Talk Elections

Dr. Ron Paul has already won three districts. Will he be able to extend this number?

He could win his own in Texas, but unless he's in contention for another states I don't see him getting another.

He could get one in CA.

Which one? Nancy Pelosi's district? Maxine Waters' district? Unless he's in the 20s there I think it's seriously hard to see him doing well.

He just gave massive speechs at Berkeley, Chico, and UCLA for a few thousand college students each, so he can win at least one out of 53 there, and of course his own district in Texas. And Montana seems to be very much in line with his ideology (see Schweitzer, Tester, etc), so he's got at least a shot there.

I would imagine Walter Jones' district in North Carolina would go for him.

FWIW Paul just got all three Delegates from the Colorado CD 1 convention.

#copolitics

Yeah, this is a possibility.

Well, it wouldn't be hard for him to win some California  congressional districts considering that some won't have many Republican voters, and decline to state voters can vote in the Republican primary, and the voters can at the same time vote Democrat in some of the other races.

So far he has won three districts, ME-02, VA-03 and my own in MN-05. Though he clearly won CO-01 in the end too despite the straw poll, and I bet he'll get all three delegates from here (then again who knows where the Santorum delegates will go now.)

He could win a great many districts if a protest Romney by voting Paul movement emerges. The same is true of Santorum. I think people great underestimate the GOP electorate's dissatisfaction with Romney. Not that it's gonna happen, but make the general a 3 way contest in all 50 states between Obama, Romney , and any single anti-Romney and Romney will come in a very distant 3rd.

MN-05? LOL. Isn't that the only Muslim district in the whole nation?

I'm a bit surprised about Montana and South Dakota.
In case he really wins one or both of them, wouldn't that mean he wins the whole state?

Montana? Not to be ruled out.
But South Dakota? Never.

Indeed it would mean so, and of the states still left on the calendar, Montana, and to a lesser extent Sotuh Dakota, would be his best shot(s) to win an actual state (besides the Virgin Islands).

No, and I think most would find it more than a little unusual if a 73% white district where most of the whites are Scandinavians and Germans was majority Muslim. Or even close to it, or even had a Muslim population in the double digit percentage.

I think he was referring to Keith Ellison being your Congressional Representative.

So TN-09 is a white and Jewish district?

Speaking of which, is there a congressional district in the entire country with a Muslim population in double digits?

But yes, saying that MN-5 is a "Muslim district" is as ridiculous as saying that TN-9 is a "Jewish district", or for that matter that LA-2 was a "Vietnamese District" for the two years it was represented by Joseph Cao.

Possibly Michigan's 14th District? It's supposed to have a white population consisting of mostly Albanians, Yemenis, and Bosnians.

Many Arab and black Muslims there too, though I suspect it's probably high single digits.  One or two of the Brooklyn or Queens districts might have a double digit percentage.

Probably not.  Jones was a mainstream conservative Republican for his first few terms in Congress, and he's kept the respect of the people there while he's turned more civil libertarian and non-interventionist.  His district isn't any kind of libertarian mecca.

None.  (No, not even his district: he'd be lucky to get 30% there)

His district is the only district that would go for him.

Maybe one of those NYC districts that have only like 8 actual Republicans in them? Then his hipster supporters might push him over the top.

Williamsburg neighborhood in Brooklyn  for his lone  Hipster supporters?

And what district contains the Greenwich Village?

New York 8 congressional district. Hasn't had a Republican represent the district Charles Bond in the early 1920's.

I think you're seriously overestimating how well he'd do in his district.