Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2012 House Election Polls => Topic started by: JohnnyLongtorso on May 16, 2012, 07:19:07 PM



Title: RI-01/Fleming & Associates (D primary): Cicilline in trouble before November
Post by: JohnnyLongtorso on May 16, 2012, 07:19:07 PM
Dem primary poll (http://www.wpri.com/dpp/news/politics/local_politics/campain-2012-may-exclusive-poll-6pm?2):

David Cicilline - 40%
Anthony Gemma - 36%

Also, "the new poll finds 61% of primary voters give Cicilline a negative job approval rating".


Title: Re: RI-01/Fleming & Associates (D primary): Cicilline in trouble before November
Post by: tmthforu94 on May 16, 2012, 09:07:48 PM
Let's go Cicilline!!!


Title: Re: RI-01/Fleming & Associates (D primary): Cicilline in trouble before November
Post by: Joe Republic on May 16, 2012, 09:12:44 PM
Quote
Doherty, the Rhode Island State Police's former superintendent, had a double-digit lead over both Democrats in a WPRI 12 poll of 1st District voters conducted in February, even though the district is heavily Democratic.

Great job, Dems.


Title: Re: RI-01/Fleming & Associates (D primary): Cicilline in trouble before November
Post by: hopper on May 17, 2012, 09:09:17 AM
Dem primary poll (http://www.wpri.com/dpp/news/politics/local_politics/campain-2012-may-exclusive-poll-6pm?2):

David Cicilline - 40%
Anthony Gemma - 36%

Also, "the new poll finds 61% of primary voters give Cicilline a negative job approval rating".
Cicilline is damaged goods. The Dems would find another candidate if they were smart because of Cecilline's baggage. The Republicans have a real shot to take this seat I think.


Title: Re: RI-01/Fleming & Associates (D primary): Cicilline in trouble before November
Post by: minionofmidas on May 18, 2012, 05:48:44 AM
The problem is that Gemma is anything but a first rate challenger (as viz. Cicilline not being dead in the primary water.)

And... uh... this is the opening of a "profile" on his own campaign website...

Quote
Through his business career and quest for the RI First Congressional District seat, Anthony Gemma has cultivated a hard-driving, aggressive persona that has sometimes irked media members and political rivals.

Joseph Gemma, dean of Providence College’s junior class, assistant management professor, and the oldest of nine Gemma siblings, understands why some might take that view of his family’s youngest, 17 years his junior. “Sometimes people are confused by him, think they know him through his Facebook postings or tweets, and stop at that level,” he says.

Uh... what?


Title: Re: RI-01/Fleming & Associates (D primary): Cicilline in trouble before November
Post by: Mr.Phips on May 20, 2012, 06:53:14 AM
Dem primary poll (http://www.wpri.com/dpp/news/politics/local_politics/campain-2012-may-exclusive-poll-6pm?2):

David Cicilline - 40%
Anthony Gemma - 36%

Also, "the new poll finds 61% of primary voters give Cicilline a negative job approval rating".
Cicilline is damaged goods. The Dems would find another candidate if they were smart because of Cecilline's baggage. The Republicans have a real shot to take this seat I think.

If Doherty did take this 67% Obama seat, he would very likely easily be beaten by a competent Dem in 2014.  He would be the GOP version of Walt Minnick. 


Title: Re: RI-01/Fleming & Associates (D primary): Cicilline in trouble before November
Post by: Filuwaúrdjan on May 20, 2012, 04:41:32 PM
Not the point. You shouldn't piss away safe seats.


Title: Re: RI-01/Fleming & Associates (D primary): Cicilline in trouble before November
Post by: Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian. on May 20, 2012, 05:26:25 PM
Not the point. You shouldn't piss away safe seats.

Exactly. Allowing a Republican to get elected to Congress from Rhode Island is inexcusable on the Democrats' part. This is worse than Charles Djou.


Title: Re: RI-01/Fleming & Associates (D primary): Cicilline in trouble before November
Post by: homelycooking on May 20, 2012, 05:30:17 PM
Allowing the GOP to take a district that contains Providence is unforgivable for the Democrats.


Title: Re: RI-01/Fleming & Associates (D primary): Cicilline in trouble before November
Post by: patrick1 on May 20, 2012, 05:51:08 PM
The problem is that Gemma is anything but a first rate challenger (as viz. Cicilline not being dead in the primary water.)

