25w-6b, 65.0% Obama. I didn't magically carve up a Black community here or anything; Phoenix Blacks are just this dispersed across the Hispanic-dominated parts of the city. 41 Phoenix Alhambra 102038, 49h-34w-7b, 52.0% Obama. Impossible to draw yet another Hispanic VAP majority (or even close) district here in what's already the north side of town, even when shoring up with some south side precincts. Content with a solid plurality and a mostly compact shape. 42 Phoenix Cactus Park 95168, 64-25, 56.7% McCain 43 Phoenix Adobe - Thunderbird Park 97711, 77w-12h-5a, 62.0% McCain. Thunderbird Park represents the Glendale bit. 44 Phoenix Cave Buttes - Currys Corner 98273, 81-10, 60.2% McCain 45 Phoenix Lookout Mountain 101923, 66-25, 54.1% McCain 46 Phoenix Sunnyslope 98415, 69-21, 49.8% McCain 47 Phoenix Paradise Valley 98143, 83-9, 59.0% McCain. The suburb of that name and most of the Phoenix area of that name to the north. Not going to say it twice am I? Also, I guess it's clear now why the new Arizona 9 is that particular shape. 48 Phoenix Camelback - Piestewa Peak 99699, 59-31, 51.2% Obama, R avg 49 Phoenix Airport 96184, 63h-17w-15b, 73.9% Obama. That's got to be the most downtown major airport in the universe. And that probably explains a lot about Maricopa's effed-up settlement pattern. Combines populated areas on either side of the airport. 50 Phoenix Ahwatukee - Guadalupe, 95181, 64w-18h-7b-6n, 50.7% Obama, R avg. That's non-Hispanic Native - of course. Guadalupe is a city, not a reservation, but it's a center of Yaqui settlement nonetheless. 51 Scottsdale 99794, 79-14, 51.1% McCain. Old Scottsdale, that is. 52 Fountain Hills - Taliesin 96881, 88-5, 59.1% McCain. The lilywhitest part of the state. 53 Cave Creek - Anthem - Salt River 99643, 84w-7h-5n, 66.3% McCain. Fort McDowell Yavapai is much smaller than Salt River. 54 Tempe N - Mesa NW 101456, 54w-29h-6b-5a, 57.8% Obama 55 Tempe S 96015, 65w-19h-6b-5a, 53.8% Obama 56 Mesa N, 100130, 70-22, 65.4% McCain 57 Mesa W, 103800, 43-46 (Anglo VAP plurality), 50.4% McCain. Best I could do... and carving out those White areas near Tempe in order to add more suburban Hispanics actually flipped the district to McCain. That was before I decided to put the carved-out bit into a Tempe-based district. 58 Mesa S 95871, 76-17, 62.7% McCain 59 Mesa E 98362, 78-16, 62.2% McCain 60 Gilbert E 103533, 73w-15h-5a, 64.8% McCain 61 Gilbert W 96582, 72w-16h-6a, 61.0% McCain 62 Chandler NW 104659, 62w-22h-7a, 50.6% McCain 63 Chandler SE 104634, 58w-25h-9a, 54.8% McCain. Took a bit of searching to find an alignment that looked good and kept both within tolerance. 64 Queens Creek - Chandler Heights - Sun Lakes 99683, 77-13, 64.0% McCain Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on October 06, 2012, 02:39:48 PM ()
28 district Utah. Hispanics over 5% everywhere, in sufficient concentration to draw an opportunity district nowhere. 1 Cache (bulk) - Rich 101180, 86-10, 69.8% McCain 2 Box Elder - Nort Ogden - Hyman 100727, 89-8, 77.0% McCain 3 Ogden 96919, 68-26, 54.6% McCain. Odd design to the northwest avoids a municipal split. (It also shores up McCain a little, but that's life.) 4 Roy 97298, 84-11, 64.6% McCain. 5 Clearfield 103266, 83-10, 69.8% McCain 6 Layton 101241, 86-9, 71.1% McCain 7 Bountiful 101972, 89-6, 68.5% McCain 8 North East 100342, 86-8, 73.0% McCain. Note the split of Summit County; that removed some hugely Democratic territory. 9 East Millcreek - Holladay - Park City 96363, 87-7, 55.6% Obama 10 Salt Lake City South 99040, 75-15, 67.7% Obama. And South Salt Lake. 11 Salt Lake City North 100042, 58-28-8 asian, 68.7% Obama 12 Tooele - Magna - Salt Lake City West 95501, 74-19, 57.3% McCain. Not much of the city, thankfully. 13 West Valley City North 95729, 53-34-9 asian, 50.6% Obama 14 West Valley City South - Kearny - Taylorsville West 94604, 74-19, 57.3% McCain 15 Murray - Taylorsville East 99866, 77-14, 49.6% Obama 16 West Jordan West - Harriman 98869, 78-15, 61.1% McCain. Yeah, I know. Bit awkward. 17 West Jordan East - Midvale - Cottonwood Heights 94061, 78-15, 50.2% McCain. Ditto. But it kept splits down and enabled a very nice map to the south. 18 Sandy 97627, 86-8, 55.4% McCain 19 South Jordan - Riverton - Bluffdale 96874, 89-6, 69.4% McCain 20 Lehi - Draper 100242, 88-7, 72.3% McCain. Across the county line. 21 American Fork - Alpine 95508, 90-6, 81.4% McCain 22 Orem 98508, 79-15, 77.6% McCain. And Lindon. 23 Provo 100856, 80-13, 73.5% McCain 24 Spanish Fork - Springville - Provo South 96706, 84-12, 77.2% McCain 25 Sanpete - Juab - Payson - Eagle Mountain 103344, 87-9, 76.7% McCain 26 South East 93783, 82-9 navajo-7, 64.8% McCain. Welcome to Utah. Nobody actually lives here. 27 South West 103606, 88-8, 75.2% McCain 28 Saint George 99804, 84-11, 76.1% McCain () Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on October 07, 2012, 05:19:07 AM ()
1 Carson City - Douglas 102271, 76w-17h, 52.6% McCain 2 Reno S - Verdi - Incline Village 103418, 75w-16h-6a, 50.7% Obama, R avg 3 Reno C 104689, 60w-27h-6a, 63.7% Obama 4 Reno N - Sun Valley - Spanish Springs 101925, 66w-23h, 54.3% Obama, R avg 5 Sparks 97284, 62w-26h-6a, 55.4% Obama 6 Rural West 95170, 79w-13h, 58.2% McCain. As implied but not shown in the map, includes Esmeralda, but not points south. Note that both rural districts carve into Washoe - while preventable, it was a tradeoff for a clearer west vs north divide. 7 Rural North 95234, 70w-21h-5n, 65.5% McCain. Includes all the unmapped areas except Nye and Lincoln Counties. 8 Boulder City - Pahrump - Rural South 103074, 79w-14h, 58.0% McCain. The mother of all donuts, includes outer Clark County, Nye and Lincoln. That big precinct at the northwest corner of this map extends to the county line, but has 5000 inhabitants mostly or all living at the Las Vegas end, where it's part of the built-up area. () 9 Henderson E 99442, 69w-17h, 50.4% Obama, R avg 10 Henderson SW 99914, 72w-11h-10a, 49.6% McCain 11 Henderson NW - Paradise E 97719, 61w-21h-8a, 57.1% Obama 12 Paradise W - Winchester 103813, 44h-33w-11b-9a, 69.3% Obama 13 Paradise S 102587, 55w-20h-14a-7b, 59.0% Obama 14 Enterprise 100277, 48w-23a-17h-7b, 58.7% Obama. 15 Spring Valley W 96794, 49w-21a-17h-8b, 60.0% Obama 16 Spring Valley E 101587, 49w-24h-14a-10b, 58.5% Obama. All three districts have a White VAP majority. 17 Las Vegas E 96012, 64h-21w-10b, 73.4% Obama 18 Las Vegas C 99957, 47h-34w-10b-6a, 66.3% Obama. Downtown area mostly in E (or even North Las Vegas S), actually. 19 Las Vegas Summerlin 97439, 65w-15h-9b-7a, 54.0% Obama 20 Las Vegas - The Lakes 99186, 66w-13h-11a-6b, 52.4% Obama, R avg 21 Las Vegas Near NW 100606, 54w-26h-12b-5a, 56.4% Obama. Or whatever you want to call it. 22 Las Vegas Outer NW 103912, 64w-15h-10b-6a, 49.7% Obama, R avg 23 North Las Vegas N, 104197, 43w-26h-17b-9a, 63.4% Obama 24 North Las Vegas S, 98182, 57h-25b-13w, 84.9% Obama 25 Sunrise Manor W, 96390, 57h-24w-11b, 70.2% Obama 26 Sunrise Manor E - Nellis, 103857, 36h-35w-16b-8a, 63.4% Obama. White VAP plurality. 27 East Las Vegas 95615, 40w-38h-10b-8a, 66.7% Obama Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on October 07, 2012, 06:15:42 AM Hawai'i. 14 districts.
Fun to draw. Would need much higher tolerance in order not to draw ugly cross-island districts though. Racial format is Asian - White - Other - Hispanic for all districts, though Hispanic is below 5.0 in two of them (but rounds up). Blacks peak at 4.2% in one of the military districts. That is according to the DRA. I just learned something about the DRA that I'd never have noticed without opening Hawai'i. I knew, of course, that it's racial categories other than Hispanic are for Non-Hispanic X Only respondents. However, the DRA's Other category does not consist, as I always thought, of Non-Hispanic Some Other Race Only plus Non-Hispanic Two or More Races plus Non-Hispanic Pacific Islander, but only the first two. Pacific Islander Onlies (9.5% of Hawai'i's population) are instead collated with Asian Onlies. This gets particularly bizarre because the 4.7% of Hawai'is population who are Asian and Pacific Islander but no third race are not included but instead summed as Other. Now Hawai'i is 38% Asian (47% according to DRA), 23% White, 9.5% Pacific Islander, 9% Hispanic, 1.5% Black and 19% all sorts of mixes (4.7% A-PI like Dan Akaka, 4.2% A-W, 2.5% W-PI like Tulsi Gabbard, 6.3% all three, etc pp.) So, summary for the quick reader: "Asian" is pure Asian or pure Pacific Islander, a category that makes no sense whatsoever. "Other" is, basically, Non-Hispanic Mixed Race. Also, remember how hugely well Obama did when contemplating the presidential figures. () Hawai'i E 96762, 37-25-25-12, 79.0% Obama. More Whites than Mixeds. Hawai'i W - Maui E - Lana'i 93738, 29-37-22-11, 73.3% Obama. Including Lana'i here helped prevent an insensible split of Maui. Maui N 92657, 42-26-21-10, 79.4% Obama Koko Head - Waimanalo - Moloka'i - Maui W 100380, 37-35-19-8, 70.4% Obama. Yeah, I know this crosses a well-defined line on O'ahu. But you really need to draw the island from the populated part of the interior, which opens south to Pearl Harbor, and this is what that gets you. Kailua - Kane'ohe Bay 101893, 33-32-25-9, 68.9% Obama Honolulu East 99812, 56-23-16-5, 71.7% Obama Honolulu Capitol - Manoa 96803, 60-20-14-5, 73.1% Obama Honolulu Harbor - Punchbowl 99301, 71-9-14-5, 71.6% Obama. The named divisions are because the centre of town is split, basically. Honolulu West - Halawa Heights 95481, 54-20-13-8, 71.0% Obama Pearl City - Waimalu - Village Park 96615, 58-13-18-8, 71.0% Obama Mililani Town - Wahiawa 95630, 43-22-20-11, 67.7% Obama Waipahu - 'Ewa Beach 92224, 61-11-17-9, 66.6% Obama. Precinct size constraints. O'ahu W 96103, 42-13-29-14, 67.5% Obama Kaua'i - O'ahu N 101543, 37-31-21-9, 72.3% Obama () Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on October 07, 2012, 08:06:43 AM There appear to be unfindable block groups in Alaska, with a combined population of 14,000 people.
Anyways, Fairbanks North Star Borough would be one district, the Panhandle, Valdez-Cordova, and the southeastern parts of Kenai Peninsula would be the second district, everything else outside of Anchorage including the rural fringes of Mat-Su would be the third district, there would be a Mat-Su district ending just north of Eagle Creek within official Anchorage, a Kenai - SW Anchorage district (there's a ferry somewhere?), and two wholly Anchorage districts one of them also covering Eagle Creek and the military bases. Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on October 07, 2012, 09:38:08 AM ()
1 Scottsbluff 97261, 84w, 12 h, 69.9% McCain 2 North Platte 102615, 85w, 12 h, 70.9% McCain 3 Kearney - Hastings 103603, 91w, 67.8% McCain 4 North Central (no towns of any size here) 99508, 96w, 71.2% McCain 5 Dakota City - Fremont 97729, 80w, 13h, 56.7% McCain 6 Columbus - Norfolk 101291, 83w, 14h, 68.6% McCain 7 Grand Island 101189, 82w, 15h, 66.5% McCain 8 South East (maybe dead0 could find "Beatrice - Nebraska City", but even of that I'd not be too sure) 99017, 92w, 57.3% McCain 9 Lincoln North - Seward 98464, 83w, 49.5% Obama, R avg 10 Lincoln E 99089, 81w, 58.1% Obama 11 Lincoln S 104604, 91w, 52.1% McCain 12 Bellevue 102115, 80w, 56.6% McCain 13 West Sarpy - Plattsmouth 102746, 93w, 59.1% McCain 14 West Douglas 102699, 89w, 60.1% McCain 15 Omaha Millard - Ralston 105266, 87w, 55.4% McCain 16 Omaha West 104559, 83w, 50.8% Obama, R avg 17 Omaha North 104171, 46w, 39b, white VAP majority, 73.7% Obama 18 Omaha South 100415, 54 w, 35 h, 60.1% Obama () Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on October 07, 2012, 01:43:10 PM 29 district Kansas. Clockwise from Topeka.
() 1 Topeka W 97045, 85, 53.7% McCain 2 Topeka E 93942, 68w-15h-11b, 54.4% Obama 3 Lawrence 97773, 80, 67.0% Obama 4 Lenexa 99241, 84, 55.9% McCain 5 Olathe 100766, 76w-12h, 55.7% McCain 6 Overland Park S - Spring Hill - Gardner (or just S Johnson for short) 99958, 84, 61.4% McCain 7 Overland Park 99964, 80, 49.5% McCain. Areas snipped to the north and south. 174 votes margin. 8 Merriam - Mission - Prairie Village - Leawood (or just NE Johnson for short) 100670, 87, 49.4% Obama. 14 votes margin! 9 Kansas City W - Shawnee 101933, 71w-15h, 52.1% Obama 10 Kansas City E 96485, 33b-32h-29w, 79.7% Obama. White plurality VAP. () 11 whatever you want to call this; Miami, Franklin, Osage, Coffee and Linn Counties and Edgerton from Johnson County to bring it within tolerance. 95998, 94, 63.0% McCain 12 Crawford, Bourbon, Cherokee, Labette 97513, 89, 55.0% McCain. They all have their semi-sizable town. 13 Chanute - Coffeyville - Eureka 9 counties, 99412, 89, 66.1% McCain 14 Emporia - El Dorado 5 1/2 counties, 94862, 85, 61.0% McCain. Had to do a fine cut of Butler to keep within tolerance. 15 Sumner, Cowley, S Butler 93577, 88, 64.8% McCain. This is 4804 below quota. () 16 Wichita E - Oaklawn 101600, 68w-10b, 54.5% McCain 17 Wichita C 95972, 37w-27h-26b, 69.0% Obama 18 Wichita W 100824, 75w-15h, 54.9% McCain 19 Wichita S - Derby 98413, 83, 61.2% McCain 20 Wichita NW - Park City 101552, 86, 66.4% McCain 21 Hutchinson - Newton (or Reno - Harvey if you use county names) 99188, 86, 59.6% McCain 22 Dodge City, 15 counties, 96268 haven't gotten the hell out of Dodge yet, 74w-22h, 70.8% McCain 23 24 Hays - NW Kansas 21 counties, 99249, 92, 75.2% McCain. Hays is by far the largest town but it's also on the edge of the district. 25 Great Bend - Russell - McPherson 7 counties, 93876, 90, 70.5% McCain 26 Salina 5 counties, 99519, 88, 66.7% McCain 27 Manhattan - Junction City 103164, 73w-10b, 52.8% McCain 28 Atchison - Marysville 9 counties and a bit of Riley, 103266, 91, 65.8% McCain. Took fine balancing - 4885 over quota. 29 Leavenworth ( - Jefferson) 95353, 83, 55.7% McCain Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: WMS on October 09, 2012, 04:18:43 PM New Mexico. 21 districts. 2 figures is Anglo-Hispanic, 3 is Anglo-Hispanic-Native. () Rio Rancho - Bernalillo (the town), 98222, 51-40, 51.5% Obama, R avg Albuquerque North - Los Ranchos - Corrales, 99999 (lol), 45-47 (Anglo VAP plurality), 60.4% Obama Albuquerque North West ("Petroglyph" if you want named divisions), 101872, 30-61, 62.5% Obama Albuquerque South West ("Five Points - Los Padillas"? Much of this is actually outside city limits) 97607, 14-80, 71.7% Obama Albuquerque North East ("Paseo del Norte"), 97108, 63-26, 50.8% McCain Albuquerque East Central ("Nob Hill - Uptown"), 95232, 55-33, 67.3% Obama Albuquerque South East ("Manzano Hills"?) - East Bernalillo, 97435, 58-30, 51.3% Obama, R avg Albuquerque South ("Old Town") - Isleta - Peralta, 95942, 28-58-7, 71.9% Obama. Isleta Pueblo. Sorry for that, the next district had to lose population, Albquerque had to pick up some, and the Isleta are totally in the way. Valencia (bulk) - Cibola - Zuni, one county and parts of three more, 97965, 29-47-21, 59.9% Obama. Acoma, Laguna, Zuni, and the Ramah and Canoncito Navajo enclaves (the latter is why the cut into Bernalillo) Navajoland (part on the cool side of the stateline), part of two counties, 94713, 10-11-77, 68.2% Obama Farmington, 98308, 54-24-19, 68.8% McCain. Loads of Navajo in this natural ressources town just offrez, obviously. Silver City - Deming - Socorro, five whole counties, 93082, 46-49 (Anglo VAP majority), 54.5% Obama, R avg Ahem. >:( What is this heresy of splitting the West Side to assuage the North Valley? That light green district is an abomination before the Zia symbol! :P There might as well be a damn wall between the North Valley and the West Side given how radically their interests diverge - free the West Side! :D Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: jimrtex on October 10, 2012, 07:46:36 PM 79 Hopkins - Franklin - Titus - Morris - Camp 103435, 65 w, 22 h, 11 b, 68.2% McCain. I kinda wonder where the Hispanic presence here comes from? Pilgrim's Pride used to be HQ'ed in Pittsburg (Camp), and has a processing plant in Mount Pleasant (Titus). Titus is 40% Hispanic and Camp 21%, the other 3 are much lower. Perestroika, Texas-style (http://www.chron.com/CDA/archives/archive.mpl/1989_636917/perestroika-texas-style.html) () Pilgrim's Pride has been acquired by the Brazilian company, JBS, and as you would expect has moved its HQ to Greeley, Colorado. Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on October 12, 2012, 05:34:19 AM New Mexico. 21 districts. 2 figures is Anglo-Hispanic, 3 is Anglo-Hispanic-Native. () Rio Rancho - Bernalillo (the town), 98222, 51-40, 51.5% Obama, R avg Albuquerque North - Los Ranchos - Corrales, 99999 (lol), 45-47 (Anglo VAP plurality), 60.4% Obama Albuquerque North West ("Petroglyph" if you want named divisions), 101872, 30-61, 62.5% Obama Albuquerque South West ("Five Points - Los Padillas"? Much of this is actually outside city limits) 97607, 14-80, 71.7% Obama Albuquerque North East ("Paseo del Norte"), 97108, 63-26, 50.8% McCain Albuquerque East Central ("Nob Hill - Uptown"), 95232, 55-33, 67.3% Obama Albuquerque South East ("Manzano Hills"?) - East Bernalillo, 97435, 58-30, 51.3% Obama, R avg Albuquerque South ("Old Town") - Isleta - Peralta, 95942, 28-58-7, 71.9% Obama. Isleta Pueblo. Sorry for that, the next district had to lose population, Albquerque had to pick up some, and the Isleta are totally in the way. Valencia (bulk) - Cibola - Zuni, one county and parts of three more, 97965, 29-47-21, 59.9% Obama. Acoma, Laguna, Zuni, and the Ramah and Canoncito Navajo enclaves (the latter is why the cut into Bernalillo) Navajoland (part on the cool side of the stateline), part of two counties, 94713, 10-11-77, 68.2% Obama Farmington, 98308, 54-24-19, 68.8% McCain. Loads of Navajo in this natural ressources town just offrez, obviously. Silver City - Deming - Socorro, five whole counties, 93082, 46-49 (Anglo VAP majority), 54.5% Obama, R avg Ahem. >:( What is this heresy of splitting the West Side to assuage the North Valley? That light green district is an abomination before the Zia symbol! :P There might as well be a damn wall between the North Valley and the West Side given how radically their interests diverge - free the West Side! :D The West Side doesn't fit into two districts, there needs to be one cross-river district. Or maybe one could draw some areas on the far West Side into a mostly non-metropolitan district and add Edgewood to the southeastern district or something. One thing that does work - that I had in most early drafts before deciding that changing it made things easier in Bernalillo County - is a Rio Rancho-Corrales district instead of the Rio Rancho-Bernalillo shown here. Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on October 12, 2012, 08:37:26 AM ()
