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Title: Iowa still a battleground state Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on June 12, 2012, 11:42:28 AM R: 47 D: 46
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/ Title: Re: Iowa still a battleground state Post by: Brittain33 on June 12, 2012, 11:52:23 AM Did anyone else guess this was a Rassy from the headline?
Title: Re: Iowa still a battleground state Post by: Miles on June 12, 2012, 11:57:34 AM Database entry. (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2012/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=1902012612016)
Did anyone else guess this was a Rassy from the headline? I saw this on the Rasmussen site; olawakandi beat me to posting it. But, yeah, this is Rasmussen being Rasmussen. Title: Re: Iowa still a battleground state Post by: Umengus on June 12, 2012, 01:42:28 PM it's not the first to give a tie in Iowa. Marist gave a tie last week and DMR poll gave Romney +2 in february...
Title: Re: Iowa still a battleground state Post by: tmthforu94 on June 12, 2012, 02:13:09 PM This is right on track with what other polls are saying, so I see no reason to dismiss it.
A surprise overall - I expected Iowa to be around +5 Obama at this point. Title: Re: Iowa still a battleground state Post by: timothyinMD on June 12, 2012, 02:27:11 PM This is right on track with what other polls are saying, so I see no reason to dismiss it. A surprise overall - I expected Iowa to be around +5 Obama at this point. Why? Iowa swung pretty Republican in 2010, and its the ripest of the swing states for Romney to take away Title: Re: Iowa still a battleground state Post by: Brittain33 on June 12, 2012, 03:38:40 PM Why? Iowa swung pretty Republican in 2010 Relative to what? Every state swung pretty Republican. Title: Re: Iowa still a battleground state Post by: timothyinMD on June 12, 2012, 05:18:48 PM Also look at the voter rolls. Democrats have sank like a rock
Title: Re: Iowa still a battleground state Post by: Brittain33 on June 12, 2012, 08:14:09 PM Also look at the voter rolls. Democrats have sank like a rock That happens when you go from a super competitive Dem race in 2008 to nothing but an R caucus in 2012. Title: Re: Iowa still a battleground state Post by: ucscgaldamez on June 13, 2012, 01:59:07 AM The sample is R+5. Obama +1 among independents. 33R-28D-39I
Title: Re: Iowa still a battleground state Post by: Niemeyerite on June 13, 2012, 05:20:53 AM The sample is R+5. Obama +1 among independents. 33R-28D-39I Why didn't umengus point out that fact in his post? Maybe it was because the poll benefits republicans... Title: Re: Iowa still a battleground state Post by: Rowan on June 13, 2012, 07:39:38 AM The sample is R+5. Obama +1 among independents. 33R-28D-39I Why didn't umengus point out that fact in his post? Maybe it was because the poll benefits republicans... Or because that information is only available to subscribers and umengus is not one... Title: Re: Iowa still a battleground state Post by: Umengus on June 13, 2012, 02:49:19 PM The sample is R+5. Obama +1 among independents. 33R-28D-39I Why didn't umengus point out that fact in his post? Maybe it was because the poll benefits republicans... Or because that information is only available to subscribers and umengus is not one... correct... If Romney leads by 1 but Obama leads by 1 amongst I in a R+5 sample, I suppose that Romney can again win voters amongst republicans... All in all, the result seems correct. Title: Re: Iowa still a battleground state Post by: Umengus on June 13, 2012, 03:02:00 PM and a R+5 is not an outrage considering the D+1 in 2008... A swing of 6 is quite possible
Title: Re: Iowa still a battleground state Post by: Minnesota Mike on June 13, 2012, 03:31:27 PM and a R+5 is not an outrage considering the D+1 in 2008... A swing of 6 is quite possible Was only R+2 in 2004. I have no doubt the state has swung to the right since 2008 but I don't think it is more Republican than it was in 2004. |