And... uh... this is the opening of a "profile" on his own campaign website...

Quote
Through his business career and quest for the RI First Congressional District seat, Anthony Gemma has cultivated a hard-driving, aggressive persona that has sometimes irked media members and political rivals.

Joseph Gemma, dean of Providence College’s junior class, assistant management professor, and the oldest of nine Gemma siblings, understands why some might take that view of his family’s youngest, 17 years his junior. “Sometimes people are confused by him, think they know him through his Facebook postings or tweets, and stop at that level,” he says.

Uh... what?

Haha, Anthony Gemma was my slumlandlord in college.


Title: Re: RI-01/Fleming & Associates (D primary): Cicilline in trouble before November
Post by: Napoleon on May 20, 2012, 05:52:09 PM
Allowing the GOP to take a district that contains Providence is unforgivable for the Democrats.

Yet Hilarious at the same time.

I wonder if this is Winfield's district.


Title: Re: RI-01/Fleming & Associates (D primary): Cicilline in trouble before November
Post by: tpfkaw on May 20, 2012, 05:57:05 PM
Not quite as bad as that New Orleans district.  Also, the RIGOP is essentially indistinguishable from the RI-Dems.  They should probably label the ballot lines "Irish Mob" and La Cosa Nostra as applicable to confuse the voters less.


Title: Re: RI-01/Fleming & Associates (D primary): Cicilline in trouble before November
Post by: hopper on May 21, 2012, 04:57:00 PM
Not the point. You shouldn't piss away safe seats.

Exactly. Allowing a Republican to get elected to Congress from Rhode Island is inexcusable on the Democrats' part. This is worse than Charles Djou.
Well a Republican did represent the 1st District in RI from 1989-1994. I just looked that up.

Charles Djou was different . That was a 3 way contest.


Title: Re: RI-01/Fleming & Associates (D primary): Cicilline in trouble before November
Post by: Filuwaúrdjan on May 21, 2012, 06:22:46 PM
Well a Republican did represent the 1st District in RI from 1989-1994. I just looked that up.

Only because the Democratic incumbent in 1988 was corru... oh, hang on a moment...


Title: Re: RI-01/Fleming & Associates (D primary): Cicilline in trouble before November
Post by: minionofmidas on May 22, 2012, 03:41:37 PM
The problem is that Gemma is anything but a first rate challenger (as viz. Cicilline not being dead in the primary water.)

And... uh... this is the opening of a "profile" on his own campaign website...

Quote
Through his business career and quest for the RI First Congressional District seat, Anthony Gemma has cultivated a hard-driving, aggressive persona that has sometimes irked media members and political rivals.

Joseph Gemma, dean of Providence College’s junior class, assistant management professor, and the oldest of nine Gemma siblings, understands why some might take that view of his family’s youngest, 17 years his junior. “Sometimes people are confused by him, think they know him through his Facebook postings or tweets, and stop at that level,” he says.

Uh... what?

Haha, Anthony Gemma was my slumlandlord in college.
Is it a fair description? Would you endorse your slumlord for Congress?


Title: Re: RI-01/Fleming & Associates (D primary): Cicilline in trouble before November
Post by: Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian. on May 22, 2012, 03:48:03 PM
Not the point. You shouldn't piss away safe seats.

Exactly. Allowing a Republican to get elected to Congress from Rhode Island is inexcusable on the Democrats' part. This is worse than Charles Djou.
Well a Republican did represent the 1st District in RI from 1989-1994. I just looked that up.

Charles Djou was different . That was a 3 way contest.

It was, but it was a [Inks]ing stupid one, which is my point. Besides, I did say that this was worse.


Title: Re: RI-01/Fleming & Associates (D primary): Cicilline in trouble before November
Post by: Associate Justice PiT on May 23, 2012, 05:15:11 AM
     Cicilline is garbage, but even Gemma might force the Dems to spend money there in November. Rather embarrassing, for Providence of all places.


Title: Re: RI-01/Fleming & Associates (D primary): Cicilline in trouble before November
Post by: greenforest32 on May 23, 2012, 06:00:26 AM
Potentially having a Republican in a D+13 district? Pretty sad. What's the record right now? A D+6 district?