Listed minorities from 5% on up. Northern Minnesota needs some extra county splits to make any sense. 1 Duluth 100135, 90, 67.7% Obama. Includes the suburban municipalities of Hermantown, Proctor and Midway. 2 Carlton - Aitkin - Lake Superior 102372, 93, 58.7% Obama 3 Iron Range 103529, 95, 61.5% Obama 4 Bemidji - Reservations 101848, 77-18n, 51.6% Obama 5 Brainerd 103931, 96, 54.6% McCain 6 Northwest Minnesota 95079, 93, 49.7% Obama 7 Fargo - Detroit Lakes 98881, 92, 50.4% Obama 8 Alexandria - Fergus Falls 95441, 96, 53.1% McCain 9 Little Falls 100429, 94, 54.7% McCain. Leftovers district. Might be better to list counties seeing it's composed of four whole ones (Morrison, Todd, Mille Lacs, Kanabec) 10 Sherburne - Benton 98058, 95, 59.2% McCain. His best result in the state. 11 Saint Cloud 103664, 87-6b, 51.0% Obama. Includes the suburban municipalities of Sartell, Sauk Rapids, Waite Park and Le Sauk, is in three counties like the city is, and is technically noncontiguous because the city is towards the southwest and I didn't want to split another municipality (couldn't cover it whole). 12 Stearns - Pope - Stevens 96591, 95, 55.4% McCain 13 Willmar 103493, 90-7h, 50.0% McCain 14 Southwest Minnesota 98786, 92, 50.4% McCain. What else can you call this? (The ugly beigegreen that DRA calls olive.) 15 New Ulm - Fairmont - Worthington 101275, 87-10h, 52.7% McCain 16 Mankato 104100, 91, 52.4% Obama. Really hard to tell on the map, but does include the city of North Mankato. 17 Nicollet - Le Sueur - Sibley - McLeod 98913, 92-5h, 53.1% McCain 18 Rice - Steele 100718, 87-7h, 51.3% Obama 19 Albert Lea - Austin (yeah yeah I'm going back and forth between towns and counties in names. So sue me) 98280, 89-8h, 56.8% Obama 20 Winona - Houston - South Olmsted 95895, 95, 53.3% Obama 21 Rochester 104220, 79-7a-6b-5h, 53.7% Obama. Excludes the two southernmost precincts which are in 20. 22 Goodhue - Webster - Dodge - North Olmsted 102567, 94, 50.9% McCain () 23 South Dakota 96589, 90, 50.0% McCain 24 North Dakota 99074, 78-10h, 57.5% Obama. Eagan and Inver Grove Heights split. 25 Burnsville - Eagan South 97851, 76-8b-7h-6a, 53.7% Obama 26 Lakeville - Apple Valley 105038, 85, 50.4% McCain 27 Scott (excl. Savage) 103017, 85, 55.5% McCain 28 Bloomington (bulk) - Savage 104053, 77-7a-7b-6h, 54.0% Obama 29 Eden Prairie - Minnetonka (bulk - Bloomington NW) 104622, 85-6a, 52.6% Obama 30 Plymouth - New Hope - Minnetonka NE 102946, 80-7b-6a, 54.7% Obama 31 Saint Louis Park - Golden Valley - Robbinsdale - Crystal 101725, 80-9b, 65.6% Obama 32 Edina - Richfield - Hopkins 100760, 75-9h-7b-7a, 59.9% Obama 33 Minneapolis Southwest 97285, 84-5b, 80.3% Obama 34 Minneapolis South 97652, 48-23h-19b, 84.0% Obama. Best in the state. White majority VAP. 35 Minneapolis East 97009, 73-9b-7h-6a, 77.2% Obama. Includes Saint Anthony (portion in Hennepin) 36 Minneapolis North 95937, 39b-37-11a-7h, 82.4% Obama. White plurality VAP, but only district without a White plurality overall in the state. Idea of the Minneapolis map is to keep the lilywhite bits in just two districts and see what can be done, basically. 37 Brooklyn Park (bulk) - Brooklyn Center 100484, 49-25b-15a-8h, 62.5% Obama. White majority VAP. 38 Maple Grove - Champlin 97104, 84-6a, 51.4% McCain 39 Lake Minnetonka - NW Hennepin - Saint Michael 96864, 93, 56.6% McCain 40 Carver - Minnetrista 99709, 91, 56.9% McCain 41 Wright (bulk) 98928, 94, 56.9% McCain 42 Isanti - Pine - North Chisago 98586, 93, 53.1% McCain 43 Northeast Anoka - North Washington - South Chisago 96068, 94, 54.7% McCain. What could you name this district, I wonder? 44 Lake Saint Croix - Oakdale 98582, 88, 52.3% Obama 45 Woodbury - Cottage Grove (bulk - three smaller places) 98080, 80-8a, 52.8% Obama 46 Northwest Anoka 95798, 91, 56.7% McCain 47 Blaine - Lino Lake 99173, 84-6a, 49.4% Obama 48 Coon Rapids - Fridley (bulk) - Columbia Heights 104146, 78-8b-6h, 54.5% Obama 49 Northwest Ramsey 104335, 81-8a-5b, 56.7% Obama 50 Northeast Ramsey 104714, 82-8a, 54.9% Obama 51 Saint Paul North 101643, 31-28a-24b-12h, 78.7% Obama. Quite a lot of Asians here. Gerried, of course. 52 Saint Paul South & East 100665, 62-12b-12h-11a, 71.7% Obama. And that southern tail of Maplewood. 53 Saint Paul West 97283, 79-9b, 74.7% Obama Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on October 12, 2012, 11:28:11 AM ()
1 Davenport 103931, 77-10b-7h, 61.7% Obama. Includes Buffalo township 2 Bettendorf - Muscatine 104043, 87-8h, 52.0% Obama 3 Burlington 100639, 89, 56.8% Obama 4 Ottumwa 96728, 92, 51.4% Obama 5 Iowa City 101200, 80-6a-6b-5h, 72.7% Obama. Includes Coralville and North Liberty 6 Donut No.1 96746, 95, 53.3% Obama 7 Cedar Rapids S 105143, 87-6b, 65.8% Obama. Includes the bulk of the city, and areas on the right bank of the Cedar River outside it. 8 Marion - Cedar Rapids N 106083, 92, 54.7% Obama 9 Clinton 98598, 94, 59.3% Obama. Extends to Dubuque city limits. 10 Dubuque 102421, 93, 58.6% Obama 11 North East Iowa (what else do you call these six counties?) 104940, 96, 58.7% Obama 12 Mason City 101035, 94, 57.2% Obama 13 Waterloo 105691, 81-11b, 62.1% Obama. Includes the large suburb of Cedar Falls except for the one precinct on the left bank of the Cedar River. 14 Donut No.2 97486, 96, 51.9% Obama 15 Fort Dodge 96726, 92, 50.3% Obama 16 Marshalltown 103405, 87-9h, 53.6% Obama 17 Newton - Marion - Mahaska 98711, 95, 51.4% McCain. Had to go by counties here. Also includes three townships of Polk County. 18 Ames 97685, 88-6a, 55.6% Obama. Includes six townships of Polk County. 19 Ankeny - Johnston - Altoona 99296, 93, 50.8% McCain. Northern suburbs of Des Moines. 20 Des Moines North East 100288, 60-17h-14b-6a, 68.9% Obama. Includes everything on the left bank of the Des Moines River and also everything right by the river on the right bank. This happens (give or take a couple of precincts for cleaner lines) to also be the best minorities-concentrating gerrymander possible without excising the far northeast of the city. 21 Des Moines South West 103125, 80-8h-6b, 64.8% Obama. Interesting that 20 points fewer Whites makes so little difference to presidential results. 22 West Des Moines - Urbandale 102060, 87-5h, 50.8% Obama. The southwest corner of Polk County. 23 six counties and three remaining townships southeast of Des Moines 106500, 95, 50.0% McCain. Yes, that's within tolerance - 4955 above the ideal. Iowa was very close to another district. 24 Dallas - Boone - Greene 101777, 91, 49.8% McCain 25 South West Iowa 99818, 96, 53.2% McCain. 10 1/2 counties. 26 Council Bluffs 103115, 90-6h, 50.9% McCain 27 what do you call these eight counties between Sioux City and Council Bluffs? 97808, 93-5h, 50.5% McCain 28 or these eight counties east of the northwest corner district? 105985, 90-7h, 50.7% McCain 29 North West Iowa 103203, 93-5h, 69.0% McCain. Ye who follow this thread are demography buffs and know this. But it's amazing nonetheless. The Gereformeerde enclave. 30 Sioux City 102172, 78-14h, 49.6% McCain. Finally a district coterminous with a county. Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: Filuwaúrdjan on October 12, 2012, 12:04:01 PM This stuff is greatness, obviously. Will probably use the maps as a starting point if I ever decide to waste time on the old 'how would place x vote with party system y' thing.
Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on October 13, 2012, 11:30:44 AM ()
Missouri. 60 districts. DRA provides "averages" in addition to Obama-McCain figures, but though marginally more democratic overall and disagreeing with presidential to varying degrees they flip only two districts. Sort of an S-shape to the numbering. Hannibal (6 counties) 98206, 91, 58.8% McCain North East Missouri (11 counties. If you want a placename Kirkville is largest - not that that's saying, well, anything - and is fairly central) 100167, 94, 56.1% McCain North West Missouri (a further 10 counties. Why exactly is North Missouri so empty? How is it different from Iowa just to the north?) 98614, 94, 60.6% McCain Saint Joseph 98274, 87, 50.4% McCain Platte - South Buchanan 97540, 85-5b, 53.0% McCain () Kansas City North West - Gladstone 97849, 78-8h-8b, 52.9% Obama Kansas City North East - Liberty - Kearney 97838, 88, 52.6% McCain North Clay - Richmond - Carrollton (I guess that'll do for a name) 97039, 95, 54.8% McCain Kansas City Central 97307, 45b-25w-24h, 88.1% Obama Kansas City South West 98788, 73-15b-7h, 67.7% Obama Kansas City South East 96439, 65b-25w-5h, 86.2% Obama Grandview - Raytown - Lee's Summit South - Little Blue Valley 104630, 68-22b-5h, 54.2% Obama. Yeah, effectively (not technically) touchpoint contiguity at that one point in the Blue Parkway; Grandview and Raytown are both democratic inner suburbs with some Black presence, seemingly quite unlike anything further in or further out, and two ribbon constituencies just wouldn't have done them justice. There were also population constraints in eastern Jackson unless I wanted to randomly enlarge the KC seats. (The Little Blue Valley area east of Raytown is technically part of the city but...) Lee's Summit North - Blue Springs 104320, 84-7b, 53.7% McCain Independence (bulk of) 102238, 82-8h-5b, 51.8% Obama East Jackson - Lafayette 103817, 91, 56.0% McCain Cass 99478, 90, 59.2% McCain. Coterminous with county. Boonville - Moberly - Centralia (if you want a name. Five counties and more-populated-than-it-looks bit of Boone, including the town of Centralia.) 101098, 89-5b, 58.7% McCain Columbia West 98712, 79-9b-5a, 59.0% Obama. Includes the bulk of the city. Columbia East - Callaway 99300, 86-8b, 52.4% McCain Jefferson City 99044, 87-9b, 64.1% McCain. Missouri's state government remains a mystery to me. Is it really elsewhere with just the Governor's Mansion and legislative chambers parked here in the middle of nowhere? Warren - Lincoln - Montgomery 97315, 94, 55.6% McCain () Harvester - Weldon Spring - Dardenne (or just Saint Charles South West. But as two to three placenames work better everywhere else in St Louis and St Charles Counties...) 97109, 90, 58.4% McCain O'Fallon - Wentzville 99328, 90, 55.2% McCain Saint Peters 96459, 90, 52.7% McCain Saint Charles - Maryland Heights 100873, 81-8b, 52.3% Obama. Crossbridge district. Florissant - Hazelwood - Bridgeton 104242, 67-26b, 62.5% Obama Spanish Lake - Bellefontaine 96483, 69b-27w, 82.9% Obama Jennings - Ferguson - Saint John (third name picked at random from the several small places by the airport) 96036, 71b-23w, 87.1% Obama University City - Overland - Hamilton Heights 102836, 59b-34w, 85.9% Obama. Hamilton Heights being a city neighborhood. City's just barely too large to fit three districts, and I shored up the Black majority here... though that also meant that one Black, one White, one Mixed (the obvious setup for Saint Louis) came out Whites ahead in VAP in the mixed district. Saint Louis North 98100, 85b-11w, 95.7% Obama. And that's not a maxpack. Saint Louis South East 100015, 45b-42w-6h, 86.0% Obama. White plurality (and nearish a majority) on VAP. Saint Louis South West 101070, 79-10b, 67.7% Obama Oakville - Mehlville - Lemay 95546, 93, 52.4% McCain, D avg Affton - Crestwood 97611, 92, 51.5% Obama Webster Groves - Brentwood - Ladue 98040, 82-9b-5a, 60.1% Obama Kirkwood - Creve Coeur 103709, 83-6a-6b, 50.3% Obama Chesterfield - Wildwood 103969, 88-6a, 61.7% McCain Ballwin - Castlewood - High Ridge 104035, 90, 53.9% McCain. Crosses into Jefferson. North East Jefferson 99498, 95, 50.5% Obama. If you wanna go by placenames, one is Arnold but nothing really suggests for the second. South Jefferson 102507, 96, 51.0% Obama () Franklin (bulk) - Gasconade 98308, 96, 57.0% McCain 5 counties - bit of Franklin 97849, 96, 53.6% McCain, barest of bare D avg's. Franklin County could have fit into a district of its own, but then what to do with Gasconade? Putting it with Jefferson City instead of Maries is barely too large. Putting it all into this lime leftovers district that is ugly even as is is incredibly ugly - and barely too small to boot. (Though you could draft in Shannon, not necessary in the district it's in and not too bad a fit here either.) This map does ugly things to the iron country around St Francois / Iron / Washington even as is. Saint Francois - Sainte Genevieve - Perry 102475, 95, 52.2% McCain. It's all the fault of Perry County. One fifth of the district produces all the McCain victory margin (plus 117 votes more) and cancels out the not-so-tiny D avg lead (and goes about 349 votes beyond that). And really, really belongs with places to the South culturally, historically etc. But damn me if I can find a way to make the map of South East Missouri, which works very well without it, to work with it. It's no go. So this ugly map that's rural-Dems-shafting to boot it is. Cape Girardeau 97476, 90-6b, 66.5% McCain Bootheel - Sikeston 100952, 77-18b, 58.3% McCain Poplar Bluff (though really, I guess, you'd be better off listing the four counties: Butler - Stoddard - Wayne - Bollinger) 98646, 94, 67.5% McCain 7 Ozark Counties 103494, 96, 62.7% McCain Webster - Wright - Texas - Dent 96682, 95, 65.9% McCain Phelps - Pulaski 97430, 81-7b-6h, 61.7% McCain. Fort Leonard Wood, in case you're wondering about the demographics. Lake of the Ozarks 101296, 96, 63.3% McCain Pettis - Johnson - North West Benton 101871, 88, 57.9% McCain. There's an Air Force Base here. 7 counties between Joplin and Kansas City. "Truman", if you're an Australian. 104552, 95, 61.8% McCain Joplin 103030, 85-7h, 65.1% McCain Newton - McDonald - Outer Jasper 95571, 87-6h, 69.3% McCain Laclede etc pp 98009, 95, 64.4% McCain. Dip into Greene is for this district's benefit, Greene map could have been drawn without it. East Greene 101583, 92, 61.8% McCain. Includes some areas on the eastern and southern edge of the city of Springfield. Springfield (bulk) 100976, 85-5b, 51.8% Obama. Entirely within city limits. South West Greene - Nixa 103220, 93, 64.1% McCain. Nixa being a suburb in Christian County. Taney - Christian (bulk) 102539, 93, 68.1% McCain. Dip into Stone County covers Branson West. Should just be called "Branson", I guess. Barry - Lawrence - Stone (bulk) 97489, 91-6h, 67.4% McCain. Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on October 13, 2012, 01:17:18 PM ()
All the problems - unfindable block groups, and a wrong state population total for some reason - still exist. I calculated that population totals independently (I also have an error, I note. My totals are 36 above the correct state total) and drew the map as it should look in the DRA. Racial data come from the DRA nonetheless. Panhandle - Cordova - Homer 100890 (99585 by DRA), 69w, 14n, 8m. That stands for mixed, or what the DRA terms other. Anchorage South - Kenai 102803 (100907), 78w, 6m, 5n, 5a Anchorage Central 104931 (100397), 58w, 12a, 9n, 8h, 8m Anchorage North - Eagle River 105189 (96839), 59w-9a-9h-8b-8m-7n. Of course the Blackest part of Alaska is the most heavily military part. Matanuska-Susitna - Birchwood 98520 (98520), 83w-6m-5n Outer Alaska 100353 (100337), 53n-31w-7a-5m. No Native majority in VAP (though there is in Native Alone or in Combination, presumably.) This is one huge baby of a district. Fairbanks North Star 97581 (96445), 74w-7n-6m-6h. Identical to borough, hence why I retained the borough's cutesy name. Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: Linus Van Pelt on October 13, 2012, 01:27:27 PM Outer Alaska 100353 (100337), 53n-31w-7a-5m. No Native majority in VAP (though there is in Native Alone or in Combination, presumably.) This is one huge baby of a district. Who are the Asians here? Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on October 13, 2012, 01:28:54 PM Ketchikan fish canners, off the top of my head. Some more on Unalaska IIRC.
EDIT: And it appears that I just misspelled Kodiak as "Ketchikan". Lol. Looking it up, and Kodiak Island is good for "only" a third of the district's Asian population. (It's a seventh of the district after all.) The Aleutians actually have higher percentages (but smaller totals). Must be some more Asians scattered elsewhere, maybe in the oil industry. The Kodiak and Aleutian Asians are mostly Filipinos. Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: muon2 on October 13, 2012, 01:33:15 PM Hawai'i. 14 districts. Fun to draw. Would need much higher tolerance in order not to draw ugly cross-island districts though. So, summary for the quick reader: "Asian" is pure Asian or pure Pacific Islander, a category that makes no sense whatsoever. "Other" is, basically, Non-Hispanic Mixed Race. Also, remember how hugely well Obama did when contemplating the presidential figures. () Hawai'i E 96762, 37-25-25-12, 79.0% Obama. More Whites than Mixeds. Hawai'i W - Maui E - Lana'i 93738, 29-37-22-11, 73.3% Obama. Including Lana'i here helped prevent an insensible split of Maui. Maui N 92657, 42-26-21-10, 79.4% Obama Koko Head - Waimanalo - Moloka'i - Maui W 100380, 37-35-19-8, 70.4% Obama. Yeah, I know this crosses a well-defined line on O'ahu. But you really need to draw the island from the populated part of the interior, which opens south to Pearl Harbor, and this is what that gets you. Kailua - Kane'ohe Bay 101893, 33-32-25-9, 68.9% Obama Honolulu East 99812, 56-23-16-5, 71.7% Obama Honolulu Capitol - Manoa 96803, 60-20-14-5, 73.1% Obama Honolulu Harbor - Punchbowl 99301, 71-9-14-5, 71.6% Obama. The named divisions are because the centre of town is split, basically. Honolulu West - Halawa Heights 95481, 54-20-13-8, 71.0% Obama Pearl City - Waimalu - Village Park 96615, 58-13-18-8, 71.0% Obama Mililani Town - Wahiawa 95630, 43-22-20-11, 67.7% Obama Waipahu - 'Ewa Beach 92224, 61-11-17-9, 66.6% Obama. Precinct size constraints. O'ahu W 96103, 42-13-29-14, 67.5% Obama Kaua'i - O'ahu N 101543, 37-31-21-9, 72.3% Obama () Within your tolerances you could draw 10 districts on Oahu and 4 for the other islands. You'd still split Maui 3 ways but the west end and nearby islands would link to Kauai. Those four districts can be between 4-5K over. That avoids at least two of the cross-island splits to Oahu which would average 2K below for the districts. Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on October 13, 2012, 01:44:21 PM The four outer islands districts would need a combined surplus of 18,438. A bit of playing around tells me it could be done with a moderate degree of disregard towards geography and one split precinct, and perhaps it could be done without split precincts and a total disregard towards any sense of logic whatsoever, but I believe I'll pass. Kauai is 200 miles from Maui.
Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: muon2 on October 13, 2012, 02:44:18 PM The four outer islands districts would need a combined surplus of 18,438. A bit of playing around tells me it could be done with a moderate degree of disregard towards geography and one split precinct, and perhaps it could be done without split precincts and a total disregard towards any sense of logic whatsoever, but I believe I'll pass. Kauai is 200 miles from Maui. No precinct splits are needed and it makes as much sense geographically to link Kauai to Molokai and Lanai (with a little piece of Maui) as it does to link Kauai to Oahu. If you have to fly between the islands why not just fly from Kauai to Molokai. Politically I suspect that the other islands would just as soon not be linked to Oahu in a district if it wasn't necessary. Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on October 14, 2012, 04:06:40 AM Ketchikan fish canners, off the top of my head. Some more on Unalaska IIRC. EDIT: And it appears that I just misspelled Kodiak as "Ketchikan". Lol. Looking it up, and Kodiak Island is good for "only" a third of the district's Asian population. (It's a seventh of the district after all.) The Aleutians actually have higher percentages (but smaller totals). Must be some more Asians scattered elsewhere, maybe in the oil industry. The Kodiak and Aleutian Asians are mostly Filipinos. Quote from: wikipedia Akutan is a fishing community, and is the site of a traditional Unangan village. Approximately 75 persons are year-round residents; the majority of the population are transient fish processing workers that live in group quarters. During the 2000 U.S. Census, total housing units numbered 38, and vacant housing units numbered 4. U.S. Census data for Year 2000 showed 97 residents as employed. The unemployment rate at that time was 83.89 percent, although 84.84 percent of all adults were not in the work force. The 2010 Census records the city as having 1027 residents, of whom 437 are Asian, 214 are Hispanic, 178 are Black, 94 are White and 56 are Native. The Black population wasn't here in 2000, I'd be very surprised if they are US Blacks.Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on October 14, 2012, 01:02:58 PM You may need good eyes, but everything you need to see is in these two maps. (Adding pink town lines to a map like that above makes it much harder to look at.) 57 seats. I *think* the "averages" are 2010 averages. Some of these R average seats (by tiny margins, these) are just plain hilarious. Then again, so are some of the Obama wins, I suppose.
