Talk Elections

Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion => Presidential Election Process => Topic started by: Lincoln Republican on March 14, 2012, 08:36:56 PM



Title: What if in a Presidential election..........
Post by: Lincoln Republican on March 14, 2012, 08:36:56 PM
after recounts every state and DC comes in tied between the Republican and the Democrat?

Impossible I know, but if that were the case, what happens?

I'm assuming each state has a chief elections officer who votes only to break a tie.


Title: Re: What if in a Presidential election..........
Post by: MASHED POTATOES. VOTE! on March 15, 2012, 04:22:07 PM
after recounts every state and DC comes in tied between the Republican and the Democrat?

Impossible I know, but if that were the case, what happens?

I'm assuming each state has a chief elections officer who votes only to break a tie.

I doubt this and I doubt law is even providing such an option, knowing odds are indeed impossible. Yet, the question is interesting and I'd love to see some of our in-house law scholars to make an opinion.


Title: Re: What if in a Presidential election..........
Post by: J. J. on March 15, 2012, 11:12:21 PM


I'm assuming each state has a chief elections officer who votes only to break a tie.

PA does not.



Title: Re: What if in a Presidential election..........
Post by: Mr. Morden on March 16, 2012, 04:50:04 AM
Each state's electors would then be determined by a coin flip.  That would be an odd-looking electoral map.


Title: Re: What if in a Presidential election..........
Post by: Vosem on March 16, 2012, 06:04:25 AM
Three states have had recent tied elections: Massachusetts, New Mexico, and South Dakota. Massachusetts revotes; in New Mexico, the two candidates play a game of poker; in South Dakota, the first candidate who, blindfolded, picks a white marble from a bag full of black marbles wins.


Title: Re: What if in a Presidential election..........
Post by: MASHED POTATOES. VOTE! on March 16, 2012, 07:11:21 AM
I don't think it would be legal for a chief elections officer to cast a tie-breaking vote.

It would certainly violate "one man - one vote" principle, since said officer certainly already casted his vote as a citizen.


Title: Re: What if in a Presidential election..........
Post by: MASHED POTATOES. VOTE! on March 16, 2012, 07:20:06 AM
Each state's electors would then be determined by a coin flip.  That would be an odd-looking electoral map.

William Jennings Bryan lives :P


Well, I just flipped a coin for each state and, by accident, the map looks pretty consistent.

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R: 279
D: 259


Title: Re: What if in a Presidential election..........
Post by: MASHED POTATOES. VOTE! on March 16, 2012, 07:27:01 AM
I did the flip for all states again, and map looks much more bizzare this time.

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WHAT THE...

It's again R: 279 and D: 259 ???

THIS COIN IS CURSED!


Title: Re: What if in a Presidential election..........
Post by: Pingvin on March 16, 2012, 02:11:48 PM
(
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Welcome back to the Decision 3099! (Russian rouble)
R - 277
D - 261


Title: Re: What if in a Presidential election..........
Post by: MASHED POTATOES. VOTE! on March 16, 2012, 02:33:01 PM
Damn you, cursed Polish Zloty.

I'll use a Lithuanian Litas now.

(
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D: 276
R: 262


Title: Re: What if in a Presidential election..........
Post by: SUSAN CRUSHBONE on March 16, 2012, 03:40:39 PM
(
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Washington -- coin landed almost sideways, leaning on my data stick.
Technically it should count as D.
267 R, 259 D, 12 I/D


Title: Re: What if in a Presidential election..........
Post by: Lincoln Republican on March 16, 2012, 07:38:14 PM
I don't think it would be legal for a chief elections officer to cast a tie-breaking vote.

It would certainly violate "one man - one vote" principle, since said officer certainly already casted his vote as a citizen.

In my original post I have stated that the chief elections officer only votes in the event of a tie in order to cast the tie breaking vote.  So, in such case, they would not have previously voted.


Title: Re: What if in a Presidential election..........
Post by: Antonio the Sixth on March 17, 2012, 10:37:22 AM
Using the excel RAND function I somehow managed to generate a strong dem win :

(
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D : 304
R : 234


Title: Re: What if in a Presidential election..........
Post by: MASHED POTATOES. VOTE! on March 17, 2012, 02:23:48 PM
20 Lithuanian Cents went Democratic.

