Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2012 Elections => Topic started by: Tender Branson on April 01, 2012, 12:39:45 AM



Title: Post your WI, MD & DC predictions here
Post by: Tender Branson on April 01, 2012, 12:39:45 AM
WI:

44% Romney
35% Santorum
12% Paul
  8% Gingrich
  1% Others

MD:

53% Romney
28% Santorum
10% Gingrich
  8% Paul
  1% Others

DC:

77% Romney
14% Paul
  8% Gingrich
  1% Huntsman


Title: Re: Post your WI, MD & DC predictions here
Post by: Adam Griffin on April 01, 2012, 02:12:39 AM
WI:

45% Romney
35% Santorum
11% Paul
6%   Gingrich

MD:

52% Romney
30% Santorum
9%   Paul
7%   Gingrich

DC:

81% Romney
12% Paul
6%   Gingrich


Title: Re: Post your WI, MD & DC predictions here
Post by: jmc247 on April 01, 2012, 02:26:51 AM
WI:

53% Romney
32% Santorum
9% Paul
6%   Gingrich

MD:

55% Romney
30% Santorum
8%   Paul
7%   Gingrich

DC:

85% Romney
10% Paul
5%   Gingrich


Title: Re: Post your WI, MD & DC predictions here
Post by: JohnnyLongtorso on April 01, 2012, 12:27:53 PM
DC:

Romney - 74%
Paul - 16%
Gingrich - 9%
Huntsman - 1%

Maryland:

Romney - 50%
Santorum - 32%
Paul - 9%
Gingrich - 8%
Other - 1%

And I made a county map prediction:

()

(Edit: probably could flip Frederick and Carroll now)

Wisconsin:

Romney - 45%
Santorum - 37%
Paul - 10%
Gingrich - 7%
Other - 1%


Title: Re: Post your WI, MD & DC predictions here
Post by: I spent the winter writing songs about getting better on April 01, 2012, 12:29:12 PM
I'll be doing county maps later.


Title: Re: Post your WI, MD & DC predictions here
Post by: tmthforu94 on April 01, 2012, 01:39:08 PM
D.C.:
Romney - 62%
Paul - 28%
Gingrich - 10%

Maryland:
Romney - 51%
Santorum - 30%
Paul - 10%
Gingrich - 9%

Wisconsin:
Romney - 48%
Santorum - 40%
Gingrich - 6%
Paul - 6%


Title: Re: Post your WI, MD & DC predictions here
Post by: Lincoln Republican on April 01, 2012, 02:13:25 PM
DC    :D

MD    :D

WI    :D


Title: Re: Post your WI, MD & DC predictions here
Post by: Indy Texas on April 01, 2012, 05:23:15 PM
Wisconsin:
47% Romney
35% Santorum
10% Paul
7% Gingrich

Maryland:
48% Romney
36% Santorum
10% Paul
6% Gingrich

DC:
75% Romney
15% Paul
7% Gingrich
2% Huntsman


Title: Re: Post your WI, MD & DC predictions here
Post by: Rowan on April 01, 2012, 05:39:03 PM
No numbers. Just bloodbath all around.


Title: Re: Post your WI, MD & DC predictions here
Post by: 🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸 on April 01, 2012, 06:28:32 PM
WI

41% Romney
36% Santorum
14% Paul
  8% Gingrich

MD

48% Romney
28% Santorum
12% Paul
11% Gingrich

DC

68% Romney
16% Paul
14% Gingrich
  2% Huntsman


Title: Re: Post your WI, MD & DC predictions here
Post by: Yelnoc on April 01, 2012, 07:07:43 PM
Romney


Title: Re: Post your WI, MD & DC predictions here
Post by: RogueBeaver on April 01, 2012, 07:10:20 PM
No numbers. Just bloodbath all around.


Title: Re: Post your WI, MD & DC predictions here
Post by: I'm JewCon in name only. on April 01, 2012, 07:16:00 PM
Wisconsin: Mitt by 12
Maryland: Mitt by 15
D.C.: Mitt by 48


Title: Re: Post your WI, MD & DC predictions here
Post by: Frodo on April 01, 2012, 08:45:36 PM
If Romney makes a sweep of all three states -including Wisconsin- this (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JSUIQgEVDM4&feature=related) should become the Rick Santorum campaign's official anthem.  :P


Title: Re: Post your WI, MD & DC predictions here
Post by: J. J. on April 01, 2012, 09:37:29 PM
If Romney makes a sweep of all three states -including Wisconsin- this (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JSUIQgEVDM4&feature=related) should become the Rick Santorum campaign's official anthem.  :P

Now that really isn't fair.  If Santorum loses all three, especially this (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Q0DqPSF2fyo) should be his official campaign anthem.


Title: Re: Post your WI, MD & DC predictions here
Post by: Snowstalker Mk. II on April 01, 2012, 09:41:54 PM

Of course. Ron Paul will win all 3 of these.