() () 1 Kenosha City 96596, 69-17h-10b, 65.2% Obama. City only. 2 Kenosha County - Burlington - Waterford 102190, 91-5h, 52.3% McCain 3 Racine City 97519, 58-19b-19h, 65.7% Obama. Includes part of Mount Pleasant township. 4 Racine County - Franklin 100980, 87, 55.6% McCain 5 West Allis - Greenfield West - Greendale - Hales Corners 100539, 85-8h, 49.4% Obama, R avg. The only wholly Milwaukee County district to not include any part of the city. 6 Wauwatosa - Far West Side - West Milwaukee 95448, 78-12b-6h, 57.0% Obama 7 Oak Creek - South Milwaukee - Cudahy - Saint Francis 100309, 83-10h, 51.8% Obama, R avg. Includes only a small section of the city, west of the airport. 8 Milwaukee South - Greenfield East 104248, 75-16h, 58.4% Obama. I had originally envisaged a "Milwaukee Lakeside" type of White Man's District but that forced the northwest district into Black territory and the Black districts into White territory on the West Side, which is... not nice when preventable. This is if anything even uglier but works better, all told. (As it happens, I had previously drawn the map without the jutdown from Ozaukee because though I was counting on it initially, it really, really doesn't work with the Lakeside district. I actually had the map for the northern suburb counties without it finished before I decided to go back to the drawing board in Milwaukee.) 9 Milwaukee Walker's Point - Polonia 97709, 68h-19w-8b, 78.6% Obama 10 Milwaukee Westown - Near North Side (I guess will do for a name) 97903, 72b-15w-5h, 92.3% Obama 11 Milwaukee Lincoln Creek - Uptown (ditto) 95233, 80b-11w, 92.8% Obama 12 Milwaukee North West 100858, 63b-24w-6a, 82.8% Obama 13 Milwaukee North East - Glendale - Shorewood - Whitefish Bay - Fox Point 102141, 83-7b, 68.8% Obama 14 Ozaukee - Brown Deer - River Hills - Bayside (why not list all the municipalities of Milwaukee County in constituency names?) 104291, 89, 56.6% McCain 15 East Washington 104354, 94, 64.0% McCain 16 Dodge (bulk) - West Washington 101759, 92, 56.0% McCain 17 Jefferson - South Dodge 98219, 91-6h, 50.4% McCain 18 NW Waukesha (bewildering number of local governments here, can't decide on two or three for a name) 97810, 95, 65.7% McCain. Lisbon township is split with 19. 19 NE Waukesha (Broomfield - Menomonee Falls) 95454, 90, 62.6% McCain 20 CWaukesha (Waukesha - Pewaukee) 101212, 84-9h, 57.2% McCain. The two cities and the two townships of those two names. 21 S Waukesha (New Berlin - Muskego - Mukwonago) 95415, 94, 63.4% McCain 22 Walworth 102228, 87-10h, 50.4% McCain. Whole county. 23 Janesville - Beloit 102048, 80-10h-7b, 66.1% Obama. The two cities and La Prairie and Turtle townships, which are not only the ones the interstate runs through but also much lower on population than their western neighbors of Rock and Beloit. 24 Rock (remainder) - Green 95125, 94, 60.8% Obama 25 SE Dane 97365, 86-7h, 66.5% Obama. Just notice it's not covered in either map - the two southwesternmost townships of Dane County are included in NW Dane - Lodi. 26 Madison E - Sun Prairie 102575, 78-8b-7h, 71.6% Obama. Includes Sun Prairie city, Burke and Blooming Grove townships, and McFarland village. 27 Madison C - Monona 97008, 77-8h-7b-6a, 82.5% Obama. Includes Monona city, Madison township and Maple Bluff village. 28 Madison E 97056, 77-9a-6b-6h, 76.3% Obama. Includes Middleton township (but not the city of the same name) and Shorewood Hills village. 29 NW Dane - Lodi 103990, 93, 64.2% Obama. My apologies to Columbia County, which has been split three ways. Dane could stay alone, but I needed to get some population out of rural west Wisconsin. 30 Waushara - Green Lake - Marquette - Adams - E Columbia 102432, 93, 51.3% Obama, R avg 31 W Columbia - Sauk - Richland 104303, 93, 60.1% Obama, R avg(!) 32 Grant - Lafayette - Iowa - Prairie du Chien 99705, 96, 62.5% Obama, R avg(!) 33 Vernon - Monroe - E La Crosse - N Crawford 96585, 95, 56.5% Obama, R avg 34 La Crosse 101169, 90, 61.7% Obama 35 Trempealeau - Buffalo - Pepin - Pierce - S Dunn 96567, 95, 56.4% Obama, R avg 36 Chippewa - Dunn (bulk) 100596, 94, 55.1% Obama, R avg 37 Eau Claire 98736, 92, 60.1% Obama. Whole county. 38 Saint Croix - S Polk 103177, 95, 50.6% McCain 39 Barron - N Polk - Burnett - Earl Andrew 102611, 95, 51.3% Obama, R avg 40 Douglas - Bayfield - Ashland - Iron - Sawyer 97803, 88-7n, 62.5% Obama. Several smallish Ojibwa reservations. 41 Jackson - Clark - Taylor - Rusk - Price 104742, 94, 53.9% Obama. This district has no community of interest, atrocious internal communications (you'd probably want to drive through three other constituencies to get from Thief River Falls to the northern part of the district), and a population 4970 above quota. If you are from around here, you are allowed to hit me. Once. Not too hard - there are over a hundred thousand of you. It's made up of whole counties and allows reasonable districts all around it, of course, which is why I drew it. But it's still an atrocity. 42 Wood - Juneau 101413, 94, 55.2% Obama, R avg 43 Portage - S Marathon 102780, 94, 60.0% Obama, R avg. Yeah right. Portage last voted for a Republican for President when Bob La Follette trod the earth if memory serves. Stevens Point is also a college town. Granted, Portage County itself doesn't have an R avg, that's the Marathon portion's (which gave Obama 53.3% of the vote) doing. 44 Marathon (or Wausau) 101302, 88-7a, 53.7% Obama, R avg. North-south split worked better than east-west, to my mild surprise. That one township in the east that is included here and not to the south is totally premeditated - it's on the main east-west artery through the county which otherwise keeps further north. 45 Oneida - Vilas - Lincoln - Langlade 102405, 94, 52.8% Obama, R avg. Though almost half of Langlade by area is in the 46th, there's somewhere like 3500 people in that portion. 46 Oconto - Marinette - Forest - Florence - E Langlade 96879, 95, 52.3% Obama, R avg 47 Waupaca - Shawano - Menominee 98591, 89-7n, 51.8% Obama. Stockbridge as well as Menominee. 48 Door - Kewaunee - East Brown 95458, 93, 54.4% Obama, R avg. Seesawing border kept districts within tolerance and townships whole. 49 Green Bay 104125, 73-13h, 60.0% Obama, R avg(!). City only. 50 West Brown 96783, 92, 49.6% Obama, R avg. My apologies to the Oneida Nation of Wisconsin. First we deport you from New York, then we split your reservation between counties, then we overrun it with settlers, and now we can't even reunite it into a single district. 51 Outagamie 95778, 92, 53.9% Obama, R avg. Well, rural/smalltown Outagamie. 52 Appleton 95616, 85-6a-5h, 56.2% Obama, R avg. Whole city (which is mostly in Outagamie but extends into both Calumet and Winnebago), Grand Chute township of Outagamie County, and one precinct of Menasha township, Winnebago County, adding which had the triple effect of making the district exclave-free, a lot closer to wholly contiguous and within tolerance. 53 Neenah - Menasha - Calumet 98142, 92, 53.5% Obama, R avg. The two cities and two townships (except one precinct) of Neenah and Menasha, Winnebago County that are here combined with all of Calumet County except the portion within Appleton city limits, actually hold the majority of the district's population. 54 Oshkosh 103124, 92, 53.8% Obama, R avg. Remainder of Winnebago County. 55 Fond du Lac 101633, 92, 53.6% McCain. Whole county. 55 Sheboygan 98392, 85-6h-5a, 49.3% McCain 56 Manitowoc - Plymouth 98557, 93, 51.8% Obama, R avg Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: jimrtex on October 14, 2012, 02:49:14 PM Outer Alaska 100353 (100337), 53n-31w-7a-5m. No Native majority in VAP (though there is in Native Alone or in Combination, presumably.) This is one huge baby of a district. Who are the Asians here? Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: WMS on October 15, 2012, 11:07:23 PM I played around with Albuquerque a long time, and a lot of my maps were worse than that one. :( The West Side doesn't fit into two districts, there needs to be one cross-river district. Or maybe one could draw some areas on the far West Side into a mostly non-metropolitan district and add Edgewood to the southeastern district or something. One thing that does work - that I had in most early drafts before deciding that changing it made things easier in Bernalillo County - is a Rio Rancho-Corrales district instead of the Rio Rancho-Bernalillo shown here. () () I have some better names, too. :) 11 is the Chartreuse one: "Albuquerque West Side - Corrales": 100503, 46.5-43.1, VAP 50.7-39.2, 53.9% Obama, R avg. 12 is the Cornflower Blue one: "Albuquerque Lower West Side - Southwest Mesa": 100453, 14.9-77.1, VAP 18-73.7, 70.3% Obama. 13 is the Dark Salmon one: "North Valley - Central Albuquerque - Midtown": 95494, 42.5-48.8, VAP 46.4-45.1, 70.8% Obama. 14 is the Olive one, and is unchanged from yours: "Far Northeast Heights - North Albuquerque Acres": 97108, 63.2-25.6, VAP 66.7-23.0, 50.2% McCain. Above 4% Asian here. 15 is the Dark Orange one: "Albuquerque Uptown - International District": 96994, 44.3-42.9, VAP 49.5-38.1, 63.8% Obama. Also almost 5% Native here. 16 is the Lime one, and is unchanged from yours: "Albuquerque Foothills - Four Hills - East Mountain Area": 97435, 58.2-30.2, VAP 63-26.6, 50.5% Obama, R avg. 17 is the Dark Slate Blue one: "Barelas - South Valley - Isleta - Bosque Farms - Peralta": 97208, 23.8-66.5, VAP 27.6-62.3, 69.5% Obama. I think this version fits the communities of interest better. :D Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on October 16, 2012, 11:20:32 AM You know what's funny - I thought about this today at work and figured that if there was any way to attempt to address your complaints, it would have to be with a southern district like that.
I notice it's fairly dreadful from the Hispanic opportunity POV, but these things matter less in New Mexico than in other states - Hispanics can win such districts there. Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: WMS on October 16, 2012, 04:12:32 PM You know what's funny - I thought about this today at work and figured that if there was any way to attempt to address your complaints, it would have to be with a southern district like that. I notice it's fairly dreadful from the Hispanic opportunity POV, but these things matter less in New Mexico than in other states - Hispanics can win such districts there. True, there are certain compromises one must make in drawing such districts, but I wasn't out to screw anyone over with my map - even the enemy North Valley residents get placed in a nice community of interest district. Yes, there are further internal COI splits, but aren't there always? :) Ah, both 13 (dark salmon) and 15 (dark orange) are quite winnable by Hispanics - Albuquerque City Council District 6 is in that position and has elected both Anglo and Hispanic Democrats. ABQ CC District 2 has done the same thing. Now, that doesn't mean the primaries won't be interesting there... >:D Also, I note that the whole West Side - Corrales district ends up as a swing district, which I find pleasing. ^_^ Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on October 22, 2012, 12:18:37 PM Illinois. 128 districts. They say this message exceeds the maximum allowed length. Bastards.
() () 27 districts in the city of Chicago, excluding only O'Hare (north of West Lawrence Avenue - the official neigborhood extends further south; I removed only as much as was necessary for basic contiguity of the outer Cook districts.) 1 Chicago Dunning - Norwood Park 103390, 76w-17h, 59.4% Obama. Awkward shape of this and the one to the east due to neighboring minority districts and the city line. 2 Chicago North Park - Sauganash 99832, 61w-17h-16a, 63.7% Obama 3 Chicago West Ridge - Rogers Park 102470, 35w-26h-20b-16a, 85.4% Obama 4 Chicago Edgewater - Andersonville 99802, 52w-19b-15h-12a, 85.5% Obama 5 Chicago Lakeview - Northalstead 97107, 79w-7h-7a-5b, 80.1% Obama 6 Chicago Roscoe Village - North Center 99870, 73w-16h-6a, 81.2% Obama 7 Chicago Lincoln Park - Bucktown 97035, 77w-9b-7h-5a, 75.6% Obama 8 Chicago Loop - River North 96538, 67w-15a-10b-6h, 74.7% Obama 9 Chicago Near West Side - Wicker Park 102644, 59w-20h-11b-8a, 82.9% Obama 10 Chicago Logan Square 102010, 63h-24w-10b, 88.6% Obama. I created four Hispanic majority VAP districts in the northwest. It may be that turnout and citizenship figures are so low that I'd better have left that fourth one off, though that would have meant moving fairly sizable Hispanic neighborhoods into a "White" district (mind you, on this design the opposite happens.) 11 Chicago Avondale - Albany Park 103495, 60h-27w-8a, 82.6% Obama 12 Chicago Hermosa - Portage Park 98509, 63h-30w, 80.0% Obama 13 Chicago Cragin - Montclare 97047, 64h-30w, 77.3% Obama 14 Chicago Austin - Galewood 96628, 87b-8h, 97.8% Obama. The West Side is so clearly defined it's really not funny, with a partial exemption at the (campuses-infested) Eastern end. It's also still somewhat too large to be put whole into two districts, which inspired the... thing... you see as no.16. Exact boundaries of that due to wanting both a Black VAP majority and the inclusion of all of Chinatown proper (though not all the Asian population in that general area, which would have been impossible to achieve). 15 Chicago Garfield Park 96359, 88b-9h, 98.5% Obama 16 Chicago Oakland - Chinatown - Tri-Taylor 100398, 53b-22a-14w-10h, 92.2% Obama. 17 Chicago Pilsen - Lawndale 99580, 91h, 89.0% Obama. Four more Hispanic districts in the southwest, although one of them really doesn't count. 18 Chicago McKinley Park - Brighton Park - New City 99172, 74h-11b-9w-5a, 83.9% Obama. That precinct protruding north into 17 has 11,000 people, two thirds of the district's Blacks and a quarter of the Whites. The Cook County Jail, of course. 19 Chicago Clearing - Archer Heights 99535, 57h-39w, 67.6% Obama. Though it has a Hispanic VAP majority, I'm fairly certain this would be a safely White district in practice. It falls into two uneven parts - Clearing and Garfield Ridge to the west, which despite a growing Hispanic presence remain majority White neighborhoods - the largest of four such areas on the South Side - and Archer Heights and West Elsden to the east of Midway Airport which are part of the supermajority Hispanic belt here but have fewer inhabitants overall. Add what we know about citizenship and turnout and... 20 Chicago Gage Park - West Lawn - Scottsdale 98566, 79h-11w-9b, 81.8% Obama 21 Chicago Marquette Park - Ashburn 98948, 80b-16h, 97.4% Obama. And we're in the Black South Side. 22 Chicago Englewood - Bridgeport 97441, 72b-12w-10h-5a, 93.3% Obama. Needed to keep Bridgeport away from district 16, obviously. 23 Chicago Hyde Park - Woodlawn 101643, 73b-17w, 972.% Obama. Whites around the uni campus. 24 Chicago Avalon Park - Chatham - Burnside 96361, 97b, 99.2% Obama. Eat sh!t, bitches. You think this is a national record? 25 Chicago East Side - Calumet Heights - South Shore 98009, 52b-36h-10w, 90.9% Obama. This Hispanic enclave continues into Indiana, of course. 26 Chicago Auburn Gresham - Washington Heights 99740, 98b, 99.3% Obama. Now this is what a national record looks like. 27 Chicago West Pullman - Morgan Park - Mount Greenwood 101368, 59b-34w, 81.3% Obama. More Whites here in the southwesternmost corner of the city, too far to be connected to those around Clearing. Shape is the city boundary again. 25 districts in outer Cook County. 28 Worth N (Oak Lawn - Evergreen Park) 105039, 76w-13h-7b, 57.5% Obama. "First" names reference townships, bracketed names references villages/CDPs but are only approximately descriptive. 29 Worth S (Alsip) - Bremen W (Oak Forest - Tinley Park) 104579, 71w-16h-10b, 57.0% Obama 30 Calumet - Thornton W (Harvey) - Bremen E (Markham) 103139, 65b-19h-15w, 90.9% Obama 31 Thornton E (South Holland - Dolton) 103905, 68b-20w-10h, 86.3% Obama 32 Bloom (- Lansing) 100796, 45b-35w-18h, 75.6% Obama. Bloom township is plurality Black and needs some extra population. It so turns out that the southern tier of Thornton is another one of these weird White enclaves, and in order not to destroy the Black VAP plurality I had to choose the least heavily White of the areas in question. Which of course also meant more Whites locked into the "main" Thornton district. (Of course, there was the option of turning it into a Black majority district by cutting into Rich instead. I think that could have been done without an extra cut. The logic here is that an undersized district based only on the township would not have been Black majority either - its profile has been changed as little as possible by the addition.) 33 Rich - Bremen S (Hazel Crest) 103059, 68b-24w, 86.2% Obama As you note, all of these districts (bar Bloom) are quite large. That could be fixed by removing Calumet township and treating it as part of the city of Chicago (where the extra population could be absorbed by the South Side districts alone.) The effect on districts' racial population balance would have been quite negligible, though more "White" Bremen precincts would have to have been included in "Black" districts. I preferred to stick to the city boundary seeing as it was possible to do so without introducing another split northwest of Worth. 34 Orland 97558, 86w-7h, 50.3% McCain. Whole township. Yeah, that's right, McCain won a township in Cook County. Several, I think (but didn't check; it's theoretically feasible that this was the only one though I must have been quite lucky in my split of Lyons in that case). 35 Palos - Lemont - Lyons SW (Burr Ridge) 96954, 87w-7h, 50.7% McCain 36 Stickney - Lyons E (Summit - Justice) 98888, 60w-31h-6b, 64.5% Obama. City line issues again, Stickney has two separate parts. 37 Proviso S (Forest Park - La Grange Park) - Riverside - Lyons NW (La Grange) 99985, 78w-10h-8b, 61.5% Obama. Proviso areas included are only touch-point contiguous, as it happens. Of course the exact split of Proviso was determined by the needs of the district to the north. 38 Proviso N (Maywood) 99659, 46b-36h-15w, 87.8% Obama. Yeah. This is, like, the suburban extension to the West Side but separated from it by Oak Park and River Forest. It's also where John Prine grew up. 39 Cicero (- Berwyn NE) 96316, 84h-11w, 79.0% Obama. Chose the most heavily Hispanic parts of Berwyn. 40 Oak Park - Berwyn (bulk) 96110, 50w-30h-14b, 80.8% Obama 41 Leyden - River Forest 97814, 62w-31h, 62.6% Obama. Excludes the detached parts of Leyden north of O'Hare. 42 Norwood Park - Maine SE (Park Ridge) - Niles SW (Morton Grove) - Chicago O'Hare. Gulp. And a few detached bits of Leyden. That's Norwood Park the township, which is in several parts although the southern one is much the largest, not Norwood Park the Chicago neighborhood, which was part of Norwood Park the township before it was annexed by Chicago (as was much of O'Hare, annexed much later. The rest coming from Leyden, of course.) But there we are. 103649, 80w-10a-7h, 55.9% Obama. 43 Maine NW (Des Plaines) 103502, 62w-18a-15h, 61.6% Obama 44 Niles E (Skokie) - New Trier SW (Gross Point) 101229, 62w-23a-7h, 68.7% Obama 45 Evanston - New Trier SE (Winnetka) 97087, 69w-14b-8h-7a, 79.0% Obama 46 Northfield - New Trier N (Glencoe) 95919, 80w-12a-5h, 60.9% Obama 47 Wheeling N&E 101713, 66w-20h-11a, 61.5% Obama 48 Wheeling SW (Arlington Heights) - Palatine S (Rolling Meadows) - Schaumburg NE (Lexington Fields) 95926, 76w-13a-8h, 54.7% Obama. Another one of those leftovers districts. 49 Elk Grove - Schaumburg SE 102922, 66w-19h-11a, 58.4% Obama. Area of Schaumburg included is part of Elk Grove Village. 50 Schaumburg W 101737, 63w-17a-14h, 63.2% Obama 51 Palatine (bulk) - Barrington 104155, 69w-15h-12a, 53.0% Obama 52 Hanover 99538, 48w-33h-14a, 62.8% Obama. Whole township. Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on October 22, 2012, 12:19:17 PM Seven Lake County districts. (Yeah, I know it's not wholly covered in the North Chicago map. You'll have to use the Downstate North map, sorry.)