(
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D: 332
R: 206


Title: Re: What if in a Presidential election..........
Post by: CatoMinor on March 17, 2012, 06:21:04 PM
Tossed a quarter
282 R - 256 D

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Title: Re: What if in a Presidential election..........
Post by: I'm JewCon in name only. on March 17, 2012, 06:45:59 PM
This thread inspires me to make a "flip a coin" thread in the what if section :)


Title: Re: What if in a Presidential election..........
Post by: Snowstalker Mk. II on March 17, 2012, 07:50:16 PM
My nickel's results:

(
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R: 276
D: 262


Title: Re: What if in a Presidential election..........
Post by: Thomas D on March 17, 2012, 08:21:34 PM
1997 quarter

(
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GOP-T-326
Dem-H-212


Title: Re: What if in a Presidential election..........
Post by: Mr. Morden on March 17, 2012, 08:34:52 PM
According to all of your coin flips, Georgia is a real GOP stronghold.  It first went for the Dems twice in a row, but after Kal's initial two elections on page 1, it's gone for the GOP nine times in a row.


Title: Re: What if in a Presidential election..........
Post by: Antonio the Sixth on March 18, 2012, 07:31:59 AM
How do you guys have the patience to flip a coin 51 times ?


Title: Re: What if in a Presidential election..........
Post by: Hash on March 18, 2012, 04:33:59 PM
1 peseta, Spain 1953. Franco's fat face doesn't seal the deal for the GOP

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Title: Re: What if in a Presidential election..........
Post by: Lincoln Republican on March 18, 2012, 05:11:37 PM
Thank you all for your coin flipping, interesting, but does not answer the original question.

Anybody know?


Title: Re: What if in a Presidential election..........
Post by: Joe Republic on March 18, 2012, 05:51:12 PM
Federal law allows each state + DC to appoint their apportioned electors any way they choose, and this right extends to the settling of disputes in the popular vote.  The deadline for resolving these determinations, however, is six days prior to the meeting of the electors to cast their votes ("the first Monday after the second Wednesday in December").

Your assumption that there is a chief elections officer in each state who only votes in the case of a tie isn't accurate, and I don't know of any state that does so.  Some states might hold a quick revote (if they even have time to do so after the recount deliberations and inevitable lawsuits have concluded), while others will likely have coin flip-type solutions.  It all depends on state law.

Now, who wants to research 51 laws on how to break a tie in the statewide/districtwide popular vote?  :)


Title: Re: What if in a Presidential election..........
Post by: Хahar 🤔 on March 18, 2012, 07:14:04 PM
Microsoft Excel

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Title: Re: What if in a Presidential election..........
Post by: MASHED POTATOES. VOTE! on March 18, 2012, 07:15:07 PM
Federal law allows each state + DC to appoint their apportioned electors any way they choose, and this right extends to the settling of disputes in the popular vote.  The deadline for resolving these determinations, however, is six days prior to the meeting of the electors to cast their votes ("the first Monday after the second Wednesday in December").

Your assumption that there is a chief elections officer in each state who only votes in the case of a tie isn't accurate, and I don't know of any state that does so.  Some states might hold a quick revote (if they even have time to do so after the recount deliberations and inevitable lawsuits have concluded), while others will likely have coin flip-type solutions.  It all depends on state law.

Now, who wants to research 51 laws on how to break a tie in the statewide/districtwide popular vote?  :)

I wonder if there are states with no established provisions for such a case.

In Poland, if election results in a tie, the law provides a randomization. When my dad sat at the  precinct commission during local elections of 2002, he had to perform a randomization for our councilman. Unfortunately, it resulted in our preferred candidate's defeat :(


Title: Re: What if in a Presidential election..........
Post by: MASHED POTATOES. VOTE! on March 18, 2012, 07:21:56 PM
1 złoty, this time, polish coinage went Democratic.

But Georgia stays solid Republican :P

(
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D: 282
R: 256

How do you guys have the patience to flip a coin 51 times ?

