Talk Elections

Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion => Alternative Elections => Topic started by: Jerseyrules on February 24, 2012, 12:15:55 AM



Title: Goldwater vs Kennedy 1964
Post by: Jerseyrules on February 24, 2012, 12:15:55 AM
So Jack isn't assassinated; does Barry have a chance at winning, etc?  You know what to do.


Title: Re: Goldwater vs Kennedy 1964
Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on February 29, 2012, 05:13:56 PM
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Title: Re: Goldwater vs Kennedy 1964
Post by: Snowstalker Mk. II on February 29, 2012, 05:17:26 PM
Growing economy+popular domestic reforms=still a landslide. Barry does a little better, though.


Title: Re: Goldwater vs Kennedy 1964
Post by: Jerseyrules on February 29, 2012, 11:51:58 PM
Growing economy+popular domestic reforms=still a landslide. Barry does a little better, though.

Would he have a shot at California at least?


Title: Re: Goldwater vs Kennedy 1964
Post by: Snowstalker Mk. II on March 01, 2012, 08:11:17 AM
Growing economy+popular domestic reforms=still a landslide. Barry does a little better, though.

Would he have a shot at California at least?

California's a swing state at this point. In a landslide, I doubt he can win.


Title: Re: Goldwater vs Kennedy 1964
Post by: Mechaman on March 01, 2012, 08:32:20 AM

Let's see here: a pragmatic Catholic Democrat versus "Extremism in Defense of Liberty is No Vice?"

Sure, it's not a Johnson landslide but for some reason I doubt Goldwater gets over 200 EVs.

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Title: Re: Goldwater vs Kennedy 1964
Post by: Snowstalker Mk. II on March 01, 2012, 08:51:52 PM

Let's see here: a pragmatic Catholic Democrat versus "Extremism in Defense of Liberty is No Vice?"

Sure, it's not a Johnson landslide but for some reason I doubt Goldwater gets over 200 EVs.

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Even then, I'd give Jack IA, NH, TN, and maybe OK and ND.


Title: Re: Goldwater vs Kennedy 1964
Post by: Jerseyrules on March 01, 2012, 09:18:02 PM
But the GOP would certainly do better in Congress.  What if he completely abandoned his own campaign, knowing he could lose, and focused on helping Congressional Repubs?  How well would they do?


Title: Re: Goldwater vs Kennedy 1964
Post by: 🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸 on March 14, 2012, 08:20:47 PM
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Title: Re: Goldwater vs Kennedy 1964
Post by: Jerseyrules on March 14, 2012, 10:36:22 PM

Interesting map, but I can't see a fifteen percent swing from 1960 in just 4 years.


Title: Re: Goldwater vs Kennedy 1964
Post by: 🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸 on March 15, 2012, 02:58:06 PM

Interesting map, but I can't see a fifteen percent swing from 1960 in just 4 years.
while it's true that map is about 57-42 versus a near tie 4 years earlier, Nixon and AuH2O were very different candidates. I don't think the difference in performance we saw was mostly about JFK's assasination or LBJ's appeal in some parts, though both played a role.


Title: Re: Goldwater vs Kennedy 1964
Post by: RogueBeaver on March 15, 2012, 07:25:22 PM
That map. Both the PWC and postwar liberalism are at their apex in the early to mid '60s. Flat taxation, privatizing Social Security and most governmental corporations, calling Medicare a "hoax"... none of that stuff flies until the '90s.


Title: Re: Goldwater vs Kennedy 1964
Post by: Jerseyrules on March 21, 2012, 12:48:16 PM
That map. Both the PWC and postwar liberalism are at their apex in the early to mid '60s. Flat taxation, privatizing Social Security and most governmental corporations, calling Medicare a "hoax"... none of that stuff flies until the '90s.

I thought 80's.  Alright what about tailoring his speeches and running in 68 as per Han's TL?


Title: Re: Goldwater vs Kennedy 1964
Post by: Iamcornholio on July 16, 2013, 01:21:57 AM
Landslide for John F. Kennedy.


Title: Re: Goldwater vs Kennedy 1964
Post by: barfbag on July 16, 2013, 01:34:23 AM
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It gets closer but Goldwater loses 54-46. He wins traditional Republican states and the south where segregation was still popular. The country wouldn't have been as behind the Democratic ticket if not for the tragedy of JFK though.