53 West Deerfield - Moraine - Shields 104268, 77w-11h-7b, 65.8% Obama 54 Waukegan 100079, 56h-20w-19b, 77.7% Obama. Had to use a few precincts each from both Warren and Benton to bring 55 Warren - Zion - Benton - Newport 105089, 61w-16h-13b-7a, 57.0% Obama 56 Fremont - Avon 97338, 62w-28h-6a, 59.0% Obama 57 Libertyville - Vernon (bulk) 97444, 73w-12a-12h, 56.7% Obama 58 Ela - Cuba - Vernon SW - Wauconda S 98738, 84w-8a-7h, 52.5% Obama 59 Antioch - Lake Villa - Grant - Wauconda N 99806, 88w-9h, 53.4% Obama. Lol at Obama winning them all, his performance in the collar counties was really ridiculously good and is not a serious benchmark. 60 McHenry NE (McHenry) 99940, 88w-9h, 50.4% Obama 61 McHenry SE (Cary) 103747, 84w-10h, 53.3% Obama 62 McHenry W (Woodstock) 105073, 79w-16h, 51.9% Obama. Same here, same here. EDIT: Forgot to mention that this splits a township between SE and W; Grafton. 63 DeKalb 105160, 80w-10h-6b, 57.5% Obama. Whole county. Four districts in Kane County plus two that cross the county line. 64 Elgin E - Carpentersville (part of Dundee township) 100634, 52h-36w-8b, 66.0% Obama. No VAP majority. 65 Elgin W - Dundee W - N Kane 96996, 76w-12h-8a, 51.2% Obama. Elgin township can form its own district, but when I noticed its 49w-39h breakdown and a further Hispanic enclave to the north I decided to do this. Elgin split could be amended slightly to up the percentage, but I didn't think it worth it. You're not getting to a VAP majority that way. Randall Road forms a good solid recognizable western boundary within Elgin proper (the rest of it is mostly village/CDP boundaries.) As a testament to suburban Hispanic enclaves turnout: undoing the split drops the Obama share in the Elgin district by over 3 percentage points but only raises it by 1.3 in the outer district. Ahem. 66 Aurora E 103484, 66h-22w-10b, 74.6% Obama. Bulk of the city and part of the township; the crazy boundary forces that. I removed as much of the township as was possible without going insane, hence the southerly wraparound. Doing so had the double advantage of allowing the retention of all the heavily Hispanic precincts, of course. 67 Aurora W - Batavia - Geneva 104438, 74w-17h-5b, 55.2% Obama. 68 Kendall N - SW Kane 95440, 76w-16h, 52.4% Obama. Oswego township split. 69 Kendall S - Grundy 95958, 83w-10h, 49.8% Obama 70 Saint Charles - Campton - Blackberry - Wayne W 96678, 84w-9h, 52.2% McCain. Crosses the line into DuPage County, the remainder of which forms nine districts. 71 Wayne E - Winfield 99255, 64w-23h-9a, 55.7% Obama. Home to the most electable Illinois Republican alive. 72 Bloomingdale (bulk) 98930, 63w-16h-14a, 57.4% Obama 73 Addison - Bloomingdale SE (Glendale Heights) 101581, 57w-32h-8a, 57.8% Obama 74 York N 99937, 79w-10h-6a, 54.8% Obama 75 York S - Downers Grove NW - Milton S- Lisle NE 98358, 81w-8a-6h, 52.3% Obama. Another leftovers district, but tied together by Downers Grove (the place) and the Reagan Tollway. 76 Milton (Wheaton - Glen Ellyn) 100141, 77w-8h-7a-5b, 51.9% Obama 77 Downers Grove E (Darien) 101475, 76w-11a-7h-5b, 50.4% Obama 78 Lisle (bulk) 103668, 74w-11a-8h-5b, 56.1% Obama. A lot of Naperville (the place) is actually here. 79 Naperville 100019, 64w-16a-10h-8b, 58.9% Obama. Whole town. Wait... McCain won one district in Kane and DuPage. Lmao. 7 districts in Will County, one of which crosses into Kankakee. 80 Du Page (Bolingbrook). 98063, 48w-22h-16b-11a, 65.0% Obama. VAP majority. Yeah, that's what it's called as a township. 'S'nah'ma fault. Includes a couple of precincts from Wheatland, carefully chosen by racial makeup. 81 Wheatland (bulk) - Plainfield N 99385, 69w-12a-11h-6b, 53.7% Obama 82 Troy - Plainfield S 98126, 72w-17h-7b, 55.9% Obama 83 Lockport - Homer 99069, 74w-14h-8b, 53.1% Obama 84 Joliet - Channahon - Jackson 101820, 46w-31h-20b, 68.3% Obama. VAP majority. A fair bit of Joliet (the place) is in Troy and the two rural townships added here to make up the numbers are lily White, but the excluded Joliet areas are still White as well, so bah. 85 New Lenox - Frankfort 97325, 90w-6h, 53.4% McCain 86 S Will - N Kankakee 99446, 77w-15b-6h, 51.6% Obama. Black populations at the northeast corner in Crete and University Park. 87 Kankakee 97775, 70w-17b-10h, 53.2% Obama Time for a new map. Overdue, actually. () 88 La Salle (bulk) 103042, 89w-7h, 55.3% Obama. I don't think this is traditionally defined as a suburban Chicago county, but it sure swung that way in 2008. Then again, the place voted for Dukakis and was close way back in 1960, so maybe not. 89 Lee - Ogle - Mendota 100410, 88w-9h, 51.8% McCain 90 Boone - Harlem - Owen 97545, 81w-14h, 51.5% Obama 91 Rockford E (city and township) - Cherry Valley 98795, 78w-10h-7b, 51.0% Obama 92 Rockford W (city and township) 100144, >50w-27b-18h, 71.0% Obama 93 Stephenson - Rockton - W Winnebago 100658, 89w-5b, 49.5% Obama 94 Whiteside - Carroll - Jo Daviess 96563, 90w-8h, 56.1% Obama 95 Rock Island E (Moline) 103970, 78w-13h-6b, 60.6% Obama. Blackhawk township is split. 96 Rock Island W (Rock Island) - Mercer - Warren - Henderson - Hancock 104152, 85w-7b-6h, 55.8% Obama 97 Knox - Henry 103405, 89w, 56.1% Obama. First district with no individual minority over 5%! But not the last... 98 Bureau - Woodford - Putnam - Marshall - Stark 98282, 94w, 53.2% McCain. Bulk of the population is in the first two, but listing all counties up to a minimum of five is sort of a policy I vaguely followed of late. () 99 Peoria City 97910, 57w-31b-5h, 64.2% Obama. Excludes a number of fairly suburban areas on the northeast side of the city, and one precinct in the west for contiguity reasons. Does not include any area outside the city. 100 Peoria Suburban - Fondulac 101965, 91w, 49.5% McCain. Includes one township of Tazewell County. 101 Tazewell (bulk) 103955, 95w, 51.3% McCain 102 McDonough - Fulton - Mason - S Tazewell 102405, 93w, 52.3% Obama 103 Adams - Pike - Schuyler - Brown - Greene 103103, 93w, 58.9% McCain. Adams is almost two thirds of the district. 104 Morgan - Greene - Jersey - Scott - Cass - Menard (okay, that was six. But what do you call this - "Lower Illinois Valley - East Bank"?) 104120, 92w, 51.8% McCain 105 Springfield City 99285, 72w-21b, 59.1% Obama. As close to the actual area of the city as approximate contiguity, quota constraints, the distribution of the Black population, and my sanity allowed between them. ie it does exclude some city precincts, includes some Woodside township precincts. 106 Sangamon Suburban 98180, 93w, 54.2% McCain 107 Macon N (Decatur) 98523, 76w-18b, 51.6% Obama 108 Christian - Shelby - Macon S - Moultrie - Piatt 100983, 97w (state record), 56.0% McCain 109 Bloomington - De Witt 104675, 80w-8b-5a, 49.4% Obama 110 Normal - Logan 97624, 86w-7b, 50.3% McCain. It was not possible to keep all of Bloomington and Normal together, so I split them along the city line. It then turned out to be - not impossible actually, but incredibly awkward - to keep one of the districts within the county given decisions I'd already taken elsewhere (Sangamon, Champaign). Hence this. 111 Livingston - Iroquois - Ford - McLean E 96888, 92w, 61.4% McCain. His best, by a tiny margin. 112 Vermilion - Edgar 100221, 84w-10b, 49.7% McCain 113 Champaign NE (Urbana) 100586, 73w-11b-8a-5h, 54.2% Obama 114 Champaign SW (Champaign) 100495, 69w-13b-10a-6h, 61.4% Obama. Getting these two towns into one district was also impossible, while this split worked very well. 115 Coles - Douglas - Clark - Cumberland 101236, 93w, 52.3% McCain 116 Fayette - Effingham - Jasper - Richland - Clay 96128, 96w, 61.3% McCain 117 Macoupin - Montgomery - Bond 95637, 95w, 51.9% Obama 118 Edwardsville - Clinton 103951, 91w, 50.9% McCain. Took a while to find an alignment that doesn't split towns here. 119 Alton 98847, 87w-9b, 54.5% Obama 120 Granite City - Collinsville 104246, 84w-9b, 56.1% Obama. The Blacks are mostly in Venice township, adjacent to East Saint Louis, but I eventually decided against crossing the county line. 121 East Saint Louis - Belleville W 95923, 60b-34w, 80.2% Obama. Belleville has this odd northwestern trough. It's majority White, but there are Blacks everywhere there. It's wholly included here, as are a couple of precints in Belleville proper. That (and using the population tolerance) allowed me to not also include part of Saint Clair township (which surrounds Belleville) or all or part of lilywhite Sugar Loaf township (the southernmost along the river in St Clair County). Or Venice, of course. 122 Belleville - Monroe 105015, 88w-7b, 51.0% McCain. Splits Belleville city with 121 and Saint Clair township with 123. 123 O'Fallon 102075, 75w-16b, 49.8% Obama 124 Jackson - Randolph - W Perry 104316, 80w-13b, 54.4% Obama 125 Marion - Jefferson - Washington - E Perry 104708, 91w-5b, 52.3% McCain 126 Wabash Valley (seven counties and two townships of Franklin) 96258, 94w, 57.4% McCain 127 Williamson - Franklin (bulk) 104860, 94w, 54.2% McCain 128 Shawnee Hills 99510, 87w-8b, 55.1% McCain. Yes, it's a bit of a naff touristy name, but it's used for pretty exactly this area - and I found the term after drawing the district! "Little Egypt" is usually considered to extend further north. Ohio Valley would be an alternative, I suppose, but only from an Illinois perspective. Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: muon2 on October 23, 2012, 07:29:46 AM The closeness of your 100K districts to the 108K size in the IL House makes for interesting comparisons. For instance on the north side of Chicago the districts are not so different than the actual House districts and as you predicted, only three of the four Latino districts are represented by a Latino, though that is as much due to city politics as it is to ethnic turnout, an effect seen even more strongly in the SW Chicago Latino areas.
Your Black city districts would probably have trouble in court. That level of packing generally doesn't hold up. Any districts over 80% are suspect, but you would have to make the case that preserving the city boundary requires that level of packing. The Chicago wards are that packed, precisely because they can't cross the lines. Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on October 23, 2012, 12:58:43 PM Your Black city districts would probably have trouble in court. That level of packing generally doesn't hold up. Any districts over 80% are suspect, but you would have to make the case that preserving the city boundary requires that level of packing. Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on October 28, 2012, 07:49:14 AM Michigan. 99 districts. The numbering scheme begins in the UP but for reasons of which county lines are split and natural flow of presentation does not end with Detroit, treating Genesee County and the Thumb afterwards.
() The UP could fit into three oversized districts, and I wouldn't be surprised to find a commission made up of Michiganders to propose it as a matter of course. However such a design would require county splits, and the inclusion of Mackinac County with the Northern Lower Peninsula also enabled a better map there. Obviously the position of Menominee County in the no-splits map of the UP is also far from ideal. But keeping a district on the north shore pretty much requires a split of either the Houghton, Marquette or Sault Sainte Marie areas (though not necessarily the cities), with or without Mackinac, and the remainder of the map is quite good. 1 Houghton - Iron Mountain (6 counties) 99976, 95w, 49.0% McCain, D avg 2 Marquette - Menominee - Baraga 99966, 92w, 57.2% Obama 3 Chippewa - Luce - Alger - Schoolcraft - Delta 100306, 83w-8n, 50.5% Obama, R avg. The Sault Nation of Chippewa are offreservation people. While the "averages" correlate fairly closely with the presidential figures in the UP, and happen to actually flip two of the districts in different directions, they skew very heavily Republican (and the Obama figures heavily Democratic) across much of the Lower Peninsula. What follows is the only alignment splitting only one county across the region detailed under 4-9+14&15. While not all districts are ideal (quite a few are, though!) that is also true of all alignments with two split counties that I found (mostly pairing Isabella with Clare, the only whole county it can be paired with). Indeed they tended to be worse on balance. 4 Charlevoix - Straits of Mackinac 95908, 91w, 50.8% McCain 5 Alpena - etc 95702, 96w, 50.4% Obama, R avg 6 triangular thingy around Gaylord 101922, 96w, 52.0% McCain. Inclusion of Ogemaw is somewhat unfortunate. 7 Grand Traverse - Kalkaska 104331, 94w, 51.1% McCain. Only whole county Grand Traverse can be paired with. 8 Leelanau - etc 96509, 93w, 51.3% Obama, R avg 9 Roscommon - Missaukee - Clare - Gladwin 95916, 96w, 49.7% McCain 10 Bay (bulk) 96127, 91w-5h, 57.8% Obama 11 Midland - W Bay 95273, 93w, 50.8% McCain 12 Saginaw city 101106, 51w-34b-12h, 70.4% Obama 13 Saginaw Outer 99063, 91w, 51.8% McCain Saginaw Township (located to the west of the city) split. The smaller suburban townships to the east of Saginaw City have surprisingly large Black populations and have been included with the city. 14 Isabella - Mecosta (bulk) 104690, 89w, 55.6% Obama, R avg 15 Oceana - Mason - Lake - Osceola - N Mecosta 98761, 91w-6h, 49.8% Obama, R avg It was not possible within this combination of counties to move Big Rapids into the 15th district. Alignment of rural townships chosen keeps the Mount Pleasant-Big Rapids road (MI 20) within the 14th district. Newaygo County population is heavily concentrated in the southern half, with under 10,000 people living at White Cloud and points north. () 16 Muskegon 98708, 66w-24b-6h, 69.7% Obama. 17 N Muskegon - Newaygo 102996, 92w, 53.1% Obama, R avg 18 N Ottawa - Fruitport (and two further but much less inhabited Muskegon townships, Sullivan and Ravenna) 95895, 93w, 52.7% McCain 19 SE Ottawa 103090, 92w, a whopping 71.6% McCain. Lotsa Dutch Conservatives in Western Michigan, but this is their capital. 20 Holland 98962, 73w-18h, 56.0% McCain. Crosscounty, like the city itself. 21 Allegan (remainder) 96206, 91w-6h, 52.6% McCain 22 Van Buren - N Cass 95066, 83w-9h, 53.7% Obama, R avg 23 E Berrien - S Cass 94869, 88w, 49.3% McCain 24 W Berrien 95429, 70w-22b, 53.8% Obama, R avg Given the population at the far low end of tolerance, it is a pleasant surprise that there are at least two (ie, there are two that I found, and I spent quite some time trying) combinations involving no township splits and only the minimum two county splits. This one better reflects communities of interest by keeping the Berrien shore together and also including Berrien Springs, which has a Black community, in the same district as Benton Harbor. Paw Paw Lake residents would have liked the other one better, though. 25 Saint Joseph (bulk) - Portage 104469, 87w-5h, 51.4% Obama, R avg. And Schoolcraft township. 26 Kalamazoo city 97987, 68w-20b-6h, 72.4% Obama. And Kalamazoo township and the tiny suburban "city" of Parchment. 27 Outer Kalamazoo 97841, 88w, 50.3% Obama, R avg 28 Hillsdale - Branch - E Saint Joseph 103265, 94w, 53.4% McCain 29 Battle Creek - S Calhoun 99343, 78w-11b, 54.4% Obama, R avg 30 Barry - N Calhoun, 95976, 91w, 50.9% McCain. Not an ideal arrangement. Kent County, with no split townships outside of Grand Rapids! Took some work and one clearly suboptimal decision. 31 SE Kent, 95582, 89w, 62.9% McCain 32 Kentwood - Ada - East Grand Rapids - Northview - Grand Rapids Township 103519, 80w-8b-5h, 50.3% McCain 33 Wyoming - Grandville - Grand Rapids Black Hills 99558, 65w-24h-7b, 49.4% McCain. This needed to take a few precincts of Grand Rapids (or Walker, I suppose). Removing the Whitest available bits created a really, really awkward spike eastward, connecting the minorities in the city center with those in the far south through the lilywhite southeast while removing the less-than-lilywhite south central bits. And the northern boundary of the Grand Rapids S district is already awkwardly shaped in an obvious racial gerry. So what I decided to do instead was build on the Hispanic presence in Wyoming by adding the four really heavily Hispanic precincts that exist in Grand Rapids (all of them over 70% Hispanic with roughly even numbers of Whites and Blacks, and over 80% Obama), which are situated just southwest of the city centre and north of Wyoming. This did have the adverse effect of giving Grand Rapids S, intended as a minority influence district, a White majority in total population... but a VAP majority was unavoidable anyways. 34 Grand Rapids S 98135, 51w-31b-12h, 71.9% Obama 35 Grand Rapids N - Walker 101387, 80w-10h-7b, 53.9% Obama, R avg 36 N Kent 104441, 92w, 56.4% McCain 37 Montcalm (bulk) - Gratiot 97381, 91w, 50.2% Obama, R avg 38 Ionia - W Clinton - S Montcalm 94874 (4961 below quota), 90w, 52.9% McCain 39 E Clinton - N Shiawassee 103305, 92w, 53.3% Obama, R avg 40 W Livingston - S Shiawassee 102792, 95w, 53.9% McCain 41 SE Livingston 98368, 95w, 55.9% McCain 42 S Ingham - Eaton Rapids 95497, 87w, 53.3% Obama, R avg. Includes four precincts in Lansing south of Jolly Road and east of Washington Avenue, including an enclave. 43 East Lansing - Meridian 96636, 78w-10a-6b, 67.6% Obama. Includes Williamstown Township (but not Williamston City), the portion (or portions, rather) of Lansing Township to the city's east, and one precinct of Lansing to render it contiguous. 44 Lansing Central 101432, 56w-22b-13h, 75.1% Obama. Includes the main body of Lansing Township on the city's west side. Excludes the areas of the city mentioned above and those in Eaton County. 45 Eaton (bulk) 95089, 84w-7b, 53.7% Obama, R avg. The county is slightly too large to remain undivided, and the areas of the city of Lansing are too large a share of it to be excluded. 46 Jackson city (and points west) 97792, 80w-12b, 52.8% Obama, R avg 47 E Jackson - W Washtenaw 100382, 95w, 49.2% Obama, R avg 48 Ann Arbor city 103882, 72w-14a-6b, 81.4% Obama. Bulk of city and northeastern portions of township, with carveout motivated mostly by creating two wholly contiguous districts, given the sprinkled township enclaves in many parts of the city. Happens to include some fairly strongly Black precincts, which is unproblematic because the Black population across the remainder of the city is broadly comparable to that across the non-city parts of the next district anyways. 49 Ann Arbor Suburban - SE Washtenaw 103250, 74w-9b-9a, 63.8% Obama 50 Ypsilanti - NE Washtenaw 99733, 62w-27b, 71.0% Obama 51 Lenawee 99892, 88w-8h, 51.7% Obama, R avg. Only district to consist of one whole county. Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on October 28, 2012, 07:57:57 AM ()
52 S Monroe 101677, 93w, 51.3% Obama, R avg 53 N Monroe - Sumpter - Huron - Brownstown 100936, 87w, 54.6% Obama, R avg. Includes the northwestern (main) and southeastern portions of Brownstown township, but not the central one. 54 SE Wayne 103754, 90w, 55.3% Obama, R avg. Seven tiny cities, Grosse Ile township and the central portion of Brownstown. 55 Allen Park - Lincoln Park - Southgate 96357, 82w-10h, 61.2% Obama 56 Dearborn 98153, 87w, 65.1% Obama. Whole city. 57 Taylor (bulk) - Dearborn Heights S 97224, 81w-10b-5h, 61.9% Obama. Okay. Right. I admit this is unsatisfactory. The city boundaries of Dearborn, Dearborn Heights, and Westland are. Besides, I wanted a Black influence district west of this, further limiting options. 58 Inkster - Romulus - Van Buren - Belleville 97115, 46w-45b, 78.6% Obama. White VAP majority. Includes a tiny bit of Taylor and what's necessary of Westland to connect Inkster and Romulus. There just weren't many more Blacks nearby to include. 59 Westland E - Garden City - Dearborn Heights N 97757, 81w-11b, 62.0% Obama 60 Canton S - Westland W - Wayne 99117, 70w-13b-11a, 60.9% Obama, R avg(!) 61 Northville - Plymouth - Canton N 99306, 84w-8a, 49.9% McCain 62 Livonia 96942, 90w, 49.3% Obama, R avg. Whole vity. 63 Detroit Warrendale - Eliza Howell - Redford 102494, 52b-42w, 78.0% Obama. No VAP majority. Right, so because Redford's (which is not even a city but a township) inclusion with Detroit is unfortunate I at least added every White person I could find. Whites in Detroit live in four areas - ordered by approximate numbers involved, right around Hamtramck (itself a White enclave), where there are also a lot of Asians, just north of Dearborn in Warrendale, in the very city centre, and in the furthermost northwest corner. In most of the precincts they're found in, they are not a majority. Nowhere in Detroit remains lilywhite. This connects two of these areas with Redford. (Obviously there is nothing in the VRA about creating White influence districts, but they are a minority here.) 64 Detroit Rosedale Park 103162, 94b, 98.0% Obama 65 Detroit Martin Park - Begley 103306, 94b, 98.6% Obama 66 Detroit Russell Woods - Barton 103649, 95b, 98.7% Obama. "Others" almost beat Whites into third place here! :D 67 Detroit Delray - River Rouge - Ecorse - Melvindale 101750, 44h-28w-26b, 85.6% Obama. Combines Detroit's Hispanic section (and some Black areas south of it) with three rather mixed small suburban cities. 68 Detroit Central - Hamtramck 104737, 62b-23w-10a, 94.8% Obama 69 Detroit Pulaski - Kranz Woods - Highland Park 104100, 92b, 98.2% Obama. 70 Detroit Ravendale - Chalmers 101314, 92b-5w, 97.6% Obama 71 Saint Clair Shores S - Harper Woods - The Grosse Pointes 102988, 84w-11b, 51.0% Obama, R avg 72 Eastpointe - Roseville - Saint Clair Shores N 96302, 78w-16b, 62.7% Obama 73 Warren S - Center Line 100932, 74w-16b, 62.5% Obama 74 Warren N - Sterling Heights S - Fraser 100424, 83w-7b-6a, 54.1% Obama, R avg 75 Sterling Heights N - Utica (and three Clinton township precincts) 99612, 86w-6a, 51.9% Obama, R avg 76 Mount Clemens - Clinton (bulk) 103380 78w-15a, 56.9% Obama, R avg. Clinton township could have formed its own district but this forced very awkward boundaries around it. Like, more awkward than the ribbon design of North Macomb that I eventually went with. 77 Harrison - NE Macomb 100756, 89w-6b, 49.9% Obama, R avg 78 Macomb township - N Macomb 97396, 90w, 51.4% McCain 79 Shelby - Washington 98943, 90w, 55.0% McCain While both Macomb and Monroe had to be combined with Wayne (and 14k extra population tucked away in those 28 districts, most of which ended up in Detroit itself), Oakland County can stand alone and be apportioned 12 districts. 80 Rochester Hills - Rochester - Oakland township 100485, 82w-9a, 52.5% McCain 81 Troy - Clawson - Bloomfield Hills (and two precints of Bloomfield township) 99612, 76w-16a, 49.7% Obama, R avg 82 Pontiac - Auburn Hills - Bloomfield N - Lake Angelus 98230, 43w-37b-12h-5a, 71.4% Obama. Just not enough Blacks in the suburbs surrounding Pontiac for this to work quite right. White percentage could be marginally dropped by going to the end of the tolerance, but I decided against it and for a cleaner cut of Bloomfield. 83 Bloomfield S - Birmingham - Berkley - Royal Oak N 97519, 89w, 54.7% Obama, R avg 84 Madison Heights - four more cities - Royal Oak S - Oak Park N 97781, 83w-8b, 66.9% Obama. The place names around here resonate for me due to having been impressed, more than fifteen years ago, by the book that this film (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/S.F.W.) (which I did not know existed until looking it up on wikipedia just now) is based on. Cliff and Joe are from Madison Heights, Wendy is from Hazel Park, and IIRC the 7-11 where the hostage situation is taking place is in Ferndale. I never reread it, so I'm kinda amazed how much of it I remember. 85 Southfield - Oak Park 100470, 69b-25w, 88.5% Obama. Excludes the White northern edge of Oak Park, includes Lathrop Village city and the tiny Royal Oak township (which does not even border the city). 86 Farmington Hills - Farmington - Southfield township 104659, 71w-15b-10a, 58.6% Obama, R avg(!) 87 Novi - Lyon - Milford 100213, 83w-8b-5a, 53.8% Obama, R avg. And some tiny cities that are enclaves. Didn't list those in western Oakland. 88 Commerce - Wixom - Bloomfield S 102531, 82w-8b-6a, 55.1% Obama, R avg 89 Waterford - Bloomfield N 101590, 85w-5h-5b, 52.8% Obama, R avg 90 Lake Orion - Independence - Oxford - Addison 97834, 91w, 55.3% McCain 91 NW Oakland (7 townships and two cities) 101438, 94w, 54.2% McCain 92 SW Genesee 100074, 93w, 52.6% Obama, R avg 93 N Genesee 101326, 74w-19b, 68.8% Obama 94 Flint 102434, 56b-36w, 88.2% Obama. Whole city. 95 Burton - Davison - Grand Blanc 100531, 85w-8b, 57.9% Obama, R avg(!). Latter two names being shared by a tiny city and the surrounding township. 96 Lapeer (bulk) - E Genesee 97303, 93w, 49.3% McCain 97 Tuscola - Huron - N Lapeer 101288, 95w, 49.3% McCain 98 Sanilac - N Saint Clair 101378, 94w, 51.1% McCain 99 S Saint Clair 104776, 91w, 51.6% Obama, R avg Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on October 31, 2012, 04:54:17 PM 67 district Washington. Includes 2010 Senate as well as 2008 Presidential results. A number of districts where two races (or non-hispanic other) responses were over 5%, in southern King and in Pierce County. Listed as m.
