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Title: Who has the highest chance of being elected President of France in the future? Post by: tpfkaw on May 01, 2012, 11:02:31 AM This should be interesting.
Title: Re: Who has the highest chance of being elected President of France in the future? Post by: Insula Dei on May 01, 2012, 11:04:24 AM Sarkozy obviously. For one thing he's actually going to be on the ballot in the second round of a presidential election this sunday. Not very likely to happen to either Le Pen or Bayrou.
Title: Re: Who has the highest chance of being elected President of France in the future? Post by: Lief 🗽 on May 01, 2012, 12:30:46 PM Sarkozy has like a 5% chance of winning the 2012 election. The other two have a 0% chance of winning the 2012 election and all future elections.
Title: Re: Who has the highest chance of being elected President of France in the future? Post by: Antonio the Sixth on May 01, 2012, 03:25:42 PM Sarkozy has like a 5% chance of winning the 2012 election. The other two have a 0% chance of winning the 2012 election and all future elections. Basically. Title: Re: Who has the highest chance of being elected President of France in the future? Post by: Peter the Lefty on May 01, 2012, 03:31:51 PM This election: obviously Sarkozy.
In the future: assuming Sarko's serious about quitting politics if he looses, Le Pen. The chances of Bayrou ever getting close to his 2007 score again seem pretty slim. Title: Re: Who has the highest chance of being elected President of France in the future? Post by: Hash on May 01, 2012, 04:05:47 PM Anyone who thinks Marion Panzergirl can come remotely close to winning 50% +1 in an election with normal turnout is delusional.
Title: Re: Who has the highest chance of being elected President of France in the future? Post by: minionofmidas on May 02, 2012, 03:59:06 AM Sarkozy's chances of winning in 2012 are about even to Bayrou's chances of ever winning (negligible but not quite non-existent), while his chances of a comeback, and the chances of Le Pen ever being president, are non-existent.
Title: Re: Who has the highest chance of being elected President of France in the future? Post by: LastVoter on May 02, 2012, 12:52:43 PM Panzer girl vs Melenchon would be a fun match-up.
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