Title: Re: Post your WI, MD & DC predictions here
Post by: J. J. on April 01, 2012, 09:55:16 PM
WI, Romney by 5 point.


Title: Re: Post your WI, MD & DC predictions here
Post by: Smash255 on April 01, 2012, 10:13:48 PM
Romney by 10 in WI, 22 in MD and 50 in D.C (Paul 2nd)

Romney takes 6 of the 8 CD's in WI (Santorum taking the 3rd and 7th), Romney narrowly takes the 6th.

Romney takes everything in Maryland with the exception of the 1st.


Title: Re: Post your WI, MD & DC predictions here
Post by: I spent the winter writing songs about getting better on April 01, 2012, 10:26:50 PM
Maryland
()

Romney 50
Santorum 28
Gingrich 11
Paul 11

Wisconsin
()

Romney 42
Santorum 36
Paul 15
Gingrich 7

DC
Romney 75
Paul 15
Gingrich 10


Title: Re: Post your WI, MD & DC predictions here
Post by: Eraserhead on April 02, 2012, 03:02:21 AM
Don't even care enough to give full predictions anymore. Romney's gonna win everything.


Title: Re: Post your WI, MD & DC predictions here
Post by: Linus Van Pelt on April 02, 2012, 03:11:42 PM
Will WI be the only state where, relative to the 2008 general, most Obama counties are Santorum counties and most McCain counties are Romney counties?


Title: Re: Post your WI, MD & DC predictions here
Post by: Snowstalker Mk. II on April 02, 2012, 03:15:12 PM
Will WI be the only state where, relative to the 2008 general, most Obama counties are Santorum counties and most McCain counties are Romney counties?

Romney will do a bit better in SW WI (it's closer to the areas of Iowa he won) than the map shows, while Santorum will do better in Northern Wisconsin (the iron areas that voted heavily D but trended R in 2008). The MD map looks about right, though Baltimore County might be Romney >40%.

As for DC, Romney will win by a lot, but I actually wouldn't count out Ron Paul getting about 30%--remember that in the 2-way race, he won several cities, including Norfolk.


Title: Re: Post your WI, MD & DC predictions here
Post by: 🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸 on April 02, 2012, 04:37:03 PM
Will WI be the only state where, relative to the 2008 general, most Obama counties are Santorum counties and most McCain counties are Romney counties?

Romney will do a bit better in SW WI (it's closer to the areas of Iowa he won) than the map shows, while Santorum will do better in Northern Wisconsin (the iron areas that voted heavily D but trended R in 2008). The MD map looks about right, though Baltimore County might be Romney >40%.

As for DC, Romney will win by a lot, but I actually wouldn't count out Ron Paul getting about 30%--remember that in the 2-way race, he won several cities, including Norfolk.
Possible he'll do quite well, but Virginia was an open primary, and Gingrich is on the ballot to split the non-Romney vote in DC too.


Title: Re: Post your WI, MD & DC predictions here
Post by: ShadowRocket on April 02, 2012, 04:58:05 PM
Not going to bother with numbers; but what I'm guessing:

- Romney beats Santorum in WI by 4-5 points, with Paul and Gingrich falling into third and fourth place respectively.

- Romney breaks 50% in MD

- Romney just falls short of 70% in DC.


Title: Re: Post your WI, MD & DC predictions here
Post by: Queen Mum Inks.LWC on April 03, 2012, 02:15:55 AM
WI:
Romney - 44%
Santorum - 36%
Paul - 11%
Gingrich - 8%
Others - 1%

MD:
Romney - 52%
Santorum - 28%
Gingrich - 11%
Paul - 8%
Others - 1%

DC:
Romney - 71%
Paul - 16%
Gingrich - 12%
Huntsman - 1%


Title: Re: Post your WI, MD & DC predictions here
Post by: Niemeyerite on April 03, 2012, 05:02:03 AM
WI:

Romney 41
Santorum 36
Paul 15
Gingrich 7
Other 1

MD:

Romney 53
Santorum 30
Gingrich 10
Paul 7


Title: Re: Post your WI, MD & DC predictions here
Post by: Is Totally Not Feeblepizza. on April 03, 2012, 12:17:50 PM
Wisconsin
Romney - 44%
Santorum - 35%
Paul - 11%
Gingrich - 8%

No idea on Maryland or D.C., as I have seen no polling data from either of those places, but Mittens will most likely win both.


Title: Re: Post your WI, MD & DC predictions here
Post by: Fmr. Pres. Duke on April 03, 2012, 02:30:40 PM
Time for Rick to step aside and let the coronation begin. I assume Newt and Ron will remain in until the convention.


Title: Re: Post your WI, MD & DC predictions here
Post by: J. J. on April 03, 2012, 05:24:53 PM
Time for Rick to step aside and let the coronation begin. I assume Newt and Ron will remain in until the convention.

I will wait for the results, but I'll be saying the same thing if it is a sweep.