() 1 Bellingham 103609, 83w-6h, 69.9% Obama, 64.0% Murray. And areas south and east to Lake Whatcom and the county line (so not very far). 2 Outer Whatcom 97531, 81w-9h, 53.2% McCain, 57.4% Rossi 3 West Skagit - San Juan 96497, 76w-18h, 58.3% Obama, 53.3% Murray. Anacortes ferry is the only year-round link to the mainland IIRC (though I had to break such links for Kitsap County). In Skagit, includes anything west of the interstate, the cities of Burlington and Mt Vernon, and all precincts bordering on the interstate north of Burlington. 4 NE Snohomish - E Skagit 98024, 87w-7h, 50.9% Obama, 55.0% Rossi. Bit awkward. () 5 Island - Stanwood 103837, 85w-5h, 51.5% Obama, 51.8% Rossi 6 Marysville - Lake Stevens 99190, 76w-9h-5a, 55.5% Obama, 50.8% Rossi 7 Everett 103060, 68w-14h-8a, 63.0% Obama, 57.8% Murray. Only precinct outside the city included is Hat Island. 8 Mulkilteo - Mill Creek 101900, 68w-15a-10h, 60.3% Obama, 52.6% Murray 9 Snohomish - Monroe - Cathcart 96556, 82w-8h, 53.2% Obama, 54.6% Rossi 10 North Creek - Maltby 99243, 73w-15a-7h, 59.1% Obama, 51.8% Murray 11 Edmonds - Lynnwood 100182, 68w-14a-9h, 64.9% Obama, 59.5% Murray 12 Shoreline - Lake Forest Park - Mountlake Terrace 103244, 71w-13a-7h, 71.4% Obama, 67.2% Murray. Crosscounty. Includes northern half of Kenmore. 18 districts wholly in King, of which the first 6 cover the City of Seatlle. 13 Seattle Ballard - Crown Hill - Broadview (NW) 104146, 78w-8a-6h, 84.5% Obama, 82.0% Murray 14 Seattle Lake City - Ravenna - Sand Point (NE) 100226, 73w-12a-6h, 83.5% Obama, 81.1% Murray 15 Seattle Fremont - Portage Bay - Madrona (E) 99376, 75w-11a, 89.4% Obama, 86.6% Murray. Bit awkward actually, but there's only one place to cross the channel. 16 Seattle Magnolia - Queen Anne - Belltown (W) 104584, 76w-9a-6h, 84.0% Obama, 79.8% Murray 17 Seattle West Seattle - Pioneer Square (SW) 97975, 65w-12a-9h-8b, 80.1% Obama, 77.4% Murray 18 Seattle Atlantic - Columbia - Dunlap (SE) 102353, 32a-31w-22b-9h-5m, 86.5% Obama, 86.7% Murray. One of two constituencies where McCain outperfomed Rossi. White VAP plurality. 19 Bellevue NW - Mercer Island 97419, 63w-25a-7h, 64.1% Obama, 55.8% Murray 20 Bellevue SE - Issaquah - Newcastle 101660, 66w-23a-5h, 63.3% Obama, 55.8% Murray 21 Redmond - Kirkland 102788, 68w-19a-7h, 66.0% Obama, 57.8% Murray 22 Bothell - Kingsgate - Woodinville 97690, 78w-10a-7h, 61.8% Obama, 54.7% Murray 23 Sammamish - Duval 95865, 75w-16a, 58.9% Obama, 51.0% Rossi. Didn't miss many tricks to get this into tolerance. Miller River's actually necessary. :D 24 Enumclaw - Maple Valley - Snoqualmie 101782, 87w-5h, 52.9% Obama, 54.3% Rossi 25 Auburn 96185, 68w-12h-10a, 54.2% Obama, 50.7% Rossi. See map below. 26 Federal Way 100947, 53w-16a-16h, 9b-5m, 60.3% Obama, 53.9% Murray 27 Kent - Woodmont Beach 96132, 47w-18h-17a-12b-5m, 63.4% Obama, 56.8% Murray. Shaves off a few blocks on the east end of Kent actually, and splits Milwaukee with 31, and sadly VAP majority. 28 Covington - Fairwood 96046, 66w-15a-8h-6b, 55.5% Obama, 50.6% Rossi 29 Renton 100534, 52w-20a-13h-10b, 65.1% Obama, 58.8% Murray 30 SeaTac 100583, 38w-21a-19h-16b-5m, 71.5% Obama, 68.9% Murray. Splits Burien. Splits along racial (which coincides with beach property) lines. 31 Burien - Vashon - Bainbridge 99450, 78w-9h-6a, 67.3% Obama, 63.0% Murray. And the name doesn't even describe it in full, there's also Normandy Park and coastal Milwaukee and a strip on the Kitsap mainland. Yeah. I am not sure how to get rid of this thing, and (even apart from splitting the City) a link of areas around the Ferry Terminal in Seattle with areas in Kitsap ain't too hot either. 32 Bremerton 104816, 76w-7h-6a, 52.8% Obama, 51.1% Rossi 33 N Kitsap 104603, 79w-6a-6h, 51.4% Obama, 52.6% Rossi 34 Jefferson - Clallam 101276, 86w, 55.9% Obama, 50.3% Murray 35 Grays Harbor - Pacific - Wahkiakum 97695, 83w-8h, 55.6% Obama, 51.7% Murray () 36 Mason - Tumwater 104639, 84w-7h, 57.3% Obama, 52.8% Murray 37 Olympia - Lacey 103832, 77w-7a-7h, 65.8% Obama, 62.9% Murray. And unincorporated territory to the north of the two cities (but south of the Inlet). 38 South Thurston 104492, 79w-8h, 52.4% Obama, 51.5% Rossi 7 Pierce County districts. 39 Fort Lewis - Parkland 98676, 61w-11h-10b-9a-8m, 54.5% Obama, 50.8% Murray. Actually excludes the bits of Parkland north of 542. 40 Lakewood - University Place 97454, 61w-11h-10a-10b-7m, 56.8% Obama, 52.3% Murray. And Fircrest and Steilacoom 41 Gig Harbor - Tacoma West End 99262, 84w-5h, 55.1% Obama, 57.2% Murray. You'd think she was a local or something. She's from far northern King. What's up with that? 42 Tacoma North - Fife 100372, 67w-8h-8b-8a-6m, 66.5% Obama, 59.7% Murray 43 Tacoma South - Midland 101747, 46w-17h-14b-14a-8m, 66.0% Obama, 62.1% Murray. VAP majority though, but still this is a massaged borders, minority influence district. The way to improve the figures would be to cut into Lakewood and make that southern extension to 42 even longer. Not worth it. 44 Puyallup - Sumner 101455, 81w-7h, 51.9% Obama, 51.8% Rossi 45 South Hill 100649, 76w-8h-6a-6m, 50.3% McCain, 55.4% Rossi 46 East Pierce 95610, 87w-5h, 51.8% McCain, 58.6% Rossi 47 Lewis - North Cowlitz 97388, 87w-8h, 55.6% McCain, 64.2% Rossi. Cowlitz County could technically stand alone. Technically. For what do I do with Lewis then? 48 Longview - North Clark 102210, 86w-8h, 51.9% Obama, 55.1% Rossi 49 Ridgefield - Salmon Creek (ie suburban Clark W) 98585, 84w-7h, 52.7% Obama, 53.1% Rossi 50 Five Corners - Battle Ground - Fern Prairie 99748, 86w-6h, 52.6% McCain, 60.7% Rossi 51 Vancouver W 101942, 76w-12h, 61.0% Obama, 55.6% Murray 52 Vancouver E - Camas - Washougal 103355, 80w-7a-7h, 52.9% Obama, 54.2% Rossi 53 Yakima S - Klickitat - Skamania 102274, 51h-39w-7n, 53.5% Obama, 53.9% Rossi. White VAP plurality. Bit unfortunate to have to carry Klickitat and Skamania here and drop some Hispanic precincts (no superheavy ones though except in Yakima) nearby. This is not nearly the first district to have a Native presence, of course - several West Washington districts with 2.9% or 3.5% etc. Lotsa small reservations scattered around there. 54 Richland - Moxee 102153, 74w-20, 61.4% McCain, 63.4% Rossi. Boundary through Benton follows either the interstate, the Yakima River, or a city line throughout. Had to bypass Grandview and Sunnyside - needed them for my Hispanic district. 55 Kennewick - Prosser 96192, 70w-24h, 63.0% McCain, 63.8% Rossi 56 Yakima 97114, 52w-42h, 50.7% McCain, 58.8% Rossi. Consists of the two cities of Yakima and Union Gap. 57 Kittitas - N Yakima - W Chelan 102534, 82w-13h, 58.7% McCain, 66.6% Rossi 58 E Chelan - Douglas (or just Wenatchee) 101324, 68w-28h, 57.4% McCain, 65.4% Rossi 59 Grant - Othello 103590, 53w-43h, 62.5% McCain, 69.8% Rossi 60 Franklin - W Walla Walla - E Adams 100182, 50w-44h, 62.6% McCain, 66.8% Rossi. Grant could stand with Lincoln and Franklin with Adams. However that forces a split of Pullman. Even as is, I'm unhappy with having had to include College Place (right by Walla Walla) in this district. 61 Pullman - Walla Walla - Clarkston 102023, 81w-10h, 50.9% McCain, 57.4% Rossi 62 S Spokane county - Lincoln - N Whitman 98591, 57.9% McCain, 64.3% Rossi 63 Spokane Valley 104250, 89w, 53.1% McCain, 59.7% Rossi 64 Spokane city S 95781, 84w, 59.9% Obama, 55.6% Murray. All of the city south of the river and a few precincts north. 65 Spokane city N 97612, 85w-5h, 53.2% Obama, 50.9% Rossi. Entirely within the city and still excludes a few precincts north of Francis Avenue. 66 N Spokane county 97297, 90w, 55.9% McCain, 62.8% Rossi 67 Okanogan - Ferry - Stevens - Pend Oreille 105203 (barely within tolerance), 80w-9h-8n, 55.9% McCain, 64.1% Rossi. Colville and Spokane Reservations. Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on December 11, 2012, 07:58:34 AM It lives! 140 North and Central California districts.
() 1 Siskiyou - Modoc - N Shasta 95515, 82w, 60.7% McCain, 62.9% Whitman. These are 2pp numbers. Races listed from 10.0% on up. 2 Redding 100202, 82w, 62.3% McCain, 64.9% Whitman 3 Tehama - S Shasta 98872, 76w-17h, 63.0% McCain, 65.1% Whitman 4 Arcata - Del Norte - Trinity 95281, 74w-11h, 64.7% Obama, 62.6% Brown. Also the most Native-heavy district in California, probably by a fair pinch. 7.4%. Split of Humboldt Bay conurbation is unavoidable. 5 Eureka - Fort Bragg 99385, 77w-12h, 62.2% Obama, 58.7% Brown 6 Mendocino - N Sonoma 98539, 70w-22h, 73.5% Obama, 68.4% Brown 7 Santa Rosa NW - Windsor - Healdsburg 101363, 61w-30h, 73.1% Obama, 64.9% Brown. See map below. 8 Santa Rosa E 101484, 71w-19h, 74.8% Obama, 66.9% Brown 9 Santa Rosa SW - Rohnert Park 102568, 54w-34h, 76.9% Obama, 69.1% Brown 10 Petaluma - Sebastopol 103363, 74w-18h, 76.4% Obama, 70.4% Brown 11 Novato - Sonoma Valley 101174, 69w-22h, 72.5% Obama, 66.0% Brown 12 San Rafael 95708, 69w-21h, 80.9% Obama, 74.9% Brown 13 S & W Marin 98049, 80w, 82.4% Obama, 74.0% Brown () 14 Napa - American Canyon 102952, 52w-35h, 68.0% Obama, 62.6% Brown 15 Lake - Napa Valley 98197, 73w-19h, 61.3% Obama, 55.6% Brown 16 Glenn - Colusa - Oroville 102362, 58w-32h, 59.6% McCain, 62.8% Whitman 17 Chico 102336, 75w-15h, 60.5% Obama, 53.6% Brown 18 Paradise - Lassen - Plumas 96710, 80w-11h, 58.6% McCain, 57.4% Whitman 19 Yuba - Lake Oroville - Sierra 98430, 64w-22h, 58.9% McCain, 58.9% Whitman 20 Sutter 96330, 50w-29h-14a, 58.1% McCain, 59.7% Whitman. Because the county is just outside tolerance, this includes one block group (Knights Landing) from Yolo County. 21 Woodland - West Sacramento 102498, 45w-40h, 60.0% Obama, 60.2% Brown 22 Davis - W Yolo 96758, 56w-20h-19a, 74.3% Obama, 70.8% Brown. Davis is insanely Democratic. It's basically an inland enclave of Berkeley. It's also slightly larger than Woodland or W Sacramento and slightly too large to be combined with either. The rural areas to the west of the county voted for Obama by a whisker or two, I think. 23 Nevada 98764, 87w, 52.7% Obama, 52.1% Whitman. Whole county. () 24 Lake Tahoe 100411, 80w-14h, 51.9% Obama, 53.1% Whitman. Also includes Alpine County (contrary to what's shown on the first map.) 25 Placerville - Cameron Park 104772, 80w-11h, 58.1% McCain, 62.5% Whitman 26 Auburn - Lincoln 102151, 79w-13h, 56.4% McCain, 59.7% Whitman 27 Rocklin - Granite Bay 99789, 79w, 58.9% McCain, 64.0% Whitman 28 Roseville 101282, 70w-15h, 54.7% McCain, 57.8% Whitman 29 Citrus Heights - Roseville S 95025, 74w-15h, 54.5% McCain, 53.9% Whitman. next 13 districts wholly in Sacramento County... 30 Folsom - Orangevale 98737, 71w-11h-10a, 55.3% McCain, 57.9% Whitman 31 Carmichael - Fair Oaks 100657, 76w-11h, 50.4% Obama, 50.5% Whitman 32 Rancho Cordova 98862, 53w-19h-13a, 56.8% Obama, 56.9% Brown 33 Arden Town - La Riviera 102248, 62w-19h, 58.4% Obama, 57.2% Brown 34 Antelope - Elverta 98574, 61w-18h, 51.2% Obama, 53.3% Brown 35 Sacramento Arcade - Foothill Farms 99593, 43w-29h-13b-10a, 62.3% Obama, 63.4% Brown 36 Sacramento Creekside - Natomas 104327, 32w-28h-20a-14b, 71.8% Obama, 69.6% Brown 37 Sacramento Central 97689, 61w-18h, 74.1% Obama, 72.2% Brown 38 Sacramento Pocket - Meadowview 95688, 30w-26a-23h-16b, 72.0% Obama, 73.4% Brown 39 Sacramento Cordova - Tahoe Park 95894, 39h-25w-18a-13b, 76.1% Obama, 79.0% Brown 40 Sacramento South - Florin 100308, 29h-28a-20w-18b, 71.3% Obama, 73.5% Brown. Asian VAP plurality. Actually takes the first half of its name from the neighborhood South Sacramento. 41 Sacramento Laguna 98187, 30a-30w-20h-14b, 65.0% Obama, 65.5% Brown. White VAP plurality. 42 Elk Grove 98854, 41w-26a-18h, 55.1% Obama, 56.8% Brown 43 Galt - Dixon 95949, 58w-30h, 54.6% McCain, 54.8% Whitman 44 Vacaville 100096, 53w-22h-10b, 54.9% Obama, 53.0% Brown 45 Fairfield 104742, 33w-29h-17b-14a, 66.7% Obama, 63.2% Brown 46 Vallejo 104366, 25w-25a-24h-22b, 76.2% Obama, 76.0% Brown. Best racial breakdown ever. 47 Vallejo SE - Benicia - Hercules 100936, 41w-25a-16h-12b, 70.4% Obama, 66.7% Brown. Ugly. But hard to avoid unless you want to draw Galt - Oakley, which I don't. And even then you're just including Dixon instead of the Contra Costa bit. 48 Martinez - Concord NW 100053, 52w-30h-10a, 70.7% Obama, 66.2% Brown. The municipal lines around Concord / Walnut Creek / Pleasant Hill do not coincide with precinct lines, major roads, or demographics, and in the end they were largely ignored in this area. 49 Concord SE - Clayton 100326, 63w-18h-12a, 64.1% Obama, 57.7% Brown 50 Pittsburg 96528, 43h-24w-15b-14a, 76.1% Obama, 73.8% Brown 51 Antioch 99503, 37w-31h-16b-11a, 69.1% Obama, 65.6% Brown 52 Brentwood - Oakley 103685, 55w-29h, 57.1% Obama, 52.9% Brown 53 San Ramon 97401, 54w-31a(!), 59.1% Obama, 52.3% Whitman(!) See also map below. 54 Walnut Creek E - Danville 103110, 77w-11a, 61.6% Obama, 52.8% Brown 55 Walnut Creek W - Pleasant Hill - Lafayette - Orinda - Morega - Kensington (strike whatever you consider least relevant!) 104461, 75w-11a, 69.8% Obama, 61.4% Brown 56 El Cerrito - Pinole - San Pablo E 104588, 34w-24h-22a-16b, 82.6% Obama, 80.7% Brown 57 Richmond - San Pablo W 102849, <50h-23b-13w-11a, 90.6% Obama, 88.9% Brown () 58 Berkeley - Albany 100562, 58w-24a, 93.7% Obama, 92.4% Brown 59 Oakland Hoover - Berkeley Marina 102745, 35b-31w-15h-14a, 96.2% Obama, 95.0% Brown (a North California record) 60 Oakland Hills 104439, 63w-13a-11b, 89.5% Obama, 87.5% Brown 61 Oakland Sausal Creek - Allendale - Zoo 104584, 36b-22h-21a-17w, 93.3% Obama, 92.4% Brown. More a result of the ones north and southwest of it than anything else. Even though it is the most strongly Black district north of LA and west of Dallas. 62 Oakland Fruitvale - Fitchburg 101384, 56h-27b-11a, 95.1% Obama, 93.9% Brown. And yes, I noticed the blank precinct visible in the screenshot (and also the ones in Placer and San Mateo.) It's corrected in the data. :-* 63 Alameda - Oakland Laney 102745, 37w-36a-12h, 80.9% Obama, 78.8% Brown 64 San Leandro 103684, 30h-28a-25w-13b, 77.7% Obama, 76.2% Brown. Asian VAP plurality. 65 Castro Valley - Hayward E 102676, 44w-21a-20h-11b, 72.4% Obama, 69.6% Brown 66 Hayward NW - San Lorenzo 95459, 45h-21w-20a-10b, 78.1% Obama, 76.1% Brown 67 Hayward S - Union City E 99297, 41h-32a-15w- 79.4% Obama, 76.0% Brown 68 Newark - Fremont Ardenwood - Union City W 96957, 49a-21h-20w, 74.8% Obama, 69.0% Brown 69 Fremont N 96569, 40a-32w-19h, 71.9% Obama, 66.4% Brown 70 Fremont S 97101, 57a-24w-12h, 72.2% Obama, 62.5% Brown 71 Pleasanton - Dublin 100516, 56w-22a-13h, 63.1% Obama, 53.8% Brown 72 Livermore 101601, 62w-18h-13a, 58.2% Obama, 50.2% Brown Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on December 11, 2012, 08:51:13 AM 73 San Francisco Marina - Pacific Heights 96220, 69w-19a, 82.0% Obama, 70.9% Brown
74 San Francisco Downtown - Chinatown 100310, 41a-36w-13h, 85.6% Obama, 81.8% Brown. Surprised how densely residential the area remains. Very unamerican, somehow. (And unbritish or, I admit it, ungerman either.) 75 San Francisco Mission - Potrero - Bernal Heights 97263, 41w-32h-18a, 91.9% Obama, 89.0% Brown 76 San Francisco Castro - Noe Valley - Haight-Ashbury (or I suppose "Castro" might suffice on its own?) 103489, 68w-12h-11a, 94.4% Obama, 91.6% Brown. Weird westward trough is Golden Gate Park. 77 San Francisco Richmond - Alamo Square 96345, 43w-39a, 84.6% Obama, 80.5% Brown. Eastward extension to Alamo Square and into parts of Hayes Valley covers some more downmarket, racially mixed areas between the two whitest parts of the city in Castro proper and most of district 73. 78 San Francisco Sunset 103405, 51a-38w, 80.4% Obama, 76.4% Brown 79 San Francisco Ingleside 103672, 41a-33w-17h, 82.0% Obama, 78.3% Brown 80 San Francisco Bayview - Portola 104531, 46a-27h-15b (oh yes. Not many Whites though), 84.2% Obama, 81.9% Brown 81 Daly City 103157, 56a-23h-14w, 75.5% Obama, 75.3% Brown 82 Pacifica - Half Moon Bay 101328, 50w-25a-19h, 74.5% Obama, 71.2% Brown 83 South San Francisco - San Bruno - Milbrae 104311, 38w-33h-31a, 75.5% Obama, 72.6% Brown 84 San Mateo N - Burlingame 102036, 51w-23h-21a, 70.9% Obama, 62.6% Brown 85 San Mateo S - Foster City - Belmont - Shearwater 104313, 51w-30a-12h, 71.9% Obama, 64.9% Brown. Shearwater is that bit of Redwood City far from the other populated portions. 86 Redwood city E - East Palo Alto 98940, 60h-22w, 82.6% Obama, 78.5% Brown 87 Redwood City SW - San Carlos - Menlo Park 104366, 76w-10a, 71.0% Obama, 61.7% Brown. Very crass color line here, by West Coast standards especially. () 88 Palo Alto - Loyola 95426, 61w-27a, 78.6% Obama, 69.2% Brown 89 Mountain View - Los Altos 100924, 51w-26a-17h, 75.6% Obama, 68.0% Brown 90 Saratoga - Campbell 100635, 50w-35a-10h, 67.3% Obama, 56.8% Brown 91 Cupertino - Sunnyvale S 101500, 56a-34w, 72.2% Obama 62.1% Brown 92 Sunnyvale 101436, 39a-31w-24h, 73.6% Obama, 68.0% Brown 93 Santa Clara 103079, 39w-34a-21h, 72.7% Obama, 67.3% Brown 94 Milipitas - River Oaks - Agnew 98685, 60a-18w-16h, 68.6% Obama, 62.5% Brown 95 San Jose Berryessa 97160, 63a-18h-13w, 67.2% Obama, 63.3% Brown 96 San Jose Alum Rock - East Foothills 99646, 61h-24w-12w, 75.2% Obama, 73.3% Brown 97 San Jose Centerwood - Meadowlands 102353, 54a-25h-16w, 68.3% Obama, 63.0% Brown 98 San Jose Downtown - Roberts 104166, 57h-21a-17w, 80.3% Obama, 78.5% Brown 99 San Jose Blackford - College Park 101487, 39w-31h-23a, 74.4% Obama, 67.8% Brown 100 San Jose Willow Glen 98336, 55w-25h-13a, 69.7% Obama, 62.8% Brown 101 San Jose Atlanta - Summerside - San Ramon 100680, <50h-33a-13w, 70.4% Obama, 66.9% Brown 102 San Jose Carson - Calero 95901, 35w-33h-23a, 69.4% Obama, 63.4% Brown 103 San Jose Almaden Valley - Belgatos 101100, 59w-20a-16h, 64.9% Obama, 56.1% Brown 104 Morgan Hill - San Jose Silver Leaf 99857, 47w-32h-15a, 62.2% Obama, 53.6% Brown () 105 San Benito - Gilroy 96905, 60h-33w, 65.1% Obama, 57.7% Brown 106 Santa Cruz Mountains - Los Gatos 104791, 81w, 71.2% Obama, 63.3% Brown 107 Santa Cruz 99812, 68w-21h, 85.8% Obama, 80.5% Brown 108 Watsonville 103211, 60h-34w, 75.4% Obama, 68.5% Brown. Carves into Monterey. That *can* be avoided, but it gets very ugly in Monterey and drives down the Hispanic share in Watsonville. 109 Salinas N - Marina - Prunedale 102759, 58h-26w, 69.5% Obama, 64.6% Brown 110 Salinas S 102759, 79h-14w, 72.6% Obama, 69.0% Brown 111 Monterey 102366, 61w-22h, 70.6% Obama, 62.4% Brown 112 Salinas Valley 99633, 62h-31w, 64.3% Obama, 58.6% Brown 113 Lodi 96246, 54w-34h, 59.8% McCain, 61.7% Whitman. Yeah, most of this district is not shown in any of these screenshots. You can still see where it is, though. 114 Stockton N 98428, 29a-28w-28h-10b, 59.1% Obama, 56.9% Brown. White VAP plurality. 115 Stockton NC 97996, 36w-33h-17a, 59.3% Obama, 55.4% Brown 116 Stockton SC 101538, 63h-17w, 74.7% Obama, 74.0% Brown 117 Stockton S - Lathrop - Escalon 95455, 44h-30w-14a, 57.0% Obama, 53.2% Brown. Bit awkward leftovers district. 118 Tracy 99179, 37w-35h-17a, 61.2% Obama, 55.3% Brown 119 Manteca 96464, 52w-34h, 53.0% McCain, 56.5% Whitman 120 Modesto NW 101083, 53w-33h, 52.0% Obama, 52.2% Whitman 121 Modesto NE 104850, 56w-31h, 50.5% McCain, 54.3% Whitman 122 Modesto S 103690, 62h-28w, 64.3% Obama, 62.0% Brown 123 W Stanislaus (aka Patterson - Turlock SW) 103637, 56h-35w, 54.8% Obama, 50.5% Whitman 124 E Stanislaus (aka Turlock NE - Oakdale) 101203, 64w-28h, 58.6% McCain, 62.6% Whitman 125 Amador - Calaveras - N Tuolumne 100659, 83w-11h, 56.6% McCain, 56.9% Whitman 126 Yosemite - Death Valley 104847, 77w-15h, 55.4% McCain, 58.2% Whitman. Includes Mariposa, Mono, Inyo, most of Tuolumne, and part of Madera counties. 127 Madera 99044, 69h-25w, 51.7% McCain, 54.7% Whitman. Yeah. 128 Merced NE - Chowchilla 98163, 46w-37h, 53.0% McCain, 58.5% Whitman. White VAP majority. 129 Merced SW - Los Banos 96575, 62h-26w, 60.8% Obama, 54.5% Brown 130 Atwater - Livingston 97403, 57h-33w, 52.5% Obama, 54.5% Whitman 131 Mendota - Coalinga - Corcoran 97510, 72h-18w, 57.1% Obama, 58.4% Brown. Curves around to take in all of southern Kings County outside the map. 132 Hanford - Lemoore 104510, 44h-43w, 59.0% McCain, 58.8% Whitman. White VAP plurality. 133 Selma - Kerman 96526, 71h-21w, 50.4% Obama, 55.2% Whitman 134 Fresno W 96387, 56h-16w-13a-13b, 69.5% Obama, 66.1% Brown 135 Fresno NW 99116, 52w-30h, 52.7% McCain, 60.7% Whitman 136 Fresno NE 101509, 52w-27h-13a, 53.5% McCain, 60.3% Whitman 137 Fresno WC 99501, 57h-25w, 69.2% Obama, 64.9% Brown 138 Fresno EC 99696, 66h-14a-12w, 71.5% Obama, 69.3% Brown 139 Fresno E - Clovis S 95689, 38w-37h-17a, 50.5% McCain, 56.5% Whitman 140 Clovis N - E Fresno county 95467, 65w-20h, 64.3% McCain, 71.2% Whitman 141 Reedley - Sanger - Kingsburg 96508, 76h-20w, 52.0% Obama, 51.9% Whitman Ignore the Tulare County map. That is entirely preliminary and needs to be aligned with a yet to be even sketched Kern County map. Indeed, all of Southern California bar SLO/Santa Barbara is yet to be even glanced at (beyond apportioning districts to counties.) And progress is slow. Silverlight keeps crashing. Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on December 12, 2012, 05:41:20 AM No comment? I hate you all and I want you to die. :'(
Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: Gass3268 on December 12, 2012, 05:48:03 AM Good work! Looking forward to seeing SoCal. When you are all done are we going to get Obama v. McCain totals nationwide?
Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on December 12, 2012, 07:17:16 AM Good work! Looking forward to seeing SoCal. When you are all done are we going to get Obama v. McCain totals nationwide? I just notice I'm off by a district somehow; the current plan works out to 372 rather than 373 districts. How did that happen!? The easiest way to fix it now will be to draw 99 districts of app. 99200 rather than 98 districts of app. 100150 in LA County. So that's the new plan: 142-5 Tulare. 146 Kern/Tulare. 147-54 Kern. 155-6 SLO. 157 SLO/Sta Barbara. 158-61 Sta Barbara. 162-9 Ventura (actually all this is pretty much done, just needs a little refining). 170-268 LA. 269-98 Orange. 299-318 San Bernardino. 319 Riverside/SB. 320-340 Riverside. 341 Imperial/Riverside. 342 Imperial. 343-73 SD. Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: Sbane on December 12, 2012, 03:25:40 PM No comment? I hate you all and I want you to die. :'( I just saw this, and I want you to know that you are awesome. Good job! Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on December 22, 2012, 07:24:34 AM ()
142 Dinuba - Woodlake Junction - Exeter 101131, 73h-24w, 56.6% McCain, 60.7% Whitman 143 Visalia 97826, 49h-41w, 57.8% McCain, 61.2% Whitman, White VAP plurality 144 Tulare 101208, 51h-41w, 60.7% McCain, 64.2% Whitman, White VAP plurality 145 Porterville 101925, 61h-32w, 56.5% McCain, 55.3% Whitman You're not drawing a genuine Hispanic opportunity in Tulare County without splitting the cities up. 142 and 145 will probably elect Azorean Republicans, though. 146 Delano - Earlimart 95248, 76h-10w, 61.8% Obama, 62.8% Brown. Quite the change, huh. 147 Ridgecrest - Edwards 94882, 63w-23h, 65.1% McCain, 66.8% Whitman 148 Tehachapi - Arvin - Taft 97471, 52w-42h, 66.4% McCain, 64.8% Whitman. Sorry about that excursion into the northeastern Bakersfield exurbs. All done to enable the creation of district 154 while keeping the populations for two districts east of it. Though ideally Arvin belongs in 154 as well, and it needs to lose that huge block group southwest of Bakersfield. Can't be done with contiguity, alas. Further west the place where the 148-154, oil business-agrobusiness, white dominant-hispanic dominant boundary belongs is entirely clearcut. 149 Oildale - Bakersfield N 97890, 59w-31h, 64.0% McCain, 64.5% Whitman 150 Bakersfield E 96765, 75h-16w, 58.0% Obama, 57.9% Brown 151 Bakersfield SE 98673, 66h-19w, 59.8% Obama, 58.2% Brown 152 Bakersfield SW 100065, 45h-36w, 55.4% McCain, 55.6% Whitman. Hispanic VAP plurality, but obviously not a Hispanic opportunity district. 153 Bakersfield NW - Greenacres 99753, 65w-22h, 71.9% McCain, 72.4% Whitman 154 Wasco - Shafter - Lamont 98973, 77h-17w, 50.3% Obama, 50.3% Whitman () 155 Atascadero - Paso Robles 101146, 71w-23h, 55.6% McCain, 58.6% Whitman 156 San Luis Obispo - Morro Bay 100187, 74w-14h, 63.8% Obama, 57.8% Brown 157 Arroyo Grande - Santa Maria E 96998, 64w-28h, 55.2% McCain, 60.3% Whitman 158 Santa Maria 99456, 75h-18w, 55.2% Obama, 51.7% Brown. Maxpack. Sorry about the threeway split of the Santa Maria / Orcutt area, but it's unavoidable unless you're ready to let 157 take Solvang. 159 Lompoc 96077, 54w-36h, 54.3% McCain, 62.8% Whitman 160 Goleta - Santa Barbara E 101450, 62w-25h, 70.5% Obama, 59.6% Brown 161 Santa Barbara - Carpinteria 98218, 55w-39h, 74.2% Obama, 62.7% Brown () 162 Santa Paula - Ojai - Paseo del Mar 100958, 57h-40w, 63.2% Obama, 57.1% Brown. Paseo del Mar is that distinct neighborhood/canyon on the northwestern end of Ventura. Heavily Hispanic for some reason. 163 Ventura 102015, 61w-29h, 60.3% Obama, 52.7% Brown 164 Oxnard N 103986, 79h-11w, 75.3% Obama, 70.7% Brown 165 Oxnard S - Port Hueneme 103212, 63h-24w, 65.6% Obama, 60.9% Brown 166 Camarillo 104398, 53w-34h, 50.9% Obama, 57.1% Whitman 167 Thousand Oaks 103262, 74w-14h, 52.4% Obama, 58.2% Whitman 168 Thousand Oaks N - Moorpark - Simi Valley W 101050, 67w-22h, 50.4% McCain, 60.2% Whitman 169 Simi Valley 104437, 62w-24h, 52.0% McCain, 61.1% Whitman Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on December 22, 2012, 08:32:29 AM LA County. As mentioned earlier, this got an extra seat... and I had to add that extra seat belatedly and couldn't add it in the area where I had 20k people left over on the first draft, which was in West Covina. The most surplus populations overall were in central and south central LA, so that's where the extra seat went... and where seats are all on the low end of the allowed range now, to the point where you can call it systematic bias if you like. (I did move some slight bit of San Fernando Valley and, like, three precincts from east of the city in to make it marginally easier.)
() 170 Antelope Valley 100999, 51w-32h, 55.3% McCain, 61.6% Whitman 171 Lancaster W 97258, 45w-31h-16b, 55.1% McCain, 58.5% Whitman 172 Lancaster E 97406, 47h-28w-19b, 57.2% Obama, 53.9% Brown 173 Palmdale 101970, 64h-16w-15b, 68.0% Obama, 65.4% Brown 174 Santa Clarita N 101785, 63w-19h-11a, 51.0% McCain, 60.5% Whitman 175 Santa Clarita E 95871, 44w-40h, 50.8% Obama, 57.5% Whitman 176 Santa Clarita S - Val Verde - Porter Ranch 99792, 52w-22h-18a, 53.1% Obama, 56.5% Whitman Names in the city of Los Angeles may be off, obviously. 177 San Fernando - Sylmar 103709, 81h-11w, 73.9% Obama, 70.9% Brown 178 Pacoima - San Fernando Gardens 95296, 89h, 86.7% Obama, 84.8% Brown 179 Sunland - Tujunga - Shadow Hills 97720, 46w-39h, 60.9% Obama, 56.6% Brown () 180 Sun Valley 95910, 73h-16w, 79.6% Obama, 77.4% Brown 181 North Hollywood - Valley Glen 95081, 56w-29h, 75.5% Obama, 72.5% Brown 182 Sherman Oaks 99534, 66w-20h, 76.5% Obama, 70.6% Brown 183 Van Nuys 102322, 61h-24w, 77.2% Obama, 73.9% Brown 184 Panorama City 104235, 75h-13a, 76.3% Obama, 73.9% Brown 185 North Hills - Mission Hills 100688, 55h-26w-13a, 67.0% Obama, 61.7% Brown 186 Northridge - Chatsworth 96255, 50w-23h-19a, 60.3% Obama, 52.1% Brown. Just over 50%. 187 Reseda 100062, 52h-29w-12a, 70.5% Obama, 65.6% Brown. No VAP majority. 188 Winnetka 97002, 55h-24w-14a, 69.3% Obama, 63.1% Brown 189 West Hills 101903, 66w-14h-12a, 64.1% Obama, 55.8% Brown 190 Encino - Tarzana 97310, 72w-14h, 67.4% Obama, 60.1% Brown 191 Topanga - Calabasas 99277, 82w, 62.7% Obama, 53.0% Brown 192 Santa Monica - Pacific Palisades 101956, 72w-12h, 79.0% Obama, 72.5% Brown 193 West LA 97533, 66w-16a-11h, 76.5% Obama, 69.8% Brown 194 Beverly Hills - Brentwood 96550, 71w-16a, 68.0% Obama, 59.8% Brown 195 West Hollywood - Universal City 97704, 77w-10h, 81.6% Obama, 76.1% Brown. The crossmountain district. 196 Silver Lake - Hollywood Hills 95029, 57w-23h-13a, 84.6% Obama, 81.8% Brown 197 Eagle Rock 99631, 56h-21w-19a, 77.5% Obama, 77.3% Brown 198 El Sereno - Arroyo Seco 102337, 76h-14a, 81.9% Obama, 82.2% Brown 199 Downtown - Chinatown - Elysian Park 98263, 44h-27a-18w, 81.4% Obama, 82.2% Brown 200 Boyle Heights 102033, 87h, 87.4% Obama, 89.0% Brown 201 City West - Union 96012, 77h-13a, 79.1% Obama, 82.1% Brown 202 Westlake - Lafayette Park 96867, 57h-29a, 79.6% Obama, 82.4% Brown 203 Virgil Village - Sunset 99055, 58h-22w-15a, 80.6% Obama, 81.7% Brown 204 Wilshire 95459, 42h-40a, 77.6% Obama, 79.5% Brown. Asian VAP plurality. 205 Hancock Park - La Brea 96764, 65w-14a-12h, 79.0% Obama, 75.5% Brown 206 Pico - West Addams Terrace 95591, 62h-19b, 88.7% Obama, 89.5% Brown 207 West Addams - Lafayette Square 95834, 50h-29b-14w, 91.7% Obama, 89.8% Brown. Just over 50%, though not on VAP obviously. 208 Culver City - Beverlywood 99006, 50w-20h-18a, 79.2% Obama, 75.6% Brown. Just over. 209 Venice 96346, 61w-21h-11a, 80.7% Obama, 75.3% Brown 210 Hyde Park - Windsor Hills - Leimert Park 94929, 66b-24h, 95.8% Obama, 94.0% Brown. It's probably no coincidence that what was once the most respectable part of an overwhelmingly Black South Central is now the part to remain Blackest... (A: "Ladera Heights is, like, the Black Beverly Hills". B: "Not quite that. It's more like, the Black Palos Verdes.", (c) Quentin Tarantino.) 211 Chesterfield Square 95366, 68h-29b, 93.7% Obama, 93.2% Brown () 212 Westmont - Manchester Square 100776, 48b-48h, 96.4% Obama, 95.5% Brown. Black VAP majority. Also, most Democratic district in California (unless the four remaining counties cough up a stronger one, which I might not even believe when I see it), barely edging out the best that Oakland has to offer. 213 University Park - Pueblo del Rio 94977, 83h, 89.5% Obama, 89.7% Brown. The couple of janitors living on the job in the all-commercial-properties "city" of Vernon *just* move this into tolerance. ;D 214 South Park 95682, 82h-16b, 93.6% Obama, 92.4% Brown 215 Avalon Gardens- Figueroa 96552, 64h-32b, 93.1% Obama, 91.9% Brown 216 Willowbrook - Watts - West Compton 96931, 96931, 63h-35b, 95.5% Obama, 95.0% Brown 217 Compton 97569, 70h-27b, 95.1% Obama, 94.6% Brown 218 Carson NW - Normandie 97949, 35h-25a-24b-13w, 75.7% Obama, 75.5% Brown 219 Wilmington - Carson SE 96065, 71h-16a, 73.6% Obama, 75.3% Brown 220 Playa del Rey - El Segundo 95726, 51w-24h-12a, 68.1% Obama, 61.0% Brown 221 Inglewood 103661, 50h-44b, 93.7% Obama, 92.4% Brown. Just under 50, and Black plurality VAP 222 Hawthorne W - Lawndale - Lennox 95609, 67h-15w, 72.9% Obama, 69.0% Brown 223 Hawthorne E - Gardena N - West Athens 102234, 48h-35b, 87.1% Obama, 85.9% Brown 224 Torrance N - Gardena S 97626, 37a-28w-25h, 57.9% Obama, 54.3% Brown 225 Torrance S - Lomita 96311, 44w-30a-19h, 52.9% Obama, 53.2% Whitman 226 Manhattan Beach - Hermosa Beach - Redondo NE 97877, 72w-12h, 60.0% Obama, 50.7% Whitman 227 Palos Verdes - Redondo Beach 98619, 65w-21a, 50.1% Obama (lol), 58.4% Whitman 228 San Pedro 99813, 48h-35w, 67.8% Obama, 63.8% Brown 229 Long Beach S - Santa Catalina Island 103975, 57w-23h, 68.6% Obama, 60.8% Brown 230 Long Beach C 102746, 59h-15b-13a-10w, 83.1% Obama, 81.4% Brown 231 Long Beach W - Signal Hill 103194, 41h-22a-18w-16b, 73.8% Obama, 70.4% Brown 232 Long Beach NW 101795, 53h-20b-14a-11w, 78.8% Obama, 76.4% Brown. No VAP majority. 233 Long Beach E - Lakewood S 103851, 59w-22h-10a, 55.3% Obama, 50.5% Brown 234 Bellflower - Lakewood N 102767, 46h-25w-13a-13b, 63.4% Obama, 59.7% Brown 235 Downey 100055, 70h-18w, 62.5% Obama, 59.8% Brown 236 Paramount 97358, 81h, 80.4% Obama, 78.7% Brown. Augmented with bits and pieces of surrounding municipalities. 237 Lynwood - South Gate E 96718, 91h, 85.7% Obama, 84.9% Brown 238 Florence - South Gate W 100227, 93h, 91.0% Obama, 89.2% Brown 239 Huntington Park - Maywood 101469, 97h, 85.5% Obama, 85.9% Brown 240 Bell - Cudahy - Bell Gardens 101019, 95h, 84.2% Obama, 84.2% Brown 241 Montebello - Commerce 103397, 87h, 79.3% Obama, 80.0% Brown 242 East LA 97576, 97h, 87.4% Obama, 89.0% Brown () 243 Rosemead - South San Gabriel 97282, 57a-37h, 69.1% Obama, 70.4% Brown 244 Monterey Park - Alhambra W 98024, 59a-32h, 68.0% Obama, 66.8% Brown 245 San Gabriel - Alhambra E - San Marino 99342, 54a-26h-17w, 59.4% Obama, 54.3% Brown 246 Burbank 103340, 58w-25h-11a, 65.5% Obama, 59.6% Brown. Exact match with municipal borders! The same is true for Glendale as well. 247 Glendale S 95483, 56w-23h-16a, 71.8% Obama, 69.0% Brown 248 Glendale N 95307, 68w-16a-12h, 62.2% Obama, 54.0% Brown 249 Pasadena W - South Pasadena - La Canada Flintridge 103887, 55w-26a-13h, 62.8% Obama, 55.5% Brown 250 Pasadena C - Altadena W 96753, 45h-23w-19b(!), 83.6% Obama, 79.8% Brown 251 Pasadena E - Altadena E - Monrovia N 97617, 56w-21h-15a, 61.3% Obama, 54.9% Brown. Monrovia falls into unusually (for suburban LA County) clearcut White, Asian and Hispanic sections and has been split according. 252 Arcadia - Temple City - Monrovia SW 103835, 52a-25w-19h, 54.7% Obama, 50.6% Whitman 253 Azusa - Duarte - Monrovia SE 102614, 65h-19w, 67.6% Obama, 65.2% Brown 254 El Monte 100123, 70h-24a, 73.2% Obama, 75.0% Brown 255 Pico Rivera - South El Monte 99578, 89h, 76.4% Obama, 77.7% Brown 256 Cerritos - Artesia - Hawaiian Gardens 97089, 44a-31h-16w, 60.3% Obama, 56.8% Brown 257 Norwalk 103523, 70h-12w-12a, 69.5% Obama, 68.7% Brown. Another perfect match. 258 La Mirada - La Habra Heights 95328, 45h-39w-12a, 51.2% McCain(!), 55.1% Whitman. White VAP plurality. 259 Whittier S - Los Nietos 100012, 81h-14w, 68.1% Obama, 66.7% Brown 260 Whittier - Hacienda Heights 100638, 56h-22a-20w, 60.5% Obama, 57.2% Brown 261 Puente Valley 104135, 85h, 76.9% Obama, 77.9% Brown 262 Baldwin Park - West Covina W 100857, 75h-15a, 73.7% Obama, 73.9% Brown 263 Covina - West Covina E 104286, 62h-19w-14a, 63.7% Obama, 61.9% Brown 264 Glendora - San Dimas - Covina N 101867, 50w-36h, 51.9% McCain(!), 56.4% Whitman. Under 50 on total, but over on VAP of course 265 La Verne - Claremont - Pomona N 104297, 47w-33h-10a, 58.4% Obama, 53.6% Brown. VAP majority. 266 Pomona S 98524, 80h, 77.6% Obama, 76.9% Brown 267 Walnut - Pomona Westmont - West Covina Shadow Oaks 100185, 40a-35h-17w, 59.8% Obama, 54.7% Brown 268 Diamond Bar - Rowland Hills 97905, 57a-23h-16w, 56.5% Obama, 50.8% Brown Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: Tetro Kornbluth on December 22, 2012, 12:03:03 PM Amazing thread.
