Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2012 Senatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: Tender Branson on June 06, 2012, 07:04:04 AM



Title: Quinnipiac polls for VA & CT show close races
Post by: Tender Branson on June 06, 2012, 07:04:04 AM
44-43 Kaine/Allen

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/virginia/release-detail?ReleaseID=1759

46-43 Murphy/McMahon

Former wrestling executive Linda McMahon leads former U.S. Rep. Christopher Shays 59 - 30 percent in the Republican primary for Connecticut's U.S. Senate seat, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. This compares to a 51 - 42 percent McMahon lead March 22.

In the Democratic Senate primary, U.S. Rep. Christopher Murphy leads former Secretary of State Susan Bysiewicz 50 - 20 percent, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds. This compares to a 37 - 25 percent Murphy lead March 22.

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/connecticut/release-detail?ReleaseID=1758


Title: Re: Quinnipiac polls for VA & CT show close races
Post by: tmthforu94 on June 06, 2012, 10:42:09 AM
I'm surprised McMahon is this competitive - I still suspect the result will be around what 2010 was.


Title: Re: Quinnipiac polls for VA & CT show close races
Post by: RogueBeaver on June 06, 2012, 10:46:40 AM
CT will be 2010 margin or slightly higher IMO. As for VA, completely synchronized with the presidential.


Title: Re: Quinnipiac polls for VA & CT show close races
Post by: Napoleon on June 06, 2012, 10:55:48 AM
Murphy will get at least 56%.


Title: Re: Quinnipiac polls for VA & CT show close races
Post by: Miles on June 06, 2012, 12:27:53 PM
Lieberman has a 50/39 approval rating...why's that so high?


Title: Re: Quinnipiac polls for VA & CT show close races
Post by: RogueBeaver on June 06, 2012, 12:46:47 PM
Lieberman has a 50/39 approval rating...why's that so high?

He's retiring.


Title: Re: Quinnipiac polls for VA & CT show close races
Post by: Vosem on June 06, 2012, 01:56:23 PM
McMahon making CT competitive would be an encouraging sign, but I'd wait for more polling to see if this is just an outlier or a legitimate trend. Quinnipiac has tended to give Republicans rather good results this year (last cycle, interestingly enough, Quinnipiac generally gave the Democrats good results). I don't much like McMahon, but shifting a seat from 'Likely D' to 'Tossup' is always good news...


Title: Re: Quinnipiac polls for VA & CT show close races
Post by: Mad Deadly Worldwide Communist Gangster Computer God on June 06, 2012, 09:31:08 PM
Quinnipiac showed a competitive Senate race here around this time in 2010, I believe.  I think Murphy will prevail.


Title: Re: Quinnipiac polls for VA & CT show close races
Post by: RogueBeaver on June 06, 2012, 09:38:09 PM
In 2010 Q had her down by only 3 at one point in late September, but shortly thereafter it defaulted to the usual double-digits. Murphy by 15 or thereabouts in November.


Title: Re: Quinnipiac polls for VA & CT show close races
Post by: morgieb on June 07, 2012, 06:48:40 AM
Obvious outlier is obvious.


Title: Re: Quinnipiac polls for VA & CT show close races
Post by: bore on June 07, 2012, 03:50:14 PM
Apparently almost all of the undecideds are dems and considering Mcmahon is already very well known it might just be that 43 is her ceiling and not because it is an outlier. Regardless the race is likely verging on safe dem.


Title: Re: Quinnipiac polls for VA & CT show close races
Post by: Holmes on June 07, 2012, 04:28:16 PM
Don't get your hopes up about Connecticut. Fools' gold.