Talk Elections

For those who still care:

NE:

64% Romney
21% Paul
  9% Santorum
  6% Gingrich

OR:

65% Romney
23% Paul
  6% Santorum
  4% Gingrich
  2% Uncommitted

NE:
Romney       59
Paul             20
Santorum     18
Gingrich         2


OR:
Romney         62
Paul               23
Santorum       11
Gingrich           3

I think he'll do better in Nebraska, actually; they come off as somewhat more likely to favor establishment but evangelical candidates, while Oregon is the most polarized state in the Union; Republicans there are very conservative, at least in the East.

Paul gets second in Oregon, Santorum gets second in Nebraska.

NE:
Romney       77
Paul             12
Santorum      9
Gingrich         2


OR:
Romney         72
Paul               17
Santorum        9
Gingrich           2

Mid-high 60s for Romney in both states.

when do polls close?

Romney's currently got 71% in NE, with 70% of precincts reporting. Santorum still managed to whoop Ron Paul (14% & 10%, respectively).

Romney's got 73% in OR, with 40% reporting.

I'll adjust my future predictions to 70%+ for Romney.

Except Utah maybe, where he'll get 98% or so.

I expect Paul will get 5-7% in Utah.