I tried to find it but so didn't.. what is the most McCain district so far? Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: jimrtex on December 22, 2012, 12:53:22 PM 142 Dinuba - Woodlake Junction - Exeter 101131, 73h-24w, 56.6% McCain, 60.7% Whitman 143 Visalia 97826, 49h-41w, 57.8% McCain, 61.2% Whitman, White VAP plurality 144 Tulare 101208, 51h-41w, 60.7% McCain, 64.2% Whitman, White VAP plurality 145 Porterville 101925, 61h-32w, 56.5% McCain, 55.3% Whitman You're not drawing a genuine Hispanic opportunity in Tulare County without splitting the cities up. 142 and 145 will probably elect Azorean Republicans, though. Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: Vazdul (Formerly Chairman of the Communist Party of Ontario) on December 22, 2012, 05:46:18 PM 142 Dinuba - Woodlake Junction - Exeter 101131, 73h-24w, 56.6% McCain, 60.7% Whitman 143 Visalia 97826, 49h-41w, 57.8% McCain, 61.2% Whitman, White VAP plurality 144 Tulare 101208, 51h-41w, 60.7% McCain, 64.2% Whitman, White VAP plurality 145 Porterville 101925, 61h-32w, 56.5% McCain, 55.3% Whitman You're not drawing a genuine Hispanic opportunity in Tulare County without splitting the cities up. 142 and 145 will probably elect Azorean Republicans, though. A Republican of Azorean ancestry, of course. Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: Sbane on December 22, 2012, 07:07:41 PM Whoa, didn't even notice how much that San Ramon-Blackhawk district swung to Whitman! I haven't looked at all of it closely, but you seem to have a done an excellent job keeping communities of interest together.
Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: nclib on December 22, 2012, 07:48:19 PM Good work! Looking forward to seeing SoCal. When you are all done are we going to get Obama v. McCain totals nationwide? I think some of the New England states have since put that data up. It would be good to see that data. It would also be interesting to list Obama districts in solidly McCain states (or Obama NHWhite majority in the South and Southwest). I'll start with Utah. Districts 9, 10, 11, 13, 15 in Utah, all in the Salt Lake City area, which all border each other. 9 East Millcreek - Holladay - Park City 96363, 87-7, 55.6% Obama 10 Salt Lake City South 99040, 75-15, 67.7% Obama. And South Salt Lake. 11 Salt Lake City North 100042, 58-28-8 asian, 68.7% Obama 13 West Valley City North 95729, 53-34-9 asian, 50.6% Obama 15 Murray - Taylorsville East 99866, 77-14, 49.6% Obama () Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: jimrtex on December 22, 2012, 08:39:33 PM 142 Dinuba - Woodlake Junction - Exeter 101131, 73h-24w, 56.6% McCain, 60.7% Whitman 143 Visalia 97826, 49h-41w, 57.8% McCain, 61.2% Whitman, White VAP plurality 144 Tulare 101208, 51h-41w, 60.7% McCain, 64.2% Whitman, White VAP plurality 145 Porterville 101925, 61h-32w, 56.5% McCain, 55.3% Whitman You're not drawing a genuine Hispanic opportunity in Tulare County without splitting the cities up. 142 and 145 will probably elect Azorean Republicans, though. A Republican of Azorean ancestry, of course. Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: Vazdul (Formerly Chairman of the Communist Party of Ontario) on December 22, 2012, 09:16:28 PM 142 Dinuba - Woodlake Junction - Exeter 101131, 73h-24w, 56.6% McCain, 60.7% Whitman 143 Visalia 97826, 49h-41w, 57.8% McCain, 61.2% Whitman, White VAP plurality 144 Tulare 101208, 51h-41w, 60.7% McCain, 64.2% Whitman, White VAP plurality 145 Porterville 101925, 61h-32w, 56.5% McCain, 55.3% Whitman You're not drawing a genuine Hispanic opportunity in Tulare County without splitting the cities up. 142 and 145 will probably elect Azorean Republicans, though. A Republican of Azorean ancestry, of course. Yes indeed. Congressman Devin Nunes (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Devin_Nunes) would be one such example. Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on December 23, 2012, 05:41:13 AM Valadao, Costa and Cardoza are all Azoreans as well. They are White enough for the Anglos and Latin enough for the Mexicans, combined with the community's concentration it's a major electoral advantage.
Though I just surfed the Census website and the area of Azorean settlement seems to largely end at Fresno. Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: bgwah on December 24, 2012, 12:37:12 AM 41 Gig Harbor - Tacoma West End 99262, 84w-5h, 55.1% Obama, 57.2% Murray. You'd think she was a local or something. She's from far northern King. What's up with that? Alcon or Meeker could probably give you a more definitive answer, but I would assume the new Tacoma Narrows Bridge is the reason. Murray is chairwoman of the subcommittee that funds transportation, IIRC. Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on December 26, 2012, 10:00:13 AM Effing Orange. I'm sure parts of this could be done better but I ran out of patience.
() 269 La Habra - Fullerton Sunny Hills 97747, 41h-29w-27a, 51.4% McCain, 58.4% Whitman 270 Fullerton 100065, 41h-40w-14a, 51.7% Obama, 55.9% Whitman. White plurality VAP. I'm not doing the crawling snakelike thing (combining La Habra and the southern parts of this...) needed for another genuine Hispanic opportunity district. 271 Brea - Placentia (white parts of, actually) - Yorba Linda W 104457, 55w-22h-18a, 58.8% McCain, 67.2% Whitman 272 Anaheim Hill & Canyon - Yorba Linda E 103775, 63w-16h-16a, 62.7% McCain, 71.8% Whitman 273 Anaheim EC 99267, 67h-20w, 59.3% Obama, 53.5% Brown 274 Anaheim WC 99502, 63h-19w-14a, 58.6% Obama, 54.4% Brown 275 Anaheim W - Stanton 100217, 49h-24w-21a, 55.1% Obama, 51.1% Brown 276 Garden Grove E 101767, 57h-23a-17w, 54.8% Obama, 52.1% Brown (yeah, yeah, ignored the municipal boundary in favor of a thoroughfare) 277 Garden Grove W 102584, 46a-32h-20w, 51.8% Obama, 53.0% Whitman 278 Buena Park - La Palma 96888, 37h-30a-27w, 54.1% Obama, 51.5% Whitman 279 Cypress - Seal Beach (- etc) 104017, 62w-18a-16h, 54.1% McCain, 60.3% Whitman 280 Westminster 98185, 48a-25w-24h, 56.9% McCain(!), 57.6% Whitman 281 Huntington Beach NW 95208, 62w-22h-12a, 54.3% McCain, 63.6% Whitman 282 Huntington Beach S 97475, 73w-13h-11a, 53.1% McCain, 63.7% Whitman 283 Fountain Valley - Santa Ana North Harbor 104605, 34h-34a-29w, 53.9% McCain, 59.2% Whitman. Hispanics third on VAP. Combining two welldefined areas that border each other, have no obvious partner, have the right population when taken together, but also have not much in common. Classic Rossendale & Darwen style. 284 Santa Ana NW 104616, 87h, 73.3% Obama, 69.9% Brown 285 Santa Ana S 101441, 78h-10a, 69.4% Obama, 65.4% Brown 286 Santa Ana E - Tustin 101226, 64h-21w-12a, 60.0% Obama, 51.5% Brown 287 Orange W - Santa Ana NE 101305, 49h-40w, 51.7% Obama, 56.2% Whitman. White VAP plurality. 288 North Tustin - Orange E 103538, 60w-23h-13a, 60.2% McCain, 70.0% Whitman 289 Irvine N 104759, 44a-39w, 55.9% Obama, 57.8% Whitman. This is actually a mild attempt at keeping the white and asian (majority) parts of Irvine apart. Probably quite useless, everywhere in Irvine has considerable numbers of both. 290 Irvine S 97551, 50w-34a, 60.3% Obama, 51.4% Whitman. And they don't even vote as you'd expect at first. 291 Costa Mesa 99315, 49w-38h, 53.4% Obama, 57.8% Whitman 292 Newport Beach - Costa Mesa S 96735, 82w, 57.3% McCain, 70.6% Whitman 293 Foothill Ranch - Lake Forest 97419, 60w-22h-14a, 52.6% McCain, 62.6% Whitman 294 Rancho Santa Margarita - Ladera Ranch 97055, 70w-15h, 58.2% McCain, 71.7% Whitman 295 Mission Viejo 99224, 68w-19h, 55.1% McCain, 66.6% Whitman 296 Laguna Niguel N - Aliso Viejo 96481, 65w-17h-13a, 50.5% Obama, 61.2% Whitman 297 Laguna Beach - Laguna Niguel S - Dana Point 101323, 75w-12h, 51.3% Obama, 61.3% Whitman 298 San Clemente - San Juan Capistrano 102445, 70w-23h, 57.0% McCain, 67.0% Whitman Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: Sbane on December 26, 2012, 01:31:18 PM I would have actually kept the area in west Irvine with UC Irvine and areas to the south of I-405. That is the area I was usually in and did not go to east Irvine as much.
Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: they don't love you like i love you on December 27, 2012, 12:56:29 AM It's too bad I missed this. I actually plan on doing Minnesota when I get some time (when that is who knows) and will compare it to Lewis's. A few quibbles for now:
() 2 Carlton - Aitkin - Lake Superior 102372, 93, 58.7% Obama ick. I see what you were trying to do in keeping this area separate from the mining belt, but that area doesn't really extend into Grand Rapids either. I'd rather pair Carlton and Pine (as they are in the State Senate) and would be fine with adding the mining towns with the northeastern corner. Northern Pine should not be lumped in with the exurbs 7 Fargo - Detroit Lakes 98881, 92, 50.4% Obama Everyone in Moorhead hates you. 10 Sherburne - Benton 98058, 95, 59.2% McCain. His best result in the state. Rural Benton doesn't really belong with those places in southern Sherburne. A bit tricky to draw though I'll admit, I'll see when I take a stab at it. 11 Saint Cloud 103664, 87-6b, 51.0% Obama. Includes the suburban municipalities of Sartell, Sauk Rapids, Waite Park and Le Sauk, is in three counties like the city is, and is technically noncontiguous because the city is towards the southwest and I didn't want to split another municipality (couldn't cover it whole). Most people in St. Cloud don't care about being split. Not only is the southern part of the city rather rural despite incorporation, the different neighborhoods are so different and don't really affiliate with each other. The people in the liberal part think of the people in the south and west (and most of the suburbs) as dumb rednecks just as much as Twin Citians do. Of course not anywhere else you could've put this, so good job. 12 Stearns - Pope - Stevens 96591, 95, 55.4% McCain This might look good on a map, but the way people travel makes it a little odd. Look at I-94. Of course you don't want Alexandria in with western Stearns so I'll forgive this. 16 Mankato 104100, 91, 52.4% Obama. Really hard to tell on the map, but does include the city of North Mankato. 17 Nicollet - Le Sueur - Sibley - McLeod 98913, 92-5h, 53.1% McCain No No NO. You do not split Mankato and Nicollet. The southern tip of Nicollet (North Mankato) is so integrated with Mankato the sign when entering says "Mankato" on one line and "North Mankato" on a bottom one with the combined population (and that's not just one sign, it's literally every sign when you enter either one.) and there's no street sign when you cross from to the other (a county one though yes.) Also you don't split St. Peter from Mankato either. And this area does not belong with McLeod. Also you can split Mankato from the rest of Blue Earth and no one cares, Mankato is more associated with the towns along the river in Nicollet than the rest of Blue Earth, since that area aside from a couple towns that could be considered suburbs really doesn't think of Mankato as much than the place they have to travel to when they go on big shopping trips and where they might want their kids to go to college just so they can stay close to home. Same with Waseca, which is more closely affiliated with Owatonna. 20 Winona - Houston - South Olmsted 95895, 95, 53.3% Obama 21 Rochester 104220, 79-7a-6b-5h, 53.7% Obama. Excludes the two southernmost precincts which are in 20. Rochester is just over 100k in population. Is it split? () 23 South Dakota 96589, 90, 50.0% McCain 24 North Dakota 99074, 78-10h, 57.5% Obama. Eagan and Inver Grove Heights split. :D In reality there would no doubt be an -ern added to the first words in this seats to avoid confusion, but I'm sure Lewis loves that. 29 Eden Prairie - Minnetonka (bulk - Bloomington NW) 104622, 85-6a, 52.6% Obama I'd rather pair Eden Prairie with Chanhassen than with Minnetonka and Chanhassen with the rest of Carver. 33 Minneapolis Southwest 97285, 84-5b, 80.3% Obama 34 Minneapolis South 97652, 48-23h-19b, 84.0% Obama. Best in the state. White majority VAP. 35 Minneapolis East 97009, 73-9b-7h-6a, 77.2% Obama. Includes Saint Anthony (portion in Hennepin) Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on December 29, 2012, 08:36:44 AM I would have actually kept the area in west Irvine with UC Irvine and areas to the south of I-405. That is the area I was usually in and did not go to east Irvine as much. I'd rather pair Carlton and Pine (as they are in the State Senate) and would be fine with adding the mining towns with the northeastern corner. Northern Pine should not be lumped in with the exurbs Quote 7 Fargo - Detroit Lakes 98881, 92, 50.4% Obama Everyone in Moorhead hates you. Quote Of course you don't want Alexandria in with western Stearns so I'll forgive this. The alternative is to split that and the one to the south east-west. Alexandria's people are needed to the north.Quote 16 Mankato 104100, 91, 52.4% Obama. Really hard to tell on the map, but does include the city of North Mankato. 17 Nicollet - Le Sueur - Sibley - McLeod 98913, 92-5h, 53.1% McCain No No NO. You do not split Mankato and Nicollet. The southern tip of Nicollet (North Mankato) is so integrated with Mankato the sign when entering says "Mankato" on one line and "North Mankato" on a bottom one with the combined population (and that's not just one sign, it's literally every sign when you enter either one.) and there's no street sign when you cross from to the other (a county one though yes.) Quote Also you don't split St. Peter from Mankato either. And this area does not belong with McLeod. Also you can split Mankato from the rest of Blue Earth and no one cares, Mankato is more associated with the towns along the river in Nicollet than the rest of Blue Earth, since that area aside from a couple towns that could be considered suburbs really doesn't think of Mankato as much than the place they have to travel to when they go on big shopping trips and where they might want their kids to go to college just so they can stay close to home. Same with Waseca, which is more closely affiliated with Owatonna. Ah, that's more like it. Still, you then need to cut across the river elsewhere as well, and split more counties. That's another place I played around with a lot to find a map with as few county splits as possible - there're just two in Southern (non-metro) Minnesota, not counting Olmsted.Quote 20 Winona - Houston - South Olmsted 95895, 95, 53.3% Obama 21 Rochester 104220, 79-7a-6b-5h, 53.7% Obama. Excludes the two southernmost precincts which are in 20. Rochester is just over 100k in population. Is it split? Quote 23 South Dakota 96589, 90, 50.0% McCain 24 North Dakota 99074, 78-10h, 57.5% Obama. Eagan and Inver Grove Heights split. :D In reality there would no doubt be an -ern added to the first words in this seats to avoid confusion, but I'm sure Lewis loves that. 29 Eden Prairie - Minnetonka (bulk - Bloomington NW) 104622, 85-6a, 52.6% Obama I'd rather pair Eden Prairie with Chanhassen than with Minnetonka and Chanhassen with the rest of Carver. [/quote] I don't see how that could work. Quote 33 Minneapolis Southwest 97285, 84-5b, 80.3% Obama 34 Minneapolis South 97652, 48-23h-19b, 84.0% Obama. Best in the state. White majority VAP. 35 Minneapolis East 97009, 73-9b-7h-6a, 77.2% Obama. Includes Saint Anthony (portion in Hennepin) Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: they don't love you like i love you on December 29, 2012, 11:07:54 AM Eh for a lot of those I was going more on how the map looked than the text. I see now Rochester is it's own seat, it's just the dark brown color and too similar to the light brown district above. Mankato probably requires a zoom in to see that. Still let me emphasize that there is no need to keep Mankato and the rest of Blue Earth together. People from Mankato don't even think of themselves as being "from" Blue Earth, the way it works is Blue Earth County means rural Blue Earth, Nicollet County means the rural parts and St. Peter, and Mankato/North Mankato are thought of as like some type of Virginia-style independent city.