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cook_Partisan_Voting_Index#By_congressional_district

lol @ Matheson (UT-2, R+15)


Title: Re: RI-01/Fleming & Associates (D primary): Cicilline in trouble before November
Post by: hopper on May 23, 2012, 05:04:41 PM
Potentially having a Republican in a D+13 district? Pretty sad. What's the record right now? A D+6 district?

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cook_Partisan_Voting_Index#By_congressional_district

lol @ Matheson (UT-2, R+15)
Yeah its the Illinois 10th Congressional District that is represented by Robert Dold(R.) That district always voted for Moderate Republicans(John Porter, Mark Kirk and Dold) even though they voted Dem in Presidential Elections. Kirk did have a couple close races too I think. Dold I don't think will win in November because its something like a D+8-9 District now.


Title: Re: RI-01/Fleming & Associates (D primary): Cicilline in trouble before November
Post by: Mr.Phips on May 23, 2012, 05:08:59 PM
Potentially having a Republican in a D+13 district? Pretty sad. What's the record right now? A D+6 district?

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cook_Partisan_Voting_Index#By_congressional_district

lol @ Matheson (UT-2, R+15)
Yeah its the Illinois 10th Congressional District that is represented by Robert Dold(R.) That district always voted for Moderate Republicans(John Porter, Mark Kirk and Dold) even though they voted Dem in Presidential Elections. Kirk did have a couple close races too I think. Dold I don't think will win in November because its something like a D+8-9 District now.

Dold is toast.  He only won 51%-49% in the best Republican year since 1894 against a two time loser candidate.  I would bet that he loses by high single digits this time. 


Title: Re: RI-01/Fleming & Associates (D primary): Cicilline in trouble before November
Post by: hopper on May 23, 2012, 05:14:27 PM
Potentially having a Republican in a D+13 district? Pretty sad. What's the record right now? A D+6 district?

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cook_Partisan_Voting_Index#By_congressional_district

lol @ Matheson (UT-2, R+15)
Yeah its the Illinois 10th Congressional District that is represented by Robert Dold(R.) That district always voted for Moderate Republicans(John Porter, Mark Kirk and Dold) even though they voted Dem in Presidential Elections. Kirk did have a couple close races too I think. Dold I don't think will win in November because its something like a D+8-9 District now.

Dold is toast.  He only won 51%-49% in the best Republican year since 1894 against a two time loser candidate.  I would bet that he loses by high single digits this time. 
Yeah but Seals is/was a tough opponent. Heck, Seals almost beat Kirk once.


Title: Re: RI-01/Fleming & Associates (D primary): Cicilline in trouble before November
Post by: Mr.Phips on May 24, 2012, 06:18:54 AM
Potentially having a Republican in a D+13 district? Pretty sad. What's the record right now? A D+6 district?

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cook_Partisan_Voting_Index#By_congressional_district

lol @ Matheson (UT-2, R+15)
Yeah its the Illinois 10th Congressional District that is represented by Robert Dold(R.) That district always voted for Moderate Republicans(John Porter, Mark Kirk and Dold) even though they voted Dem in Presidential Elections. Kirk did have a couple close races too I think. Dold I don't think will win in November because its something like a D+8-9 District now.

Dold is toast.  He only won 51%-49% in the best Republican year since 1894 against a two time loser candidate.  I would bet that he loses by high single digits this time. 
Yeah but Seals is/was a tough opponent. Heck, Seals almost beat Kirk once.

Seals only got 47% in two of the best Dem years since the 1970's.  Even Seals would have won the new IL-10 in 2010. 


Title: Re: RI-01/Fleming & Associates (D primary): Cicilline in trouble before November
Post by: Incipimus iterum on May 28, 2012, 12:52:50 PM
can someone explain why Cicilline is so unpopular other then hes a member of congress?


Title: Re: RI-01/Fleming & Associates (D primary): Cicilline in trouble before November
Post by: tpfkaw on May 28, 2012, 01:31:14 PM
can someone explain why Cicilline is so unpopular other then hes a member of congress?

Extremely corrupt, also hid a $200 million deficit as Mayor of Providence while running for congress that he dumped on his successor.


Title: Re: RI-01/Fleming & Associates (D primary): Cicilline in trouble before November
Post by: Incipimus iterum on May 28, 2012, 01:34:19 PM
can someone explain why Cicilline is so unpopular other then hes a member of congress?

Extremely corrupt, also hid a $200 million deficit as Mayor of Providence while running for congress that he dumped on his successor.
ah thanks for that