Contraty to what you may think, tt doesn't take long.


Title: Re: What if in a Presidential election..........
Post by: Lincoln Republican on March 21, 2012, 11:26:41 PM
Federal law allows each state + DC to appoint their apportioned electors any way they choose, and this right extends to the settling of disputes in the popular vote.  The deadline for resolving these determinations, however, is six days prior to the meeting of the electors to cast their votes ("the first Monday after the second Wednesday in December").

Your assumption that there is a chief elections officer in each state who only votes in the case of a tie isn't accurate, and I don't know of any state that does so.  Some states might hold a quick revote (if they even have time to do so after the recount deliberations and inevitable lawsuits have concluded), while others will likely have coin flip-type solutions.  It all depends on state law.

Now, who wants to research 51 laws on how to break a tie in the statewide/districtwide popular vote?  :)

Thank you.  This sheds some light on the subject.


Title: Re: What if in a Presidential election..........
Post by: SteveRogers on March 21, 2012, 11:46:27 PM
In Texas a second vote is held with only the tying candidates on the ballot unless the candidates both candidates agree to resolve the tie by casting lots.


Title: Re: What if in a Presidential election..........
Post by: SteveRogers on March 22, 2012, 12:09:42 AM
Also, my understanding of the law in New Mexico is that in the event of a tie the state's electoral votes are determined by Kevin Costner, and hilarious hijinks ensue as both Presidential candidates attempt to personally woo him for his vote. 


Title: Re: What if in a Presidential election..........
Post by: Is Totally Not Feeblepizza. on March 22, 2012, 12:42:04 PM
1989 pennies are, apparently, Democrats.

(
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Democrat: 399
Republican: 199
Independent: 10

When I flipped for Maryland, it actually landed vertically between two of my keyboard keys.


Title: Re: What if in a Presidential election..........
Post by: Thomas D on March 22, 2012, 05:12:42 PM
1989 pennies are, apparently, Democrats.

(
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Democrat: 399
Republican: 199
Independent: 10

When I flipped for Maryland, it actually landed vertically between two of my keyboard keys.

And GA stays solid GOP.


Title: Re: What if in a Presidential election..........
Post by: FEMA Camp Administrator on March 23, 2012, 05:15:29 PM
Also, my understanding of the law in New Mexico is that in the event of a tie the state's electoral votes are determined by Kevin Costner, and hilarious hijinks ensue as both Presidential candidates attempt to personally woo him for his vote. 

That, my friend, is a win.


Title: Re: What if in a Presidential election..........
Post by: Snowstalker Mk. II on March 23, 2012, 08:54:47 PM
1980 penny:

(
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286-252


Title: Re: What if in a Presidential election..........
Post by: Antonio the Sixth on March 24, 2012, 06:49:27 AM
And the magic Georgia rule is broken...


Title: Re: What if in a Presidential election..........
Post by: Pingvin on March 24, 2012, 09:42:46 AM
Also, my understanding of the law in New Mexico is that in the event of a tie the state's electoral votes are determined by Kevin Costner, and hilarious hijinks ensue as both Presidential candidates attempt to personally woo him for his vote. 

That, my friend, is a win.


Title: Re: What if in a Presidential election..........
Post by: FEMA Camp Administrator on March 24, 2012, 11:42:59 AM
Of course a 1980 coin would go Republican. It even gives Carter his home state.



Title: Re: What if in a Presidential election..........
Post by: Yelnoc on March 30, 2012, 07:30:11 PM
Yo, I just found a quarter minted in 1967!  Went through all my change and found a penny from 1964!  So the map is from 1964, though I used the '67 quarter since that is easier to tell heads from tales (the penny is in it's illegibly dark stage of life).

Heads is Incumbent President Lyndon B. Johnson
Tails is Barry Goldwater
If it lands in some awkward sideways position, I'll give the state to Goldwater.

(
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Goldwater: 295
Johnson: 200
Wallace: 43

If you're wondering how the coin managed to land on its side seven times, I was lying on my bed, flipping the coin, and seven times it landed propped up against my leg.