A central district in Minneapolis is kind of tricky, because the central area is the downtown district that not many people live in. The current state legislature map for some strange region just carves it up and adds pieces of it to various nearby districts even though it's small enough to fit in its own State House district, probably because doing so would make respecting communities in other State House districts difficult. I guess I'll find out when I try it. Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: old timey villain on December 29, 2012, 09:24:48 PM Aw, please stick to "the rules". :( Increasing deviation for more reasonable districts is such a cowardly, moderate thing to do. 'nyways, Georgia. 97 districts. This is kinda clockwise from west of Atlanta, with the heart of the metro at the end. () 1 Carroll (bulk of) 100672, 72 w, 18 b, 65.6 McCain 2 E Paulding 97697, 72 w, 19 b, 66.1 McCain 3 W Paulding - Haralson - E Polk - Temple (that's the bit in Carroll) 100321, 84 w, 10 b, 74.4 McCain 4 S Floyd - W Polk 98266, 70 w, 15 b, 12 h, 65.9 McCain 5 S Walker - Dade - Chattooga - N Floyd 99300, 88 w, 72.4 McCain 6 Catoosa - N Walker, 98513, 92 w, 74.0 McCain 7 Whitfield, 102599, 62 w, 32 h, 69.5 McCain. Dalton is an industrial city, home to a specialized industry - wall-to-wall carpets - and that's where the Mexicans work. 8 Bartow, 100157, 80 w, 10 b, 72.1 McCain 9 S Cherokee (Woodstock), 103353, 78 w, 11 h, 72.7 McCain 10 N Cherokee (Canton), 101960, 83 w, 77.5 McCain 11 Dawson - N Forsyth - E Pickens - NE Cherokee 101757, 89 w, 80.0 McCain 12 S Forsyth, 103221, 77 w, 77.0 McCain 13 N Hall - E Forsyth 102919, 73 w, 20 h, 79.6 McCain 14 S Hall 99917, 59 w, 29 h, 72.4 McCain 15 Gordon - Murray - W Pickens 102989, 83 w, 13 h, 74.6 McCain 16 Fannin - Gilmer - Lumpkin - Union 103296, 93 w, 75.0 McCain 17 Rabun - Habersham - White - Towns 96932, 87 w, 77.2 McCain 18 Franklin - Elbert - Banks - Stephens (and a slice of Jackson) 103424, 83 w, 11 b, 72.9 McCain 19 Jackson - N Barrow 101668, 80 w, 75.7 McCain 20 Walton - S Barrow 100395, 77 w, 15 b, 74.7 McCain 21 Clarke (bulk of) 97659, 56 w, 27 b, 11 h, 66.3 Obama 22 Elbert - Madison - Lincoln - Wilkes (bulk of) - Oglethorpe - E Clarke 96657, 73 w, 21 b, 60.0 McCain. Slight mess-up of the numbering scheme here, as I just notice... 23 Newton 99958, 52 w, 40 b, 50.3 Obama. Won't be majority White for long. 24 Oconee - Morgan - Putnam - Jasper - N Jones - W Greene 99165, 76 w, 17 b, 68.0 McCain 25 Laurens - Johnson - Wilkinson - Twiggs - S Jones 97795, 62 w, 34 b, 58.9 McCain 26 Baldwin - Hancock - Taliaferro - E Greene - S Wilkes - S Jefferson 102187, 51 b, 44 w, 58.1 Obama. Failed to get this over 50% VAP. 27 W Columbia - McDuffie - Warren - Glascock - N Jefferson 101255, 65 w, 26 b, 64.7 McCain 28 N Augusta - Martinez 99198, 72 w, 17 b, 66.5 McCain 29 S Augusta 97589, 62 b, 30 w, 76.3 Obama 30 S Richmond - Burke - Jenkins 96472, 54 b, 40 w, 62.7 Obama 31 Emanuel - Candler - Toombs - Tattnall - Evans 97339, 61 w, 28 b, 66.4 McCain 32 Bulloch - Screven - N Effingham - N Bryan (portion north of Fort Stewart) 99144, 66 w, 29 b, 59.7 McCain 33 N Chatham - S Effingham 98671, 70 w, 21 b, 68.9 McCain 34 Savannah (excluding White areas in the south) 102061, 66 b, 27 w, 84.5 Obama 35 S Chatham 95170, 71 w, 19 b, 59.7 McCain 36 Liberty - Bryan (bulk of) - Burroughs (the three Chatham precincts) 100828, 51 w, 34 b, 51.3 Obama 37 Appling - Wayne - Long - McIntosh - N Glynn 103854, 69 w, 21 b, 68.2 McCain 38 S Glynn - Camden 103417, 66 w, 25 b, 58.5 McCain 39 Ware - Charlton - Brantley - Pierce - Bacon 96748, 76 w, 19 b, 73.9 McCain 40 oof. 8 counties plus a bit of Lowndes. 100141, 69 w, 22 b, 66.8 McCain 41 Lowndes 102047, 54 w, 37 b, 52.7 McCain 42 Brooks - Colquitt - Thomas (bulk of) 101363, 58 w, 31 b, 60.7 McCain 43 Grady - Mitchell - Decatur - Seminole - Miller - NW Thomas 96303, 56 w, 37 b, 58.9 McCain 44 10 counties north and west of Albany 95300, 54 b, 39 w, 55.3 Obama. And yeah, Black VAP majority. 45 Dougherty - Baker 98016, 66 b, 30 w, 66.6 Obama 46 Lee - Worth - Tiff - Turner 100573, 65 w, 28 b, 68.6 McCain 47 6 counties around Jeff Davis so far avoided, S Dodge 102427, 63 w, 27 b, 65.9 McCain 48 5 counties west of that, N Dodge, S Houston 104155, 59 w, 36 b, 62.7 McCain 49 Warner Robins 103181, 59 w, 29 b, 58.3 McCain 50 W Bibb - Peach - W Houston 103338, 60 w, 31 b, 60.8 McCain. The bizarre shape of Crawford County means that this district is technically noncontiguous - though the DRA's tool for finding trapped precincts considers it contiguous. 51 Macon 101875, 66 b, 30 w, 73.0 Obama 52 Muscogee S - Chattahoochee 100991, 65 b, 23 w, 87.5 Obama 53 Muscogee N 100161, 66 w, 21 b, 61.4 McCain 54 seven county area north and east of Columbus 101330, 68 w, 27 b, 63.2 McCain 55 Troup - Heard - Meriwether 100870, 63 w, 31 b, 59.1 McCain () 56 Monroe - Lamar - Butts - Pike - E Spalding 95006, 74 w, 22 b, 68.8 McCain 57 S Fayette - W Spalding 97135, 68 w, 24 b, 65.7 McCain 58 S Clayton - E Fayette 97239, 56 b, 30 w, 63.8 Obama. Area in Fayette is majority White but is "Blackest" part. 59 W Clayton (Riverdale) 96373, 74 b, 12 h, 90.6 Obama 60 N Clayton (Forest Park) 98367, 58 b, 19 h, 14 w, 82.6 Obama 61 Coweta (bulk of) 100552, 70 w, 20 b, 68.1 McCain 62 W Fayette - N Coweta - SW Douglas - Palmetto (the White bit in far southwest Fulton) 97992, 73 w, 16 b, 68.4 McCain 63 NE Douglas 101290, 45 b, 41 w, 59.5 Obama. Still plurality White VAP. For now. 64 S Fulton 104430, 86 b, 92.2 Obama 65 S Atlanta - East Point 97046, 81 b, 92.2 Obama 66 SE Atlanta 102014, 67 b, 24 w, 91.7 Obama 67 W Atlanta 104121, 93 b, 98.3 Obama 68 NC Atlanta 97007, 68 w, 15 b, 67.8 Obama 69 N Atlanta (- Sandy Springs S) 98916, 71 w, 12 h, 54.7 McCain 70 Roswell (bulk of - Sandy Springs N) 104078, 57 w, 19 b, 17 h, 50.3 McCain 71 Johns Creek (- Roswell E) 100879, 62 w, 19 Asian (yes), 10 b, 57.8 McCain 72 Alpharetta - Milton 104185, 70 w, 11 Asian, 62.5 McCain 73 Cobb NE ("Blackwells - Shallowford"?) 97281, 80 w, 64.2 McCain 74 Cobb E ("Vinings - Mount Bethel"?) 96336, 66 w, 17 b, 57.0 McCain 75 Cobb C (Marietta. Sorry for the precincts with noncontiguous bits, they follow the noncontiguous city boundary.) 99573, 35 w, 31 b, 28 h, 60.6 Obama 76 Cobb S (Smyrna) 101689, 46 w, 32 b, 16 h, 54.6 Obama 77 Cobb SW (Austell - Powder Springs) 95034, 51 b, 30 w, 15 h, 66.9 Obama. Not majority VAP, not that it matters. 78 Cobb W ("Red Rock - Lost Mountain"?) 95352, 77 w, 14 b, 70.7 McCain 79 Cobb N (Kennesaw - Acworth)102513, 61 w, 20 b, 11 h, 57.3 McCain And we jump across to the other side of Atlanta... 80 Henry SE (McDonough) 104618, 61 w, 30 b, 60.1 McCain 81 Henry NW (Stockbridge - Hampton) 99304, 43 w, 43 b, 54.4 Obama. Plurality White (total population) by 31 persons on Census Day, but obviously not by today. 82 Rockdale (and a tiny angle into DeKalb to boost the Black plurality. Still no VAP majority... in 2010.) 100696, 53 b, 35 w, 59.3 Obama 83 DeKalb SE (Redon - Stone Mountain) 96083, 89 b, 95.1 Obama 84 DeKalb C ("Stockdale"?) 98650, 69 b, 14 w, 89.3 Obama 85 DeKalb S (Panthersville - Snapfinger. Beautiful place names.) 97950, 94 b, 97.8 Obama 86 DeKalb SW (East Atlanta - Gresham Park - Belvedere Park) 97203, 73 b, 22 w, 92.9 Obama 87 DeKalb W (Decatur - Druid Hills) 100716, 61 w, 17 h, 13 b, 71.8 Obama 88 DeKalb N (Dunwoody) 100961, 56 w, 21 h, 12 b, 10 a, 50.5 Obama 89 DeKalb NE (Tucker - Trickem. With Trickem being the Gwinnett bit.) 102129, 54 w, 18 h, 18 b, 53.5 Obama 90 Gwinnett W ("Lilburn - Norcross"?) 96779, 50 h, 22 b, 15 w, 11 a. Over 50 on total population. 67.8 Obama 91 Gwinnett WC ("McDaniel Farm Park"??) 101439, 34 h, 25 b, 22 w, 17 a, 61.4 Obama 92 Gwinnett NW (Duluth - Suwannee) 96233, 58 w, 18 a, 14 b, 61.6 McCain 93 Gwinnett N (Burford - Sugar Hill) 97675, 65 w, 13 h, 13 b, 69.7 McCain 94 Gwinnett E ("Dacula - Allendale"?) 100995, 58 w, 18 b, 14 a, 62.2 McCain 95 Gwinnett EC (Lawrenceville) 98300, 32 w, 30 b, 24 h, 11 a, 56.7 Obama 96 Gwinnett SC ("Five Forks - Snellville N"? This is a gerry and it shows.) 101694, 59 w, 20 b, 63.9 McCain 97 Gwinnett S ("Snellville S - Centerville"?) 94626, 45 b, 38 w, 10 h, 57.0 Obama The metro maps really highlight how diverse the Atlanta area has become. I think it surprises some people who see the city as strictly black and white. We're marching toward plurality status which will shape the politics. Also, good to see a lot of white Democrats in many of these districts. Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on January 02, 2013, 10:22:57 AM ()
299 Mojave Desert 99296, 68w-20h, 58.4% McCain, 59.5% Whitman. Two thirds of the population is in Morongo Valley / Yucca Valley / 29 Palms, but there seems to be no collective name for that area - wiki entries for the latter two state flatly that they're located in the Mojave Desert. 300 Barstow - Adelanto 100864, 46h-32-w-15b, 50.1% McCain, 53.3% Whitman 301 Victorville 102081, 48h-31w-14b, 53.8% Obama, 50.1% Whitman 302 Apple Valley - Hesperia E 101601, 57w-30h, 63.0% McCain, 66.7% Whitman 303 Hesperia - Phelan 99592, 46w-45h, 61.3% McCain, 63.5% Whitman. They're not really any more affluent than Victorville... 304 San Bernardino Mountains - Highland E 103727, 65w-23h, 58.0% McCain, 60.5% Whitman () 305 Rancho Cucamonga E 104772, 38h-36w-13a-11b, 55.7% Obama, 50.4% Brown. White plurality VAP. 306 Rancho Cucamonga W - Upland N 101997, 56w-28h, 55.9% McCain, 60.7% Whitman 307 Ontario W - Upland S 99199, 65h-22w, 61.6% Obama, 57.1% Brown 308 Ontario E 98219, 67h-18w, 64.3% Obama, 61.1% Brown 309 Chino N - Montclair 100294, 66h-21w, 58.3% Obama, 55.2% Brown 310 Chino Hills - Chino S 104168, 33h-33w-26a, 51.3% McCain, 57.8% Whitman. White plurality VAP. 311 Fontana S 98360, 79h-11w, 72.3% Obama, 71.3% Brown 312 Fontana N 96114, 60h-18w-12b, 66.7% Obama, 63.0% Brown 313 Rialto N 101958, 65h-16b-14w, 72.6% Obama, 69.5% Brown 314 Rialto S - Colton - Bloomington 100145, 77h-17w, 71.7% Obama, 72.3% Brown 315 San Bernardino S 100105, 73h-14b, 80.0% Obama, 79.9% Brown 316 San Bernardino N 103194, 55h-26w-14b, 60.4% Obama, 58.9% Brown. No VAP majority. 317 Redlands N - Highland W 96302, 50h-28w-11b, 60.0% Obama, 58.5% Brown. Majority on total population. 318 Redlands S - Yucaipa - Loma Linda 98710, 61w-23h, 57.2% McCain, 60.7% Whitman 319 Riverside N - Grand Terrace 95331, 48h-27w-12a, 65.1% Obama, 61.0% Brown. The crosscounty district. The districts in the northwestern part of the county are all so small, and those elsewhere in it all so large... it kinda happened that way. 320 Riverside S - Woodcrest 94906, 53w-26h, 52.6% McCain, 57.9% Whitman 321 Riverside W - Home Gardens 95798, 62h-25w, 58.0% Obama, 54.3% Brown 322 Riverside C 95907, 54h-35w, 57.6% Obama, 55.5% Brown. No VAP majority. 323 Rubidoux - Mira Loma 95694, 66h-26w, 56.9% Obama, 53.2% Brown 324 Norco - Eastvale - Corona NW 95305, 39h-35w-16a, 51.6% McCain, 57.8% Whitman. White plurality VAP. 325 Corona N 97482, 52h-32w, 53.2% Obama, 52.4% Whitman. No VAP majority. 326 Corona S - Arcilla - Lake Elsinore W 98466, 49w-33h, 54.2% McCain, 62.4% Whitman 327 Wildomar - Canyon Lake - Lake Elsinore E 102162, 53w-35h, 58.8% McCain, 65.5% Whitman 328 Murrieta 104411, 54w-27h-10a, 57.4% McCain, 65.2% Whitman 329 Temecula 103807, 58w-24h, 58.3% McCain, 67.6% Whitman 330 Sun City - Golden City 98997, 54w-30h, 56.4% McCain, 62.6% Whitman 331 Perris 99500, 72h-13w, 70.2% Obama, 67.5% Brown 332 Moreno Valley W 96575, 62h-16b-14w, 71.8% Obama, 68.2% Brown 333 Moreno Valley E 96491, 47h-24w-18b, 62.9% Obama, 58.6% Brown 334 San Jacinto - Hemet N 102750, 45h-44w, 54.3% McCain, 57.6% Whitman. White VAP plurality. 335 Hemet - Santa Rosa Mountains 103428, 58w-32h, 57.2% McCain, 61.4% Whitman 336 Banning - Beaumont - Idyllwild 104136, 52w-35h, 53.1% McCain, 56.7% Whitman 337 Palm Springs - Cathedral City 104354, 50w-41h, 62.7% Obama, 57.5% Brown. Under 50 on total population 338 Palm Desert - Desert Hot Springs 103903, 56w-36h, 50.8% McCain, 58.9% Whitman. You can draw another Hispanic majority district of DHS and the northern half of Cathedral City, actually. 339 Indio 96861, 60h-35w, 54.7% Obama, 53.2% Whitman 340 Coachella - La Quinta 103101, 76h-22w, 58.4% Obama, 50.0% Whitman. By five votes. Differential turnout; Coachella is pretty literally all Mexican, La Quinta is White. (not shown on map) 341 Rural Imperial - Blythe 100883, 66h-23w, 53.1% Obama, 57.3% Brown 342 El Centro - Calexico 98533, 88h, 69.8% Obama, 70.6% Brown Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on January 04, 2013, 09:10:11 AM seatown's Oregon map really ought to be reworked to fit into the general rules used, but with the state offering no opportunities for a minority district (maybe a coalition district in Portland) and with no election figures, I just cannot bother right now. Or maybe it's just that the elation at being finished with California is too overwhelming. Never. Again.
Here's San Diego. () 343 Lakeside - East County 101599, 69w-22h, 65.6% McCain, 68.9% Whitman 344 Fallbrook - Camp Pendleton - Oceanside E 104841, 56w-32h, 61.4% McCain, 69.1% Whitman 345 Oceanside N 102666, 45w-38h, 52.1% Obama, 54.9% Whitman 346 Carlsbad - Oceanside SW 98977, 73w-15h, 51.0% Obama, 59.6% Whitman 347 Vista - Tri City 101039, 52h-38w (no VAP majority), 51.5% Obama, 55.9% Whitman 348 San Marcos N - Hidden Meadows 96671, 53w-34h, 57.6% McCain, 66.1% Whitman 349 San Marcos S - Ocean Hills 98927, 66w-20h, 54.5% McCain, 64.2% Whitman 350 Encinitas 94982, 80w-13h, 59.0% Obama, 53.0% Whitman 351 Escondido 102851, 60h-31w, 50.6% Obama, 56.5% Whitman 352 Poway 102684, 71w-18h, 62.3% McCain, 69.4% Whitman 353 Santee 97803, 74w-17h, 61.7% McCain, 65.6% Whitman 354 El Cajon 98321, 54w-30h, 50.5% McCain, 57.5% Whitman 355 La Mesa - Lemon Grove - Casa de Oro 96385, 55w-26h, 55.8% Obama, 50.4% Whitman 356 Spring Valley - Rancho San Diego - Jamul 96887, 51w-31h, 52.5% McCain, 59.6% Whitman 357 Chula Vista NE 95730, 49h-30w-13a, 54.9% Obama, 50.6% Whitman 358 Chula Vista SE - San Ysidro 99490, 48h-23a-18w, 59.8% Obama, 53.9% Brown (finally!) 359 Chula Vista W 102774, 73h-14w, 66.5% Obama, 63.3% Brown 360 South San Diego - Imperial Beach 100796, 72h-16w, 65.8% Obama, 62.1% Brown And the city (minus S, plus Nat'l & Coronado) divisions 361 Harborside - Coronado 97428, 65w-19h, 65.3% Obama, 55.9% Brown 362 Beaches 102252, 78w-12h, 64.4% Obama, 53.4% Brown 363 La Jolla - University City 103331, 62w-24h, 64.6% Obama, 51.9% Brown 364 Carmel Valley 97396, 61w-25h, 53.5% Obama, 59.9% Whitman 365 Miramar Ranch - Rancho Bernardo 96223, 60w-23a(!), 50.4% Obama, 60.4% Whitman 366 Mira Mesa 96223, 41a-37w-13h, 53.6% Obama, 54.4% Whitman 367 Clairemont 103943, 59w-23h-11a, 58.1% Obama, 51.5% Brown 368 Hillcrest - Serra Mesa 99260, 51w-24h-12a, 70.1% Obama, 63.8% Brown 369 Grantville - Talmadge - San Carlos 101232, 68w-15h, 58.4% Obama, 50.6% Brown 370 Logan Heights - Balboa Park 104476, 54h-30w (no VAP majority), 81.6% Obama, 76.9% Brown 371 Webster 98850, 46h-18w-18a-15b, 73.0% Obama, 70.0% Brown 372 Southeast 95859, 40h-28a-18b-10w, 67.6% Obama, 66.3% Brown 373 National City - Lincoln Park 99190, 69h-13a, 74.7% Obama, 73.1% Brown Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: LastVoter on January 04, 2013, 12:45:34 PM seatown's Oregon map really ought to be reworked to fit into the general rules used, but with the state offering no opportunities for a minority district (maybe a coalition district in Portland) and with no election figures, I just cannot bother right now. Or maybe it's just that the elation at being finished with California is too overwhelming. Never. Again. Here's San Diego. () 343 Lakeside - East County 101599, 69w-22h, 65.6% McCain, 68.9% Whitman 344 Fallbrook - Camp Pendleton - Oceanside E 104841, 56w-32h, 61.4% McCain, 69.1% Whitman 345 Oceanside N 102666, 45w-38h, 52.1% Obama, 54.9% Whitman 346 Carlsbad - Oceanside SW 98977, 73w-15h, 51.0% Obama, 59.6% Whitman 347 Vista - Tri City 101039, 52h-38w (no VAP majority), 51.5% Obama, 55.9% Whitman 348 San Marcos N - Hidden Meadows 96671, 53w-34h, 57.6% McCain, 66.1% Whitman 349 San Marcos S - Ocean Hills 98927, 66w-20h, 54.5% McCain, 64.2% Whitman 350 Encinitas 94982, 80w-13h, 59.0% Obama, 53.0% Whitman 351 Escondido 102851, 60h-31w, 50.6% Obama, 56.5% Whitman 352 Poway 102684, 71w-18h, 62.3% McCain, 69.4% Whitman 353 Santee 97803, 74w-17h, 61.7% McCain, 65.6% Whitman 354 El Cajon 98321, 54w-30h, 50.5% McCain, 57.5% Whitman 355 La Mesa - Lemon Grove - Casa de Oro 96385, 55w-26h, 55.8% Obama, 50.4% Whitman 356 Spring Valley - Rancho San Diego - Jamul 96887, 51w-31h, 52.5% McCain, 59.6% Whitman 357 Chula Vista NE 95730, 49h-30w-13a, 54.9% Obama, 50.6% Whitman 358 Chula Vista SE - San Ysidro 99490, 48h-23a-18w, 59.8% Obama, 53.9% Brown (finally!) 359 Chula Vista W 102774, 73h-14w, 66.5% Obama, 63.3% Brown 360 South San Diego - Imperial Beach 100796, 72h-16w, 65.8% Obama, 62.1% Brown And the city (minus S, plus Nat'l & Coronado) divisions 361 Harborside - Coronado 97428, 65w-19h, 65.3% Obama, 55.9% Brown 362 Beaches 102252, 78w-12h, 64.4% Obama, 53.4% Brown 363 La Jolla - University City 103331, 62w-24h, 64.6% Obama, 51.9% Brown 364 Carmel Valley 97396, 61w-25h, 53.5% Obama, 59.9% Whitman 365 Miramar Ranch - Rancho Bernardo 96223, 60w-23a(!), 50.4% Obama, 60.4% Whitman 366 Mira Mesa 96223, 41a-37w-13h, 53.6% Obama, 54.4% Whitman 367 Clairemont 103943, 59w-23h-11a, 58.1% Obama, 51.5% Brown 368 Hillcrest - Serra Mesa 99260, 51w-24h-12a, 70.1% Obama, 63.8% Brown 369 Grantville - Talmadge - San Carlos 101232, 68w-15h, 58.4% Obama, 50.6% Brown 370 Logan Heights - Balboa Park 104476, 54h-30w (no VAP majority), 81.6% Obama, 76.9% Brown 371 Webster 98850, 46h-18w-18a-15b, 73.0% Obama, 70.0% Brown 372 Southeast 95859, 40h-28a-18b-10w, 67.6% Obama, 66.3% Brown 373 National City - Lincoln Park 99190, 69h-13a, 74.7% Obama, 73.1% Brown Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on January 05, 2013, 10:59:23 AM This was what I was referring to.
Going to work on Oregon with 37 districts. It'll be a little more liberal with 20% population deviation, as ridings are done in Canada. We have 25% deviation. Some provincial commissions try and use 5%, while others like to use the 25% deviation quite liberally. Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: nclib on January 06, 2013, 09:40:52 PM Anyone want to follow up with either of these:
Good work! Looking forward to seeing SoCal. When you are all done are we going to get Obama v. McCain totals nationwide? I think some of the New England states have since put that data up. It would be good to see that data. It would also be interesting to list Obama districts in solidly McCain states (or Obama NHWhite majority in the South and Southwest) [as well as visa versa]. I'll start with Utah. Districts 9, 10, 11, 13, 15 in Utah, all in the Salt Lake City area, which all border each other. 9 East Millcreek - Holladay - Park City 96363, 87-7, 55.6% Obama 10 Salt Lake City South 99040, 75-15, 67.7% Obama. And South Salt Lake. 11 Salt Lake City North 100042, 58-28-8 asian, 68.7% Obama 13 West Valley City North 95729, 53-34-9 asian, 50.6% Obama 15 Murray - Taylorsville East 99866, 77-14, 49.6% Obama () Here's Nebraska: 9 Lincoln North - Seward 98464, 83w, 49.5% Obama, R avg 10 Lincoln E 99089, 81w, 58.1% Obama 16 Omaha West 104559, 83w, 50.8% Obama, R avg 17 Omaha North 104171, 46w, 39b, white VAP majority, 73.7% Obama 18 Omaha South 100415, 54 w, 35 h, 60.1% Obama () Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on January 08, 2013, 08:13:04 AM Amazing thread. I tried to find it but so didn't.. what is the most McCain district so far? Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: kcguy on February 17, 2013, 08:01:26 PM 11 whatever you want to call this; Miami, Franklin, Osage, Coffee and Linn Counties and Edgerton from Johnson County to bring it within tolerance. 95998, 94, 63.0% McCain 12 Crawford, Bourbon, Cherokee, Labette 97513, 89, 55.0% McCain. They all have their semi-sizable town. 13 Chanute - Coffeyville - Eureka 9 counties, 99412, 89, 66.1% McCain 14 Emporia - El Dorado 5 1/2 counties, 94862, 85, 61.0% McCain. Had to do a fine cut of Butler to keep within tolerance. 15 Sumner, Cowley, S Butler 93577, 88, 64.8% McCain. This is 4804 below quota. First post to this website, so I'll start with something small. If you want a name for #11 in the Kansas map above, I like "Marais des Cygnes", the name of a local river that flows through 4 of the district's counties. Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: Benj on February 17, 2013, 08:47:50 PM Amazing thread. I tried to find it but so didn't.. what is the most McCain district so far? American Fork-Alpine in Utah County, Utah, though only 81.4% for McCain, was almost certainly more than 90% for Romney (and some of the other Utah County districts might have been, too). The Texas panhandle did not move much in 2012, so American Fork-Alpine wins in 2012. Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: minionofmidas on February 19, 2013, 03:11:46 PM 11 whatever you want to call this; Miami, Franklin, Osage, Coffee and Linn Counties and Edgerton from Johnson County to bring it within tolerance. 95998, 94, 63.0% McCain 12 Crawford, Bourbon, Cherokee, Labette 97513, 89, 55.0% McCain. They all have their semi-sizable town. 13 Chanute - Coffeyville - Eureka 9 counties, 99412, 89, 66.1% McCain 14 Emporia - El Dorado 5 1/2 counties, 94862, 85, 61.0% McCain. Had to do a fine cut of Butler to keep within tolerance. 15 Sumner, Cowley, S Butler 93577, 88, 64.8% McCain. This is 4804 below quota. First post to this website, so I'll start with something small. If you want a name for #11 in the Kansas map above, I like "Marais des Cygnes", the name of a local river that flows through 4 of the district's counties. Title: Re: The 100k Districts Series Post by: bagelman on March 14, 2020, 08:10:13 PM I'm bumping an ancient thread to post the only 2 states the OP never ended up doing, OR and SD.
South Dakota: https://davesredistricting.org/join/48e09c19-2ca4-4839-9879-cfc9280d7f50 1 - South, SW, includes Ogala Lakota and Pierre. 60/35 white/native, McCain 53% 2 - Mostly Pennington County. 82/9 white/native, McCain 60% 3 - North, NW. 84/11 white/native, 60.5% McCain 4 - Sioux Falls South, 93% white, 54% McCain 5 - Sioux Falls North, Outer Minnehaha. 83/5 white/hispanic, 52% Obama 6 - Southeast. 94% white, 53.5% McCain 7 - East Central. 92% white, 50.5% McCain 8 - Northeast. 90/6 white/native, 50.5% McCain Oregon: https://davesredistricting.org/join/62427ada-4c02-471f-b3f8-1819339795af |