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Title: Results of Gallup ideological and partisan polls by state Post by: CARLHAYDEN on May 17, 2012, 03:05:38 PM State Conservative Republican Romney
advantage advantage advantage MS 42.5 6.1 48.6 UT 37.0 33.9 70.9 WY 36.8 32.8 69.6 AL 36.7 12.5 49.2 LA 34.8 6.0 40.8 AR 31.7 0.2 31.9 OK 33.1 7.7 40.8 NE 27.9 14.1 42.0 ID 29.7 29.9 59.6 TN 28.4 6.5 34.9 MT 26.4 10.8 37.2 TX 27.3 6.5 33.8 WV 26.5 -6.6 19.9 SC 29.7 9.5 39.2 SD 27.9 11.0 38.9 ND 29.5 13.8 43.3 GA 27.1 3.4 30.5 KS 27.4 15.4 42.8 IN 27.1 5.2 32.3 MO 25.7 2.3 28.0 NC 25.0 -0.9 24.1 KY 25.0 -5.1 19.9 OH 24.2 -1.3 22.9 VA 23.0 0.9 23.9 AZ 20.9 4.9 25.8 WI 18.1 -4.4 13.7 CO 17.8 3.0 20.8 FL 20.5 -1.8 18.7 NM 18.9 -5.5 13.4 MI 19.1 -6.6 12.5 PA 18.8 -4.8 14.0 NV 16.2 -1.7 14.5 MN 17.8 -5.8 12.0 IA 20.3 -3.9 16.4 IL 15.4 -13.1 2.3 NH 12.3 3.6 8.7 OR 10.3 -4.0 6.3 DE 16.3 -14.6 1.7 CA 10.2 -12.6 -2.4 MD 11.3 -18.9 -7.6 ME 10.6 -7.7 2.9 WA 8.2 -6.1 2.1 CT 9.2 -17.3 -8.1 AK 14.3 17.8 32.1 NY 6.3 -19.9 -13.6 NJ 7.5 -11.3 -3.8 RI 7.1 -20.3 -13.2 VT 7.4 -15.8 -8.4 HA 5.6 -28.4 -22.8 MA 1.3 -20.1 -21.4 DC -20.7 -66.9 -87.6 Notice that every state with a "Romney advantage" of 32.4 voted for McCain in 2008, and every state with a "Romney advantage of 19.8 or less voted for Obama in 2008. Title: Re: Results of Gallup ideological and partisan polls by state Post by: Brittain33 on May 17, 2012, 03:12:05 PM What is the "Romney advantage"?
Title: Re: Results of Gallup ideological and partisan polls by state Post by: mondale84 on May 17, 2012, 03:12:20 PM State Conservative Republican Romney advantage advantage advantage MS 42.5 6.1 48.6 UT 37 33.9 70.9 WY 36.8 32.8 69.6 AL 36.7 12.5 49.2 LA 34.8 6 40.8 AR 31.7 0.2 31.9 OK 33.1 7.7 40.8 NE 27.9 14.1 42 ID 29.7 29.9 59.6 TN 28.4 6.5 34.9 MT 26.4 10.8 37.2 TX 27.3 6.5 33.8 WV 26.5 -6.6 19.9 SC 29.7 9.5 39.2 SD 27.9 11 38.9 ND 29.5 13.8 43.3 GA 27.1 3.4 30.5 KS 27.4 15.4 42.8 IN 27.1 5.2 32.3 MO 25.7 2.3 28 NC 25 -0.9 24.1 KY 25.4 -5.1 20.3 OH 24.2 -1.3 22.9 VA 23 0.9 23.9 AZ 20.9 4.9 25.8 WI 18.1 -4.4 13.7 CO 17.8 3 20.8 FL 20.5 -1.8 18.7 NM 18.9 -5.5 13.4 MI 19.1 -6.6 12.5 PA 18.8 -4.8 14 NV 16.2 -1.7 14.5 MN 17.8 -5.8 12 IA 20.3 -3.9 16.4 IL 15.4 -13.1 2.3 NH 12.3 3.6 8.7 OR 10.3 -4 6.3 DE 16.3 -14.6 1.7 CA 10.2 -12.6 -2.4 MD 11.3 -18.9 -7.6 ME 10.6 -7.7 2.9 WA 8.2 -6.1 2.1 CT 9.2 -17.3 -8.1 AK 14.3 17.8 32.1 NY 6.3 -19.9 -13.6 NJ 7.5 -11.3 -3.8 RI 7.1 -20.3 -13.2 VT 7.4 -15.8 -8.4 HA 5.6 -28.4 -22.8 MA -1.3 -20.1 -21.4 DC -20.7 -66.9 -87.6 WTF is this? Title: Re: Results of Gallup ideological and partisan polls by state Post by: Brittain33 on May 17, 2012, 03:17:53 PM Carl has discovered that more Americans self-identify as conservative than liberal.
Title: Re: Results of Gallup ideological and partisan polls by state Post by: Bandit3 the Worker on May 17, 2012, 04:43:02 PM The "Romney advantage" is something Gallup made up by adding the "conservative advantage" to the "Republican advantage."
Title: Re: Results of Gallup ideological and partisan polls by state Post by: Democratic Hawk on May 17, 2012, 05:12:00 PM The "Romney advantage" is something Gallup made up by adding the "conservative advantage" to the "Republican advantage." Based on the assumption that ALL Republicans and conservatives will vote for Mitt Romney. 20% of self-styled conservatives, nationally, voted for President Obama in 2008. I'd be a somewhat socially conservative Democrat but it sure as hell doesn't follow I'd be voting for Mitt Romney Title: Re: Results of Gallup ideological and partisan polls by state Post by: CARLHAYDEN on May 18, 2012, 12:09:27 PM The "Romney advantage" is something Gallup made up by adding the "conservative advantage" to the "Republican advantage." Based on the assumption that ALL Republicans and conservatives will vote for Mitt Romney. 20% of self-styled conservatives, nationally, voted for President Obama in 2008. I'd be a somewhat socially conservative Democrat but it sure as hell doesn't follow I'd be voting for Mitt Romney Hawk, You make the false assumption of "all" or nothing. If you look at the 2008 Gallup results for the two categories, you will find a very high correlation between actual vote and predicted results. |